0:00 So what is position management? Position
0:01 management is basically a system for
0:03 managing a stock when you are at a
0:05 profit to ride the trend relevant to
0:07 your style and time frame. This is a
0:09 really important last bit of the
0:10 sentence. It's not about capturing uh
0:12 you know buying the low and selling the
0:14 absolute high. It's about capturing the
0:16 meat within that trend that's relevant
0:18 for you and your style. Different market
0:20 environments will favor quicker rules
0:21 and put more emphasis on selling into
0:23 strength or weakness. And this is a
0:25 really important point because I think a
0:27 lot of people get uh worked up about,
0:29 you know, there's a 2024 or 2020 and
0:32 they look back over their trades and
0:34 they're like, "Wow, if I just hold until
0:36 the stock breaks the 50 SMA or 100 SMA,
0:39 I'm going to make 300% every single
0:41 time. I sold way too early." But the
0:43 reality is that not every year is like a
0:45 2020 or 2024. And this is a key point I
0:48 want to emphasize and this is something
0:49 that Jim Role really emphasized to me is
0:52 to capture a monster winner of 200% or
0:54 more. You'll need to sit through one or
0:56 two bases at least within a strong stage
0:58 two uptrend and you're going to have to,
1:00 you know, stick through multiple
1:02 earnings reports. Some of them may gap
1:04 down on you, but in order to get a
1:06 monster winner, you need to, you know,
1:09 understand where your cost basis is,
1:10 your profit cushion, what you're willing
1:12 to give back off the table in order to
1:14 sit through and get that longer term
1:16 move. Selling to strength means selling
1:17 a stock as it is rising becoming
1:19 extended and volatile or is simply
1:21 meeting profit target levels that you
1:23 might set at 10% your average gain you
1:25 know 3R 5 R 10R whatever your rule is
1:28 that's what selling into strength means
1:29 selling as a stock is rising and meets
1:31 uh those criteria so key reversal bar is
1:34 when an extended stock gaps up or has a
1:37 powerful move higher and then reverses
1:39 even harder and closes well off highs
1:42 likely undercutting the prior day's low
1:44 and maybe even multiple days low.
1:46 Selling into weakness obviously is
1:47 selling as a stock is breaking trend or
1:50 showing weak or abnormal price action.
1:52 And for this, the mindset is we're
1:54 focusing on riding the trend until it
1:56 really confirms that it is breaking down
1:59 and starting a downtrend. And this is
2:00 going to lead to larger drawdowns off
2:03 equity highs, but potentially greater
2:05 reward because you're sticking with that
2:06 longerterm trend until it ends while
2:08 selling to strength. You might exit
2:10 here, here, or here. here. You're you're
2:12 participating in this longer term trend,
2:14 however long it lasts until it actually
2:16 breaks
2:18 [Music]
2:22 down. All right, guys. So, welcome
2:25 everybody to the next trader handbook
2:27 webinar. Uh, today is going to be a
2:29 really important one and a really good
2:30 one as well. Uh, discussing sell rules
2:32 and position management. You know,
2:34 previously we've talked about risk
2:36 management itself, which is kind of
2:37 about starting a trade, how to actually
2:39 manage risk with your initial stop-loss,
2:41 how to move up that stop-loss. Today,
2:43 we're going to be talking about if you
2:44 have a profit, how do you manage it
2:46 properly to make sure you're taking
2:47 profit when you need to, but also
2:49 letting it run so that you can let
2:51 asymmetry work in your favor. So, this
2:53 is going to be a really good one and
2:55 hopefully you guys are excited. And let
2:57 me know right now in the chat and in the
2:59 comments what questions you have about
3:00 cell rules, position management. You can
3:02 get really specific, you know, do you
3:05 want to focus more on selling to
3:06 strengths, selling into weakness? What
3:07 confusion do you have there? Uh, let me
3:09 know in the chat as well as in the
3:11 comments below. And while you guys are
3:14 doing that, just a quick reminder to
3:15 join the Trader Handbook weight list.
3:17 This gives you early access to a lot of
3:19 resources that we're releasing along
3:21 with the book here, which will be out on
3:24 May 27th. And basically by joining this
3:27 weight list, you get extra bonus
3:28 articles. You get early access to these
3:30 webinars and to register for them and a
3:33 whole lot of other bonuses that are
3:34 still to be named as well as exclusive
3:37 giveaways. Here's a little bit about the
3:39 articles that we've been sending out
3:40 this weekend. I'll be sending out the
3:42 stop-loss setting guide as well as the
3:44 sell rules checklist, which will be
3:45 really helpful for you guys. Uh so
3:47 definitely go ahead and register. Again,
3:49 you can scan this QR code right here and
3:52 uh join if you are not already on the
3:56 list. With that said, uh welcome
3:58 everybody to the next Trader Handbook
4:00 webinar. Today, as I mentioned, will be
4:02 focused on sell rules and position
4:04 management. This goes along with chapter
4:06 7 of the traders handbook, which will be
4:08 released uh pretty soon in May. Uh so,
4:10 make sure to grab your copy if you
4:12 haven't already. And let me know right
4:14 now in the chat if you've already uh
4:16 purchased and got got your C copy. And I
4:18 I heard from a few folks who actually
4:20 bought multiple, one for the office, one
4:21 for the home, which is awesome. Uh so
4:23 definitely go ahead and make sure to
4:25 grab yours. The link to that is in the
4:26 description. Uh and you can check that
4:28 out right now. All right. So I want to
4:31 start with a quote that we, you know, we
4:33 saw in the previous webinar, but it
4:35 still applies to sell rules and position
4:38 management. And you know, this is from
4:40 William O'Neal, the founder of Can Slim.
4:42 Uh, buying a stock without knowing when
4:44 or why you should sell is like buying a
4:45 car with no brakes or being in a boat
4:47 with no life preservers or taking flying
4:49 lessons that teach you how to take off
4:51 but not know how to land. And I think
4:53 this is really really um important
4:56 especially in these current market
4:57 conditions where things are more
4:58 volatile, things are moving faster than
5:00 they used to. Uh because you know I
5:02 think a lot of traders uh are almost
5:04 surprised when they have a great winning
5:06 stock that actually worked for them out
5:07 of a strong breakout. And if you don't
5:10 manage a stock like that correctly, a
5:11 trade like that correctly, you can choke
5:13 it off and, you know, leave a lot of
5:15 profits on the table. So, we'll be
5:17 talking about concrete rules that allow
5:18 you to stick with the trend today and
5:20 hopefully get the most out of those
5:22 trades that really work out and really
5:24 move the needle in our accounts. So,
5:27 here's the agenda for today. This is
5:29 going to be a really good one. First,
5:30 discussing sell rules based on time
5:32 frames, style, experience level as well.
5:34 We'll be definitely getting into the
5:36 weeds of selling into strength versus
5:37 selling into weakness uh with multiple
5:39 case study examples for both of those,
5:41 showing how to actually apply it and
5:42 what price and volume characteristics to
5:44 look out for. They'll discuss a little
5:45 bit about trading around a core
5:47 position, key takeaways, as well as
5:49 discussing some kind of special
5:50 situations, handling earnings reports,
5:52 large gaps, end of day stops. Um, all of
5:54 these are important questions that I
5:56 think you have to uh answer for yourself
5:58 as a trader to build your trading
6:00 system, which is the goal of both the
6:02 trader handbook as well as these
6:03 webinars to help you do that concretely.
6:06 And uh let's go ahead and dive right in.
6:08 So these are some questions that you
6:10 might be asking yourself related to
6:11 position management. You know, how do
6:13 you define what is extended? How do you
6:15 know when to sell into strength? When
6:16 should I sell? How much should I sell?
6:19 What if it goes up after I sell? When do
6:20 I take profit? How do I manage a
6:22 position through earnings? These are all
6:23 questions that we'll answer in today's
6:25 webinar and are basically really
6:27 essential to uh you know answer for
6:29 yourself again to build your trading
6:31 system and build your cell you know sell
6:34 rules as a trader. All right, let me
6:37 take a quick sip of water
6:39 here. So what is position management?
6:42 Position management is basically a
6:44 system for managing a stock when you are
6:46 at a profit to ride the trend relevant
6:48 to your style and time frame. This is a
6:51 really important last bit of the
6:52 sentence. It's not about capturing uh
6:54 you know buying the low and selling the
6:56 absolute high. It's about capturing the
6:58 meat within that trend that's relevant
7:00 for you and your style. If you're a
7:02 swing trader, it's going to be that
7:04 first momentum burst. If you're a
7:05 business trader, it might be, you know,
7:07 uh catching the whole trend, but then,
7:09 you know, selling it off the top because
7:10 it's breaking down. But again, it's
7:12 about the trend relevant to your style,
7:14 your time frame, and your objectives.
7:16 And it incorporates both sell rules for
7:18 taking profits into strength and or into
7:20 weakness. Depending on your style, you
7:22 might be doing more selling into
7:23 strength versus selling into weakness.
7:25 And I think this is really important.
7:26 You know, people say winners manage
7:28 themselves, but that's not really the
7:29 case. You have to handle a big winner
7:32 properly uh to get the most out of that.
7:34 And uh we'll be providing concrete rules
7:36 to help you do that and provide
7:38 guidelines and foundations that have
7:39 helped for us and will likely help for
7:41 you help help you as well. And I think
7:44 this is a really important point as well
7:46 is that clarity around your sell rules
7:48 reduces confusion and noise and allows
7:50 you to execute like a professional. I
7:52 think a lot of people, you know, get
7:54 again a winning trade and are confused
7:57 about their objectives. They're a swing
7:58 trader, but they suddenly have this 40%
8:01 gain and they don't know if they should
8:02 take profit or should you know keep
8:04 holding and and see if it can double or
8:06 triple from there. And this confusion
8:08 leads to a lot of emotions. leads to a
8:11 lot of you know lack of clarity and you
8:13 need rules to help you understand those
8:16 situations what exactly you should do
8:18 relevant to your goals and objectives.
8:20 So these cell rules that we'll be
8:21 discussing today will give you that
8:23 clear foundation and help you um limit
8:26 the impact of those emotions um on your
8:29 trading. And I think this is really
8:31 important as well. The goal is
8:33 asymmetry. Keeping losses small is
8:34 accomplished through stop- losses
8:35 through the risk management webinar and
8:37 chapter that we talked about um you know
8:39 this previous Wednesday which you can
8:40 find the recording uh link down below
8:42 and letting winners run is defined by
8:44 the cell rules we'll be discussing
8:46 today. And this is kind of a a very um
8:48 you know represent representative
8:50 graphic here that I quickly put
8:52 together. You've got your entry. It
8:53 broke out formed some higher lows. We've
8:55 got some sells into strength. You could
8:56 also sell some into strength here or
8:58 here. But then we start to see a break
9:00 of structure. a lower high form and then
9:03 the stock really breaks down through
9:04 previous higher lows and this is where
9:07 you'd be selling into weakness. So sell
9:09 to strength is basically selling as the
9:10 stock is going up as we'll get into much
9:12 later on and selling into weaknesses as
9:14 the stock is breaking down through your
9:16 definition of trend and starting a
9:19 downtrend um once you were uh previously
9:22 in that uptrend.
9:24 All right, I want to start with this
9:26 because I think it's a really important
9:28 point and something that William O'Neal
9:29 emphasized a whole lot to Ross Haber who
9:31 of course uh is a co-founder of Trader
9:33 Line. He's taught me quite quite a bit
9:35 about trading. Um managing trades on a
9:38 technical basis. Um he really emphasized
9:40 that we buy based on both fundamental
9:42 and technical analysis. You know,
9:44 investigating the story of the stock, uh
9:46 the the great products it's producing,
9:48 the earnings growth, the sales growth,
9:50 um the news catalysts that are around
9:52 the stock. However, he really emphasized
9:54 this. We manage a position solely based
9:57 on price action. Uh we're only looking
9:59 at the price and volume action. Decide,
10:01 you know, should this be a sell? Should
10:03 this, you know, be a hold? Um should I
10:05 wait for more information? That's really
10:07 really key. And the reason for this is
10:09 because price action at the end of the
10:11 day is what der determines our profit.
10:13 You know, you've heard Brian Shannon say
10:14 only price pays. It's completely true.
10:17 And there's so much news events, so much
10:20 noise about the market, uh, you know,
10:22 the Fed, you know, the individual stock
10:24 going on that it's very hard to
10:26 interpret everything uh, to the best of
10:28 your ability. And the way to go about
10:30 this and to resolve that is price action
10:33 at the end of the day is taking into
10:34 account all those different inputs, the
10:37 market health, what the Fed's doing, you
10:39 know, macro events, you know, news
10:41 catalyst. All of this has taken account
10:43 and has revealed how the institutions
10:45 which move the stock over the long term
10:46 are interpreting that information in the
10:49 price and volume action of the stock. So
10:51 that is why we solely uh you know decide
10:54 sell decisions based on uh the price and
10:57 volume action. And here's a good quote
10:58 from Jesse Livermore about kind of you
11:01 know identifying interpreting news
11:02 events. The reason why uh sorry the
11:05 reason for what a certain stock does
11:06 today may not be known for two or three
11:08 days or weeks or months but what the
11:10 dickens does that matter. Your business
11:12 with the tape is now not tomorrow. The
11:14 reason can wait but you must act
11:15 instantly or be left. And I love this
11:17 quote because he uses the phrase what
11:19 the dickens. I think we should bring
11:20 that back # what the dickens. Uh but I
11:23 think it's so so true. Uh you want to
11:24 manage risk in real time. Deal with the
11:26 information you have on the table right
11:28 now. And I think that's so so important.
