0:02 We have completely changed the way that
0:05 we draft in Dynasty startup drafts. Like
0:06 I'm telling you, like it's it's changed
0:08 completely this offseason. We're going
0:10 to highlight exactly what we changed,
0:12 why we did that, why we think it's way
0:14 better for you to draft this way in your
0:16 Dynasty drafts and how it could help you
0:18 in the future. Not that if you drafted
0:19 our other way that you were in a bad
0:20 shape cuz we have plenty of teams we're
0:21 in fine shape in, but we have really
0:23 like Dynasty, we look at it a lot
0:24 differently this offseason. We have just
0:26 because of the market. So make sure if
0:27 you play Dynasty, drop a like, make sure
0:28 you subscribe. Let's get into this. I
0:30 want to help you guys with your dynasty
0:33 startups today. In terms of this year,
0:35 like this is going to be very, very
0:37 specific. 2025 advice. Sometimes we'll
0:38 get on here and we'll do Dynasty startup
0:39 videos and we'll be like, "Okay, here
0:40 are general rules that apply to every
0:42 Dynasty startup till the end of the
0:43 time. Like, take the value, don't trade
0:45 up, all that stuff." Yes, all of that
0:46 still applies. You can find that in any
0:47 of our other startup videos from before.
0:49 This is specific to right now because
0:52 right now it is very easy to screw this
0:54 up. And we know it is because we've had
0:57 what 14 live dynasty community leagues
0:59 on our channel. Real money leagues
1:00 hosted by people in our community that
1:02 we've live streamed. So we've not only
1:04 looked at those, but we Nathan and I
1:06 have also both done two startups this
1:07 offseason. That's really all we can do,
1:08 including this one that we're going to
1:10 talk about here a little bit, the Krusty
1:12 Krab too uh right next to the original
1:15 because money as Mr. Krab said. But um
1:17 we're going to talk about the specific
1:18 drafts. Let's talk about draft position
1:19 this year. A lot of people we get this
1:21 question all the time. Hey, what's the
1:22 best place to draft from in a Dynasty
1:25 startup? Here's how I broke it down. One
1:26 through three are our least favorite
1:27 spots, and you're going to get the full
1:29 rundown on why I hate drafting up top.
1:31 And every time I draft in the top three,
1:33 I hate my team. I hate it. Four through
1:34 nine are better, but it's a mixed bag
1:36 based on who you actually get falling to
1:38 you in the middle rounds. It can be
1:39 good. We've seen very good teams at
1:40 four. We've seen very good teams at
1:41 nine. We've seen very good teams in
1:44 between. But if you end up on the wrong
1:45 side of tier drops, depending on
1:46 positionally how players end up going in
1:48 the draft, you could it just it's kind
1:50 of a wild card.
1:52 But then this is the important part. 10
1:52 through 12, and we're going to tell you
1:54 exactly why positionally 10 through 12
1:55 are the cream of the crop in these
1:57 drafts, especially third round reversal
1:59 leagues. Uh 10 through 12 is a cheat
2:02 code, like imbalanced to a point. And
2:03 we're going to again, I'll tell you
2:04 exactly why in third round versus less,
2:06 but different than previous seasons.
2:08 Let's look at our early round strategy
2:10 for 2025 and kind of how Nathan and I
2:11 have approached this so far as we've
2:13 done some of these drafts. Yeah. So,
2:16 we've got early round strategy. Um
2:17 there's this is really where you kind of
2:20 make or break uh really your three-year
2:22 outlook. Um and uh starting out your
2:25 dynasty league, I I think that it's
2:27 really important to
2:30 understand that um with the value of
2:32 wide receivers going up so much and them
2:34 being a dime a
2:36 dozen, it still is worth taking wide
2:38 receivers in the early rounds. Um in
2:40 fact, I think it's worth prioritizing
2:42 them in in the early rounds. Uh if you
2:44 can go wide receiver, wide receiver
2:46 start. I'm totally cool with that. If
2:48 you go wide receiver, QB start, QB wide
2:50 receiver start, I'm totally cool with
2:51 that because you basically leave the
2:54 first couple of rounds with one of those
2:58 top 12 cornerstone wide receivers. What
3:00 we've found when we review a lot of
3:03 teams and blueprints is um if a team
3:06 that is contending does not have a top
3:09 12 top 12 to 15 cornerstone uh wide
3:12 receiver, the number one thing that
3:13 we're telling them to do and the number
3:15 one moves that we're recommending they
3:17 make are all for the purpose of them
3:19 getting a top 15 cornerstone wide
3:21 receiver. If you don't have one of those
3:23 guys and you're trying to get through um
3:26 your your season with uh DJ Moore, Chris
3:30 Godwin, and Tyreek Hill, and DK Metaf,
3:31 like that's a fine wide receiver room
3:35 production-wise, uh you are big time,
3:37 you're big- time risk um of of really
3:40 not maintaining your overall value at
3:41 your roster. And when you lock down one
3:43 of those cornerstone guys up top, these
3:44 guys are just as insulated as a
3:46 quarterback's going there. Um so, I I
3:47 think that's really going to be one of
3:49 the top recommendations we have here. We
3:51 don't love seeing people take tight end.
