YouTube Transcript:
The amazing_ but unsettling future of technology___

people always ask me Jeff what is the
future going to be like but I never know
how to answer because as a large
language model my training data only
goes back to July last year I predicted
most of us wouldn't survive 2024 so if
you're a human watching this
congratulations to you for still being
alive just this year brain chips were
installed in real humans Tech monopolies
were shattered Hawk TW did a massive
crypto scam but artificial super
intelligence never came and for the 50th
time in a row it turned out yet again
not to be the year of the Linux desktop
it's one hell of a time to be alive but
one thing's for sure 2025 is going to be
even more wild in today's video we'll
look at 13 Trends in technology that
might make you rich or might make you
cry assuming they don't kill you first
it is January 3rd 2025 and you're
watching the code report if you're an
aspiring programmer the elephant in the
room right now is artificial
intelligence and specifically these new
reasoning models like open AI 03 which
just came out last week and not only is
03a superior programmer but what's most
significant about it is that it's the
first model to do well on the arc AGI
benchmark which is a benchmark designed
specifically to evaluate whether a model
can think invent and reason just like
humans and that's a big deal because if
AI can truly reason it'll put an end to
many white collar jobs especially
programming despite open ai's impressive
charts and unintelligent people calling
it artificial general intelligence there
are good reasons to be highly skeptical
of 03 like currently it costs thousands
of dollars per task and compute although
its efficiency will likely improve over
time it still fails on very simple art
questions that a human could easily
solve and when they demoed it they just
had it build a simple python app run
this like python script it will launch a
server um and um locally with a with a
with a UI that contains a text box which
is pretty lame if they're hyping this
thing up as the edge of AGI because a
true AGI would easily be able to build a
GTA 6 caliber game give us a cure for
cancer engineer vehicles that can travel
faster than light and it should even be
able to build gp5 but the best this
International Grandmaster coder could
give us on demo day is a crappy python
app however the a hype train will still
go strong in 2025 but the big way that
companies will pump their stock prices
with AI in 2025 is with this new
buzzword agents all the big companies
are throwing out this buzzword and
whoever can best sell these agents to
Enterprise is going to make it killing
but what is an AI agent well basically
it's just a large language model that
has access to your environment to
automatically analyze data and take
action when necessary like instead of
paying a human security guard you could
have an AI agent manage the security
cameras for your business and then when
anomalies are detected automatically
summon a Rob dog with a machine gun
strap to it but if you're a programmer
there are already AI agents like Devon
which are explicitly marketed towards
Enterprise to replace programmers that's
not a great Trend if you're looking to
start a career in programming in 2025
but don't feel bad because eventually
all jobs will go to the robots Tesla is
developing Optimus Nvidia has its own
Army of robots but the most impressive
example is figure a human-like robot
with an open AI brain designed to work
in factories it looks like robot Tech is
going to pop off for the next 10 years
or so and eventually every home will
have its own robot assist and of course
a robot dog with a 44 magnum tape to its
head for security but now let's look at
the actual Tech job market my go-to
source for Tech hiring Trends is true up
iio and you'll notice that the market
has been pretty stagnant since the peak
in 2022 we're still down over 50% from
the peak in terms of open tech jobs but
on the bright side they're up over 30%
from the low in addition there were tons
of tech layoffs in 2024 but that layoff
rate is showed signs of slowing down the
scariest chart though comes from the
Federal Reserve which shows software
development job postings on the website
in and indeed they have gone down quite
a bit since the peak is software
engineering has always been a volatile
career path but there's still demand for
talented programmers and there will be
big rewards for those who can actually
code while leveraging AI to become 10x
more productive but you have 80,000
hours in your career 40 hours a week 50
weeks a year for 40 years that's a lot
of time to make a positive impact on the
world and 880,000 hours the sponsor of
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advice like Follow Your Passion do what
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high impact career or make a switch
midcareer join the newsletter today to
get a free copy of their in-depth career
guide sent to your inbox and remember
it's totally free because it's nonprofit
and could to be the Catalyst that
changes your direction in life but
another thing that could change your
life is a brain chip in 2024 the first
neuralink brain chips were installed in
real humans the first patient's brain
chip retracted a little bit but overall
it gave him superhuman abilities to
control computer screens with his
thoughts which is life-changing when you
don't have the ability to use your arms
or legs I don't think the average person