11:30 So, this is a really good quote to
11:32 internalize as you're thinking about
11:34 creating your sell rules and position
11:37 management rules. All right, so sell
11:40 rules based on style. Um, so we'll go
11:42 into kind of what a swing trader and
11:43 position trader um you know what they
11:45 are, how they should be thinking about
11:47 sell rules. But first things first in
11:49 the chat right now um yeah, hashtag what
11:52 the dickens. Perfect. Joho. Um f first
11:54 things first in the chat right now uh
11:56 put if you're more leaning towards a
11:58 swing trader or position trader. I'll be
12:00 really curious to see what the uh
12:01 results are uh here. So, let let me know
12:04 if you're more leading swing trader,
12:05 position trader. I personally would put
12:07 myself kind of as a hybrid somewhere in
12:09 the middle. Um I like to lean into, you
12:11 know, which way the market is favoring.
12:13 Um so, we see a lot of swing traders. Um
12:16 both position traders, both position
12:19 traders. Okay. So, a good mix of
12:20 everything.
12:22 Perfect. Yeah. Yeah. I would put myself
12:24 in the middle here. A little bit of a
12:25 hybrid approach. And I'll kind of talk
12:27 through my exact cell rules and what I
12:29 do. um during the examples later on. But
12:32 a swing trader, you know, your objective
12:33 is to trade the momentum moves and to
12:36 sell into those moves and sell into the
12:38 volatility to the upside or downside if
12:40 you're shorting. And you're going to be
12:42 biased towards selling into strength.
12:44 And the reason you're going to be doing
12:45 that is based on multiple reasons, but
12:47 you're trying to exit at equity highs.
12:49 You're trying to just capture the short
12:50 burst and move on to the next setup, the
12:52 next stock that's coiled or meets your
12:54 particular setup. Uh you don't care
12:56 about what the stock does after you sell
12:58 into strength. they could go, you know,
12:59 in double, triple, um, you know, and it
13:02 doesn't matter for your system because
13:03 your system is to rotate, uh, to the
13:06 next setup, to the next great
13:07 opportunity and to just kind of churn
13:09 over your edge and, uh, make progress
13:11 that way. The position trader is a
13:13 little bit different. you're not really
13:15 focused on um you know you are focused
13:17 on capturing the momentum moves
13:18 especially at the beginning after your
13:20 entry but you're more trying to find you
13:22 know duration trades uh trading longer
13:25 term trends where a stock is trending
13:26 for weeks months even a year and a half
13:29 or more ideally and you're biased more
13:32 towards sticking with that trend until
13:34 it really breaks down. That doesn't mean
13:36 that position traders can't sell to
13:37 strength. You definitely can and we'll
13:39 talk about you know some sell rules for
13:40 position traders in just a bit. But you
13:43 more want to focus on uh building in
13:46 asymmetry by capturing as much of that
13:48 trend as possible. And there's also
13:50 another really good uh Livermore quote
13:52 that I think is is relevant here uh
13:55 where he talks about you know the first
13:57 and last eighth are the most expensive
14:00 ace uh you know of of a profit. And with
14:03 a position trader you're really trying
14:04 to catch early on in the trend after
14:06 maybe the first eighth is done. capture
14:08 the meat and then maybe, you know, sell
14:10 some into strength here and, you know,
14:12 just capture seven eights as it pulls
14:14 back uh to that prior level. Uh while a
14:17 swing trader, you're really just trying
14:19 to focus on capturing one or two of
14:21 those ETHs during a trend uh during the
14:23 most powerful periods of that move. So,
14:25 I think that's another good way to to
14:27 think about uh sell rules based on
14:29 either being a swing trader or a
14:31 position trader.
14:32 And I also want to bring up here uh and
14:35 revisit a concept that we talked about
14:37 uh way back in one of the early webinars
14:39 here. Um you know the stage you're in
14:41 and how that impacts your cell rules.
14:43 And today we'll be giving kind of really
14:45 concrete cell rules for stage one two
14:47 traders. Stage three and four traders,
14:49 you know, should build on the foundation
14:51 and the techniques that they build in
14:52 stage one and two and come up more for
14:55 uh come up more with rules that allow
14:57 them to perform, allow them to
14:59 personally tweak towards their style,
15:01 how they like to do things. While stage
15:03 one and two traders, it's more about
15:05 just building consistency, having a
15:07 system in the first place. Because
15:08 that's a big problem with stage one and
15:10 two traders is in the first place, they
15:11 don't have sell rules. They get a profit
15:13 and they have no idea what to do. Uh so
15:15 we'll be talking about really concrete
15:16 rules for stage one and two and stage
15:18 three and four traders will being giving
15:20 some recommendations and tweaks that
15:22 they can do to optimize for their style
15:25 swing versus position trading. So again
15:27 in the chat here uh let me know based on
15:29 these characteristics and based on what
15:30 we talked about before what stage do you
15:33 feel like you're personally in uh based
15:36 on these graphics here and and these
15:38 kind of characteristics and uh let me
15:40 know. You can also be in between a
15:42 stage. You can say stage two plus. Uh
15:44 and that's kind of in between stage two
15:46 and stage three. Probably many of you
15:47 guys are stage two plus or stage 3 plus.
15:50 Uh I would imagine. All right. We've got
15:52 stage two, stage 2.5. Perfect. Stage two
15:57 1.52. Uh very nice. So we've got a good
15:59 mix of people. A lot of stage twos,
16:01 which is perfect. That's exactly uh the
16:03 demographic we're trying to help out
16:04 here. Uh Steve, how's it going, Steve?
16:06 Good to see you. Stage three, four,
16:08 perfect. stage two plus stage 3.14.
16:11 Nice, Alberto. All right, perfect. All
16:14 right, so we got a good mix here, which
16:15 is
16:16 great. So, cell rules for stage one,
16:18 two, focusing in on that subset. So, if
16:21 this is you, really pay attention here.
16:23 Again, at this point, you're just
16:25 starting out in your trading journey.
16:27 Um, you're trying to establish a system
16:29 for the very first time. And your goal
16:32 is not to perform. It's not to go out
16:34 and make triple digits like US investing
16:35 champions that have been trading for 7,
16:38 10, 20, 30 years. Your goal is to
16:41 actually build a system that protects
16:43 you and allows you to build techniques
16:45 that will help you in your future stage
16:48 three and stage four periods later down
16:50 the road. So again, the major goal is
16:52 consistency and building sound habits,
16:55 building technique that will help you
16:57 later on in your career. So for these
17:00 traders and you know these rules may
17:02 feel constricting but that's really the
17:05 point for stage one and stage two
17:06 traders who are experiencing a negative
17:08 equity curve, not a lot of confidence,
17:10 not a lot of success. That's the reason
17:13 why these are so strict is because we're
17:14 trying to help these stage one traders
17:17 stop the losses and allow them to
17:19 participate in the winners. So the first
17:21 sell rule for these folks is to sell at
17:23 5% profit. Um sell half of your position
17:26 and move your stop up to break even. So
17:28 that's very simple, very easy to do. And
17:30 that's a lot about this the rules we're
17:32 trying to bring here is keep it simple
17:34 because keep it simple means that it's
17:36 going to be a robust system and not be
17:38 overfitted to one period where
17:40 everything's working really well,
17:41 trending well, while another period
17:43 where it's a pop and chop uh type market
17:46 uh where nothing's working. So we want
17:47 to build a robust set of rules that
17:50 helps us survive all those trading
17:51 environments. So again, the first sell
17:53 rule for these folks in stage one really
17:55 and then also stage two is at 5% profit,
17:58 sell half and move up your stop to break
18:00 even. Sell rule tool um sell rule tool
18:03 is kind of divided in two based on
18:05 whether you want to be a swing trader or
18:07 position trader. And for swing traders,
18:09 sell the last half on two closes below
18:11 the 21 EMA. Uh for position traders,
18:14 it's basically the same exact thing
18:15 except instead of the 21 EMA, you're
18:18 looking to sell on two closes below the
18:19 50 SMA. So again, if you want to be a
18:22 swing trader, use this one. If you want
18:23 to be a position trader, use this one.
18:25 And these are guidelines. And of course,
18:27 you want to adapt it to your own
18:28 personal situation. And it doesn't
18:30 really matter if you use the 21 EMA
18:33 versus the 21 SMA versus the 20 SMA. Uh,
18:37 pick what you find helpful to you. And,
18:40 you know, adapt these rules to what you
18:42 find to be very, very helpful. All
18:45 right, let's see. So here's an example
18:48 of uh an application of this rule set
18:51 for VST. You bought through the
18:52 consolidation pivot here. You manage
18:54 risk at uh the low of the day here as it
18:57 reconfirmed through the prior day high
18:58 as well as this key level. And your
19:00 first sell is very simple. Up 5% you
19:03 sell 50% of your position. So remaining
19:05 you have 50% uh to ride that prior
19:08 trend. The 21 EMA, which is this line
19:10 right here, has moved up through your
19:12 cost. So, you're doing well and the
19:14 stock really shoots up, trends
19:15 beautifully, and you ended up selling
19:18 with two closes below the 21 EMA for
19:20 swing trader, you sell the last bit of
19:22 your position, sell 50%. Remaining you
19:24 have 0% and the result is a really nice
19:27 gain of just under 20%. Um, if you were
19:31 a position trader instead, again, you
19:32 would have sold your first uh sell right
19:34 here of 5%. But you would have gotten a
19:36 little bit more of a profit um and ended
19:38 up being a net result of up 31%. Uh, I
19:41 think this was up about 50, a little bit
19:43 50% here. You've got around 83 all the
19:47 way up to, you know, 135 or so. So,
19:49 really nice solid gain and you got a net
19:51 result of
19:52 31.5%. And I want to pause here and talk
19:55 a little bit about uh just for a moment
19:57 about the pros and cons of swing trading
19:59 and position trading because really they
20:01 can be both extremely successful. You
20:04 see US investing champions with both
20:05 styles. Um, however, swing traders are
20:09 going to be dealing more in the momentum
20:11 moves and there's a little bit more
20:12 potential because once a momentum move
20:14 ends, they can move on to the next one.
20:16 While position traders, there is maybe
20:18 uh the potential for um some opportunity
20:21 cost uh based on, you know, staying with
20:24 the stock that's already made a really
20:25 nice move and is just kind of building a
20:27 base. There is some time loss there
20:29 where your money could be working
20:30 somewhere else. However, on the flip
20:32 side, a swing trader is never going to
20:34 catch a 300 400% move unless they have a
20:37 rule where if they have a certain amount
20:39 of profit cushion, then they switch over
20:40 to more position type trading rules. But
20:43 a position trader could have, you know,
20:45 you know, a lot less trades and have
20:48 extremely great success if they find the
20:50 true market leaders and enter those
20:52 stocks um and participate during those
20:54 longer moves. So, there's pros and cons
20:55 for both of these. Um, and for position
20:57 traders, this I think is better suited
20:59 towards uh traders who are doing this
21:01 part-time. They have a full-time job.
21:03 There's less action they need to take
21:05 and it's a little bit calmer as well.
21:08 You can look more at weekly charts while
21:09 swing traders, it's a little bit little
21:11 bit more maverick. Uh, you've got to
21:13 kind of uh keep rotating your money to
21:15 turn over your edge. So, that's a little
21:16 bit on the differences and pros and cons
21:18 versus swing trading and position
21:20 trading. And I think with that said, you
21:23 can kind of, you know, adopt a h a
21:25 hybrid approach, which is kind of what
21:26 I've done to get a little bit of the
21:28 benefits of both depending on the market
21:30 environment and the situation. And we'll
21:31 talk about that in uh the rest of the
21:34 webinar. All right. So, these were the
21:37 basic cell rules. Again, sell your first
21:39 your first uh 50% of your position of 5%
21:42 and then depending on swing trading
21:43 versus position trading, sell on two
21:45 closes below the relevant moving
21:47 average. There are some progressions as
21:49 you gain more comfortable. You're more
21:51 solidly in stage two. You feel like
21:53 you're stage two plus. So, if this is
21:55 you, listen up. This is the time to pay
21:56 attention. Uh the first progression, and
21:59 I do want to emphasize here to not rush
22:01 this process, especially if you're very
22:02 early in stage one, it's going to take
22:05 time to really internalize these rules.
22:07 And just this basic rule set can do
22:09 extremely well during trending
22:11 environments and when growth stocks are
22:13 working. So, don't feel like this is uh
22:15 you know putting on um training wheels.