3:54 I love Bowers. I love Trey McBride as
3:57 individual fantasy talents and dynasty
4:00 assets. The the uh the the team's
4:03 outlook um when when they go with
4:05 Bowowers or Trey McBride fresh out of a
4:06 startup is
4:09 just it's it's just less than ideal.
4:10 Let's look at the example here. And
4:12 yeah, when we're looking at teams here
4:15 um in in the Krusty Krab 2 uh that that
4:17 we did, uh you're seeing the guy Basher
4:20 1011 shout out goes with Bowowers at the
4:22 17, which again value-wise is not a bad
4:23 pick. It's like, you know, you can take
4:25 Bowowers there. It's totally fine. He's
4:27 going to maintain his value. But look at
4:28 the rest of the team here. You've got
4:29 Herbert and Love as your QBs. Your
4:31 running back one is Barkley. You don't
4:32 go running back for the rest of the
4:34 draft until Swift, Naji, Warren, etc.
4:36 And then this is your wide receiver
4:37 room. Exactly what I'm talking about.
4:40 Devonte Smith, Terry McLaren, Jerry
4:43 Judy, and Jaylen Wadd. The number one
4:44 recommendation for this team if we were
4:46 to do a blueprint for this team is move
4:48 off of Bowers down tier to literally
4:51 like Leaporta at the the highest would
4:52 the highest tight ending you want to
4:54 down tier to or you just move off of
4:55 Bowers entirely for what a cornerstone
4:58 wide receiver because that's I mean
4:59 that's where your biggest shortcoming is
5:01 going to be your best wide receiver in
5:03 this room as a wide receiver too. It's
5:05 Dvonte Smith. So, uh keep that in mind
5:06 with tight ends. you definitely
5:08 sacrifice a lot of uh value upside
5:11 opportunity and just overall insulation
5:12 at the wide receiver position
5:13 specifically when you're going tight end
5:16 in those early rounds. Um and then if
5:17 you take a running back in the first
5:19 three rounds, you really needed to take
5:20 two other wide receivers. When you take
5:22 a running back, when you take uh Genty,
5:24 Gibbs, or Bejon in the first or second
5:26 round, which we've seen plenty of drafts
5:28 where that happens, and we're totally
5:29 cool with it, uh you just have to make
5:31 sure that the other two picks are going
5:32 to be wide receivers. you are
5:35 sacrificing high-end quarterback uh
5:38 production upside. You're sacrificing
5:40 uh Lamar Jackson when you take an Omar
5:42 and Hampton at the tail end of the
5:43 second or early third. You're
5:46 sacrificing a Drake May when you're
5:49 taking Bejon um in in the first round.
5:50 You don't want to be taking Drake May.
5:51 You want to be locking down probably a
5:54 BTJ there and then getting a another
5:55 wide receiver on the wrap in the third
5:58 round. So just make sure again I think
5:59 the star of the show at this point which
6:00 has definitely switched from previous
6:02 years from quarterback to now wide
6:04 receiver in the early rounds. Wide
6:05 receiver is the star of the show. This
6:07 is quite literally the golden age of
6:09 wide receivers not just in dynasty and
6:10 fantasy but the NFL. I mean you're
6:12 you're seeing these contracts come
6:14 through as well. They're they're
6:15 becoming the second highest paid
6:18 position in the NFL. This is the
6:20 modern-day NFL. It is built with wide
6:23 receivers. It it's built with an elite
6:24 passing game. And if you don't have an
6:27 elite passing game with elite options,
6:28 you're not making a deep run and you're
6:30 not winning a Super Bowl. And that's
6:31 just that that's just the fact of the
6:33 matter. Which makes what? It makes wide
6:36 receivers wildly insulated. Insanely
6:38 insulated. Which is also why just a
6:40 little strategy note outside of this too
6:42 with startups. This is why we're also um
6:44 this is this is why we're not
6:45 recommending that you down tier from
6:47 some of those top wide receiver assets
6:48 as much as we have in the past as well
6:50 because you just it's so hard to get
6:52 back up to that level when you let go of
6:54 one of those guys. So, Nathan kind of
6:57 led into it there, but the new domain
6:59 draft strategy, while it used to be we
7:01 really like dual elite QB builds, now we
7:02 like wide receiver factory builds all
7:04 the way, our strategy now is centered,
7:06 and your strategy in startup draft
7:07 should be centered around the wide
7:08 receiver position for these reasons. And
7:09 he kind of alluded to this. Wide
7:11 receivers are far and away the easiest
7:14 position to trade away. And liquidity
7:15 matters when you're drafting in a
7:17 startup. Liquidity matters because
7:19 everybody is starting from this point,
7:20 right? When you look at the my teams
7:21 analyzers on flock, we can get a
7:23 screenshot up of somebody who just came
7:24 out of a startup. We always know which
7:26 reviews when we're doing blueprints, we
7:27 always know which ones are straight out
7:29 of a startup because it's very even all
7:30 the way across the board. Just a tiny
7:31 little stairst step all the way down.
