This content introduces a straightforward, proven method for sports bettors to consistently profit by identifying and exploiting value odds, effectively "beating the bookmakers" by removing their inherent margin (juice/vig).
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you want to profit from betting don't you
you
today i'm going to teach you a simple
proven method
of how you're going to beat the
bookmakers regularly
this is not to get rich scheme but it'll
put you on the right track
if you like this video and want more
give us a thumbs up subscribe
subscribe
i'm tony from better analyst let's crack
on with it
so we've made this easy for you we've
done this in the slide format so you can
follow it
so sports betting you'll win using this
simple strategy
so first of all we just need to mention
why punters lose
one of the reasons is a lot of them are
compulsive gamblers chasing losses you
know they lose a little bit and then
they overthink it
this is what we don't want you to do
unless you really into the mass of
betting don't overthink it
no concept of value yes but we're going
to change that in this uh video
get easily egged on by others and what i
mean by that is is that you know they go
to forums and listen to people's tips
that don't know what they're talking
about etc or in betting shops where
they're all sort of in a big group or
all talking about who's gonna win this
is one thousand percent
so just don't get egged on
easily and the last one is a poor choice
of bookmakers you know if you're running
a bill you're not going to be running as
fast as if you're running downhill so
it's the same with bookmakers if you're
getting horrible prices then you're not
going to win
so the first thing we want to do is get
you understanding that betting notes yes
yes so
so
i'll what we're going to do in this one
is we're going to talk through about how
odds are made
how they relate to chance
how to remove the juice or vig as the
americans call it using the additive
method is this most simple method
this works for any sport
so you're well covered
we're going to use a pinnacle this is
the secret weapon to guide
and we have to shoot we've added a short
excel table for you which you'll see at
some stage
and last
the most important part is you're
eventually going to beat the vic find
value odds beat the jews so
so
the thing is here right we're gonna just
to make it easy for understanding we're
gonna have a team a and team b
to find the percent you're gonna take
the odds and divide it into 100 so you
can see
if you can do it on the calculator here
there you go and then you put them together
together
so the bookmaker's over round on that is 2.56
2.56
if you invert it
and you know money was met equally so if
somebody if if a thousand was taken on
team a and a thousand was taken on uh
team b
the old would be uh 50 from those you
know 2 000 bets yes which is 2.5
as you can see you inverted to get the
juice right so
inverted you just do the 100 again and
divide it by the actual total overarm
which is 102.56 okay
okay
so we think you understand that now if
you look on the right
we're going to remove the juice
and that's to convert the odds to
100 books so there's no bookmaker juice right
right
so you take the original
total the 102.56
and you divide it by the actual team's
odds which in this case is 51.28
as you can see the odds are two
and two the reason we did it like this
was just to make it uh very clear to you
that you know a flip of a coin is a 50
50 also two and two and with bookmakers
juice you would do 1.95 each you know we
said they've got their two knobs and
that would be a fair bookmaker's juice yes
yes
so as you can see
there's no
juice now we've removed it by offering
odds of two and two
all right you can also use this for
three-way betting so imagine that the
odds were two three point five and four
it's the same method
is one hundred divided by two is fifty
percent one divided by three point five
the next odds is twenty eight point five
seven percent one divided by 4 is 25
right so the total there is
103.57 percent
again if we want to invert it just to
show the bookmaker that will take out if
everything was bet evenly it's
four five percent yeah so they're the
most as you can see just popping up right
and now we're going to remove the juice
so these what you call true odds right
so you take the total which you can see
on the left is 103.57 percent and you
divide it by
by 50.
50.
right so the odds then become
is divided by 28.57 you're always
dividing it by the these odds you know
that one x2
equals odds of 3.63 and the 103 103.57
divided by 25 equals new odds of 4.14 so
you can see now
those nuance 2.07 3.63 and 4.14
are now without juice right they're what
you've got to be that's what the
bookmakers think the real odds are
before they reduce them to the odds on
the left to to you know
get their margin included right so now
that's 100 uh book and we have to beat that
that
all right so
so
here's an excel sheet and we're going to
give you a link to this that's the
important part right um
you can either copy it
or you know you can use it as a guide
but we just sort of you know what we're
showing there is you see team a team b
uh if the bookmakers often
1.971.97 which uh like the pinnacle do
right then the real book price is two
and two if it's 196.98
the real book price is 199 201 and so on
right and we've got on this excel sheet
that i'm going to give you the link to
later at the bottom
is um
you know we've got four examples you can
expand it you can do whatever you wish
to with the excel sheet to save some
idea okay so
so
now we're
going to use our most important tool
pinnacle odds right
right so
so
as you can see the odds are 2.07
3.74 3.55 this is what we agreed yes
yes before
before
and the total is
i was just
doing a quick mental uh
calculation so now we've got to remove
the juice
you are looking at the charts on the
right by the way where you see the pin
clouds are 207 3.74 3.45 yeah
so now we want to remove the juice so we
and we divide divided by that number you see
see
against the 207 which is 48.31
and the new odds are then 2.15
right which is 46.51
just for the record right the 26.74
that you can see at the the top right
the new odds become 3.89
3.89
and the 28.99
the new odds become 3.59
we have now removed the juice right so
the true odds from pinnacle standing are 2.15
2.15
if you look go back onto the right and
look at the chart this comparison of the bookmakers
bookmakers
that are offering at this stage