22:19 This can do extremely well and will also
22:21 protect you when the market isn't quite
22:23 as strong. But these are some
22:25 progressions that you can adopt uh if
22:27 you feel like you want to make
22:27 advancements and these are potential
22:29 tweaks to to your existing process if
22:32 you've got your own existing cell rules.
22:33 These are some ideas for you to maybe
22:35 adopt uh to tweak and improve them over
22:37 time if you find them helpful. So, first
22:40 instead of selling half of your position
22:41 at 5% um instead do a third and sell the
22:44 next third at your average gain over the
22:46 last 20 days uh or sorry 20 trades and
22:49 then sell the last third on the normal
22:50 two closes below uh the moving averages.
22:53 So instead of selling half at 5% you
22:55 sell a third uh another third at your
22:56 average gain and then the last third on
22:59 um in weakness using the moving
23:01 averages. Uh the next progression is to
23:04 sell a third to 5% a third into strength
23:06 as a stock gets extended above your
23:08 average gain and gets as I say here gets
23:10 visually extended from a moving average
23:11 and we'll talk about different ways to
23:13 determine extension later on in today's
23:16 webinar and then sell the last third on
23:17 weakness using the same moving averages.
23:19 The next progression is to use the rule
23:21 above but allow yourself to add back a
23:23 third if the stock forms another lowrisk
23:25 entry tactic. So again this is a little
23:26 bit more advanced. It's about trading
23:28 around a core position and you know
23:31 re-entering a stock. If you know there's
23:33 another lower setup against a moving
23:34 average, a new base forms and then sets
23:36 up again. Uh you can add back a third
23:38 that you sold prior. And then the last
23:40 progression is to uh again sell a third
23:43 at your average gain. So you're no
23:45 longer using that 5%. You're looking to
23:47 hold a little bit longer. Uh a third
23:48 into strength and then a third into
23:50 weakness using the moving averages. But
23:52 you can also add back up to 2/3 of what
23:54 you sold if the stock forms another
23:56 lowrisisk buy point. So let's go through
23:57 an example that same example of VST
24:00 applying these different rule
24:01 variations. All right. So again, this is
24:04 the same VST trade. You're using the
24:05 same entry tactic and buy point here.
24:08 And this is the first variation where
24:10 instead of selling 50%, you're selling a
24:12 third at 5%, a third at your average
24:14 gain, and a third at two closes below
24:17 the MA. So here is your initial sell of
24:19 5%. You've got remaining 66% instead of
24:22 50%. Uh your sell 2 is at your average
24:24 gain which we used in this case an
24:26 average of 10% gain. Uh you sell 33% and
24:29 you've got remaining 33%. Uh then the
24:32 stock trends and you've got your normal
24:34 uh sell rules below the moving averages
24:36 uh for swing traders down here and
24:38 position traders up here. And you might
24:40 note that this actually performs worse
24:42 than the first rule set that we talked
24:44 about. Uh but again, this might be a
24:46 little bit more dynamic and might feel
24:48 more comfortable for swing traders
24:50 especially to sell a little bit more um
24:52 and then you can rotate that capital to
24:53 another opportunity versus being stuck
24:55 into a stock uh as it's trending above
24:57 the 21 EMA and waiting for that last bit
25:00 uh to sell before you can move on. So
25:02 this is a a rule progression that you
25:03 can adopt. Maybe you prefer the first
25:05 set. Uh go go go with that. Uh f, you
25:08 know, figure out what works best for you
25:09 and use those cell rules. Here is the
25:12 second variation um where you're selling
25:14 on the extension instead of um on your
25:17 at your average gain. So again, your
25:19 first sell is up 5%. Move your stop to
25:21 break even. That protects you. Then
25:22 you've got an extension here, a gap up
25:24 and strong move. You didn't sell at the
25:26 high of this day. You sell sold as it
25:28 was pushing higher and really becoming
25:29 extended with a gap here. And then
25:32 you've got your last sell again under
25:33 the moving averages. Swing traders again
25:35 taken out here. Position traders get
25:37 taken out here. And you have again
25:39 pretty strong gains here about 20% and
25:41 about 27%. So performs better in this
25:44 case than the prior variation. And again
25:47 it's not about individual trades and how
25:49 these rule sets work on you know an
25:52 individual trade and individual stock.
25:53 It's about how they work over time and
25:56 how they fit your personality. how much
25:58 risk you like to take, how much you know
26:00 draw down you like to experience because
26:02 you if you don't like experiencing draw
26:04 downs, you want to sell more into
26:05 strength more as a stock is going up and
26:07 making momentum moves and you know just
26:10 letting a trailing piece um on for a
26:12 bigger move. So it's all about fitting
26:14 these rule sets and figuring out what
26:16 works best for how you view the markets
26:18 and how you you know experience risk and
26:20 your over your own personal risk
26:22 tolerance. Here is variation three where
26:25 you can add back uh 33%. Um and here is
26:28 the add back uh point here as it formed
26:31 a new base and undercut and reclaimed
26:33 the 20 21 EMA and broke out of this base
26:37 here. Um for a swing trader, you
26:38 actually sold out of your whole position
26:40 before that, but you added back 33%
26:42 because that's in your rule set. You're
26:43 able to do that and you ended up selling
26:46 that for 23% 23% gain here as it broke
26:50 down back below the 21 EMA a little bit
26:52 higher. uh you've got a 23% gain instead
26:54 in instead of about a 20% gain. And for
26:57 a position trader, you actually added uh
26:59 back here. Um and your overall net is a
27:02 31% gain. So you sold 33% up 59% and
27:06 that last 33% that you added back that
27:08 you sold back here at 5% um and added
27:11 back here um here as well. Uh so you've
27:14 got a little bit better of a gain. So
27:16 again, this allows you to trade around
27:17 the core a little bit more. And this
27:19 next variation allows you to re-enter
27:20 2/3. Uh so you've got uh your swing
27:24 trader here up 29 29% now and you were
27:27 able to stick with that trend a little
27:28 bit more and position trader just gets a
27:31 little bit more juice and a 35% gain
27:33 because they were able to add back on
27:34 the next lowrisk buy point a little bit
27:36 more and trade around that core
27:37 position. Uh so those are the four v
27:40 variations. Again, here is uh the uh the
27:45 basic basically the definitions of them.
27:46 And in the chat right now, let me know
27:48 which kind of uh rule set or variation
27:50 kind of appeals most to you. And again,
27:52 it's going to be dependent on your
27:53 situation. If you like to sell more to
27:55 strength versus weakness and also again
27:57 where you are in your trading journey.
27:59 Uh you know, if you're more advanced,
28:01 you're likely not selling half at 5%,
28:03 maybe you're selling half at uh your
28:05 average gain, half into as an extension,
28:07 holding the rest for the 21 EMA. Uh, but
28:09 let me know in the chat which variation
28:11 kind of makes the most sense to you and
28:13 how you like to personally trade. All
28:15 right. Uh, J Patel says number
28:18 two, one to two and fast number four.
28:22 So, we've got a mix. Again, everybody's
28:23 going to think a little bit differently
28:25 and different rule sets are going to
28:26 appeal uh better to different different
28:29 situations and different types of
28:30 traders. Uh, but again, these are just
28:33 examples as well of tweaks you can make.
28:35 Maybe you're not going to adapt exactly
28:37 variation 4, uh, but you might tweak it
28:39 to how you like to trade and your
28:41 personal uh, sell rules. Now, for stage
28:44 three plus traders, the goal is
28:46 different. Again, the goal for stage one
28:48 and two is all about building
28:49 consistency, establishing an initial
28:52 system to actually test out who you are
28:54 as a trader. Stage three and stage four
28:56 is more about performance and actually
28:58 performing really, really well. And
29:00 severals will adapt to the character of
29:02 the stock and the actual market
29:03 environment. Maybe the market
29:04 environment is rewarding, you know,
29:07 strong trending markets, uh, you know,
29:09 holding on to positions longer. You
29:10 adapt a little bit more and lean more
29:12 into selling into weakness versus
29:13 selling into strength. And sell rules
29:15 are tailored to the traders biases
29:16 selling into strength or weakness.
29:17 Again, based on their personal way of
29:20 interpreting the markets and instead of
29:22 rule one, which is sell into five, sell
29:23 at 5%. You can sell at extensions uh as
29:27 your first sell instead of fixed levels.
29:29 uh so you get a little bit more uh
29:31 variability in your cells but it might
29:33 you know lead to increased performance
29:35 over time and instead of sell rule two
29:37 which is breaks below two moving
29:38 averages you could divide sells between
29:41 uh the 21 EMA and the 50 SMA to hold a
29:43 little bit longer and you can use
29:45 judgment on the negativi negativ sorry
29:48 the negativity of the two close below a
29:50 moving average and what I mean by that
29:52 is let's go to this um this example
29:55 actually right here so this first close
29:57 below the 50 SMA is very negative, but
30:01 the next close is higher than this bar
30:04 right here. And let me let me zoom in
30:06 here to actually really show
30:08 this. So this first close below the 50
30:11 SMA is very negative, closing at lows,
30:13 big range bar, but the next day is an
30:16 inside bar that closes higher than this
30:19 close. If you want to be, you know, if
30:21 you're more of a stage three, stage four
30:22 type trader, this might not trigger your
30:25 sell rule as two closes below the 50 SMA
30:27 because this close is more positive than
30:30 this close right here. And that allows
30:32 you to stick with that trend and, you
30:33 know, stick with it. This low is never a
30:35 loss. That could be your rule. If it
30:37 breaks below this low, that's your
30:39 that's your sell rule. Um, and you hold
30:41 on and this one rallied and and kept on
30:43 going. So, that might keep you in a
30:45 little bit longer in certain situations
30:46 when a stock is very strong. Um, so
30:48 that's kind of a nuance or uh variation
30:51 that you can adopt um if you would like
30:53 to as a stage three or four trader. Uh,
30:56 so those are some ideas for the more
30:58 advanced traders out there about how to
31:00 adapt their cell rules to be a little
31:01 bit more malleable. Um, and you can do
31:03 that as a stage three, stage four type
31:05 trader. But again, stage one and two is
31:07 about uh rigidity, system, consistency.
31:10 Stage three and four is about
31:12 performance and there's a little bit
31:14 disc more discretion and variability
31:16 allowed uh for those type of
31:19 traders. All right, so here's a stage
31:21 three example maybe how you would apply
31:22 this as a stage three trader. These are
31:24 similar to my personal sell rules. So
31:26 you've got that same entry point. Your
31:28 first sale isn't at 5%. It's at this
31:30 first extension up 20 20%. You've got
31:32 still um and you're not selling third a
31:34 third. You're selling only 25% looking
31:36 to hold the majority for a bigger move.
31:39 Uh, you've got another sell on another
31:41 extension. You sell 25% of 54%. You've
31:44 got 50% remaining. And your last sell as
31:46 a swing trader is to close below the 21
31:49 EMA. You sell 50% um up 34%. So, you get
31:52 a nice trade overall. And your rules
31:55 allow you to re-enter 100%. Or if you
31:58 still have a full position, add 25% uh
32:00 back. So here on the this next lowest
32:03 buy point, you re-enter and your final
32:05 sell as a swing trader is two closes
32:07 below the 21 EMA. Um with that last
32:10 trade netting another 12.7%. So instead
32:12 of about a 20% gain which we talked
32:15 about with the previous variations for
32:16 earlier stage traders, you have almost a
32:18 50% gain. And that's where the
32:20 performance really comes from is waiting
32:22 for those key points. this extension,
32:24 this uh key reversal bar extension, and
32:27 being able to add back and start a new
32:29 trade on within that same longerterm
32:32 trend, a new swing trade when we get a
32:34 re reinvigorated momentum move. And even
32:37 looking at this example, a stage three
32:40 four trader might not be waiting for two
32:42 closes below the 21 EMA in this case
32:44 because look at this bar. We break all
32:46 these lows altogether, this lows as
32:49 well. So you might have actually raised
32:50 your stop to this struct element in
32:52 structure and uh you know improved the
32:54 second trade here and gotten a little
32:56 bit more juice and performance out of
32:58 the second trade. Uh again just adding
33:00 to your overall profit. Uh for a
33:02 position trader mindset again maybe you
33:04 sold one here into the extension uh sell
33:07 sold again here um and then you add back
33:10 here and you're selling you know the 25%
33:12 position up 20 10% here and overall get
33:15 a 61% gain. So both of these situations,
33:18 this shows how a stage three type rule
33:20 set, which is a little bit more
33:21 adaptive, a little bit more
33:22 discretionary, a little bit up to the
33:24 personality of the individual stock, can
33:26 allow you to perform better. But this is
33:29 only available for stage three and four
33:31 traders who have proved themselves to be
33:32 able to manage risk. Uh they've built
33:34 that technique over time and uh use that
33:37 rigidity that they learned in stage one
33:38 and two to allow them to be a little bit
33:40 more creative in stage three and four uh
33:42 to perform a little bit better. So this
33:44 is example of how to apply a little bit
33:45 more of a fluid rule set that adapts to
33:49 the personal situation and this is
33:51 pretty similar to uh my personal uh
33:54 trading rule set as well. All right, so
33:58 a little bit more on market environment
33:59 and sell rules. Uh different market
34:01 environments will favor quicker rules
34:03 and put more emphasis on selling into
34:04 strength or weakness. And this is a
34:06 really important point because I think a
34:09 lot of people get uh worked up about,
34:12 you know, there's a 2024 or 2020 and
34:15 they look back over their trades and
34:17 they're like, "Wow, if I just hold until
34:20 the stock breaks the 50 SMA or 100 SMA,
34:23 I'm going to make 300% every single
34:25 time. I sold way too early." But the
34:27 reality is that not every year is like a
34:29 2020 or 2024. and the rules that would
34:32 have worked really well in 2020 or 2024
34:35 are actually overfitted to that market
34:38 environment that was extremely good and
34:41 not going to happen every single year.