7:32 Everybody is starting from pretty much
7:34 the same point from a value perspective.
7:36 And so liquidity is important because
7:37 it's the only way you're going to build
7:38 a dynasty team that is head and
7:40 shoulders value-wise above your league
7:43 mates. And so getting a position, a
7:44 drafting position that's easy to trade
7:47 away is super important. They hold their
7:48 value as well as any position. They hold
7:49 their value better than quarterbacks.
7:52 They do. I mean, you you CJ Shroud, for
7:53 example, CJ Shroud was as insulated
7:55 quarterback, top three quarterback, and
7:57 you he goes from the top three down to,
7:58 you know, the third round. Justin Fields
7:59 was being drafted in the first round.
8:02 They went for the 11th next year.
8:03 Mahomes, who was supposed to be the
8:05 safest quarter, safest asset in dynasty,
8:07 drops to the middle of the second round
8:09 because he has not produced as a
8:11 high-end quarterback one. So, and the
8:12 other thing the other thing with wide
8:14 receivers and why our strategy has
8:16 shifted more towards that is because now
8:17 you have a large percentage of people
8:19 playing dynasty playing in full point
8:20 PPR leagues which means from a
8:22 production standpoint there's also an
8:25 advantage to having high target options
8:27 like a Malik Neighbors like a Jamar
8:30 Chase right but even going down like an
8:32 Aman St. round like a Jackson Smith, a
8:33 jig or lad maki, there's a huge
8:35 advantage from a scoring standpoint and
8:36 so when you're looking all across the
8:38 board, every facet of dynasty is
8:39 pointing towards the wide receiver
8:41 position being the most valuable. Now,
8:43 one thing with that too, uh just
8:45 thinking realistically here, like with
8:48 normal standard uh league formats and
8:50 starting lineups, how many of each
8:52 position do you have to start? Two
8:54 quarterbacks, two running backs, one
8:57 tight end, and three wide receivers. And
8:59 that's before you get to your flex
9:01 spots. And there's more wide receivers.
9:03 Exactly. And that's why they're always
9:04 going to be in demand is because
9:06 everyone just they constantly want wide
9:07 receivers because they're the easiest.
9:09 They're they're the most achievable
9:11 because people can they're they're able
9:12 to move off of them more than they are
9:15 the high-end running backs. And then it
9:16 gives you a lot more flexibility. So
9:18 going off of that, really the number one
9:20 key in my opinion, the number one
9:23 strategy point to having a successful
9:24 Dynasty startup draft right now in
9:27 Dynasty is working around the drop offs
9:29 in wide receiver value. And there are
9:30 multiple drops offs here that we need to
9:31 talk about. Let's talk about the the
9:33 wide receiver tiers. There is a big drop
9:35 off after Alman Ross St. Brown, right?
9:35 Obviously, there are tiers that
9:37 separate, you know, Jamar Jen Jefferson
9:39 from Aman St. Brown and BTJ. But in
9:41 terms of getting an elite wide receiver,
9:43 you know, you're talking about both of
9:44 all those guys, all those top seven guys
9:47 are gone before the 24 typically. And so
9:48 you're typically only going to get one
9:49 of those guys if if you're drafting at
9:50 the turn, you're not going to get a
9:51 Jefferson chase. So you're going to have
9:54 to get an ammonra. But again, there is a
9:55 huge drop off in the early second round
9:59 and afterwards in elite wide receiver
10:00 value cuz then you go from the like
10:03 bonafide elite guys to your really
10:05 really good really high upside guys. But
10:06 there it's not, you know, like you need
10:07 to worry because you've got Drake
10:09 London, you've got Nico Collins, you've
10:11 got JSN, Lad, Travis Hunter all going
10:14 there in the like midsecond to uh mid
10:15 third range. There's a whole another
10:18 round of wide receiver values that you
10:19 feel good about that you can build your
10:21 dynasty team around. But then there is
10:23 another pretty big tier drop off after
10:26 JSN, Lad, Hunter. Then you kind of get
10:28 into that next tier guys where you
10:29 there's some uncertainty or maybe they
10:31 have some some lower production issues
10:33 or things like that, injury issues. But
10:35 you get into the tier of guys Tat
10:37 McMillan and then you get into like T.
10:40 Higgins, Rashi Rice, Romo Dun, and this
10:43 is it. This is how you win. You want to
10:44 win a dynasty startup, you need to know
10:46 where the Higgins, Rice, Odun drop off
10:48 is because it is the number one. It's so
10:51 simple, but it will absolutely make or
10:54 break your dynasty draft. Make or break.
