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Balaji Srinivasan: The COLLAPSE of the West – Why AI, Bitcoin & China Will Win | Peter McCormack - AI Summary, Mind Map & Transcript | Peter McCormack | YouTubeToText
YouTube Transcript: Balaji Srinivasan: The COLLAPSE of the West – Why AI, Bitcoin & China Will Win | Peter McCormack
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The world is undergoing a significant geopolitical and economic rebalancing, shifting power away from the West (particularly the US and UK) towards Asia, driven by technological advancements (AI, crypto) and China's manufacturing dominance. This transition is characterized by increasing polarization within Western nations and a decline in their global influence, necessitating a strategic re-evaluation of individual and collective futures.
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recent media that portrays like a rich
non-western country. But for the most
part, you don't see that kind of media.
And the reason is because it's
depressing to people in the west who are
seeing their living standards declining.
They don't want they want to see
escapism and they want to see superhero
movies like you know clocks watches used
to say like New York, London, Tokyo. You
know they were like they sold watches in
the ' 80s with those three. Now that
would be I I think in a few years if
this Mani for example wins in New York
it'll be Miami, Dubai, Singapore. Uh
even though the colors are reversed,
China disrupted red America and the
internet disrupted blue America. This is
only set to go further in the next 10
years because the internet is doing AI
and crypto which are going to take over
all media and all money. China is doing
robots and drones. So, they're going to
take over all manufacturing and all
military because China has already won
the war. Like, you can't fight a war
with China because they make all the
parts. America was the center of the
world in the early 2000s and China and
the internet are these sort of barbarian
powers kind of growing either side. So,
the fall of the USSR is the closest
parallel I think within our lifetimes to
what is going to happen 2024, 2025 plus.
I think you need to figure out where you
Baji. >> Hi,
>> Hi,
>> sir. Good to be here.
>> Yeah, good to see you. Um, okay. Are we
uh witnessing the end of Western civilization?
civilization? >> Um,
>> Um,
as we know it and uh here's why I say
that. There's actually a graph which you
can use to kind of anchor everything.
All right, I'm going to go right into a
reference. Right. Okay. So, this is the
uh Oops. Let me move this over a little
bit here. This is the
GDP geocenter graph.
graph.
If you look at this, this is one of a
few graphs I think of as like one of the
most important. And if you can see that
graph, okay, this is showing, can you
see that from over there? Yep.
>> Okay. So, that is showing that for
thousands of years, the global economy's
center of economic mass was essentially
in Eurasia. That doesn't mean it was
like literally in Central Asia. What it
means is that if you average roughly
China's economy, Japan, Southeast Asia,
India, Middle East, Europe, you get
something that's roughly in the middle
of Eurasia. And that's why Marco Polo
sought out China. That's why Columbus
sought out India. That's why the Mongols
and the Huns were at rough military
parody with uh Europe and actually won
wars against them. That's why the Arabs
were able to win uh you know and conquer
Andalusia and so on and so forth, right?
So there's rough military economic
parody across Eurasia and um then with
the advent of the industrial revolution
the west got far ahead and so the global
economy shot out as you can see in this
graph all the way to Europe and then
with all the new wonder weapons they all
beat each other's brains in you had
world war I world war II and when all
the dust settled and Japan had been
nuked and uh Russia was communist and
India was socialist and Eastern Europe
was smashed to bits And you know,
central Europe was blown up and even you
know the UK was bombed. When everybody
else was blown up basically you had 1950
which was peak westernization, peak
Americanization, peak centralization,
the minimum number of jurisdictional
entities that had ever existed before in
human history because everything had
coalesed into these geig states like 300
million of the Soviet Union, 300
million, you know, like a billion in
China, a billion in India, all this kind
of stuff had happened, right? All these
things had coalesed these giga states
that all beat each other up and uh then
for about 40 years that continued. Then
the you know the Soviet Union fell in
1991 and since then as the Soviet Union
fell, communism and centralization fell
in its classical sense and as countries
became capitalist again Eastern Europe
uh India are you know China as well
where they became pragmatically
capitalist even if they kept the label
communist and Southeast Asia Vietnam is
now effectively capitalist even they
call themselves communist. the world
economy rocketed back out to Asia much
faster than it had been there, right?
And so this took basically thousands of
years, right? This took hundreds of
years and this happened in tens of
years. Okay? What that means is that
every institution that was founded in
1950 or even you know post 1991 like the
UN, the World Bank, um basically the
so-called postwar order is obsolete
because the money isn't there. The power
isn't there. It isn't in the west
anymore. And I can show many more charts
like this, but this is the underlying
driver is this U curve. the world is
actually reverting back to what it
looked like before 1950 and so the
entire MAGA movement and also build back
better that all thinks of 1950 as the
way things are supposed to be right the
because that the post-war order it
basically says that's the year zero the
starting point for the current
establishment that's how things are
supposed to be that you know in America
you had a guy who didn't have a high
school education and he could support a
wife and a kid and and you know multiple
kids and a home and that's like how
things are supposed to be and that was
taken from us, right? That's like what
drives a lot of the sentiment in America
today, right? And I'm not saying that
that you know there couldn't have been
better management. There could have been
part of it is just internal you know
dumbness that that happened. for sure
there's there's something to but it's
also the fact that that guy who is smart
in Poland or in China or in India or in
Eastern Europe or whatever um was dying
in a gulag or getting nuked or you know
just suffering under communism or
socialism and now they can actually
compete in the global economy. So of
course you know that high school grad is
going to face competition right global
economic competition. And so because of
that if you put all that together the
relative share of the western pie was
like absolutely maximal 1950 to 1991 and
now it's declining. Okay so it's
declining in relative terms. Just
decline in relative terms though might
not be so bad because you know you can
for example let's say um IBM has
declined in relative terms versus
Microsoft has declined in relative terms
versus Google but it's not out of
business it still makes money it still
pays its people yeah it's losing some
talent but it's not dead yet right um so
decline in relative terms is not
necessarily the end of the world the
problem is there's also in my view going
to be a decline in absolute terms should
I should I say why
>> okay so
>> well firstly so what what you're saying
here is it's really just a rebalancing.
>> It's a rebalancing. That's right. And so
the issue is though that without the
long lens of history, right? There's
another graph for example that uh let me
pull that up here. So here's another graph.
graph. >> Okay.
>> Okay.
>> So that is 2,000 years of economic
history in one chart. Right? And that
shows that essentially India and China
were basically most of the world economy
back around the time. I mean the Roman
Empire was big but these these had
always been Geiga states, right? And to
support such huge populations, they
always had to have very complex
economies and so on. They may have had a
lower per capita income. That's argued
by various historians, but there was
something that was working there to
support such massive populations, right?
There was fairly advanced social
technology or what have you. They had
they had something going on, right? And
then with the the this axis over here,
by the way, it's not uniform because
that's like a thousand years, that's
like 500 years, this is like 10 years,
and so on and so forth, right? So the
the x-axis is not uniform. It's time
dilated. This just the points where uh
the you know GDP has been estimated but
essentially this is like peak
westernization when India and China are
basically nothing and now you can see
them coming back very very quickly.
Right? Asia coming back quickly and the
US, UK, France, Italy, Germany all
declining. And so this is kind of what
people think the natural state of the
world is but it's declining over here
and they're feeling that decline. Right? M
M
>> there's another version of this graph
that I'll show you which is um basically
the G7 nations have just been declining
in their GDP percentage of the world and
BRICS has been rising and by bricks it's
really China and India and to a lesser
extent Russia and to some extent Brazil
not really South Africa but basically
that's that the flipping has happened
right most of the world economy when you
and I were growing up it it was like
this it was like 45 to you know 15 or
something like that right but this has
been changing very rapidly and the thing
is whenever there's something that's
changing very very rapidly unless you're
constantly monitoring it your
understanding of that is out of date
right so unless you're constantly
sampling Asia unless you're constantly
sampling Dubai and Riad unless you're
constantly sampling these various
jurisdictions it's like a fastmoving
object right if a ball is just rolling
very slowly then you can look at it look
away look back and it's basically in the
same location but if it's being thrown
really fast. If you look at it and you
think it's here, but and then you you
look back, it's like o over there, it's
moving much faster, right? So, lots of
these economic trends are just moving
zip like this. And in the absence of
like Hollywood movies and western media
portraying the rise of uh the east, the
the one exception of that to that by the
way is maybe um this this thing called
Crazy Rich Asians. You know, Right.
That's like the one exception where it's
like recent media that portrays like a
rich non-western country, right? But for
the most part, you don't see that kind
of media. And the reason is because it's
depressing to people in the west who are
seeing their living standards declining.
They don't want they want to see
escapism and they want to see superhero
movies, right? They don't want to see
like how good Dubai is. They don't want
to see how much Southeast Asia has
improved. They're basically still in
denial about China. They're still
actually in denial even about I mean if
they're in denial about China, they're
denial about the the rise of India and
so on as well, right? They're basically
in denial about their stata status in
the world and that's at different stages
in different countries. Australia is
probably the least in denial. You know
why? Because they're in Asia, >> right?
>> right?
>> Right. And much of their economy is
digging things out of the ground and and
sending it to China. I actually think
you know in the 20th century the the
Chinese world was mostly destroyed by
you know what happened with communism in
in you know the uh in the on the main
Chinese mainland but there were pockets
of Chinese culture that survived Taiwan,
Hong Kong, Singapore and that showed
that Chinese people were actually not
barbarians and in fact those were that
was the light of civilization that
allowed the reboot of mainland China
because um Taiwan was like a threat to
mainland China. Hong Kong was how they
set up Shenzhen with Denghiaing and um
Singapore was like a part of the model
for mainland China, right? So in the
same way, I think the Anglo-American
world will continue in Australia and New Zealand.
Zealand. >> H
>> H
>> like I think it's melting down in the
UK, Canada, and America. But I think
Australia and New Zealand are sort of
airgapped enough and that they so for
example one of the things is in
Australia because they're digging things
out of the ground and sending them to
China they have less bluecollar um
dissatisfaction right there's good jobs
for bluecollar men which is not the case
in America where it got
de-industrialized and so and so forth.
So Australia has risen with China or the
Australian blue collar has risen with
China. The the equivalent of the red
Americans in in Australia, right? Red
collar if you want. Um whereas in
America it's declined with China, right?
So Australia and New Zealand have a they
also don't have the illusion that
they've got the world's most powerful
military or the reserve currency. They
weren't told all the time that they were
global number one forever and ever. So
they have a somewhat realistic picture
of things. And there's other things I
can show where they have maybe the best
debt to GDP ratio, better than the G7.
Um, they're also in an Asia time zone.
So that I think is underestimated
because it means that the controversies
of America that Canada is highly attuned
to and is dealing with in real time.
There's a 12-hour air gap. So Australia
is only waking up when that's kind of
lost some of its energy and they're more
attuned to the Asia time zone. I think
that shouldn't be underestimated in
terms of an air gap. Go ahead.
>> Yeah. No, no, it's interesting you say
that. Um, you know, when I was when I
was coming over, I spoke to Danny, my
old producer, and he's like, "Oh, you
might as well come to Australia. It's
not far." Like, so I hadn't I hadn't
really thought that through.
>> Yeah. Also, if you look at the
millionaire migration map, like um
here's another one.
>> I mean, we saw a horrific one this week
where the UK is now leading >> Yes.
>> Yes.
>> 16 and a half thousand millionaires.
>> Yes. And so basically the UK is losing
millionaires but Australia is still
gaining them,
>> right? So Australia, Singapore and the
UEE are punching way above their weight
in terms of millionaires. So the Anglo
world continues down under.
>> This has been updated. So we were behind
China. We were number two. The updated
chart is now we're ahead 16 and a half
thousand. We're losing a thousand a month.
month.
>> Yes, that's right. And that's
unfortunate. Um it means basically that
London is no longer the Have you heard
the acronym EMA?
>> Yeah. Yeah, of course. Yeah.
>> Yeah. So that's like a tech kind of
acronym for like Europe, Middle East,
you know, North Africa.
>> So the the center of finance in EMA
used to be London and now it's Dubai.
And the center in in Apac was arguably
either Tokyo or Hong Kong like you know
clocks watches used to say like New
York, London, Tokyo. You know they were
like they sold watches in the 80s with
those three. Do you remember that? Right.
Right.
>> Of course. So now that would be I I
think in a few years if this Mandani for
example wins in New York it'll be Miami,
Dubai, Singapore,
>> right? The capital is a capital will
move right so because you know if you
have full communism coming to New York
or whatever um capital of capital will
move to uh Miami also has other things
going for it where it's the capital of
Latin America as well. It's like the
Singapore of Latin America. And my view
is there's actually only three locations
in the world now which are um basically
same office, same time zone and around
the world.
>> So in a sense like Sweden is closer to
Cape Town than it is to um I don't know
Moscow because it's kind of the same
time zone or very close, right? Uh and
so even you know like the longitudinal
striping of the world is different than
the latitudinal striping which is how
countries used to be organized. Like it
used to be that we grew crops of a
certain kind at this latitude and that
was a way to organize society. But now
if you're organized by the internet
longitudinal time zones may be more
important because people are
synchronized on the same time zones and
so you have more countries that look
like Chile and are vertical as opposed
to horizontal. This is something there's
a guy Corey Doctoro. He's, you know, he
definitely doesn't agree with me on many
political things, but he had a a book a
long time ago called, I think, Eastern
Standard Tribe, which was about this
kind of thing, like vertical
organization rather than horizontal
based on the fact that same time
zonesing. Anyway, coming back. So, um,
the Anglo world, I think, continues down under,
under,
>> uh, which, you know, that sounds
apocalyptic or whatever, right?
>> But I mean, so here's another piece of
it. Um, okay. So, let's say there's
decline in relative terms, right? All
the numbers show this is a, you know, as
an investor, I'm about the exponential
and the individual.
>> This is why Ray Dario has moved all his
money east.
>> Yes, that's right. Um, and so the the
exponential is kind of like a trend
that's like a structural trend of
society. And then the individual can
sometimes reverse that trend. Okay. And
sometimes those guys go together.
Sometimes the individual starts
exponential, sometimes they reverse
exponential. So for example, here is uh
what Chinese FDI looked like going into
the US. It was this humongous thing that
was going to seemingly take over.