34:43 Um, and so when they adopt those rules
34:45 that, you know, to hold on to a stock
34:46 until it breaks the 50 no matter what,
34:49 the next year is choppier, breakouts
34:51 aren't falling through nearly as much.
34:53 And instead of getting those 300% 400%
34:56 winners, uh, they get stopped out a lot.
34:59 uh they hold on too long to their to
35:01 their losers, to their to their winners
35:02 as they're pulling back uh way back into
35:04 the moving averages and they just don't
35:06 perform using that rule set which was
35:08 supposed to be the secret sauce and
35:10 perform really well. But the reason
35:12 being that it didn't is because the
35:13 market environment is not always
35:15 conducive towards longer term uh poor
35:18 position trading sell rules. Uh so you
35:20 want to remember that as you're looking
35:22 back on your trades and deciding what
35:23 rule sets to use is you want to avoid
35:26 overfitting and think about a rule set
35:29 that is robust that will adapt to
35:31 different market environments both
35:32 really great trending ones as well as
35:34 choppier ones and protect you in those
35:36 situations. And uh just be be aware that
35:40 a rule set that worked really well in a
35:42 strong trending market environment may
35:43 perform horribly in a very choppy uh up
35:47 and down volatile market. Uh so that's
35:49 something really important to remember.
35:51 And uh a way to help you identify if
35:53 you're in a trending or shopping
35:55 environment that can be an input to
35:56 allow you to switch rule sets or just be
35:58 more aware is you can track your average
36:00 gain over the last end trades. This
36:02 could be 20, this could be 50, this
36:04 could be 30, this could be 10. And if
36:06 your average gain is increasing um or
36:08 decreasing, that could help tell you are
36:10 we trending or are we uh more choppy. If
36:13 it's increasing, it's more likely to be
36:15 a trending market environment where
36:17 longerterm sell rules may uh do better.
36:20 But if it's decreasing, you might want
36:21 to tighten things up because it is a
36:23 little bit
36:24 choppier. And uh also, I just want to
36:26 point out that, you know, this is pretty
36:27 obvious, but is worth mentioning as
36:29 well. Um stronger markets after
36:31 significant correction/bear markets will
36:33 favor those longer term rules. So you
36:35 might want to lean more into um you know
36:38 the position trading type mindset after
36:40 a significant bare market or correction
36:43 like after COVID after the 2023 bottom.
36:46 That's when the long trends really
36:47 happened. That's where we saw PLTR
36:49 Nvidia start there a thousand% moves
36:52 that would have held up really well with
36:54 uh longerterm sell rules. Uh so keep
36:56 that in mind as you go through it. And
36:58 also I want to mention here when a
37:00 market trend goes sour it often happens
37:01 fast and growth names will all kind of
37:05 drop in tandem altogether. So uh you
37:08 want to be aware of that and you know
37:10 act fast and manage risk in real time
37:12 and also you can track the leaders
37:13 carefully and if they are breaking down
37:14 be on guard for more weakness and that
37:16 can help you inform you about the market
37:18 environment and how you should be
37:19 managing your positions. Um so you know
37:21 this is just an important slide to think
37:23 about how the market environment will
37:25 impact which cell rules are you know
37:28 working well in that current uh market
37:31 cycle. All right so we'll take a quick
37:33 Q&A break. I'll uh so drop your
37:35 questions in the chat here and uh we'll
37:38 go ahead and answer a few questions.
37:39 Also this is the QR code that you can
37:41 use to order the trader handbook. If you
37:43 find these webinars helpful, you'll
37:45 definitely enjoy this trader handbook.
37:47 Everything we talk about here, we talk
37:49 about at length in this book as well.
37:52 And the last chapter, chapter 12, is a
37:54 model book of the greatest winning
37:55 stocks over the past decade. Um, and
37:57 it's great study material to help you
37:59 speed up your learning curve and study
38:01 those winners to distill the concepts
38:03 that we're talking about in these
38:04 webinars. So, definitely go ahead and
38:06 order yours if you haven't already. And
38:08 let's go ahead and see if there's any
38:09 questions here. Shouldn't the initial
38:11 sell depend on what your initial stop
38:13 is? Uh, it can if that's your rule. Um,
38:15 you know, you could sell at 3R, 2R
38:17 instead of that average gain or 5% rule.
38:20 But for stage one, two traders, we're
38:21 just using a very simple and effective
38:24 5%. Uh, but if you're more stage two
38:26 plus, stage three, you can say, I'm
38:28 going to sell at two risk multiples or
38:30 three miss multiples. And that's how you
38:32 can define your initial cell, cell
38:33 number one. Uh, clarify extension. We're
38:36 going to get into that uh very shortly.
38:37 So, great
38:38 question. Does the same apply for short
38:40 selling rules? I would say short selling
38:42 rules are the same on the flip side, but
38:44 you want to be faster and lean more into
38:46 in terms of selling into strength for
38:48 short selling rules just because the
38:50 moves are faster. Uh the the um the
38:53 moves up from sell, you know, the moves
38:55 up after uh a strong extension down are
38:58 more vicious. So you want to lean more
39:00 into in terms of selling to strength,
39:02 which means, you know, selling into
39:03 weakness if you're uh or sorry, covering
39:06 into weakness uh if you're if you're
39:07 shorting. Uh so you just want to be a
39:09 little bit faster when shorting as well.
39:11 Hard stop versus mental stop. We'll talk
39:12 about that at the very end. And uh we'll
39:15 we'll dive right in because people a lot
39:16 of people are talking about extensions.
39:18 So let's discuss more. Oh, actually
39:20 first I want I want to talk a little bit
39:21 about this. Let me get a sip of water
39:24 here. So this is more for the position
39:27 traders out there. So pay attention if
39:29 that's you.
39:30 tips for holding big winners longer um
39:33 and getting the most out of them because
39:34 I think a lot of people would have much
39:36 better performance if they kind of got
39:37 out of their own heads and when they
39:39 have a big winner at 40% plus actually
39:41 let it work and and let it trend for
39:43 them instead of time choking it off and
39:45 micromanaging it. So, uh first things
39:47 first, the best trades that really
39:49 contribute to your performance need to
39:50 be handled carefully to not choke them
39:52 off and sell too early. And uh probably
39:54 many of you have sold a stock that went
39:56 on and doubled and tripled. And if this
39:58 is you, hopefully these tips will be
40:00 helpful. So if you do get a significant
40:02 cushion, you know, around 40% plus, and
40:04 the market environment is trending and
40:06 strong and the stocks looks to have a
40:09 lot more runway, uh, focus on the trend
40:11 and not so much on the day-to-day
40:13 movements. I'll talk about what exactly
40:14 that means in just a minute. And this is
40:17 because we can get scared out of our
40:18 best stocks, our biggest winners that go
40:20 on and double or more from there simply
40:23 because of one to you three day sharp
40:25 pullbacks that simply recover and keep
40:28 moving higher. You know there's many
40:29 instances during this Reddit trend where
40:32 we pull back for 4 days, recover, pull
40:34 back, recover, pull back, recover and
40:36 keep going until it really breaks trend
40:38 here. And this started all the way down
40:40 here. Very strong action all the way
40:42 until we actually meaningfully broke,
40:44 you know, a trend line. the moving
40:46 average, the 50 SMA, whatever your
40:47 definition of trend is. You know, there
40:49 are a lot of sharp pullbacks in here
40:51 that could have shaken you out and
40:53 allowed you to, you know, miss out on
40:54 all these profits and gains uh to be to
40:57 be gained by getting out at the proper
40:59 points as it's actually breaking down uh
41:01 into a downtrend from being in an
41:03 uptrend.
41:05 And one really good tip that uh Rye
41:07 actually actually taught me a few years
41:10 ago is when you've got a stock like this
41:12 where maybe you entered right here,
41:13 which is actually where I entered and
41:15 you get a gap up, you've got a really
41:16 strong profit, you add more, you're
41:18 you've got a nice position, very strong
41:20 position in this name. Uh you know, when
41:22 you've got a great profit all the way
41:24 from down here, um you want to think of
41:26 your profit more in terms of the
41:27 trailing 21 EMA versus what the stock is
41:30 doing on a day-to-day fluctuation. And
41:32 the reason why this is important because
41:34 you know the changes in P&L from here to
41:37 here are pretty significant. But you've
41:39 got a great cost basis. The stock is
41:41 still acting fine. It's above a rising
41:44 21 EMA, above a rising 50 SMA. And this
41:47 fluctuation doesn't really matter
41:49 because in a sense it's noise. As long
41:51 as the stock is above a rising 21 EMA,
41:54 it's in a healthy trend. And you want to
41:56 give it the benefit of the doubt,
41:58 especially if you have a great cushion.
41:59 So watching versus the 21 EMA smooths
42:02 out kind of how you're perceiving your
42:03 profit in that position and allows you
42:06 mentally to stay with that trend a
42:08 little bit longer until it meaningfully
42:10 uh breaks down and begins a trend below
42:12 that that 21 EMA to end that trade for
42:15 you. So again, if a stock is trending
42:17 above a rising 10 21 EMA and 50 SMA, it
42:20 is healthy. Let it do its thing. Let it
42:22 work. Um and this is really important.
42:25 Big winners can double or more while
42:27 never breaking their 21 EMA. I think
42:29 Tesla went up several hundred% without
42:31 breaking the 21 EMA back in 2020. NEO
42:34 went up like 500% without breaking the
42:35 21 EMA. This moving average will keep
42:38 you in the strongest stocks instead of
42:40 trying to micromanage everything and try
42:43 to be perfect. Sell up here, buy back
42:45 here, just letting that 21 EMA do the
42:47 work will help you uh both mentally as
42:50 well as financially profit from that
42:52 trend a little bit longer. Then another
42:55 way to stick with the trend a little bit
42:56 longer and uh let me know in the chat.
42:58 This is actually my question for the day
43:00 to win a signed uh book. What stock is
43:02 this? This is a guppy chart. These are
43:04 moving averages. What stock is this? Let
43:06 me see who gets it here and you'll win
43:08 the signed copy of the trader handbook.
43:09 Uh so let me know your thoughts here.
43:11 But GMMA charts are basically uh they
43:14 eliminate the day-to-day fluctuations by
43:17 only showing the moving averages. Uh so
43:19 we've got some short-term moving
43:20 averages in red um and longerterm moving
43:23 averages in blue here. We've got trader
43:25 EMAs are the short term and uh investor
43:27 moving averages are the longer term in
43:30 blue and you're looking for a red,
43:32 white, blue pattern. This was taught to
43:34 me by Dr. Eric Wish. This is a great
43:36 thing that he he taught to us.
43:38 Basically, if you're in a red, white,
43:40 blue pattern with red moving averages
43:42 with some white space above a blue,
43:44 there's nothing to be done if you're in
43:45 that stock and with a good profit. You
43:47 just want to let it work until it
43:48 actually breaks down into a red below
43:52 white uh you know sorry a blue white red
43:55 pattern. Until that happens there's
43:57 nothing too much to be done. And even
43:58 here it's more just basing versus
44:00 actually breaking down into a blue white
44:03 red pattern. So again if red is above
44:06 white space above blue and you've got a
44:08 strong profit let a stock work and let
44:10 the trend work and do its thing. But
44:12 once we meaningfully break down and this
44:14 is where it started to break down here.
44:16 Uh this is where you want to be more
44:17 selling and uh just be looking to take
44:20 profits as we
44:22 bl red pattern the inverse of this
44:25 strong trend here. And uh let's see who
44:28 got it here. Got a lot of PLTR guesses.
44:32 Netflix. All right. Awesome. It looks
44:34 like Ronaldo uh got it. This is Nvidia.
44:38 This is the start of its move back in uh
44:40 2023. And uh this is the the recent
44:43 action as it's basing and pulling back
44:44 and starting a potential stage four. So
44:46 Ronaldo set send me a DM on Twitter and
44:49 we'll get you hooked up with a free copy
44:51 of uh the traders handbook. Awesome.
44:53 Great great stuff guys. All right, cool.
