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How to Predict Exact Football Scores: 80% Success Rate with Free App (50 Match Analysis) | Bet_Genius_Strategy | YouTubeToText
YouTube Transcript: How to Predict Exact Football Scores: 80% Success Rate with Free App (50 Match Analysis)
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Video Summary
Summary
Core Theme
This content explores a method for leveraging a free sports analytics app (likely "B. Soccer") to gain a statistical advantage in predicting football match outcomes, specifically focusing on exact scores and total goals.
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I analyzed 500 games with this free app.
It predicted 64% of the exact scores
correctly. Here are the three matches
for this weekend. I did many analyses on
days with Real Madrid games. I entered
the app and I looked at how the app
predicted the exact story. I scrolled
down here. You can see the app predicted
[music] the exact score of 2 to one.
After the games finished, I saw the
final score was exactly what the app
predicted. I said this is not possible.
I will try the Morca game. I went to see
the website's predictions. The site
predicted [music] a 1:1 score for this
game. I said, "This is not possible. How
did they do it?" I took the Arsenal
games from the same day. I checked and
the app predicted a one zero final
score. And guess what? The game ended
with that exact score. I said, "Wait, I
will try again." So the next day, I
analyzed another game because I was
taking the big matches. Here I found the
Atéico game. The final score was 2 to
zero. I went to see the app's
predictions. Guess what? The app
predicted final scores of 1:1, 0 to 1,
and 1:2. And guess what? The final score
was 2 nilo. So this time it lost. It's
not a problem. So from that day, I
noticed something. The site can predict
games that end with scores of 0 0 1 0 2
1 2 0 3 0. But for scores beyond that,
the site is not very strong at
predicting. I decided to find a way
around this. Instead of betting on the
exact score, I decided to bet on the
total goals. So today I decided to bet.
I will try to bet on this Napoli match.
I clicked on it and [music] I scrolled
to the right. I looked for analysis.
Once here, make sure to look at the
probability of the winning team. It must
be over 50%, for [music] example. 55% is
already good. What does the site give us
for exact score predictions? You must
look at the exact score with the biggest
percentage. Here [music] the score with
the highest percentage is 1 one with
11.4%. The next one is the exact score
of 0 to 1. Then [music] the next one is
0 to2 then 1 to two. You need to find a
minimum of four exact scores. [music]
Smart people will break this down. They
will look for strategies to win more
money. Okay. Once we find these exact
scores, I will go to one X bet. I will
take the total goals over 1.5 or the
total goals under 3.5.
I took the Milan game. I will go to the
analysis. Once here, the first thing to
look at is the probability of the
winning team. Here it does not meet our
criteria. So I will look for another
match. For example, this Valencia match.
Once here we see the probability of the
winning team is 70%. This is very high.
Now we will look at the scores proposed
by this app. Here we see the first score
is 0 to2. [music] The next is 0 to 1
with a percentage of 15.3. The next is
13% with a score of 0 to3. So I will go
to the 1x bet app. I will look for the
match and I will take [music] a total
goals over 1.5. But the odds are not
very high. So I will scroll down and I
will take from 6 to 5. Okay. And here
are the matches I talked about. So I
will pause and we will meet again a
little later.
Okay. After the results, here is what
happened. You can see there are some
reds, but the winners are huge. We will
start here. You can see I lost this
first match. But if I had taken a total
over 0.5, I would have won. Well, no
problem. We will take this match. This
match was one. Here we lost. Here we
won. Here we also won up to odds of
three. And here also odds of four. Here
we lost. You see that was a bit like
this. Now I will show you many matches
and you will see the power, the strength
of this app. You know I have been
interested in sports statistics for 1
year now. I have downloaded dozens of
apps, tested methods and lost money too.
Let's be honest and I learned one
important thing. There is no magic
formula to predict sports results 100%.
But there are tools that if used smartly
can give you [music] a statistical
advantage. And today I will talk to you
about a free app that you probably know
but maybe you do not use correctly.
Before we start, an important warning.
