0:00 This guy is the best scalper in the world for the first time ever where he showcases the power of
0:05 his strategy and breaks it down step by step. Freemon. You wait for this candle. You put the
0:10 stop loss here. You target either. This is the main reason why a lot of traders use money. They
0:15 try to anticipate what the market is doing before the market does it. People call this
0:20 manipulation. They try to break out and they fail. This is the reason we will get here.
0:24 You finally will see a trader break down candle by candle exactly what he
0:29 thinks is going to happen live during New York session. We are getting ready for the squeeze.
0:34 The squeeze will be present here. Look, there you have it. When I told you I will scale out,
0:38 it's exactly because when you see this, the next step is aggressive sellers. Yeah,
0:46 you you coded the algorithm. This is a top 1% trader showcasing his strategy for free to give
0:53 to the audience a little bit of reference. You can either do 15 minutes, 3 minutes,
0:58 you can do 1 hour 5 minutes or you can do the most aggressive one. That is what I do. The setup that
1:04 we took before is exactly what I will execute in the world trading cup. How I did this performance
1:09 in the world trading cup is building profit for the day, building profit for the day, building
1:13 profit for the day. And in directional days, I risk for example, Fabio Valentino. You've never
1:18 seen anything like it. It will blow you away. Make sure you tune in to this episode of Chart
1:24 Fanatics. Welcome everyone back to Chart Fanatics, the go-to channel for all of the very best trading
1:29 strategies and concept breakdowns with the very best traders in the world. Talking of which, today
1:34 we have a worldclass scalper with us, a future scalper at that. He has been in the top three in
1:40 the world rankings of the Robins Club, actually achieving in a 12-month period over 500% return.
1:47 And that is in the futures division as well. You probably already know who it is. If you don't
1:52 know, you're going to get to know. We're going to go through his exact strategy that he used to be
1:57 able to achieve those incredible results on the world stage. is the one and only Fabia Valentina.
2:03 Thank you for asking me Ritz. And uh today we will go deep dive in the model that I used in
2:10 the world champion. I made some videos about it but I keep the source for this this podcast and
2:18 um before starting to explain how the model works we need to explain what's the misconception about
2:26 market structure in the market. So I will just start drawing it and explain what 90%
2:33 of traders do and why 90% of traders lose money. So let's start with I think that'll be helpful.
2:39 The concept of the market structure that's what usually a lot of traders do and you can confirm
2:46 it. This is what usually it's done uh watching a market structure shift or change of character or
2:54 breakout. There are 100 terms that you can use for it. And uh what they try to do is they try
3:00 to go trend following when pattern like this presents and then they can just wait for the
3:07 uh retracement to jump in just going through considering we are in a short sentiment here
3:13 like using the concept of supply or order block if you want to be more fancy following the algo
3:20 uh mitigation level and continue to go down. Now what I tested in a lot of years of experience is
3:28 that this pattern usually doesn't work if you don't frame it in the correct uh concept and
3:35 to frame it in the correct concept you need to start using something that is necessary
3:42 that is the profile. So you need to understand exactly where you are in the market and what's
3:48 the big picture that you are watching because if this pattern is presented when the bell curve of
3:57 the distribution of the day is like this you are exactly jumping on a trend to go against the lower
4:08 distribution of the volume. M and what this says statistically is that only 30% will go through
4:19 the rest will remain in what it's called the fair value area. So you will just keep getting stopped
4:25 out till the market really uh decide to take off. And this is the reason a lot of traders that try
4:32 to embark on a journey of using trend following strategies they understand really soon that
4:39 uh the win rate is not what they were expecting like 70 80%. when they try to target for example
4:46 this level from here and they say okay I will just have 50% 60% we rate 1 to three this is not real
4:53 because you are not you are not reading what the market is saying you are trying to predict the
5:00 market okay now the good point about order flow and about volume analysis in general is that you
5:07 get the knowledge to understand when to stay away because if the same pattern is presented
5:14 in this area it's a completely different situation to explain you this we need to go to AMT AMT is
5:24 uh the real nature of the market and is the concept of auction market theory market is an
5:30 auction and it goes from balanced area where all market participants are transactioning efficiently
5:40 to imbalance Now market is not usually in in imbalance. It's usually in balance. So that's
5:50 the reason why traders that start take you streak of stop-loss because they try to get the long and
5:57 they get liquidated by you can call what you want. You can call spring, you can call liquidation,
6:02 you can call uh liquidity seeking everything you want even if it's not what happens behind
6:07 the curtains but you try to get the last spring. M before the move up and you notice that this 1
6:14 to 10 becomes a 1 to2 because you take four stop to try to do it. Yeah. Now if you do this simple
6:20 change and you wait for the market to get to a condition of out of balance your win rate will
6:28 jump up by at least 20 to 30%. And this is exactly the building point of the model that I use. Why I
6:36 call it a model and not a strategy? Because the concept of strategy is a group of rules that you
6:43 need to follow strictly. And how can you follow a group of rules strictly without understanding
6:49 the narrative if the market is a dynamic entity? It's like trying to cage an animal that is not
6:56 made to be in a cage. And it change every day. It adapts. For example, yesterday there was this
7:01 situation about America bombing Iran. we open with a gap down really heavy. You cannot expect
7:07 that the market today will behave as Friday. You will have a different behavior. Now what
7:11 it's helping you is understanding how you can use the profile to exactly time your entry and your
7:19 area. So this is the step one of the model and is understanding the location. The location is
7:28 when you can efficiently trade when you are out of balance. So your model is okay to be traded.
7:37 You start to see what all the traders are using. So you start to see the market structure and you
7:43 start to validate which area can be used to jump on trade. Yeah. Okay. So now it comes handy to
7:51 use supply and demand zones and it comes handy to understand inefficiency. Now inefficiency if we
7:59 can talk about it uh is misconcepted. nowadays because it used the term fair value gap. Yeah.
8:06 But what happened really behind the curtains in uh the concept of inefficiency is when one part
8:12 is more aggressive than the other. So the market gets really momentum in one direction and this
8:19 is if you think about it is the best moment to transact because the market is telling you this
8:23 and this is not my personal opinion or your personal opinion. What the market is telling
8:28 us look I'm out of balance. Mhm. I'm searching for a new level of balance that will be down.
8:35 So it it can be here, it can be here, it can be here, but I'm telling you that I will go there.
8:39 Okay. At the same time is telling you that the sellers are more aggressive than buyers
8:44 because you are getting this kind of concept. And that's when you go to step two. Step two
8:51 is the concept of validating the level. Mhm. Because now you have the direction,
8:58 you have the condition of the market, the market status and you have three possible takeprofit that
9:03 you can frame by watching at the other area. Now it comes handy a concept called order flow that
9:11 is not a concept but it's like an alphabet a new way of reading the market. So 90% of the
9:18 trader try to understand what is happening inside a candle using multi-time frame analysis. Yeah,
9:25 I think the real inefficiency is the way trader analyze the market because it's like trying to get
9:34 the bullseye Mhm. blinded. Mhm. Like maybe one time it will work, two times it will work,
9:39 but you don't have exact data about the location. Yeah. So what you can do is that you can use this
9:46 area that create the breakouts and let's consider that I make an arrow here and we zoom out.
9:52 what is happening exactly inside here. Okay. So if this is the swing point that break this
9:59 low traders will just watch for what is called fair value gap or inefficiency that is when the
10:06 candle is not transaction efficiently. What you can do is that you can use from point A to point
10:12 B using profile to watch exactly when there are low volume node. Yes. And I know this because I
10:23 saw the other interview that you have made and I really like the model also of Carmen Rosato.
10:28 I think he's a really good order flow trader and is doing something really similar to what am I
10:32 doing because low volume node it's a really good reaction level. So you can use it as a
10:39 continuation. If we have a low volume node here the probability that we will go down is really
10:44 high. Yeah. So you start to add the concept of refinement. Mhm. You have the direction,
10:52 you have the location, you have the refinement of the location. Now you need the step three.
11:00 The step three is a little bit more difficult because it's the part where you really need the
11:04 experience and you cannot just automate it and say okay when it's happening because it's really
11:10 sensitive to market. What I use is analyzing big orders. So when there is in one specific point
11:18 let's say here a lot of aggression. Mhm. Okay. And in order flow platform typically you see
11:25 bubbles. Yeah. Okay. If you use any platform you can see bubbles. When there is direction location
11:33 and aggression your ability to predict is zero but your ability to read is 100. You are exactly
11:43 tuning in in the market at the correct moment and you are not predicting what is going to do.
11:49 You are waiting. So this is really beneficial because when you see aggression you don't have
11:56 a huge stop loss for example out of balance. You don't have a huge stop loss above the high but
12:01 you can get protected exactly above the big sell aggression. Yeah. So your risk-to-reward rate it's
12:08 really big but at the same time the probability of your trades is really really big also this one
12:15 what you are doing if we can make an example is just swimming on the direction of the flow. Yeah
12:22 because you are being pulled down by the market aggression and also by all the traders that
12:28 were long and when this area breaks will close their position. So you get the catalyst down,
12:34 you get the location of the aggression of the cell and you get also the target point that can
12:40 be based. We will see this on chart directly on the previous balance area. Yeah, because how the
12:45 market moves. Let's remove this part here. But how the market moves is that is seeking balance. Mhm.
12:57 So if you go out of here and the previous balance area was this one where your P point of control,
13:05 the previous point where the majority of the volume was located, it's here. The probability
13:12 that when you go this pattern and you enter here, let's say, you don't need to break your mind
13:17 to understand where you can put your target. Maybe I can try 1 to 30. And this is another
13:23 error. Traders think that the risk to reward is not influencing we rate. The more you seek to go
13:30 above the AT daily, the more the probability will get lower. Hey guys, I hope you're enjoying this
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15:48 today. Now, let's get back to the episode. So, with this model, it's really uncommon that the
15:54 market will snap back inside because when you see aggression and out of balance, the market needs
15:59 to search for new balance. It's like human being. When we are in a condition of fear,
16:06 our heart continue to have takia till we don't get back to calm. Yeah. And we say okay now we are
16:12 stable. Okay. This is exactly what the market is doing. So the step three is getting a location for
16:19 aggression. So that the trigger of the uh model is aggression and that target point. The target point
16:27 also is really objective and I noticed during this year and also scalping during the um world
16:33 cup champion that we can also get a window during the day where this model works really good. Yeah.
16:41 Okay. So the best session to use this model it's 100% New York session specifically for equities.
16:50 So for NASDAQ and uh for uh yes and uh is not working properly during the first hour of London
16:58 session. I try to use this model and during London session you see out of balance back inside balance
17:05 out of balance back inside balance. This is called by traders fake outs. Yeah. And it's usually when
17:11 the market is not um really clear about direction. So um one concept that I use to remove this is
17:21 that I don't trade before New York session. I only trade before New York session in the world cup but
17:27 with a mean reverting model. Okay. So I was doing the opposite and we can go also through it because
17:32 it's extremely profitable and it's even easier to implement this one and the following one.
17:43 So let's say that in a balanced market from the statistical perspective during the London
17:49 session usually in indices you have mean reverting behavior. Okay. So it's less common that you will
17:56 see a trend. Yeah. You will see bouncing and going out. So one other model that I uh am using is the
18:03 one that takes opportunity of when the market is deep discount based on the volume distribution
18:11 and misnaps back in. Now it's the same concept. It's the opposite. Now we are seeking for buy.
18:18 We have a target. Why we are using this target? Because this target is where the maximum volume
18:25 volume is transacted. So there is interest like market operators are willing to transact here.
18:31 Mhm. What I do in this area is that I don't take the first movement. I wait I wait for the
18:38 first breakout. You can use price action for this because I get clear market participants of what
18:46 they want to do. I don't risk that this is only a retracement and then they collapse. Exactly. Yeah,
18:52 I get a movement that is clear when I get the first breakout and I'm back inside the balance.
18:58 This probability is really high. Mhm. This really high probability. Now to increase even more the
19:05 probability, I wait for the hand of the big market participants. So I wait for big trades. Yeah. So
19:12 the common bubble of buy order that I can just say, okay, I jump in with them. I don't need to
19:20 be a wizard. I jump in when the best one are jumping in with big volume and if I'm wrong,
19:27 I want to be wrong immediately. Okay. Yeah. Because all the additional losing that you get
19:34 when you are inexperienced trader and say maybe I put the stop loss larger when the market is going
19:39 against you because I will it will snap back. This is really something that will destroy your bank
19:45 account and your trading account. What you need to do is be wrong immediately and when you are right
19:52 when you see that you get an additional breakout immediately stop to break even. Yeah. So after
19:58 this small movement you are already risk free on you quite aggressive with your risk management.
20:03 I'm aggressive with my risk management because I need to put in this small amount of ticks. Mhm.
20:09 0.25% of my account or 0.5% on the account. So you say you could do this or take this concept without
20:18 order flow for example but of course the order flow just allows you to have more confirmation
20:23 align more with the larger orders. It's working also for price action but it's like something that
20:30 when you see it you cannot unsee it. So um when you are trading your mind as an orderflow trader
20:38 says okay price action is nice but let's see what is happening in the level. you want to see it and
20:44 then I think it's not convenient nowadays to not use orderflow for one simple reason we are
20:51 edge and edge seekers as traders every 5% more win rate brings us more money at the end of the
20:59 month every one hour two hour three hour more at the end of the month is more money for us so
21:05 why not using all the information available I've been in trading floor I seen how they trade and
21:11 institutional trader considering that 90% is algo trading nowadays. But the discretionary
21:17 trading for alternative markets, they still use orderflow. They use orderflow because they want
21:22 to see what they are doing. Maybe they are more long-term because they work with huge amount of
21:27 capital. So they prefer to use volume profile. But for short term, after 10 years of trading,
21:33 I never seen something better than order flow. So still nowadays the model is not getting changed.
21:40 The only change that I've made is uh during high compression period that we have seen in 2023
21:47 and 24 the the month that you are going through summer like end of March. Yeah. May June you see
21:55 the market is getting a little bit compressed and August like NASDAQ movement are really choppy. So
22:02 um what you can do is just say to create specific condition where you will not
22:08 transact. So this model it's okay for London session, it's not okay for New York session,
22:14 but it's perfect for the summer. So I'm giving you a model that it's perfect for the months that we
22:20 are going in because this is the behavior maybe with Iran and America and Israel, it will not be
22:25 the summer to do this model. But um but yes it's working uh properly. But to your point in terms of
22:32 orderflow wise regardless of you know conditions that understanding of order flow remains right. So
22:39 in terms of the principles that you're using when using orderflow and understanding that information
22:45 and deciphering that information regardless of the conditions whether we're compressed or whether
22:48 we're getting a lot of volatility and movement the the lessons and principles you take from order
22:53 flow remains universal. So outside of because with price action and purely price action, the problem
22:59 is one, you're guessing, right? You're trying to guess where stops are. You're trying to guess
23:02 where the big players are because you can't see it. But equally, when conditions change, the same
23:08 concepts aren't universal. Now you have to change and and be able to adapt. While with the order
23:13 flow, you still have to adapt. you know, you still have to change in terms of your maybe your risk
23:17 management, your trade management, but the order flow itself, like those orders are still orders,
23:23 those stop losses, those those uh participants are still going to be the same. Um, but just a quick
23:30 question for yourself. You weren't were you always an orderflow trader or is it something you picked
23:34 up? No, I was a free action trader, but I'm really open-minded. So if someone comes to me and say,
23:39 "Fabio, you can improve your risk-to-reward from here to here using option flow." Yeah,
23:45 I'm really open to it. Like I think that a trader needs to be the most open-minded person because
23:51 if a new tools for example, if new data like MBO orders can improve your model, you shouldn't be
23:59 you shouldn't put your ego here and say no, my model is the best one. if it's improving your
24:03 profit factor and sharp ratio just use it and connecting to your point I went to order flow
24:09 also also because the price action it's harder to replicate for students because let's say that we
24:17 have 100 people watching this okay and we say okay use a break of structure in favor of the trend for
24:24 someone a break of structure is this for someone can be external breakoff structure for someone
24:31 they take the big swing and is this the breakoff structure? Okay, if I say to you look drop for the
24:39 full day the profile the profile is this one. This is the level where you are out of balance is not
24:45 it cannot be this it cannot be this it cannot be this. If I say to you it's when you go here just
24:51 put a filter of 30 contracts on NASDAQ on the one minute you cannot think it's here because you will
24:58 see the ball. So it's really objective. Now there is a skill in reading of course market sentiment,
25:05 market change. But when I explain you something, it's something that you can go home test it and
25:11 you will see exactly what I'm seeing with price action. I think the the subjective analysis is
25:17 really heavy especially if you start doing puts multi-time frame. So definitely yeah from daily
25:23 to H4 to H1 to 15 minutes, 3 minutes, 1 minutes. What's the probability that the trade that you
25:29 frame is the same that the trade that your student will frame? It's really low. That's
25:34 what I was going to say. So when it comes to say teaching for example when there is no orderflow
25:38 that subjectiveness becomes quite a difficulty because everyone has a different perception as
25:44 you said as you you know there's a really good example of of showing that. But then when you
25:47 have order flow regardless of that the time frame potentially and you know where you're looking that
25:53 the areas on the charts are all going to be the same. Everyone's going to see the same thing.
25:56 And those numbers are going to be reflected exactly the same across the board to every single
26:01 person. While you know even the subjectiveness of say just candlesticks like a large red candle to
26:07 one person might just another candle while to another person they'll be like oh my goodness
26:11 the market is completely falling off a cliff when they explain the model when you see a big candle
26:15 how much it's a big candle how much ATR you you include. So there is a lot of subjectivity and
26:21 also let's consider that we have three level of analysis. We have lagging, we have real time and
26:33 we are leading. Lagging are indicators. So if you get MACD, if you get stochastic, if you get RSI,
26:43 this is created as uh derivative of price. So you get uh MACD that is always going after price,
26:53 never anticipating. Yeah, price is real time. So you are watching what is happening as an effect in
27:02 real time. But with volume, you are watching the narrative before the price created. I give you an
27:09 example of something that I never explained. Okay? And this is something that really helped me to see
27:16 the develop the developing pressure to be able to put at break even sooner than other people.
27:22 Okay? So let's say that we are here. We have a long bias. We are out of balance and we have the
27:29 previous day point of control. Okay. So with price action when can we put that break even? When we
27:36 break this level. Yeah. You agree with me? Yes. Because we have level of protection that we can
27:41 put here and we say okay it will retest and go. Yeah. We shouldn't break that low. Right. Volume
27:45 we can use one tool that is called CVD. That is cumulative volume delta. What cumulative volume
27:52 delta is giving you is a benchmark for pressure of volume. Mhm. So you are out of balance. So the
28:00 probability you will find a new point of balance is high with cumulative volume delta. You see this
28:06 is the price maybe you see the cumulative volume delta doing this when you are here the cumulative
28:11 volume delta is doing this. What does it mean that aggressive buyers are really pushing on the
28:17 gas and there is a lot of interest because as the price goes up you don't see sellers aggressive but
28:24 you see that buyers are willing to buy at higher price and if we are at an auction and there is
28:30 a a limited piece of Mustang from 1969 okay and the base auction is 1 million and you see buyers
28:38 starting 1.2 1.4 1.6 six it means that the price is probably going up because they are interested
28:46 in the piece. So what you can do when you see that cumulative volume delta is pushing up and
28:51 you see this leg already building you can already put to break even. Yeah because you know that as
28:58 the smallest retracement aggressive buyers will continue to push up and you are protected. Yeah.