44:55 So these GMA charts I think are really
44:57 powerful. I think a great exercise for
44:59 everybody watching right now to do is
45:01 you know plot out a stock that you feel
45:03 like you should have done a lot better
45:04 in. Uh look at your entry. plot it on a
45:07 guppy chart and if it's way back here,
45:09 just look at where you would have sold
45:10 if you just used the moving averages and
45:13 waited for a blue, white, red pattern to
45:16 develop and see what profit you would
45:17 have gotten versus uh you know what you
45:19 actually got and see if this this system
45:22 this process using these guppy charts
45:23 once you're at a great profit uh could
45:25 help you stick in uh stay with a winner
45:28 longer. Another variation of course is
45:30 also to use just a weekly chart and
45:32 focus more on the weekly action once
45:33 you've got a great profit. And this is a
45:35 key point one I want to emphasize and
45:37 this is something that Jim Roel really
45:39 emphasized to me is to capture a monster
45:41 winner of 200% or more. You will need to
45:44 sit through one or two bases at least
45:46 within a strong stage two uptrend. And
45:48 you're going to have to, you know, stick
45:50 through multiple earnings reports. Some
45:52 of them may gap down on you, but in
45:54 order to get a monster winner, you need
45:57 to, you know, understand where your cost
45:58 basis is, your profit cushion, what
46:00 you're willing to give back off the
46:02 table in order to sit through and get
46:04 that longer term move. So, there's
46:06 sacrifices that have to be made if
46:08 you're active investor, a position
46:09 trader, a swing trader. There's always
46:11 pros and cons to both. And part of the,
46:14 you know, the cons of position trading
46:16 is it's going to take quite a quite a
46:17 while and you're going to have to sit
46:19 through bases, consolidations, earnings
46:21 reports, uh, which add risk, uh, in
46:23 order to profit potentially from a
46:25 monster winner, which I know probably
46:26 many of you had a really good, um,
46:29 Ronaldo, uh, shoot me an email at
46:31 richardtraderline.com, and we'll we'll
46:32 get you set up. So that's
46:35 Richard.com. Um, so yeah, in order to
46:38 sit through a monster trend like this
46:40 and get uh really strong profits on app
46:43 or a similar name, you have to sit
46:45 through bases and sit through earnings
46:47 reports. All right, so here are some
46:50 good quotes for position traders/active
46:52 investors. This is from Jesse Livermore.
46:54 It was never my thinking that made the
46:56 big money for me. It was always my
46:58 sitting. Got that? My sitting tight. It
47:00 is no trick to be right on the market.
47:03 You always find lots of early bulls in
47:04 bull markets and early bears in bare
47:06 markets. I know many men who were right
47:08 at exactly the right time. I began sell
47:11 buying or selling stocks when prices
47:12 were at the very level which should show
47:14 the greatest profit and their experience
47:17 invariably match mine. That is they made
47:19 no real money out of it. Men who can
47:22 both be right and sit tight are
47:24 uncommon. And that's from Jesse
47:26 Livermore. And what he means by that is
47:29 even if you bought correctly here, the
47:31 ability to sit through this trend as the
47:35 stock is working from you is very tough.
47:38 And that's why we need to have rules
47:39 that say I won't sell until we we break
47:42 below the 50 SMA or I won't sell until
47:44 we break below uh and start a blue white
47:46 red pattern. These rules protect us and
47:49 allow us to profit from these monster
47:52 winners. So that's really important to
47:53 remember.
47:55 Then for more active traders, I've got
47:56 one from Darvis here. As to my basic
47:58 strategy, I decided I would always do
48:00 this. I would just jog along with an
48:02 upward trend, trailing my stop-loss
48:04 insurance behind me. As the trend
48:06 continued, I would buy more. When the
48:08 trend reversed, I would run like a
48:10 thief. So again, active traders, more
48:12 swing traders, it's a different
48:13 perspective. You're more trying to just
48:15 participate when the momentum is
48:17 strongest and get out uh get out of the
48:19 way. Uh run like a thief when that
48:21 momentum ends and we start breaking down
48:23 a little bit. uh or even you know in
48:25 this environment you can sell to
48:26 strength and uh just trail the rest and
48:29 uh wait for the stock to really break
48:30 down for that last remainder of the
48:32 position. All right, so now we'll get
48:35 into selling to strength rules, selling
48:37 into weakness rules, and you know what
48:40 the hell does extended mean and how do
48:42 we define it? So let me take a quick
48:44 pause here and see if there's any
48:46 questions. All right, I don't see any.
48:48 So perfect.
48:53 Okay. So, selling into strength. Selling
48:56 to strength means selling a stock as it
48:58 is rising becoming extended and volatile
49:00 or is simply meeting profit target
49:02 levels that you might set at 10% your
49:04 average gain. You know, 3R, 5R, 10R,
49:07 whatever your rule is. That's what
49:08 selling into strength means. Selling as
49:10 a stock is rising and meets uh those
49:13 criteria. And selling it to strength is
49:15 more suited towards swing trading and
49:17 its focus is on locking down profits
49:19 after quick moves, momentum moves. And
49:21 the benefit of this is it reduces equity
49:23 curve draw downs because you're selling
49:25 as a stock is rising. Um although it
49:27 does increase trading and you know you
49:30 you're basically required to go and
49:32 rotate that money into a new idea, a new
49:34 momentum move. Um and the bad thing
49:36 about this and the the the difficult
49:39 part and the art of it is that
49:41 extensions are a judgment call. That's
49:42 why there's so many questions about uh
49:44 you know what does extended mean and you
49:47 can define extended based on a visual
49:49 extension. This is how William O'Neal
49:50 did it after looking at millions of
49:53 charts I'm sure by the time he uh
49:55 retired. Um but you know you can do it
49:57 on a visual extension. You know how far
49:59 extended are we above a moving average
50:01 compared to we ha to we have been in the
50:03 past. Just kind of make a judgment call.
50:04 All right we're about this this far. You
50:06 know previously we only got this far.
50:08 All right we're a little bit extended
50:09 here. You can also define it more
50:11 objectively based on an ATR from a
50:13 moving average or a percentage amount
50:14 from a moving average. You know, rule of
50:16 thumb is 10% above the 10 EMA, 20% above
50:19 the 21 EMA and 50% above the 50 SMA,
50:22 100% um or more above the 200 SMA. Those
50:26 are just rules of thumbs and it's going
50:28 to depend on the the character of the
50:30 stock, of course. And you can also base
50:32 it on relative measured extension. This
50:34 is an indicator that we developed in DFW
50:36 to actually objectively uh measure
50:39 extension and I'll show you that in the
50:40 examples in just a second. So this can
50:42 be a really simple and effective way to
50:44 say this is extended based on prior
50:47 price action. You can also use key
50:49 reversal bars. We'll talk about exactly
50:50 what those are. Uh failed breakouts are
50:52 also a time to sell to strength. Uh when
50:54 we try to break out of a base and fail,
50:56 that can be an early warning sign to get
50:58 get out of the way. And then gap ups
51:00 after powerful moves. But I want to be
51:03 very careful here. Gap ups after
51:05 powerful moves. When a stock has already
51:07 been trending for quite some time, it's
51:09 extended in its move, it's extended
51:11 within its statue uptrend. And the gap
51:13 is more likely to be exhaustive than a
51:16 sign that there's a lot of demand,
51:18 renewed demand from institutions. Gap
51:20 ups early in a trend are a very strong
51:22 positive sign. Uh but later in the
51:24 trend, they could be more exhaustive and
51:25 more likely should be sold into than
51:27 accumulated on. And that being said,
51:30 even for early uh stage gap ups, um
51:33 swing traders likely are selling into
51:35 those because again, their goal is to
51:37 simply rotate capital out of the
51:39 powerful movers into the next
51:40 opportunity. And gap ups are gift in in
51:43 their minds and allow them to get a
51:45 profit very quickly. Uh so even for
51:47 swing traders, uh early gap ups are
51:50 likely to be to be sells or spots of
51:52 sell to strength as you see in this
51:54 diagram. And I think this is a really
51:56 good rule of thumb as well. If you're
51:57 thinking about, you know, should I sell?
51:59 I don't know if I should sell it. I'm up
52:00 30%. Should I sell? Should I hold? Uh,
52:04 look at where the 21 EMA is, which kind
52:06 of defines the trend for your time
52:08 frame. So, use the relevant moving
52:09 average, the 50 SMA, the 10 EMA even.
52:12 And if you're not able to stomach a
52:14 pullback of your position to that key
52:16 moving average, it's a good idea to sell
52:18 a partial. So, if you if visually you
52:20 you expect or or think about if the
52:23 stock pull back next week all the way to
52:24 the 21 EMA, which defines what an
52:26 uptrend is for me. Um, if you can't
52:29 stomach that pullback, which might be
52:30 10%, 20%, and uh really diminishes your
52:34 profit on the position while a stock is
52:36 still in an uptrend, that's a good point
52:38 to, you know, sell 25%, sell a third,
52:41 sell half, so you can stomach that
52:43 pullback, that natural pullback within
52:45 the context of that uptrend.
52:48 And Mickey asked uh please repeat the
52:50 percentage points of extended above the
52:52 moving averages. Yeah. So this is just a
52:53 rule of thumb from the 10 EMA about 10
52:55 10 to 15% above that is extended. Again
52:58 higher ADR stocks it can go a lot lot
53:00 bigger than that. Uh from the 21 EMA
53:03 about 20 20 to 30% depending on the
53:05 stock's character. Uh from the 50 SMA
53:07 50% uh from the 200 SMA double 100%
53:11 above that is considered a little bit
53:13 extended. But again, these are all
53:14 judgments and there's always art and uh
53:17 the character of the stock to take into
53:19 account as you're defining what is
53:20 extended. And that's where um relative
53:22 measured extension kind of comes into
53:24 play to actually give you a framework
53:26 that's objective uh to you know um
53:29 interpret extensions on all stocks the
53:31 same way. All right. So what the hell
53:34 are key reversal bars? Let's get into
53:36 that. So key reversal bar is when an
53:39 extended stock gaps up or has a powerful
53:41 move higher and then reverses even
53:44 harder and closes well off highs likely
53:47 under undercutting the prior days low
53:48 and maybe even multiple days low. And
53:51 you can see in this case uh and let me
53:53 know what stock this is. There's there's
53:54 no prize, but just I want to see if
53:56 there's anybody who can get it. During
53:58 this move, there are many gap ups. Uh
54:00 it's gapping up almost every day. It
54:02 looks extended almost every day. Uh it's
54:04 pretty volatile and this day is just
54:06 kind of at the end of this exhaustive
54:08 phase. So let me know what stock this
54:10 is. I want to see if there anybody who
54:11 gets it. Uh Meta AMD. Nope. Nope. Not
54:15 SMCI. There we go. Say got it. MSTR.
54:18 This is MSTR guys. Um so this is a key
54:21 reversal bar when we have a gap up or
54:23 initial move higher and then an
54:26 extremely negative reversal down.
54:29 breaking the high, breaking the close,
54:31 breaking the low, breaking multiple days
54:33 lows. This is the type of bar that we're
54:36 looking out for because this could be a
54:37 sign to sell some into it is into
54:40 weakness, but it's more closer to highs
54:42 than waiting for a break below the 21
54:44 EMA. So, there's going to be an early
54:45 sell signal for position traders or, you
54:48 know, the last bit that you take off as
54:49 a swing trader. Uh, so these periods,
54:51 these key reversal bars often lead to
54:54 the start of a pullback or a basing
54:56 period. And that's really important. And
54:58 most significant uh these are most
55:00 significant after a stock has already
55:01 been trending for multiple weeks and or
55:03 is showing signs of climactic type
55:05 action. You know multiple gap ups many
55:07 green days in a row increasing
55:09 volatility increasing slope of the move.
55:11 So if you visualize a slope this is the
55:13 rate of ascent and then it kind of
55:15 increases this way and often these days
55:18 are the largest range bar in the move
55:20 and on very high volume as well. So,
55:21 these are bars that you want to look out
55:23 for. And once you kind of start looking
55:24 for them, you'll see them all the time
55:26 as a stock is topping, as a stock is
55:29 starting to base out. And we'll show a
55:30 few examples uh later on as
55:37 well. So, this is MSTR. Uh this was a
55:40 the zoomed in view that I just showed.
55:42 This is the key reversal
55:43 bar. And you can see throughout this
55:45 move, it really respects the 10 EMA
55:48 here. It's a faster moving stock. So the
55:50 10 EMA is kind of the the moving average
55:52 that I would consider for this name. And
55:55 within that, there's a lot of points
55:56 where it gets visually extended from
55:58 that 10 EMA. If you look at how far it
56:00 kind of gets from the 10 EMA, this kind
56:02 of matches it or exceeds it. This kind
56:04 of matches it or exceed it exceeds it.
