0:00 We have a slight gap down here. So you
0:02 can manage risk really tightly actually
0:03 and we immediately rally through and
0:05 really penetrate the prior days bar.
0:06 This is the best possible situation
0:08 where we have immediate strength off the
0:10 open. Rally strongly through that low
0:12 and managing risk at the stop you're
0:13 automatically up a bunch of risk
0:16 multiples if you manage risk at this low
0:17 of the day. So again thinking about the
0:19 negative if you you buy this as it
0:21 breaks through this and we reverse down
0:22 and break this low. That's where you
0:24 would exit with your stop loss. but
0:25 instead here you have an early entry
0:27 point up the right hand side of a base
0:29 and you have immediate profit here to
0:31 weather any of the pullbacks up the
0:32 right hand side. So that is a really
0:34 good example of an oops reversal. This
0:35 is how you accumulate versus lows where
0:37 the stock has pushed up off the low of a
0:39 base. It's formed 1 2 3 four or five
0:42 days of tightness and it keeps
0:43 respecting a key level. This could be
0:45 right above a moving average as well.
0:47 There's often confluence there. But the
0:48 key thing is that this range keeps
0:50 respecting a key level in the market.
0:52 And that is the bottom of the the range
0:54 and you can enter as it keeps confirming
0:56 up off that level. Basically, and I'll
0:58 define what tight and logical means.
0:59 We're looking to enter at a spot where
1:01 we can manage risk tightly as well as
1:03 logically. Meaning that the percentage
1:05 stop is pretty small. And we're managing
1:07 risk and placing our stop loss at a
1:09 logical place based on market structure,
1:12 based on a moving average. Basically, if
1:14 the stock hits our stop, it's a logical
1:16 spot that defines that the entry tactic
1:18 that we're using or the setup we're
1:19 using has failed. Entry tactics can't be
1:21 used in isolation. They have to be in a
1:23 strong stock. They have to be in an
1:24 overall mature setup like a base, like a
1:27 gapper, whatever it is. That's really
1:28 when they work best. You want to stack
1:30 the odds in your favor. And a big part
1:31 of that is looking for confluences.
1:33 Consolidation pivots are basically key
1:35 pivots and ranges that form up the right
1:37 hand side of a mature base. You've got
1:40 traditional base pivot up here. These
1:41 pivots are smaller in nature. These
1:43 ranges are going to be smaller than the
1:44 overall base, but they're clear lines of
1:46 resistance up the right hand side. And
1:48 your stop loss is either going to be set
1:49 at the low of the day as we break
1:51 through or at the previous higher low.
1:53 So that's how you can think about
1:55 [Music]
1:59 it. So let's go ahead and get started.
2:01 Welcome to the next Trader Handbook
2:03 webinar. Super excited to have you guys
2:05 here. This is going to be an excellent
2:07 one. uh we've already done three that
2:09 kind of lay that foundation. We've tal
2:11 talked about key principles, common
2:13 trading problems, really kind of our
2:14 philosophy that everything is built
2:16 upon. Uh then we provided kind of a
2:18 foundation with regards to technical
2:20 analysis, how we interpret charts and
2:23 the last two webinars or the last
2:24 webinar we dove deep into setups and
2:27 edges, gave the specifics ones we use as
2:29 well as just kind of provided a
2:30 framework to think about how you look at
2:33 setups and edges so you can apply it to
2:34 your own personal style of trading.
2:36 Because again, we're using our style as
2:38 an example, but uh the frameworks that
2:41 we're presenting can apply to mean
2:43 reversion trading. They can apply to day
2:45 trading. Whatever your style is, um
2:48 you'll be able to apply the concepts
2:49 that we're talking about uh to the to
2:51 yours specifically. Uh today, we're
2:53 going to dive deeper into the entry side
2:55 of trading, uh focusing on entry tactics
2:58 and trade execution. This is going to be
2:59 excellent one. It's the most slides
3:01 we've had, so make sure you stick around
3:02 till the end. We've also got some
3:04 giveaways and surprises in there for
3:06 you. And we're going to cover a lot
3:08 today. So, make sure you stick around.