Okay? And then Trump took over and he
just crashed that.
>> Right? So once in a while this was this
was really growing exponentially like
this going into 2016 and then it just
fell off a cliff. Right? So that's a
good example of an individual turning
over an exponential. Another is Altman
starting the exponential for AI, right? Um
Um
so why do I say that? Well, I'm going to
give a bunch of trend lines and then you
can ask whether some great individual
could overturn that exponential and put
in a different direction, right? Because
that is possible still based on the
current trend lines. Here's what I would
extrapolate. Um, one of the things
that's happened is, uh, essentially
around 2010, China flipped US manufacturing.
manufacturing.
Okay. And this graph,
it's funny. I would have thought it had
been a long time before that.
>> No, it's it was it was it was very fat.
That's the thing is a lot of the present
the features of the present moment are
exponentials where they were it looked
like nothing for a long time and they
turned it on and they just crushed it,
right? And similarly, the internet
looked like nothing and then print media
was at 67 here. Let me see if I can zoom
in on this one. Essentially, US media
was at almost $70 billion in advertising
revenue and they just completely um fell
off a cliff
and the internet arose. Okay. And so the
uh so point being that China went and
disrupted uh even the colors are
reversed, China disrupted red America
and the internet disrupted blue America.
And both of those happened right around
the same time in 2010. Okay, that means
that we actually have not a two-party
conflict between red and blue, but a
four party conflict between China, red,
blue, and the internet. H okay. And it
was the loss of economic status
that led Blue America to go woke and
then push the tech lash wokeness because
when Blue America's resources were
getting constrained, they had a backlash
against internet which was all the
anti-tech stuff of the mid2010s and they
had a backlash against red which was
wokeness because they felt okay we're
under assault. We need to expand our
territory again. Right? And then with
Red America because they felt that
>> hold on is that so so we had a we lost
some journalist integrity to protect
revenue streams.
>> Of course in fact actually one way of
looking at that is if you look at the
so this
is a graph that actually shows New York
Times word usage frequency 1972.
>> Yeah I've seen this. Yeah. And then
exactly starting in 2013, they made an
editorial decision to start saying toxic
masculinity, male privilege, white
privilege, white this and that. Right?
This is not an organic thing that just
went vertical in that year.
>> They made an editorial decision to start
writing that narrative. Right? Why did
they do that? Because woke words get
traffic, right? And if you go and see
Basically, it was in the doldrums after
the financial crisis and then once they
started figuring out that wokeness
boosted their traffic, it started going
up like this, right? It's kind of sick.
Yes, it is. They basically destroyed
essentially trillions of dollars in the
social fabric to make a few billion in
ad revenue, right? Um but like so that's
like one piece of it, right?
And the other piece of it is that um
with with uh China being threatened by
the trade war over here or rather with
with the US with red America being
threatened by the trade war, red America
also felt under threat because
postfinancial crisis and then this so
and then they were being attacked by
wokeness. So they elected Trump and they
also did the trade war with China.
Right? So you can see um why does it
keep doing that? It's like I don't know
what's it. So you can see essentially
that blue America
was in conflict with internet and red
America and red America was in conflict
with blue America and China. You could
actually make a graphic of that, right?
Red America versus China is a trade war.
Red America versus blue America is
Trump. Blue America versus red America
is wokeness. Blue America versus the
internet is a tech lash with me so far.
Okay. The reason is that the internet is
going after blue America's strongholds
of media and money and China is going
after red America's strongholds of the
manufacturing and military. And this is
only set to go further in the next 10
years because the internet is doing AI
and crypto. So you're going to take over
all media and all money.
And China is doing robots and drones. So
you're going to take over all
Okay. So like and I can show graph after
graph, chart after chart, 50 charts on
on both of those. Okay. But so media
becomes AI, money becomes crypto. Of
course, Bitcoin is the core of that. But
I also mean every stock, every bond, all
of that goes on chain. Every contract,
Blue America has Delaware and it's
melting down. And so smart contracts can
be contract law on chain. That kind of
thing, right?
um and every video, every piece of text,
all this kind of stuff can rise. And
then China is doing manufacturing with
robots and it's doing the military with
drones. And there's this, you know, um
there's this backlash that's trying to
happen. One thing that's very public is
Trump with the tariffs, right? That's
not going to work. And the reason that's
not going to work is that assumes that
people need the US market. But if you
look, China is only um only about
like 15 16% of its revenue comes from
trading with North America.
>> Essentially in 2015, it was much more um
like you know nervous about that, right?
And uh so it was much more nervous about
the revenue streams in 2015 because the
trade war was a surprise and then it
intentionally diversified with Belt and
Road and so on to reduce its dependence
on America. So the tariffs assume that
China gets all its money from America.
But let's even assume that drops by 50%
which is a lot right? It's only 8%.
>> It's only 8%. So China's basically you
know you know the thing is the US is
harming also the US is not simply trying
to tariff. China is trying to tariff.
Vietnam is trying to tariff all these
countries and 45% tariffs don't bring
back the economy of 1945. It's like a
magical thinking type of thing. It's
it's essentially thinking Americans
don't have to sacrifice anything. We can
just push a button at the policy level
and therefore the rest of the world will
change. Um and it's also doing something
where all these neutral countries like
Vietnam, Malaysia and so on and so forth
were um in in a swing vote category and
now they are in China's camp because
what happened right after this is like
Vietnam got 49% tariffs, right? They
were being told for years they were on
America's side versus China. America was
going to and so suddenly they they got
all these bullets and it's basically
because um there's no I think long-term
strategic thinking. Red America thinks
that protectionism
is going to work in 2025 because they
think of the US as a market and they
also think that taxing their producers
is going to like the concept of putting
a 45% tariff or 49% or whatever it is to
encourage domestic US manufacturing is
roughly like me saying I'm going to
increase the price of your iPhone by
45%. Now you have an incentive to build Apple.
Apple.
>> Okay. It's just completely I mean in a
sense you do. Yeah. And now you have an
incentive to build apple, but it's
completely under like most of the time
these manufacturers just want some maple
syrup. They don't want the whole maple tree.
tree. >> Yeah.
>> Yeah.
>> And if you were actually serious about
what's called import substitution, what
you do is you'd analyze the whole supply
chain. You'd figure out what is being
imported from abroad. You figure out who
the local customers are. You would group
them together. And then you'd set up a
second supplier over here. And that
company needs to figure it out. By the
way, it doesn't just pop up overnight.
Like these are complicated parts.
There's a reason that that was hard to
do, right? So, um there are examples of
this. I wrote a thing on like if if you
had like a smart industrial policy. Um
see if I can find this. So, rational
industrial policy would basically take a
graph that looks like this. So, you've
got suppliers and you you're you're
actually mapping what the economy
actually is, right? And you might do
this with tax returns, for example. If
if you're actually if you're going to coersse,
coersse,
better than a tariff is just get the
information on what the economy actually
looks like. Okay? And then when you do
that, you can say, "Okay, this was like
a critical supplier that's upstream of
all of these other plants over there,
right?" And then you want to get a
US-based version of that supplier. Okay?
And you do that. There's something
called um I mean this is actually
there's a real issue where like
Tommahawk missiles from the US, for
example, the US military is made in
China. This graphic shows that. Do you
know that? No, it didn't.
>> Yeah, the US military is made in China.
It's all fake, unfortunately. Okay. So,
all these guys, their manufacturers
manufacturer is like a Chinese supplier
over here. So, China can just go like
this and they can cut off, they can
screw you. They can turn off the screws
and the nuts and the bolts, right? And
everything else in between. Everybody
thinks it's a high-end competition with
China, but they're crushing it at the
middle end and low end, right? Which are
the parts that you're not thinking
about, right? And so the middle and low
end is Go ahead. I'm just laughing at
it. It's hilarious.
>> Yeah, it's a it's it's basically the
whole thing is essentially the whole
posturing for war with China is
basically fake because China has already
won the war. Like you can't fight a war
with China because they make all the parts.
>> The humble bee, a keystone species
crucial to the survival of Earth's inhabitants.
inhabitants.
Here's how things would look if bees vanished.
vanished.
And here's how they'd look if humans vanished.
But imagine if instead we became a
keystone species by doing things the
right way, by taking responsibility for
our actions and becoming the solution.
Iron mines the world's most responsible
currency the right way
>> The problem with supply chain analysis
it's not great for media as well. It's
great to thump your fist and say we've
put a 49% tariff on this country and you
get media.
>> Yes. Exactly. But then but intelligent,
detailed, nuance supply chain analysis
will not be talked about.
>> That's right. Now, if you if you wanted
to be real about it, what you do is
Seitech was actually a consortium over
here that uh was something that did
build like a US domestic supplier.
That's when the Japanese were doing
well. And so um Americans went and got
together. It's basically like let's say
you've got 10 customers of an overseas
vendor. those 10 customers can get
together and effectively crowdfund a
domestic vendor if that makes sense
because their revenues are what are
making the overseas and then they get
that second one going and then they
switch over their purchases to it. That
is the mechanism for doing it. If you
were or and but you have to do that in
an organized way, right? Nothing good
ever happens by accident. Simply taxing
those 10 guys so they stop buying from
the foreigner is just it's magical
thinking like building is hard, right?
Banning is easy, taxing is easy,
building is hard. Okay. Is it capital
destruction as well? Massive. I mean the
thing is if when you actually look at
like an actual supply chain and how it
looks um like here's what an actual
supply chain looks like and I I say this
I have some experience with this, right?
um every supply chain that transits
across the US like let me see if I can
find you a visual of this. Um yeah okay
so this is this is a good example right
so you've got something where
um this was essentially ter it's like
it's like the internet right you have
this packet made from here and this
packet from here when you load your
website you're pulling Google Analytics
you're pulling this you're pulling that
you're pulling all this stuff and you
make a website and if you had some
bandwidth tax
where all those packets were slowed down
your entire website would load more
slowly and you might it might break your
whole revenue model or whatever
That's a rough analogy for people who've
been used to building internet
businesses. Point being that this over
here where this go the
the
so this auto supply chain thing over
here right um this is showing and I'll
This is showing what an actual supply
chain is. And if every single thing
there is taxed, right? It completely
destroys your margins because they're
not doing the math on how these like
it's self-defeating. It's it's more than
self-defeating. It's basically like you
couldn't come up with a more certain way
of completely destroying US
manufacturing capacity that remains.
Okay. And the reason is that it's like a
targeted drone strike. Zooming back out
and I'll come back to your original question.
question.
the trade war. These tariffs are not
going to work because they're not
actually reducing the barrier to
domestic American production, which
would have meant cutting regulations.
That's what it would have meant. That
would have cost nothing. That would not
have no allies would have gotten mad
about that. Instead, rather than working
on oneself, they tried to they thought
America was strong and it was the number
one market and everybody else needed
them and that other people would pay for
it or some silly kind of thing which was
forever reason they decided to go with
tariffs rather than regulations. They
they did not focus on building up their
own capacity. Okay, there's like some
anti-regulatory stuff but it's not as
much the focus as this insane trade war
has been. Okay. Um and so that is right
America's futile campaign versus China
which is just cranking out the robots,
cranking out the drones. Okay. On their
side, which has not been as much covered
is the journalists are getting
increasingly frantic about AI and
actually also Bitcoin and crypto. Okay.
The AI part is very front of mind for
them where um they are you know
obviously you know Gensler tried to stop
the Bitcoin ETFs and all that kind of
stuff. there was that whole backlash
which and we defeated him but
um meaning global crypto movement
defeated him but um
with AI less well known perhaps to many
people is that many uh uh many media
companies have unions now within the
companies that are trying to stop them
or have stopped them from using AI in
their production. Do you know this?
>> Yeah. And I've seen it also with Hollywood.
Hollywood.
>> Yeah, that's right. So they feel very
threatened by AI and they feel
threatened by crypto because AI goes
over takes away their control over media
and money. That's what blue America
feels threatened by just like red
America is threatened by China taking
away their control over uh manufacturing
and the military. But their reaction to
this is not to work on themselves. It's
not like red America unfortunately is
reducing the barrier to building robots.
They're doing some of that. It's not
zero. But they're not really taking into
account the concept that they need to be
competitive in a neutral third market
like Uruguay or uh or Saudi Arabia where
both the Chinese and American product
are on the shelf. The American product
has to win on uh cost and quality,
right? They're not thinking about that
as they're just playing defense on what
they already have. They're not thinking,
okay, how do we play to win? Right? This
is a weird turnaround because for
decades, every American that I worked
with, you know, we were thinking, okay,
how do we expand into Turkey? How do we
expand into Brazil? How do we expand it
to Japan? It was obvious that the
products we were making in America were
globally competitive. Suddenly, a lot of
Americans have flipped from thinking of
the world as their market to the world
as their competition. Hm.
>> Okay. This is this huge shift that I
only saw really by late 2024 really
jumped out where they just think that
they can't win a fair fight in the game
of global technoc capitalism. As a rough
analogy, you know, James Naymith
>> invented the game of basketball, right?
>> But it turns out the guys who invented
are necessarily the best at it.
African-Americans, Serbians, Eastern
Europeans are very, very good at
basketball, right? And in the same way
Americans invented the game of global
technic capitalism, they're the ones who
put McDonald's everywhere. They are the
ones who put the dollar everywhere. They
built free trade unions. They signed all
kinds of these, you know, free trade
agreements. Basically, they took the
mantle of the British Empire for like
global free trade. And they did all this
stuff globally. And now suddenly they
found actually the Chinese can compete,
the Indians can compete, the, you know,
Middle East, all these places, Southeast
Asia can compete. They can actually
compete really well. In fact, sometimes
they can win games, sometimes they can
win a lot of games. So they've decided
to try to tap out of that game of global
technoc capitalism that America itself
created, but
they can't because they might be able to
silo themselves off from the world, but
the game will continue just without America.
America.
>> Yeah. Because they're siloing themselves off.
off.
>> Exactly. So this is the same thing
that's happening with Blue America,
trying to silo themselves off from the
internet and from AI and from crypto.
Right. They can try to do that, but
media will continue outside them because
the productivity gain is so high. Right
now, I understand, by the way, why
there's this backlash here. I totally
get it. Right?
