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Simple Sell Rules to Maximize Your Trading Profits
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So what is position management? Position
management is basically a system for
managing a stock when you are at a
profit to ride the trend relevant to
your style and time frame. This is a
really important last bit of the
sentence. It's not about capturing uh
you know buying the low and selling the
absolute high. It's about capturing the
meat within that trend that's relevant
for you and your style. Different market
environments will favor quicker rules
and put more emphasis on selling into
strength or weakness. And this is a
really important point because I think a
lot of people get uh worked up about,
you know, there's a 2024 or 2020 and
they look back over their trades and
they're like, "Wow, if I just hold until
the stock breaks the 50 SMA or 100 SMA,
I'm going to make 300% every single
time. I sold way too early." But the
reality is that not every year is like a
2020 or 2024. And this is a key point I
want to emphasize and this is something
that Jim Role really emphasized to me is
to capture a monster winner of 200% or
more. You'll need to sit through one or
two bases at least within a strong stage
two uptrend and you're going to have to,
you know, stick through multiple
earnings reports. Some of them may gap
down on you, but in order to get a
monster winner, you need to, you know,
understand where your cost basis is,
your profit cushion, what you're willing
to give back off the table in order to
sit through and get that longer term
move. Selling to strength means selling
a stock as it is rising becoming
extended and volatile or is simply
meeting profit target levels that you
might set at 10% your average gain you
know 3R 5 R 10R whatever your rule is
that's what selling into strength means
selling as a stock is rising and meets
uh those criteria so key reversal bar is
when an extended stock gaps up or has a
powerful move higher and then reverses
even harder and closes well off highs
likely undercutting the prior day's low
and maybe even multiple days low.
Selling into weakness obviously is
selling as a stock is breaking trend or
showing weak or abnormal price action.
And for this, the mindset is we're
focusing on riding the trend until it
really confirms that it is breaking down
and starting a downtrend. And this is
going to lead to larger drawdowns off
equity highs, but potentially greater
reward because you're sticking with that
longerterm trend until it ends while
selling to strength. You might exit
here, here, or here. here. You're you're
participating in this longer term trend,
however long it lasts until it actually
breaks
[Music]
down. All right, guys. So, welcome
everybody to the next trader handbook
webinar. Uh, today is going to be a
really important one and a really good
one as well. Uh, discussing sell rules
and position management. You know,
previously we've talked about risk
management itself, which is kind of
about starting a trade, how to actually
manage risk with your initial stop-loss,
how to move up that stop-loss. Today,
we're going to be talking about if you
have a profit, how do you manage it
properly to make sure you're taking
profit when you need to, but also
letting it run so that you can let
asymmetry work in your favor. So, this
is going to be a really good one and
hopefully you guys are excited. And let
me know right now in the chat and in the
comments what questions you have about
cell rules, position management. You can
get really specific, you know, do you
want to focus more on selling to
strengths, selling into weakness? What
confusion do you have there? Uh, let me
know in the chat as well as in the
comments below. And while you guys are
doing that, just a quick reminder to
join the Trader Handbook weight list.
This gives you early access to a lot of
resources that we're releasing along
with the book here, which will be out on
May 27th. And basically by joining this
weight list, you get extra bonus
articles. You get early access to these
webinars and to register for them and a
whole lot of other bonuses that are
still to be named as well as exclusive
giveaways. Here's a little bit about the
articles that we've been sending out
this weekend. I'll be sending out the
stop-loss setting guide as well as the
sell rules checklist, which will be
really helpful for you guys. Uh so
definitely go ahead and register. Again,
you can scan this QR code right here and
uh join if you are not already on the
list. With that said, uh welcome
everybody to the next Trader Handbook
webinar. Today, as I mentioned, will be
focused on sell rules and position
management. This goes along with chapter
7 of the traders handbook, which will be
released uh pretty soon in May. Uh so,
make sure to grab your copy if you
haven't already. And let me know right
now in the chat if you've already uh
purchased and got got your C copy. And I
I heard from a few folks who actually
bought multiple, one for the office, one
for the home, which is awesome. Uh so
definitely go ahead and make sure to
grab yours. The link to that is in the
description. Uh and you can check that
out right now. All right. So I want to
start with a quote that we, you know, we
saw in the previous webinar, but it
still applies to sell rules and position
management. And you know, this is from
William O'Neal, the founder of Can Slim.
Uh, buying a stock without knowing when
or why you should sell is like buying a
car with no brakes or being in a boat
with no life preservers or taking flying
lessons that teach you how to take off
but not know how to land. And I think
this is really really um important
especially in these current market
conditions where things are more
volatile, things are moving faster than
they used to. Uh because you know I
think a lot of traders uh are almost
surprised when they have a great winning
stock that actually worked for them out
of a strong breakout. And if you don't
manage a stock like that correctly, a
trade like that correctly, you can choke
it off and, you know, leave a lot of
profits on the table. So, we'll be
talking about concrete rules that allow
you to stick with the trend today and
hopefully get the most out of those
trades that really work out and really
move the needle in our accounts. So,
here's the agenda for today. This is
going to be a really good one. First,
discussing sell rules based on time
frames, style, experience level as well.
We'll be definitely getting into the
weeds of selling into strength versus
selling into weakness uh with multiple
case study examples for both of those,
showing how to actually apply it and
what price and volume characteristics to
look out for. They'll discuss a little
bit about trading around a core
position, key takeaways, as well as
discussing some kind of special
situations, handling earnings reports,
large gaps, end of day stops. Um, all of
these are important questions that I
think you have to uh answer for yourself
as a trader to build your trading
system, which is the goal of both the
trader handbook as well as these
webinars to help you do that concretely.
And uh let's go ahead and dive right in.
So these are some questions that you
might be asking yourself related to
position management. You know, how do
you define what is extended? How do you
know when to sell into strength? When
should I sell? How much should I sell?
What if it goes up after I sell? When do
I take profit? How do I manage a
position through earnings? These are all
questions that we'll answer in today's
webinar and are basically really
essential to uh you know answer for
yourself again to build your trading
system and build your cell you know sell
rules as a trader. All right, let me
take a quick sip of water
here. So what is position management?
Position management is basically a
system for managing a stock when you are
at a profit to ride the trend relevant
to your style and time frame. This is a
really important last bit of the
sentence. It's not about capturing uh
you know buying the low and selling the
absolute high. It's about capturing the
meat within that trend that's relevant
for you and your style. If you're a
swing trader, it's going to be that
first momentum burst. If you're a
business trader, it might be, you know,
uh catching the whole trend, but then,
you know, selling it off the top because
it's breaking down. But again, it's
about the trend relevant to your style,
your time frame, and your objectives.
And it incorporates both sell rules for
taking profits into strength and or into
weakness. Depending on your style, you
might be doing more selling into
strength versus selling into weakness.
And I think this is really important.
You know, people say winners manage
themselves, but that's not really the
case. You have to handle a big winner
properly uh to get the most out of that.
And uh we'll be providing concrete rules
to help you do that and provide
guidelines and foundations that have
helped for us and will likely help for
you help help you as well. And I think
this is a really important point as well
is that clarity around your sell rules
reduces confusion and noise and allows
you to execute like a professional. I
think a lot of people, you know, get
again a winning trade and are confused
about their objectives. They're a swing
trader, but they suddenly have this 40%
gain and they don't know if they should
take profit or should you know keep
holding and and see if it can double or
triple from there. And this confusion
leads to a lot of emotions. leads to a
lot of you know lack of clarity and you
need rules to help you understand those
situations what exactly you should do
relevant to your goals and objectives.
So these cell rules that we'll be
discussing today will give you that
clear foundation and help you um limit
the impact of those emotions um on your
trading. And I think this is really
important as well. The goal is
asymmetry. Keeping losses small is
accomplished through stop- losses
through the risk management webinar and
chapter that we talked about um you know
this previous Wednesday which you can
find the recording uh link down below
and letting winners run is defined by
the cell rules we'll be discussing
today. And this is kind of a a very um
you know represent representative
graphic here that I quickly put
together. You've got your entry. It
broke out formed some higher lows. We've
got some sells into strength. You could
also sell some into strength here or
here. But then we start to see a break
of structure. a lower high form and then
the stock really breaks down through
previous higher lows and this is where
you'd be selling into weakness. So sell
to strength is basically selling as the
stock is going up as we'll get into much
later on and selling into weaknesses as
the stock is breaking down through your
definition of trend and starting a
downtrend um once you were uh previously
in that uptrend.
All right, I want to start with this
because I think it's a really important
point and something that William O'Neal
emphasized a whole lot to Ross Haber who
of course uh is a co-founder of Trader
Line. He's taught me quite quite a bit
about trading. Um managing trades on a
technical basis. Um he really emphasized
that we buy based on both fundamental
and technical analysis. You know,
investigating the story of the stock, uh
the the great products it's producing,
the earnings growth, the sales growth,
um the news catalysts that are around
the stock. However, he really emphasized
this. We manage a position solely based
on price action. Uh we're only looking
at the price and volume action. Decide,
you know, should this be a sell? Should
this, you know, be a hold? Um should I
wait for more information? That's really
really key. And the reason for this is
because price action at the end of the
day is what der determines our profit.
You know, you've heard Brian Shannon say
only price pays. It's completely true.
And there's so much news events, so much
noise about the market, uh, you know,
the Fed, you know, the individual stock
going on that it's very hard to
interpret everything uh, to the best of
your ability. And the way to go about
this and to resolve that is price action
at the end of the day is taking into
account all those different inputs, the
market health, what the Fed's doing, you
know, macro events, you know, news
catalyst. All of this has taken account
and has revealed how the institutions
which move the stock over the long term
are interpreting that information in the
price and volume action of the stock. So
that is why we solely uh you know decide
sell decisions based on uh the price and
volume action. And here's a good quote
from Jesse Livermore about kind of you
know identifying interpreting news
events. The reason why uh sorry the
reason for what a certain stock does
today may not be known for two or three
days or weeks or months but what the
dickens does that matter. Your business
with the tape is now not tomorrow. The
reason can wait but you must act
instantly or be left. And I love this
quote because he uses the phrase what
the dickens. I think we should bring
that back # what the dickens. Uh but I
think it's so so true. Uh you want to
manage risk in real time. Deal with the
information you have on the table right
now. And I think that's so so important.