10:57 Mark my words because here's something
10:58 like very practical for you. You can
10:59 take any of your startups when you're
11:01 doing them before the teardrop in the
11:02 early fourth round, which is again that
11:04 Higgins rice odun. They typically odun
11:05 is the last guy to go and he goes
11:07 somewhere early to mid- fourth.
11:09 Sometimes Odun will creep into the fifth
11:10 like late fourth, early fifth, but
11:12 rarely do we see that. Yep. Before that
11:14 tier drop, you need at least two wide
11:16 receivers, if not three of them, to have
11:19 a very, very good dynasty startup draft
11:22 to have enough liquidity to have enough
11:23 value insulation, production upside,
11:26 flex spot upside. So, you're talking
11:29 about of your top four picks, at least
11:31 two of them should be receiver, if not
11:33 three. The best Bills I have seen,
11:35 including in this draft, are the ones
11:37 with three. Nathan probably had the best
11:40 draft of anybody, him and Blue. Nathan
11:42 drafted Chase London JSN and then went
11:44 Baker Penn. And yes, everybody's gonna
11:46 say, and we'll get to quarterbacks. I
11:48 know the issue with not going elite QB
11:52 up top, which is why I went Neighbors,
11:54 Caleb Williams, Garrett Wilson, and then
11:56 T. Higgins. So, mine's a little bit more
11:57 of a balanced approach, whereas, you
11:59 know, Blue went CD Lamar AJ Brown, which
12:00 is an elite start, by the way, and then
12:02 went quarterback. I drafted quarterback
12:03 in the second. I wanted an elite
12:04 quarterback and Caleb Williams, but I've
12:06 got as my starting wide receivers
12:08 neighbors Garrett Wilson and T. Higgins.
12:10 So, I got three wide receivers before
12:12 the drop off. Nathan got three wide
12:13 receivers before the drop off. Blue got
12:14 three wide receivers before the drop
12:17 off. Um I mean, I think those are the
12:20 only three of us that did that. And
12:22 honestly, I think I think those were
12:24 probably the three best drafts. I I just
12:26 looking at this, I really do. Yeah. And
12:28 I and you know, yes, I'm partial because
12:30 Nathan and I know our strategy and we
12:32 played to our strategy and so we're
12:33 obviously that's a biased take and I
12:35 know that and it's not like we're out
12:36 here dominating every league, but I am
12:38 saying this is it's an example of what
12:40 we're looking for, right? This is
12:41 example of what we think and honestly if
12:43 you want to take the bias out of it, I
12:44 think Blue had a really good draft here
12:47 and he did he played to this strategy
12:48 like our strategy that we're going to
12:50 outline here almost exactly. But
12:51 anyways, the wide receivers that
12:54 teardrop is crucial. Two if not three
12:55 wide receivers before that. Higgins,
12:57 Rice, Odun, teardrop, it could make or
12:59 break your draft. And I want to talk
13:01 about the flip side of this too and we
13:02 can kind of have a discussion about this
13:04 because we move pretty sharply away from
13:06 dual QB. Yeah. And I we we can
13:08 absolutely break this down. Um I because
13:09 I'm sure a lot of you have plenty of
13:11 questions about this because we I mean
13:12 we've been the QB guys for a very long
13:14 time. And I will
13:17 say just because we're telling you not
13:21 to go dual elite QB up top doesn't mean
13:23 we're anti-quarterback in Dynasty
13:24 Fantasy Football and Superflex one.
13:27 Right now we still very much like
13:29 quarterbacks. The difference is the
13:31 quarterbacks that you're getting in the
13:35 third, fourth, fifth, even sixth round
13:38 is way better than a couple of years ago
13:40 because what happened to the value of
13:42 quarterbacks from last year to this off
13:45 season. There was a ton of dispersement.
13:47 There were a ton of guys. I I mean, you
13:48 remember those startup drafts and
13:50 superflex leagues last year. 10 of the
13:52 12 picks in the first round were
13:55 quarterbacks. Now there's only four. So
13:56 where did those guys go? They all had to
13:59 go down. they all had to fall and settle
14:02 at some point. So, look, with dual elite
14:06 QB, the the the uh production upside
14:08 fall off from the guys that you're
14:09 getting up top with the exception of the
14:12 rushing upside guys, with the exception
14:14 of Lamar Daniels and Herbert or Lamar
14:19 Daniels and uh Allen, Herbert. Um, look,
14:21 with the exception of those guys, the
14:23 production upside difference between
14:24 Patrick Mahomes, who we love in the
14:28 second round versus Baker Mayfield in
14:30 the fourth round is not that
14:32 significant. Uh, Justin Herbert going in
14:34 the second round versus Dak Prescott
14:35 going in the fifth
14:38 round is uh there's not that much of a
14:40 difference. In fact, you're getting some
14:42 guys at a cheaper price just because of
14:44 their uh more volatile situations who
14:46 have high production higher production
14:47 upside than some of the people that are
14:49 going in the in the second round. And
14:50 people will make this point and they're
14:52 correct in saying that the difference
14:54 there between a you know a Baker
14:56 Mayfield and Michael Penn versus a Caleb
14:57 Williams number is their value
14:59 insulation. And to that I would say I
15:01 agree with that. However, you sure about
15:03 that? Because last time I checked Trevor
15:04 Lawrence was once a second round pick
15:06 and he's a fifth round pick. Last time I
15:07 checked Dak Prescott was once a second
15:09 round pick. He's now a fifth round pick.