However, um these are structural forces
that are shrinking the pie for blue and
red America relative to the peak of
1950. And so, they're fighting each
other, but they're also fighting China
and the internet with me so far, right?
So, this is like sort of my macro model
of the world. And you can map thousands
of events to the to this kind of macro
model. It's not the only thing. There's
other things going on. There's stuff
going on on in Latin America. There's
stuff going on in the Middle East.
There's stuff going on in Japan and so
on and so forth. But this is this is one
of the primary I think like drivers of
the world economy. Basically, China and
the internet are the successors, right?
In roughly if we go back to Europe in in
the year 1900.
Um Europe was the center of the world,
right? Like civilization was in Europe.
It was England, it was France, it was
Germany. And there were these barbarians
on either side, America and Russia, that
were growing in population, but they
were considered sort of, you know, nuvo
ree or barbarian or whatever. They
weren't as cultured as, you know,
Europe, right? And then Europe beat each
other's brains in. And then when all the
dust settled by 1945, the American
capitalists and the Russian communists
literally split Europe down the center,
right? And you had West Germany and you
had East Germany. You had capitalism
versus communism, right? In much the
same way, what I anticipate 5, 10, 15
years out is that America was the center
of the world in the early 2000s and
China and the internet are these sort of
barbarian powers kind of growing either
on either side. And I think what's going
to happen is by 2035, 2040, maybe
sooner, maybe later, you have the
Democrats side with Chinese communists
and the Republicans become Bitcoin maximalists
maximalists
after MAGA maximalism, after orange man,
orange coin. But that is
>> that's quite extreme.
>> Is it?
>> Well, that's a that's a that's a
stronger polarization.
>> That's a stronger polarization. That's
right. But you can see, for example,
Gavin Newsome went and met with Chi in
in because Newsome no longer has DC. So
you need Chi, right? So he had this whole
whole
>> So he brought him to SF, cleaned up the streets.
streets.
>> That's right. But it was more than that,
right? So Nome
um Gavin Newsome went and visited China
and met with Chi. But it was more than
just visiting. It wasn't because Xi came
to to California only after Newsome went
to China. Other Democrats wanted to get
a meeting with Xi, but Gavin was able to
pull it off. And there's a whole series
of articles in Gininoa, Chinese state
media and so on, welcome more Newsomes
to come and and he said uh he's willing
to be China's long-term stable and
strong partner. >> Okay.
>> Okay.
>> Which is the opposite of what Trump is doing.
doing.
>> That's right. So basically um if you go
back to that four-party thing, red
America is getting its lunch eaten by
China. Blue America is getting its lunch
eaten by the internet. So the enemy of
red America is China. And blue America
at first tried to fight China because
they they were lukewarm. They they
weren't really that mad at China for a
long time. Then starting in 2020 to 2024,
2024,
China started contending for being the
most powerful state. So the Biden
administration really did try to stop
China, but now they've kind of conceded,
right? Democrats no longer Democrats
just want to be part of the strongest
state, right? Like that's a big
difference. Republicans care about the
nation. Democrats care about the state.
Republicans want to be part of like a
tight-knit group that grows from like
baseball and hot dogs to world
domination. But Democrats are
comfortable just being administrators of
some multithnic state. They just want a
promotion. They don't really care about
the the people. They care about the
government, right? they they identify
the government and you can argue with
that but I think there's some truth to
that right nation versus state in terms
of where their primary you know mode of
of affiliation is and so having been
them they join them right and so
democrats are now uh like for example
Tim Walls also said this you know
he said uh
this was his thing um the vice
presidential candidate China may be the
only moral authority to broker the Iran
Israel peace.
Okay, so these are not marginal figures,
right? That's walls, that's nuome,
right? Um and in general, if you look,
Democrats are more likely than
Republicans say US and China can
cooperate on key issues. And in fact, if
you go back in the past, you know, that
Democrats are like, you know, the
Atlantic has uh China was correct on
filtering internet speech, right? And um
>> it's kind of insane.
>> I know. I know. But I'm just saying I'm
showing you some of these references.
And then here's another one. This is in
the 80s like you know this is very
similar. Ted Kennedy's interaction with
the Soviets similar to Newsome and she
Ted Kennedy reached out to the Soviets
and said hey if you help me then beat
you know Reagan then I'll help you right
so in return the Soviet leader would
lend the Democratic party a hand. The
difference is now the communists, the
Chinese communists are the senior
partner in that relationship and the
American Democrats are the junior
partner. I think it's very likely. So,
for example, Newsome had this thing
where he was saying he would defy the tariffs.
tariffs.
Um, so California to defy Trump's
tariffs to allay global trade fears,
right? So Nome
has basically proposed doing a separate
deal with shei
and that's like a left populism because
if tariffs boost prices and he can get
cheap goods from China then he's
actually delivering from his standpoint
material benefit to his people of course
the cost is dependence on China right so
that is like one clear fragmentation axis
axis
can that lead to a a real split yeah
east and west America Yes. >> H
>> H
>> I mean like is it how geographical is
it? It's already there at the
ideological level. Yeah.
>> Yeah. So like if you look you know
>> I mean we see in the UK as well that the
left is going very communist. >> Yes.
>> Yes.
>> Attacks on free speech attacks on civil
liberties uh wealth redistribution.
>> Right. Now the thing is what's what's
upstream of that is the shrinking pie. >> Yeah.
>> Yeah.
>> Like if you know rising tide lifts all
boats a shrinking pie sinks all boats.
Right. Um, in a funny way though, like
the the closer you are to being
dependent on the US government, the
worse off you're going to be in what
comes. And the reason is this.
>> I mentioned like relative decline. So,
by this is just a graphic that shows,
you know, the US used to be highly
integrated in the year 1951 where
basically all the different, you know,
uh, Democrats and Republicans voted for
the same
>> bills basically. So each edge there,
each node is a Democrat or Republican,
blue or red. And an edge is if they
voted the same way on the same bill.
>> Here it shows them uh no longer they
Democrats only vote with their
Democrats. Republicans only vote with
their Republicans, right? >> Yeah.
>> Yeah.
>> And uh so I can show other graphs that
show basically total polarization, right?
right?
>> And I'm sure it's exactly the same in
the UK right now.
>> Actually, I don't know. I haven't seen
the UK graphs.
>> Well, it feels it the
>> it's probably right.
>> We always feel about one election away
from the US.
>> Fine. So then this is something which
shows for example on Twitter in 2017
blue and red were split apart like this.
Okay. So it's a totally different data
set showing that Democrats and
Republicans aren't friends. But now 8
years later it's even further because
there's been blue secession. Blues have
secceeded to blue sky and mastadon and
threads and Tik Tok and reds are on X
and Truth and and Gab. Okay? So they're
not talking to each other anymore. And
even further, Democrats no longer marry
Republicans. only 4% of marriages
between are between Democrats and
Republicans. Okay.
>> So that is Sunni vers Shiite that's like
a tribal kind of thing. That means that
these are no longer like it's not one
nation. one nation in terms sense of one
intermaring you know network which may
have some differences but they're
ultimate this is these are two tribes at
a minimum right it's not one country
it's two parties and when people say you
know you're against democracy democrats
identify democracy as voting for
democrats and when Republicans say
you're against America Republicans
identify America as red America so
Democrats are always confused when they
have a Democratic vote and 50% is going
to Republicans Republicans are also
confused when they define America as
their version of America and then 50% of
blue Americans have a complete different
vision of what America is, right? You
can't it's like being, you know, can you
be loyal to Korea? No, you have to be
loyal to North Korea or South Korea. Can
you know but what does it mean to be
loyal to America? There's blue America
and red America. They have completely
different visions of what America is,
right? Like airgapped value systems, you
know, different value systems, like
fundamentally different. They're pulling
apart further and further.
So that's like a spiritual moral digital
secession where they've already kind of
broken away. So you ask, can that lead
to a split? I think yes, things happen
in the cloud first and they're printed
out in the land like you do a Google
doc. Go ahead.
>> Yeah. So is is this downstream from the
debt problems or are the debt problems
downstream from this?
>> Uh good question. Right. So the thing
that is keeping it together right now,
Democrats and Republicans, they don't
vote for each other. They don't talk to
each other as we see. They don't even
marry each other. The one thing they do
do is they trade with each other, right?
>> And so essentially because the US has
had the reserve currency, it has been
able to paper this over by just printing
money and allowing people to have some
artificial prosperity there. Right now
let's talk about the debt. Essentially
one way of thinking about the last x
number of years is the US started as
this giant exporter. For example,
there's this amazing visual of like US
that shows
um after all the Philippines are only
the stepping stone to China.
Okay. And it shows Uncle Sam laden with
all these goods and a stereotypical
Chinese person is portrayed there and
they're just portrayed as a market that
wants bridges and trains and so on and
so forth. So the US started back then
the US was a good exporter and China was
an importer okay 100 something years
ago. So what happened was the US started
as an exporter then all countries
started to use the dollar because they
could buy goods from the US. Then by
degrees the US went from a manufacturing
power to just a pure financial power.
and uh and now it's a purely financial
power without the manufacturing because
it outsourced the manufacturing and so
on but it's also actually outsourced
even the financial part now to Bitcoin
and crypto and it's outsourced the media
part there so every piece of the
American empire has gone to either China
or the internet right and one way of
thinking about what the American
empire's business model was dollar
inflation is global taxation so once
America think of America as like a
factory worker Uncle Sam that worked his
way up to become CEO of the
And as co of the world, they control the
global economic system. For example,
it's the UN headquarters in New York.
It's the fact that even like Chinese
companies will go public in the US. It's
the fact that all these heads of state
are trained at the Kenny School of
Government at Harvard. It's the fact
that US regulators harmonize regulations
globally and there's a McDonald's
everywhere and Hollywood everywhere.
Right? The US was the center of the
largest empire ever in human history.
And the way it monetized that is dollar
inflation is global taxation. Those five
words explain a lot because a lot of
libertarians and conservatives in
America think that they're paying the
rest of the world. It's actually the
reverse. The world is being taxed to pay
for American profleacy. There's no way.
Like the thing is, if you think about
it, net it out, somebody in Vietnam is
grinding away to send these shoes over,
right? These Nikes. What do they get in
return? They get database entries. Does
it get printed dollars? Right? So the US
is producing nothing in return for those
shoes. What's it producing? It's
producing database entries. At a deeper
level, why can it do that? Because it is
the hub. It's the center of the global
system. And when it was working, the
American military, the right guarded all
the sea lanes and protected all the
trade routes and kept the peace
physically. And actually the American
left with the State Department signed
deals with 190 plus countries and did
all the diplomacy. And that's really
underestimated by the way. If you ever
done a deal
with 100 people, let alone 100 funds,
right? Imagine what that is for 100
countries, right? The American diplomats
were by far the best ever in history,
just like the American military was the
best in history. So when it was working,
when left and right worked together,
they had all the diplomacy and all the
military, all the money, all the media,
they had everything working. So every
country, even Russian and Chinese, you
know, people sent their elites to train
in America and so on and so forth,
right? This is the era that you and I
grew up. It's total total dominance.
So the thing is that the way that that
dominance was was monetized and was
dollar inflation is global taxation. And
what that meant is some some people
would hold dollars literally in bank
accounts or their multinationals hold
it. But lots of people around the world
were de facto taxed because their
countries would hold treasuries and the
US issued those treasuries or those
countries would be harmonized to US
regulations or their countries would
have multinationals operate there which
were getting dollar flows back.
Basically that business model it also
meant the US could freeze things. It
could sanction things. Anybody who's a
competitor like Russia or China or or
Iran could have sanctions and tariffs
imposed on them. the control of the
center like root power over the global
economy was this enormous enormous
enormous thing right global empire was
like you know today you have republicans
like Buchanan you know actually not
today he's been around for 20 30 years
but he says stuff like a republic
non-mpire right because he thinks that
empire was net worse for Americans right
and then you have the left which says um
this also against empire and they're
like oh America's going with all these
countries killing people, right? So,
both the the left and the right, the far
left, far right, if you will, are
against empire because these guys think
it's bad for Americans. These guys think
it was bad for the world. But I will
argue that at least for a period, it was
good for the world and good for
Americans because Americans kept the
world order. So, it was good for the
world on balance. I'm not talking about
all the blowing up and so on so forth.
And it was good for Americans because
they got a huge cut for stuff they
hadn't worked for via because dollar
inflation is global taxation. And that's
why there was this incredibly high
standard of living. Right now, what is
happening is Democrats and Republicans
are both sawing off the branch on which
they're sitting. Right? Democrats, for
example, doing the Russia sanctions, uh,
which you can argue whether they were
merited or not. But doing that
essentially catalyzed dalization in the
rest of the world. I can show graph
after graph on that, right? You've seen that.
that.
>> You've seen that, right? and Republicans
doing the tariffs and also cutting off
talent and cutting off tourist visas and
cut cutting off worker visas.
Republicans have the conception that
there's like adamantium under the Appalachians
Appalachians
like they think that the advantage of
America somehow inheres in like physical
America, right? That that it's like the
rolling hills of Appalachia and you know
the but they're wrong about that. that
there's no way the US could support its
current standard of living if it was
marked to market like if it was not able
to trade database entries for physical
goods right if it lost control over the
global reserve currency living would
drop 50 90 99% because dollar inflation
is global taxation you just cut off all
this revenue stream one way of thinking
so they're basically destroying their
business model
>> so So, is there an an an inevitability
to this?
>> Yes, I think so. Essentially, let me
just show you this. This is this article
from NPR that says how to spend 1.25
trillion in 2010. Okay? And they
actually admit this is like buying
mortgage back securities. It says, you
know, the the Fed came very close to
target. They were just 61. They bought 1
trillion249 billion 999,999
worth because the Fed has unique power.
It creates money out thin air when Suzu
the merchant decided to buy a bond. They
push button on the computer and all
money is created. Just emphasize this a
trillion dollars. Imagine if you made
iPhones for and you sold them for a
thousand bucks to a billion Chinese
people. That's what a trillion dollars is.
is.
>> A trillion dollars.
>> It's a lot of money.
>> That's a lot of money. But that's just
trillion dollars in revenue.
>> A trillion dollars in profit. Maybe
you're making 99 bucks. A,000 It's hard
to sell something for $1,000 to a
billion people. $1,000 is a lot of
money, right? $1,000 to a billion people
is a trillion dollars. That's an
incalculable like insane. And they just
pushed a button to get this. Okay. Now,
>> and they've done it many times.