So, this is a really good quote to
internalize as you're thinking about
creating your sell rules and position
management rules. All right, so sell
rules based on style. Um, so we'll go
into kind of what a swing trader and
position trader um you know what they
are, how they should be thinking about
sell rules. But first things first in
the chat right now um yeah, hashtag what
the dickens. Perfect. Joho. Um f first
things first in the chat right now uh
put if you're more leaning towards a
swing trader or position trader. I'll be
really curious to see what the uh
results are uh here. So, let let me know
if you're more leading swing trader,
position trader. I personally would put
myself kind of as a hybrid somewhere in
the middle. Um I like to lean into, you
know, which way the market is favoring.
Um so, we see a lot of swing traders. Um
both position traders, both position
traders. Okay. So, a good mix of
everything.
Perfect. Yeah. Yeah. I would put myself
in the middle here. A little bit of a
hybrid approach. And I'll kind of talk
through my exact cell rules and what I
do. um during the examples later on. But
a swing trader, you know, your objective
is to trade the momentum moves and to
sell into those moves and sell into the
volatility to the upside or downside if
you're shorting. And you're going to be
biased towards selling into strength.
And the reason you're going to be doing
that is based on multiple reasons, but
you're trying to exit at equity highs.
You're trying to just capture the short
burst and move on to the next setup, the
next stock that's coiled or meets your
particular setup. Uh you don't care
about what the stock does after you sell
into strength. they could go, you know,
in double, triple, um, you know, and it
doesn't matter for your system because
your system is to rotate, uh, to the
next setup, to the next great
opportunity and to just kind of churn
over your edge and, uh, make progress
that way. The position trader is a
little bit different. you're not really
focused on um you know you are focused
on capturing the momentum moves
especially at the beginning after your
entry but you're more trying to find you
know duration trades uh trading longer
term trends where a stock is trending
for weeks months even a year and a half
or more ideally and you're biased more
towards sticking with that trend until
it really breaks down. That doesn't mean
that position traders can't sell to
strength. You definitely can and we'll
talk about you know some sell rules for
position traders in just a bit. But you
more want to focus on uh building in
asymmetry by capturing as much of that
trend as possible. And there's also
another really good uh Livermore quote
that I think is is relevant here uh
where he talks about you know the first
and last eighth are the most expensive
ace uh you know of of a profit. And with
a position trader you're really trying
to catch early on in the trend after
maybe the first eighth is done. capture
the meat and then maybe, you know, sell
some into strength here and, you know,
just capture seven eights as it pulls
back uh to that prior level. Uh while a
swing trader, you're really just trying
to focus on capturing one or two of
those ETHs during a trend uh during the
most powerful periods of that move. So,
I think that's another good way to to
think about uh sell rules based on
either being a swing trader or a
position trader.
And I also want to bring up here uh and
revisit a concept that we talked about
uh way back in one of the early webinars
here. Um you know the stage you're in
and how that impacts your cell rules.
And today we'll be giving kind of really
concrete cell rules for stage one two
traders. Stage three and four traders,
you know, should build on the foundation
and the techniques that they build in
stage one and two and come up more for
uh come up more with rules that allow
them to perform, allow them to
personally tweak towards their style,
how they like to do things. While stage
one and two traders, it's more about
just building consistency, having a
system in the first place. Because
that's a big problem with stage one and
two traders is in the first place, they
don't have sell rules. They get a profit
and they have no idea what to do. Uh so
we'll be talking about really concrete
rules for stage one and two and stage
three and four traders will being giving
some recommendations and tweaks that
they can do to optimize for their style
swing versus position trading. So again
in the chat here uh let me know based on
these characteristics and based on what
we talked about before what stage do you
feel like you're personally in uh based
on these graphics here and and these
kind of characteristics and uh let me
know. You can also be in between a
stage. You can say stage two plus. Uh
and that's kind of in between stage two
and stage three. Probably many of you
guys are stage two plus or stage 3 plus.
Uh I would imagine. All right. We've got
stage two, stage 2.5. Perfect. Stage two
1.52. Uh very nice. So we've got a good
mix of people. A lot of stage twos,
which is perfect. That's exactly uh the
demographic we're trying to help out
here. Uh Steve, how's it going, Steve?
Good to see you. Stage three, four,
perfect. stage two plus stage 3.14.
Nice, Alberto. All right, perfect. All
right, so we got a good mix here, which
is
great. So, cell rules for stage one,
two, focusing in on that subset. So, if
this is you, really pay attention here.
Again, at this point, you're just
starting out in your trading journey.
Um, you're trying to establish a system
for the very first time. And your goal
is not to perform. It's not to go out
and make triple digits like US investing
champions that have been trading for 7,
10, 20, 30 years. Your goal is to
actually build a system that protects
you and allows you to build techniques
that will help you in your future stage
three and stage four periods later down
the road. So again, the major goal is
consistency and building sound habits,
building technique that will help you
later on in your career. So for these
traders and you know these rules may
feel constricting but that's really the
point for stage one and stage two
traders who are experiencing a negative
equity curve, not a lot of confidence,
not a lot of success. That's the reason
why these are so strict is because we're
trying to help these stage one traders
stop the losses and allow them to
participate in the winners. So the first
sell rule for these folks is to sell at
5% profit. Um sell half of your position
and move your stop up to break even. So
that's very simple, very easy to do. And
that's a lot about this the rules we're
trying to bring here is keep it simple
because keep it simple means that it's
going to be a robust system and not be
overfitted to one period where
everything's working really well,
trending well, while another period
where it's a pop and chop uh type market
uh where nothing's working. So we want
to build a robust set of rules that
helps us survive all those trading
environments. So again, the first sell
rule for these folks in stage one really
and then also stage two is at 5% profit,
sell half and move up your stop to break
even. Sell rule tool um sell rule tool
is kind of divided in two based on
whether you want to be a swing trader or
position trader. And for swing traders,
sell the last half on two closes below
the 21 EMA. Uh for position traders,
it's basically the same exact thing
except instead of the 21 EMA, you're
looking to sell on two closes below the
50 SMA. So again, if you want to be a
swing trader, use this one. If you want
to be a position trader, use this one.
And these are guidelines. And of course,
you want to adapt it to your own
personal situation. And it doesn't
really matter if you use the 21 EMA
versus the 21 SMA versus the 20 SMA. Uh,
pick what you find helpful to you. And,
you know, adapt these rules to what you
find to be very, very helpful. All
right, let's see. So here's an example
of uh an application of this rule set
for VST. You bought through the
consolidation pivot here. You manage
risk at uh the low of the day here as it
reconfirmed through the prior day high
as well as this key level. And your
first sell is very simple. Up 5% you
sell 50% of your position. So remaining
you have 50% uh to ride that prior
trend. The 21 EMA, which is this line
right here, has moved up through your
cost. So, you're doing well and the
stock really shoots up, trends
beautifully, and you ended up selling
with two closes below the 21 EMA for
swing trader, you sell the last bit of
your position, sell 50%. Remaining you
have 0% and the result is a really nice
gain of just under 20%. Um, if you were
a position trader instead, again, you
would have sold your first uh sell right
here of 5%. But you would have gotten a
little bit more of a profit um and ended
up being a net result of up 31%. Uh, I
think this was up about 50, a little bit
50% here. You've got around 83 all the
way up to, you know, 135 or so. So,
really nice solid gain and you got a net
result of
31.5%. And I want to pause here and talk
a little bit about uh just for a moment
about the pros and cons of swing trading
and position trading because really they
can be both extremely successful. You
see US investing champions with both
styles. Um, however, swing traders are
going to be dealing more in the momentum
moves and there's a little bit more
potential because once a momentum move
ends, they can move on to the next one.
While position traders, there is maybe
uh the potential for um some opportunity
cost uh based on, you know, staying with
the stock that's already made a really
nice move and is just kind of building a
base. There is some time loss there
where your money could be working
somewhere else. However, on the flip
side, a swing trader is never going to
catch a 300 400% move unless they have a
rule where if they have a certain amount
of profit cushion, then they switch over
to more position type trading rules. But
a position trader could have, you know,
you know, a lot less trades and have
extremely great success if they find the
true market leaders and enter those
stocks um and participate during those
longer moves. So, there's pros and cons
for both of these. Um, and for position
traders, this I think is better suited
towards uh traders who are doing this
part-time. They have a full-time job.
There's less action they need to take
and it's a little bit calmer as well.
You can look more at weekly charts while
swing traders, it's a little bit little
bit more maverick. Uh, you've got to
kind of uh keep rotating your money to
turn over your edge. So, that's a little
bit on the differences and pros and cons
versus swing trading and position
trading. And I think with that said, you
can kind of, you know, adopt a h a
hybrid approach, which is kind of what
I've done to get a little bit of the
benefits of both depending on the market
environment and the situation. And we'll
talk about that in uh the rest of the
webinar. All right. So, these were the
basic cell rules. Again, sell your first
your first uh 50% of your position of 5%
and then depending on swing trading
versus position trading, sell on two
closes below the relevant moving
average. There are some progressions as
you gain more comfortable. You're more
solidly in stage two. You feel like
you're stage two plus. So, if this is
you, listen up. This is the time to pay
attention. Uh the first progression, and
I do want to emphasize here to not rush
this process, especially if you're very
early in stage one, it's going to take
time to really internalize these rules.
And just this basic rule set can do
extremely well during trending
environments and when growth stocks are
working. So, don't feel like this is uh
you know putting on um training wheels.