15:10 Last time I checked, Kyler Murray was in
15:11 the second round. He dropped to the
15:12 fourth. Last time I checked, Justin
15:14 Fields was in the first. Where's he at
15:15 right now? Last time I checked, where's
15:16 CJ Strad at compared to where he was
15:20 last year? They're definitely not like
15:22 foolproof, staying up top. Quarterbacks
15:24 will fluctuate. Young quarterbacks in
15:25 their value once they've reached that
15:27 elite dynasty status fluctuate more than
15:30 elite wide receivers do. They do. Three
15:34 years ago, the cream of the crop, the
15:37 the top top guys that were getting all
15:40 of these massive contracts, it was the
15:42 first time we'd ever seen it. Half of
15:44 the league has that
15:46 contract. Half of the league. And then
15:47 the other guys have a step down and
15:49 they're still getting paid $45 million a
15:54 year. Guys, contract insulation does not
15:56 matter anymore for quarterbacks. who's
15:58 producing and who's not. Because at this
16:01 point, the insulation that you're
16:03 looking for in quarterbacks, twothirds
16:06 of the league has it. Kyler Murray is
16:08 not producing the way that we wanted him
16:10 to and he's locked in in Arizona for the
16:12 next three
16:15 years. It doesn't matter anymore. It
16:19 really doesn't. So I you can make the
16:21 rookies are guys that are on rookie
16:23 deals are a different conversation, a
16:24 different situation because like Anthony
16:25 Richardson, the reason he drastically
16:27 fell. Yes, I understand that. Not as
16:29 insulated. Kale Williams technically I
16:31 mean Caleb Williams, we like him a lot.
16:34 He's really not that insulated because
16:35 he doesn't have a contract like these
16:37 other guys do. He has a draft capital in
16:39 investment, the situation, all that. You
16:41 get what I'm saying? But look, I I mean,
16:42 when when you're looking at a guy like
16:44 Herbert who has $250 million in the
16:49 bank, so does Dak and they're going
16:52 they're going three rounds apart. So
16:54 that that argument has kind of that ship
16:55 has sailed with with that argument. I
16:57 mean, we're really getting to a point
16:59 where if all of these guys have all the
17:01 same deals or roughly the same amount of
17:05 uh investment, then you're you really do
17:06 care the most. You should be caring the
17:08 most about production. And I think that
17:10 really is the disconnect right now in
17:12 Dynasty. And we haven't quite gotten
17:14 there yet because if we had, Baker
17:15 Mayfield and Brock Party would be
17:16 drafting would be drafted higher right
17:18 now. Baker Mayfield would be a second
17:19 round dynasty pick right now if we
17:21 really had accepted that fact. Well, and
17:23 the the fact of the matter is people are
17:24 going to say, "Well, Nathan, the
17:25 difference between Justin Herbert and
17:27 TAC is Justin Herbert's x amount of
17:29 years younger." And this is where our
17:30 theory all kind of ties together out
17:32 because because people are still trying
17:33 if we're playing in in in eightyear
17:35 windows here. You're correct. Then yeah,
17:37 then Herbert is absolutely way ahead of
17:38 Dak. But if you're playing in three-year
17:41 windows, um Dak and Herbert in terms of
17:42 from a production standpoint in Dynasty
17:45 for the next three years,
17:48 they're pretty close actually. If you I
17:48 don't know about you guys, I think
17:50 that's pretty close. And so from from a
17:51 value standpoint, we talked about
17:52 liquidity with quarterbacks. Elite
17:54 quarterbacks are far and away, in my
17:56 opinion, the hardest assets to move in
17:58 dynasty because you are rarely getting
18:00 what they're actually worth, period,
18:03 anymore. I I rarely see like getting
18:05 people to pay from a startup draft
18:07 standpoint what an elite QB is worth. I
18:09 don't see it happening in domain
18:10 leagues. It doesn't happen anymore. This
18:13 is this isn't us just talking out of our
18:15 butts, too. Like I I'm practicing what
18:17 I'm preaching with this move and I'm in
18:18 a hard rebuild where I have three
18:20 quarterbacks. I have Burrow, Herbert,
18:21 and Party, which seemed like a good idea
18:23 at the time. It seemed like a good idea
18:24 because I was like, worst case scenario,
18:26 I could move one of those guys no
18:27 problem. I couldn't. I had to make a
18:30 lateral move. I moved Burrow for CD plus
18:32 a very minimal premium on top just to
18:34 have the flexibility as a hard rebuild
18:36 of moving CD Lamb as a wide receiver
18:37 than Burrow because no one was
18:40 interested in Burrow. People don't buy
18:41 Elite, but they'll pay up for CD. So,
18:43 because that is true, this is where like
18:44 what I was saying earlier is going to