56:05 And each time it does that, it pulls
56:07 back for a few days and even undercuts
56:09 the 10 EMA. And these drops look small,
56:12 but in reality, they're like 10 15%
56:14 move. So, you don't really want to be
56:16 sitting with that um that type of move
56:19 in a full position. And this would be
56:21 the buy point as it uh uh gaps above the
56:24 50 SMA, forms this tight flag inside day
56:27 and breaks higher. That would be the buy
56:28 point we're using in this case. And
56:30 these pullbacks are something to avoided
56:32 or just you want to sell into these
56:33 extensions. Again, visually extended.
56:36 Definitely bigger than this and this as
56:38 well. Um strong bar though. It holds up.
56:40 Uh you've got a key reversal bar here,
56:42 but it actually recovers, holds, and
56:44 gets even more extended. And again, look
56:46 at the distance, the air from the 10 EMA
56:49 compare compared to back here during the
56:51 normal trend. This is a clear sign that
56:53 we're getting extended. We get a fadeoff
56:55 highs. And you might want to be taking
56:57 some off every single one of these days,
56:59 every single one of these extensions.
57:00 Even though it's not the top, you might
57:02 want to be taking some off. So then we
57:04 when we do get the pullback, significant
57:06 pullback from the key reversal bar,
57:08 you're able to handle that a little bit
57:09 more objectively because you're not
57:10 focused on how much money you're losing
57:12 in the moment. And this is the key
57:13 reversal bar. This starts the basing
57:15 process which it's still been in um for
57:17 quite some time now. And we'll see if it
57:19 does recover and and set back set back
57:21 up again. But again, this key reversal
57:23 bar could be your last sell as a swing
57:24 trader or just you know a warning sign
57:26 to sell half as a position trader. And
57:29 down here we've got the deep view
57:31 relative measured extension indicator.
57:33 Anytime it gets in this red area, we're
57:34 getting a little bit sorry, short-term
57:38 extended from the 10 EMA. I'm using the
57:40 10 uh EMA, sorry, simple moving average
57:43 here with the 50-day look back period,
57:45 and that is kind of what the indicator
57:46 is trained on it. It's looking at the
57:48 moving average as well as the past 50
57:51 days and how extended we've gotten from
57:53 that moving average. So, anytime we get
57:55 into this red zone, it might be a time
57:57 to take profits back here, back here as
57:59 well. Um, and you know, that's how you
58:01 can use this indicator. We've done a
58:02 whole webinar simply on RME. So, uh,
58:05 I'll kind of link that below as well and
58:07 take a look at that if you're curious
58:08 about this indicator
58:10 here. Here's an example with Tesla. Um,
58:14 this obeys more the 21 EMA. So, that's
58:16 why I'm using the 20 uh EMA uh, sorry,
58:19 20 SMA with RME. And again, we're
58:22 getting extended in this area as we're
58:24 gapping up. A lot of gap ups. Definitely
58:25 extended. This would be where you're
58:27 selling some of strength. And then we
58:28 get a Q reversal bar here, breaking all
58:30 these lows all at once. And this starts
58:32 a basing process before it sets up again
58:34 and went on another nice move. But this
58:37 Q reversal bar and recognizing that
58:39 allows you to protect yourself from this
58:42 gap a little bit. Maybe you're still
58:43 selling a little bit, but maybe not your
58:45 whole position. and you know this
58:47 further pullback all the way from 270 up
58:50 here all the way down to you know 180
58:52 almost 100 points here uh you'd be able
58:54 to hopefully protect yourself uh and and
58:57 sell earlier to protect yourself from
58:59 this decline here by recognizing this
59:01 key reversal bar and this would be the
59:03 entry range breakout upside reversal to
59:05 prime the setup strong push through that
59:07 pivot level and you get a gap ups a
59:09 little bit short-term extended swing
59:10 traders would be selling likely into
59:12 this day this day as well this day as
59:14 well and then maybe selling the final
59:15 piece as it breaks uh you know prior day
59:18 lows right here on the Q reversal bar.
59:21 So that is another example with
59:23 Tesla. Here is Reddit. Uh you get an
59:25 entry on the 50 SMA reclaim or the entry
59:28 right here on the flag breakout and we
59:30 get an extension here. But remember this
59:33 is a also a powerful earnings gap and
59:35 this is a new stock. So this is kind of
59:37 more recent and newer within the stu
59:39 uptrend. So maybe you wouldn't be
59:40 selling as a position trader into
59:42 strength here, but a swing trader
59:43 definitely likely is selling some into
59:45 strength. Uh you've got uh another
59:47 extension here as well. There's a gap up
59:49 that was sold after 25% move and uh this
59:52 would be a sign to take a little bit
59:53 profit as a swing trader. Again, gap ups
59:55 are gifts if in a stock that's already
59:57 short-term extended. And you get another
59:59 gift here. Strong powerful move up. I
60:01 think this is also with a an analyst
60:03 price target here. That's another sign
60:05 that the gap might not hold and we pull
60:07 back afterward. we get another extension
60:09 volatility and this actually starts a
60:11 base here um for a few weeks here. So
60:14 again, these extensions as a swing
60:16 trader, you'll be looking to sell into
60:18 them. As a position trader, you want to
60:20 be aware of them and recognize where a
60:22 stock within its life cycle. Maybe
60:23 you're not selling early extensions as a
60:25 position trader, but you might be
60:27 selling very uh extreme ones or later in
60:30 the trend just to lock in some profits
60:32 and weather a pullback to the 21 EMA or
60:35 the 50 SMA.
60:37 All right, then we'll get into selling
60:39 into weakness
60:41 here. All right, selling into weakness.
60:45 Selling into weakness obviously is
60:46 selling as a stock is breaking trend or
60:48 showing weak or abnormal price action.
60:51 And for this, the mindset is we're
60:53 focusing on riding the trend until it
60:56 really confirms that it is breaking down
60:58 and starting a downtrend. And this is
61:01 going to lead to larger draw downs off
61:03 equity highs, but potentially greater
61:05 reward because you're sticking with that
61:07 longerterm trend until it ends while
61:09 selling to strength. You might exit
61:11 here, here, or here. Here you're you're
61:13 participating in this longerterm trend,
61:15 however long it lasts, until it actually
61:17 breaks down. Signs of weakness that you
61:20 want to be watching out for. Closes
61:22 below key moving averages, breaks below
61:24 trend lines that you can draw at key
61:26 lows here, breaks below key lows. So,
61:29 you know, this is a key low here. We
61:30 broke below it. Instead of basing above
61:32 it, uh we broke below this low right
61:34 here as well. Uh large gap downs. So,
61:37 off the top, if there's a failed
61:38 breakout and then very large gap down on
61:40 earnings, that could be a sell signal.
61:42 Uh reconfirmations of lower highs. So,
61:44 here's a lower high. We've reconfirmed
61:46 down. That would be a sell signal as
61:47 well. Uh short-term moving averages
61:49 curling down and acting as resistance.
61:51 That's also what happens when we're
61:52 starting a corrective down period in the
61:55 market. And let's dive into some
61:57 examples here. So, here's Reddit. Here's
61:59 the base that started here. Uh, we get a
62:02 nice further move up from this base. But
62:04 then what happens right here? You can
62:06 see we broke out of a pivot, moved
62:08 higher, and then started pulling back
62:11 and gapped down and closed below this
62:14 level. So, this is a subtle thing that,
62:16 you know, more advanced traders will see
62:18 is this reconfirmation failed. And even
62:21 though we're pulling back to the 21 EMA,
62:23 we've got a gap down that tried to rally
62:25 through that pivot again, but couldn't
62:27 close higher. And then we leak lower the
62:29 next few days. So, this is the first
62:31 sign of weakness. Then we get two closes
62:33 below the 21 EMA. That might be your
62:35 sell rule um as well. Then we get a bad
62:37 close below the 50 SMA. Base breakout
62:39 fails. You know, this breakout here,
62:41 this broke out back in this area fails.
62:44 Another negative sign. The 21 EMA is
62:46 curling down here. We form a range here.
62:49 it can't rally higher into the 21 EMA.
62:51 You can see um a lot of wicks up here
62:54 and tries to move higher, reconfirm
62:56 down, break belows below the range, gap
62:58 down, gap down. Gap downs are key, guys.
63:01 You want to be watching out for these
63:02 gap downs. And if they can be filled
63:04 quickly and recovered quickly, that that
63:07 might kind of uh heal things, but if
63:09 they can't be healed, it might lead to a
63:11 lot further downside. Uh and then here,
63:13 decisively, we're trending below a
63:14 decline 21 and 50 SMA. So this is kind
63:17 of the the topping phase here and some
63:19 signs of weakness that you want to be
63:20 looking out for. Failed breakouts,
63:22 failed pivot reclaims, uh breaking below
63:24 moving averages and all this that we
63:26 note here on the
63:28 chart. All right, here is TDD. Uh you've
63:32 got a nice uptrend here. We break below
63:34 the trend line as well as the 50 SMA in
63:36 this case. But also even before that,
63:38 this is a little bit of a consolidation.
63:40 We get a breakout. The expectation is we
63:42 go higher. Instead, we can't, you know,
63:44 fall through to the upside. uh we kind
63:46 of stagnate at the pivot, we leak lower
63:49 and then we get a bad break of the 21
63:50 EMA. This would be definitely a sell
63:52 signal here. Then we break below the
63:54 trend line as well as 50 SMA start to
63:56 leak lower. The 50 SMA acts as a
63:58 resistance multiple times and then we
64:00 get very large gap down. So if you're
64:02 not out by this, which you definitely
64:04 should be as a swing trader in even a
64:06 position trader, we're below the 50 SMA
64:08 at this point. Uh you're definitely want
64:10 to exit here. And I think this has
64:12 declined about 50% since this very large
64:15 gap down on very large volume. So all
64:18 these warning signs are things you want
64:19 to watch out for to protect yourself
64:21 before further weakness happens and
64:24 before a stage stage 4 downtrend really
64:26 takes
64:27 hold. Here is GEV and this is something
64:30 I want to talk about large gap downs. Um
64:33 you know this is something probably a
64:34 lot of people experienced recently with
64:36 Deepseek. you know, Nvidia got hit, GEV
64:38 got hit, VST got hit. A lot of the
64:40 high-flying names which were the leaders
64:42 got hit pretty hard. Uh, so let's talk
64:44 about, you know, this large gap down.
64:45 We'll talk about how to handle them
64:47 later on. But here's the entry range
64:49 breakout, strong trend, and then we get
64:51 the catalyst out of nowhere, deepseek,
64:53 gamechanging news, and this is basically
64:56 a sell. Even though it rallies, it is
64:58 abnormal action that changes the dynamic
65:01 of supply and demand. So even if you
65:03 hold and rally these likely you want to
65:05 be sold
65:06 into and uh basically you know if you
65:10 bought a mean reversion trade here you
65:11 want to be more biased towards selling
65:13 to strength because this gap takes time
65:15 to heal often months to heal this type
65:18 of thing if it does and here you can see
65:22 it can't break out. It breaks below the
65:23 range breaks below the 21 EMA breaking
65:26 down and starts a downtrend and is
65:28 basing out now. But we'll see. We'll
65:30 have to see what happens with this name.
65:32 But this large gap down is something you
65:34 want to look out for because like with
65:35 TTD, these large gap downs could just be
65:37 the start of major major declines. And
65:40 again, the goal at the end of the day is
65:42 capital preservation. And these gap
65:44 downs are abnormal action that you don't
65:46 know if it's going to rally or if it's
65:48 going to fall through to the downside.