3:10 And if you do enjoy this, please go
3:11 ahead and leave a like on the video.
3:13 Really helps us out. And if you're not
3:14 already subscribed, uh definitely go
3:16 ahead and do that. And before we get
3:19 into it, um if you're not already a part
3:21 of the Trader Handbook weight list, uh
3:23 please go ahead and register. We'll be
3:24 giving away a lot of additional
3:26 exclusive bonuses such as educational
3:28 articles. I'll be sending one later
3:30 today on a specific entry tactic that
3:32 we'll be talking about in today's
3:33 webinar. Uh so if you're not already a
3:35 part of that, definitely join right
3:36 here. Uh here's a quick preview of what
3:38 you get. We've already sent model book
3:40 chapter preview, a bunch of other
3:42 educational articles that dive a little
3:44 bit deeper into what we talk about in
3:45 the webinars. Um and if you sign up,
3:47 don't don't uh don't feel like you're
3:49 missing out because you'll be sent these
3:50 ones that we've already sent out um
3:53 after you sign up. So uh definitely go
3:55 ahead and register here. Again, this is
3:56 completely free. uh you can just scan
3:58 this QR code right here and uh join this
4:01 list. And you know, I'm really looking
4:02 forward to uh continuing to send out
4:04 educational articles. Again, I'll be
4:06 sending out one later today to everybody
4:08 who registers and joins this list. Uh
4:10 we'll also be giving away a lot of
4:11 stuff, including a trade analytics log
4:13 later on. Uh so you don't want to miss
4:15 that. So go ahead and join uh this
4:17 weight list, especially if you're
4:18 watching uh this
4:20 recording. All right, let's dive deep
4:23 into chapter 5. Uh the the subject of
4:26 today's webinar covers uh what we cover
4:28 in the Trader Handbook, chapter 5, entry
4:30 tactics and trade execution. Getting
4:32 really into the nitty-gritty about how
4:34 we actually enter orders after we've
4:36 identified a promising stock based on
4:38 edges and setups. This is kind of the
4:40 last layer to actually entering a
4:42 position. And I wanted to start out with
4:45 this quote that I think puts everything
4:47 in perspective, right? because we're
4:48 going to be focusing on a zoomed in view
4:50 today about how you actually enter and
4:52 manage orders and all that. Uh but
4:55 without the larger context, the setup,
4:57 the edges, the market context, which
4:59 we'll get into into a dedicated webinar,
5:01 the entry tactic is just the last piece
5:04 that in isolation is not effective. So
5:07 everything has to come together. And
5:08 we'll talk about context uh quite a bit
5:10 in today's uh webinar, but the quote is
5:12 from Sunzu. Strategy without tactics is
5:15 the slowest route to victory. tactics
5:17 without strategy is the noise before
5:19 defeat. So, a lot about what we're
5:21 talking today uh about is, you know,
5:23 specific patterns, short-term patterns,
5:25 but you can always find those patterns.
5:27 And the reason that they're effective
5:29 when they are is because they're used in
5:31 conjunction with a promising stock, you
5:33 know, a strong showing a lot of edges in
5:36 a overall larger context that's
5:38 constructive, showing accumulation, and
5:40 has a strong setup. So, we always want
5:41 to think about edges, setup, and then
5:44 entry tactics is kind of the last piece
5:46 to the puzzle. So, here's the agenda for
5:49 today. You can see we've got a lot to
5:50 cover, and this is going to be a really,
5:52 really good one, guys. Uh, first getting
5:54 getting into king components of entry
5:55 tactic. Uh, then talking a little bit
5:57 about risk management, although we'll
5:58 expand on that quite a bit in the next
6:00 webinar, which is completely dedicated
6:01 to stop losses, setting them, all that.