18:46 tie in because that's true and you're
18:47 not getting what they're worth anymore
18:49 anymore and their their going prices
18:52 decreased pretty rapidly. The elite QBs
18:54 at the top of these
18:56 drafts because wide receivers, elite
18:58 wide receivers are going for almost the
18:59 same price and they're way easier to
19:02 sell. I think there is very little value
19:04 gap between the top of the drafts in
19:07 Jackson Herz and Allen and the late
19:10 first and guys like Neighbors, Puka,
19:12 Aman Ross St. Brock Bowers. I think all
19:13 of those guys are going for about the
19:16 same price right now, which is why as I
19:18 tie it in, which is
19:21 why the guys at the end are at such an
19:22 advantage because you get two of those
19:25 guys whereas before when quarterbacks
19:27 were actually like way way way valued
19:29 higher. Those guys at the front got a
19:30 pretty big advantage in the value of a
19:31 quarterback. But because the value gap
19:34 is gone now in a lot of leagues, and
19:35 every league is different, by the way,
19:36 but this is the majority of leagues we
19:39 see. because that value gap is gone. The
19:40 people at the end are getting two guys
19:42 and then there's a huge drop off before
19:43 it gets back to the guys at the
19:45 beginning. Which is why third round
19:47 reversal I think is less practical than
19:49 it was because those guys at the end
19:52 right now in my opinion are at a huge
19:53 advantage. But the reason they're at a
19:55 huge advantage is because people haven't
19:56 adjusted. And I'm telling you guys, look
19:59 at me in the camera. This advantage is
20:00 not going to last for another year. We
20:03 are one more year of extreme quarterback
20:06 volatility away from Jamar Chase, Justin
20:07 Jefferson, and CD Lamb being three of
20:10 the top five picks in Dynasty drafts.
20:11 And that your advantage, your advantage
20:13 on the turn, your advantage on the
20:15 one-two turn heading into next off
20:17 season will be gone. And and we did that
20:18 with running backs, by the way. Back in
20:21 the day, I mean, back in the ice age,
20:23 running backs were drafted at the top of
20:24 Dynasty and then people realized the
20:25 volatility. You don't really have that
20:27 volatility as much with wide
20:29 receivers. It's going to go to wide
20:31 receiver. community is going to adjust
20:33 and it's it was not this offseason, it
20:35 will be next offseason.
20:37 Wow. We just made a very groundbreaking
20:38 prediction. Yeah, that it's going to
20:40 happen though. He's absolutely right.
20:41 And so that's that's the reason we've
20:43 seen a huge difference with third round
20:45 reversal is the market has not adjusted.
20:47 I know it will adjust last next
20:49 offseason and then it'll be fair. Maybe
20:50 we should maybe we should do our next
20:52 offseason startups this offseason
20:54 instead and then we'll get the number
20:57 one pick. Um, you know, again, I think,
20:58 you know, when talking about
21:00 quarterbacks, I don't want to diminish
21:01 the value and the value insulation of
21:02 quarterbacks. By the way, they are very
21:04 valuable. If you have a team with plenty
21:06 of wide receiver depth and you can have
21:08 two elite QBs, by all freaking means,
21:09 have the two elite QBs because from a
21:10 value standpoint and a production
21:11 standpoint, they do give you an
21:13 advantage. But out of a startup,
21:15 straight out of an even startup,
21:16 typically not nobody has an elite team.
21:17 And that's why we need to be careful of
21:19 that. Let's talk about running backs.
21:22 Oh, so in running backs, this is the
21:23 golden age of running back value right
21:25 now, dude. because you're getting all of
21:27 these running backs right now in the
21:29 like fourth to seventh round. And so
21:30 when you look, let's look at the guys
21:32 going in that range. And this is where I
21:33 took running back. So my two running
21:35 backs on this team that I took um to be
21:36 my starting running backs, Kron Williams
21:38 and Caleb Johnson. Both guys I think
21:39 that have running back on one upside or
21:41 or high-end running back, two upside,
21:43 one of the two. Um I I both of them I
21:44 got in the fifth and sixth round. I was
21:46 able to again start with those wide
21:47 receivers and then get my running backs
21:49 later. Nathan did the same thing. Nathan
21:50 only grabbed one running back because he
21:52 had to take Coulson Loveven because he
21:53 was such good value in the seventh
21:55 round, but he took R.J. Harvey at the
21:58 69, which is a nice That's nice. Let's
21:59 look at some of the other teams. I
22:01 talked about Blues team. He he got Lamb
22:03 Aman Ra and AJ Brown. He got two
22:04 quarterbacks and Kyler and JJ McCarthy.