65:49 And we have to manage risk in real time
65:51 as traders. And if our if our reason for
65:53 buying is that it was moving higher and
65:55 breaking out of a consolidation when it
65:57 pulls back right to our entry point and
65:59 gaps down to that level, um we don't
66:02 know what's going to happen. It could
66:02 break these lows and just, you know,
66:04 follow through to the downside. We have
66:05 to manage real risk in real time with
66:07 the information we have available and
66:10 not hope. We have to follow our rules
66:11 and exit accordingly. All
66:14 right, here's the next one. We've got
66:16 Teddoc back in 2021. Uh, this is one I
66:19 actually bought right here and and sold
66:21 into strength here. Uh, we've got a nice
66:23 rally up above the 21 EMA. Then we have
66:25 a downside reversal. It can't break out
66:27 from this consolidation. We get
66:29 reconfirmation down, another sell
66:30 signal, a bad break at the 21 EMA, all
66:33 in one bar. We get a gap down. Again,
66:35 gap downs are key. We have another gap
66:37 down, lose at the 50 SMA, lose the 200
66:40 SMA. So, if you're not out by this
66:42 point, you haven't been paying
66:43 attention. Really, if you're not out by
66:45 uh this point, you haven't been paying
66:47 attention. And then this starts a major
66:49 major decline. I think it dropped 80%
66:51 from this level um or even more. And
66:54 throughout that that decline, it
66:55 couldn't rally above the moving
66:56 averages. It was below declining 50 and
66:58 200 SMAs. There are a lot a lot of sell
67:00 signals here that have that you could
67:02 have kind of picked up on um to sell
67:05 into strength as well as into weakness
67:06 and protect your capital if you did
67:08 enter from this point or even are an
67:10 investor and a long-term investor at
67:13 that. Here's one more example. We've got
67:15 Nvidia. Uh, and I want to include this
67:17 because it's more of a normal type
67:20 correction in a leader than something
67:22 that's completely breaking down like the
67:23 other ones. Uh, we've got a nice strong
67:25 trend. We get a key reversal bar. Again,
67:27 these are a sign that often basing is
67:30 needed. We get a lower high. This
67:31 another sell signal or, you know,
67:33 warning sign to be looking out for. And
67:35 we can see we try to form a range here,
67:38 but instead of breaking out and
67:40 reconfirming through this high, we break
67:42 lower. And that's a sign that more
67:43 correction is coming. And again, we try
67:46 to firm up, try to move higher. We break
67:49 lower, downside reversal, downside
67:50 reversal, and all of that will hopefully
67:52 protect you and get you out as a swing
67:54 trader or position trader before the
67:56 really bad break of the 50
67:58 SMA. And then the stock kind of firms up
68:01 because the best leaders will, you know,
68:03 need these bases to set up for the next
68:05 leg higher. I think this rose about 60
68:07 70%, you know, from these levels here
68:10 and from this extension down, there's no
68:11 follow-through lower. Then we start
68:13 forming higher lows. So the opposite of
68:14 these lower highs and firm up again and
68:17 start a new uptrend. But again, as swing
68:19 traders, we want to be selling into
68:21 strength here, selling into strength of
68:22 the lower high. Position traders breaks
68:24 below the 50 SMA very badly, sell to
68:26 that, and then wait for it to set up
68:28 again and restart a new uptrend. That's
68:30 the goal that we're trying to
68:32 participate during the momentum moves,
68:33 the natural trends versus the corrective
68:36 bases right
68:37 here. All right. So, I'm going to pause
68:39 here and see if there's any questions on
68:41 selling to strength, selling it to
68:42 weakness, as well as uh defining
68:44 extensions because I think that is a key
68:47 thing that people likely have questions
68:48 here. So, let's see there's any
68:52 questions. Shall we think about volume
68:54 strength as well as just um MVA? I think
68:57 just MA there. That's what you mean. But
68:59 basically, you know, price is the
69:01 ultimate deciding factor. It's the most
69:04 important thing. volume often confirms
69:06 and emphasizes key price and volume
69:08 characteristics, but price is enough to
69:11 make decisions by because that's what's
69:12 defined by supply and demand. Uh so I
69:15 think price is the most important.
69:16 Volume can help confirm what you're
69:19 thinking. Uh does this work for weekly
69:22 or hourly charts? It works on all time
69:24 frames, but we're really focused here as
69:27 swinging position traders for growth
69:28 stocks and we're thinking more about
69:30 daily and weekly time frames. Um so it
69:33 does work on all time frames. There's
69:34 going to there's cycles of price action
69:35 on all time frames, but there's a lot
69:37 more noise on intraday charts and weekly
69:40 charts might not be the right position
69:42 management time frame for you,
69:44 especially if you're a swing trader. So,
69:46 we're focused more on daily charts here
69:47 and daily characteristics, but these
69:49 characteristics you want to look out for
69:50 on all time frames. Uh, let's see
69:55 here. Uh, I use the 5 EMA to measure
69:59 extension sometimes. Perfect. Yeah,
70:00 Ethan, that's great. Especially for
70:02 faster swing traders, instead of a 10
70:04 EMA, uh look for a visual extension or
70:06 percentage from or ATR from the 5 EMA.
70:09 Uh that can be a great way to measure
70:11 extension, especially in the really fast
70:13 movers. 5 EMA is probably better than 10
70:15 EMA. Uh when I'm thinking about
70:17 extensions, I'm always thinking about
70:19 the character of the stock, the the ADR
70:21 of the stock. And you know, MSTR is a
70:24 much faster mover than even a Tesla or
70:26 Reddit. So, I want to be using a 10 EMA
70:29 versus my normal 20 20 EMA, 21 EMA. So,
70:32 think about what moving average makes
70:34 sense. What moving average has been
70:35 respected in the past? Does it
70:37 consistently pull back to? And then you
70:40 could plug that into RME or just look
70:41 visually and see are we extended from
70:44 that moving average compared to where we
70:46 normally are. So that's again a way to
70:49 define extension is use the moving
70:50 average that matters to the stock and
70:53 then look for visual extensions from
70:56 that moving
70:57 average. All right, let's see
71:01 here. All right, when I get stopped out
71:04 and want to buy back, my broker raises
71:06 my break even price due to tax reasons.
71:08 How do you avoid this? So, I treat every
71:10 every um every trade as a new trade um
71:14 with with the new cost basis. Um you
71:16 know, everything for doing stuff for tax
71:18 purposes isn't the way to go for
71:20 performance and isn't the right way to
71:21 think about things. You want to reenter
71:23 a stock because it sets back up and
71:25 there's the potential for a new trade
71:27 opportunity. That's that's kind of the
71:29 end of it. And then taxes will kind of
71:31 take care of itself when when when it's
71:32 the time to do
71:34 that. All right. parabolic moves like
71:38 the quantum stocks recently exhibited.
71:39 Yep. So again, accelerated rates of
71:42 ascent. You know, this is the rate of
71:43 ascent and then it kind of changes right
71:45 here. That's another sign that we're
71:47 getting extended and you might be want
71:49 to selling into strength here. You never
71:50 know what the top day exactly is going
71:52 to be until we get that really key key
71:54 reversal bar. But you don't want to
71:58 participate too much and draw down too
71:59 much, but you do want to participate. So
72:01 you could sell a little bit into
72:02 strength. Maybe, you know, 25% 25% 25%
72:05 25%. keep doing that and um
72:08 participating with the trend until we
72:10 get a significant break here. Uh can we
72:13 use anger VWAP? Yeah, you 100% can. Um
72:15 for sell rules, I don't I don't think
72:17 it's quite as effective for me
72:18 personally. That's how that's how I
72:20 interpret things. I like using it at the
72:22 tops of bases or from key days like
72:24 earnings reports uh as kind of a line in
72:27 the sand uh to determine where you know
72:29 how supply and demand, who's in control
72:31 um buyers versus sellers. But, you know,
72:34 you could place it versus uh this day
72:35 right here or from a key pivot level.
72:37 And if that's helpful for you on
72:39 pullbacks, definitely go ahead and use
72:42 it. All
72:45 right. Is there a tool to find these
72:47 signals automatically and get
72:48 notifications? We'll be building that
72:50 into Deep View. You know, you'll be able
72:51 to add a conditional alert when RMV gets
72:54 up to 100. Uh, give me a notification.
72:56 When we are 10% above the 10 EMA, give
72:59 me a notification. We'll be building
73:01 that in, but right now I don't know of a
73:02 tool that does
73:04 that. All
73:06 right, great. I think we can move on
73:10 here. So, special situations. These are
73:13 just kind of key things to think about
73:14 as well when it when it comes to
73:16 position management. Uh, first, earnings
73:18 reports. Um, earnings reports obviously
73:21 are a binary event. A stock can gap up
73:23 10%, it can pull back 10%. uh you don't
73:27 know, you know, there's there's no way
73:28 to tell even if the the news is
73:30 supposedly good, this the market can
73:32 react negatively to that. It's really
73:34 about the reaction u versus the news
73:36 that really matters. Uh so you don't
73:38 want to go in and gamble. That's that's
73:40 the main thing. You don't want to just
73:41 hope that we're going to get a gap up.
73:43 So the guideline is that we have is your
73:46 profit cushion must be larger than the
73:48 implied move based on earnings to hold
73:50 any of your position through. And you
73:52 can look up imply move various places.
73:54 We'll be adding it to DFU pretty soon.
73:55 Uh but basically if the if your profit
73:58 cushion is 10% and the implied move is
74:00 8% it's right on that edge of do I have
74:03 to sell something? Do I have to sell
74:05 50%? Do I sell my whole position? Uh
74:07 because I don't want to go from uh 10%
74:09 profit to only up 2%. That's giving back
74:12 a lot. Um and yeah, there could be a a
74:15 point where you're up 10% and then it
74:17 gaps up and you're up 20%. But you
74:19 always have to think of the downside
74:21 more than the upside. And I think as
74:24 swing traders specifically, you should
74:26 be biased to selling at least some
74:28 before earnings. Uh because earnings are
74:30 such a binary event that it kind of um
74:33 it kind of ruins your edge of just kind
74:35 of rotating through momentum setups to
74:37 hold your earnings because it's such a
74:38 binary event. You could be up big, you
74:40 could be down big. So I think swing
74:42 traders should be biased to sell before
74:43 earnings. Position traders must have a
74:45 really good cushion as I mentioned to
74:47 have and have a reason to believe the
74:48 stock is more runway. It's early in a
74:50 stage two. It's part of a very strong
74:52 trend. um earnings growth that's been
74:54 really strong the recent quarter. Um and
74:56 then you could be justified in holding
74:58 through earnings. But uh you know
74:59 earnings reports you always have to
75:01 think about am I willing to stomach a
75:03 gap down of 15% or more after this
75:06 earnings report. Can I handle that based
75:07 on my profit cushion? If not, you have
75:10 to sell some. And I think this is really
75:12 important. You can always sell half of
75:14 your position and look to add back on
75:16 the next setup because think about this.
75:18 If
75:18 um the the the emotions are at play here
75:21 is fear of missing out right here. Uh so
75:24 if if you don't hold through earnings,
75:26 it gaps up without you, you're going to
75:27 feel terrible because you're not
75:28 participating in the trend when you had
75:30 the stock. But you can kind of cure that
75:33 by thinking about, you know, I'll sell
75:34 half and then if it gaps up, I'll buy on
75:37 the earnings gap or I'll buy on the uh
75:39 the pivot breakout after the earnings
75:41 gap. I'll just re-enter that 50%
75:43 position once, you know, it sets up
75:45 again because it will set up again. If
75:47 it's going to double from the earnings
75:48 gap, it's going to set up at least a few
75:50 more times. So, you can always sell half
75:53 of your position and look to add back
75:55 what you sold on the next lower setup.
75:57 So, don't feel like you're missing out
75:58 on anything because you sell some before
76:00 earnings. Um, in fact, you're kind of
76:02 protecting yourself because, you know,
76:03 if it gap down gaps down, maybe you're
76:05 only losing 4% of your profit versus 8%
76:09 10%. And that's a big difference
76:11 psychologically and financially. Um,
76:14 based after selling half. So, this is
76:16 kind of how to handle earnings reports
76:17 is think about what your profit cushion
76:19 is, think about your time frame. Are you
76:21 a swing trader or position trader? Think
76:23 about the potential of the stock. And
76:25 then also, I didn't mention this on the
76:26 slide, but I should have. Think about
76:28 the market environment. Has the market
76:30 environment been uh really good? Are
76:32 breakouts working? Are earnings, you
76:34 know, gapping up all over the place? If
76:37 not, and things are gapping down, then
76:39 it's probably a riskoff uh environment.
76:41 And even if the stock blows out
76:42 earnings, it might get sold off anyway.
76:44 So, that's something else to take into
76:46 account and might bias you towards
76:47 selling and protecting you when it's a
76:49 riskoff environment overall. All right,
76:53 gap downs. Um, we talked about this a
76:55 little bit in the risk management uh
76:57 webinar as well, but um, gap downs will
76:59 happen based on unforeseen events. We
77:02 saw it with DeepSeek, it might be that
77:04 the stock pre-announces before earnings.
77:06 Uh, gap downs will happen in some of the
77:08 names that you are owning. And uh, even
77:11 in the strongest stocks, in the
77:12 strongest markets, based on news
77:13 catalyst, there's going to be gap downs
77:15 of 5%, 10%, you know, maybe they
77:18 announce a secondary after hours. Um,
77:20 that could be a reason for for a gap
77:22 down in a recent IPO. Um, so here here's
77:24 kind of how to think about handling it
77:27 on small gaps in a strong market. If
77:29 you've got cushion in the stock, uh, you
77:31 should look to give the stock a the
77:32 benefit of doubt. Uh, but of course,
77:34 always obey your worst case stop- loss.
77:36 So if it's gapping down below the 50 SMA
77:38 and you're going from 20% profit to 2%
77:41 profit, that's not that's not really a
77:43 small gap down actually. Uh, so you
77:45 know, think about what your profit
77:46 cushion is and take that into account in
77:48 deciding, are you going to give the
77:49 stock the benefit of the doubt? And in a
77:51 strong trending environment, uh, gap
77:53 downs, you know, in in bull markets, gap
77:55 downs are bought up. You want to see
77:56 that. If it doesn't happen, that could
77:58 be a sign to sell, you know, close to
78:00 the close. Uh, and, you know, lower
78:02 lower your position size overall. Uh,
78:04 but small gaps in a strong market, the
78:06 main thing here is you want to give them
78:08 the benefit of the doubt to stick with
78:10 the trend. Uh, if you have a strong
78:11 cushion, however, very large gap downs
78:14 are kind of a different beast
78:15 altogether. It's much more abnormal
78:18 action. Um, so you have to manage risk
78:20 in real time. Again, if you're going
78:21 from 40% profit to 5% profit, likely
78:25 something is wrong with the stock and
78:27 there's a supply and demand imbalance
78:29 that even if the stock recovers in the
78:30 short term, it's likely going to start
78:32 maybe a downtrend in the future. So,
78:34 always think about managing risk in real
78:36 time, protecting your capital above all
78:38 else. And uh you can always sell first
78:41 and back, you know, buy back on the next
78:42 setup if it does set back up again. but
78:45 a very large gap down. The money that
78:47 you had is gone. You have to think about
78:49 the current situation and if that stock
78:52 is the best potential candidate for your
78:55 hard-earned money and um and basically
78:58 make the decision, should I sell, move
79:00 on, or do I still believe in the stock?