This video is not an encouragement to
bet on sports. Betting carries real
financial risks. If you choose to bet,
do it responsibly with money you can
afford to lose. This video is mainly
educational for those interested in
sports statistics. [music] Now that this
is said, let me tell you how I
discovered this method. A few weeks ago,
I was watching the match Real versus
Juventus. As usual, I had opened bis
soccer to follow the live stats. Real
was the clear favorite and I was almost
sure they would win 2-0 or 3-1. The
match ends 1 z for Real Madrid. Nothing
special, you might say. But then, out of
curiosity, I click on the analysis tab
of [music] the app, a tab I had always
ignored until now. And there I found
something interesting. Before the match,
the app had analyzed all the data and
gave a percentage for each possible
score. The score 1 0 and the score 200.
They had the highest percentage, [music] 14.3%.
14.3%.
I said to myself, okay, coincidence. So,
I checked another match on the same day.
Galatasurai versus FK Bodo. Final score
[music] 3:1 for Galatasurai. I look at
the predictions and guess what? The
scores 1 0 2 1 2 0 and 3 1 had the
highest percentages from 9% to 6.4%.
At that moment, I felt I was on to
something, but I am a methodical person.
I did not [music] want to get too
excited. So, I did what any analyst
would do. I checked the last 50 matches
of major competitions. The results I
will show you in a few moments, but
spoiler alert, the statistics are
impressive. To maximize your chances,
create an authentic and verified account
using the promo code BOS32.
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registration and up to 10% cash back on
losses in the last 30 days. Log out of
your old account and create a new
account with the code BOS32.
This is important. [music]
Do not change a winning team. Okay,
let's continue. Before I show you the
concrete proof, [music] let me explain
the method I discovered. It is simple
but you need to understand the logic
behind it. Step one, choose the right
type of match. Not all matches are equal
for this analysis. Here is my golden
rule. Matches to focus on a clear
favorite. Obvious level difference.
National League competitions or Europa
League matches where a team plays at
home with a good history. Matches to
avoid derbies and rivalry matches. Two
emotionally unpredictable matches like
Real Madrid versus Barcelona. Two teams
of equal level. Cup finals. Too much
pressure. Close results. Matches with
teams in a results crisis. Step two.
Identify the favorite. No need to be an
expert. B. Soccer already gives you this
information via the win percentage.
Usually above 3540%.
Bookmaker odds. Recent form statistics.
Step three. The key. Analyze the exact
score percentages. Here is where it gets
interesting. In the analysis tab, scroll
to the exact score section. Focus only
on the favorite scores. Identify the
score with the highest percentage. Check
that there is a significant gap with
other scores, at least 1 to 2%
difference. Why does it work? B Soccer
uses algorithms that analyze the last 20
matches of both teams, historical
head-to-head records, current [music]
form, injuries, suspensions, offensive
and defensive statistics, context, [music]
[music]
home away, importance of the match. The
app does not predict the future. It
calculates probabilities based on real data.
data.
Concrete proof
examples. Now, let me show you concrete
examples that I have checked. [music] I
will show you five but know that I have
analyzed more than 50. Example one,
Sunderland 1-1 versus Everton. Last
weekend match, Everton was clearly the
favorite away. Win probability 47%. And
if we look at the exact scores, we see
that 0 to 1 has the highest percentage.
There is also 1:1, the next highest
percentage. There is also 0 to 2 and
1:2. Actual result 1:1 for Everton. Do
you see how the site works? It is amazing.
amazing.
Example two, real ovo 000 versus Osuna
Oedo. Win probability 48.6%.
I told you that the win probability of a
team should be above 50%. And if we look
at the exact scores, we see that 1:1 has
the highest percentage. There is also 0
to 1, the next highest percentage. There
is also 1:2 and 0 to 2 and then 0 0.
Actual result 000. Example three,
Sasuolo 1:2 versus Genoa. Interesting
match. If we look at the exact scores,
we see that 1:2 has the highest
percentage. There is also 1:1, the next
highest percentage. There is also 2 and
2 1. Actual [clears throat] result 2-1
for Genoa. Do you see how the site
works? It is amazing. Example four,
Latio 20 versus Calerie. [music]
If we look at the exact scores, we see
that 20 0 has the highest percentage.
There is also 1 0 the next highest
percentage. There is also 2 1 and 3 0.
Actual result 2-nil for Cali. Do you see
how the site works? It is amazing. Do
you see the pattern? In these four
matches, all four predictions were
correct. But beware, and this is
crucial, this does not mean it works
100%. From my 50 matches analyzed, here
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