This can do extremely well and will also
protect you when the market isn't quite
as strong. But these are some
progressions that you can adopt uh if
you feel like you want to make
advancements and these are potential
tweaks to to your existing process if
you've got your own existing cell rules.
These are some ideas for you to maybe
adopt uh to tweak and improve them over
time if you find them helpful. So, first
instead of selling half of your position
at 5% um instead do a third and sell the
next third at your average gain over the
last 20 days uh or sorry 20 trades and
then sell the last third on the normal
two closes below uh the moving averages.
So instead of selling half at 5% you
sell a third uh another third at your
average gain and then the last third on
um in weakness using the moving
averages. Uh the next progression is to
sell a third to 5% a third into strength
as a stock gets extended above your
average gain and gets as I say here gets
visually extended from a moving average
and we'll talk about different ways to
determine extension later on in today's
webinar and then sell the last third on
weakness using the same moving averages.
The next progression is to use the rule
above but allow yourself to add back a
third if the stock forms another lowrisk
entry tactic. So again this is a little
bit more advanced. It's about trading
around a core position and you know
re-entering a stock. If you know there's
another lower setup against a moving
average, a new base forms and then sets
up again. Uh you can add back a third
that you sold prior. And then the last
progression is to uh again sell a third
at your average gain. So you're no
longer using that 5%. You're looking to
hold a little bit longer. Uh a third
into strength and then a third into
weakness using the moving averages. But
you can also add back up to 2/3 of what
you sold if the stock forms another
lowrisisk buy point. So let's go through
an example that same example of VST
applying these different rule
variations. All right. So again, this is
the same VST trade. You're using the
same entry tactic and buy point here.
And this is the first variation where
instead of selling 50%, you're selling a
third at 5%, a third at your average
gain, and a third at two closes below
the MA. So here is your initial sell of
5%. You've got remaining 66% instead of
50%. Uh your sell 2 is at your average
gain which we used in this case an
average of 10% gain. Uh you sell 33% and
you've got remaining 33%. Uh then the
stock trends and you've got your normal
uh sell rules below the moving averages
uh for swing traders down here and
position traders up here. And you might
note that this actually performs worse
than the first rule set that we talked
about. Uh but again, this might be a
little bit more dynamic and might feel
more comfortable for swing traders
especially to sell a little bit more um
and then you can rotate that capital to
another opportunity versus being stuck
into a stock uh as it's trending above
the 21 EMA and waiting for that last bit
uh to sell before you can move on. So
this is a a rule progression that you
can adopt. Maybe you prefer the first
set. Uh go go go with that. Uh f, you
know, figure out what works best for you
and use those cell rules. Here is the
second variation um where you're selling
on the extension instead of um on your
at your average gain. So again, your
first sell is up 5%. Move your stop to
break even. That protects you. Then
you've got an extension here, a gap up
and strong move. You didn't sell at the
high of this day. You sell sold as it
was pushing higher and really becoming
extended with a gap here. And then
you've got your last sell again under
the moving averages. Swing traders again
taken out here. Position traders get
taken out here. And you have again
pretty strong gains here about 20% and
about 27%. So performs better in this
case than the prior variation. And again
it's not about individual trades and how
these rule sets work on you know an
individual trade and individual stock.
It's about how they work over time and
how they fit your personality. how much
risk you like to take, how much you know
draw down you like to experience because
you if you don't like experiencing draw
downs, you want to sell more into
strength more as a stock is going up and
making momentum moves and you know just
letting a trailing piece um on for a
bigger move. So it's all about fitting
these rule sets and figuring out what
works best for how you view the markets
and how you you know experience risk and
your over your own personal risk
tolerance. Here is variation three where
you can add back uh 33%. Um and here is
the add back uh point here as it formed
a new base and undercut and reclaimed
the 20 21 EMA and broke out of this base
here. Um for a swing trader, you
actually sold out of your whole position
before that, but you added back 33%
because that's in your rule set. You're
able to do that and you ended up selling
that for 23% 23% gain here as it broke
down back below the 21 EMA a little bit
higher. uh you've got a 23% gain instead
in instead of about a 20% gain. And for
a position trader, you actually added uh
back here. Um and your overall net is a
31% gain. So you sold 33% up 59% and
that last 33% that you added back that
you sold back here at 5% um and added
back here um here as well. Uh so you've
got a little bit better of a gain. So
again, this allows you to trade around
the core a little bit more. And this
next variation allows you to re-enter
2/3. Uh so you've got uh your swing
trader here up 29 29% now and you were
able to stick with that trend a little
bit more and position trader just gets a
little bit more juice and a 35% gain
because they were able to add back on
the next lowrisk buy point a little bit
more and trade around that core
position. Uh so those are the four v
variations. Again, here is uh the uh the
basic basically the definitions of them.
And in the chat right now, let me know
which kind of uh rule set or variation
kind of appeals most to you. And again,
it's going to be dependent on your
situation. If you like to sell more to
strength versus weakness and also again
where you are in your trading journey.
Uh you know, if you're more advanced,
you're likely not selling half at 5%,
maybe you're selling half at uh your
average gain, half into as an extension,
holding the rest for the 21 EMA. Uh, but
let me know in the chat which variation
kind of makes the most sense to you and
how you like to personally trade. All
right. Uh, J Patel says number
two, one to two and fast number four.
So, we've got a mix. Again, everybody's
going to think a little bit differently
and different rule sets are going to
appeal uh better to different different
situations and different types of
traders. Uh, but again, these are just
examples as well of tweaks you can make.
Maybe you're not going to adapt exactly
variation 4, uh, but you might tweak it
to how you like to trade and your
personal uh, sell rules. Now, for stage
three plus traders, the goal is
different. Again, the goal for stage one
and two is all about building
consistency, establishing an initial
system to actually test out who you are
as a trader. Stage three and stage four
is more about performance and actually
performing really, really well. And
severals will adapt to the character of
the stock and the actual market
environment. Maybe the market
environment is rewarding, you know,
strong trending markets, uh, you know,
holding on to positions longer. You
adapt a little bit more and lean more
into selling into weakness versus
selling into strength. And sell rules
are tailored to the traders biases
selling into strength or weakness.
Again, based on their personal way of
interpreting the markets and instead of
rule one, which is sell into five, sell
at 5%. You can sell at extensions uh as
your first sell instead of fixed levels.
uh so you get a little bit more uh
variability in your cells but it might
you know lead to increased performance
over time and instead of sell rule two
which is breaks below two moving
averages you could divide sells between
uh the 21 EMA and the 50 SMA to hold a
little bit longer and you can use
judgment on the negativi negativ sorry
the negativity of the two close below a
moving average and what I mean by that
is let's go to this um this example
actually right here so this first close
below the 50 SMA is very negative, but
the next close is higher than this bar
right here. And let me let me zoom in
here to actually really show
this. So this first close below the 50
SMA is very negative, closing at lows,
big range bar, but the next day is an
inside bar that closes higher than this
close. If you want to be, you know, if
you're more of a stage three, stage four
type trader, this might not trigger your
sell rule as two closes below the 50 SMA
because this close is more positive than
this close right here. And that allows
you to stick with that trend and, you
know, stick with it. This low is never a
loss. That could be your rule. If it
breaks below this low, that's your
that's your sell rule. Um, and you hold
on and this one rallied and and kept on
going. So, that might keep you in a
little bit longer in certain situations
when a stock is very strong. Um, so
that's kind of a nuance or uh variation
that you can adopt um if you would like
to as a stage three or four trader. Uh,
so those are some ideas for the more
advanced traders out there about how to
adapt their cell rules to be a little
bit more malleable. Um, and you can do
that as a stage three, stage four type
trader. But again, stage one and two is
about uh rigidity, system, consistency.
Stage three and four is about
performance and there's a little bit
disc more discretion and variability
allowed uh for those type of
traders. All right, so here's a stage
three example maybe how you would apply
this as a stage three trader. These are
similar to my personal sell rules. So
you've got that same entry point. Your
first sale isn't at 5%. It's at this
first extension up 20 20%. You've got
still um and you're not selling third a
third. You're selling only 25% looking
to hold the majority for a bigger move.
Uh, you've got another sell on another
extension. You sell 25% of 54%. You've
got 50% remaining. And your last sell as
a swing trader is to close below the 21
EMA. You sell 50% um up 34%. So, you get
a nice trade overall. And your rules
allow you to re-enter 100%. Or if you
still have a full position, add 25% uh
back. So here on the this next lowest
buy point, you re-enter and your final
sell as a swing trader is two closes
below the 21 EMA. Um with that last
trade netting another 12.7%. So instead
of about a 20% gain which we talked
about with the previous variations for
earlier stage traders, you have almost a
50% gain. And that's where the
performance really comes from is waiting
for those key points. this extension,
this uh key reversal bar extension, and
being able to add back and start a new
trade on within that same longerterm
trend, a new swing trade when we get a
re reinvigorated momentum move. And even
looking at this example, a stage three
four trader might not be waiting for two
closes below the 21 EMA in this case
because look at this bar. We break all
these lows altogether, this lows as
well. So you might have actually raised
your stop to this struct element in
structure and uh you know improved the
second trade here and gotten a little
bit more juice and performance out of
the second trade. Uh again just adding
to your overall profit. Uh for a
position trader mindset again maybe you
sold one here into the extension uh sell
sold again here um and then you add back
here and you're selling you know the 25%
position up 20 10% here and overall get
a 61% gain. So both of these situations,
this shows how a stage three type rule
set, which is a little bit more
adaptive, a little bit more
discretionary, a little bit up to the
personality of the individual stock, can
allow you to perform better. But this is
only available for stage three and four
traders who have proved themselves to be
able to manage risk. Uh they've built
that technique over time and uh use that
rigidity that they learned in stage one
and two to allow them to be a little bit
more creative in stage three and four uh
to perform a little bit better. So this
is example of how to apply a little bit
more of a fluid rule set that adapts to
the personal situation and this is
pretty similar to uh my personal uh
trading rule set as well. All right, so
a little bit more on market environment
and sell rules. Uh different market
environments will favor quicker rules
and put more emphasis on selling into
strength or weakness. And this is a
really important point because I think a
lot of people get uh worked up about,
you know, there's a 2024 or 2020 and
they look back over their trades and
they're like, "Wow, if I just hold until
the stock breaks the 50 SMA or 100 SMA,
I'm going to make 300% every single
time. I sold way too early." But the
reality is that not every year is like a
2020 or 2024. and the rules that would
have worked really well in 2020 or 2024
are actually overfitted to that market
environment that was extremely good and
not going to happen every single year.