29:03 This is something that you can do with only with leading indicators you cannot do before.
29:08 Of course, I didn't talk about global macro, but also global macro, it's a leading indicator or
29:13 onchain analysis for crypto, but for intraday scalping, like orderflow is the benchmark tool.
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31:15 let's get back to the episode. I love that example to be fair because if you really think about an
31:19 auction that's probably the closest that the everyday person might have some sort of insight
31:24 into or at least know and understand how they operate uh as a as a usual auction. So in this
31:29 case the car or house for example um you'll see the same thing if let's say even when there are
31:35 buyers who want to buy but let's say if the auction price is starting too high they don't
31:39 they don't really like where it's starting at you'll see actually the auction begins anyone at
31:43 a million no one answers no one says anything so then the auctioneer or whoever's like running the
31:49 auction will bring the price down until there's some interest and then you never know like it
31:53 might seem like oh no one wants this car no one wants this uh vehicle or in this case obviously
31:57 no one wants to participate or place any orders in this market. But then once it hits the level
32:02 that people are interested at, let's say if it's that car example again, let's say we started at a
32:07 million but no one's interested. Bring it down to 800,000. Now suddenly someone's interested,
32:12 one person's interested. Okay, we bid it up, but now people who were there for that particular
32:17 vehicle moment. Yes. And then you'll suddenly see how Yeah, we started at a million and no one was
32:21 interested, but suddenly we're blasting up to 1.25 25 million and there's still orders and still more
32:26 bids and therefore that velocity and that amount of demand at the moment you go to the market price
32:32 because if the market price is 2.1 million you start to see at 1.9 million of auction market
32:39 participants saying okay let's go on increment of 50,000 not 200,000 so the market gets lower
32:46 and you build new balance and then the point of control is the seller that close it usually the
32:52 auction So um this is how really the market works and this is what I use daily to frame my entry and
33:03 um then what's good about orderflow is that it's really um you can adapt it to every market
33:10 condition. For example, if you have a model with price action that is working really good,
33:14 you don't need to abandon your model. just see if you can get better precision and remove the
33:21 losing trades using this concept. Mhm. So it's not something that you will not start from scratch.
33:27 Yeah. Just expand the level of knowledge you have from candlestick charts. So like you said
33:33 earlier as a trader and and a pure trader at that and who's someone who's focused on trading
33:39 100%. That's your goal is to how do you build more edge? How do you squeeze more edge out of the same
33:46 knowledge? playbook or strategy that you're using because that's really what you do at that point.
33:50 You're not jumping, okay, I've got this strategy, but I want to find a better one. That's not how
33:54 the mindset is, right? And then if you come across a really good playbook and edge and strategy,
33:59 you always can start to add that. But your focus point is how do I make this playbook the best it
34:04 can be? How can I be the best trader possible? And in this case, you might have a profitable
34:09 price action model, but your goal then is okay, how do I squeeze more out of it, right? So in
34:14 terms of using orderflow if you're not using that already that would definitely help you to squeeze
34:18 more out of it. Now not I'm sure there might be some people who try and learn orderflow and go n
34:24 this is a bit more complex for me and uh therefore you know for that particular individual it might
34:29 not be as helpful for example but I would say it's probably a slimmer amount of people right
34:35 um but the worst thing you can do is just not even try because you're already writing it's
34:39 like people who need to learn fundamentals right and macro they don't because they it's complex and
34:44 you know the price action's enough much to study yeah but in reality when you look at even just
34:49 this year but co was a great example of it for as a lot of traders came into the markets but even
34:54 just this year for example was a great example last year yes we had quite a bull market but
34:58 there wasn't really a crazy amount of fundamentals behind um you know in terms of like changes and
35:04 volatility changes and market changes while this year we're we're just coming into towards the end
35:09 of June and literally we've seen highs lows we've seen the markets completely shift month after
35:15 month after week and it's probably not going to change and we call this a Trump But but um again
35:20 if you don't know macro it's so easy for you to sit there and go the markets are crazy I can't
35:24 understand what's going on versus the people who do have an understanding and it I won't even class
35:29 it as like a deep deep deep understanding some people you just have a basic knowledge allows
35:34 them to have more clarity and calmness which as a trader as we know is extremely important
35:38 u one thing we'll do so from here where should we go from here should we should we uh recap the two
35:44 models quickly did we we covered two right two to go one point before that is edge decay. Yeah,
35:49 let's do it. Yeah. Before going to to recap the model, let's do it. Um the concept of edge decay
35:55 is when your model lose edge. Mhm. Okay. And this is something I notice a lot with price action. So
36:01 for example, before I was using supply and demand in trend following and when the volatility change
36:08 for example you are creating one rule that you have moving average long and we are adding to
36:14 the trend when you get here. Okay. uh volatility change. So the the length of the swing if it goes
36:21 from here to here you already take a lot of stop loss not because you are wrong the direction is
36:26 right but the market will just swing higher and I think every discretionary trader notice
36:31 it. Yeah. So this is edge decay and it's your lose of edge in the change of market condition.
36:38 What's also Jim Simmons was talking about with his renaissance fund and um with or the flow what it's
36:46 interesting is that you cannot actually have an edge decay because what you are watching is the
36:51 true nature of the market. So you are not framing the market in something that is close rule from A
36:59 to B but you are understanding what's happening. And I will give you an example of something that
37:05 improved my model by four or five point in we rate that it's a lot if you are a scalper and is
37:14 the following one before if you are like closed in a range but you are trading price action and
37:20 you are trading continuation with brick test model is really common. Okay. So you wait for this then
37:26 you wait for the week down and on the on on the test you go long. Yeah. When if you start to do
37:32 one simple exercise and you start to only use order flow to zoom out when this is happening
37:39 like you you take one specific part. So you cannot say that order flow is complex. You take the same
37:44 candle just you make an exercise watch cumulative volume delta here and orders. You can use also
37:52 footprint for this. If you see that at this level there is a lot of a aggression and the cumulative
37:59 volume delta is doing here this it means that this movement is not supported and the probability that
38:04 you will go down it's here and is something that is telling you before the price bring you to stop.
38:10 So you can just decide not to jump in. And this is a comp a concept that I want to cover because it's
38:16 something that I went through when uh the price action model was not working properly during the
38:23 um 2019 and I had to step up the game and I was thinking no no I need to study from zero
38:30 and I need to implement something that will cancel and raise all the learning curve that
38:35 I got with price action. But it's not like this just you will start from where you are before.
38:40 Yeah, just understanding what's happening behind the market. Of course, it's easier to think that
38:46 the market is dominated by some black entity behind the table because understanding the
38:51 mechanic is difficult. But I can guarantee you that you will improve as a trader. Mhm.
38:57 And uh so we go now on the summary of the two models. Yeah. And we start with the trend model.
39:08 So this model is a trend following model and we will go before on the timing
39:16 that is New York session. Okay. So we want the biggest amount of volatility to implement this
39:23 model in live market condition and uh I don't advise to keep the trades for the night. So
39:31 this is a model that gets close as soon as the market close. You don't bring overnight trades
39:37 because you also need more margin for futures. It's not convenient at all. Just if you are in
39:41 profit or if you are in loss, cut the position and tomorrow it's another day for this one. So
39:46 this is the timing. Then when we go on the step one, the first step is understanding market state.
39:59 We can only have two market state. We can have a balanced market price action
40:06 going here and we can have an imbalance market.
40:14 Okay, with this model we want to transact here. We are not interested in this market condition.
40:22 So also for the gamblers uh you have one rule that keeps you out of the market and
40:28 this is really important because when I start scalping with price action every
40:31 movement was okay for me like every small impulse and then you say okay I took three
40:36 stop for the day I'm out and then the big moves arrives. So this is the lock where
40:43 you cannot enter if you don't have exactly what the market needs to tell you. Yeah,
40:49 this is the market state and what we frame as the step one. Then we need the location.
40:57 The location is exactly
41:04 your swing point. That is this one. Okay. Mhm. that you need to analyze deeply because you need
41:09 to understand if you want to jump in here, if you want to jump in here or just if you want to jump
41:14 on the train sometimes from the lowest point because momentum is so high that you can just
41:19 say okay I jump here but I cover myself here. So it's still a good riskto-reward rate. What you use
41:26 to do this you you use profile. Yeah. Okay. Use profile and what you search is low volume node.
41:34 Mhm. So where the mark let's make try to draw the profile. Okay. Say that this is the profile for
41:40 the swing point. What we can see here is that this is the low volume node. Not the best drawing. But
41:49 I think it's understandable that we're going to see on the charts, right? The the point where the
41:54 lowest volume get transacted. What you can do here is do this. Okay. So what I do usually is I don't
42:05 put a limit order. Okay? I put an alert a little bit below. Okay? Because when it arrives there,
42:13 I want to see big trades, big orders. Okay? So as we were seeing before, we started from the timing,
42:21 we went through the market state, we went through the location, go to the step three,
42:25 that is execution or trigger. What you want to see is aggression. If you are seller,
42:31 you want a big red ball. Okay? When you see a big red ball, you can jump in and your stop
42:40 loss will go here and your target will be the previous balance area. Yeah. So, if we are here,
42:49 the previous balance area, it's here. Let's see the P. This is our target. And we are going to
42:56 take out not half the position and let it run. we are going to take out the full position
43:01 because the probability is that the market will reverse from it 70% of the time. So we are it's
43:06 just not worth to keep the position for only 30% probability more. Yeah, better that we take all
43:12 that we can in this case. Now let's go to the model two and the model two is mean reverting.
43:26 So the model 2 is using the market state that is the opposite. Yeah. So he's using
43:33 consolidation. Market state is consolidation and is when the profile is protecting from
43:42 breaking here and breaking here. Okay. So you get from here to here to here to here.
43:49 What we are trying to take is the out of balance condition that get back inside balance. And as
43:57 I told you, we are not trying to take the first swing because it's risky. Yeah, we are getting the
44:03 second swing. So when we have the first breakout, we are just waiting for the retracement. It's
44:07 the same concept as before. Now the location is this wing. Yeah. You frame the location,
44:13 you wait for the retracement. Mhm. So let's consider that this is this wing. Same stuff low
44:20 volume node aggression seller consider that we are here maybe where we go we don't go here this is an
44:28 error that everyone is doing the probability is not high you go here you go to the where the bulk
44:34 of the auctions taking place where the probability that you will go to balance it's really high and
44:42 if you are wrong you want to be wrong immediately if you have big sell orders here immediately
44:47 Here it's your stop loss. A small trick for the scalpers, aggressive scalpers. There is a way to
44:55 avoid slippage or at least minimize slippage put the stop loss not above the high. Yeah. Because
45:03 above the high there are a lot of orders and what you see is that market will accelerate.
45:08 Example when you you take previous daily high, previous daily low, previous weekly high,
45:13 previous daily low. You see that the market even if it's a failu now it's going down it accelerate.
45:18 So you lose an additional amount of tick that you can protect. How you can protect them just
45:23 put your stop loss one or two ticks below the high. Okay. So you are taken out before everyone
45:31 that is before acceleration takes place. And it's worth it. I tested it and it's worth it because
45:35 sometimes you get five ticks, six tick of and it's a lot because the overall chances of price getting
45:41 to one or two ticks below that high and then not go for not it's almost zero. No, it's not zero.
45:47 Sometimes it happens and you just want to cut your ends but on the long term like statistically wise
45:53 it's worth it. Yeah, cuz in this case for example, just to recap, so this recap wise, timing wise,
45:59 you're looking at potentially London, right? And then in your consolidation periods such as
46:05 normally your summer months, right? Yes. um just as an example. But in terms of the recapping the
46:11 thesis, it's the fact that yes, you know, we're in a range and yes, you could target here because
46:16 price has shown that yes, we're going from high down to low, but the highest probability is that
46:21 auction auction area where the bulk of the orders and transactions are taking place versus, okay,
46:27 yes, we could get here, but there are chances that we could get to there and rebound back up to that
46:33 auction area again or rebound back up to the high that there's there's too many variables trying to
46:38 target here or especially lower versus the highest probable and that you know it's not guaranteed,
46:45 nothing's guaranteed, but the chances are way more in your favor, especially considering the
46:50 information you're taking on board. Uh because again, you're not just entering from the first
46:54 spike out of the range. You're going to wait for your confirmation and then look to execute.
46:59 Exactly. Exactly. And then consider that there are some days that they are really blessed days
47:04 where you have this model. Yeah. Then the market breaks the low. you activate the second model for
47:09 New York and you take two amazing target and you are done for the week. Um, so yes, these are the
47:16 the two model. Now the tricky part is correctly identifying the consolidation because you can make
47:23 it as simple as possible and say this is one day. Mhm. So I use the profile of the previous day.
47:31 Yeah. Okay. So it's easy. You don't need to have headache about it. You just wait for the Okay.
47:36 There is a more advanced model where you have more execution where you get the ability to
47:42 identify the consolidation phase. Okay, you just take an orderflow platform and you see
47:47 the compressed candles and you just plot the profile on there. This is what we were going
47:52 to do because it needs a little bit more skill. M I will explain you pull out the profile and I
47:58 will show you something really interesting that not trading view but some orderflow platform are
48:04 willing to give you also the delta of the transact volume before so you can see for each level who
48:11 is dominating the market this is really useful because if you see here that you are going up and
48:18 is dominated by buyers it's not the best condition to get a buy trades because the probability that
48:23 you will do this it's really high. Yeah. At the same time, if in this area you see a huge delta
48:29 cell when you break out, it's your birthday. Yeah. You just go for it. Mhm. Should we go over the
48:36 quickly the pros and cons and then we'll pull out the charts. Let's take a break for a minute there,
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50:09 let's get back to the episode. Yes. So, let's go on the pros and cons. The cons is that if you use
50:15 the second model, compression days are killing you because sometimes uh especially if you don't
50:24 work on the daily profile but you work on the um short-term profile that you can trace by yourself.
50:33 Um consolidation is killing your win rate because maybe you take five small stop-loss. Yeah, five
50:40 small stop losses maybe a lose a loss on $5,000. Mhm. Then you take one take profit and it's like
50:48 15 20,000 but at the same time psychologically the win rate gets lower and if you see a lot of red
50:55 in your account even if at the end of the week you are still profitable it's heavy for beginners it's
51:00 heavy. So one uh bad concept is consolidation that directly affect win rate for the model and this is
51:09 the reason I created a second model because when I lose with one I make profit with the other one.
51:15 So it's like balancing the equity curve giving you more execution but the draw down gets lower.
51:21 So it's worth it. This is the first cons. The second one is it's stress. We need to be honest
51:27 with it. Yeah. when uh um your trades gets to the level not in a proper but in a real account where
51:35 the single position is worth the salary that you were taking for example 10 years ago. So you are
51:41 risking 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 per position and in 2 minutes 3 minutes you can lose it. Mhm. Of
51:49 course at the end of the month it's profitable but on the short term it's heavy on the mindset. Yeah.
51:55 Specifically if you go through the moment and there will be moments where you take streak
51:59 of stop- loss like in the world cup I show transparently transparently the trades I was
52:05 taking and one day I received a lot of insult from the people on the Instagram because I've
52:11 been transparent of one day taking eight stop loss like small stop loss like five tick 10 ticks but a
52:17 lot of stop loss because it was a day that and you risk sometimes 0.2 0.2 2 0.3. So it's like nice
52:25 stop loss is 1.8%. 2% is not a big amount. You can deal with it. But when you talk to people and you
52:32 say look I took nine stop loss. You see learn to trade. Yeah. So so so they they just think
52:37 that a profitable trader is a trader that having a huge amount of win rate. They don't consider that
52:43 maybe the stop loss are incredibly smaller than gains. Yeah. So the the stress part and the the
52:51 third cons is the time commitment. Mhm. Like to execute this model you cannot do it as an hobby.
53:00 You cannot do it as a side hustle. You need to be in on the screen from the starting of the newer
53:07 session to the end because the position not only need to be executed is set and don't forget it's
53:14 set and check is something like this because you need to trail your stop you need to manage there's
53:19 a model for real traders. This is very this is a model if you want that trading gets your fulltime
53:24 income. Yeah. Okay. Now on the London session I manage three I manage companies with my business
53:31 partner but in the new year session three or four hours I do this and it's necessary you cannot just
53:38 get out you can't just decide that after a certain time you don't open trades so you can enjoy dinner
53:45 that's of course can be can be something good on the pros the first one is number of trades
53:56 Why this is good? Because draw down gets covered really fast if you have a big profit factor and
54:05 sharper ratio. So you can take nine stop loss for the day but by the end of the week I was again in
54:10 profit. I was high watermark. So I was creating new high on the equity equity curve and uh also a
54:18 big number of trades creates something interesting for hedge funds that wants to give you capital.
54:25 Mhm. Because a model that in 12 months does 2,400 execution is more respected than a long-term model
54:33 that in 12 months have 30 trades. Yeah. Because the data sample wise this model is more valuable.
54:42 Interesting. It's giving you a lot of room of improvement and is giving you a lot of data
54:47 analysis that you can input and you understand really fast if your model is not working properly
54:53 in certain market condition because for example I have a benchmark that is the maximum amount of
54:59 stop- loss I've taken that is 11 stop loss okay it's a humbling experience but you know that the
55:07 market can stay in compression for one full week you know that every day it's a fake breakout for
55:12 one week. I saw the last videos of Carmen Rosato. He was like taking a huge amount of uh stop-loss
55:19 like for 3 weeks, but he's still in profit for the month. Yes. That's the good part about scalper,
55:24 the number of execution, and it's really easy to go back in profit. The second good part about
55:31 trading with this model is that you don't need headache. Why you don't need headache? because
55:40 the prediction part is not there. You are just paid to read what the market is telling you. So
55:47 I don't need to start to say considering the angle of gun maybe the price will skyrocket
55:53 to this price because this no just this is the market state. This is the location. This is the
55:59 aggression. This is this is my trades. Mhm. And another good part, maybe this is the best part.
56:05 I should have put this that you cannot do revenge trading because if you don't have the condition
56:11 to trade when you trade large amount of size, you just don't feel confident to execute. Mhm.
56:18 If there are not the condition of aggression just it's not worth it to to do it. So the the third
56:24 part is just there is no headache in deciding and no revenge trading in executing something that is
56:32 not there. Yeah. You know with projection I don't know if you ever experience it but sometimes you
56:36 see something that is not there just because you want to trade. So you create the setup well you
56:41 can have a bias and then if let's say one time frame isn't giving you that bias you can just
56:46 filter through until you find one. Like our time 10 time frames let's say eight of them are long
56:51 but you want to be short. You'll just go to the one that says sure. Yeah. You know. Yeah. Yeah.
56:55 This is something that uh I also did it like our ego is bringing us to the condition that if we
57:02 say in our mind that the bias for the day long as and the news are long we will just take every
57:08 demand here because we think every demand that is getting break it's a fake and even down here even
57:14 say it's taking liquidity till this wing doesn't get st out and of course this is a liquidation.
57:19 So you also trade the reverse and then when you get destroyed you that's normally the last last
57:23 resort right last resort. Yes. But another pro is that it's a high risk it can be a high risk
57:28 to reward. It can huge risk to reward when uh it's not common. I need to be honest but when NASDAQ is
57:35 pushing is pushing heavy and when you are in from the breakout of the level and you are because you
57:42 need to consider that our target is the P. Okay. If you are here there is no P because you are
57:48 creating value up. True. So you just decide to trail for the day. Trail. Yeah. Okay. Sometimes
57:53 you get some 1 to 30 1 to 40. It's not common but it can happen. But even high risk reward like 1 to
57:58 4 1 to 5 that's a common reassurance. One to one to 2.5 is the minimum. Yeah. 1 to five is common.