>> They've done it many times. Okay. And
the reason is that that trillion dollar
print is spread over let's say 8 billion
people worldwide
as opposed to being spread over 330
million Americans.
So when you go from 8 billion to 300
million, that's a drop of more than 95%.
H okay. So you've been spreading this
print over billions and billions and
billions of people taxing the world,
right? That's what America's been doing
to pay for American living standards.
And by cutting off all the reasons that
those people would hold dollars, by
cutting off trade flows, right? By
cutting off talent flows, they want to
cut off remittances next year by taxing
remittances, right? Like they are going
to reduce their tax base by more than 95%.
95%.
What am I looking at? 300 million
Americans roughly. I get it. Over six
billion people is 5%. Right? I'm not
saying everybody in the world
contributes equally or whatever. You
know, even if even only reduce it by 80%
or 70%, even 50%, it' be a huge drop in
living standards. Right? So once we
really understand dollar inflation is
global taxation,
the last two US administrations are
intently destroying that business model.
And now think about this. Why? Why are
they intentionally?
>> They're intently, but I'm not saying
they're they're not. When I say
intently, I mean they're going about it
with a lot of energy.
>> Is this the political cycle being out of
sync with the economic cycle?
>> They when I say they're in So I should I
should clarify. Are they intentionally
doing it? They are doing it
intentionally in the sense that they
think it's going to inher to their
benefit, but it's going to inherit to
their extreme loss. Essentially, what
happened was American Empire was
camouflaged. even talking about it is
something that's not a typical thing to do.
do.
>> We, you know, all these people are like,
it's not an empire. We just, everybody
opted into it. I'm like, you don't
become the greatest empire of all time.
Like, you don't become global number one
in everything and have 750 military
bases worldwide and have the UN in New
York and the global reserve currency and
and 500 other things like that by
accident. Right? In fact, there's a book
by Steven Worerheim called Tomorrow the
World, which outlines exactly when
America made the play for empire, and it
was 1940, not 1945. You know why?
Because up until that point, they'd been
happy to allow the British to do the
expensive and tough job of empiring. But
after the fall of France and Britain
being on the ropes, the Americans
realized, wait a second, if we don't
become an empire, the Nazis will, and
they'll cut off our trade from Europe,
right? And then later, the Soviets will.
So they're like actually we have to
become an empire and we have to do it
better than the other guys did. So it
was at that point and there's a bunch of
memos that show that it was at that
point that America made the decision to
go from republic to empire
>> but now the empire is collapsing.
>> Now the empire is collapsing but it
lasted 85 years right it was basically
the greatest empire of all time. We have
to give it some props right that's the
thing is people think that you know you
need to have a like a simplistic view.
It was always better. I think on balance
west Germany was better off than East
Germany. I think South Korea is better
off than North Korea. I think that um
Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore were better
off than mainland China. I think in in
on balance and certainly, you know, it's
better off than Nazism and so on. So on
balance, the centrism of democratic
capitalism was better than the far right
or the far left. It was better than
Nazism and communism. We should praise
that empire because it did a lot of good
things from let's say 1940 to 1991. I
would prefer that over the alternatives.
But then after 191 after there were no
after the Soviet Union fell, Democrats
and Republicans had nothing to do but to
fight each other. Then also 1991 the
internet actually you had legalized
commercial traffic on the internet.
Before that the internet was not really
had had didn't have legal traffic. Do
you know that NSF acceptable use policy
it restricted traffic on the internet to
just academic and military use because
they said if you have commercial traffic
on the internet it's going to be all
spam and malware and porn. They're of
course right. They were right. Yeah. But
but you also got Google and you also got
amazing tech companies and you got
Bitcoin, you got all this other stuff.
So I think on net it was good. At the
same time after 1991, China really
veered from communism towards really I
mean you can say it started in 1978 but
it kicked into high gear after 1991. So
Democrats and Republicans started
fighting each other after 1991. That's
when polarization really got going. you
know, Gingrich and whatnot in in the
90s, Bill Clinton versus Gingrich and
then China and the internet started
really growing, right? And that brings
us to the present day.
>> Did did the did the fairness doctrine
the fairness doctrine play a part as well?
well?
>> That's right. So all of this has been
going on for a long time where basically
mass media, mass production,
centralizing technology all ramped going
into 1950. And then with the invention
of the transistor, you start to get
decentralization. So you have, you know,
as you mentioned, cable media and the
fairness doctrine and so on and so
forth. You have the personal computer,
you have um the internet, you have the
smartphone, you have cryptocurrency. So
1950 was the most centralized period
ever in human history that I know of,
right? Um and I think probably ever not
the Roman Empire, not the, you know,
nothing was ever as globally centralized
as that was. Basically, you had
technologies favoring massive choke
points on on power, right? And so we in
a sense the whole fairness doctrine
we're reverting back to what the world
was like in the 1800s and the 1700s and
so on with lots of different centers
like a genuinely multifarious world.
Right? The transition back though is uh
is going to be messy because um what are
Americans still thinking? They're
thinking it's going to be a golden age.
They're thinking you can build back
better. They're thinking you can make
America great again. Nobody is preparing
them. that they sort of know that
there's a decline, but nobody is telling
them, showing them these graphs. Who
would who'd accept it, right? That's a
problem. No one wants to accept a story
where they lose, you know?
>> You have if you thought through how what
the collapse looks like over what time period.
period.
>> Yeah. So, so let me explain something
else, which is that all of this is me
trying to be as neutral as possible,
seeing the world as it is, not as how I
wish it to be. Because there's all all
four possibilities are there. Good
things are happening and I'm happy
they're happening, right? Bad things are
happening and I'm unhappy they're
happening. All all these things like
like something is happening, it's good
or bad. So whether it's happening or not
is independent whether it's good or bad.
>> But you it's investor mindset, right?
>> It's the investor mindset. It's the
realist mindset, right? It's it's
because investing is just one piece of
the predicting the future. That's
allocation and that is one piece of it.
But you also need location. You need
organization. It's really preparation,
right? Yeah. Um, location is like where
do you want to be on the f like 2008 you
could just trade it, right? Because you
could just it was like a financial
thing, right? 2024 2025 plus I think you
need to figure out where you want to be
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your family.
>> Yes. Yeah.
>> And that's
like I say, I only groed this over the
last year or two that actually a lot of
my investments decisions are about my
children and what I want to invest in
them and where I want them to be. What
world do they need to be in and be
prepared for?
>> Yeah, that's right. So, so I think of it
as self tribe world. Yes.
>> Right. So, you have to take care of
yourself because if you're not alive, if
your health isn't taken care of, you
can't do anything. So that's just like
just you have to do that right tribe is
then your circle of concern that's your
family your friends your company your
community it can actually be quite large
right it can be bitcoiners whatever
whatever and then world is everybody
else right I think if you have self
tribe world you can you could obviously
have more gradation there you can have different buckets but that's a useful
different buckets but that's a useful way of thinking about it right and the
way of thinking about it right and the sovereign individual thesis is fine but
sovereign individual thesis is fine but really I believe in the sovereign
really I believe in the sovereign collective
collective >> right And after cryptocurrency comes
>> right And after cryptocurrency comes crypto community. So allocation is
crypto community. So allocation is cryptocurrency. That's like what you're
cryptocurrency. That's like what you're choosing, you know, for financial. But
choosing, you know, for financial. But community and identity is like what do
community and identity is like what do you identify as, right? Like after the
you identify as, right? Like after the Soviet Union fell, you couldn't identify
Soviet Union fell, you couldn't identify as a Soviet. You have to figure out am I
as a Soviet. You have to figure out am I a Russian and am I a Russian national or
a Russian and am I a Russian national or for example, am I a mathematician? I
for example, am I a mathematician? I don't really care whether I'm a Russian.
don't really care whether I'm a Russian. I'll migrate to America like Sergey
I'll migrate to America like Sergey Brin's parents or Vitalik's parents.
Brin's parents or Vitalik's parents. They they came out to the west to
They they came out to the west to Canada, right? or they became other
Canada, right? or they became other people became Estonian nationalists or
people became Estonian nationalists or people you know in Poland they became
people you know in Poland they became Catholics there all these different ways
Catholics there all these different ways of breaking away if I'm not Soviet what
of breaking away if I'm not Soviet what am I am I a mathematician am I a Russian
am I am I a mathematician am I a Russian am I an Estonian am I a Catholic what so
am I an Estonian am I a Catholic what so there's a there's a fragmentation and
there's a there's a fragmentation and decentralization of identity right the
decentralization of identity right the way I think that's going to work in
way I think that's going to work in America is you know like that the Civil
America is you know like that the Civil War movie like what kind of American are
War movie like what kind of American are you are you a red American blue American
you are you a red American blue American tech American Catholic American this
tech American Catholic American this that and the other'll be a giant
that and the other'll be a giant fragmentation to lots of different
fragmentation to lots of different hyphenated identities Okay. E unlurbus.
hyphenated identities Okay. E unlurbus. >> That was the the best and most unique
>> That was the the best and most unique moment of that film.
moment of that film. >> Yeah, that was the that was you take a
>> Yeah, that was the that was you take a step back and you go,
step back and you go, >> "Oh shit."
>> "Oh shit." >> Yeah, that's right. So, I think that uh
>> Yeah, that's right. So, I think that uh I I think that movie was otherwise
I I think that movie was otherwise forgettable.
forgettable. >> Yeah, it wasn't great. But that moment
>> Yeah, it wasn't great. But that moment was brilliant.
was brilliant. >> That's right. What kind of American are
>> That's right. What kind of American are you was you know the saying like e
you was you know the saying like e plurbusum like out of many one, right?
plurbusum like out of many one, right? That's an American saying. So, it's not
That's an American saying. So, it's not the correct Latin but eum plurbus out of
the correct Latin but eum plurbus out of one many. Right? You have the re
one many. Right? You have the re rehyenation because the thing is just to
rehyenation because the thing is just to be philosophical about this. You know,
be philosophical about this. You know, in China there's a famous book um I
in China there's a famous book um I think it's Romance of the Three Kingdoms
think it's Romance of the Three Kingdoms uh that there's a later addition to
uh that there's a later addition to this. It's it's like uh it's like one of
this. It's it's like uh it's like one of the great epics kind of like the Iliad
the great epics kind of like the Iliad or the Odyssey but for China, right?
or the Odyssey but for China, right? >> And there was an addition that was made
>> And there was an addition that was made to it that said the empire long united
to it that said the empire long united must divide, long divided must unite.
must divide, long divided must unite. That's just the cycle of history, right?
That's just the cycle of history, right? >> Okay. And an interesting thing where
>> Okay. And an interesting thing where I've been more philosophical about it is
I've been more philosophical about it is I realized this is obvious but also
I realized this is obvious but also nonobvious.
nonobvious. What's the first word in USA? United,
What's the first word in USA? United, right? What about the EU?
right? What about the EU? Union, right? How about the UAE? United
Union, right? How about the UAE? United Arab Emirates, right?
Arab Emirates, right? >> The United Kingdom. That's right. What
>> The United Kingdom. That's right. What is the formal name of India? It's
is the formal name of India? It's actually the Indian Union.
actually the Indian Union. >> Okay. The Russia is actually called the
>> Okay. The Russia is actually called the Russian Federation, right? And when you
Russian Federation, right? And when you when you look at this and you realize
when you look at this and you realize this, you're like, "Oh, actually all
this, you're like, "Oh, actually all these places, even Italy for example,
these places, even Italy for example, Gabaldi actually unified it, right?
Gabaldi actually unified it, right? Germany, Bismar, unified it. France, the
Germany, Bismar, unified it. France, the revolution unified it, right? Forming
revolution unified it, right? Forming these Union states was actually very
these Union states was actually very non-trivial. So non-trivial that that's
non-trivial. So non-trivial that that's why they put it in the name. so
why they put it in the name. so non-trivial that that's actually why the
non-trivial that that's actually why the left seeks to essentially homogenize
left seeks to essentially homogenize because that's how you get a large scale
because that's how you get a large scale group of people that can trade with each
group of people that can trade with each other, marry with each other and fight
other, marry with each other and fight together, right? Like the right doesn't
together, right? Like the right doesn't really neither the left nor the right
really neither the left nor the right really understand the left. People think
really understand the left. People think the left the left thinks the left is
the left the left thinks the left is about sharing and caring. The right
about sharing and caring. The right thinks the left is naive and you know
thinks the left is naive and you know ahistorical and and globalist or
ahistorical and and globalist or whatever, right? But really what the
whatever, right? But really what the left is about at the emergent level is
left is about at the emergent level is building scale,
building scale, right? Because you just get these
right? Because you just get these gigantic scale entities that you
gigantic scale entities that you homogenize across them and then you
homogenize across them and then you build a meta organism and you can fight
build a meta organism and you can fight with it or you can trade with it or what
with it or you can trade with it or what have you, right? So it tries to level
have you, right? So it tries to level out all these differences. Everybody's
out all these differences. Everybody's equal. I mean one way of looking at that
equal. I mean one way of looking at that is um and do I think it's working now?
is um and do I think it's working now? No, I don't think it's working, but it's
No, I don't think it's working, but it's worked previously in history. Like
worked previously in history. Like people all identify if you generalize
people all identify if you generalize the concept of left, they all identify
the concept of left, they all identify as Christians or Muslims or Italians or
as Christians or Muslims or Italians or French or British as opposed to Scots,
French or British as opposed to Scots, England, Wales, you know, Welsh and and
England, Wales, you know, Welsh and and Irish and so on and so forth. So
Irish and so on and so forth. So unification across ethnicities and
unification across ethnicities and building empire is in part of lefting.
building empire is in part of lefting. Even Genghaskhan had like a religion
Even Genghaskhan had like a religion that he used to kind of unify his his
that he used to kind of unify his his empire, right? So in a sense the left is
empire, right? So in a sense the left is unifying at the level of software and
unifying at the level of software and the right is unifying at the level of
the right is unifying at the level of hardware because the right says it's our
hardware because the right says it's our genetics it's our culture it's our
genetics it's our culture it's our language but reproduction is much slower
language but reproduction is much slower than conversion
than conversion right this is like Athens versus
right this is like Athens versus Jerusalem like it's a tension within
Jerusalem like it's a tension within western culture like is it genetics
western culture like is it genetics nation land soil blood etc or is it
nation land soil blood etc or is it religion law you know in a sense
religion law you know in a sense software versus hardware right like this
software versus hardware right like this the cloud versus land that's like a long
the cloud versus land that's like a long tension within humanity Okay. And I'm
tension within humanity Okay. And I'm I'm more on the cloud side of things. I
I'm more on the cloud side of things. I can understand the land side. A lot of
can understand the land side. A lot of cloud people can't even understand the
cloud people can't even understand the land and vice versa. I think it's
land and vice versa. I think it's worthwhile to speak both languages,
worthwhile to speak both languages, right? Um
right? Um but anyway, coming back, the issue is
but anyway, coming back, the issue is once you kind of see all these graphs
once you kind of see all these graphs and you realize dollar inflation is
and you realize dollar inflation is global taxation,
global taxation, you realize that the US cannot tolerate
you realize that the US cannot tolerate a decline from number one to number two
a decline from number one to number two because a decline from number one to
because a decline from number one to number two is a decline from number one
number two is a decline from number one to number 50 or number 100. Because if
to number 50 or number 100. Because if it loses that reserve currency then it
it loses that reserve currency then it loses its living standards. It's not
loses its living standards. It's not like it's going from like again IBM
like it's going from like again IBM >> the debt becomes realized.