Um, and so when they adopt those rules
that, you know, to hold on to a stock
until it breaks the 50 no matter what,
the next year is choppier, breakouts
aren't falling through nearly as much.
And instead of getting those 300% 400%
winners, uh, they get stopped out a lot.
uh they hold on too long to their to
their losers, to their to their winners
as they're pulling back uh way back into
the moving averages and they just don't
perform using that rule set which was
supposed to be the secret sauce and
perform really well. But the reason
being that it didn't is because the
market environment is not always
conducive towards longer term uh poor
position trading sell rules. Uh so you
want to remember that as you're looking
back on your trades and deciding what
rule sets to use is you want to avoid
overfitting and think about a rule set
that is robust that will adapt to
different market environments both
really great trending ones as well as
choppier ones and protect you in those
situations. And uh just be be aware that
a rule set that worked really well in a
strong trending market environment may
perform horribly in a very choppy uh up
and down volatile market. Uh so that's
something really important to remember.
And uh a way to help you identify if
you're in a trending or shopping
environment that can be an input to
allow you to switch rule sets or just be
more aware is you can track your average
gain over the last end trades. This
could be 20, this could be 50, this
could be 30, this could be 10. And if
your average gain is increasing um or
decreasing, that could help tell you are
we trending or are we uh more choppy. If
it's increasing, it's more likely to be
a trending market environment where
longerterm sell rules may uh do better.
But if it's decreasing, you might want
to tighten things up because it is a
little bit
choppier. And uh also, I just want to
point out that, you know, this is pretty
obvious, but is worth mentioning as
well. Um stronger markets after
significant correction/bear markets will
favor those longer term rules. So you
might want to lean more into um you know
the position trading type mindset after
a significant bare market or correction
like after COVID after the 2023 bottom.
That's when the long trends really
happened. That's where we saw PLTR
Nvidia start there a thousand% moves
that would have held up really well with
uh longerterm sell rules. Uh so keep
that in mind as you go through it. And
also I want to mention here when a
market trend goes sour it often happens
fast and growth names will all kind of
drop in tandem altogether. So uh you
want to be aware of that and you know
act fast and manage risk in real time
and also you can track the leaders
carefully and if they are breaking down
be on guard for more weakness and that
can help you inform you about the market
environment and how you should be
managing your positions. Um so you know
this is just an important slide to think
about how the market environment will
impact which cell rules are you know
working well in that current uh market
cycle. All right so we'll take a quick
Q&A break. I'll uh so drop your
questions in the chat here and uh we'll
go ahead and answer a few questions.
Also this is the QR code that you can
use to order the trader handbook. If you
find these webinars helpful, you'll
definitely enjoy this trader handbook.
Everything we talk about here, we talk
about at length in this book as well.
And the last chapter, chapter 12, is a
model book of the greatest winning
stocks over the past decade. Um, and
it's great study material to help you
speed up your learning curve and study
those winners to distill the concepts
that we're talking about in these
webinars. So, definitely go ahead and
order yours if you haven't already. And
let's go ahead and see if there's any
questions here. Shouldn't the initial
sell depend on what your initial stop
is? Uh, it can if that's your rule. Um,
you know, you could sell at 3R, 2R
instead of that average gain or 5% rule.
But for stage one, two traders, we're
just using a very simple and effective
5%. Uh, but if you're more stage two
plus, stage three, you can say, I'm
going to sell at two risk multiples or
three miss multiples. And that's how you
can define your initial cell, cell
number one. Uh, clarify extension. We're
going to get into that uh very shortly.
So, great
question. Does the same apply for short
selling rules? I would say short selling
rules are the same on the flip side, but
you want to be faster and lean more into
in terms of selling into strength for
short selling rules just because the
moves are faster. Uh the the um the
moves up from sell, you know, the moves
up after uh a strong extension down are
more vicious. So you want to lean more
into in terms of selling to strength,
which means, you know, selling into
weakness if you're uh or sorry, covering
into weakness uh if you're if you're
shorting. Uh so you just want to be a
little bit faster when shorting as well.
Hard stop versus mental stop. We'll talk
about that at the very end. And uh we'll
we'll dive right in because people a lot
of people are talking about extensions.
So let's discuss more. Oh, actually
first I want I want to talk a little bit
about this. Let me get a sip of water
here. So this is more for the position
traders out there. So pay attention if
that's you.
tips for holding big winners longer um
and getting the most out of them because
I think a lot of people would have much
better performance if they kind of got
out of their own heads and when they
have a big winner at 40% plus actually
let it work and and let it trend for
them instead of time choking it off and
micromanaging it. So, uh first things
first, the best trades that really
contribute to your performance need to
be handled carefully to not choke them
off and sell too early. And uh probably
many of you have sold a stock that went
on and doubled and tripled. And if this
is you, hopefully these tips will be
helpful. So if you do get a significant
cushion, you know, around 40% plus, and
the market environment is trending and
strong and the stocks looks to have a
lot more runway, uh, focus on the trend
and not so much on the day-to-day
movements. I'll talk about what exactly
that means in just a minute. And this is
because we can get scared out of our
best stocks, our biggest winners that go
on and double or more from there simply
because of one to you three day sharp
pullbacks that simply recover and keep
moving higher. You know there's many
instances during this Reddit trend where
we pull back for 4 days, recover, pull
back, recover, pull back, recover and
keep going until it really breaks trend
here. And this started all the way down
here. Very strong action all the way
until we actually meaningfully broke,
you know, a trend line. the moving
average, the 50 SMA, whatever your
definition of trend is. You know, there
are a lot of sharp pullbacks in here
that could have shaken you out and
allowed you to, you know, miss out on
all these profits and gains uh to be to
be gained by getting out at the proper
points as it's actually breaking down uh
into a downtrend from being in an
uptrend.
And one really good tip that uh Rye
actually actually taught me a few years
ago is when you've got a stock like this
where maybe you entered right here,
which is actually where I entered and
you get a gap up, you've got a really
strong profit, you add more, you're
you've got a nice position, very strong
position in this name. Uh you know, when
you've got a great profit all the way
from down here, um you want to think of
your profit more in terms of the
trailing 21 EMA versus what the stock is
doing on a day-to-day fluctuation. And
the reason why this is important because
you know the changes in P&L from here to
here are pretty significant. But you've
got a great cost basis. The stock is
still acting fine. It's above a rising
21 EMA, above a rising 50 SMA. And this
fluctuation doesn't really matter
because in a sense it's noise. As long
as the stock is above a rising 21 EMA,
it's in a healthy trend. And you want to
give it the benefit of the doubt,
especially if you have a great cushion.
So watching versus the 21 EMA smooths
out kind of how you're perceiving your
profit in that position and allows you
mentally to stay with that trend a
little bit longer until it meaningfully
uh breaks down and begins a trend below
that that 21 EMA to end that trade for
you. So again, if a stock is trending
above a rising 10 21 EMA and 50 SMA, it
is healthy. Let it do its thing. Let it
work. Um and this is really important.
Big winners can double or more while
never breaking their 21 EMA. I think
Tesla went up several hundred% without
breaking the 21 EMA back in 2020. NEO
went up like 500% without breaking the
21 EMA. This moving average will keep
you in the strongest stocks instead of
trying to micromanage everything and try
to be perfect. Sell up here, buy back
here, just letting that 21 EMA do the
work will help you uh both mentally as
well as financially profit from that
trend a little bit longer. Then another
way to stick with the trend a little bit
longer and uh let me know in the chat.
This is actually my question for the day
to win a signed uh book. What stock is
this? This is a guppy chart. These are
moving averages. What stock is this? Let
me see who gets it here and you'll win
the signed copy of the trader handbook.
Uh so let me know your thoughts here.
But GMMA charts are basically uh they
eliminate the day-to-day fluctuations by
only showing the moving averages. Uh so
we've got some short-term moving
averages in red um and longerterm moving
averages in blue here. We've got trader
EMAs are the short term and uh investor
moving averages are the longer term in
blue and you're looking for a red,
white, blue pattern. This was taught to
me by Dr. Eric Wish. This is a great
thing that he he taught to us.
Basically, if you're in a red, white,
blue pattern with red moving averages
with some white space above a blue,
there's nothing to be done if you're in
that stock and with a good profit. You
just want to let it work until it
actually breaks down into a red below
white uh you know sorry a blue white red
pattern. Until that happens there's
nothing too much to be done. And even
here it's more just basing versus
actually breaking down into a blue white
red pattern. So again if red is above
white space above blue and you've got a
strong profit let a stock work and let
the trend work and do its thing. But
once we meaningfully break down and this
is where it started to break down here.
Uh this is where you want to be more
selling and uh just be looking to take
profits as we
bl red pattern the inverse of this
strong trend here. And uh let's see who
got it here. Got a lot of PLTR guesses.
Netflix. All right. Awesome. It looks
like Ronaldo uh got it. This is Nvidia.
This is the start of its move back in uh
2023. And uh this is the the recent
action as it's basing and pulling back
and starting a potential stage four. So
Ronaldo set send me a DM on Twitter and
we'll get you hooked up with a free copy
of uh the traders handbook. Awesome.
Great great stuff guys. All right, cool.