58:06 Yeah. 1 to 10 20 is not common. It only when I do 1 to 10 1 to 20 it means that you see on the
58:14 NASDAQ 2% 3% for the day. Yeah. So it means that I really follow the market properly but I cannot
58:21 do 1 to 10 if the market is doing 0.25 for the day 0.5 like I'm in tune with it like I I plus
58:28 it's not like you're focused on risk-to-reward. It's just part of the model. You're focused on
58:33 understanding what's going on and then reacting and following your model accordingly. Yeah. When
58:37 when your model and when your primary focus gets to protection of capital and risk management,
58:45 you increase the profit. Definitely like when you put your focus on something that you think it's
58:50 not directly related is when you make the most amount of profit. Well, now let's go into well the
58:57 charts I guess the actual trade examples. Yeah. So, as we've established, this is truly a strategy
59:02 and playbook for real traders. traders who really want to not only trade but understand the markets
59:08 at a deep level. So now we're actually going to go over trade examples on the charts uh of those same
59:14 playbooks and uh what do we have in front of us here? So this is a orderflow platform is a deep
59:20 chart and uh what we have here is volume profile uh distribution profile of specific consolidation
59:28 area. So what I was explaining to you before is that you can make it stupid simple putting just
59:34 daily profile. You can do this also from trading view. Maybe the volume will not be as precise as
59:39 this or you can just do it um identifying the most interesting compression area. As you can see here
59:47 they are clearly visible where the market didn't transacted higher or lower. It just stayed in
59:54 compression. I use every day this area. And what I wanted to show you before is exactly this. You see
59:59 here is the volume. Okay, this is the volume. This is how much volume is transacted per price level.
60:05 This blue line is the value area. So every time you see the model in consolidation when it gets
60:11 back, get back in target. Get back in target up get back in target down get back in target. This
60:20 one will be stop loss. But you have the second model. You have the execution model of this in
60:26 this consolidation. We need also to be honest that you don't identify it immediately. You need you
60:31 can identify maybe from here you can take these two trades. This one is really uncommon because
60:36 you start to see the real compression. Yeah. It's too early. Exactly. Now what is interesting
60:42 is that you can frame also the delta. What is the delta? The measure amount of volume getting
60:50 transacted from one side on one place level. the aggression and if you see here look how much is
60:56 big the delta is exactly at the level where they accumulate the last time and created this extreme
61:02 breakout. Okay, this one here I will also explain you later why the news catalyst is something where
61:11 a lot of people think that the market is seeking liquidity but at the moment this movement is make
61:17 because market maker go out of the market. So the volatility gets higher because you have less limit
61:24 orders and in this case uh the market explode up to create a new level of balance. So in this
61:30 case we have reversion model, reversion model, reversion model, reversion model and stop here
61:38 probably aggressive model here breakout and we will go deep dive in the lower time frame because
61:45 now we are in 5 minutes then we will drop down to 1 minute. This model can be used in every time
61:51 frame like to give to the audience a little bit of reference. You can either do 15 minutes 3 minutes,
61:59 you can do 1 hour 5 minutes or you can do the most aggressive one. That is what I do. 5 minutes
62:05 1 minute. Okay. So 5 minutes is to watch the breakout candle. Okay. This one I don't go deep
62:12 dive inside it because it's impossible to execute. You see it went out of balance. No retracement,
62:17 low volatility, low liquidity. So it's impossible to take. Then we will go to this one that is the
62:24 23 is this morning. Okay. Okay. This morning we will see exactly how the model play out perfectly
62:32 on the trend following side. So I will show you how also the model behaves in London session. Even
62:38 if I only use this in New York session, the model really works as also reversion model in London
62:46 and New York. Yeah, I want to show you the entity of the momentum to explain you why I do New York.
62:52 This is New York. This is you see how much is compressed more retracement. This when you take
62:58 it, it just explode. Yeah. And this is what I was trying to explain you before as the flow getting
63:04 in tune with the flow. So what we do now that our area are clear, we can go to one minute time frame
63:14 and we will start with the first one. Okay. What we have here is the previous area. This is the
63:20 value area high. This is the value area low. This is the poke. Okay. So, we are clearly out
63:27 of balance from this movement. You can either be aggressive or just say I want to clear out
63:36 also the high. Yeah. So, I just want that there is no obstacles in my explosion higher. This is
63:43 something that I usually do. I don't transact only when you break out. I wait because it can
63:47 be the reversion model here, you know. Then what we do, this is the magic. We activate the
63:57 orders that are getting filter for the amount of aggression. Yeah. Okay. So my filter usually is
64:06 around 20 to 30. Okay. In this case, I think it's pretty visible. And this is the best example you
64:13 can have. Look how much is balanced. Look what happens when momentum is building. So what I was
64:18 saying to you even before the breakout, if you know how this stuff works, can you understand
64:24 that something is happening here? You are going from small orders balance to someone buying
64:31 aggressively and continuation aggressively. Also look at the amount of big orders that you have in
64:39 bullish momentum and in bearish momentum. So you can clearly understand if you are following the
64:44 flow or not. So the trades here is like I was saying before either the momentum continuation
64:53 trades that you get framing the level with a huge presence of buy aggression and this is another
65:00 model that I also show on YouTube that is just not because this stuff happens in one minute. Okay. So
65:06 every candle is one minute. You can either be fast and use only big orders or just as I was
65:12 saying before plot the profile from the beginning to the end of the impulse and say look let's zoom
65:21 out in here what we have we have a lack of volume here. Yeah. So there is a huge area that we can
65:29 use as a low volume node. Okay. So when you have the retracement and you get close to the area,
65:35 you can decide to take this as an aggression or I will take this one as an aggression. Okay,
65:43 maybe you enter here, you have the mitigation of the level and then you have just continuation.
65:49 Now the more you wait to enter, the more it gets risky. Yeah. Because if you enter here, you are
65:57 getting to a point where sellers can say it's too expensive the price. I went out of balance.
66:02 But you want to be in fast and close fast. Yes. Okay. So from here you can just identify from
66:10 when the aggression is still bullish. I will start to be a little bit afraid here. I will
66:19 start to say look the market is compressing again. The sellers are starting to fight back
66:24 this huge momentum. Yeah. So maybe I can put my stop loss in profit. Gotcha. Below this low. Then
66:31 what happens that the market against you don't need to be a wizard. The market give you clues
66:37 because this breakout you see it's participated by huge buyers. The sellers try to get control
66:44 back here. But what the market print a week. So it means that they cannot control the movement.
66:51 And I would completely take out the position where I see that because big sellers no follow up small
66:59 sellers big sellers huge follow up and close on this candle you can go out you can go out on stop
67:06 loss in profit or you can go out when you reach your risk-to-reward rates. Okay. Because with this
67:12 as an example just to highlight. Yes. So as you say sellers no follow through but consolidation.
67:20 Yes, we continue. We break out. We see the buyers again from the low. Yeah. Wick,
67:25 but no follow through. Exactly. But could you say that these sellers are entering, they're maybe not
67:31 getting stopped out, they're still in the market. So then when you finally see the sellers and then
67:35 the follow through now, you know, you you use this buildup of sellers previously in included
67:41 as well. What what I use ex is exactly what you see. What I use is volume spread analysis. That
67:47 is the relationship between price and volume. So if I see like you were saying here sellers,
67:52 okay, trying to push the market down but they are punching a wall. They are not going through. So
67:59 what they are doing they can either stay still inside the position if this movement stop them
68:06 out. Yeah. The market will accelerate of course. Okay. So what I see is that this aggression is
68:13 the first one in all this movement that print this huge candle. Yeah. Why staying in a movement that
68:21 is saying we are getting the control is like getting inside a world and being by the side
68:27 of the weak parties like doesn't make sense. And from here you can see that participation
68:33 is mainly by the sellers. Yeah. I want to show you something. I want to clear a little bit and
68:38 get back remember how the volume is inside this area. Yeah. Okay. Let's remove for one second the
68:44 big trades and let's go here. You agree that this is a compression area? Yes. Okay. Let's print it.
68:56 You see that the market is not accepting below the value area because what happens is that here
69:03 is transaction incorrectly but every time they go deep discount buyers enter aggressively and get
69:09 back the the position here. This is exactly what's happening. Let's go on the today price action.
69:18 And so we we saw one New York and we watch one London session and this is not a normal
69:24 London session. This is a London session. This is after the bombing of Iran. So the
69:30 volatility it's even higher than a usual London session because the market needs to
69:34 rebalance this gap. Same situation rates. So if I tell you forget about everything, it's here.
69:43 Just tell me in which area there is the major amount of delta aggression from the buyers in
69:50 which area you can see. Would it be the buyers you say? Yes. Exactly this one. And if you see Yeah.
69:57 I'm getting tapping in. If you see this is exactly how you can identify when it's an accumulation and
70:05 when it's a distribution. Yeah. This is where all the traders are struggling like why accumulation
70:10 distribution. But how can I identify objectively what's happening? If you see from this level,
70:16 aggression of buyers catalyst. Yeah, let's go down to the one minute. We already in one minute.
70:23 Perfect. We activate the big trades again. Same model. What we see? Buyers aggressive catalyst.
70:31 Catalyst catalyst catalyst. Again, you see what sellers are doing? They are trying to push the
70:35 market up down. But what's happening? They're getting [ __ ] anniated by buyers. So if you
70:44 get the profile as before from the starting of the swing to the end of the swing, what you can see?
70:51 You can see that volume is equally distributed here and you start to have a low volume from here.
70:59 So in this case to follow the exact mo model, you will be unfilled in this position. Okay,
71:07 let's go educationwise on and see what's happening and reading here what you can do considering that
71:15 you are still in the same area. You see that from here to here they create a new dealing
71:20 range new area. So you can do just the same from here to here and you can go deep dive inside this
71:28 location. Yeah. Look where is the value area low and look where is the low volume node. You
71:35 see this lack of volume here? Yes. So you have the low volume node conceding with the value area low
71:41 conceding with this is free money. This is [ __ ] free money. You wait for this candle. You put the
71:47 stop loss here. You target either because even if you want to target let's say here, okay, you
71:55 are risking per contract $160. In the worst case scenario, if you want to be out really fast, you
72:00 are risking 160 to make 500. Yeah. Okay. So the risk-to-reward is more than one to three in this
72:07 case. But this is the excursion the market gives you. So you you see how the risk to reward can
72:13 get really huge if you get in tune in the market. Yes. And the addition to the position can be done
72:21 every time that the markets create a new eye. This a failed auction. It doesn't break out. But then
72:26 it break out here. Okay. To the to there. Yeah. Again look zero volume here. like from the profile
72:37 punching the wall I will not get this trade because I don't have aggression so it's not as
72:42 safe as this one but again the bias is completely fine and this is the both of the model we saw the
72:52 reversion model and the trend following model and the first time that I find out this myself was a
72:57 h aha moment yes because I just went to order fluency so I can see before it happens how the
73:03 volume is developing and also small exercise when the market gets taken back in control by sellers.
73:11 Mhm. All these small volume then huge aggression from sellers but look also where the market reacts
73:19 when it comes back. What is doing now? This is actual price action. We are not charting
73:24 the past. Yeah. sellers in control where they will find the first problem when they get back
73:32 to these aggressive buyers. Otherwise, they will continue to push the market down in this case. And
73:39 when you see this case, it can be a punch on the wall because sellers try to push it down,
73:45 but buyers protect the level. And if you see it closely, what is developing is a trend following
73:52 condition because we are going after all this balance, we are going out of balance. This is
73:57 the first breakout. Yeah. And they can go back to the previous point of control. So they have
74:04 a long room to go here. And you will notice I don't know if it will happen live that if this
74:10 level get tapped back it accelerate because sellers are adding to their position. For now
74:17 it is out of balance print and it's going to rebalance to the pock because it didn't it was
74:22 not a successful breakout. Yes, that's the reason I say always trend following or reversal. Wait
74:28 for the second drive. Don't take the first drive because you can get tap in in a fake out. Yeah,
74:35 that's it. It's not difficult. But I know it's a lot of information for the audience for the first
74:39 time, but I think it's a lot cleaner than some of the order flow breakdowns I've seen before. They
74:46 just make it hard to not let people understand. I mean different platforms as well um you can make
74:52 it like so in this case with the what we would call the the bubbles for example but in terms
74:57 of execution large orders. Yes. So if you filter filtered it so that it only shows specific size of
75:02 orders. Exactly. specific size because you can take it on and off as well. You want to filter
75:07 out the noise. No, you want to see what actual big orders are doing is the same concept as uh
75:13 commitment of traders for long term. You are just watching the the participants that matter.
75:19 If you move one contract in mini, I'm not interested in it. Just you can do
75:23 what the [ __ ] you want. But if someone is adding 100 contract on NASDAQ on one minute,
75:27 it's interesting. Mhm. Like the momentum in terms of price getting to this point,
75:32 this high that we were talking about here cuz as we were talking about potential trades from down
75:36 here. Yes. Uh what is there anything to the left as to why price is reacting at this area? I think
75:42 there's a high to the left that we were originally looking at. You want to see where we are going.
75:49 Is there anything of significance in this area where it would lead you? We we don't
75:54 need to to guess. Okay. So, let's remove this part so we don't know exactly where it
76:00 was. Let's print it and let's go down here. Okay. Mhm. Now, let's clean all the noise
76:13 and let's go down here. Okay. As you can see in all this area the value area is this one.
76:21 So I will make white the value area. So this is when the market considering all the profile the
76:29 comprehensive profile also of the gap is when it's getting expensive for market participants.
76:35 Okay. But if we get deeper we notice that the biggest peak of sellers you see this
76:42 one. Okay. So this level can be something interesting from sellers perspective wise
76:54 the market reacted from this value area is distributing and as I was saying to you probably
77:00 is going back to the PC that is this level and it's exactly overlapping with the big volume
77:06 trades. Yes. So the probability of a follow-up short now it's higher in this case even if they
77:17 get before back to the pock and then redist red distribute back down but I want to show you also
77:22 here from this profile was it understandable that this was the reaction level from the delta that
77:30 is developing yes because this pro this supply is the real way way of plotting supply you are
77:38 just watching volumewise when there is the most amount of executed trades not limit but executed
77:45 trades this mean that the auction get too much expensive they want to sell off and in this case
77:51 and they sell off till here then what happened here exactly is that the price get too low Mhm.
78:00 to sell because it's getting cheap again to buy also for buyers you know. So from this perspective
78:07 we have this buyers trying to aggressive no follow up sellers no follow up. So we are getting inside
78:14 the decision range. Mhm. The first one that will get breakout, you will see a catalyst in
78:20 that direction and probably the first level is this one. Cuz even in this case, for example,
78:25 if this was to break the high, even though we might not be looking to trade this, but if we were
78:29 looking to make a prediction, would we then break the high and then look to go to uh the high of the
78:34 value area potentially or even the the previous I will say the P P first. uh like distribute
78:40 against the PC and then if you need to refine an area where you can probably see a reaction
78:47 I will say this supply here like you were saying not because it's the best level to react because
78:53 the best level to react is the value area high but because uh uh this delta here it's really reliable
79:02 on how much aggression is it giving. Hey guys. So, we've had obviously the biggest nightmare you can
79:08 imagine on Chart Fanatics. As you saw there, we were middle of screen recording, storage issue,
79:14 uh screen recording cut. We cut, no problem. We came back, uh we pressed screen record,
79:18 but something happened. However, what we're going to do to make up for it, one, we're going to break
79:21 down exactly what happened step by step after the fact, no problem. But we're going to actually wait
79:27 until New York uh open and then we're going to do some live uh price reading then. um you
79:33 know at an actual time where Fabio does trade and we'll be looking at specific things as well. So,
79:38 we're excited for that. Hey guys, we're back. I promised you New York session. We are 30 minutes
79:43 before just under 30 minutes before the session open. Um we can recap exactly what happened
79:49 uh since we left as well and uh super excited for this first time ever. I don't think I've
79:54 ever seen a video where it's done this where it's educational showing the concepts but then actually
79:59 trading it live thereafter and you know calling out price essentially. I'm very excited. No one
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82:04 into the massive 7 figure giveaway every single week. Now, let's get back into the episode. So,
82:11 we are here. We are stuck in a range. We are on fair value. Before we treat to do a recap, we
82:16 saw this punch to the wall, the aggression of the seller, the follow up to the balance area. And now
82:20 there is the first piece of information that we can get that was not present before is this punch
82:26 of aggressive sellers without follow follow up getting to the discount level getting back inside
82:32 the range. So I think as I was saying before that this high for the day it's something that will get
82:39 destroyed probably at the beginning of the market open because the structure that I see now even if
82:45 I have the information that sellers are getting aggressive and building up here the structure of
82:51 the market that we never need to forget is still bullish and as you can see this is the level where
82:58 the majority of aggression is getting this is the level where sellers are getting really aggressive.
83:03 There is a dry up of volume and as you can see a low volume node. This is exactly what the market
83:08 printed here. So in 20 minutes we have the first setup probably that can either be breakout here
83:17 breakout and test if the volume is supporting it. Otherwise we can get a buy from the discount but
83:23 this will be more risky from here. You can see that they are starting to fight because it's
83:30 pre-market opening. This is the reason why I never trade pre-market opening because you
83:35 see the battle but you don't know who will win it because we are stuck in a range. So from the data
83:41 that we have seen here the size of the bubble is controlled by sellers. So it means and also
83:46 the price is going down. So they are winning the battle but we need to remember that we have these
83:51 big boys here ready to protect the price. M so at the moment I don't feel confident to to check
83:57 any any setup. I prefer that we check closely. We should expect the first drive not at market
84:08 opening but 5 minutes before and people that trade will see it often like they are preparing the
84:13 dealing range testing on the market opening and then getting in the direction. So what I expect
84:18 is that if we are going to get really long, yeah, this eye needs to be taken before 20 minutes. So I
84:28 mark this eye if we're going to get long. If we're going to get long. Now I will create some scenario
84:35 that are all rule based. Okay. So let's remove this one and let's make some scenario. So the
84:41 first scenario is that these sellers are going to get absorbed. Okay. Now if these sellers are short
84:48 here, probably they are going to get liquidated here. If the price during market opening spike
84:53 ups really hard, they are forced to close their position. Closing a cell will create more momentum
85:00 long. Okay. Watching how much they are pushing short makes me think that they are either closing
85:07 long position from here. either they are getting some scalp pre-market opening and price will get
85:15 back to this level uh 21822 before skyrocketing long. If we need to be conservative or it's the
85:22 only setup is break out here test the level only when you have a closure of the candle we go back
85:29 to 1 minute. Yeah. So we get the real execution and uh the market now will prepare the setup for
85:36 the market session open. So aggressive sellers this can be seen also at what traders call fake
85:42 out. So the fake move before the opening and then collapsing, not collapsing but rising up. And as
85:50 you can see, let's make a comparison. The sides of the ball, the red ball, it's bigger, right? Yeah.
85:55 But the result is really bigger. Like with small volumes, buyers are getting better results. If you
86:00 see here, so it's really important to see to plot. This is something that I do often to put a profile
86:08 from the first ball to the last ball. Okay? Like this. and check who is going out. I show you. We
86:16 can always hide the trades. So you have only raw price action and volume distribution and you can
86:23 see the sellers are not yet managing to close their candle below the value area low. So we are
86:30 still even in a small time frame and a small data range we are still consolidating and compressing.