79:02 Um you know, my I always if there's a
79:05 very large gap down, my bias is selling
79:07 very shortly after the open. Um maybe
79:09 giving it a chance to rally on a fivem
79:11 minute, but if it doesn't, I'm very
79:12 quick to to cut back. Um, so that's kind
79:15 of how I personally handle large gap
79:17 down
79:18 situations. Then another question that
79:20 uh likely many of you uh are wondering
79:23 when it comes to position management is
79:24 do you use end of day stops? Do you have
79:26 stops in with your broker or you use
79:28 mental stops? I always personally have a
79:31 stop in with my broker. I I trail that
79:33 um below the 21 EMA a few percentage
79:35 points below 21 EMA and then I have
79:37 alert set on the 21 EMA, higher lows,
79:39 all of that. So I'm I'm always aware if
79:41 a stock is breaking starting to break
79:43 down or potentially showing signs of
79:44 breaking trend. Um and personally in
79:47 terms of end of day stops versus you
79:49 know acting in the moment. I think again
79:51 it depends on the market. In a very
79:53 strong market that's rewarding breakouts
79:56 that's maybe just after a bare market or
79:58 significant correction um and things are
80:01 acting well. You want to give the stock
80:02 the benefit of the doubt because
80:03 sometimes we'll have shakeouts intraday
80:05 and the stock just recovers and even
80:07 goes higher into the end of the day and
80:09 you're you're out of your position. You
80:11 need to buy it back at a higher price.
80:12 So, um personally, if it doesn't hit my
80:15 um worst case stop, I want to wait until
80:19 the last hour or last 30 minutes to make
80:21 a decision about whether I should sell
80:22 or not. Um and yeah, this is basically
80:27 what I'm saying here. Um, ideally wait
80:28 till the last hour if possible. But in a
80:31 weak market, in a negative market, I
80:34 sell first, ask questions later. If a
80:36 stock is breaking down, uh, it could get
80:38 very, very ugly very, very fast,
80:39 especially if we're below the 50 SMA,
80:41 below the 200 SMA. We've seen some very
80:43 significant declines in, you know, blue
80:45 chip companies. Um, and things can get
80:47 very bad very fast in bad markets. So,
80:50 in bad markets, it's completely
80:51 different. I will, you know, sell as
80:53 soon as it hits my stop or even before
80:55 that, uh, to protect my capital again.
80:57 And during a during a negative market,
80:59 riskoff environment, defense first and
81:02 uh sell first, ask questions later.
81:05 Things are guilty until proven innocent
81:07 in bad markets and innocent until proven
81:09 guilty in good markets. And just in
81:12 general, from a style perspective, swing
81:14 traders should ask act faster. Again,
81:16 you're just trying to turn over your
81:17 edge. Um while position traders can give
81:20 it a little bit more time, see if it
81:21 recovers end of day or even the next
81:23 day, and give the stock uh look to give
81:25 the stock a benefit of the doubt. And
81:27 here over on the right hand side, I have
81:28 one of my mistakes that I made in
81:30 2020. I'll go ahead and zoom in here.
81:33 Um, this was a docuign. Um, this is
81:37 actually from the from model book
81:38 section of of chapter 12, guys, from the
81:40 handbook. So, a little sneak preview for
81:42 you guys. We have a positive expectation
81:44 breaker. I didn't even see these back
81:46 then. I didn't know what to look for,
81:47 but now that you you know what a
81:49 positive expectation breaker is, you'll
81:51 see these all the time before stocks
81:53 break out. But I entered really nicely
81:55 right through um the pivot of this
81:57 breakout, the short range here right
81:59 here. It trended beautifully above the
82:02 21 EMA. You can see a downside reversal
82:04 above the 21 EMA still acting fine. Uh
82:07 recovers and acts well, but I sold maybe
82:11 the low tick of this day here uh as it
82:14 was breaking the 21 EMA. Um I had my
82:16 stop right there. Uh we were in a strong
82:18 bull market right here. Things were
82:20 acting well. I think I was up 40%. I
82:22 mean this is uh 87 to about uh 136 here
82:26 at this point 120. So I had a very nice
82:28 profit in this stock but I sold as it
82:32 broke below the 21 EMA and then by the
82:34 end of the day it recovered really
82:36 strongly and then just went up and I
82:38 think made another 50% move from this
82:40 point and this could have really changed
82:42 my performance that year uh to to make
82:44 it even better. Um so this was a mistake
82:46 that I made in a strong market. I sold
82:49 way too early before giving the stock
82:51 the benefit benefit of the day um
82:53 benefit of the doubt and seeing if it
82:55 closed well and it did and just kept on
82:57 going respected the 21 EMA and even here
82:59 is a sharp pullback to the 21 EMA closes
83:01 well and just keeps on going. So this is
83:03 a good example of when you're in a
83:05 strong market try to give the stock the
83:06 benefit of the doubt and see if it can
83:08 recover and if it keeps on moving down
83:10 and you've got your worst case stop
83:11 definitely protect yourself. Uh but you
83:14 know try to wait until that last hour to
83:16 make a decision if possible.
83:18 All right, so getting more into the
83:20 summary here and hopefully this has been
83:21 helpful to you guys. Uh here are some
83:23 kind of overall key steps for position
83:24 management. First, once at a profit,
83:26 know your rules for moving up stops.
83:28 Again, we talked about risk management a
83:29 lot more in the previous webinar. Uh
83:31 watch for sells into strength if that's
83:33 your style. If applicable, look for ad
83:35 re-entry points if you're more stage
83:37 three, stage four. Uh watch for sells
83:39 into weakness that define the end of the
83:41 trend. And then if you do end up exiting
83:43 all the stock, don't just, you know,
83:45 kick out the stock and never revisit it.
83:47 add the stock back to a watch list and
83:50 see if it sets up again, sets up a new
83:52 base, and sets sets up a new
83:53 opportunity. Often the best stocks to
83:55 trade are ones you've already traded and
83:57 had a lot of success with. That's a
83:59 that's another golden nugget for you
84:00 guys. So, here are some key takeaways
84:02 that I want you to have from today's
84:03 webinar. Uh, first, to find rules that
84:05 match your stage and trading style. uh
84:07 whether you're a swing trader or uh day
84:09 trader or position trader, active
84:11 investor, uh whether you're a stage one
84:13 trader or much further along, stage
84:15 three, stage four, uh know the pros and
84:17 cons of selling your strength versus
84:19 weakness. We talked about those. The
84:20 opportunity cost, the uh needing to find
84:23 a new trade versus, you know,
84:24 potentially getting a 300, 400, 500%
84:27 plus move. Then you want to find rules
84:30 for yourself for selling into strength.
84:32 Be as objective as possible. Define what
84:34 extended means to you. Is that a percent
84:36 above a moving average? Is it ADR above
84:38 a moving average? Is it using relative
84:40 measured extension from deep view? Um,
84:42 pick a rule and define it so somebody
84:44 else could say uh could follow that rule
84:46 and say looking at the chart exactly the
84:49 same way as you. Yes, that is extended.
84:51 That's the clarity and the amount of
84:52 clarity that you want to have in your
84:54 rules. Uh in the same way, define rules
84:56 for selling into weakness. Is it two
84:57 closes below a moving average? Is it a
84:59 break of a trend line? How do you draw
85:01 that trend line? Define that in your
85:03 rules. So another trader of a similar
85:05 experience level could follow it exactly
85:07 as you do. Then this is really key. Sell
85:11 rules allow you to manage a position
85:12 with clarity with a framework to try to
85:15 manage those emotions and uh have an
85:17 understanding of exactly your objective
85:19 and what you're trying to do. Uh and
85:20 then lastly, I I discussed this a few
85:22 times. Different market environments
85:24 will favor faster or slower sell rules.
85:27 And you don't want to overfit your rules
85:29 to one market type of environment
85:31 because you want it to be robust and
85:32 work in all market environments. And
85:34 then one more tech uh key takeaway I
85:36 want to add here is again your cell rule
85:39 should reflect your experience level in
85:41 the markets and where you're at. If
85:42 you're very new at this, you know, in
85:44 your first year, two, three years even.
85:46 The goal is consistency and process and
85:49 being very rigid with your cell rules
85:50 versus later on when you've got more
85:52 experience. uh you're you're you're much
85:55 more you know adept at things at
85:56 managing risk all that recognizing
85:59 shifts in the market at that point you
86:01 can be a little bit more creative a
86:02 little bit more um you know
86:04 discretionary in your choices do I sell
86:07 at this extension or do I wait for the
86:09 next one um at that point you've earned
86:11 the right to be more fluid with your
86:14 sell rules but early on you want to be a
86:16 lot more rigid and build that
86:17 consistency build that technique up that
86:20 gives you the skills to then be more uh
86:22 flexible later on. All right, so that's
86:26 it for today's webinar. Hopefully this
86:27 has been really helpful for you guys.
86:29 Hopefully the examples applying the
86:30 different variations of cell rules
86:32 helped you as well. Um, and I just want
86:34 to say again, if you find these webinars
86:36 helpful, a great way to thank us and
86:38 also get more resources is to go ahead
86:40 and order the Trader Handbook, you can
86:42 do that by scanning this QR code. If
86:44 you're enjoying these webinars, you're
86:45 going to love this book. Um, and even if
86:47 you're a very advanced trader, um, the
86:49 model book there is definitely worth
86:50 reviewing to study those greatest
86:52 winners. And if you're a very new
86:54 trader, this handbook could really make
86:56 the difference in in helping you build a
86:58 system, become profitable, become
87:00 consistent, and uh, learn the blueprint
87:02 for trading success. So again,
87:04 definitely go ahead and order yours if
87:05 you haven't already. Uh, but thank you
87:06 guys all for attending. I'll answer a
87:08 few questions
87:09 here. All right. Uh, yeah, on DocYign, I
87:12 did not start a new position after I got
87:14 shaken out. Again, another mistake
87:17 here. All
87:21 right. Uh Darnell asks, "Can you tell us
87:24 about the stoastic in to me is the best
87:25 indicator to buy, sell, combine with
87:27 trend lines 2050 uh S 200 SMA?" Yeah,
87:30 the the stochastic is great. I I think
87:32 any indicator can work well. Uh and Dr.
87:34 Wish uses the stochastic and I used it
87:36 for many years. Um any indicator can
87:39 work really well. It's basically just a
87:41 momentum indicator, but you have to
87:43 study it, see when it works, when it
87:45 doesn't work. Test it for yourself, and
87:47 it can be a great way to buy pullbacks,
87:49 strength after pullbacks. So, use it for
87:51 yourself and define rules that another
87:53 trader could follow using the same
87:55 methodology. All
87:58 right. All right. Let's see
88:03 here. There's no formula for the uh
88:06 extension indicator. Uh it's
88:07 proprietary. You can use it in DU.
88:09 highly recommend doing it. Uh it's
88:11 something that I developed
88:12 myself. All right, Scott says, "Love the
88:14 webinar. Pre-order book. Looking forward
88:16 to learning more." Awesome. Thank you so
88:17 much, Scott. Appreciate it. Uh a lot of
88:20 thank yous. Thank you guys so much. Glad
88:21 Glad this has been helpful, guys. Thank
88:23 you so
88:24 much. All right. Yeah. And again, this
88:27 will be released on May 27th, but you
88:29 can pre-order right now uh at Amazon,
88:31 Barnes & Noble, anywhere. And uh that
88:34 way you'll get it as soon as it's out.
88:36 So, thank you guys so much for
88:37 attending. Um, and uh, yeah, thank you
88:39 so much. Uh, we look forward to seeing
88:41 you in the future webinars. Uh,
88:42 definitely go ahead and pick up your
88:43 book if you haven't already. And, uh,
88:45 yeah, we'll have this recording up as
88:47 soon as possible. So, thank you guys all
88:49 for attending. Uh, if you did enjoy,
88:51 please go ahead and leave a like down
88:52 below, subscribe if you're new to the
88:53 channel, and uh, if you're able to share
88:55 it on Twitter, share with friends. If
88:56 you find uh, this to be valuable, go
88:58 ahead and share this webinar uh, with
89:00 anybody you can. So, thanks so much
89:01 again for spending some of your Saturday
89:04 with me. Definitely appreciate it. And
89:06 I'll see you guys in future videos. Take
89:07 care.
89:13 [Music]