6:03 So, stay tuned for that. Um, but we
6:05 talked a little bit about tight and
6:06 logical stops here. Uh then pairing
6:08 entry tactics with setups, which ones we
6:10 use with which setup that we talked
6:11 about in the previous webinar. Uh we'll
6:13 talk about the key level reclaim entry
6:15 tactic, the consolidation pivot/range
6:17 breakout entry tactic, the four ways to
6:19 trade ranges. Uh then we'll talk about
6:21 key level pullbacks, oops reversals,
6:23 opening range breakouts, intraday base
6:25 breakouts, high volume close pivots, uh
6:27 volume support, and then overall the
6:29 trade execution process, how we think
6:31 about, you know, getting ready to
6:32 actually enter an order. So this is
6:34 going to be really, really good.
6:35 Hopefully you guys are uh are really
6:38 interested in this. So, let's go ahead
6:40 and dive right in. All right, so what is
6:43 an entry tactic? Uh like I said before,
6:45 entry tactics are the final layer.
6:47 They're the last piece of the puzzle
6:48 after identifying a strong stock with
6:50 edges and setups. Uh they basically
6:53 allow us to control risk tightly and
6:55 position size adequately by helping
6:57 traders enter positions with precise
6:58 stop levels and risk control. Uh like I
7:01 said, they enable proper position
7:02 sizing, allow us to actually, you know,
7:05 turn the needle when a trade moves in
7:07 our favor and well-timed entries allow
7:09 us to put on enough size uh while
7:11 managing risk to actually make a
7:12 difference in our accounts and that's
7:14 what leads to performance at the end of
7:15 the day. Uh then entry tactics are
7:17 execution focused. There's a clear buy
7:19 point called the pivot point. Uh there's
7:21 a clear level to manage risk. I know a
7:23 lot of you guys, you know, have have a
7:24 question where do you place stop-
7:26 losses? um you know this today will
7:28 answer that question with every entry
7:30 tactic. We'll talk about exactly where
7:32 we place a stop-loss and different
7:34 variations as well depending on the
7:36 situation. So like I said the entry
7:39 tactic is the last piece of the puzzle.
7:41 First comes the edges. How we get a
7:43 stock on our radar, how we identify high
7:45 potential. Next comes the overall setup.
7:48 This could be a base. This could be a
7:49 gapper. Whatever the larger pattern that
7:52 you like to trade and you've studied
7:53 historically and is effective overall
7:55 and shows up again and again in the
7:57 biggest winners, that is the larger
7:59 setup. Then the entry tactic is the
8:01 specific buy point. This the smaller
8:03 pattern. And in this case, we've got an
8:05 example of a consolidation pivot. The
8:07 smaller pattern that completes the setup
8:09 and allows us to manage risk tightly at
8:11 a higher low at the low of the day uh at
8:14 a moving average. Uh this is the last
8:16 piece of the puzzle after we've
8:18 identified a strong stock with edges and
8:20 it is basically exhibiting a larger
8:22 pattern called the setup. This is the
8:24 last piece of the puzzle that allows us
8:25 to actually enter and jump on a trend
8:28 and you know participate in a strong
8:31 move. So let's get into the key
8:33 components of entry tactic. Like I said
8:36 um basically there's two different
8:37 parts. There's the pivot point, the
8:38 actual entry area and then there's where
8:41 where you place a stop. And both of
8:42 these um work together to define the
8:45 risk we take on a particular uh trade.
8:48 So if you think about this, this is your
8:50 buy point. This is your cost. And then
8:52 the the difference, the distance between
8:54 your cost basis and your stop defines
8:57 the potential risk that you have. And
8:59 then this dollar risk multiplied by your
9:01 position size is your overall risk on
9:04 that position. So this amount, this
9:06 distance is something that we can set.