86:36 Yeah, the direction of the market is not clear at the moment and uh usually it gets really
86:44 clear the direction for the day from 15 minutes to 30 minutes inside the opening of the session.
86:51 Cut. So it's normal. It's totally normal what's happening. Now they are loading position. Now
86:56 this one it's already a big information for me. If this candle stays like this and we take this high,
87:04 you can also try the the aggressive setup. But we will only use the model that I explained before.
87:10 We will not because people can get confused with too much information. So let's let's
87:15 go easy. But as you can see, they put aggressive sellers here, but the followup it's almost zero.
87:22 Why? Because again, the buyers are protecting this position. Yeah. And in the overall bias
87:30 if you see what's happening at the moment is that from the previous range of compression
87:36 the market tried to break out. Yeah. But it failed. So structure-wise we are still long.
87:45 Now let's remove all the unnecessary data and let's put the big trades. And one thing
87:51 you mentioned was that those big trades pre previously when we were looking at the charts,
87:57 there wasn't that many because we weren't in session yet. The session had getting huge. And you
88:01 said like when we're in New York session, you're going to see it like a so much and we're not even
88:06 in the session just yet, but you can already see an increase. You know what I like about this about
88:10 these tools and these platforms that volume is pro um bulls are proportional to volume. So when there
88:17 is too much volume and not clear direction, your market get floated by bulls. So it's not
88:23 visible the price and you are forced to stay out because you cannot see what's happening behind.
88:27 So it's like an insurance on your hand to stay calm like do not do anything and uh what I would
88:35 really love and the my favorite setup possible is when market explode following up by green
88:44 level and you can just jump in at the first level when it pulls back in a low volume node. This is
88:51 amazing. Now this is totally normal and this is the reason I strongly advise not to trade
88:57 like 10 minutes before the session, 20 minutes before the session because you will be liquidated
89:02 and then maybe your direction was right. Yeah. But it will be [ __ ] up by volatility. This is
89:07 something that not all traders take into account the volatility range can change by session.
89:16 So a model that works for runon session it's not guaranteed that will continue to create alpha and
89:22 generate revenue in the new year session. An example of this is the mean reversion model.
89:28 You will see now if we apply m reversion model here we will be get destroyed by market and you
89:33 will get also slippage because it's normal. It's compressing here. Still the entity of the sellers
89:41 is huge but there is no followup. What does it mean that someone is absorbing this order and if
89:47 they are absorbing this order if you watch only color you say it's controlled by sellers but I
89:53 still have my narrative long still think that we are going to get the high for the day momentum
90:00 is building up we are getting 10 around 10 minutes 13 minutes before the session and as I told you we
90:06 are going you expect that high to take to target the design now what can we expect when we target
90:13 like explosion like acceleration like we were seeing before. Why? Because these huge orders
90:20 are getting close. They don't want to be before session. Yeah. With this heavy and being in the
90:27 wrong direction. Yeah. So they tried to anticipate the fall down of price but as you can see it's not
90:32 going really good for them. So we are going to see when the market approach exactly this high.
90:43 as of now still not getting broken. What we want to see is this green balls here
90:51 like we did in all the previous situation. Yeah, this is a good setup for follow-up.
90:58 Aggressive setup if we want to cover everything. One aggressive setup can
91:02 be the anticipation on the first ball with a stop loss below the sellers to get to the
91:09 high. But it's a setup that you are still trading the noise. Yeah. So something that
91:14 you cannot expect will have the same way rate of a good frame trend following setup.
91:23 So you see when you get back inside the range the balls are so big that you cannot even see
91:27 what's happening and this is keeping you away from interacting with the market like transactioning
91:36 in terms of like what parameters if any or settings have you put to
91:41 identify these large orders? Is there specific for Yes. Yes. For the five minutes and one minutes for
91:48 New York session you can use 30 contract as a filter. 30 contract and um um during London
91:55 session you can go with 20. It's it's pretty accurate like this and so the larger it is that
92:01 mean it's more than 30 the more maybe these are 100 contract got like so big and I created like
92:06 this proportional so you don't need to click on it see how much contract but you immediately
92:10 see that there is a big sell aggression there got like it's see sell I was expecting that the I buy
92:18 would but sellers so they are still keeping here why before session they are still keeping here
92:24 because the direction is not clear who want to transaction here when you can get whip side high,
92:29 whip side low, you're out of the market. Yeah, you are getting liquidated with every direction. So,
92:35 and these buyers or sellers, they can be anyone, right? They could be, you know, a retail trader
92:39 with large capital or it could be your funds or whatever it may be. Exactly. Exactly. Now,
92:45 an information that we cannot unsee is that at the eye, they are still loading short even if
92:52 the market is going to push the eye. So the the narrative it's a little bit shifting because if
93:00 this low gets taken we have this breakout is interesting also the short till here why
93:08 I will not take this position because the whole picture is long so why should I take one to one
93:14 risk-to-reward when I can wait and get a 1 to 3 1 to four 1 to5 this is the the model we need to to
93:22 use and the model is keeping you you out out of lot of trades like we need to be evidence
93:29 based and oriented on a large number of sample. Executing 25,500 sample in a world cup can give
93:36 you the taste of what's worth to do and what's not worth to do because maybe one times out of
93:42 10 now we go short. Yeah. But all the other times the seller getting destroyed and the test is here
93:48 and you just lose. Yeah. To get so small movement. That's because I think that's one thing that's
93:54 universal across any trading strategy is that you focus on quality. Yes. Rather than just anything
94:00 that could work or you know this has a chance of working and it could work one out of 10 times or
94:05 whatever it may be because I feel like that one time you do take and it does work. It always just
94:10 reinforces you the next time to take it again. Right. Take it again. Take it again. And you know
94:14 it might work two three times if you're lucky and then the next 20 30 times it's not going to work
94:18 but you're still thinking on those two or three times it does. Exactly. Versus when you have an
94:23 actual plan, you know, quality trade playbooks and you follow those playbooks, that's where
94:29 your consistency will come from, your longevity will come from as a trader. That's where you're
94:33 really going to start to scale your journey. And scale your journey doesn't mean that it's going
94:37 to happen fast. But what it means is you will have progress. And the funny thing is it will
94:43 happen faster than the alternative of yes road is the fastest road. So it's always like this.
94:49 Now what I'm doing in precession is marking up the biggest delta volume. Yeah. So I want to know so
94:56 delta volumes on the left right? Yes. I want to see at the market opening which level I can see
95:02 that are getting tapped. I want to use different colors where use just deep red for this one.
95:11 And for the buy part, I take the swing on the low and I see what's the level with most amount
95:21 of volume. That clearly is this cluster of by volume. Yeah, to be honest, there is also this one
95:27 is smaller but is still here. These are the level that we can see in 7 minutes. get and from here we
95:39 already know what to expect when to expect it. So do you sit on the 5minut time frame when marking
95:45 out your analysis when it comes to execution wise one minute? Yeah. Yes. Clearly like this.
95:56 Now chart is only showing us the levels color. We can see the aggression and we can see the actual
96:04 execution. So now we don't need 5 minutes anymore. We can just go down to 1 minute.
96:11 Can zoom in. You see how much they are big when you go here. You can see clearly that this
96:17 aggression at the moment is getting completely absorbed. Yeah, this got absorbed. Do you ever
96:23 think like for example in this case this person tried to sell, got absorbed. Could that be the
96:29 same person like stacking into a trade or is that not sort of how? You cannot know if it's the same
96:35 operator but for sure you know that these traders are in draw down and there is still interest in
96:40 the sellers. So what I can see is that they are trying to build a sell position and they will be
96:45 forced to close if market volatility spikes. So if I get these aggressive buyers and all these
96:50 sellers needs to close the position we arrive here the market opening and we are closed because it's
96:57 324. This is the first moment I would expect. And so in this case, if price did break above
97:02 this level, you're not interested in trading that to the next level. You're interested once
97:07 price gets to that level. Exactly. Okay. Exactly. Because I I need to see. But would you say it's
97:12 still important, sorry, to have this context even if you're not looking to trade to that next level,
97:16 it's still important to understand what's going on because you are training for the procession
97:21 procession and creating a narrative. So when you know how to do it um you are still understanding
97:29 with your subconscious mind what's happening because you need to be really fast. Yeah. And you
97:34 need to reason fast and if you don't do it and you do only for your setup on 15 second and 1 minute
97:41 is not enough fast to then execute at the right moment. You see how much volume and interaction
97:46 is starting 5 minutes before like I told you not at 30 5 minutes before they are preparing
97:51 the order from what we can see here this is a huge information aggressive sellers still to this level
97:58 buyers with better results all these are getting absor absorbed this is not my narrative getting
98:06 wasted or this is my narrative getting confirmed so even more I should expect now that either from
98:12 here or either from Here we reaccumulate in the last 5 minutes and we shoot up. All these sellers
98:18 are in pain. They need to close and the market create an expansion move up. Okay, it breaks. I
98:25 can take the long from there and I'm done for the session. Like one one setup with high win rate.
98:33 But understanding the narrative before makes you also understand market participants how they are
98:39 thinking and if they are proven wrong. Yeah. With this amount of contract you cannot hold
98:47 anymore. Even if you have a millionaire account you need to close sooner or later. Yeah. Are these
98:52 market executions or they market execution not limits? Like I never watch limits. Like you can
98:57 get to feel a taste of the market but because the limits apparently they can they can cancel. Yeah,
99:03 they cancel. So they what do they call it? Spoofing is it? Is that what? Yeah,
99:06 they call spoofing like putting order to create market pressure then removing. It's manipulating
99:11 the perception of other market participants. But with execution just these are executed
99:17 market. There is someone that is with huge sell you know there if you if it close you
99:23 see it. Yeah you see. So uh in this case so in the first minute of market opening you will not
99:31 see the chart it would get balls it's it will get like something like this does does this uh
99:40 large aggressive buyer that failed up here does that make you yeah you are getting good you are
99:44 getting this is an aggressive buyers that created a failed auction so the buyers here got like they
99:51 tried really hard like this but the sellers won here in this battle also the sellers won. Okay.
99:57 Because they are transactioning down. Yeah. So in this that's the reason you wait for your
100:02 confirmation and you don't jump here because even if the bias is long you don't know if
100:06 they will reach here or the second level that attract. I only know that I only know that I
100:13 want to be in if this level gets broken. Yeah. So, let's see what they do. 3 minutes before
100:24 a setup for a scalp position. A little bit more risky is if these sellers don't have a follow-up
100:31 and got absorbed by buyers shooting up here. But this is a risk position. But this can be I
100:38 show you only to to give to the audience a taste. this one like risking $300 and getting $1,100 is
100:49 not a stupid position. It's just a position that you are taking inside the noise. Yeah,
100:54 I can take this kind of position only if I'm sitting in profit for the day. Okay. Like it's
100:59 it's not uncommon that I take them but I need to use profit and not use market um like um account
101:07 equity. Yeah. Because using house money, right? Yeah. like before I need to take money from the
101:12 market then I can take this kind of trades the win rate it's lower on this but if you consider the
101:18 risk-to-reward it's uh like one to four so it's it's pretty good I just put this risk to reward
101:25 because I want to let you understand that if these sellers fail they will catalyze up now I need the
101:30 first minute if this one gets broken the setup is not valid but if in market open at um 3:30
101:37 you recover this level like and this one gets not broken. This is the target. So let's see how the
101:44 market will behave from what we are seeing at the moment. Sellers one. Yep. Sellers one. Buyers one.
101:53 Yeah. Here. So you are getting a bias and a level that start to get interesting. Let's zoom in. It's
102:02 not visible. So considering the platform, you should not interact in this position even before
102:07 because you can't see. You cannot see what's happening here cuz the first execution can be
102:13 taken after market open and we are still before. So one trigger can be the break of this eye for
102:20 example for a long. So now that we are getting inside if this eye get broken a really aggressive
102:26 position can be entering at the break of this with the stop loss here targeting the high and I think
102:30 it's even more than uh as a riskto-reward even more than one to to four. It's 1 to5 probably.
102:38 So market is opening. They didn't break the high. So no position gets executed at the moment. Now we
102:46 are in the second buy area. Yeah. So we need to check how the volume is behaving at the moment.
102:51 Now these traders are in profit. Yes. All these buyers that position themsel before the opening
102:59 needs to close position. This will bring price lower. All this movement is made by them. Now,
103:08 now that we are in market opening, we can start to take position or do analysis that we can actually
103:15 use. So, let's see the the first information that we have is that sellers still want this
103:21 battle at the moment and they are getting stopped only here. Okay. So, still in the noise remember
103:30 our rules till we don't get here the premium setup is not executed. Yeah. So inside here what
103:37 can be something interesting for us? The first information that we can have is sellers really
103:43 aggressive here that don't have a follow-up short. Yeah. So if this candle start to get populated by
103:49 a lot of sellers but get back here. Yeah. This can be a long but again it's a long that you can you
103:57 take inside market ranging. So let's just wait here because you had a you have a level beneath
104:06 this right and towards the low. Uh I think the main level of the buyers are getting destroyed.
104:13 Yeah. So the only reason I can engage in a risky position here is if this one prove me that it's
104:21 a fake out. How can they prove me that it's a fake out? They need to recover all this. Yeah. This one
104:27 needs to be a full week and they need to break up again from this high. If they don't do this,
104:33 you see sellers are completely dominating this market at the moment. So not engaging here.
104:44 You know in price action you can try this long because you don't see
104:48 this. So you see you think it's it's retracing. I can buy this count. No,
104:52 you you you probably think like break and retest the level. You know,
104:57 this is this is something that if you are price action trader, you cannot know because you are
105:02 not good but because you don't see that they are willing to sell stronger at lower point.
105:08 Yeah. So the auction is getting short. Which one is the first level we can protect? We need to go
105:16 with the profile on everything they build also during London session, not only during the range,
105:31 this big area and this low volume node like also Carmen is doing. This is a low volume
105:38 node and this is the delta. Yeah, this is the last protection level. If this one is breaking,
105:43 they are recovering this cell and they are collapsing and he's in in that scenario what would
105:48 you do? Would you just then in the scenario that they get sell my narrative will change because
105:55 they break a balance level not on the up on the downside. Okay. So my day is short. Yeah. If my
106:01 day is short I will still use the same model just I will not get long I will get short. Gotcha. Like
106:06 my long day gets activated if we break this. Yeah. My short day at the same time gets activated if
106:13 we break the compression range that is all this range. If they arrive here we can try something
106:20 but here there is something that is undeniable. They are on this level. They are pushing out but
106:27 I don't see a lot of follow-up shot. Yeah. So here the buyers you see how many volumes so much. Yeah.
106:33 Here the buyers are protecting it limit orders. So either they slice through it, but if they start to
106:41 recover and they get back inside the range, this is a a setup that also Patrick Neil is using with
106:46 volume. And you see the good part about volume is keeping you up. Is keeping you out of the market
106:53 when it's not ready here because let's go again to the narrative here. If it breaks the low, yeah,
107:02 we get long. It continue down. Okay, here. If it breaks the high, we can go here. Why? Because if
107:09 the volume don't does this, this means that the sellers are controlling all this market
107:13 movement. Yeah. You don't need to predict. Just need to see what's happening here is the first
107:18 time for the market opening where buyers are protecting a level. Yeah. In an interesting
107:24 in an interesting situation. So this one can be the first long position if it gets confirmed by
107:30 a little bit of buy aggression. At the moment it's only sell. Yeah. The moment is only sell.
107:35 So now the only thing to do is wait what what they can do. Now one position that gets really
107:43 interesting is the squeeze of the trapid sellers. Mhm. When is the squeeze of the trap sellers? When
107:52 you recover all the aggressive sellers. Yeah. They are getting fake out. So they are willing to close
107:57 the position and the market is accelerating high. You know let's see what is happening here. This is
108:04 the first footprint of long yeah position from the level that we saw. Still someone can think
108:11 why you don't take a long position here because at the moment if you see who created the swing like
108:17 we were talking before is completely dominated by sellers. Yeah, this is a really risky position.
108:23 If we start to get back here we can take position on the breakout with stop loss below the level.
108:33 But remember the model is one. You need to break and test this level. Otherwise, you just stay out.
108:38 When this level gets broken, the game start. You can add the position, you can follow up,
108:45 you can do a lot of things. Now, I want to show you how much it's useful to see this volume in
108:50 higher time frame like five minutes. From here, it's clear. It's clear because you see we agree
109:00 that this is the low volume node. Okay. The profile distribution achieved the value area
109:06 low. Mhm. Okay. So, we are on the value area low. The sellers didn't got a follow through. They took
109:11 the low. Yeah. Okay. And created a failed auction. People call this manipulation. They try to break
109:17 out and they failed. This is the reason we will get here. Well, it's what you said um you know
109:22 before the open is going to set up and then it will whipsaw take out one side. This is a model
109:28 like the only things is that I don't get inside when they are like so aggressive. So my role is
109:35 not to predict when they will stop. I just wait that they complete this movement. You see all
109:41 this was a fake. The narrative is still buy. Mhm. All this movement gets absorbed one with
109:47 which the narrative when we break this level. We broke this level. No. So we are still buy.
109:55 If you want to clear the position and for the New York session get a better tune of the market,
110:03 you can raise 240 at the contract size. The contract and you will it the situation will
110:08 be a lot clearer. You see? Yeah. Situation now it's clear buyers got more than 40 contract
110:18 here. They are just putting a lock and say below this level you don't go like you you
110:23 try to sell with two I absorbed everything and they are recovering all the buy. Now all these
110:29 sellers need to close the position. Yeah. Which then causes a squeeze squeeze like
110:33 if all these sellers close the position the market is jumping and when it gets to this
110:39 level you see the acceleration that we saw before but short. Yeah. Like the opposite.
110:52 In the video that I made with Andrea, all the setup that I took are based on this model like
110:59 squeezing the other part. Yeah. To get the acceleration and be immediately break even.
111:04 Yeah. Yeah. Be able to move at break even really fast. Would you say that is one of the necessary
111:10 skill sets when scalping at this level? Yes. like uh being fast and also creating shortcut
111:17 on your platform. Would you say that you always have been like been able to move at speed as
111:22 a trader or is that something you had to train? No, we are we are we are human reads. I will be
111:26 really honest. Sometimes I made big errors like um you scale inside the position but you scale
111:33 you you don't notice that you are scaling not by one mini contract a time but we are scaling
111:38 with five contracts. There is a huge amount on NASDAQ like one contract is really heavy and
111:43 you need to find a good way to scale out and you are with like in scalping you need to be
111:48 fast and sometimes you still make errors. Yeah. Um because a lot of the time there will be human
111:54 errors at that point right and then then with this volatility look what what the market did
111:58 as I told you before taking the high taking the low and then being at the starting point like in
112:05 the first 10 minutes of the session we didn't do anything we just liquidated the low liquidated
112:10 the high that's the reason you don't engage before now I want to show you these sellers are selling
112:19 this momentum yeah with zero results Now we are getting back to this. When we get back to this,
112:25 someone will need to cover their position. Yeah. When they need to cover the position, the momentum
112:29 will start to build up. So let let's see what they do. Still my narrative didn't change. The
112:36 only thing that could change my narrative is the breakout of the level. Still compressed
112:42 inside here. And we recovered also the major delta point here. This means that we are above
112:50 the strong selling level of the distribution. And if we are above here, we are also above
112:57 the value area high and you remember before the reaction that the market had on the value area
113:03 low. Yeah. Like it completely used this as a pivot before collapsing down. Yeah. The same is for up
113:09 like there is an overlap of this area and now I think they are so aggressive. If you wanted
113:16 to be aggressive, these are, you know, this was a trade at the low you could have taken, but again,
113:21 it's like it's not wrong, but it's super super aggressive during that time window that really
113:26 isn't ideal. This one you should not expect more than 40% we rate. So, you can take it, but
113:32 remember you are trying to take a falling knife. Yeah, a lot of times you will get cut and you are
113:37 buying the contrarian momentum. So you are trying to stop the price with the big market participants
113:45 after a lot of test and here it's more easy to who is winning the battle. If this low gets broken
113:51 sellers are winning. If this eye gets broken buyers are winning the battle. Okay. Now you
113:56 know who won the battle. Now you can engage. Yeah. Don't try to anticipate. This is the main reason
114:03 why a lot of traders they try to anticipate what the market is doing before the market does it.