yes we have to beat these odds
of 2.15 you say
pinnacle offering 207 but the correct
odds are 2.15 if we take out their juice
and there you go you can see you can get
with bet asia 220 best sensation 220
b win 220 etc so we are beating the 2.15
by five pips that's the most important
part yeah
if you do that on a regular basis
you're going to win money
all right that's just the pinning whole
website um pinnacle.com if you need it
that's just like a still frame but uh
um that's where you're gonna get your
guide from um
right
the reason we're using pinnacle to guide
is the pinnacle are the sharpest lines now
now
no bookmaker is 100 accurate let's just
put it like that but
if we we've run tests on pinnacle we
find that about 99.4 accurate so you you
know you can beat them you've got to
time your bet and whatever etc but
that's not for you or for this topic
right now right pinnacle are the
sharpest lines take it from us right
right
nothing is 100 accurate like i just
mentioned to you but they are better
than other guides
however if you find a better guide you
know if you think one bookmaker excels
in one sport right you can do exactly
the same method you can take out the
juice so you know if they're offering
two and they've got a bigger margin and then
then
you take out the juice writing the odds
come to 2.15 that's what you've got to beat
beat right
right
so your job always is to beat the 100 line
line
yeah and the more juice you get the
better and by that what we're trying to
say is that
if you know the true odds are 2.15 and
you get like 214 you've beaten it by 25
pips well that's really interesting
obviously because
you you've got a you know 25 pips juice
right if it's just like 2.16 you might
not really want to place the bed because
you've only got one point you could you
don't have to it's your choice the more
juice the better and probably the bigger
the bed right
right
so considerations that we're gonna take
on board here
yeah this is a numbers game now if
somebody offers you five to one a throw
of a coin you still might lose
but you've got fantastic odds
this is the same with this betting the
more bets you place
you know the the better it's going to
work out for you in the long run right if
if
you're sort of getting a five percent
margin on each bet
then you're going to eventually
get it roughly that you know sort of
four to five percent of the profit at
the end of the day so you know if you're
placing like uh
beds a month
right then you know you can start
working back with two knobs into your bank
bank etc
etc
you can build upon it yeah so
so
you can grow your betting bank
now this is if you use a compounded interest
interest method
method
let's say you start with 1 000
right and then
you know you move
you you want that you have one thousand
and you're going to place
two and a half percent on each bed and
you have 400 bets a month right
right
at the end of that month if you're
getting that 200
you should have doubled your bank so
it'd be 2 000 for the next month right
and then you can start instead of placing
placing 25
25
unit beds you know 200 of
the thousands right you can start placing
placing
200 of 2000 so your units will be then
50. so you're using compounded interest
to get better value you know to sort of
build your status build your betting
bank right
that's also important
right this is
obviously just a stepping stone it's
just a quick guide how to make uh to
learn and make a
quick money but eventually you know
you're gonna have to do more you're
gonna have to develop yourself and start
looking for other methods
to incorporate this system but it's just
a simple way for somebody who's not
really delved into you know sports
modeling etc right
right
now one morning uh tread carefully with
betting accounts when they see that
you're always you know just jumping on
the value opportunity they might uh
start to close you especially when your
stakes start to get higher or you start
just to win quite a bit of money from
them so you know trip carefully don't
hit him with bots placing a thousand
bets a thousand bets a day or something
like that with a single account because
it will it will get close you'll get
recognized so spread your accounts a
little bit yeah
um you've got to source the best
accounts i think we already sort of
mentioned that twice upon it earlier
you've got to go shopping you've got to
have a look at the bookmakers that are
open to you and
yeah you've just got to try to squeeze
the most out of them so you know look
for high value bookmakers that you can
open betting accounts with the more
betting accounts you've got then the
more chance you've got
when i say use third party accounts now
we use these in asia you saw that one
company there earlier called bet in asia
and what that what they do for you is
they open you uh third-party accounts
you know which are all legitimate in
asia you're betting over them as opposed
to betting through
uh the system
and the other thing is of course if
you've got like a william account or a
bet 365 account and it gets closed you
might want to get your mage your mother
your brother
to open a betting account just make sure
that you know you sort of follow the
system so you keep screwing money out of them
them
at the end of the day yes
now the point is with api
you know using the api for delivery of
ads and the bots right
is that it will give you an advantage
but just one thing if you are using it
yeah don't use it to place your beds or
or not too many bets with the you know
certain bookmakers because those they'll
start to close in your account so you'll
see the bots
are on their side yeah but what you can
do is you can build yourself a bot for
identifying the arts taking odds in etc
um from uh companies that are often like
these arbitrage services value bed
services and
you know you can just line them up
against pinnacle arts and just see what
comes out yeah
right in conclusion
there's a stay to the end
congratulations you're through to boot
camp as they say right
right
i want you to stay safe stay sane be the
bookmakers that's the most important
part of the job yes thanks for watching
you've got our website details here
admin at bettinganalyst.com if you want
to get in touch don't forget to subscribe
subscribe
like the videos we'll do a lot more
educational videos to get you on the
right track if we think it's worth it and
and
if you want some one-to-one training
don't be afraid get in touch with us and yeah
yeah please
please
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