9:08 We can choose where we enter. We can
9:10 choose where we place our stop and we
9:12 can also choose our position sizing. And
9:14 that is what allows us to specifically
9:16 define our risk. And we'll get into this
9:18 like I said quite a bit in uh in the
9:20 next webinar and really get into the
9:22 math behind it as
9:24 well. But one thing I want to emphasize
9:26 uh just in this webinar before before we
9:29 before we continue um just turn up your
9:31 volume a little bit. It's been a
9:33 consistent comment. There we go. That
9:36 should be a little bit bigger. Um, all
9:38 right, cool. So, before we get into it,
9:41 uh, I just want to emphasize this
9:42 concept of tight and logical stop-
9:44 losses. And this is something I learned
9:46 from Ross Haber. Uh, he preaches this
9:48 over and over. It's it's a fantastic way
9:50 to think about it. Um, basically, and
9:52 I'll define what tight and logical
9:53 means, we're looking to enter at a spot
9:55 where we can manage risk tightly as well
9:57 as logically, meaning that the
9:59 percentage stop is pretty small. And
10:02 we're managing risk and placing our
10:04 stop-loss at a logical place based on
10:06 market structure, market structure,
10:08 based on a moving average. U basically,
10:11 if the stock hit hits our stop, uh, it's
10:14 a logical spot that defines that the
10:16 entry tactic that we're using or the
10:17 setup we're using has failed. And I
10:19 think this is a great quote from William
10:21 O'Neal just stressing the importance of
10:23 uh placing stop losses. Uh buying a
10:25 stock without knowing when or why you
10:27 should sell it is like buying a car with
10:28 no breaks or being in a boat with no
10:30 life life preservers or taking flying
10:33 lessons that teach you how to take off
10:34 but not how to land. And every single
10:36 market wizard, William O'Neal included,
10:38 just stresses the importance over and
10:40 over of managing risk, managing risk.
10:42 and the entry tactics buying right what
10:45 we're presenting in this webinar is
10:47 really how we are able to manage risk in
10:48 real time set our risk all of that so
10:50 this is a really really important quote
10:52 all right so getting a little bit deeper
10:55 into tight and logical stop-loss just to
10:57 put it into perspective before we dive
10:58 into the entry tactics um tight and
11:01 logical basically means that entry
11:02 tactics must allow for a tight and
11:04 logical stop logical means a violation
11:07 would signal the setup/entry tactic has
11:09 failed so if we enter here and we break
11:11 below the stop that means that this
11:12 higher low has been violated. This pivot
11:14 breakout has failed. Um and you know
11:17 we've seen a reversal down. However it
11:19 breaks uh that would basically signal um
11:22 that it has failed. Uh logical basically
11:25 means that uh a violation would oh yeah
11:28 sorry I already I reported that part. Uh
11:30 tight the stop tight basically means
11:33 that the stop will limit losses to just
11:34 a few percent. And if you can't set such
11:36 a stop I think this is really important.
11:38 There isn't a setup. Wait and be
11:40 patient. You want your decision- making
11:41 process to have the least amount of
11:43 layers. So, if a stock and you know
11:46 that, you know, you're interested in
11:47 the$150 buy point or something like
11:50 that. Um, and that stock gets above 50
11:54 and after that you're starting to look
11:57 into where do I place my stock? Where do
11:59 I place my how much is my risk? How much
12:01 should I be buying? What is my position
12:03 size? You're already detect you've
12:06 detached yourself from the process,
12:08 right? like you you've added five layers
12:11 of decision- making for you to press
12:13 that buy button. So all of that, you
12:16 know, the sequence of making, you know,
12:18 whatever leads to pressing that buy
12:20 button, position sizing, entry tactic,
12:23 where your stop loss should be, is it a
12:25 good stock or a bad stock, that should
12:28 all be moved offline. That should not be
12:31 real time, right? Uh that should be done
12:33 when the market is mostly closed. That's
12:36 that's how that's how I found a lot of
12:38 success is to not, you know, put myself
12:42 in a position to make those decisions
12:44 while the ticks are moving up and down.
12:46 It creates a lot of chaos and it creates
12:49 a lot of uh bad decisions basically. So
12:53 we'll speak to that in terms of how you
12:55 position size in future webinars, but I
12:58 think you know the your preparation has
13:01 to be offline not real time essentially.