114:10 and they get so attached to their narrative that they are not willing to change. As I told you,
114:15 my narrative was long from the beginning. The market did an aggressive selloff. I was ready
114:21 to change my narrative and say from this moment, if it breaks, I start to search for short. Okay.
114:27 I'm not marrying my position. I don't care. But you have specific levels that invalidate
114:32 your buys. Yes. Getting excited. It's not so big the volatility today to be honest. We are on the
114:39 5 minutes. I think they are waiting if there is a news of the other of their bombing because yeah so
114:47 for context over over the weekend today's Monday over the weekend the US had bombed Iran in three
114:54 different sites. We gapped I believe lower on ENQ. This is ENQ right? So we gapped lower% the
115:00 gap we recovered the gap uh which we then started recording earlier. We then actually sold off and
115:06 then recovered again. So we're kind of in a range at the at this current stage. The squeeze gets
115:13 completed here. Yeah. Like if they attack this eye and all these are squeezed. So here we can expect.
115:21 So it would be similar to what we were looking at over here and we saw this here. We saw this
115:25 here and they build momentum. Now the squeeze that you see in London, it's much less. Yeah. Less the
115:31 squeeze that you can see here is three times this candle. It's pretty aggressive. Mhm. And what is
115:37 it that you do when you are you know active like say is in a different setting we're recording and
115:41 everything even though you're going through the same motions but when you are waiting for these
115:46 10 15 for the price to get to the right areas for you do you still sit and watch or do you have it
115:53 up maybe some alerts and you're doing other things you can put alert on levels now considering that
115:58 I don't want to transact inside here my first alert will be here so just here yeah first alert
116:04 will be on otherwise you get the temptation Yeah, like I I've been I've been tapping and now he's
116:10 controlling himself. Yeah. Uh the temptation to to get because here it was really clear that the
116:15 auction was failing. A lot of aggression and no follow up. But it's not your model like you are
116:22 trying to put some intuition inside the model that is already proven to make money. Yes. And would
116:29 you say that when you first started learning uh and to to really look at the market in this way,
116:34 would you say that you fall guilty sometimes in the beginning of as you said trying to use
116:40 intuition and trying to maybe overpredict and over trade almost because you feel like okay I
116:47 I can see these sellers or I can see these buyers and you start taking executions outside of your
116:51 model. Yes, of course you know the Dunning Krueger effect. Mhm. when you introduce in your mind a new
116:57 concept you think you understood everything like if I introduce now order flow to a price
117:02 action trader you will say oh it's so easy like there are bolts I take there are no bolts I don't
117:07 take no it's not like this so in the beginning when I introduced it and my model was this and
117:12 they see aggression and not follow up even if the model is not completed and it's not I say but why
117:18 it's free money I jump in and then I say when you journal you understand the error that you did so
117:23 when Your mind is cold. You understand what's the real error. Not before. Yeah. They are starting
117:29 to squeeze. You see, they try to break out the eye. A lot of buyers aggression, but the sellers
117:36 still are pushing down limit orders like punch on the wall from the buyers. But the fact that
117:42 they already reach the eye, it means that the sellers are not protecting the level anymore.
117:45 So for example, let's say if we at this point we see buyers let's say we don't close above and is
117:52 our likely scenario from here probably to get to here and then see again if buyers or sellers went
117:58 around. Exactly. Yes. Why? Because this is the level of protection and uh the candle is still
118:04 not closed. So this is still building position. But if you start to see rejection this is a level
118:09 that you can revisit. Now the point is that if you enter here where you put your stop loss because
118:15 you see how much is big this candle if you want to be safe you will put your stop loss here. It's
118:20 not worth it. Yeah of course like it's um that's what I was saying when volatility expand you need
118:26 to make a lot of consideration that you were not making in long session because one candle in long
118:31 session you can go short here and protect you here and it's okay. Yeah. Look here you need to protect
118:35 here. It's not worth Yeah. It's just not worth the trade. And yet Troy will still take it. Yeah.
118:42 Because of that as you say that that trying to predict or try and say okay this is what's going
118:47 to happen. It's broken. Yes. Okay. I engage. I can start to engage to go here if I have some
118:54 profit for the day. Yeah. Otherwise no this level we stop here. But you see this buy here getting
119:03 no follow through. Y some trader that is getting new at order fluency. Maybe I can try a short from
119:08 here to here. Okay. Where you put your stop loss here? Is it worth it? No. Completely. No. You are
119:14 risking more than you are expected to. Exactly. In terms of a position at the high, you know,
119:20 the one that we're waiting for and looking for. Price breaks above. We do our confirmation. We
119:24 get in. Do you already have a preset uh target in mind? Uh or is it something that will depend on
119:32 once we've broken? So the first target is the the one with the highest win rate. It's the previous
119:37 daily high. Okay. So if the previous daily high was above, we can go to checking. Now let's check
119:43 here because they are building. They're building. Yeah. And they are preparing the squeeze like as
119:48 you can see is the first time that a candle can accept here. Now if this was happening here,
119:53 this is a trade. It's happening inside. So still if they accept here once this is a
119:59 breaker test. This is a real breakary test. like covering yourself below the aggression
120:04 and going through the next level and it's still 1 to three 1 to4 risk-to-reward ratio. Okay,
120:09 you see how much is different watching only candle and watching the momentum that created
120:14 this candle to break out. Yeah. Like you know that this is the level if you want to trade and
120:18 retest you need to protect yourself. Yeah. And the first target that makes sense is the level
120:23 that we considered before. We are not reinventing the wheel. Now considering that we still didn't
120:28 reach the high. I can go here and mark up the previous daily high. We have a lot of room.
120:35 You see if this is the first target, we have a huge risk to reward. If it breaks here and test,
120:40 it's 1 to 10, 1 to 20. Now sell is trying to stop back in. Yeah. Mhm. Failing. Failing.
120:54 So let's recap what happened. The narrative was long from the beginning. Yeah, before getting us
121:01 the opportunity to be right, the market took the low. Why? He revisit deep discount area. Then he
121:09 validated the first level of squeeze. A good squeeze is when you approach the level and you
121:16 see aggression and at the same time you see follow up from price. This is a good squeeze. Yeah. These
121:21 sellers are forced to close position here and what they will create more and more momentum.
121:25 Yeah. Okay. when price did come down here because obviously we're recording this and we're live and
121:33 what are your thoughts like what's going through your head? Do you feel when price is down here
121:38 like oh you know I I I was thinking like no no I was thinking to be honest that you will break the
121:43 law and I was already preparing my mind for the narrative to be short for the day. I only start
121:50 to change my mind when all these sell bubbles pop with this buy. Yeah. And I see that all this have
121:56 zero effort that one. So I I trace this and I validated this is a low volume node. It means
122:03 that there is not a lot of transaction here. The first transaction is this level where there is a
122:08 huge delta on by volume. Yeah, this is exactly what stopped price this bunch of information
122:15 profile low volume node aggression and lock in from buyers is something that can validate. But
122:21 as I told you I never told you I will go long from here. Yeah, because it's just too risky. Like you
122:26 can get lower. Now, this one was the only position that I told you if you are a breakout traders and
122:32 you want to take, you can take this position and just trail your stop below your bubbles.
122:37 Okay? And take if you were to buy there, where would your stop be? Under the candle low. If you
122:42 want to buy here, your stop loss can be below the Okay. So, it's really aggressive. Like,
122:48 let's say that the market just test this movement. Okay. Mhm. and your stop loss can be below the
122:54 big orders. Yeah. So, it's a stop loss of $200 to make 600. It's one to It's not bad. Yeah. But it's
123:03 still a position created by market noise. Yes. Is still not my setup. Still in the ranges. For
123:09 sure. There will be some order flow trader that is profitable doing this. Yeah. But I will never do
123:15 this because the probability that the market with the volatility of New York session will get back
123:20 here and do this move movement. Yeah. And create just a week then you are right on your position.
123:25 But maybe it creates a week is really high. So in this case we were lucky. It fell to the to
123:30 the pip it rejected and when if this breaks the low we are already zero risk. Exactly. So you are
123:36 fast. You are really reasoning fast. But if I had to advise to a friend would I use this model? No.
123:43 because it's it's a lot of stress. Imagine that in one minute on in five minutes you have to trail on
123:50 the next block you need to be really fast. Imagine risky $5,000 on the position. Very true. Yeah. You
123:57 need gut. But when the the range of the New York session is clear and you have a breakout of the
124:04 compression, you have data supporting this to the point that there are a lot of studies about
124:10 u initial initial breakout. Mhm. Like you know the model initial breakout when mark um New York
124:17 American equities break out the low or the high of the New York opening there is a huge probability
124:24 that they will continue. So I'm using a structural inefficiency of the market. Yeah. Just timing it
124:30 better than usual traders because I have order flow but I'm not reinventing the wheel. Of course
124:36 is nothing exceptional about it. And this is the fourth time that in this timeline we come back
124:42 to the level that I told you and we still reject sellers zero result. Buyers aggressive new auction
124:49 if it breaks this low risk zero. Yeah. Like it's incredible to witness. Now what do you think to
124:57 the the term or statement that people make in terms of buy low, sell high? Because in this case
125:02 what we're buy low, sell high. It's uh I'm totally opposite to it. That's what I'm thinking cuz I was
125:09 thinking like at the low there where we you know I would look at and I'm sure a lot of other people
125:13 would be like oh you put it long that would be a great place to buy but as you say that yes you
125:18 could but on the most chances no wait you can if you are like uh uh if you know the fair value of
125:24 the asset like if I would be doing this for a car that I already know the market price. Yeah,
125:31 that that is stable the market price. I can buy low and create my business around it. But market
125:37 there is not too high of a price for one asset. Yes. Because the asset price change constantly,
125:44 you know. So is by law low compared to what exactly? Low compared to option flow. It makes
125:51 sense. Low compared to order flow. There is no law. You are buying high. I will never sell this
125:58 movement. You see what it's doing now? This one is already zero risk. Yeah. Okay. Some minutes now
126:06 starting to get interesting for sellers because we are reaching what the level that we mark out
126:11 4 hours ago and is still holding. Mhm. What would you expect you would you expect price to or would
126:17 you want price to break through aggressively or would you actually not mind if price reaches
126:22 the level, sells off a bit and then breaks uh thereafter? was like the the prime like the ideal
126:29 scenario. I expect the sellers to get destroyed as what I told you from the beginning. I expect
126:34 aggressive market participant to step in as soon as we reach this high. A little bit of pullback
126:40 and then going uh going aggressive as I told you by the first 15 to 20 minutes of the session the
126:48 direction is clear and it's exactly 20 minutes for me. The direction is clear. Yeah. First position
126:54 was breakout trades to get the high but you are still in line with statistic distribution. Why?
127:02 Because you are getting a movement. Yeah. When a level gets broken supported by volume and you are
127:08 getting out your position before the level. Yes. So you are not trying to you see if we keep the
127:14 target to the high it's already rejecting. Maybe now we does a whips and then explode. Exactly.
127:19 was amazing to see especially for the fact that okay we didn't take this position because didn't
127:24 fit the playbook didn't fit the we don't have the house money from trading earlier for example to
127:28 take the risk and the that's I think so important to highlight because a lot of traders out there
127:34 think you have a bias anything that fits that bias you take so in this case for example you you let's
127:40 say you came in long and you would take a long you try to take a long at the low there you try and
127:46 take a long there you try any long that's possible you try and take right in reality you have your
127:51 playbook. It doesn't matter what your bias is. As long as that playbook hasn't presented itself,
127:55 you do nothing right on your hands. I think they will get a lot of value from conceptwise from
128:00 these trades because this is explaining exactly sure it was beautiful cuz even that I would say
128:08 that that's not the it's not the worst trade in the world, right? It's it's with the bias. It's
128:11 one to three in three minutes like it's worth it. Just depends on your playbook. Yeah. all. Yeah, it
128:18 depends who you play with. That's what I'm saying though. It's It's incredible to be able to see.
128:21 Okay, we had a bias. Here's a trade opportunity. Played out beautifully even with the explanation
128:26 as well in real time, which is most important. Um, yeah, it's phenomenal to see and we're excited to
128:31 see how we continue to push through. Now, um, what we should expect here is revisiting this
128:39 area. Why? Aggressive buyers failed, not holding failed. We knew exact we placed our target exactly
128:48 where we should expect a reaction. Now there are two question. First question is how much deep will
128:54 be this retracement. Yeah. Second question is we want to be in a long position if we get back
128:59 here. No. Why? Because it's still not clear the dealing till these big boys don't fail and says
129:06 because the good edge is that if this big boys gets broken. Yeah. This needs to close position
129:15 and if all these dealing regions getting in suffer we are skyrocketing high and you will say how is
129:22 it possible that we are skyrocketing high if we have a situation like this from global macro
129:28 perspective that's the good part about order flow you the market already includes all the
129:36 information possible you need to read what the market is telling you not putting the preconcept
129:41 of no it will not do this because there is that no your role is only to read the data the market
129:46 itself the market itself there is no better mentor than market so is it the case normally then so
129:53 we'll see at this point this is a previous auction where sellers had won and in this case because
129:59 we've seen buyers try to step in fail get absorbed we then would expect the previous auction to be
130:05 revisited to see who's going to win that battle and essentially it's a constant flow of what is
130:11 this as you say expens expensive or is this cheap? Is this where buyers are are happy to transact out
130:16 and win the transaction or sellers? And therefore, we constantly have the next play ready. The next
130:22 play ready according. So if for example instead of us the buyers failing here and we actually
130:27 won and we broke above. Mhm. We would then as you said there would probably be a squeeze. Yes. How
130:35 would you let's say if that was to take place? Mhm. Where would you look to try and enter if
130:41 because a squeeze let's say a squeeze takes place that' be quite aggressive right it will be quite
130:45 aggressive it will be with a lot of big trades inside I will plot my profile search for the
130:52 first low volume node jump in with a really tight stop loss and get the explosion okay got you and
130:57 this way you can get really fast one two three one to five if you have five art for the day you are
131:03 done what you need it's a beautiful trade and the good part is that if You take two stop loss. The
131:09 stop loss is so small that you can afford to take three or four stop loss. Yeah. And you on average
131:16 what do you look to risk? Does it depend on the day or the account that you're trading? Usually
131:21 I I risk 0.25% per trade because I trade personal account. Yeah. And uh in the Robins cap I reach
131:28 till 0.5% per trade. Uh sometimes when I get above 100% of return I get to 1%. Gotcha. But I will my
131:38 role is always keeping draw down low because commission it's really heavy there. Yes. Like
131:44 600 execution per quarter can cost you 10 20% of the account. So it's like you don't need only to
131:50 make profit. You need also to repay commission. So it's just not not uh convenient to execute. What's
131:55 happening here? We're seeing the buyers trying to trying to break this level. Yeah. They are getting
132:01 aggressive to the eye. What does it mean that they are willing to pay higher price? Yeah. For this
132:05 asset. Yeah. So is it too expensive to buy? No. Because if it was too expensive, aggressive buyers
132:12 will not participate here. So it means that still my narrative is buyer. Even if I didn't break this
132:18 level, I already know what to expect for the day. Already know. And we are getting ready for the
132:23 squeeze. The squeeze will be present here. Look. There you have it. This is the squeeze. Now what
132:31 can we expect? Really fast analysis. This is the bunch of aggressive trades that are populating
132:40 this movement. Y I will not plot the profile because this is all low volume node. Yep. They
132:46 didn't transact efficiently. So the first position that you can take here is protected by this area.
132:53 Okay. So if this candle close and it's only five minutes uh it can either give us a follow through
133:01 so break of the eye and we get a retracement because remember we never take the first drive.
133:05 Okay. Because it can be a fake out. You're on the confirmation. Yeah. Yeah. See it can be
133:10 a fake out. It can be absorbed and snapped back. I'm getting too excited. I'm like yeah execution.
133:17 Let's get let's get in here. But this is why you're the professional and I'm the podcaster.
133:25 But it is incredible honestly uh to see you know play by play uh we can have a position here if it
133:31 breaks the low you can get the first position of risk here targeting a one to2 so we are risking 6
133:38 600 to make potentially double 1,200 and if we want we can also trail our stop loss to the to
133:49 the high and the high is a huge risk to reward if it achieves leaves it. But our rule now is to put
133:55 our stop loss to risk zero as soon as possible. Of course. Yeah. This so this long executes if
134:03 the high gets broken. Yeah. This execution can be on by stop like buy stop. Yeah. If it uh breaks
134:09 the high you can be inside the position. Now this this makes sense because we are protected by all
134:14 these big orders you know. So as soon as this week gets taken you are just inside and you are covered
134:20 here. Why? Because look look what's happening here. If this okay we are inside in this position.
134:27 We are risking $650. If these sellers are getting aggressive and we are getting anniated we want
134:34 to be out as soon as possible because it means we are wrong. Yeah. At the same time if we see these
134:40 sellers getting completely absorbed by buyers in continuing up doesn't fail the stop and we are if
134:47 we go above would you say that it would uh would it cause a squeeze because especially because of
134:51 the size of understood how it works. Yes. So if we break above now for example and we continue higher
134:57 in terms of trailing your stop would you be then trailing it beneath? It's not so difficult. No,
135:03 it's not. It is so interesting because as I was saying to you earlier like I think a lot
135:09 of people have a huge misconception with they think order flow it's hard. Yeah. Just order
135:13 their flow is reading an alphabet. You need to learn letters and then that's it. But it's
135:18 really strange what's happening here because it's not common that you have a breakout and you don't
135:22 test. They are leaving a huge low volume node. The only thing I'm afraid because consider that
135:27 we are now in the position is that in the test of the low volume node they will spike out but
135:33 we we will take multiple position in this case. Yeah. So they are pushing the eye. What does it
135:40 mean if they are pushing the eye and make another drive? This big boy needs to close the position
135:44 because he's losing. And if this boy needs to cover himself, the squeeze can get interesting.
135:55 See, just analyzing balls, not price. These balls look just a game of balls.
136:01 When they start overlapping, it kind of looks like ICT's enigma, you know,
136:04 like this is how this is how it's really going on. Yeah. But now the algorithm is saying that
136:11 we are going to get long. Mhm. It's not orderful. It sound good. It is incredible though. Honestly,
136:19 you can only understand where is price because you watch this line. You see this? Exactly.