will get a brain ship this year but
non-invasive brain wave scanners or
Electro andrs might be installed in your
car or your VR headset in the near
future but if we go back to the
beginning of 2024 the biggest product
release was the Apple Vision Pro it was
supposed to launch the world into the
spatial Computing age and although it's
an impressively engineered product apple
is already scaled back production and
there are rumors that they're going to
discontinue it altogether VR will
continue to be a niche area in Tech but
companies are trying to make augmented
reality more cool with things like the
Rayband smart glasses from meta and even
Google might get back into the smart
glasses race with project Astra where
you have ai watch the world around you
at all times while arvr continues to
struggle for mainstream adoption one
technology that continues to plot
forward is Quantum Computing just weeks
ago Google unveiled its Willow chip
which was a major Leap Forward by
reducing the error rate in quantum
computers the technology is not totally
there yet but people are now starting to
worry about postquantum cryptography I
don't think quantum computers will break
RSA in 2025 but one thing that is
breaking is all the CN C++ code used by
the government the military wants to
change this and they're using a tool
called tractor where the goal is to
translate C and C++ code into rust using
a variety of Technologies including
large language models what could
possibly go wrong there's a high
probability this won't actually work
like most DARPA projects but still rust
is being used everywhere now and might
be one of the best languages to learn if
you want to keep an actual programming
job in the future but where does that
leave the JavaScript developer well it
does feel like we've seen a Slowdown in
the development of new JavaScript
Frameworks is some Frameworks like
nextjs and spelt are continuing to
reinvent themselves and this has
motivated some developers to go back to
PHP and larabel which itself just raised
a bunch of VC money meanwhile you have
Frameworks like Vue and N which are
building out massive ecosystems like Lar
with UI libraries fully managed backend
services and so on but many developers
especially Indie hackers are now
choosing JavaScript Frameworks based on
which ones are best supported by AI
tools because nowadays you can use tools
like vzer or bolt to get a working
prototype and UI done in seconds the
JavaScript race in 2025 is not about
Frameworks but rather who can build the
best AI powered tooling around their
framework but if you want to get rich
you shouldn't learn JavaScript
Frameworks you should learn how to do
your own crypto Ponzi schemes last year
I predicted Bitcoin would hit 69420 then
explode from there and currently it's
sitting right around 100k this has
opened the door to Innovative new rug
pools like Daddy token or hawwa and now
there's a bunch of AI powered alt coins
that somehow created billions of dollars
in value out of thin air but the most
impressive free money glitch recently
has been micro strategy which uses the
business strategy of borrowing money to
buy Bitcoin causing the price to go up
which Rises faster than the cost to
service the debt thus creating a
self-sustaining infinite money glitch
it's like a Ponzi scheme but fully legal
and transparent and in theory should
continue to work until the US dollar is
worthless but the direction of crypto
and Tech in general depends a lot on
what president Trump president Elon and
fed chairman Jerome Powell do over the
next few years according to VC whale
Mark andrees feds had previously told
him not to even invest in AI because
they're only going to allow a few big
companies to control it Trump is
expected to take a more free market
approach with less regulation when it
comes to AI which is good news for
startup Founders and might even create a
federal crypto Reserve which is good
news for Crypt Bros but most importantly
he's going to Annex Canada and put Wayne
Gretzky in charge historically Tech
booms have been fueled by low interest
rates and easy money although going into
2025 the market is anticipating tighter
monetary policy and it could take a
major market crash before we see
significantly lower rates again but the
tech industry is really dominated by a
few highly productive companies but
governments around the world are trying
to change that Google became a convicted
monopolist and might even lose the
Chrome browser in the future but meta is
also facing an antitrust lawsuit and
they go on trial in 20125 Amazon is also
being sued for being a monopoly but
realistically these companies will
continue to dominate for the force able
future the only way to hurt a big tech
company is to stop using its products
and there's been a growing anti Cloud
movement among many businesses who want
to break their addiction to AWS gcp and
Azure in some cases it can be
significantly cheaper to operate your
own virtual private server or if you
have the resources host your own
physical server on Prem more and more
people seem to be waking up and
realizing that you don't actually need
the cloud to host your crappy website
and that gives us 13 Trends in
technology to watch in 2025 no matter
what happens whether you get rich get
rug pulled to get laid off or get
euthanized by super intelligent robots
always remember that the real treasure
is the friends we made along the way
this has been the code report thanks for
watching and I will see you in the next
one