13:03 Richard uh we can continue. Sorry about
13:05 that, guys. Uh I don't know why Zoom
13:07 failed us, but uh we're back. All right,
13:09 I'll restart the slide. So, what does
13:12 tight and logical stop-loss mean? Uh
13:14 again, entry tactics must be must be
13:15 tight and logical for it to be a valid
13:18 entry tactic. Logical means that a
13:20 violation would signal that the setup/
13:22 entry tactic has failed. Again, if we
13:24 enter through this pivot point and we
13:26 start to move up, then reverse down. I'm
13:28 sure all of you guys watching this have
13:30 experienced that at some point. And we
13:32 violate the stop. That basically tells
13:34 us that this entry has been invalidated.
13:36 We've undercut the higher low where we
13:38 place our stop and we have to wait for
13:40 the next setup, the next entry tactic uh
13:42 to potentially revisit the stock. Uh
13:44 tight means that this distance is just a
13:46 few percent. And this is important
13:48 because it allows us to um you know not
13:51 lose too much when we do experience a
13:53 stop, which we experience stops all the
13:54 time. You know about 50% or even more.
13:57 Um, you know, many of the market wizards
13:58 have about 40% win rates. So, six out of
14:01 10 times they're they're experiencing
14:02 losses just like this. And keeping those
14:05 six out of 10 times small is the key to
14:09 performance over the over the long over
14:11 the long term. So, that's what's so so
14:12 important. So, that's what technological
14:14 stop- losses. And again, we'll dive
14:16 deeper into that uh in the next webinar.
14:19 All right. And I think this is a really
14:21 good metaphor that the last time we did
14:22 this with the ultimate trading guide, a
14:24 lot of people really this it seemed like
14:26 this resonated with a lot of people. Um,
14:28 stop-losses are simply the cost of doing
14:30 business in the market. They're
14:33 essential for longevity to be able to do
14:35 this for decades. They help, you know,
14:37 get you out of bad markets and
14:39 corrections like the one we're
14:40 experiencing currently. And again,
14:42 they're simply the cost of doing
14:43 business. And what I want you to think
14:44 about is every trade you take is like a
14:47 ferry ride. I'm in Seattle. We we take
14:49 fairies all the time to different
14:50 islands and and all that. It's awesome.
14:52 Um and your stop loss is basically your
14:55 ticket fair to ride that trade to jump
14:57 on that chip. And sometimes you even get
15:00 to keep it. You you get this the trade
15:03 works for you and and you get your money
15:04 back. Um and you actually get to decide
15:07 how much your stop is. You get to decide
15:10 how much you're willing to pay to try
15:11 that trade. And we define that amount by
15:14 our entry tactic, by the distance
15:16 between our cost basis and our
15:18 stop-loss. So all in all, don't fear
15:21 stops. Thank them. They protect you.
15:23 Allow they allow you to keep trading for
15:25 decades and experience that compounding
15:27 over time. And any experienced trader
15:29 will tell you that the number one rule
15:30 is to cut losses short and have, you
15:33 know, let your winners run, cut your
15:35 losses short. You've that heard that a
15:37 million times, but there's a reason
15:38 that's repeated over and over again.