136:26 Exactly. It's so interesting honestly. But I'd love to I do wonder, you know, what the audience
136:31 are thinking at this stage. You know, what they would feel trading this live, especially when
136:35 we were down at the low at the open when you said that we'll see a shakeout. I wonder how
136:40 many people would probably be looking to either uh short, probably been stopped out already and
136:45 trying to revenge trade or get back in or like what would that look like, you know, for for a lot
136:50 of people cuz I can imagine down there a lot of people probably would have been shorting shorting
136:54 shorting expecting, you know, a follow through down but then, you know, especially after the
136:59 gap's been filled as well, right? Because a lot of people would assume be gap filled in London,
137:04 we're going to then continue lower, right? Uh but as we can see but in what's good about what's
137:10 what's happening like the sellers the sellers are getting completely destroyed then soon we have the
137:22 incredible soon we have the we can put the stop loss at break even we have a long way to go still.
137:29 So at this stage would you have scale uh moved the stop loss beneath the the red uh the red bubble
137:34 there? There's only one reason I will not do it and they will be happy to take a stop loss if it
137:39 snap back at me because there is low volume low volume node like you they can push a spike really
137:44 fast and they get liquidated in a really good position. Got you. Yeah. Like this position it's
137:49 only one contract can give you 1,000. Look how much it's pushing. Like that makes sense. Yeah.
137:56 No, we got we enter here and we got one lazer green line. You cannot expect anything better as
138:03 a trader because you are just psychologically it's way better than being included in this mess. No,
138:10 very true. Yeah, very very true. It's time for us to put the risk to zero. So now So now even
138:19 if it comes to low volume node, it's fine because you've taken zero and you have a chance to reenter
138:24 that. Yeah. Now you can play this game in a lot of ways. You can scale in again. Uh you can put
138:34 this stop loss to break even and use this amount of profit to open another position because you
138:38 have another lock in here. What does it mean lock in? This seems like the master card logo but it's
138:43 sellers getting aggressive. Yeah. And buyers getting more aggressive than that. Who is fall?
138:50 You see they are willing. Now when I tell you what does it mean buy low sell high if they are
138:56 willing to pay a higher price to push the price down. There is no discount. There is no premium.
139:03 Yeah. Like it's it's just stupid the concept that they are trying to push to the audience
139:07 because here the only thing the market is telling you is that buyers are willing to pay more to buy
139:13 NASDAQ. That's it. Yeah. As simple as that. You don't need seven screen. You don't need a huge
139:18 amount of tools. You are we are just watching the real nature of the market. Orders not candles.
139:27 So if you were to add there, would it be a case where you want a close and then a revisit? Yes,
139:32 in this case you will take profit because it's already like half. It's like 1 to 1.5 when it was
139:38 here. So you can just close and use the profit to take another trade on the test. Gotcha. We
139:43 are not doing this this model because this low volume node scares me. Yeah. And I'm really I
139:51 don't want to say I'm sure because I hope it will go good but I know my my chicken I know
139:58 my NASDAQ and usually at the session it's just give the first drive. Yeah. Pull back. Yeah. And
140:04 create but we can just now we are risk that's the reason also I got aggressive with risk zero
140:09 because we can take it another trades otherwise use the profit on the first one to take another
140:14 one that will be even better. What is telling us the market now? Just analyzing raw data,
140:22 the buyers at the top are not getting accepted. So it's getting expensive. Yeah. If it get expensive,
140:28 we should start to see some sellers here. Yeah. And if we see sellers and they win the battle,
140:34 we are [ __ ] up to the point that if these levels gets broken, we can also go to stop in
140:38 profit of€1,000. Mhm. Not 1,000, like 800. and say if it goes bad we use this profit to make another
140:47 trade. Gotcha. Yeah. But the major movement of the day we took it in the first 20 minutes. That's the
140:53 major movement of the day. The break then you can play it longterm. Yeah. And if you play longterm
140:58 you have 1 to 10 risk-to-reward but you get a lower win rate. Of course. Or you can just say
141:04 give my cash session is done. Are you able in uh in futures as part of this are you able to like
141:10 partial your trades? Of course. Yes. Yeah. Yes. Yes. So, is that something is that something you
141:14 sometimes do? Let's say in this example, it's a good one to be fair. Uh would you for example,
141:19 you had multiple contracts on and you're in this position. Would you say considering that
141:24 I go heavy and I go with multiple contracts when I see this rejection, I would already
141:29 take out half of the contracts because I'm risk free. Okay. Exactly. Yeah. I can take profit and
141:35 I can continue to scale in if I want. Okay. I don't like when the market gets weak. So,
141:41 I will take out here. But education wise I want the trade to get completed. Either we are stopped
141:46 out at break even either we go to take profit. I don't want to create additional difficulty
141:53 of trade management that this advance. Yeah. Because even then with trade management it's
141:58 quite personal part of the like it's a big part of the but when it comes to say the high of previous
142:05 day is that something then let's say you've taken half off would that be your next sort of target or
142:11 if let's say price goes to you know one to three or four and then shows similar where we're getting
142:15 a bit of weakness you want to know everything give me all the secrets so the point is you when I told
142:22 you I will scale out it's exactly because when you see this the step is aggressive sellers. Yeah,
142:33 you you coded the algorithm. Uh the next step is aggressive sellers. Now,
142:37 if aggressive sellers gets recovered, yeah, this was funny. If aggressive sellers gets recovered,
142:44 we should expect another explosion up the second squeeze. Yeah. Okay. So, let's go back to your
142:51 question. Um like cuz bearing in mind, right, the each one of these is 40. You set it to 40
142:56 contracts, right? 40. But these big balls, maybe it's 100. Exactly. That's what I was saying. Yeah.
143:00 Yeah. Mhm. Uh these are big boys. Okay. So I would like these big boys to be squeezed or
143:07 to get back to the low volume node. Yeah. So for example, we were at the high there in real time
143:14 or or you know, if we weren't in this setting, you probably would have taken half off. Yes.
143:19 Let's say price comes back to break even on that trade, no problem. But then you're going to look
143:23 at the reaction from the low volume node. Is it again a confirmation based? Of course. Like again,
143:28 I if this one goes to half profit and half break even, I would use half the profit that I made
143:34 to wait for the trades there because I'm pretty sure that if we get back to the low volume node,
143:40 we get aggressive buyers, we are going to run to the high. So you can just bear in mind where did
143:45 this get to? It's got to about 800. You say €800? Yeah, like 800. But I'll fit 400. Exactly. But now
143:52 it's easy for people at home to maybe think, oh, this is only one contract. Exactly. Yeah. That's
143:56 what I was going to say. So like, you know, you make that 10 contracts for example. So you would
144:01 have taken 4,000. 4,000 within a few minutes. That's the point. The more the account size,
144:05 the more you feel confident to get continuous profit for the day. Yeah. And then if you want
144:11 to scale in, you scale in with the profit. This is you anticipated what I wanted to say to you
144:15 like how I did this performance in the world trading cup is building profit for the day,
144:20 building profit for the day, building profit for the day and in directional days I risk for example
144:26 in 10 trades the profit that I made for the day and you get a huge percentage of course but you
144:31 are only risking profit of the day. Yeah. If the day gets close this profit is locked in it's
144:36 equity. It's not more profit. You cannot risk it. So the next day reset reset. Yeah. Yeah. And if
144:41 you think about what's the concept of this, when the model goes well, you take risk. Yeah. Because
144:47 the model is respecting what you're saying. If the model goes back, ready for the squeeze,
144:51 huh? Ready for the squeeze coming? Uh sellers aggressive here. No follow through. Yeah. So we
145:00 need this eye. If this eye gets broken, we go here. Yeah. Done. Uh what was I saying?
145:07 That you build your position with multiple scalps and uh this means that when the market
145:16 condition is favorable to you, you make a lot of money. Yeah. When the market condition is bad,
145:21 you take the first two or three stop loss and you are out. Done. Yeah. One trade the next day,
145:25 everything covered. I have a maximum stop- loss for the day like in percentage term that is 2%.
145:32 So when I say to people this day I took eight stop loss I only lost 2%. Exactly. That's what they
145:38 don't understand. They see the time maybe they risking 3% per stop loss. Of course it's a lot
145:43 but that's not how you deal with risk management. And what's important to highlight as well as we
145:48 were talking about contracts and you know if you had more contracts this would have been X
145:51 amount. What's important to highlight with that is that that's not where you start right. You start
145:56 with the low. Yeah. Micro. you build over time and and I think people hear over time and they
146:01 automatically assume that's a long time but it's all perception right so like if it takes you two
146:06 to three to four years to really start to build a position size up and your confidence and your
146:11 skill isn't that worth being able to make four five $10,000 in a day right in a day yes but then
146:19 don't hear that line and think oh yeah that's you that's incredible I can do that ASAP and whatever
146:25 it's the three to five years of dedication and and hard work and really intricate detail that
146:31 then allows you to have that skill set. But it's like a lot of people aren't willing to sacrifice
146:35 and understand that. And as I said, this is a this is a a strategy and a playbook that is truly
146:41 for trade actual traders, you know, not for people who like the idea of trading, if that makes sense.
146:47 Yes, I totally agree with you. And also like I know it's easier to believe in the fairy tales of
146:56 the Metatrader bot that makes money for you when you sleep or just the signal service that is able
147:03 to put money to put food on your table when you don't do anything. But that's not the reality. and
147:09 uh message to the audience. Trust only people that give you some sort of verification or even better
147:18 live analysis. If you can live trading, if you can track record and understand if they are doing what
147:26 they are saying they do. Yeah. Because there is a big difference between people that make money with
147:31 the market and people that make money pretending to trade the market like with service connected to
147:38 them. In this case, you see they revisit again the big traits. Yeah. No follow through. Going
147:42 back to the now I remove a little bit because I cannot really see price. So let's remove it.
147:51 So the message I want to give to them they he didn't take out us on break even on the second
147:56 position but we took out position here half of the position. You see how much this level it's
148:02 important and this level the market is using to pivo. This is not a case. This is when buyers
148:08 decided that it was too expensive to continue buying. So this is the cap of the auction. The
148:14 Mustang got too much expensive for us. Yeah. If they are changing their narrative when we will
148:20 see another candle, we can continue to trail our stop in profit. Like it's not ringing the wheel.
148:28 I will keep this visual for now without big orders because otherwise I cannot see where is our break
148:34 even. And here is our premium setup. If we are willing to go back and cover the low volume node,
148:42 we will use half of the profit that we made to um strike up even with one contract. This can be a
148:49 $4,000 trades if we wait for the eye. Yeah. But we need to stay here till evening because I think
148:55 the volatility I can see it's it was big in the beginning but now it's drying up. So let's see.
149:02 Let's see at least if we reach the target without taking out the other position at break even. That
149:10 other trade that we discussed in terms of outside of your playbook and some traders might have it in
149:15 their playbook. Um and you said though with that trade it makes sense to target the you
149:21 know the the ceiling that we had at the time. Yes. Exactly. Because you don't know if it's
149:25 going to break higher. Would it be if someone was taking that setup or would would that be a
149:31 setup you would take if you had already traded in the day made some profits or even then it
149:35 would be because it's it's not a bad setup. It's a good setup. Just let's would you take the full
149:40 setup out here or would it if in that case you had multiple contracts? Is that another one where you
149:45 would say half off leave? I do something really smart. Okay. I take the setup out here but I'm
149:51 ready to open it back with the profit I made if it breaks. Okay. Okay. So, you're able to
149:55 I don't take the risk of indecision here. Okay. Yeah. I I bring the money in my account then I'm
150:02 willing to put the money on the table. Yeah. If I have a confirmation like it makes more sense.
150:07 I tried what you say to keep it. Yeah. But seven times it snap back. You get a break and you say
150:12 [ __ ] I should I I can include it start the day at 3 hour and I let the market take out everything
150:17 is preparing the squeeze. Yeah. So all those red orders here are right now under water. We take
150:24 that high. We should squeeze up. You're getting good. Teacher being prepared. We have a great
150:31 What can we expect? Buyer said the eye. Yeah. The auction got expensive now. More expensive.
150:38 They are willing to pay higher price for it. So absorbed. Absorbed. You can put in stop in profit
150:45 if you want. I will not do it because the test here it's really probable to happen. Yeah. But
150:52 we took a really exponential move. You see almost zero draw down like from when we entered there
150:58 was zero to non draw down like we enter in this candle it continue again seller trying to step in
151:05 in a parabolic move in this particular here. Now is this now the level we would hope would hold?
151:11 Yes. Yeah. This if you want to be conservative the down there. Yeah. down there because this is the
151:17 protection level of the sellers. Why we saw this exponential move even someone will think we are
151:23 expensive. Why? Because these sellers are closing position and this creating even more momentum.
151:37 Now again same situation sellers aggressive buyers that needs to
151:42 decide if they want to protect this level and continue to be aggressive here. Mhm.
151:49 Now we are reaching 22 round number. Yes, this is a really important number. Price
151:57 will accumulate or distribute around this level. So you can also decide to if it breaks this high
152:06 with aggression, you can also take the second position with a really tight stop loss. So if
152:14 it goes bad, you take another $600 or $700, but at least you are protecting yourself. So if we
152:19 tap this eye, the stop loss goes here. Yeah. So our stop loss our stop loss goes here. So
152:24 we make more than the first position, but still we are protected. Yes. And then someone can say
152:29 what if it goes if it test and then goes up. Okay, we are protected on the second one. It's another 7
152:34 $700 here because if this eye doesn't hold and the market collapse, I don't want to give back
152:41 to the market all the profit that we made. We made an amazing zero draw down entry here
152:45 because this is in consideration that that's our target. So then the it's a negative risk-to-reward
152:50 to allow us to go back. Exactly. Exactly. I'm not willing to give to the market all
152:54 this money back. Yeah. and see our sellers are starting to participate on the top, I don't like
153:00 it. I expect a a squeeze that will bring us to target. But if is this level gets broken,
153:06 I I I have too much profit to give back. It's not worth for me. Mhm. So our stop
153:13 loss now it's I will show you this low. Okay. And I can see that it's not easy to break this
153:20 high because you have to consider that it's around number. Buyers are getting aggressive
153:24 again buying the top. If this auction fail, I think we will revisit the low low volume node
153:33 all the way. Yeah. Yeah. All the way. So we can have another position with made 400 on the first,
153:38 700 or 600 on the second. We are floating on out. Yeah. Totally out on the position.
153:47 Let's remove everything.
153:54 It's important to highlight as well. So at this point maybe roughly $1,000 $1,100
153:59 um in ter in total profits. Yeah. And bear in mind because I think social media causes a a
154:05 slight problem in the trading space where they think $1,100 is not a lot of money. Bear in mind
154:09 that's,100 in roughly about half an hour with one contract. With one contract. But not even just
154:15 that though. Even $1,100 in a single day Mhm. is incredible because if you're trading for a month
154:21 and on average you whatever 50% win rate whatever it may be you're still coming out with a very good
154:28 yearly salary in a month almost. Yes. Right. And that's incredible and that's like position number
154:34 one. That's like as you scale in your trading journey that's how it should look. Now, I know
154:39 it's so easy with social media to assume you need to be making a $100,000 a month every single month
154:45 or multiple hundreds of thousands. And that is possible, right? And there are traders doing that,
154:50 but they didn't start that way. They go through the process step by step. Look at the precision
154:55 of the reversal point. We saved all this money that the market want to give to get back like from
155:02 here. This is I want to show you something and I will make another prediction that is not a trade.
155:08 Okay. But is this where the market will reverse this delta from here to here it's not worth the
155:18 trade. Yeah. Because here it's full of big trades not having a follow-up. I expect that from here we
155:25 get all the way back from here. Mhm. And we can use this two $500 trades to make another one to
155:32 three. Now let's say if we take another two trades for the day. One to three. $500 series, it's
155:38 another $3,000 only using the profit. Worst case scenario, we close break even of the day. Yeah.
155:44 Like the reason traders are unprofitable is they try to get the home run. So maybe they get this
155:51 breakout and they all till the top without taking partial without you can never go broke by taking
155:58 partial like you you are sitting on profit for the day. And in this case as well like there's nothing
156:04 in between that you would look for. You would only wait for price to come back to that higher
156:09 probable area. Let's see. I will exactly tell you where I expect a reaction considering that still
156:14 the momentum by I didn't saw the big picture, but the momentum buy is amazing. But let's get the the
156:22 whole picture. It's incredible though because it shows you when you're dissecting price when you're
156:26 logged in. I I lose the conception of time really. I I was thinking that it was 20 minutes that we
156:32 were there. It did feel to be fair to you. It did feel like that. Yeah, this is a huge volume. Huge
156:39 low volume note. Yeah, you can see like it's a squeeze. It's very So I will not engage in
156:44 other trades here. Just the first trade that I would watch is here. But watching the momentum,
156:51 I don't think uh we will go back. So you can just continue to adapt to the position using the
156:57 profit. If you want, we can continue to see it. Can one minute and see what big boys are doing.
157:07 So my take and this is against the probability is that this is a wall. Okay. Okay. So this is
157:14 the trade that you never need to do. But if I need to consider a trade, this is what I'm
157:21 afraid about. Okay. Of that happen. This is the reason I took out the buy position
157:25 before. Gotcha. Round number. Seller getting aggressive. Buyers not having a follow through.
157:31 Was there any of this slowdown as well? Was that take that into account as well? Yes,
157:37 because this one it's compression again. Okay. The market getting back inside compression. Usually
157:43 it's a visit of the low. Okay. Uh now let's see what cumulative volume delta is saying.
157:49 This is an important information that we are putting in for the first time here. Mhm. And
157:53 this the cumulative volume pressure of the market visualizing candlestick. You see that it's short
158:02 down here. Yeah, this is an information because the squids was supported but then we started to
158:12 distribute. Yes. Again all this by movement no follow up. Yeah. Divergence. M this divergence
158:22 is significant because it means that there is something big here. So two scenario either it
158:29 breaks and we take another continuation trades that is amazing for us but I know this asset
158:36 and I think that we are going to revisit from here either this low or this low volume then
158:42 we take even better trades. Yeah, this is a pattern that I have seen a lot of times. Four
158:49 consecutive weeks every week taking out the high but not creating new value. If there is a big buy
158:56 trades here a collapses is soon. Of course, it's not a trade because we are counter trend on it.
159:09 Let's see if the doesn't get old. I'll tell you that it doesn't go.
159:16 Yes. Yes. It's this one. Big trades, no follow through. Yeah. Sellers building
159:21 the narrative. Cumulative volume delta going down. Here we go.