So these GMA charts I think are really
powerful. I think a great exercise for
everybody watching right now to do is
you know plot out a stock that you feel
like you should have done a lot better
in. Uh look at your entry. plot it on a
guppy chart and if it's way back here,
just look at where you would have sold
if you just used the moving averages and
waited for a blue, white, red pattern to
develop and see what profit you would
have gotten versus uh you know what you
actually got and see if this this system
this process using these guppy charts
once you're at a great profit uh could
help you stick in uh stay with a winner
longer. Another variation of course is
also to use just a weekly chart and
focus more on the weekly action once
you've got a great profit. And this is a
key point one I want to emphasize and
this is something that Jim Roel really
emphasized to me is to capture a monster
winner of 200% or more. You will need to
sit through one or two bases at least
within a strong stage two uptrend. And
you're going to have to, you know, stick
through multiple earnings reports. Some
of them may gap down on you, but in
order to get a monster winner, you need
to, you know, understand where your cost
basis is, your profit cushion, what
you're willing to give back off the
table in order to sit through and get
that longer term move. So, there's
sacrifices that have to be made if
you're active investor, a position
trader, a swing trader. There's always
pros and cons to both. And part of the,
you know, the cons of position trading
is it's going to take quite a quite a
while and you're going to have to sit
through bases, consolidations, earnings
reports, uh, which add risk, uh, in
order to profit potentially from a
monster winner, which I know probably
many of you had a really good, um,
Ronaldo, uh, shoot me an email at
richardtraderline.com, and we'll we'll
get you set up. So that's
Richard.com. Um, so yeah, in order to
sit through a monster trend like this
and get uh really strong profits on app
or a similar name, you have to sit
through bases and sit through earnings
reports. All right, so here are some
good quotes for position traders/active
investors. This is from Jesse Livermore.
It was never my thinking that made the
big money for me. It was always my
sitting. Got that? My sitting tight. It
is no trick to be right on the market.
You always find lots of early bulls in
bull markets and early bears in bare
markets. I know many men who were right
at exactly the right time. I began sell
buying or selling stocks when prices
were at the very level which should show
the greatest profit and their experience
invariably match mine. That is they made
no real money out of it. Men who can
both be right and sit tight are
uncommon. And that's from Jesse
Livermore. And what he means by that is
even if you bought correctly here, the
ability to sit through this trend as the
stock is working from you is very tough.
And that's why we need to have rules
that say I won't sell until we we break
below the 50 SMA or I won't sell until
we break below uh and start a blue white
red pattern. These rules protect us and
allow us to profit from these monster
winners. So that's really important to
remember.
Then for more active traders, I've got
one from Darvis here. As to my basic
strategy, I decided I would always do
this. I would just jog along with an
upward trend, trailing my stop-loss
insurance behind me. As the trend
continued, I would buy more. When the
trend reversed, I would run like a
thief. So again, active traders, more
swing traders, it's a different
perspective. You're more trying to just
participate when the momentum is
strongest and get out uh get out of the
way. Uh run like a thief when that
momentum ends and we start breaking down
a little bit. uh or even you know in
this environment you can sell to
strength and uh just trail the rest and
uh wait for the stock to really break
down for that last remainder of the
position. All right, so now we'll get
into selling to strength rules, selling
into weakness rules, and you know what
the hell does extended mean and how do
we define it? So let me take a quick
pause here and see if there's any
questions. All right, I don't see any.
So perfect.
Okay. So, selling into strength. Selling
to strength means selling a stock as it
is rising becoming extended and volatile
or is simply meeting profit target
levels that you might set at 10% your
average gain. You know, 3R, 5R, 10R,
whatever your rule is. That's what
selling into strength means. Selling as
a stock is rising and meets uh those
criteria. And selling it to strength is
more suited towards swing trading and
its focus is on locking down profits
after quick moves, momentum moves. And
the benefit of this is it reduces equity
curve draw downs because you're selling
as a stock is rising. Um although it
does increase trading and you know you
you're basically required to go and
rotate that money into a new idea, a new
momentum move. Um and the bad thing
about this and the the the difficult
part and the art of it is that
extensions are a judgment call. That's
why there's so many questions about uh
you know what does extended mean and you
can define extended based on a visual
extension. This is how William O'Neal
did it after looking at millions of
charts I'm sure by the time he uh
retired. Um but you know you can do it
on a visual extension. You know how far
extended are we above a moving average
compared to we ha to we have been in the
past. Just kind of make a judgment call.
All right we're about this this far. You
know previously we only got this far.
All right we're a little bit extended
here. You can also define it more
objectively based on an ATR from a
moving average or a percentage amount
from a moving average. You know, rule of
thumb is 10% above the 10 EMA, 20% above
the 21 EMA and 50% above the 50 SMA,
100% um or more above the 200 SMA. Those
are just rules of thumbs and it's going
to depend on the the character of the
stock, of course. And you can also base
it on relative measured extension. This
is an indicator that we developed in DFW
to actually objectively uh measure
extension and I'll show you that in the
examples in just a second. So this can
be a really simple and effective way to
say this is extended based on prior
price action. You can also use key
reversal bars. We'll talk about exactly
what those are. Uh failed breakouts are
also a time to sell to strength. Uh when
we try to break out of a base and fail,
that can be an early warning sign to get
get out of the way. And then gap ups
after powerful moves. But I want to be
very careful here. Gap ups after
powerful moves. When a stock has already
been trending for quite some time, it's
extended in its move, it's extended
within its statue uptrend. And the gap
is more likely to be exhaustive than a
sign that there's a lot of demand,
renewed demand from institutions. Gap
ups early in a trend are a very strong
positive sign. Uh but later in the
trend, they could be more exhaustive and
more likely should be sold into than
accumulated on. And that being said,
even for early uh stage gap ups, um
swing traders likely are selling into
those because again, their goal is to
simply rotate capital out of the
powerful movers into the next
opportunity. And gap ups are gift in in
their minds and allow them to get a
profit very quickly. Uh so even for
swing traders, uh early gap ups are
likely to be to be sells or spots of
sell to strength as you see in this
diagram. And I think this is a really
good rule of thumb as well. If you're
thinking about, you know, should I sell?
I don't know if I should sell it. I'm up
30%. Should I sell? Should I hold? Uh,
look at where the 21 EMA is, which kind
of defines the trend for your time
frame. So, use the relevant moving
average, the 50 SMA, the 10 EMA even.
And if you're not able to stomach a
pullback of your position to that key
moving average, it's a good idea to sell
a partial. So, if you if visually you
you expect or or think about if the
stock pull back next week all the way to
the 21 EMA, which defines what an
uptrend is for me. Um, if you can't
stomach that pullback, which might be
10%, 20%, and uh really diminishes your
profit on the position while a stock is
still in an uptrend, that's a good point
to, you know, sell 25%, sell a third,
sell half, so you can stomach that
pullback, that natural pullback within
the context of that uptrend.
And Mickey asked uh please repeat the
percentage points of extended above the
moving averages. Yeah. So this is just a
rule of thumb from the 10 EMA about 10
10 to 15% above that is extended. Again
higher ADR stocks it can go a lot lot
bigger than that. Uh from the 21 EMA
about 20 20 to 30% depending on the
stock's character. Uh from the 50 SMA
50% uh from the 200 SMA double 100%
above that is considered a little bit
extended. But again, these are all
judgments and there's always art and uh
the character of the stock to take into
account as you're defining what is
extended. And that's where um relative
measured extension kind of comes into
play to actually give you a framework
that's objective uh to you know um
interpret extensions on all stocks the
same way. All right. So what the hell
are key reversal bars? Let's get into
that. So key reversal bar is when an
extended stock gaps up or has a powerful
move higher and then reverses even
harder and closes well off highs likely
under undercutting the prior days low
and maybe even multiple days low. And
you can see in this case uh and let me
know what stock this is. There's there's
no prize, but just I want to see if
there's anybody who can get it. During
this move, there are many gap ups. Uh
it's gapping up almost every day. It
looks extended almost every day. Uh it's
pretty volatile and this day is just
kind of at the end of this exhaustive
phase. So let me know what stock this
is. I want to see if there anybody who
gets it. Uh Meta AMD. Nope. Nope. Not
SMCI. There we go. Say got it. MSTR.
This is MSTR guys. Um so this is a key
reversal bar when we have a gap up or
initial move higher and then an
extremely negative reversal down.
breaking the high, breaking the close,
breaking the low, breaking multiple days
lows. This is the type of bar that we're
looking out for because this could be a
sign to sell some into it is into
weakness, but it's more closer to highs
than waiting for a break below the 21
EMA. So, there's going to be an early
sell signal for position traders or, you
know, the last bit that you take off as
a swing trader. Uh, so these periods,
these key reversal bars often lead to
the start of a pullback or a basing
period. And that's really important. And
most significant uh these are most
significant after a stock has already
been trending for multiple weeks and or
is showing signs of climactic type
action. You know multiple gap ups many
green days in a row increasing
volatility increasing slope of the move.
So if you visualize a slope this is the
rate of ascent and then it kind of
increases this way and often these days
are the largest range bar in the move
and on very high volume as well. So,
these are bars that you want to look out
for. And once you kind of start looking
for them, you'll see them all the time
as a stock is topping, as a stock is
starting to base out. And we'll show a
few examples uh later on as
well. So, this is MSTR. Uh this was a
the zoomed in view that I just showed.
This is the key reversal
bar. And you can see throughout this
move, it really respects the 10 EMA
here. It's a faster moving stock. So the
10 EMA is kind of the the moving average
that I would consider for this name. And
within that, there's a lot of points
where it gets visually extended from
that 10 EMA. If you look at how far it
kind of gets from the 10 EMA, this kind
of matches it or exceeds it. This kind
of matches it or exceed it exceeds it.
And each time it does that, it pulls
back for a few days and even undercuts
the 10 EMA. And these drops look small,
but in reality, they're like 10 15%
move. So, you don't really want to be
sitting with that um that type of move
in a full position. And this would be
the buy point as it uh uh gaps above the
50 SMA, forms this tight flag inside day
and breaks higher. That would be the buy
point we're using in this case. And
these pullbacks are something to avoided
or just you want to sell into these
extensions. Again, visually extended.