15:39 It's because it's one of the core truths
15:42 of trading is unless you cut your losers
15:44 loser short uh you're going to
15:46 experience bad losses that set you back
15:48 weeks, months, even years sometimes. So
15:50 this is really really important and you
15:52 know we can't predict the outcome of
15:54 trade but we can decide how much to pay
15:56 to try it again. We can decide how much
15:58 our ticket is going to cost, how much
16:00 our stop loss is. We can define that
16:02 risk very concretely and entry tactics
16:05 allow us to define our stop clearly at
16:07 the low of the day, the higher low, the
16:09 key level, whatever it is. But I think
16:11 what's really important is that your
16:13 stop loss, just think of it as a ticket
16:15 and you can set how much that ticket
16:16 costs to actually try that trade. Uh
16:18 Ryan, anything you want to add on kind
16:20 of this way of thinking about things or
16:21 just how you think about stop- losses
16:22 and their importance in in general? I
16:25 think they should be respected as a
16:27 trader. um you we we let our ego egos um
16:31 get get in the way and we when we plan
16:34 out a stop and it hits you just have to
16:37 take that uh learn from it and move to
16:40 the next trade. What's bad or what you
16:44 know a lot of new traders and phase one
16:47 and phase two traders put themselves in
16:49 is they don't respect you know they
16:51 don't respect the plan that they put
16:53 forth and that's really what hurts them
16:56 in the long run right when you're taking
16:58 a swing trade and a position trade with
17:01 a uh 4 to 8% stop-loss and or in that
17:05 range depending on your style when that
17:08 hits you have to take the loss and you
17:11 have to move on. And that's just the
17:14 reality of trading. There's no absolutes
17:16 uh and there's no I would say guarantees
17:22 that any particular setup, any
17:23 particular edge will work, you know,
17:26 more uh 100% of the time. So recent
17:29 example of a trader that I spoke to uh
17:32 is they they purchased Tesla right
17:35 around the $400, you know, level and
17:39 that was a major support in in their
17:41 opinion. They planned that trade out and
17:44 it broke their stop loss and now it's
17:46 down, you know, 40% from $400. And that
17:50 trader is still holding on to it because
17:53 he he he took a swing trade or a
17:55 position trade at a level of support or
17:59 a key level that he determined on the
18:02 charts, but then he failed to respect
18:05 his stop-loss. That results in huge draw
18:09 downs in your your account. And that's
18:12 really the difference between a
18:14 consistent trader takes losses
18:17 consistently when a stock comes in and
18:20 hits their stock or takes you know
18:23 profits consistently. That's what that's
18:26 what we spoke about in the first two
18:27 webinars in the consistency phase. So
18:30 that's really what se separates the two
18:33 type of traders that we always speak
18:34 about the boom and bust and the
18:36 consistency
18:38 uh consistent trader right. So yes,
18:41 you're going to have losses. You have
18:43 to, you know, you're you're going to
18:44 lose you're going to have more losing
18:47 trades than winning trades in your
18:48 trading uh journey. But what will happen
18:52 is your winners will be far greater in
18:56 terms of percentages. So taking those
18:58 small losses along the way will be very
19:00 very easy. Uh it should be very very
19:03 easy to do, right? If you look at the
19:05 long um the the the long term, and I
19:09 really like another analogy that that
19:10 Yen in the chat said, uh if you get on
19:13 the wrong train, get off at the next
19:14 station, the longer you stay, the more
19:16 expensive the return trip will be.
19:18 Exactly. And and losses work
19:20 geometrically against you. Um you know,
19:22 you've all seen those charts where if
19:23 you lose 10%, it's about 11% to get back
19:26 to break even, but getting losing much
19:28 more than that, you know, losing 50%
19:30 requires a double to get back to break
19:31 even. So, we want to keep it as tight as
19:33 possible. Um, you know, I like to keep
19:35 it, you know, around three 3 to 4%. Um,
19:38 Ry, I know you keep it even tighter than
19:40 that with with your entries. And again,
19:42 we'll we'll get into stop losses and
19:43 really specifics uh in the next webinar.