159:27 Would you say uh do you only trade NASDAQ and Q? NASDAQ because uh it's a lot of information
159:33 to deal with. Yeah. I tried one time with NASDAQ and crude oil, but I was a therapist. I need DP
159:40 psychologist at the end of the uh but would you say that also though even though yes it's a lot of
159:46 information by really tuning into one asset such as NQ yeah it's the the cheat code like understand
159:53 like you just said I've seen I know this pair this was feeling like this one is the intuition part
159:58 it's a counter trend trades I will never take it but we took from the bottom to the eye and
160:03 we exit at the top we saved the delta profit that was here that if I was using my ego I will say No,
160:09 we go to target. Yeah, because this is my target. But this capacity to adapt to market behavior
160:17 here in this amount of error, we took an explosion that is five times more. It's not easy to time the
160:23 market in this way. If these big trades protect and break the high, we have another buy. Mhm. So,
160:30 we can again jump on the train. And the problem with if you're trying to say long and then short
160:36 is that the real bias is still long. But let's say if this comes up now and and you get break even
160:42 or stop loss. A lot of people's psychology is that they will still focus on the short
160:48 cuz that's the one they lost. Yes. Instead of realizing where the original bias is by taking
160:53 this lowquality setup that yeah okay might be might pull through might be able to make some
160:57 good profit from whatever it may be. The problem is our mindsets get fixed on that bias then and
161:04 that happens to a lot of people. I think a lot of people let's say coming into this session as
161:07 a good example coming into this session they did the same market analysis you did long bias price
161:12 shot down they switch to short they take a loss. Yes. But then the problem is they don't switch
161:17 back or recognize their mistake and they stick on the loss and they stick on the short and they
161:22 keep trying to short all the way up. They marry their trades and then they end up in, you know,
161:25 blowing their challenge, blowing their account, taking a heavier loss than they're meant to when
161:30 in reality they had to, you know, you've done your, it's like you said earlier,
161:34 right? When you're at war, you don't make the changes, right? You don't make change when you
161:38 are fighting. Yeah. Like the changes are made in the tent with generals and planning the war
161:45 up front. Mhm. In this case, it's building a goodby setup. Yeah. Huge amount of buy here.
161:55 Watching the narrative here. I don't think we will retrace back. Look where it tapped
161:59 in. Low volume node. Now what we need to be back in the trade? We need a breakout of this
162:05 high. Yeah. So the next set uh buy stop. Uh no, I want a full candle close. Okay. On this
162:13 one. So risky. What's the reason for that one? Because we're already quite high. Because the
162:18 bias is clear. The bias is clear. The target is still not taken. The momentum is big and
162:23 the interesting is big. Like this candle, this um uh big order is bigger than all this area. Okay,
162:32 these traders are getting squeezed. So if we break this high, we test this area. I will target for
162:41 another $12,000 trade getting to 22062. This will be the trade. But you see how much fast
162:55 you need to put your ego aside and say this was the narrative that I was building. It didn't break
163:01 the high but it broke the low. Yeah. So it can be still a retracement to the low volume node.
163:08 What I need the trade is valid as soon as we close with a one minute candle
163:14 full body candle above this where we were failing. Yeah, where we were failing. Even
163:22 better if in the move up there is a big trade cell that gets destroyed like here.
163:31 Let's see.
163:35 And how long have you been trading this way? This way it's around four years that I use order flow
163:43 more than price action. Before I started before four years I started to get only the trigger
163:48 from order flow. Now I'm full order flow like I use price action only as a proxy and a result of
163:55 volume. Yeah. like I you you see I always compare the volume with the result that is providing and
164:02 um but the learning curve is still like 20% of what you can understand with this. So I still am
164:08 one 20% of the real power of order flow I mastered like I still need to to get better sometimes
164:15 because I think there especially nowadays with machine learning and neural network you can put
164:20 this kind of data in an algorithm that really helps you to remove all the noise. Mhm. And um
164:27 I think in the area of artificial intelligence, understanding deeply this data and using AI to
164:35 just get a better um risk management or position management, journaling all your trades. This is an
164:42 idea for Omar. Like using artificial intelligence for the journal is something that can really step
164:48 up the game a lot. And it's incredible how much when you have 2,500 sample also a small change
164:55 in risk management change the curve of the equity line. Yeah. Like you can go parabolic or you can
165:00 go stable or you can go like this small change. So the strategy it's 30%. Let's say 33%. 33% is
165:10 the mindset the trader that is behind and that it can stay calm when it's not his setup or playbook
165:17 presenting. Yeah. The other trend 33% is the risk management part. Definitely it's a huge
165:22 part. Definitely. Yeah, that's something that um I did a round table with uh you know verified seven
165:29 and eight figure traders Zuma was there as well and that was one thing that seemed to stand out
165:33 is that once traders had gotten the strategy down right had their playbook and then they have the
165:39 psychology at this point they have consistency a huge portion of that change in P&L is tweaking the
165:46 risk management by really mastering and focusing on that totally. So what are you seeing here then?
165:53 So at this stage obviously we've seen this big buyer. We are we are still in a uh buy narrative.
165:58 Is that that setup that you have mapped out there still valid? The the sell the the buy sorry the
166:04 buy is still valid. Yes. Totally. And uh it's still not activated because they need to break
166:08 the Exactly. Yeah. Yeah. But is is valid. The nar the narrative is valid. I was interested in this
166:15 buy. If it gets bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro bro
166:17 broken and tested we will keep this narrative. Yeah but still we are long. We broke the high
166:23 of the consolidation. So we are in the expansion phase that we explained before at this stage where
166:29 we are now. Anyway, I know obviously it's still valid anyway. But if I say you saw some sellers
166:33 try to step in and they get absorbed just add to the confidence. If I see sellers getting absorbed
166:39 here, it would be amazing because it says look we are also heavy on limit order not only aggressive
166:47 orders because these are execution but if you see a sell aggressive not getting a follow through it
166:53 means that the buyers are also protecting from limit order absorbing. So you have two forces
166:58 pushing in the same direction and it's a really good trades. Yeah, I'm really optimistic on this
167:04 one. like it's a long way to go up here, but still we are in the dealing range that we want to trade
167:10 because we still didn't took out the previous day previous daily high. Yeah. And would you say as
167:15 well this compression we're seeing at this high, if we were to break higher, it would essentially
167:20 be another squeeze. So because of that range that we've kind of been building here at the high,
167:24 if we were to break higher, it would be all the these sellers and these sellers here Mhm.
167:30 would have to close and there's I think there's one in there as well. Yeah. Yeah,
167:32 but then they would essentially have to close out which would then cause us to push towards target
167:36 more. They will uh get an exponential move of the price here. I'm pretty sure about it. But we need
167:43 to give them a reason to close the trades because still now they can be right. Yes. Yes. They are
167:49 going to be proven wrong if we first break this level. But if we approach this ice before so I
167:57 don't want to lose the trade because if I wait here to step in Yeah. I risk that it's another
168:02 explosion like this and we are unfilled. Yes. So I will just take a level because when we break
168:08 this one the probability that we will continue high. So our margin of error is small because we
168:13 are only losing $595. This is half of the profit that we already made. Yes. But if it goes good
168:19 we add another 1,200. So we are sitting on the day for $2,200. Just to confirm for everyone,
168:26 we're not in this trade yet. Yeah. No, no, no. Uh when you see this level here, it's long one
168:31 contract and price takes that low. Mhm. Does that you invalid invalid because it means that
168:37 the seller these buyers are not aggressive enough to push it up. But can I show you something I need
168:44 to remove because the narrative that I have is really clear on the long and I will explain you
168:50 why. Let's consider all this compression here. Now let's take into account all this area. Okay.
168:58 Yeah, we are not willing to break the right the value area low. Mhm. But we are willing to sit
169:11 above the P. Yeah. If we are sitting above the P consistently, it means that it's an accumulation.
169:18 Yeah. Not always, but statistically wise, it's more probable that we will approach this high.
169:26 Yeah. And if we approach this eye and we spike up, these traders are forced to close their position.
169:32 If they are forced to close the position, we experience another catalyst in price that gives
169:37 us the possibility to to be break even in one minute because we enter here, it approach here,
169:43 it explode here, break even. So it's only temporary the $600 loss. Now I want to I want to
169:53 see if approaching here we have aggressive sellers not willing to um not willing to have a reaction
170:02 like pushing but limit order are absorbing them. Let's see how is it going. I want to activate also
170:10 because it's really useful the commumulative volume delta in this situation. So what the
170:16 cumulative volume delta is saying now is that they are building momentum down. So we can expect what
170:23 is called a whipsaw. Okay. Take off the law. But as you can see also here consolidation like also
170:32 here like replicating the same scenario. Mhm. In this situation here. Let's see. They say
170:40 that scalpers don't have patience but a lot. It's not it's not like swing but it's a lot of patient
170:45 to wait for the correct setup. Exactly. Yeah, that's true. So I will only use these two signal
170:55 the value area low and I will use the same color blue and the value area high that is this one.
171:08 Okay, then I will cancel this one. There's a little bit of delay for connection I think. And
171:17 um what we will do is we will observe when we approach this level,
171:23 if we approach this level, the behavior of the big trades
171:30 still not participating. Mhm. Still bias control. Does this just mean uh No, no, it's live. It's
171:36 live. just uh I think let me reload but I think it works properly. Let's see if there is any change.
171:47 No, it works. Let me check with the phone if there is any discrepancy in price but I think no.
172:08 Oh no, it disappeared. It was only temporary. There was delay 5 seconds,
172:14 10 seconds the red the mark, but we are approaching the high still buyers controlling
172:23 like if we want to get the horizontal level is exactly the one protecting this order. So my
172:29 stop loss is a little bit too generous. should be like this to be honest. Mhm. Exactly $500.
172:42 This uh price consolidating the way it is right now. Is that would you say that's a
172:45 positive thing, negative thing or just neutral? It's positive thing because it's most probably
172:49 a reaccumulation before because the market cannot look here. It's skyrocket up. Yep.
172:56 Without retracing. This is not um efficient market exchange. This is inefficiency price
173:02 action. So this one is necessary if we want to reach the top of the day. This one is the
173:08 market cannot be parabolic. Yeah. Because there needs to be interaction like sellers
173:12 trying to step in. And now if we analyze sellers trapped, buyers aggressive, big node on the top,
173:21 possible squeeze. If we break this one, this one are forced to close. Mhm. It's a good setup.
173:28 This one is a good setup. And the good part is that we are using profit of the profit. This is
173:33 psychologically also really convenient for us. So you have a 2% limit on loss loss for the day. On
173:42 the worst case scenario, I lose 2%. That is eight trades. Yeah. But doesn't happen often can happen
173:50 one time every two months. Yeah. So in in in this case though like if you were trading at
173:56 your own desk right now and um so first trade's a a win are you taking trades like this trade
174:02 another trade for example would you be taking any of those other trades that we discussed
174:07 uh as well or trying them or is I will take the exact same trade if it was on desk the
174:12 only difference is that I'm with a trackp now and I have a mouse that have shortcut so I can
174:18 just execute faster and also put at break even with one shortcut like the execution it's really
174:25 important like with a laptop it's not the best to do scalping but uh yes these are two valid
174:31 setup the setup that we took before is exactly what I would execute in the water in cup if I
174:36 was still participating in it we are approaching the high and um exactly at the level I told you
174:44 so now participating we are waiting for full candle because it can be a fake out on the
174:50 full candle we are in it's one minute chart so it's really easy see if you we were in before
174:56 we would risk the whip saw now what happens if the full candle arrives here we cannot have this
175:04 big stop loss so we will just cover ourself below the big trade okay got so let's see how it goes
175:14 we are still not in.
175:21 So I need to adapt my stop loss.
175:28 If the candle close even here, we are still risking even less 355. But I need
175:34 to see that it close above this box. Yes. If it close inside, I'm not engaging. If it
175:42 closes inside then closes above the box, you're in or it close below. Yeah. So,
175:46 not in. Okay. But if it now closed above, you see why not? Yeah. If it now closed above,
175:52 I still can consider the trade. But, uh, I need to cover myself below this bias. Yes.
176:03 This is potential area accumulation. So, I can have a really small stop loss. It's this
176:09 trade execute. I will participate here. It's $275 loss. Okay. 20% of what we got for the day. So,
176:18 are you doing that because that is, you know, if we go below that low,
176:22 the setup is essentially fine anymore. Okay. So, it doesn't matter about, oh,
176:26 you have $600 worth of risk you could use. So, give it wider. I'm showing one contract,
176:31 but if the risk is only $280, I can scaling contract like I can bring the risk to $500. So,
176:38 two contracts in this case. I got you. Yes. Okay. I understand. Yeah. Let's see. Okay, we are
176:43 in here. Close of the candle. We are in. We are risking $260 to make potential 1,100. It's one to
176:53 five. One to five and a halfish. Yeah. Five and a half. The good part is that when we approach this,
176:59 if we break, we are risk free immediately. If we break that, yeah, we break this one,
177:06 you see the catalyst. Okay. We go risk free. Got you. and like some seconds and we go risk free.
177:15 So now you'd be risk free. Yes, the risk is free. It's
177:23 it can be below this aggression candle but it's still risky. I will still not go risk-f free
177:29 because I think we will test this level. I will take the risk to take a loss on this one. Yeah,
177:38 you can go risk free when you see candle accepting the high. Yeah,
177:43 this one is still not accepting the high and the risk is that it test
177:47 then skyrocket up and you are out of your position and it moves too fast.
177:55 No, it's again test. You see what I saved does the upper top of the range. Yeah. Yeah,
178:02 I saved the fact that I will get liquidated if I go too fast risk free. And you can say
178:06 you can re-enter. Yes, but what if now it explode? It's too fast. Yes,
178:10 it's too fast. Now, when we get a full money candle up, Yeah. we can get risk-free. Okay.
178:22 You're getting anxious. Yeah, we're dry. We're getting We're
178:25 getting good by the end of this be a whole different trader. That's it.
178:33 But be honest, is it more clear than price action or Yeah, it is. It is. Uh it's way more
178:39 clear. Like I said, the one of the most clearest orderflow breakdowns we've done so far, for sure.
178:44 And to be able to do it live as well and see it live is incredible. Um, and I'll tell you that,
178:49 you know, the platform's been incredible as well because, as I said, previous ones I've seen,
178:54 it's it feels very overwhelming as someone who doesn't use orderflow, while this one you can
178:59 incorporate a lot of this information quite cleanly, especially like you had the volume
179:03 profile with the delta, and then you have uh, you know, the orders being shown as well, the large
179:08 orders being shown, and it all feels quite clean. And the the beauty is you can just click a button,
179:12 hide them off, put them back on. Yeah. So you see it's not it's a fail this is a failed deduction
179:19 like every time it approach the high and get back our probability that we will get a stop loss gets
179:24 higher. Okay. Okay. So if we approach again and it gives me the ability to put my stop loss to break
179:30 even here I will do because the setup is getting the more time the the weaker the weaker the weaker
179:36 a good setup create an explosion here. Okay. So yes, there are these big orders protecting,
179:42 but the probability that it will just spike out and liquidate me is getting higher and higher.
179:50 And that's exactly what happened. So how much we lost on this one? $255.
179:58 So the ability to be able to spot this here saves you to put a stop loss like the beginning
180:04 we wanted to do here down here. Yeah. No, it's a half the risk. Let's adopt the the
180:09 narrative. We are in profit of 750 for the day because we lost two $250 on this one. What can
180:17 we do? If this big order gets again absorbed, we can engaged. But we need to see again aggression
180:25 of the market participants. We can take a final position of other $500 to target for
180:33 either the eye of the day either one to two one to three riskto-reward. What happened here? Why
180:40 we have this movement? Aggressive buyers no follow through. Mhm. Getting back in sellers locking the
180:47 movement. Now either we go here either the buyers take control. From what I'm seeing, we go here.
180:54 Why aggressive buyers? No followup. Yep. Like if you want this can be a short but it's against the
181:03 the bias. The bias. So we will not experience it and we will not try it. So we are waiting that
181:08 the market gives us a new long position. Mhm. That of course is not providing at the moment.
181:21 So would you need to uh see price close back above any certain level
181:25 before looking to X? Yes, I will show you also which level. Now
181:31 the consolidation era is still the same. Okay, let's remove for a second the big trades
181:40 and let's go on what really matters. Did it break the value area low? No. Did it break the value
181:46 area high? Yes. Okay. First information. Now sellers are getting really aggressive
181:52 here. What does it mean? Like before before skyrocketing the market up, it took the low.
182:01 Okay. So either this candle is full of aggressive sellers. There is a big ball here. Either we go
182:10 back here and I see market activity participant buy and I engage. Either we use the trend
182:17 following setup only when it closed the candle here. You remember break testing here like we
182:22 did here. This explosion was taken thanks to this. Okay. So we took a stop loss here. We don't want
182:29 to engage in the noise now. Yeah. Just want to be patient about it. Let's see what cuz otherwise
182:36 let's say you know we get involved now. we could easily continue lower or even if we even if we
182:42 close above this uh the top of the range there could still go lower while if we break above then
182:49 we could have a high prob low probability that you will go lower and also consider that if it
182:54 breaks higher you have a really clear level where to cover yourself. So you either you are right,
182:59 either you are wrong really really fast here you can try along here get stopped out try again here
183:05 get stopped out here if it breaks and it comes back is not valid anymore. Yeah you cannot get
183:11 stopped out for no reason. So this could you going back to your analogy as well about you know during
183:18 the battle this is essentially like during the battle here where we entered the trade that we
183:22 just got stopped out on was when we had exited the battle. Mhm. Then it ended up being a loss. That's
183:27 fine. Yes. It's part of trading, but now we're in the battle again. So, we're not looking to make
183:31 a decision now. No, we want to come away from it. Exactly. But it's planned ahead of time. Yes. Now,
183:38 at the moment, sellers are willing this battle. If sellers are willing to win this battle,
183:45 this one needs to close. If this one needs to close, then we'll squeeze down. Uh we will do
183:50 the opposite. We'll squeeze down. See aggressive sellers here jumping back liquidating all these
183:56 ones and from here we can get the big buy movement of the day. Yeah, let's see how it behaves. Still
184:05 didn't took the low. The squeeze happens when you took the low here and they have one, two, three,
184:10 four, five low to revisit. Let's see how they will behave. Would you say usually What time are we
184:19 into the open? We're couple hours in. Yes. Couple hours in the open. At this stage normally is there
184:25 more volatility would you say or is this not like it's you see compression day first movement we
184:31 made profit. Yeah. Then we lost in compression. As I told you the model don't work properly when
184:36 there is compression. Mhm. Why we are still in profit if we took one take profit and one loss
184:42 for only one reason our risk management. Yeah. We took profit when is necessary. We are wrong. When
184:47 we are wrong we are wrong immediately. You see the squeeze like took the first low accelerated to the
184:52 second. If accelerate to the second, it accelerate to the third. Big liquidation, fill the low volume
184:58 node. Market makers don't like when the exchange is not um transaction properly. They don't like
185:05 to void here. Okay. So you can see them from the low volume uh node and usually they get filled.
185:14 So this cell if we were ignoring all of this this cell is saying sellers are getting aggressive but
185:20 they are not having a follow through. Yeah. But in this situation we are also having a fail auction.
185:25 If here we have a breakout of the candle and we get back here this could be a trade. Yeah. Is
185:30 not the situation because also the buyers are not willing. So we are in the situation if you
185:34 remember of the London session that we saw not clear direction not clear breakout long-term
185:40 bias is clear is long but not a good setup to to take. Yeah let's remove the big trades here.
185:54 Let's watch what's happen. So they took the first two loss, they get back inside in the
186:00 sellers are still aggressive here. We didn't reach the value area low and we failed the
186:07 auction here. Now let's clean everything. If we clean everything, we see something really clear
186:19 this failed option. But at the same time, and I need to go on five minutes to show you this,
186:30 the bias is clear. But look at this this situation.
186:36 They didn't even revisit from the first trade that we took the balance area.