>> the debt becomes realized. >> Yeah. Exactly. So so the debt becomes
>> Yeah. Exactly. So so the debt becomes something that you have to pay in
something that you have to pay in something other than something you can
something other than something you can print,
print, right? Like it actually gets marked to
right? Like it actually gets marked to market in a different way. And what is a
market in a different way. And what is a debt owed to? People like, "Oh, it
debt owed to? People like, "Oh, it doesn't matter because it owes it's owed
doesn't matter because it owes it's owed to ourselves or whatever." They'll say
to ourselves or whatever." They'll say something like that or they'll say, you
something like that or they'll say, you know, we can
know, we can What what happens is they owe for
What what happens is they owe for example uh healthare to all kinds of
example uh healthare to all kinds of seniors right they
seniors right they >> but this is your unfunded liabilities
>> but this is your unfunded liabilities 175 trillion
175 trillion >> yeah exactly that's right so when you
>> yeah exactly that's right so when you actually look at the numbers I had this
actually look at the numbers I had this whole post on this which goes through
whole post on this which goes through all the numbers of exactly how in hawk
all the numbers of exactly how in hawk the US is basically the true number from
the US is basically the true number from the 2024 financial statement of the US
the 2024 financial statement of the US government is $175 trillion including
government is $175 trillion including Medicare Medicaid social security and so
Medicare Medicaid social security and so on I can put that on screen
on I can put that on screen >> so in the UK kind of remind me we're 3.2
>> so in the UK kind of remind me we're 3.2 two trillion in debt but it's 12
two trillion in debt but it's 12 trillion in unfunded liabilities right
trillion in unfunded liabilities right remember we yeah I think I think I think
remember we yeah I think I think I think that's correct in the UK but people only
that's correct in the UK but people only talk about the 3 trillion the 100% debt
talk about the 3 trillion the 100% debt to GDP they don't talk about the
to GDP they don't talk about the unfunded liabilities
unfunded liabilities >> so an interesting thing is to take your
>> so an interesting thing is to take your tax revenue and divide it by your
tax revenue and divide it by your unfunded liabilities number right and so
unfunded liabilities number right and so the US is I think depending on you count
the US is I think depending on you count state and local it's on the order of
state and local it's on the order of like two to four trill right if you
like two to four trill right if you include state local federal um but the
include state local federal um but the total un you know debt as of a year and
total un you know debt as of a year and a half ago and it's probably increased
a half ago and it's probably increased since then is like 100x that right and
since then is like 100x that right and the issue is that what is that debt Odin
the issue is that what is that debt Odin it's not just monopoly money it's
it's not just monopoly money it's commitments right it's like commitments
commitments right it's like commitments to seniors that they're going to pay for
to seniors that they're going to pay for their healthcare right at some point
their healthcare right at some point somebody actually has to provide real
somebody actually has to provide real wheelchairs and dialysis or whatever
wheelchairs and dialysis or whatever right it's commitment to military
right it's commitment to military partners somebody has to provide real
partners somebody has to provide real guns and and so that cannot be printed
guns and and so that cannot be printed right you can't print healthcare you
right you can't print healthcare you can't print military bills you can't
can't print military bills you can't print food right um when it's on SNAP,
print food right um when it's on SNAP, you know, like nutrition things. So,
you know, like nutrition things. So, there's all kinds of people that the US
there's all kinds of people that the US government has made commitments to, both
government has made commitments to, both domestic and foreign, and it will not be
domestic and foreign, and it will not be able to keep all those commitments.
able to keep all those commitments. >> So, does it have two choices of
>> So, does it have two choices of sovereign debt crisis or hyperinflation?
sovereign debt crisis or hyperinflation? >> Those are really the same thing, right?
>> Those are really the same thing, right? But by the way, the you know, so this is
But by the way, the you know, so this is some this is a point that I made.
some this is a point that I made. >> I mean, just wipe the debt or I mean
>> I mean, just wipe the debt or I mean wiping the debt would destroy the value
wiping the debt would destroy the value of the currency.
of the currency. >> Well, okay. So, let's think that
>> Well, okay. So, let's think that through. But let me show you one thing.
through. But let me show you one thing. Let's talk about that. Right? So, this
Let's talk about that. Right? So, this is something a point I made. Super
is something a point I made. Super Bitcoinization is already here.
Bitcoinization is already here. Essentially, hyperinflation is defined
Essentially, hyperinflation is defined as 50% devaluation of a currency per
as 50% devaluation of a currency per month. Obviously, we aren't there. Okay,
month. Obviously, we aren't there. Okay, normal inflation is 2% per year. Now, it
normal inflation is 2% per year. Now, it really should be 0%, but the New Zealand
really should be 0%, but the New Zealand standard is 2%. Fine, that works out to
standard is 2%. Fine, that works out to 2% roughly per month. Divide by 12
2% roughly per month. Divide by 12 months, 10 months or something like
months, 10 months or something like that. Okay, I mean, if you just divide
that. Okay, I mean, if you just divide by 10, that's 02. So, it's a little less
by 10, that's 02. So, it's a little less than that. Okay,
than that. Okay, >> so normal inflation is like 02%ish.
>> so normal inflation is like 02%ish. Hyperinflation is 50%. But that's a big
Hyperinflation is 50%. But that's a big gap. What if we define something in the
gap. What if we define something in the middle? Call it 5% inflation per month.
middle? Call it 5% inflation per month. Call that superinflation, not
Call that superinflation, not hyperinflation.
hyperinflation. >> Okay.
>> Okay. >> Now, think about Bitcoin. Bitcoin was
>> Now, think about Bitcoin. Bitcoin was worth 0.1 cent per dollar in 2009. That
worth 0.1 cent per dollar in 2009. That was the first trade. Marty Malamy uh
was the first trade. Marty Malamy uh either bought or sold 5,50 Bitcoin for
either bought or sold 5,50 Bitcoin for about 50 bucks, right? So that was 0.1
about 50 bucks, right? So that was 0.1 cents per Bitcoin. Now it's $100,000
cents per Bitcoin. Now it's $100,000 Bitcoin. That is 100 millionx
Bitcoin. That is 100 millionx devaluation.
devaluation. In 16 years, if you work out the
In 16 years, if you work out the compounding rate, that is 10.41%
devaluation of the dollar versus a bitcoin every month for the last 16
bitcoin every month for the last 16 years. H So the superinflation is
years. H So the superinflation is already here. It's just super
already here. It's just super bitcoinization. We're like in a bullet
bitcoinization. We're like in a bullet train that has been accelerating so fast
train that has been accelerating so fast and so imperceptibly and we're moving at
and so imperceptibly and we're moving at such high velocity we don't even see it
such high velocity we don't even see it or perceive it. Right? But you see it to
or perceive it. Right? But you see it to some extent at the Bitcoin conferences.
some extent at the Bitcoin conferences. We see it to some extent in our numbers,
We see it to some extent in our numbers, you know, followers and so on going up.
you know, followers and so on going up. You see it in the scale of some of these
You see it in the scale of some of these events and what have you. You don't
events and what have you. You don't really see it because that's the thing
really see it because that's the thing about the internet. The internet, unlike
about the internet. The internet, unlike China, China, it's sheer physical scale
China, China, it's sheer physical scale isn't seen because it's in China. The
isn't seen because it's in China. The internet sheer scale isn't seen because
internet sheer scale isn't seen because it's invisible. So these things have
it's invisible. So these things have been rising so fast because in a sense
been rising so fast because in a sense they're sort of out of sight. You're
they're sort of out of sight. You're only perceiving them through stats, but
only perceiving them through stats, but they're already there. like the future
they're already there. like the future if the 20th century was the US versus
if the 20th century was the US versus USSR the 21st is China versus the
USSR the 21st is China versus the internet and that's also the land versus
internet and that's also the land versus the cloud by the way that's the same
the cloud by the way that's the same kind of tension that we talked about
kind of tension that we talked about earlier okay but here's my point about
earlier okay but here's my point about super bitcoinization right I have
super bitcoinization right I have thought this through I've thought about
thought this through I've thought about what it will look like see we have
what it will look like see we have what's what's funny about this is
what's what's funny about this is how many movies have you seen where
how many movies have you seen where aliens invade the earth
aliens invade the earth >> yeah a lot
>> yeah a lot >> a lot how about killer robots
>> a lot how about killer robots >> yeah a lot
>> yeah a lot >> a lot right but you actually haven't
>> a lot right but you actually haven't seen anything that really thinks through
seen anything that really thinks through what like the end of the dollar looks
what like the end of the dollar looks like.
like. >> So, no, because what we we always get we
>> So, no, because what we we always get we always get after the event, you know,
always get after the event, you know, financial crash.
financial crash. >> That's right.
>> That's right. >> Margin call.
>> Margin call. >> Yeah, we got um the big short. We get it
>> Yeah, we got um the big short. We get it after the event.
after the event. >> That's right.
>> That's right. >> So, let's just model that out. What does
>> So, let's just model that out. What does it look like? Okay. Now, the dollar's
it look like? Okay. Now, the dollar's already dropped like 10% even in the
already dropped like 10% even in the Dixie this year. Okay. Which is a lot
Dixie this year. Okay. Which is a lot because that's dropping against its
because that's dropping against its peers. That means in many ways the US is
peers. That means in many ways the US is sort of the weakest in the western
sort of the weakest in the western alliance because it's the most dependent
alliance because it's the most dependent on money printing since the cantalin
on money printing since the cantalin effect being near the money printer
effect being near the money printer >> applies the level of countries the US
>> applies the level of countries the US got the like you know people have shown
got the like you know people have shown like the US UK has been flat since
like the US UK has been flat since 2008ish
2008ish >> that's because they weren't as close to
>> that's because they weren't as close to the money printer as
the money printer as >> the Americans were so they were diluted
>> the Americans were so they were diluted down dollar inflation like America's
down dollar inflation like America's been cannibalizing even its allies like
been cannibalizing even its allies like that's why you know for example blowing
that's why you know for example blowing up Nordstream in Germany right it's it
up Nordstream in Germany right it's it was kind taking its allies and throwing
was kind taking its allies and throwing them against Russia. It's trying to take
them against Russia. It's trying to take Taiwan and throw it against China. It's
Taiwan and throw it against China. It's like sucking the marrow out of the UK,
like sucking the marrow out of the UK, right? It's like, you know, tariffing
right? It's like, you know, tariffing Canada, right? It is essentially in in
Canada, right? It is essentially in in this gravitational collapse, it's
this gravitational collapse, it's getting nastier and nastier even to its
getting nastier and nastier even to its ostensible allies. This is a huge change
ostensible allies. This is a huge change from the Cold War. In the Cold War, the
from the Cold War. In the Cold War, the US built up West Germany and it was
US built up West Germany and it was win-win and they were stronger versus
win-win and they were stronger versus East Germany. Right? Today, the US wants
East Germany. Right? Today, the US wants these allies to basically die and
these allies to basically die and sacrifice themselves for American living
sacrifice themselves for American living standards, right? Because it's gotten in
standards, right? Because it's gotten in a zero sum or negative sum mentality,
a zero sum or negative sum mentality, right? Which is why it's pushing away
right? Which is why it's pushing away Europe. And as a consequence, Europe
Europe. And as a consequence, Europe won't listen to it when it wants to
won't listen to it when it wants to sanction China, right? It's pushing away
sanction China, right? It's pushing away Japan and Korea. They've imposed big
Japan and Korea. They've imposed big tariffs on them, right? And yet, they
tariffs on them, right? And yet, they still want Japan and Korea as allies
still want Japan and Korea as allies versus China. They don't understand.
versus China. They don't understand. They've lost the concept of of empathy.