Definitely bigger than this and this as
well. Um strong bar though. It holds up.
Uh you've got a key reversal bar here,
but it actually recovers, holds, and
gets even more extended. And again, look
at the distance, the air from the 10 EMA
compare compared to back here during the
normal trend. This is a clear sign that
we're getting extended. We get a fadeoff
highs. And you might want to be taking
some off every single one of these days,
every single one of these extensions.
Even though it's not the top, you might
want to be taking some off. So then we
when we do get the pullback, significant
pullback from the key reversal bar,
you're able to handle that a little bit
more objectively because you're not
focused on how much money you're losing
in the moment. And this is the key
reversal bar. This starts the basing
process which it's still been in um for
quite some time now. And we'll see if it
does recover and and set back set back
up again. But again, this key reversal
bar could be your last sell as a swing
trader or just you know a warning sign
to sell half as a position trader. And
down here we've got the deep view
relative measured extension indicator.
Anytime it gets in this red area, we're
getting a little bit sorry, short-term
extended from the 10 EMA. I'm using the
10 uh EMA, sorry, simple moving average
here with the 50-day look back period,
and that is kind of what the indicator
is trained on it. It's looking at the
moving average as well as the past 50
days and how extended we've gotten from
that moving average. So, anytime we get
into this red zone, it might be a time
to take profits back here, back here as
well. Um, and you know, that's how you
can use this indicator. We've done a
whole webinar simply on RME. So, uh,
I'll kind of link that below as well and
take a look at that if you're curious
about this indicator
here. Here's an example with Tesla. Um,
this obeys more the 21 EMA. So, that's
why I'm using the 20 uh EMA uh, sorry,
20 SMA with RME. And again, we're
getting extended in this area as we're
gapping up. A lot of gap ups. Definitely
extended. This would be where you're
selling some of strength. And then we
get a Q reversal bar here, breaking all
these lows all at once. And this starts
a basing process before it sets up again
and went on another nice move. But this
Q reversal bar and recognizing that
allows you to protect yourself from this
gap a little bit. Maybe you're still
selling a little bit, but maybe not your
whole position. and you know this
further pullback all the way from 270 up
here all the way down to you know 180
almost 100 points here uh you'd be able
to hopefully protect yourself uh and and
sell earlier to protect yourself from
this decline here by recognizing this
key reversal bar and this would be the
entry range breakout upside reversal to
prime the setup strong push through that
pivot level and you get a gap ups a
little bit short-term extended swing
traders would be selling likely into
this day this day as well this day as
well and then maybe selling the final
piece as it breaks uh you know prior day
lows right here on the Q reversal bar.
So that is another example with
Tesla. Here is Reddit. Uh you get an
entry on the 50 SMA reclaim or the entry
right here on the flag breakout and we
get an extension here. But remember this
is a also a powerful earnings gap and
this is a new stock. So this is kind of
more recent and newer within the stu
uptrend. So maybe you wouldn't be
selling as a position trader into
strength here, but a swing trader
definitely likely is selling some into
strength. Uh you've got uh another
extension here as well. There's a gap up
that was sold after 25% move and uh this
would be a sign to take a little bit
profit as a swing trader. Again, gap ups
are gifts if in a stock that's already
short-term extended. And you get another
gift here. Strong powerful move up. I
think this is also with a an analyst
price target here. That's another sign
that the gap might not hold and we pull
back afterward. we get another extension
volatility and this actually starts a
base here um for a few weeks here. So
again, these extensions as a swing
trader, you'll be looking to sell into
them. As a position trader, you want to
be aware of them and recognize where a
stock within its life cycle. Maybe
you're not selling early extensions as a
position trader, but you might be
selling very uh extreme ones or later in
the trend just to lock in some profits
and weather a pullback to the 21 EMA or
the 50 SMA.
All right, then we'll get into selling
into weakness
here. All right, selling into weakness.
Selling into weakness obviously is
selling as a stock is breaking trend or
showing weak or abnormal price action.
And for this, the mindset is we're
focusing on riding the trend until it
really confirms that it is breaking down
and starting a downtrend. And this is
going to lead to larger draw downs off
equity highs, but potentially greater
reward because you're sticking with that
longerterm trend until it ends while
selling to strength. You might exit
here, here, or here. Here you're you're
participating in this longerterm trend,
however long it lasts, until it actually
breaks down. Signs of weakness that you
want to be watching out for. Closes
below key moving averages, breaks below
trend lines that you can draw at key
lows here, breaks below key lows. So,
you know, this is a key low here. We
broke below it. Instead of basing above
it, uh we broke below this low right
here as well. Uh large gap downs. So,
off the top, if there's a failed
breakout and then very large gap down on
earnings, that could be a sell signal.
Uh reconfirmations of lower highs. So,
here's a lower high. We've reconfirmed
down. That would be a sell signal as
well. Uh short-term moving averages
curling down and acting as resistance.
That's also what happens when we're
starting a corrective down period in the
market. And let's dive into some
examples here. So, here's Reddit. Here's
the base that started here. Uh, we get a
nice further move up from this base. But
then what happens right here? You can
see we broke out of a pivot, moved
higher, and then started pulling back
and gapped down and closed below this
level. So, this is a subtle thing that,
you know, more advanced traders will see
is this reconfirmation failed. And even
though we're pulling back to the 21 EMA,
we've got a gap down that tried to rally
through that pivot again, but couldn't
close higher. And then we leak lower the
next few days. So, this is the first
sign of weakness. Then we get two closes
below the 21 EMA. That might be your
sell rule um as well. Then we get a bad
close below the 50 SMA. Base breakout
fails. You know, this breakout here,
this broke out back in this area fails.
Another negative sign. The 21 EMA is
curling down here. We form a range here.
it can't rally higher into the 21 EMA.
You can see um a lot of wicks up here
and tries to move higher, reconfirm
down, break belows below the range, gap
down, gap down. Gap downs are key, guys.
You want to be watching out for these
gap downs. And if they can be filled
quickly and recovered quickly, that that
might kind of uh heal things, but if
they can't be healed, it might lead to a
lot further downside. Uh and then here,
decisively, we're trending below a
decline 21 and 50 SMA. So this is kind
of the the topping phase here and some
signs of weakness that you want to be
looking out for. Failed breakouts,
failed pivot reclaims, uh breaking below
moving averages and all this that we
note here on the
chart. All right, here is TDD. Uh you've
got a nice uptrend here. We break below
the trend line as well as the 50 SMA in
this case. But also even before that,
this is a little bit of a consolidation.
We get a breakout. The expectation is we
go higher. Instead, we can't, you know,
fall through to the upside. uh we kind
of stagnate at the pivot, we leak lower
and then we get a bad break of the 21
EMA. This would be definitely a sell
signal here. Then we break below the
trend line as well as 50 SMA start to
leak lower. The 50 SMA acts as a
resistance multiple times and then we
get very large gap down. So if you're
not out by this, which you definitely
should be as a swing trader in even a
position trader, we're below the 50 SMA
at this point. Uh you're definitely want
to exit here. And I think this has
declined about 50% since this very large
gap down on very large volume. So all
these warning signs are things you want
to watch out for to protect yourself
before further weakness happens and
before a stage stage 4 downtrend really
takes
hold. Here is GEV and this is something
I want to talk about large gap downs. Um
you know this is something probably a
lot of people experienced recently with
Deepseek. you know, Nvidia got hit, GEV
got hit, VST got hit. A lot of the
high-flying names which were the leaders
got hit pretty hard. Uh, so let's talk
about, you know, this large gap down.
We'll talk about how to handle them
later on. But here's the entry range
breakout, strong trend, and then we get
the catalyst out of nowhere, deepseek,
gamechanging news, and this is basically
a sell. Even though it rallies, it is
abnormal action that changes the dynamic
of supply and demand. So even if you
hold and rally these likely you want to
be sold
into and uh basically you know if you
bought a mean reversion trade here you
want to be more biased towards selling
to strength because this gap takes time
to heal often months to heal this type
of thing if it does and here you can see
it can't break out. It breaks below the
range breaks below the 21 EMA breaking
down and starts a downtrend and is
basing out now. But we'll see. We'll
have to see what happens with this name.
But this large gap down is something you
want to look out for because like with
TTD, these large gap downs could just be
the start of major major declines. And
again, the goal at the end of the day is
capital preservation. And these gap
downs are abnormal action that you don't
know if it's going to rally or if it's
going to fall through to the downside.
