This content outlines an "over/under" football betting strategy focused on capitalizing on second-half goals, aiming for profitability by managing risk and maximizing returns through a structured three-step approach.
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this over under betting strategy is one of the easiest ways to profit from football why because
74% of major league matches have at least one goal in the second half in this video I'll break
it down into three simple steps so that anyone can follow backed up by a real world example to
show you how it works you'll learn how to reduce risk maximize returns and build a strategy that
delivers long-term profitable results over time so let's dive straight into step one because
preparation makes everything that follows easier so let's explore how to do it properly first of
all we need to look for matches where teams have a history of scoring particularly in the second half
now think about it how many games have you seen that explode into life after halim that's exactly
what we're looking for here now there are multiple places to do it but tools like soccer stats list
performance statistics for goals in each half so finding a team with 70% or higher second half
scoring rate in their last 10 matches is sign ific because it's exactly the kind of pattern
that we want to find as you'll see in the example in just a second you can find them by selecting
the relevant League season and then the halftime stats now next we need to identify matches that
are likely to start cautiously games with high stakes often see less action in the first half
for example crucial league matches Cup finals and relegation battles nearly always start slow
before opening up in the second half no doubt you'll have probably seen that happen in the
past two motivation for go goals is a critical Factor ask yourself why do teams want to score
is there a lot at stake or are they fighting just to avoid that relegation a mid-table clash might
lack urgency but when a team has something to gain or lose their playing style often reflects it and
changes in the second half now we want to aim for matches where one to two goals are likely because
that is The Sweet Spot teams with a strong defense and decent attacking potential create
the kind of balance this strategy thrives on as you'll see in the next step a little preparation
goes a long way but don't be too rigid we need some flexibility for when it comes to placing
our first bet and watching the match the example in step two will highlight what I mean so one of
the biggest advantages with this strategy is the control you have over when you place a bet think
of it like a boxing match where you don't have to step into the ring until your opponent is already
on their knees because we're only going to bet if the game aligns with the previous steps research
which is exactly what we're going to do here with this example on the screen now but it's only one
part of the equation because we need to get a great price value bets are crucial which is why
I'd recommend using sharpex Exchange with low commission and best prices is the best deal on
offer but makers like bet 365 Factor big margins into their prices to make money whereas betting
exchanges have no margin at all instead winners pay a small Commission on profits now if the
first half is unfolding as expected with both teams playing cautiously it's time to take the
next step here's what we do at halim or early in the second half we place a lay bet on the under
1.5 goals line for clarity we're betting against there being 1.5 goals here ideally the exchanges
betting odds will be between 1.4 and 1.6 for this bet this odd range minimizes the financial
downside whilst providing a strong upside why because at Short odds a 50% loss only represents
25% of the potential upside for example a Labette with a stake of 100 at 1.5 means that the maximum
liability is 50 so a 50% loss is just 25 however the maximum profit on this situation is of course
100 it's a calculated trade-off for what's about to follow in just a moment in this example between
West Ham and Crystal Palace the lay bet would be placed at a price of 1.56 so 100 lay stake would
mean a maximum liability of 56 now both teams failed to score in the first half although pretty
much analysis coupled with what was actually happening on the pitch suggested that there's
likely to be a goal later on so at this stage we've created a low-risk bet and set ourselves
up for some success but this is just the beginning because step three is where the betting strategy
really comes interested now that we've placed our opening bet it's time to monitor the match
and React to what actually unfolds and this is the most exciting part of the betting strategy because
there are four options that can play out each of them offer a chance to manage risk and maximize
returns so let's go through each of them one at a time with the example to help explain so imagine
the game is still at nil nil by the 70th minute and play is still actually quite dull now at this
point the odds for the under 1.5 goals would have dropped significantly it's the worst case scenario
and although unlikely we need to minimize the financial pain so once the odds drop to around
50% of our opening bets price we cash out for a partial loss for example that would mean a price
of 1.28 it means we lose 50% of our lay BET's liability but remember because we entered at sh
OD it only represents 25% of the first BET's potential upside for clarity this means that
option one's potential loss is just 28 quid the key here is discipline we must avoid temptation
to let it run if the game isn't line in with expectations it's better to cut the losses and
move on to the next one where an enhanced profit is waiting which leads me on to option number two
now let's say there's a goal at the 48th minute and there actually was in this example the better
odds for the under 1.5 goals Market will naturally shoot up as you can see on the chart on screen
there are several options depending on how you want to play it but this option is to immediately
cash out and lock in a profit at the available price it depends on how far into the match we are
but the chances are that the odds will double at this point giving us a 50% profit on our lay bet
stake which is 100% of the potential liability at risk in the example case 56 quid this is the
safest and simplest way to secure a win but option three is a little bit different we've
got the upper hand here on the market but don't want to miss out on the sizeable a win so we can
eliminate all liability by placing the back bet on the under 1.5 gos Market at the new price of 3. 45
for 2285 this guarantees no loss and provides us with a risk-free bet on there being another goal
if the game ends with just one goal you break even with no loss and no profit however if there is a
second goal you secure that chunkier profit given the prices in our example the potential
upside would be 7715 if another goal goes in for those who strongly believe there's another
goal coming it minimizes the downside if they're wrong lastly there's option four and it's the most
favorable option for many so you let the BET run in the anticipation of there being another goal
for maximum return your entire lay stake but with the twist in our examples case this would
obviously mean that total stake of 100 as profit however as the game plays out the under 1.5 goals
Market will gradually start to tick back down to Shorter odds because a second goal has not yet
been scored now if the second goal goes in then great we've banked that maximum win of 100 00 but
if the second goal doesn't come we monitor the Imp play betting nods until they reach our original
lay bets entry price where we can cash out for no loss at all because of course we're backing
to the same lay ODS and for the same stake exactly the same price now in our examples case this would
have been the final outcome in the 78th minute as you can see here on the screen by following
the structured approach we limit your downside but maximize your potential upside and stay in control
similar is the betting strategy here in the end screen for both teams to the score markets they're
another great way of profiting from football so thanks for watching I'll see you next time
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