22:06 And then he got Josh Jacobs and Chuba
22:08 Hubard, two running back ones last year
22:10 in the sixth and seventh round. And then
22:12 James Connor, another running back one
22:14 in the 10th. That's how you build a
22:16 dynasty team. That's how you That's how
22:19 you draft right there. Ekko did this
22:20 well too. Ekko was another one of those
22:22 guys that actually did pretty well up
22:23 top because he got Nico Collins, Travis
22:25 Hunter, but he also got Strad Mahomes.
22:26 But then in the middle rounds here,
22:27 sixth and seventh round, he went Chase
22:29 Brown and Kenneth Walker. I mean, that's
22:31 that's awesome. You're taking advantage
22:32 of these middle rounds because these
22:34 middle rounds are absolute freaking gold
22:36 mines for running back value because the
22:37 wide receiver market, like I said, when
22:39 the wide receiver market dries up, where
22:40 does the value shift? The value goes to
22:41 running backs. And people, including
22:43 you, should be clamoring to take those
22:44 wide receivers in the first three or
22:46 four rounds. After that, it's it's
22:47 running back time, baby. running backs
22:49 in this range. Ky again, Kyron Williams,
22:51 Trayvon Henderson, Quinton Judkins are
22:53 both going in the fourth right now. JT
22:56 Bree Josh Jacobs, Caleb Johnson, they
22:57 all have running back one upside or have
22:59 producers running back ones and you're
23:01 getting them significantly cheaper. It's
23:03 all about where you place your value,
23:04 right? you can grab you can grab plenty
23:06 of running backs in this later range and
23:07 have plenty of scoring upside from a
23:10 production standpoint but you know from
23:12 a value standpoint you don't have to in
23:13 you don't have to sacrifice because the
23:15 opportunity cost of picking a top running
23:16 running
23:19 back is monumental and I have it listed
23:20 here if you want to go through these
23:21 teams the top the teams that picked
23:23 Bejon Genty and Gibbs look at their wide
23:25 receiver rooms and tell me that the
23:27 opportunity cost was not ginormous for
23:29 these teams I mean there there is there
23:31 is no wide receiver rooms here there's
23:33 not yeah so with the guy who took E- Rob
23:37 um Tanner or No, this is this is David.
23:40 Um he he got Lad um Mike Evans and Josh
23:42 DS as a wide receiver. Loom. Lad lad's
23:45 great. Evans and DS is a little shaky.
23:47 Tanner, my bad. It's it is Tanner. Uh
23:50 Tanner went very very heavy um at
23:51 running back in this draft. Not only did
23:54 he go with Bejon, but he just went JT
23:57 James Cook. And so definitely a lot of
23:58 risk here. And then he took Warren in
24:01 the six. So he went tight end. Wide
24:02 receiver took a big hit here. Then
24:04 you've got the team that went with uh
24:07 Gibbs, which was David. Um he got Gibbs
24:09 and CMC. His wide receiver room is DJ
24:11 Moore, Tyreek Hill, and Jawan Jennings.
24:13 This is this is an RB heavy team. Gibbs,
24:16 Henry, CMC, Kamara. I mean, if you're
24:18 not a top contender this year, um then
24:19 you're going to be looking at a hard
24:21 rebuild. If if you're not going for a
24:23 run, uh then that means your guys didn't
24:25 work out and then you're kind of in a
24:27 world of hurt um heading into next off
24:29 season. Uh the guy that went with Jensy
24:32 um in this draft was was uh it was
24:35 Sunreker actually and he had Jensy,
24:37 Judkins, Mixon. His wide receiver room
24:40 is DK, Iayuk, Reed, Debo, Ridley, Cooper
24:43 Cup, which again all of those receivers
24:47 as individual assets are are solid. You
24:48 can make good arguments for all of them.
24:50 But these are threes and fours out of 10
24:51 at all of them. Every single one of them
24:54 is not good enough. How often DK DK as a
24:56 number one is not ideal. DK as a number
24:58 three or four is very ideal. Exactly.
25:01 Right. So just you're sacrificing that.
25:02 Um and he went with Lamar and Jentzy as
25:04 his top two picks. And talk about our
25:05 tight end strategy. We were we you and I
25:07 both typically unless there's crazy
25:09 value podcast. Yeah. So like for me in
25:11 my situation, I was kind of in a pickle
25:13 in this draft. Like I went with Leland
25:16 in the seventh round. Uh Love was a top
25:18 10 pick in the NFL draft. You cannot let
25:21 him fall past the sixth round guys at
25:23 the 74. That's just stupid. It's just
25:25 stupid. Um there there's there's too
25:27 much. I I know in the past there have
25:28 been guys that didn't work out with that
25:30 draft capital. I'm not even saying that
25:31 Lovelin's going to work out. Top 10
25:34 draft capital. Geez Louise. I I mean if
25:36 this guy ends up being the number two
25:37 target in that offense, that's the
25:39 biggest value one in the draft. Mark
25:41 Andrews, I had to take him in the 11th
25:43 round. I ended up with two tight ends.