186:43 So what can we do now? We can use the full impulse
186:54 to time
186:59 the delta and what we see we go deep inside
187:07 the by delta that is more relevant is concentrated here in this three point
187:14 one two and three these are the biggest one even if it's a void and this coherent with
187:22 the test of this now if we get back here we have aggressive buyers we have sellers
187:27 that are in deep loss yeah that can close the position and skyrocket up so from this
187:32 situation I expect that shortterm the bias is still long we can accelerate and this exactly
187:38 what we are doing so now it's time to take some of those previous lows that you mentioned we
187:44 are going to take them. It's not worthy to take a long here against the momentum. Yeah,
187:57 the narrative is really clear. The squeeze is happening. They took the first three low. They
188:03 are going to target this other one. When they do it, they rebalance the low volume
188:07 node. When they rebalance the low volume node, we have our opportunity to take a
188:12 $500 trade. Yeah. To 2,000 profit, 3,000 profit for the day. And we are done. Let's
188:24 see. Now we can put now that it's moving. You see really aggressive accelerating to our accepted.
188:38 Now I will never dream about putting the buy here without seeing some absorption
188:45 or some aggressive buyers stepping in. Yeah. Like I will before wait this one
188:51 is a continuation model like sellers aggressive buyers trying you want
188:56 them to fail. You want them to like it's accelerating still pushing low.
189:04 when it's uh yellow it's irrelevant like it's not relevant volume okay so it's below the threshold
189:12 okay then uh you can point it out I think we are going to yes we are going to push it out till
189:20 this Mhm. If these traders close the position, skyrocket up, we are experience the first time
189:28 that we are seeing this now. Yeah. What risks can can we take here? If let me show you this
189:35 is the candle that incorporated all this sell volume inside. If they manage to break the high
189:41 of this candle, okay, and get back in, not even if I calculated on purpose, $500 risk,
189:53 we can shoot up
189:57 to $2,000 trade. It's a one to four riskto-reward.
190:02 We will see later if it is still what we need to have to activate this setup break out with
190:09 full body candle of this high. Okay. So you need to close. I need to close. Yes. So if
190:15 the market goes down great aggressive cell I recalibrate my stop loss. Okay.
190:24 Let's see what it does.
190:30 Still I expect a whipso down. Why the buyers follow through is garbage. Yes. Yeah. Yeah.
190:39 Um the sellers Yes. The sellers can push out up closing this position but the reaction of
190:44 the buyers is not so good. If we start to go above here the sellers will be forced to
190:50 close. This can be a catalyst for up. But I would like to see that we reach this global
190:55 node. This is really interesting. Let's see if we manage to get it. Just so you know,
191:03 you hold the record for the longest char episode. Really? That's right. Probably approaching four
191:09 or five hours, I think, by now. Really? It's a course. It's not a Yeah, exactly. Exactly.
191:16 We told the people free education, you know, that you've never seen before. And, you know,
191:20 we like to deliver and you've helped us to do that. Like I said, I'm excited to see the
191:24 feedback, the comments from everyone. Interesting. Interesting. Ultra aggressive sellers getting
191:31 absorbed close to the low volume node. So this trade is not valid. Okay, we are canceling it.
191:44 Now this low volume node is created by this candle. Mhm. And they try to create a new low
191:50 but it failed to do it. So we expect that if we approach again this low we have the
191:56 final drive when the bubbles present themselves on the chart is that when
192:01 the execution has taken yes okay exactly so you expect so especially for that size
192:07 you would expect price when it's happened to to instantly move really so the fact
192:11 it doesn't is where we're saying absorption yes exactly because if we look back here for
192:17 example those buys came in we moved Yes. Yeah. Same here. The sells came in, we didn't move,
192:24 but the buys came in. We Yes. They they are facilitated in moving the the market. We are
192:31 What about now? What is your We are getting ready for I need only the lock in of uh uh green. Here
192:41 we are approaching the level. So, I'm waiting. You still need that closer.
192:46 Yes. This is exactly $500. Let's put for now at 1,000. Let's see the close.
192:56 The close is there. Not yet. It's a one minute candle. You needed to close above. Yeah,
193:04 it can close also below this one. If it close the important is that it close below this,
193:10 above this and above this. So, still not doing it. You see it's rejecting. Okay. This one is
193:16 not okay. Still not in the trade. Gotcha. Thanks God. Still not in the trade because as soon as
193:24 the sellers are not are still protecting the position, you will see the retracement. How
193:30 often do you see like early buyers early sellers as in traps essentially or like okay getting in
193:36 buyers early here for example. Mhm. But then we go to that low volume. Yeah. A lot of times
193:40 does that happen a lot? Yeah. Yes. That's why that confirmation is so important. Yeah. Yeah,
193:44 it's like a semaphore like if it's red and you are trying to pass two times out of 10
193:51 it's working but the other time you are crashing another car like now it's again
193:56 presenting the setups but you needed to close I need to close but I think we are almost there
194:06 let's see yes closed okay we are in
194:13 just tested So, we got filled. Now, we can decide to scale one to two. Yeah. At 1,00 and then scale
194:24 the final position out of the top of the day. If we take a stop loss on this one, we will close the
194:30 day because the model is not responding properly because we are in consolidation phase. You see,
194:36 we are whipsome whips. So, we protect the profit that we made for the day. Yeah. Now I like these
194:42 setups because they are usually zero draw down like we are getting the whips. So up we are loaded
194:47 here. When can we put this position to break even? Break this high we are risk free. Yeah let's see
194:54 how it goes. You notice something about the really good setups that they go immediately in profit.
195:03 That's the reason this one I decided to close only with $250 loss because if it
195:08 fail to option I you are going to stop loss. There is no way you will win a trade like this.
195:18 So we are in line with bias. We have aggressive sellers stopped absorbed not tapping directly
195:26 on the low volume node but on the same level where the sellers get get absorbed before. Yeah, bias is
195:33 there. Let's see if they reach at least the close. No, because it was over overlapped with this one.
195:44 Imagine now they spike down. Close this one and stop this. That happens, right? Yeah, this will
195:50 not surprise me. NASDAQ a lot of time does double legs with multiple spikes before jumping. But the
195:58 good part about NASDAQ that now is not a good day. like we are managing to make profit but this is
196:03 the worst day that you can have because usually when it's building momentum is trend falling this
196:08 one is breakout we saw break out if we if we weren't in this saying right now where we're
196:14 trying to obviously trade live and and continue to trade if you were at home and you took that first
196:20 trade and you see this would you then okay it's a day for me or would you say when I see that this
196:26 model fails goes back and I take profit from this probably I will just take another thousand profit
196:34 and close for the day because it's not the market environment that is making me money. Yeah. Like I
196:39 want to go more aggressive when it's like long session was really nice. You see uh directional
196:44 move a lot of volatility in explosion like fast one to three setups now is getting like also for
196:52 price action trader is getting really compressed. Yeah. like all this area is not making anything
196:58 just breaking going down breaking going down. So now we have two scenario either we get another
197:03 1,000 profit and we close at 1,750 or we just get at least to break even this one when we break
197:14 this high and we let it run. Yeah. If you let it run each contract that we open on this one Mhm.
197:24 would give us. Let's go to the top of the day.
197:31 For each contract we are making 3,680.
197:37 So sometimes it's worth it to do it because if you get three or four contract you can make five
197:43 figures per day. Yeah. But the win rate gets uh lower. So you can have these amazing days if you
197:50 are heavy on the lot size like me. I I can open five, six, seven, 10 uh of mini contract. It's
197:57 heavy. If you get 10 contract there, you can make $40,000. Uh but the win rate drops drops down. I
198:04 This is just a personal like decision. I prefer a lot of days of 3,000 5,000 6,000 2,000 5,000
198:14 8,000 and to build the five to six figures for the month than having 40,000 minus 3 - 5 - 4 - 3
198:23 is not psychologically is not um helping me you know and I think it's only ego because you can
198:30 just take for example let's say that you are sometimes what happens is it always balance
198:35 sometimes it balances Anyway, yeah, but one person hasn't had to take so many losses. Yeah. Which is,
198:41 as you say, psychologically, most people couldn't handle that. There are going to
198:44 be those occasional psychopaths who can handle handle in the beginning. Then I had one day where
198:49 I was floating 28,000 for the day. I decided to keep for the eye. It just reversed five
198:56 tick below the eye and I lost everything plus a stop loss on the next trades. So just I say, "No,
199:03 it's just stupid. just you can close at 28,000 you are done for the week what you need to do
199:10 so it's heavier from the psychology side it's I will say also less profitable but I I don't
199:18 know because I never try to keep my position open but for example today you will be already
199:24 in true loss if you keep the stop loss there you don't trail or you don't manage we would already
199:29 taken three loss mhm we will not be sitting on a profit now soon we go to break even on
199:34 this one because it's going really good. We we got inside here on the test. When we reach the high,
199:40 are you expecting a squeeze with this three? Yes. Okay. That's the reason that I I say I will bring
199:48 to break even not close full position here because with the right squeeze it can go really fast to
199:53 for example 2,000. Okay. Can go really fast. So let's take as a reference that we bring to break
199:59 even here. But what we can expect is momentum. Now building for the day and when does your typically
200:07 your session come to an end? It depends like uh some session consider that I'm living in
200:13 uh United Arab Emirates. So I'm uh for me New York session is uh really late. Yeah,
200:19 it's already uh 7. Yeah, 7 and um usually I finish 8 9 sometimes 10. And it's not just convenient
200:31 to keep. So I do the first three to four hours of the session. Yeah. And I just manage trades but I
200:38 don't decide not to take other trades. Now we have um an opportunity to put our stop loss to break
200:44 even already. If this break again this eye not to break even to stop no to break even to break even.
200:51 If this eye breaks what the market is saying to us is that aggressive buyers are pushing sellers are
200:58 trying to get aggressive. but they are getting failed. You know, I will not even say to break
201:03 even, but I will secure other $250. So, putting stopping profit. So, in the worst case scenario,
201:08 we close $1,000 and I'm still okay with it, you know. Let's see if it approached the high and get
201:16 as Yes. So, yes, exactly $250 for the day. Um, that brings back back like if we didn't
201:24 took the previous loss. Yeah. And uh you see building slowly the profit for the day is not
201:29 heavy mentally and is not giving us the risk that if now this is a failed auction that it
201:35 explode lower we get another $500 loss. Yeah. Like getting consistent wins getting all your
201:42 trading journal green it's better than getting green on one day and red on all the other days.
201:50 What happens if uh is that what you would expect though if price was to come to this level to go
201:54 continue lower down to here? Considering that it's not breaking if it goes back here and it breaks.
201:59 Yes. It will go at least to break even. Yeah. To to the previous level where we entered. So then
202:04 you might as well put it into profit. Better be out. Better be out. like securing uh securing some
202:09 profit for the day and uh be able to make 1,000 in the worst market environment. Secure for you five
202:19 or 10,000 when the condition are good. Yeah. Like look at this market. The only trending environment
202:27 that we did is this one and we monetized it. Exactly. All the rest is just managing your risk
202:32 management and surviving this market condition. I decided to put that stopping profit here because
202:39 this failed option. Yeah. Says a lot about what the price want to do. Okay. Says a lot. So if we
202:45 break this one, we will collapse down and then you can say maybe we react here. Yes. We can try
202:50 another trade but sitting on a profit. Yeah. Like we can risk the profit. Yeah. And if it does come
202:57 down though to the low volume node for example, then you have then you you can use half of the
203:02 1,000 that we make. Yeah. for uh for for it but just I know NASDAQ and I know that after the huge
203:11 gap that it made usually the day is rebalance you know because the yeah it's it's a really not clear
203:20 situation about Iran and they are just compressing you see also the buyers are not getting any
203:25 followup like they are trying to push in the market high but it was getting really aggressive
203:30 by the sellers we are still not out of the position Let's see if this buyer can protect it.
203:40 Consider that the profit that we made today is made considering one contract execution. Yeah.
203:48 So you need to multiply it for the amount of margin you have available to open three,
203:53 four, five contract. We are out. We are 1,000 in profit for the day. We are out.
204:00 Now what we can do again is if this breaks the high try the squeeze. Okay. From here
204:12 but it needs to break the high. You need a close again. Yes. Yeah. Squeeze the from here. Getting
204:22 $1,000 profit. I think we can reach this easily if the price squeeze correctly. Mhm.
204:30 So now we are 1,000 another 1,000 per contract. Consider that with five contract
204:36 available you will close the day at 10,000. Yeah. People don't consider how much profit
204:42 it is. But if you can do this in these days, this candle close we are in. Mhm.
204:52 You can also get a little bit more aggressive. For example, this one it's $290 each contract.
204:57 You can get two contract and get 600 risk to make other 2,000. Yeah. Yeah. Now we are
205:02 making all the trades with one contract. So we just consider one contract. We need to be with
205:06 a candle out of this area. Yeah. For confirming trades. Still no. Did you ever in the beginning
205:18 when when looking at charts in this way when price got above just enter without the closure?
205:24 I that's the reason now I'm so calm. What would you say helped you to overcome that? Uh the equity
205:30 line. The equity line. You see this one is not accepting is didn't close. Now this is the first
205:38 candle that can close above and we need to adapt. Like if the candle for example is closing here,
205:46 it's still valid but we need to take other $100 of risk. Okay. So we just need a candle that
205:52 close. At the moment is not closing. And every time that you reject, as I told you, the setup
205:58 gets weaker and weaker. So every time I get more um demanding from my setup. So for example, now
206:04 I expect for a breakout of this. Mhm. So I need a breakout of this level. I will take still $385
206:14 to target for I think what you said is right though in terms of uh the day the
206:18 day that we're trading today with obviously that large gap that is a large gap as well.
206:22 3% um of a gap that got reclaimed and then we did have some decent movement after that reclaim
206:29 as well in London right um as well as coming into New York we had a very good move that we captured
206:34 as well so you know in reality we could have this move but we could also just chop and chop probably
206:43 for the way this presenting like breaking the high of the consolidation and getting in this chop It's
206:52 a decision day and it's Monday. Yeah, it's really common. Yeah, Monday that it happens like Monday
206:57 and Friday are my worst day in performance. Yeah, because they are not explosion day. They are I
207:03 still make profit but the profit factor is like way lower. Mhm. But um if it breaks there you
207:11 see again fake breakout getting back inside we are just not doing anything just compressing the only
207:17 thing that I can expect is that if we approach this high we see some acceleration that's the
207:21 reason I still say I can also take double the risk here and risk $700 if it goes in the worst case
207:31 scenario I'm still in profit for the day small profit but I'm profitable for the day. Yeah. And
207:36 if you take double the risk, it's another 2,000 that this will bring the day to 3,000. Now let's
207:41 consider we take this trade and we close the day at 3,000. We are using one contract. Okay,
207:46 let's see also to contract is what you can do with 100,000 $100,000 account. Yeah, it's 3%
207:53 in one day. People don't understand how much it is if you can do this consistently. Of course,
207:57 like the edge found will be craving for you like we will be knocking on your door. It's
208:03 a good accumulation what he's doing here. This is a good pattern taking the low rejecting on
208:09 the big trades. This is really nice. So really when it comes to the the big buyers and sellers,
208:16 for example, if a seller stepped in right now but no follow through, that's great for that
208:21 narrative. If a buyer steps in right now with follow through, that's great for the narrative.
208:26 Uh what you don't want to see is a seller step in and it follows through or a buyer follow
208:30 uh fail. Yes. If you are long. Yes. Yeah. Opposite if you are short like we were seeing of course see
208:36 again fake breakouts times with the rules that I created that you need to see a full body candle
208:44 above the eye. You are saving all these small stops. Yeah. Because you are not engaging. You
208:50 are simply not engaging. I told you NASDAQ is not uncommon that it will Mhm. do this gain. If
208:58 it got down there now though, at this point in the session, would you still be interested in
209:02 it or? I would. It would be an amazing trades, but it means that I need to sacrifice time with
209:09 uh with my family and I need to not eat because I need to manage the trades. It's really late
209:15 now for for me. I will take it, but I will bring it to break even as soon as possible. And this is
209:21 the only set and forget trades that I will do. And then yeah because this testing of this I go break
209:27 even at the first big volume and then if it reach the eyes or if u I need to close it uh before the
209:34 end of the day I just don't care. Yeah just I need to be protected as soon as possible but I
209:39 need also to protect my mental health. Yeah, this is something that people are willing to sacrifice
209:44 just to make additional 50 bucks per day or additional I'm not willing to do it because
209:49 I am already in a position where money it's not important for me and 1,000 plus per day doesn't
209:57 change my life. Yeah. So I can decide when to engage and where not to engage. For example,
210:02 now now we are doing education but this day I will say 1,000 it's enough. Tomorrow it's another day
210:08 and I will wait for the explosion day. I was like this is the goal of every trader. If you can make
210:15 money or just close at break even in the days that your model is not working. So for example,
210:20 you have a min reverting day and you have a trending day, you close break even a small
210:23 profit, you're great. Yeah. Same for trend following model. Whilst we're waiting on this,
210:30 if we go down just out of curiosity and I'm sure there might be some who are might be thinking this
210:36 or asking this. 5 minutes or 1 minute? Uh we stay one minute. If we come down to that level where we
210:41 rebounded off ah yes this one like there will be people no doubt thinking like why not why don't we
210:47 try and execute there because that's going to give us such a larger trade right and I know we talked
210:53 about it slightly earlier but like what would your what would your opinion on that be because um this
211:00 setup here is using the opposite logic that I'm using is using one big run with lower rate. Yeah.
211:08 Like I can guarantee to you that if you watch NASDAQ session opening seven times out of 10 if
211:16 you try to get the aggression you will fail. Three times out of 10 you will be right and you will you
211:22 will take a huge risk to reward trades. But you have seven red days and three green days and you
211:28 don't know when they're presented. If this is okay for you do it like volume is greater because it's
211:34 saying that these sellers are getting absorbed. Just I tried this model and it's not for me. Like
211:40 when you trade big sides getting 7 days strict loss that you see - 10,000 - 5 - 6 it's heavy go
211:50 to sleep with this heaviness is for me it's not I I see before I was searching for the home run
211:57 you know I was wanting to take you see it break the Mhm. the session. So this setup of getting
212:03 the full candle positioning yourself is not valid anymore. This market condition is in reverting.
212:12 Yeah. So just going to revisit and this should let people understand that taking out here is saving
212:23 you money. Yeah. Mhm. Like and if we kept the trade till here, we didn't only not profit this
212:30 $250, but we will also lose $500. So, as you can see, and we can demonstrate this,
212:36 risk management is if not more important at the same level, cuz keep in mind as well that was
212:42 with one contract. So, if it was more, if it was more it was 7,500. If it was 10 more, at the end
212:49 of the month, it count. Now the we are completely compressing. Let's see if we accelerate a little
212:59 bit to get to this final point. If not and call it a day there because it's been incredible. If not,
213:06 we got to see everything though. We got to see break even. We got to see four hours of I know.
213:10 Yeah. Yeah. I think we will just close the day because it's full consolidation rits. Yeah. And uh
213:17 we'll just check later how it went. If it closed the low volume node and went up. Yeah. Yeah,
213:22 we'll get a screenshot or something going for sure. Everyone at home, finally we come to
213:26 an end. Drop a comment of your biggest takeaway from this episode. Did you enjoy the live trading
213:32 segment? If so, drop it in the comments. Let the people know out there that they need to be doing
213:38 live trading here on Chartax as well. Obviously, a massive shout out to Fabio because it takes a lot.
213:44 It wasn't planned. I, you know, I didn't ask him. He he offered to do this which is incredible and
213:48 such incredible trading skill and you get to see it here live what a true professional trader does
213:54 but also what a true professional playbook and strategy looks like really. Um but links for Fabio
214:00 will be in the description below so make sure you check that out right now. Uh hit subscribe,
214:05 hit like. Other episodes are on screen. We've been chaff and until next time, take