They've lost the concept of of empathy. And the reason is the left abused
And the reason is the left abused empathy for so long. They wanted you to
empathy for so long. They wanted you to have empathy for criminals, right? They
have empathy for criminals, right? They wanted you to have empathy for drug
wanted you to have empathy for drug dealers and murderers. And so the right
dealers and murderers. And so the right has decided any kind of empathy is bad.
has decided any kind of empathy is bad. >> But to be a good businessman, you have
>> But to be a good businessman, you have to have empathy. Like whenever I'm
to have empathy. Like whenever I'm proposing a deal, I always think through
proposing a deal, I always think through how the other guy wins first. And then
how the other guy wins first. And then I'm like, here is how you benefit from
I'm like, here is how you benefit from this deal. Here's the hard numbers. You
this deal. Here's the hard numbers. You can check it. And then here's my cut.
can check it. And then here's my cut. Right? Because everybody's concerned
Right? Because everybody's concerned about their benefit in a deal. And so if
about their benefit in a deal. And so if you're a good businessman, you think
you're a good businessman, you think about how did they get a win first,
about how did they get a win first, right? And if you're a great
right? And if you're a great businessman, you say, "How do they get a
businessman, you say, "How do they get a win 10 times in a row before I get a
win 10 times in a row before I get a win?" Right? And you eat best, but you
win?" Right? And you eat best, but you eat last or something like that, right?
eat last or something like that, right? You you have you have a positive sum
You you have you have a positive sum game because you can keep it going,
game because you can keep it going, right? That's how you do really great
right? That's how you do really great business. Um, and so empathy is
business. Um, and so empathy is something that even as a cold-blooded
something that even as a cold-blooded capitalist, you need empathy to
capitalist, you need empathy to understand what is the average
understand what is the average Vietnamese guy thinking? Well, for
Vietnamese guy thinking? Well, for example, all these countries that got
example, all these countries that got these tariffs, who were the people there
these tariffs, who were the people there who were exporting to America? Those
who were exporting to America? Those were the CEOs of these shoe companies or
were the CEOs of these shoe companies or or hat companies or whatever. They're
or hat companies or whatever. They're the most pro-American people in their
the most pro-American people in their country, right? These are people who
country, right? These are people who have American customers. They have
have American customers. They have American um you know like partners. They
American um you know like partners. They speak English. They they are the ones
speak English. They they are the ones lobbying their country to do more
lobbying their country to do more business with America, right? And every
business with America, right? And every single one of these CEOs around the
single one of these CEOs around the world just got wrecked. Wrecked. Because
world just got wrecked. Wrecked. Because when you have a when you're exporting a
when you have a when you're exporting a million dollars worth of goods and the
million dollars worth of goods and the tax goes up from like 0% to 49% then it
tax goes up from like 0% to 49% then it goes up and down and so first of all you
goes up and down and so first of all you have to immediately take out some
have to immediately take out some emergency loan or cut or fire people to
emergency loan or cut or fire people to get cuz your shipment is impounded at
get cuz your shipment is impounded at the port. It's not like a tax that's due
the port. It's not like a tax that's due in a year. Tariffs are a tax that's imp
in a year. Tariffs are a tax that's imp that like is due when you arrive at the
that like is due when you arrive at the port, right? It's not like you can have
port, right? It's not like you can have like a court case and this lands for a
like a court case and this lands for a long time. This is an instant tax that's
long time. This is an instant tax that's imposed today and you pay it or you lose
imposed today and you pay it or you lose your shipment. If you lose your
your shipment. If you lose your shipment, you lose your revenue. And if
shipment, you lose your revenue. And if you've got 4% margins and 49% tariffs,
you've got 4% margins and 49% tariffs, your business is just completely
your business is just completely destroyed. Right? So all kinds of people
destroyed. Right? So all kinds of people around the world who were trading with
around the world who were trading with America and trusted America got
America and trusted America got destroyed for doing that. Okay? I can't
destroyed for doing that. Okay? I can't emphasize how much damage that did. And
emphasize how much damage that did. And even if they they like somewhat came
even if they they like somewhat came down or whatever afterwards, you're
down or whatever afterwards, you're talking like this is a whole thing that
talking like this is a whole thing that ostensibly was supposed to help American
ostensibly was supposed to help American manufacturers, but it basically
manufacturers, but it basically bankrupted a bunch of them because they
bankrupted a bunch of them because they had to take out emergency loans to pay
had to take out emergency loans to pay for these taxes, which is what tariffs
for these taxes, which is what tariffs are. They're instant taxes, right?
are. They're instant taxes, right? Surprise taxes. And none of these
Surprise taxes. And none of these manufacturers asked. It's again, it's
manufacturers asked. It's again, it's like, you know, uh it's like Stalin, you
like, you know, uh it's like Stalin, you know, putting a a gun in the, you know,
know, putting a a gun in the, you know, small of your back and saying, "Okay,
small of your back and saying, "Okay, we'll fight or die, right?" It's like
we'll fight or die, right?" It's like taxing your inputs and saying, "Okay,
taxing your inputs and saying, "Okay, you know, I've taxed you by 40%. Now
you know, I've taxed you by 40%. Now build Apple." That's the that's the
build Apple." That's the that's the level of of thought that went into this.
level of of thought that went into this. These are surprise tariffs, right? So
These are surprise tariffs, right? So what's my point? Point is anybody who's
what's my point? Point is anybody who's trusting any US institution, if you
trusting any US institution, if you trusted US media, you were misled. If
trusted US media, you were misled. If you trusted Delaware, Elon and Dropbox
you trusted Delaware, Elon and Dropbox and so on had to move, right? If you
and so on had to move, right? If you trusted the FBI, Republicans trust the
trusted the FBI, Republicans trust the FBI, they found their their confidence
FBI, they found their their confidence that was destroyed. Democrats trusted
that was destroyed. Democrats trusted the US electoral system and now Trump is
the US electoral system and now Trump is being elected twice. Foreigners trusted,
being elected twice. Foreigners trusted, you know, America in terms of trade,
you know, America in terms of trade, right? Over and over again, there's
right? Over and over again, there's being rugpull after rugpull where
being rugpull after rugpull where people's faith in the US as a center of
people's faith in the US as a center of the global economy was was basically
the global economy was was basically pulled away, right?
pulled away, right? And because it's the center of the
And because it's the center of the global economy, people are still
global economy, people are still defaulting into it. And in a sense, what
defaulting into it. And in a sense, what the current administration is doing is
the current administration is doing is it's giving a strong incentive to people
it's giving a strong incentive to people to reroute flows of talent away from
to reroute flows of talent away from America. Because if you were like an
America. Because if you were like an Indian engineer, right, and you're at
Indian engineer, right, and you're at the top of your class, why would you go
the top of your class, why would you go to the US again today and have the left
to the US again today and have the left hate you because you're a capitalist or
hate you because you're a capitalist or an entrepreneur and a big chunk of the
an entrepreneur and a big chunk of the right hate you because you're Indian.
right hate you because you're Indian. Why would you do that, right? You go to
Why would you do that, right? You go to the UAE, you'd go to Singapore, maybe
the UAE, you'd go to Singapore, maybe you come to never school, you go and do
you come to never school, you go and do something else, right? There's like the
something else, right? There's like the world is your oyster. There's 30
world is your oyster. There's 30 countries that have digital nomad
countries that have digital nomad programs. El Salvador is recruiting,
programs. El Salvador is recruiting, Eastern Europe is recruiting, Japan, all
Eastern Europe is recruiting, Japan, all kinds of places. Hong Kong is recruiting
kinds of places. Hong Kong is recruiting even, right? They have like five
even, right? They have like five different talent visas. People are like,
different talent visas. People are like, "Oh, China isn't taking immigrants."
"Oh, China isn't taking immigrants." Yes, they are. Actually, they're
Yes, they are. Actually, they're recruiting heavily in Hong Kong for
recruiting heavily in Hong Kong for skilled workers, right? And um
skilled workers, right? And um and so the world is your oyster. Why
and so the world is your oyster. Why would Or you can just work from India or
would Or you can just work from India or something like that. India's radically
something like that. India's radically improved, right? They've if you have you
improved, right? They've if you have you seen Bangalore airport?
seen Bangalore airport? >> Uh probably. Yeah.
>> Uh probably. Yeah. >> Yeah. Well, so like you you could put a
>> Yeah. Well, so like you you could put a people like they don't have um
people like they don't have um they don't have a good mental visual
they don't have a good mental visual because things have improved so rapidly.
because things have improved so rapidly. Indian airport
Indian airport >> like Heathro terminal 5.
>> like Heathro terminal 5. >> It looks like he's terminal 5. It's like
>> It looks like he's terminal 5. It's like perfectly fine, right?
perfectly fine, right? >> Yeah. Here's I'll just show you a few
>> Yeah. Here's I'll just show you a few more. Right. Um like here is um
look I'm not seeing I'll show these and I'll qualify it in a second right this
I'll qualify it in a second right this is like these are just photos that I
is like these are just photos that I took you know or this one is from online
took you know or this one is from online this is you know like that's like
this is you know like that's like basically like an Indian Starbucks or
basically like an Indian Starbucks or whatever but in thumbl right yeah
whatever but in thumbl right yeah >> here is also to show this at a
>> here is also to show this at a qualitative level like lighting
qualitative level like lighting radically improved over 9 years right
radically improved over 9 years right >> it's not slum dog millionaire
>> it's not slum dog millionaire >> it's not slum dog millionaire India is
>> it's not slum dog millionaire India is actually radically radically radically
actually radically radically radically improving right and
improving right and >> but we don't get shown that
>> but we don't get shown that >> you don't get shown that but Indians are
>> you don't get shown that but Indians are seeing that right so it's this weird
seeing that right so it's this weird thing where Indians are actually rising
thing where Indians are actually rising faster than they ever have been but
faster than they ever have been but they're now now they're online and all
they're now now they're online and all these people are attacking them and so
these people are attacking them and so on and so forth in my in my view to be
on and so forth in my in my view to be clear I don't think I'm moderately
clear I don't think I'm moderately bullish on India but extremely bullish
bullish on India but extremely bullish on Indians okay so if China's a state
on Indians okay so if China's a state India is a network or if China's a state
India is a network or if China's a state Indians are a network right so like the
Indians are a network right so like the international Indian the internet Indian
international Indian the internet Indian is a big part of the global internet and
is a big part of the global internet and then like so if the future is China
then like so if the future is China versus internet Indians will be a big
versus internet Indians will be a big chunk of the internet
chunk of the internet >> okay
>> okay >> and and one of the reasons for that is
>> and and one of the reasons for that is Indians are secondass citizens in
Indians are secondass citizens in America but they're first class citizens
America but they're first class citizens on the internet
on the internet >> right in America their visa can be
>> right in America their visa can be yanked they can be yelled at all this
yanked they can be yelled at all this kind of stuff on the internet they have
kind of stuff on the internet they have the same monetary policy with Bitcoin
the same monetary policy with Bitcoin they have the same smart contracts they
they have the same smart contracts they have the same identity they of basically
have the same identity they of basically their peers. That's what the internet
their peers. That's what the internet is. It's a peer-to-p peer network. We
is. It's a peer-to-p peer network. We are all equal on the internet. You can
are all equal on the internet. You can have a fair handshake and a fair deal,
have a fair handshake and a fair deal, right? That's all you need for like a
right? That's all you need for like a rising people. They're not asking for
rising people. They're not asking for special treatment. They're asking to be
special treatment. They're asking to be treated as equals. And if they're
treated as equals. And if they're treated as equals, then they can compete
treated as equals, then they can compete and they can do very well. And how many
and they can do very well. And how many can do well? Was like a billion on the
can do well? Was like a billion on the over a billion, half a billion, 700
over a billion, half a billion, 700 million Indians have gone online the
million Indians have gone online the last 5 years. And they're accultuating
last 5 years. And they're accultuating quickly. They're like, you know, they're
quickly. They're like, you know, they're they're on Instagram, they're on Twitter
they're on Instagram, they're on Twitter and so on. They're like, "Wow, a lot of
and so on. They're like, "Wow, a lot of Westerners are really mad at others are,
Westerners are really mad at others are, you know, are happy they're there. And
you know, are happy they're there. And so there'll be this sort of collision of
so there'll be this sort of collision of these two cultures that hadn't collided
these two cultures that hadn't collided before. But on the other side of that,
before. But on the other side of that, is there another thing going on there in
is there another thing going on there in that and I'm certainly seeing this in
that and I'm certainly seeing this in the UK?
the UK? >> I'm I'm really disappointed at the
>> I'm I'm really disappointed at the younger generation at the moment. Uh
younger generation at the moment. Uh that this isn't universal, but I see a
that this isn't universal, but I see a uh I see poor education outcomes. Uh I
uh I see poor education outcomes. Uh I see the way
see the way >> GCSUs
>> GCSUs >> just across the board that we've we've
>> just across the board that we've we've lowered the bar and lowered the grading
lowered the bar and lowered the grading system. We've switched it from letters
system. We've switched it from letters to numbers. So it's a little it used to
to numbers. So it's a little it used to be abc d or an a star. You an a you know
be abc d or an a star. You an a you know a it's the first letter the top. Now
a it's the first letter the top. Now it's these kind of uh more opaque
it's these kind of uh more opaque numbers.
numbers. >> It's 100.
>> It's 100. >> No no it's it's is it one to no. Is it
>> No no it's it's is it one to no. Is it three to nine? It's a weird thing. So
three to nine? It's a weird thing. So >> So it makes it harder to know what's
>> So it makes it harder to know what's good.
good. >> Yeah. Yeah. So when my daughter says
>> Yeah. Yeah. So when my daughter says I've got a seven, I'm like what does
I've got a seven, I'm like what does that mean? Yes. What is that? Um uh
that mean? Yes. What is that? Um uh there's a there's a privilege uh mixed
there's a there's a privilege uh mixed with a lack of ambition.
with a lack of ambition. >> Mhm.
>> Mhm. >> Um yeah.