And we have to manage risk in real time
as traders. And if our if our reason for
buying is that it was moving higher and
breaking out of a consolidation when it
pulls back right to our entry point and
gaps down to that level, um we don't
know what's going to happen. It could
break these lows and just, you know,
follow through to the downside. We have
to manage real risk in real time with
the information we have available and
not hope. We have to follow our rules
and exit accordingly. All
right, here's the next one. We've got
Teddoc back in 2021. Uh, this is one I
actually bought right here and and sold
into strength here. Uh, we've got a nice
rally up above the 21 EMA. Then we have
a downside reversal. It can't break out
from this consolidation. We get
reconfirmation down, another sell
signal, a bad break at the 21 EMA, all
in one bar. We get a gap down. Again,
gap downs are key. We have another gap
down, lose at the 50 SMA, lose the 200
SMA. So, if you're not out by this
point, you haven't been paying
attention. Really, if you're not out by
uh this point, you haven't been paying
attention. And then this starts a major
major decline. I think it dropped 80%
from this level um or even more. And
throughout that that decline, it
couldn't rally above the moving
averages. It was below declining 50 and
200 SMAs. There are a lot a lot of sell
signals here that have that you could
have kind of picked up on um to sell
into strength as well as into weakness
and protect your capital if you did
enter from this point or even are an
investor and a long-term investor at
that. Here's one more example. We've got
Nvidia. Uh, and I want to include this
because it's more of a normal type
correction in a leader than something
that's completely breaking down like the
other ones. Uh, we've got a nice strong
trend. We get a key reversal bar. Again,
these are a sign that often basing is
needed. We get a lower high. This
another sell signal or, you know,
warning sign to be looking out for. And
we can see we try to form a range here,
but instead of breaking out and
reconfirming through this high, we break
lower. And that's a sign that more
correction is coming. And again, we try
to firm up, try to move higher. We break
lower, downside reversal, downside
reversal, and all of that will hopefully
protect you and get you out as a swing
trader or position trader before the
really bad break of the 50
SMA. And then the stock kind of firms up
because the best leaders will, you know,
need these bases to set up for the next
leg higher. I think this rose about 60
70%, you know, from these levels here
and from this extension down, there's no
follow-through lower. Then we start
forming higher lows. So the opposite of
these lower highs and firm up again and
start a new uptrend. But again, as swing
traders, we want to be selling into
strength here, selling into strength of
the lower high. Position traders breaks
below the 50 SMA very badly, sell to
that, and then wait for it to set up
again and restart a new uptrend. That's
the goal that we're trying to
participate during the momentum moves,
the natural trends versus the corrective
bases right
here. All right. So, I'm going to pause
here and see if there's any questions on
selling to strength, selling it to
weakness, as well as uh defining
extensions because I think that is a key
thing that people likely have questions
here. So, let's see there's any
questions. Shall we think about volume
strength as well as just um MVA? I think
just MA there. That's what you mean. But
basically, you know, price is the
ultimate deciding factor. It's the most
important thing. volume often confirms
and emphasizes key price and volume
characteristics, but price is enough to
make decisions by because that's what's
defined by supply and demand. Uh so I
think price is the most important.
Volume can help confirm what you're
thinking. Uh does this work for weekly
or hourly charts? It works on all time
frames, but we're really focused here as
swinging position traders for growth
stocks and we're thinking more about
daily and weekly time frames. Um so it
does work on all time frames. There's
going to there's cycles of price action
on all time frames, but there's a lot
more noise on intraday charts and weekly
charts might not be the right position
management time frame for you,
especially if you're a swing trader. So,
we're focused more on daily charts here
and daily characteristics, but these
characteristics you want to look out for
on all time frames. Uh, let's see
here. Uh, I use the 5 EMA to measure
extension sometimes. Perfect. Yeah,
Ethan, that's great. Especially for
faster swing traders, instead of a 10
EMA, uh look for a visual extension or
percentage from or ATR from the 5 EMA.
Uh that can be a great way to measure
extension, especially in the really fast
movers. 5 EMA is probably better than 10
EMA. Uh when I'm thinking about
extensions, I'm always thinking about
the character of the stock, the the ADR
of the stock. And you know, MSTR is a
much faster mover than even a Tesla or
Reddit. So, I want to be using a 10 EMA
versus my normal 20 20 EMA, 21 EMA. So,
think about what moving average makes
sense. What moving average has been
respected in the past? Does it
consistently pull back to? And then you
could plug that into RME or just look
visually and see are we extended from
that moving average compared to where we
normally are. So that's again a way to
define extension is use the moving
average that matters to the stock and
then look for visual extensions from
that moving
average. All right, let's see
here. All right, when I get stopped out
and want to buy back, my broker raises
my break even price due to tax reasons.
How do you avoid this? So, I treat every
every um every trade as a new trade um
with with the new cost basis. Um you
know, everything for doing stuff for tax
purposes isn't the way to go for
performance and isn't the right way to
think about things. You want to reenter
a stock because it sets back up and
there's the potential for a new trade
opportunity. That's that's kind of the
end of it. And then taxes will kind of
take care of itself when when when it's
the time to do
that. All right. parabolic moves like
the quantum stocks recently exhibited.
Yep. So again, accelerated rates of
ascent. You know, this is the rate of
ascent and then it kind of changes right
here. That's another sign that we're
getting extended and you might be want
to selling into strength here. You never
know what the top day exactly is going
to be until we get that really key key
reversal bar. But you don't want to
participate too much and draw down too
much, but you do want to participate. So
you could sell a little bit into
strength. Maybe, you know, 25% 25% 25%
25%. keep doing that and um
participating with the trend until we
get a significant break here. Uh can we
use anger VWAP? Yeah, you 100% can. Um
for sell rules, I don't I don't think
it's quite as effective for me
personally. That's how that's how I
interpret things. I like using it at the
tops of bases or from key days like
earnings reports uh as kind of a line in
the sand uh to determine where you know
how supply and demand, who's in control
um buyers versus sellers. But, you know,
you could place it versus uh this day
right here or from a key pivot level.
And if that's helpful for you on
pullbacks, definitely go ahead and use
it. All
right. Is there a tool to find these
signals automatically and get
notifications? We'll be building that
into Deep View. You know, you'll be able
to add a conditional alert when RMV gets
up to 100. Uh, give me a notification.
When we are 10% above the 10 EMA, give
me a notification. We'll be building
that in, but right now I don't know of a
tool that does
that. All
right, great. I think we can move on
here. So, special situations. These are
just kind of key things to think about
as well when it when it comes to
position management. Uh, first, earnings
reports. Um, earnings reports obviously
are a binary event. A stock can gap up
10%, it can pull back 10%. uh you don't
know, you know, there's there's no way
to tell even if the the news is
supposedly good, this the market can
react negatively to that. It's really
about the reaction u versus the news
that really matters. Uh so you don't
want to go in and gamble. That's that's
the main thing. You don't want to just
hope that we're going to get a gap up.
So the guideline is that we have is your
profit cushion must be larger than the
implied move based on earnings to hold
any of your position through. And you
can look up imply move various places.
We'll be adding it to DFU pretty soon.
Uh but basically if the if your profit
cushion is 10% and the implied move is
8% it's right on that edge of do I have
to sell something? Do I have to sell
50%? Do I sell my whole position? Uh
because I don't want to go from uh 10%
profit to only up 2%. That's giving back
a lot. Um and yeah, there could be a a
point where you're up 10% and then it
gaps up and you're up 20%. But you
always have to think of the downside
more than the upside. And I think as
swing traders specifically, you should
be biased to selling at least some
before earnings. Uh because earnings are
such a binary event that it kind of um
it kind of ruins your edge of just kind
of rotating through momentum setups to
hold your earnings because it's such a
binary event. You could be up big, you
could be down big. So I think swing
traders should be biased to sell before
earnings. Position traders must have a
really good cushion as I mentioned to
have and have a reason to believe the
stock is more runway. It's early in a
stage two. It's part of a very strong
trend. um earnings growth that's been
really strong the recent quarter. Um and
then you could be justified in holding
through earnings. But uh you know
earnings reports you always have to
think about am I willing to stomach a
gap down of 15% or more after this
earnings report. Can I handle that based
on my profit cushion? If not, you have
to sell some. And I think this is really
important. You can always sell half of
your position and look to add back on
the next setup because think about this.
If
um the the the emotions are at play here
is fear of missing out right here. Uh so
if if you don't hold through earnings,
it gaps up without you, you're going to
feel terrible because you're not
participating in the trend when you had
the stock. But you can kind of cure that
by thinking about, you know, I'll sell
half and then if it gaps up, I'll buy on
the earnings gap or I'll buy on the uh
the pivot breakout after the earnings
gap. I'll just re-enter that 50%
position once, you know, it sets up
again because it will set up again. If
it's going to double from the earnings
gap, it's going to set up at least a few
more times. So, you can always sell half
of your position and look to add back
what you sold on the next lower setup.
So, don't feel like you're missing out
on anything because you sell some before
earnings. Um, in fact, you're kind of
protecting yourself because, you know,
if it gap down gaps down, maybe you're
only losing 4% of your profit versus 8%
10%. And that's a big difference
psychologically and financially. Um,
based after selling half. So, this is
kind of how to handle earnings reports
is think about what your profit cushion
is, think about your time frame. Are you
a swing trader or position trader? Think
about the potential of the stock. And
then also, I didn't mention this on the
slide, but I should have. Think about
the market environment. Has the market
environment been uh really good? Are
breakouts working? Are earnings, you
know, gapping up all over the place? If
not, and things are gapping down, then
it's probably a riskoff uh environment.
And even if the stock blows out
earnings, it might get sold off anyway.
So, that's something else to take into
account and might bias you towards
selling and protecting you when it's a
riskoff environment overall. All right,
gap downs. Um, we talked about this a
little bit in the risk management uh
webinar as well, but um, gap downs will
happen based on unforeseen events. We
saw it with DeepSeek, it might be that
the stock pre-announces before earnings.
Uh, gap downs will happen in some of the
names that you are owning. And uh, even
in the strongest stocks, in the
strongest markets, based on news
catalyst, there's going to be gap downs
of 5%, 10%, you know, maybe they
announce a secondary after hours. Um,
that could be a reason for for a gap
down in a recent IPO. Um, so here here's
kind of how to think about handling it
on small gaps in a strong market. If
you've got cushion in the stock, uh, you
should look to give the stock a the
benefit of doubt. Uh, but of course,
always obey your worst case stop- loss.
So if it's gapping down below the 50 SMA
and you're going from 20% profit to 2%
profit, that's not that's not really a
small gap down actually. Uh, so you
know, think about what your profit
cushion is and take that into account in
deciding, are you going to give the
stock the benefit of the doubt? And in a
strong trending environment, uh, gap
downs, you know, in in bull markets, gap
downs are bought up. You want to see
that. If it doesn't happen, that could
be a sign to sell, you know, close to
the close. Uh, and, you know, lower
lower your position size overall. Uh,
but small gaps in a strong market, the
main thing here is you want to give them
the benefit of the doubt to stick with
the trend. Uh, if you have a strong
cushion, however, very large gap downs
are kind of a different beast
altogether. It's much more abnormal
action. Um, so you have to manage risk
in real time. Again, if you're going
from 40% profit to 5% profit, likely
something is wrong with the stock and
there's a supply and demand imbalance
that even if the stock recovers in the
short term, it's likely going to start
maybe a downtrend in the future. So,
always think about managing risk in real
time, protecting your capital above all
else. And uh you can always sell first
and back, you know, buy back on the next
setup if it does set back up again. but
a very large gap down. The money that
you had is gone. You have to think about
the current situation and if that stock
is the best potential candidate for your
hard-earned money and um and basically
make the decision, should I sell, move
on, or do I still believe in the stock?