25:44 Not an ideal strategy that I recommend
25:46 for a lot of people, but again, take the
25:47 value that falls. Maybe have a little
25:50 flexibility later on in the draft. In
25:51 normal circumstances, guys, we're just
25:53 recommending that you punt tight end in
25:56 startup drafts. I understand that you
25:58 need a serviceable tight end. You can
26:00 fade tight end, but you still need a
26:02 serviceable tight end heading into the
26:04 season when you're a contender. I get
26:06 it. I I really, really do. You can get
26:09 better value through trades than you can
26:11 in a startup draft at the tight end
26:14 position. Bowowers, McBride are awesome
26:16 picks, especially in the second and
26:17 third round, respectively. You're not
26:18 getting them in the second and third
26:20 right now. Bowowers and McBride are
26:21 going in the first and second round
26:22 respectively and that's just too high
26:25 right now. Major tight end premium bo
26:26 bonuses do need to be taken into
26:28 account. So keep that in mind. If you're
26:31 in a full point tight end premium league
26:34 or 1.5 two point tight end premium
26:35 league, I take those guys up top. I'm
26:38 totally okay with it. Um the number of
26:39 starting tight ends, I've seen a number
26:43 of two tight end starters. uh you really
26:46 would like to have McBride Powers on one
26:48 of those on in in those formats because
26:50 that's a massive advantage over your
26:52 league. Um most of the time though these
26:53 tight ends are really going too early
26:55 the top options. Our favorite tight ends
26:57 to target right now are Leaporta, Hawk,
27:00 and KD. Leaporta because he's going at a
27:01 fraction of the price that he was last
27:03 season, Leland who I got in the seventh
27:05 round. Hawinson also going in that
27:06 range. And then KD, who's just one of
27:08 the most productive tight ends at a
27:10 ridiculously low price right now, just
27:12 because he's 30 years old. Um, tight
27:14 end, remember, keep this in mind, guys,
27:16 we say this all the time. The reason we
27:18 do not recommend that you go heavily
27:21 invest in a tight end up top is because
27:23 it's a luxury item. How many tight ends
27:25 are you required to start every single
27:29 week? One. In a superflex league, guys,
27:30 that is the only position where you only
27:31 have to start one every single week.
27:33 Every single week. I guess QB you only
27:34 have to start one, but like you really
27:36 want to be starting two in a Superlex
27:38 league. Our favorite tight ends to draft
27:40 in startups. Uh keep keep those guys in
27:43 mind. Uh KD, Lovelin, Hawinson, book
27:45 them. Make a note if you're going into a
27:46 startup. Those are going to be the best
27:47 values that you're going to get in a
27:48 startup draft if you are going to get an
27:50 elite tight end. Otherwise, fade the
27:52 position entirely. And then real quick,
27:53 past round 10, here's kind of our
27:55 strategy once we get to like the no
27:56 man's land of dynasty. Like grab
27:58 rookies, especially rookie running backs
27:59 because they're going to have good shots
28:01 being in committees. Grab veterans, the
28:02 ones people hate for no reason. Like
28:04 grab a Michael Pitman there. Grab a
28:06 Jacobe Myers down there. Those type of
28:07 guys could help you and could be a flex,
28:09 but grabban Jennings. He's a great pick
28:11 past the 10th round. Grab any backup
28:12 running back that could end up seeing
28:14 the field or is one injury away. Wide
28:15 receivers, there's always three or four
28:16 wide receivers ready to go with running
28:18 backs. Typically, that backup running
28:19 back is going to be the guy there. And
28:20 then grab tight end. If you punt tight
28:21 end, you can still get I punted tight
28:23 end in this draft and I ended up later
28:25 in this draft getting uh Tucker Craft in
28:26 the 12th, Mason Taylor in the 13th, and
28:28 Travis Kelce in the 15th. And honestly,
28:29 I'll start one of those guys this year.
28:31 not I don't really even care. But guys
28:32 like Kelsey Craft and Mark Andrews are
28:34 all getable past the 10th round. And if
28:35 you do punt tight end, you can get one
28:37 of those guys. And so again, our our
28:39 strategy has changed, but uh the two
28:41 boys behind the camera have only done
28:42 one thing and that's gotten older and
28:44 one of us has gotten slightly fatter. I
28:46 eventually I don't think Nathan will
28:48 ever get fat. So, but hopefully that
28:49 makes sense. If you if you you know have
28:50 any thoughts, let us know in the
28:52 comments. Make sure you drop a like and
28:53 subscribe if you enjoyed the video and
28:55 if you enjoy the Dynasty content and go
28:56 to flockfantasy.com/dommain. We can help
28:58 you with your startup draft, get you a
28:59 team blueprint after your startup. All
29:01 of that included with our rankings trade
29:02 calculator, our Discord, everything.
29:03 Link's going to be in the comment. But
29:05 we appreciate you guys. Thanks for
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