>> Um yeah. >> For the ones who aren't leaving, the
>> For the ones who aren't leaving, the ones who are leaving are ambitious.
ones who are leaving are ambitious. >> Of course. Yeah. But I just I I think
>> Of course. Yeah. But I just I I think there's a gen general dumbing down of uh
there's a gen general dumbing down of uh of the youth and but but for them they
of the youth and but but for them they don't see it themselves and they come
don't see it themselves and they come with privilege. Whereas where it comes I
with privilege. Whereas where it comes I mean obviously I'm is here I see a
mean obviously I'm is here I see a different Indian but I just see young
different Indian but I just see young ambitious hardworking intelligent
ambitious hardworking intelligent Indians
Indians >> but and they have low expectations also
>> but and they have low expectations also because if you grew up without hot water
because if you grew up without hot water life is like life is just improving
life is like life is just improving every day it's sometimes two steps
every day it's sometimes two steps forward one step back but there's a lot
forward one step back but there's a lot of people out of India that I know who
of people out of India that I know who literally grew up without hot water grew
literally grew up without hot water grew up without electricity and now they've
up without electricity and now they've got 5G you know wireless they've got the
got 5G you know wireless they've got the internet they've got cryptocurrency they
internet they've got cryptocurrency they can Crypto is really really good for
can Crypto is really really good for Indians because as I said they're
Indians because as I said they're treated as equals right and it's
treated as equals right and it's actually bad for China but it's
actually bad for China but it's interesting it's good for Chinese people
interesting it's good for Chinese people but bad for the Chinese state right why
but bad for the Chinese state right why the Chinese state hates Bitcoin because
the Chinese state hates Bitcoin because it can't control it represents total
it can't control it represents total freedom right the Chinese people like it
freedom right the Chinese people like it because it's money that the government
because it's money that the government can't control so that this way now in
can't control so that this way now in China basically the local province will
China basically the local province will treat the companies as like their bank
treat the companies as like their bank accounts so like if you're doing well
accounts so like if you're doing well they're like okay I'm going to take a
they're like okay I'm going to take a few million an R&B to just pay off some
few million an R&B to just pay off some loans. I'll take it out of your bank
loans. I'll take it out of your bank account, right? Because they've got root
account, right? Because they've got root over things, right? So, China, roughly
over things, right? So, China, roughly speaking, you know, Fukuyama has this
speaking, you know, Fukuyama has this good book called Origins of Political
good book called Origins of Political Order. And I'm radically oversimplifying
Order. And I'm radically oversimplifying here, but roughly speaking, in Europe,
here, but roughly speaking, in Europe, law equals state. In India, it was law
law equals state. In India, it was law above state. And in China, it's state
above state. And in China, it's state above law. What I mean by that is in
above law. What I mean by that is in China, they had took the pragmatic
China, they had took the pragmatic approach of basically the government
approach of basically the government can't limit itself. like your chair can
can't limit itself. like your chair can turn into like a CCP agent if the
turn into like a CCP agent if the government wants it to. They just, you
government wants it to. They just, you know, they have root access over
know, they have root access over everything and the written law doesn't
everything and the written law doesn't really matter. They can quote it at you
really matter. They can quote it at you if they want, but really the government
if they want, but really the government has root. They can do what they want.
has root. They can do what they want. Sort of like a system administrator of a
Sort of like a system administrator of a of a service. There's like routine
of a service. There's like routine things which are law, but if they want
things which are law, but if they want to, they can just boom, have root and
to, they can just boom, have root and kick anybody out, do whatever they want.
kick anybody out, do whatever they want. India had the opposite tradition where
India had the opposite tradition where they had law over state because all of
they had law over state because all of these kings believed in Hinduism and uh
these kings believed in Hinduism and uh scripture could be quoted at them and
scripture could be quoted at them and they were scared of not getting
they were scared of not getting reincarnated if they violated their
reincarnated if they violated their dharma right so there's law above state
dharma right so there's law above state that constrained the kings there but
that constrained the kings there but China is less spiritual like that they
China is less spiritual like that they didn't didn't have the same kind of
didn't didn't have the same kind of belief structure so China was state
belief structure so China was state above law India was law above state
above law India was law above state today that is the Chinese state and the
today that is the Chinese state and the international network crypto photography
international network crypto photography is law above state.
is law above state. >> Yeah, that's what Bitcoin represents.
>> Yeah, that's what Bitcoin represents. It's a government of governments. It is
It's a government of governments. It is a smart contract that constrains even no
a smart contract that constrains even no matter how proud a king is, they are
matter how proud a king is, they are constrained by cryptography. There's no
constrained by cryptography. There's no amount of violence that can solve
amount of violence that can solve certain kinds of math problems. So, I I
certain kinds of math problems. So, I I really want to get into the Bitcoin bit
really want to get into the Bitcoin bit with you, but there is a couple couple
with you, but there is a couple couple of bits I just want to uh make sure we
of bits I just want to uh make sure we do cover because I asked you if there's
do cover because I asked you if there's an inevitability of this, like can the
an inevitability of this, like can the West be saved? because it's a I feel
West be saved? because it's a I feel like I want to be part of the solution
like I want to be part of the solution cuz I got but but let me frame it. So I
cuz I got but but let me frame it. So I have two options exit or stay and try
have two options exit or stay and try and be part of the solution and I really
and be part of the solution and I really want to stay and be part of the
want to stay and be part of the solution. I don't want to leave tens of
solution. I don't want to leave tens of millions of people behind. I want to
millions of people behind. I want to help.
help. >> But if it can't be saved
>> But if it can't be saved that is futile for me and my children.
that is futile for me and my children. And layering into that I don't think cuz
And layering into that I don't think cuz we're we're in this all day every day.
we're we're in this all day every day. We're on the internet. with speakers. We
We're on the internet. with speakers. We play we're fully dialed into the risks
play we're fully dialed into the risks in Western civilization. I think most
in Western civilization. I think most people have got no idea what is going
people have got no idea what is going on,
on, >> right?
>> right? >> They sense something's bad.
>> They sense something's bad. >> Yes. But
>> Yes. But >> but it's temporary.
>> but it's temporary. >> It's exactly or they think it's going to
>> It's exactly or they think it's going to be gotten over with and sun will shine
be gotten over with and sun will shine and so
and so >> Yeah. Another party will fix this.
>> Yeah. Another party will fix this. >> Yes. So, so my view is this.
>> Yes. So, so my view is this. >> So, on this podcast you are definitely
>> So, on this podcast you are definitely hearing me talk about Bitcoin a lot.
hearing me talk about Bitcoin a lot. Well, why? We live in a really strange
Well, why? We live in a really strange time with governments driving inflation
time with governments driving inflation with their reckless spending and endless
with their reckless spending and endless money printing. There is a way out of
money printing. There is a way out of this. There is a way to protect your
this. There is a way to protect your money and that is by stacking Bitcoin.
money and that is by stacking Bitcoin. I've made loads of shows about Bitcoin.
I've made loads of shows about Bitcoin. You can go and research this. You can go
You can go and research this. You can go and read the books. But the truth is it
and read the books. But the truth is it is the hardest money ever created. If
is the hardest money ever created. If you are interested in protecting your
you are interested in protecting your financial future, it's time for you to
financial future, it's time for you to get on the Bitcoin train. I have. I've
get on the Bitcoin train. I have. I've been stacking Bitcoin personally and
been stacking Bitcoin personally and through my businesses since 2017. It's
through my businesses since 2017. It's protected me. It's secured my family's
protected me. It's secured my family's future and it also strengthens all of my
future and it also strengthens all of my businesses. So, if you want to start
businesses. So, if you want to start stacking Bitcoin, where do you do it?
stacking Bitcoin, where do you do it? Well, for me is with Gemini. They're a
Well, for me is with Gemini. They're a fully licensed full reserve exchange and
fully licensed full reserve exchange and custodian. So, they give you a secure
custodian. So, they give you a secure way for you to buy and own your Bitcoin.
way for you to buy and own your Bitcoin. There's no risks and no funny business.
There's no risks and no funny business. So, if you're serious about stacking
So, if you're serious about stacking Bitcoin the right way, head over to
Bitcoin the right way, head over to gemini.com, which is gem ni.com. Even
gemini.com, which is gem ni.com. Even the concept of the west is actually
the concept of the west is actually relatively modern. Why? It used to be
relatively modern. Why? It used to be Europe and Christendom, right? And so it
Europe and Christendom, right? And so it was geographically in Europe. It was
was geographically in Europe. It was like religious, right? And then it was
like religious, right? And then it was uh it was a shift out to America and it
uh it was a shift out to America and it was a shift towards a more secular
was a shift towards a more secular self-conception. By calling it the west,
self-conception. By calling it the west, it included Europe and America kind of
it included Europe and America kind of as the western part of the grand
as the western part of the grand Eurasian superc continent, right? And
Eurasian superc continent, right? And that's how you started to get Western
that's how you started to get Western values as opposed to Christendom. you
values as opposed to Christendom. you sort of have American Europe as opposed
sort of have American Europe as opposed to just Europe. It was a technological
to just Europe. It was a technological shift. It was a political shift towards
shift. It was a political shift towards democracy rather than kings and so on
democracy rather than kings and so on and so forth. There was several shifts
and so forth. There was several shifts on one, right? So I think the version
on one, right? So I think the version 3.0 is the internet,
3.0 is the internet, right? Just like the west is kind of a
right? Just like the west is kind of a more inclusive term in a sense than
more inclusive term in a sense than Europe because it included for example
Europe because it included for example African-Americans. included basically,
African-Americans. included basically, you know, polls and and anybody who came
you know, polls and and anybody who came to America and assimilated into America
to America and assimilated into America was considered part of the West. Even if
was considered part of the West. Even if historically you could argue whether
historically you could argue whether polls were part of, you know, the West
polls were part of, you know, the West in in Western Europe, um they weren't.
in in Western Europe, um they weren't. They were in Eastern Europe, right? So
They were in Eastern Europe, right? So the the internet is born from the West
the the internet is born from the West just as the West was born from Europe,
just as the West was born from Europe, but it is its own thing, right? And you
but it is its own thing, right? And you can have this kind of you can actually
can have this kind of you can actually argue that there's like five stages like
argue that there's like five stages like Greece, Rome, Britain, America,
Greece, Rome, Britain, America, internet,
internet, >> right? Um but let me just do three
>> right? Um but let me just do three stages. Okay. So three stages. For
stages. Okay. So three stages. For example, you go from the common law
example, you go from the common law which bound all Brits to the
which bound all Brits to the constitution which scaled up to
constitution which scaled up to Americans to the smart contract and
Americans to the smart contract and Bitcoin which scales up to the world.
Bitcoin which scales up to the world. Right? A lot of the arguing in America
Right? A lot of the arguing in America from 1865 19965 to the present day is
from 1865 19965 to the present day is about racial discrimination and and the
about racial discrimination and and the constitution. There's different views on
constitution. There's different views on this. The left and right have different
this. The left and right have different views, but they basically agree in some
views, but they basically agree in some ways that the that the laws are biased
ways that the that the laws are biased against either black people and the left
against either black people and the left says or white people that the right says
says or white people that the right says and so on and so forth. Okay, fine. But
and so on and so forth. Okay, fine. But no one's arguing that Bitcoin is biased
no one's arguing that Bitcoin is biased in such a way. H no one's arg like if if
in such a way. H no one's arg like if if you go to a to a crypto conference in
you go to a to a crypto conference in Africa, Latin America, the Middle East,
Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, India, no one's saying that, right? Why?
India, no one's saying that, right? Why? Because it's an algorithm, right? of
Because it's an algorithm, right? of legislative, executive, and judiciary.
legislative, executive, and judiciary. We have managed to automate the
We have managed to automate the judiciary on chain, right? So, we've
judiciary on chain, right? So, we've taken away the potential for human bias.
taken away the potential for human bias. And so, you have billions of dollars
And so, you have billions of dollars flowing into this and people feel
flowing into this and people feel they'll get a fair shake from the
they'll get a fair shake from the blockchain in a way they won't in
blockchain in a way they won't in America or in China. That's a really
America or in China. That's a really deep point because that means that the
deep point because that means that the internet is actually the version 3.0.
internet is actually the version 3.0. See, the thing is, I think, you know, in
See, the thing is, I think, you know, in 2020, the West was more crazy left than
2020, the West was more crazy left than it was. And I actually think today it's
it was. And I actually think today it's actually being more
actually being more for lack of a better term it's a very
for lack of a better term it's a very simplistic term racial angry and so on
simplistic term racial angry and so on than it really feels that like because
than it really feels that like because the west believes in fair play I think
the west believes in fair play I think right
right >> and Bitcoin and crypto and the internet
>> and Bitcoin and crypto and the internet are sort of enforced fair play right the
are sort of enforced fair play right the reason the right is as animated the
reason the right is as animated the western right is as animated as it is it
western right is as animated as it is it felt they tried to to abide by the rules
felt they tried to to abide by the rules of fair play and they got screwed. The
of fair play and they got screwed. The white American guy got screwed. I tried
white American guy got screwed. I tried to play by the rules and I got screwed.
to play by the rules and I got screwed. F all of you. We're going to break the
F all of you. We're going to break the rules, flip the table, and so on and so
rules, flip the table, and so on and so forth. Actually understand where that
forth. Actually understand where that comes from.
comes from. >> Yep.
>> Yep. >> But if you actually did have a fully
>> But if you actually did have a fully impartial fair court system, right, one
impartial fair court system, right, one that could not be biased against you
that could not be biased against you whether you're black or white, that is
whether you're black or white, that is what the internet represents,
what the internet represents, right? So that is the version 3.0 where
right? So that is the version 3.0 where I think the West is ending but the
I think the West is ending but the internet is just beginning. It's kind of
internet is just beginning. It's kind of like, you know, when the British Empire
like, you know, when the British Empire is ending, the American Empire is
is ending, the American Empire is booting up, right? And it was clearly a
booting up, right? And it was clearly a torch passing moment, right? And the
torch passing moment, right? And the internet is as American as America was
internet is as American as America was British.
British. >> And I'll explain. I think it's a very
>> And I'll explain. I think it's a very good analogy. There's a lot into that.
good analogy. There's a lot into that. Why did America start out British? Of
Why did America start out British? Of course it did, right? It owes an
course it did, right? It owes an enormous debt to Britain. We all owe
enormous debt to Britain. We all owe debt to Britain, right? We owe our
debt to Britain, right? We owe our language to Britain. Like for everything
language to Britain. Like for everything people dump on the British, and they've
people dump on the British, and they've seen better times, um the British Empire
seen better times, um the British Empire was probably the most benevolent Hegimon
was probably the most benevolent Hegimon uh you know, ever since, you know, till
uh you know, ever since, you know, till the American Empire. And of course, they
the American Empire. And of course, they did all kinds of bad things, but they
did all kinds of bad things, but they did more good things than most other
did more good things than most other empires. Fine. Okay. So, Americans owe a
empires. Fine. Okay. So, Americans owe a lot to the British and um it's their
lot to the British and um it's their language, it's their culture, it's their
language, it's their culture, it's their laws, all kind. And they did fork it. Of
laws, all kind. And they did fork it. Of course, they don't have a king. They
course, they don't have a king. They have a constitution. But constitution
have a constitution. But constitution comes out of in part the Magna Carta and
comes out of in part the Magna Carta and common law and a tradition that the
common law and a tradition that the British had that there was some law that
British had that there was some law that governed even the king. And they fought
governed even the king. And they fought all these battles over that and so on
all these battles over that and so on and so forth. Obviously, you know,
and so forth. Obviously, you know, there's books like Albian Seed or uh you
there's books like Albian Seed or uh you know, by uh by David Hacken Fischer and
know, by uh by David Hacken Fischer and then there's another one by Walter
then there's another one by Walter Russell me on like foreign policy about
Russell me on like foreign policy about like various British folk pathways that
like various British folk pathways that came to the US, right? Like the uh um do
came to the US, right? Like the uh um do you know the story about the English
you know the story about the English civil war?
civil war? >> Well, which bit?