Um you know, my I always if there's a
very large gap down, my bias is selling
very shortly after the open. Um maybe
giving it a chance to rally on a fivem
minute, but if it doesn't, I'm very
quick to to cut back. Um, so that's kind
of how I personally handle large gap
down
situations. Then another question that
uh likely many of you uh are wondering
when it comes to position management is
do you use end of day stops? Do you have
stops in with your broker or you use
mental stops? I always personally have a
stop in with my broker. I I trail that
um below the 21 EMA a few percentage
points below 21 EMA and then I have
alert set on the 21 EMA, higher lows,
all of that. So I'm I'm always aware if
a stock is breaking starting to break
down or potentially showing signs of
breaking trend. Um and personally in
terms of end of day stops versus you
know acting in the moment. I think again
it depends on the market. In a very
strong market that's rewarding breakouts
that's maybe just after a bare market or
significant correction um and things are
acting well. You want to give the stock
the benefit of the doubt because
sometimes we'll have shakeouts intraday
and the stock just recovers and even
goes higher into the end of the day and
you're you're out of your position. You
need to buy it back at a higher price.
So, um personally, if it doesn't hit my
um worst case stop, I want to wait until
the last hour or last 30 minutes to make
a decision about whether I should sell
or not. Um and yeah, this is basically
what I'm saying here. Um, ideally wait
till the last hour if possible. But in a
weak market, in a negative market, I
sell first, ask questions later. If a
stock is breaking down, uh, it could get
very, very ugly very, very fast,
especially if we're below the 50 SMA,
below the 200 SMA. We've seen some very
significant declines in, you know, blue
chip companies. Um, and things can get
very bad very fast in bad markets. So,
in bad markets, it's completely
different. I will, you know, sell as
soon as it hits my stop or even before
that, uh, to protect my capital again.
And during a during a negative market,
riskoff environment, defense first and
uh sell first, ask questions later.
Things are guilty until proven innocent
in bad markets and innocent until proven
guilty in good markets. And just in
general, from a style perspective, swing
traders should ask act faster. Again,
you're just trying to turn over your
edge. Um while position traders can give
it a little bit more time, see if it
recovers end of day or even the next
day, and give the stock uh look to give
the stock a benefit of the doubt. And
here over on the right hand side, I have
one of my mistakes that I made in
2020. I'll go ahead and zoom in here.
Um, this was a docuign. Um, this is
actually from the from model book
section of of chapter 12, guys, from the
handbook. So, a little sneak preview for
you guys. We have a positive expectation
breaker. I didn't even see these back
then. I didn't know what to look for,
but now that you you know what a
positive expectation breaker is, you'll
see these all the time before stocks
break out. But I entered really nicely
right through um the pivot of this
breakout, the short range here right
here. It trended beautifully above the
21 EMA. You can see a downside reversal
above the 21 EMA still acting fine. Uh
recovers and acts well, but I sold maybe
the low tick of this day here uh as it
was breaking the 21 EMA. Um I had my
stop right there. Uh we were in a strong
bull market right here. Things were
acting well. I think I was up 40%. I
mean this is uh 87 to about uh 136 here
at this point 120. So I had a very nice
profit in this stock but I sold as it
broke below the 21 EMA and then by the
end of the day it recovered really
strongly and then just went up and I
think made another 50% move from this
point and this could have really changed
my performance that year uh to to make
it even better. Um so this was a mistake
that I made in a strong market. I sold
way too early before giving the stock
the benefit benefit of the day um
benefit of the doubt and seeing if it
closed well and it did and just kept on
going respected the 21 EMA and even here
is a sharp pullback to the 21 EMA closes
well and just keeps on going. So this is
a good example of when you're in a
strong market try to give the stock the
benefit of the doubt and see if it can
recover and if it keeps on moving down
and you've got your worst case stop
definitely protect yourself. Uh but you
know try to wait until that last hour to
make a decision if possible.
All right, so getting more into the
summary here and hopefully this has been
helpful to you guys. Uh here are some
kind of overall key steps for position
management. First, once at a profit,
know your rules for moving up stops.
Again, we talked about risk management a
lot more in the previous webinar. Uh
watch for sells into strength if that's
your style. If applicable, look for ad
re-entry points if you're more stage
three, stage four. Uh watch for sells
into weakness that define the end of the
trend. And then if you do end up exiting
all the stock, don't just, you know,
kick out the stock and never revisit it.
add the stock back to a watch list and
see if it sets up again, sets up a new
base, and sets sets up a new
opportunity. Often the best stocks to
trade are ones you've already traded and
had a lot of success with. That's a
that's another golden nugget for you
guys. So, here are some key takeaways
that I want you to have from today's
webinar. Uh, first, to find rules that
match your stage and trading style. uh
whether you're a swing trader or uh day
trader or position trader, active
investor, uh whether you're a stage one
trader or much further along, stage
three, stage four, uh know the pros and
cons of selling your strength versus
weakness. We talked about those. The
opportunity cost, the uh needing to find
a new trade versus, you know,
potentially getting a 300, 400, 500%
plus move. Then you want to find rules
for yourself for selling into strength.
Be as objective as possible. Define what
extended means to you. Is that a percent
above a moving average? Is it ADR above
a moving average? Is it using relative
measured extension from deep view? Um,
pick a rule and define it so somebody
else could say uh could follow that rule
and say looking at the chart exactly the
same way as you. Yes, that is extended.
That's the clarity and the amount of
clarity that you want to have in your
rules. Uh in the same way, define rules
for selling into weakness. Is it two
closes below a moving average? Is it a
break of a trend line? How do you draw
that trend line? Define that in your
rules. So another trader of a similar
experience level could follow it exactly
as you do. Then this is really key. Sell
rules allow you to manage a position
with clarity with a framework to try to
manage those emotions and uh have an
understanding of exactly your objective
and what you're trying to do. Uh and
then lastly, I I discussed this a few
times. Different market environments
will favor faster or slower sell rules.
And you don't want to overfit your rules
to one market type of environment
because you want it to be robust and
work in all market environments. And
then one more tech uh key takeaway I
want to add here is again your cell rule
should reflect your experience level in
the markets and where you're at. If
you're very new at this, you know, in
your first year, two, three years even.
The goal is consistency and process and
being very rigid with your cell rules
versus later on when you've got more
experience. uh you're you're you're much
more you know adept at things at
managing risk all that recognizing
shifts in the market at that point you
can be a little bit more creative a
little bit more um you know
discretionary in your choices do I sell
at this extension or do I wait for the
next one um at that point you've earned
the right to be more fluid with your
sell rules but early on you want to be a
lot more rigid and build that
consistency build that technique up that
gives you the skills to then be more uh
flexible later on. All right, so that's
it for today's webinar. Hopefully this
has been really helpful for you guys.
Hopefully the examples applying the
different variations of cell rules
helped you as well. Um, and I just want
to say again, if you find these webinars
helpful, a great way to thank us and
also get more resources is to go ahead
and order the Trader Handbook, you can
do that by scanning this QR code. If
you're enjoying these webinars, you're
going to love this book. Um, and even if
you're a very advanced trader, um, the
model book there is definitely worth
reviewing to study those greatest
winners. And if you're a very new
trader, this handbook could really make
the difference in in helping you build a
system, become profitable, become
consistent, and uh, learn the blueprint
for trading success. So again,
definitely go ahead and order yours if
you haven't already. Uh, but thank you
guys all for attending. I'll answer a
few questions
here. All right. Uh, yeah, on DocYign, I
did not start a new position after I got
shaken out. Again, another mistake
here. All
right. Uh Darnell asks, "Can you tell us
about the stoastic in to me is the best
indicator to buy, sell, combine with
trend lines 2050 uh S 200 SMA?" Yeah,
the the stochastic is great. I I think
any indicator can work well. Uh and Dr.
Wish uses the stochastic and I used it
for many years. Um any indicator can
work really well. It's basically just a
momentum indicator, but you have to
study it, see when it works, when it
doesn't work. Test it for yourself, and
it can be a great way to buy pullbacks,
strength after pullbacks. So, use it for
yourself and define rules that another
trader could follow using the same
methodology. All
right. All right. Let's see
here. There's no formula for the uh
extension indicator. Uh it's
proprietary. You can use it in DU.
highly recommend doing it. Uh it's
something that I developed
myself. All right, Scott says, "Love the
webinar. Pre-order book. Looking forward
to learning more." Awesome. Thank you so
much, Scott. Appreciate it. Uh a lot of
thank yous. Thank you guys so much. Glad
Glad this has been helpful, guys. Thank
you so
much. All right. Yeah. And again, this
will be released on May 27th, but you
can pre-order right now uh at Amazon,
Barnes & Noble, anywhere. And uh that
way you'll get it as soon as it's out.
So, thank you guys so much for
attending. Um, and uh, yeah, thank you
so much. Uh, we look forward to seeing
you in the future webinars. Uh,
definitely go ahead and pick up your
book if you haven't already. And, uh,
yeah, we'll have this recording up as
soon as possible. So, thank you guys all
for attending. Uh, if you did enjoy,
please go ahead and leave a like down
below, subscribe if you're new to the
channel, and uh, if you're able to share
it on Twitter, share with friends. If
you find uh, this to be valuable, go
ahead and share this webinar uh, with
anybody you can. So, thanks so much
again for spending some of your Saturday
with me. Definitely appreciate it. And
I'll see you guys in future videos. Take
care.
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