>> Well, which bit? >> So, in the 1600s, you know, there's a
>> So, in the 1600s, you know, there's a bunch of fighting between roundheads and
bunch of fighting between roundheads and and cavaliers within within Britain,
and cavaliers within within Britain, right? And the Roundheads, a faction of
right? And the Roundheads, a faction of them, let's call it the left, which were
them, let's call it the left, which were the more parliamentary and democratic
the more parliamentary and democratic left faction, came to Massachusetts to
left faction, came to Massachusetts to set up the Massachusetts Bay Colony.
set up the Massachusetts Bay Colony. Another faction, which were, let's call
Another faction, which were, let's call them the right, the Cavaliers. They had
them the right, the Cavaliers. They had a bunch of nobles go to Virginia to set
a bunch of nobles go to Virginia to set up the Virginia colony. And then that
up the Virginia colony. And then that left and right of England came to
left and right of England came to America in Massachusetts and Virginia,
America in Massachusetts and Virginia, right? And then 200 years later they had
right? And then 200 years later they had another civil war in America.
another civil war in America. >> That's incredible.
>> That's incredible. >> Yeah. I didn't know that.
>> Yeah. I didn't know that. >> Right. So that shows like continuity.
>> Right. So that shows like continuity. Like in in England the left and right
Like in in England the left and right were fighting over equality versus
were fighting over equality versus hierarchy and it was expressed in a
hierarchy and it was expressed in a certain way as this religious kind of
certain way as this religious kind of thing. You know you're aware of that cuz
thing. You know you're aware of that cuz you're you know British and whatnot.
you're you know British and whatnot. >> But when you realize that those seeds
>> But when you realize that those seeds came over to the new world and then as
came over to the new world and then as these grew they slugged it out again a
these grew they slugged it out again a couple hundred years later. Basically,
couple hundred years later. Basically, they've had periods of in the 1600s they
they've had periods of in the 1600s they fought. In the 1700s, they cooperated.
fought. In the 1700s, they cooperated. In the 1800s, they fought, in the 1900s,
In the 1800s, they fought, in the 1900s, they cooperated. Now, in the 2000s,
they cooperated. Now, in the 2000s, they're fighting
they're fighting and then maybe on their side they'll
and then maybe on their side they'll cooperate again. And we can put left and
cooperate again. And we can put left and right back together, right? And that's
right back together, right? And that's what the internet means to me, right?
what the internet means to me, right? Why? Obviously, it has the libertarian
Why? Obviously, it has the libertarian values of um capitalism and markets and
values of um capitalism and markets and startups and all that kind of stuff.
startups and all that kind of stuff. That's maybe obvious, but less obviously
That's maybe obvious, but less obviously perhaps, it also has all the progressive
perhaps, it also has all the progressive values. Everybody's equal on the
values. Everybody's equal on the internet, right? You you have
internet, right? You you have essentially global free speech. You have
essentially global free speech. You have every race and religion represented
every race and religion represented there. You have essentially something
there. You have essentially something where you're basically free to do what
where you're basically free to do what you want as long as you're not bothering
you want as long as you're not bothering other people. You can learn anything.
other people. You can learn anything. You can publish anything. It's actually
You can publish anything. It's actually a really free environment in that sense,
a really free environment in that sense, right?
right? >> But we are getting the polarization
>> But we are getting the polarization there. As you said, blue sky versus X.
there. As you said, blue sky versus X. >> True. True. So, so I'm not saying there
>> True. True. So, so I'm not saying there aren't sec, but but if you um if you
aren't sec, but but if you um if you zoom out and you say, do you have a free
zoom out and you say, do you have a free internet broadly?
internet broadly? >> Yes,
>> Yes, >> you do. Right. Like broadly speaking,
>> you do. Right. Like broadly speaking, you can speak to anybody, you can
you can speak to anybody, you can transact with anybody. And there's
transact with anybody. And there's strong forces that want to keep it a
strong forces that want to keep it a global internet because that's maximum
global internet because that's maximum scale is maximum following. It's maximum
scale is maximum following. It's maximum monetization. It's maximum learning.
monetization. It's maximum learning. It's maximum training for machine
It's maximum training for machine learning. There's there's something to
learning. There's there's something to maximum scale of markets and audience,
maximum scale of markets and audience, right? And if you just had just a
right? And if you just had just a limited national audience or market, you
limited national audience or market, you would basically just be less successful.
would basically just be less successful. And the more ambitious you are, the more
And the more ambitious you are, the more you're going to seek to expand that
you're going to seek to expand that market, right? So there's good there's
market, right? So there's good there's forces that will keep, I think, the
forces that will keep, I think, the internet free. I'm not saying we take
internet free. I'm not saying we take that for granted, but that is actually
that for granted, but that is actually one side of things. And the opposite is
one side of things. And the opposite is China. China represents I'm not saying
China. China represents I'm not saying it's like pure evil or something, but it
it's like pure evil or something, but it represents the opposite philosophy. It's
represents the opposite philosophy. It's hard digital borders. That's what the
hard digital borders. That's what the great firewall is. Right now, it's not
great firewall is. Right now, it's not just control over speech. It is control
just control over speech. It is control over drones because if a you can't
over drones because if a you can't script a drone on Chinese territory in a
script a drone on Chinese territory in a real sense, by the way, China and crypto
real sense, by the way, China and crypto are the only two that take the internet
are the only two that take the internet seriously because they have the great
seriously because they have the great firewall on the blockchain, which are
firewall on the blockchain, which are defensive structures on the internet.
defensive structures on the internet. They treat the internet as a first class
They treat the internet as a first class really important thing that you need to
really important thing that you need to protect. As different as they are, those
protect. As different as they are, those are like defensive structures, right?
are like defensive structures, right? >> Yeah. And whereas America like the
>> Yeah. And whereas America like the Pentagon is hacked over and over and
Pentagon is hacked over and over and over again, right? Like you know, OPM
over again, right? Like you know, OPM personnel file hacked over and over
personnel file hacked over and over again. The US government cannot actually
again. The US government cannot actually defend itself online
defend itself online and um and everything is moving to
and um and everything is moving to either China or the internet. Right.
either China or the internet. Right. Okay. So to your point, I think my
Okay. So to your point, I think my worldview is internet first. Okay. So,
worldview is internet first. Okay. So, like I understand where America First
like I understand where America First Guys come from and actually I'm I'm
Guys come from and actually I'm I'm sympathetic to them in some ways. I
sympathetic to them in some ways. I think that they didn't want to get as
think that they didn't want to get as angry as they are. They wanted to have
angry as they are. They wanted to have like a libertarianish order and a fair
like a libertarianish order and a fair deal and so on and so forth than a fair
deal and so on and so forth than a fair handshake, right? I even understand
handshake, right? I even understand where the progressives are coming from
where the progressives are coming from in Blue America. I'm probably more
in Blue America. I'm probably more sympathetic somewhat, you know,
sympathetic somewhat, you know, centristish. I understand where they're
centristish. I understand where they're coming from as well because they had
coming from as well because they had they had a nice expense account. You
they had a nice expense account. You know, they worked at Time magazine as a
know, they worked at Time magazine as a journalist. They wrote four articles a
journalist. They wrote four articles a year and then the internet guys took
year and then the internet guys took that all away from them, right? some sim
that all away from them, right? some sim actually I can see everybody's side of
actually I can see everybody's side of this um
this um what I think you when I say internet
what I think you when I say internet first that's not country first it's not
first that's not country first it's not America first or Turkey first or
America first or Turkey first or something like that but it's certainly
something like that but it's certainly not those countries last it means those
not those countries last it means those people are equal on the internet number
people are equal on the internet number one and internet first is also like
one and internet first is also like mobile first it's like AI first it's
mobile first it's like AI first it's like it's a technology strategy as well
like it's a technology strategy as well as a political strategy and the concept
as a political strategy and the concept is the internet is the one thing that
is the internet is the one thing that has economic scale comparable to China.
has economic scale comparable to China. India doesn't by itself, right? India is
India doesn't by itself, right? India is like pretty big, but it's like, you
like pretty big, but it's like, you know, how many Indians can compete at a
know, how many Indians can compete at a Chinese level? I don't know. Even if
Chinese level? I don't know. Even if it's 100 million, that's still a lot
it's 100 million, that's still a lot smaller than than China. I don't know
smaller than than China. I don't know the exact number. We're all going to
the exact number. We're all going to find out, right? But let's just say
find out, right? But let's just say China is the single largest. It It's
China is the single largest. It It's like Apple, right? It's like vertically
like Apple, right? It's like vertically integrated, you know? It's closed,
integrated, you know? It's closed, hermetically sealed. It's aesthetically,
hermetically sealed. It's aesthetically, you know, they've got really great
you know, they've got really great visuals in China and so on, but like the
visuals in China and so on, but like the Chinese software only runs on the
Chinese software only runs on the Chinese hardware. Like the Chinese party
Chinese hardware. Like the Chinese party state and the great firewall and all the
state and the great firewall and all the Chinese apps only run on the HonChinese
Chinese apps only run on the HonChinese like in a sense hardware, right? They
like in a sense hardware, right? They they they themselves say that their
they they themselves say that their system is not meant to be exported
system is not meant to be exported outside China, right? The opposite of
outside China, right? The opposite of that, what's opposite of Apple? It's
that, what's opposite of Apple? It's Android. It runs on any device. It's
Android. It runs on any device. It's messy. It's chaotic. It's free. That's
messy. It's chaotic. It's free. That's the internet. So China versus internet
the internet. So China versus internet is like Apple vers Android, right? And
is like Apple vers Android, right? And so if you take an internet first view of
so if you take an internet first view of things, what is internet first?
things, what is internet first? >> Freedom.
>> Freedom. >> It's freedom. That's right. But
>> It's freedom. That's right. But basically, it's freedom. And so we would
basically, it's freedom. And so we would call it freedom versus order. They would
call it freedom versus order. They would call it or we'd call it freedom versus
call it or we'd call it freedom versus oppression. They would call it control
oppression. They would call it control versus anarchy.
versus anarchy. >> Right? So you want to have a balance of
>> Right? So you want to have a balance of something which is ordered liberty.
something which is ordered liberty. Right? You don't want to have anarchy
Right? You don't want to have anarchy because if you have because you're going
because if you have because you're going to have I think between Chinese control
to have I think between Chinese control and American anarchy we need to have an
and American anarchy we need to have an intermediate.
intermediate. >> Yeah.
>> Yeah. >> So just to throw into that so
>> So just to throw into that so >> so let me go back to how can you fix
>> so let me go back to how can you fix things right? So okay. All right. So
things right? So okay. All right. So with internet first as opposed like the
with internet first as opposed like the thing is when you say western
thing is when you say western civilization
civilization who are the champions of western
who are the champions of western civilization today they're not that many
civilization today they're not that many right because big chunks of you know
right because big chunks of you know Americans British are basically
Americans British are basically anti-western civilization right and even
anti-western civilization right and even the people who are on the right let's
the people who are on the right let's say are not exactly dressed in suits and
say are not exactly dressed in suits and ties and enacting was proprietary or
ties and enacting was proprietary or what have you right they're like cursing
what have you right they're like cursing at people online, they're firing their
at people online, they're firing their guns. They've got, you know, like they
guns. They've got, you know, like they they they do not look like the 1950s
they they do not look like the 1950s cleancut American, let alone the proper
cleancut American, let alone the proper Brit, right? Have you seen that thing
Brit, right? Have you seen that thing about um I mean, I'm not saying there
about um I mean, I'm not saying there aren't still some posh receive
aren't still some posh receive pronunciation Brits around, but there's
pronunciation Brits around, but there's fewer of them, right? It's not like a
fewer of them, right? It's not like a virally spreading ideology right now,
virally spreading ideology right now, right? Go ahead. Maybe you disagree.
right? Go ahead. Maybe you disagree. >> Well, no, no, no. I agree. I mean, but
>> Well, no, no, no. I agree. I mean, but I'm automatically thinking it it's
I'm automatically thinking it it's cohorts that exist like Bitcoiners.
cohorts that exist like Bitcoiners. >> Yeah. Yeah. Sure. So I so I think you
>> Yeah. Yeah. Sure. So I so I think you could have a startup society of received
could have a startup society of received pronunci actually here's a funny visual
pronunci actually here's a funny visual I don't know if you've seen this like
this is I don't know if you ever seen this but this is a great one to put on
this but this is a great one to put on your
British is seen by Americans are all upper class toss and so on British is
upper class toss and so on British is seen by Europeans
seen by Europeans Have you ever go to my Twitter?
Have you ever go to my Twitter? >> No, I've got a different thing, but I
>> No, I've got a different thing, but I think you'll find it quite funny.
think you'll find it quite funny. >> Uh, was it Peter McCorm?
>> Uh, was it Peter McCorm? >> Yeah.
>> Yeah. >> My pin tweet. It's been there for a
>> My pin tweet. It's been there for a couple of years now.
couple of years now. >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Exactly
schools, incredible. Um, I'm going to wax lyrical about it and encourage
wax lyrical about it and encourage people to come visit. Very, very good
people to come visit. Very, very good work in this.com. Come and check it out.
work in this.com. Come and check it out. We'll take a video. We'll put a video in
We'll take a video. We'll put a video in like an advert, let people see it. But
like an advert, let people see it. But no, appreciate your time and incredible
no, appreciate your time and incredible work and can't wait. Come back and visit
work and can't wait. Come back and visit again. If you're British, if you're
again. If you're British, if you're Canadian, New Zealand, UK, if you're
Canadian, New Zealand, UK, if you're American and you're pro Bitcoin, pro-
American and you're pro Bitcoin, pro- freedom, um then maybe ns.com is
freedom, um then maybe ns.com is interesting for you. And so look forward
interesting for you. And so look forward to seeing you there.
to seeing you there. >> Thank you. See you soon. Thanks. Thank
>> Thank you. See you soon. Thanks. Thank you. Boom.
you. Boom. [Music]
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