19:45 Uh, but yeah, and also one thing I say
19:48 is, you know, corrections in the market
19:49 are built to turn a swing trader into an
19:53 investor and an investor into a
19:54 long-term investor, right? So, that's a
19:58 mechanism of not respecting your stop
20:00 losses. you have to respect them. If you
20:02 if you planned uh and you and you follow
20:05 your plan consistently, you'll be a
20:07 better trader because of it. And if you
20:09 continue to ignore them, then you just
20:11 become a bag holder in stocks and now
20:14 you're part of companies that are down
20:15 80 90 uh% from their highs and you you
20:19 know they will come back. Maybe they
20:21 will come back in three to four years,
20:22 but you're now detached from your
20:24 objective of being a swinger position
20:26 trader. Let's keep going. Yeah. So
20:28 diving into the meat of today's webinar,
20:30 let let's talk about entry tactics
20:32 finally. So I think the big highle thing
20:34 that we want to talk about here is
20:36 context and confluence. We've talked
20:37 about how context is so important. Entry
20:40 tactics can't be used in isolation. They
20:42 have to be in a strong stock. They have
20:44 to be in an overall mature setup like a
20:46 base, like a gapper, whatever it is. Um
20:49 that's that's really when they work
20:50 best. You want to stack the odds in your
20:52 favor. And a big part of that is looking
20:54 for confluences. Here in the diagram
20:56 here, we've got example of a base after
20:58 a strong uptrend. We've got a moving
21:00 average here, a representation of moving
21:01 average. And this entry right here
21:04 coincides with a reclaim of the moving
21:06 average as well as this pivot here. And
21:09 this is the type of thing we want to be
21:10 looking for or on a pullback by, you
21:13 know, pulling into the moving average as
21:14 well as this prior pivot. Whenever
21:16 there's stuff like that in the market,
21:17 more participants are going to support
21:18 the stock and buy the stock at that
21:20 level. And that's what allows us to
21:23 increase our probabilities and gain
21:24 confidence in the setup. Uh and one
21:26 thing that I do want to emphasize here
21:28 is today, especially as we get into um
21:32 some of the gapper setups and entry
21:33 tactics, um we will be talking a little
21:36 bit about some intraday setups. But I
21:38 think I and I want to be really clear
21:40 here. Unless a stock is set up on a
21:42 daily and weekly chart, there's no point
21:44 in looking for an entry tactic or entry
21:47 on an intraday time frame. You can
21:49 always find entries on an entry time
21:50 frame, but the ones that actually work
21:52 are because the stock is set up and
21:54 under accumulation uh and set up on the
21:56 daily and weekly charts. So, don't lose,
21:58 you know, don't don't look at the trees
22:00 and and not see the forest uh whatever
22:02 that saying is, you know, focus on the
22:04 overall the context and make sure that
22:07 the stock is set up on all time frames
22:09 if you're going to be looking at
22:10 intraday. I think too many beginning
22:11 traders, you know, say, "Oh, I I can
22:13 manage risk tightly on the five minute,
22:15 but the stock has to be set up on a
22:17 daily. It has to be set up on a weekly
22:18 chart for a stock to actually make a
22:20 meaningful move. So, that's really,
22:21 really important. Um, all right. So,
22:23 let's get into it. So, we talked about
22:26 three main setups in the previous
22:28 webinar. If you haven't yet, uh, check
22:30 the link in the description. Uh, we'll
22:31 we'll be posting the playlist uh, to the
22:34 previous webinars. U,, but, you know,
22:36 there's three main setups we talked
22:37 about. The gapper, base breakout, and
22:38 launchpad. Each has their own associated
22:41 entry tactics. There's some crossover
22:43 because you can use a range breakout
22:45 after a base breakout. You can use a
22:47 range breakout after a gap. Uh but you
22:50 know, in general, these are kind of the
22:52 entry tactics we'll be talking about
22:54 related to a gapper and these are the
22:56 ones related to the launchpad. So this
22:57 is kind of how how everything's
22:59 interchange. So for base breakouts and
23:00 launch pads, they're both kind of
23:01 overall base patterns that are forming
23:03 up. We look for key level reclaims,
23:05 consolidation pivots/range breakouts,
23:07 key level pullbacks, as well as oops
23:09 reversals. Then for gappers, we're
23:11 looking for on day one opening range
23:13 breakouts and intraday basis. We've got
23:14 a bonus tactic there that you'll have to
23:16 stick around uh to see what it is. And
23:18 then, you know, after day one, and day
23:21 one is the day of the gap for everybody.
23:23 Um after day one, there's other entry
23:25 tactics that we can use like volume
23:26 support, high volume close uh pivot, as
23:30 well as a range breakout after uh day
23:33 one of of of the gap. Um and I want to
23:35 be clear, we're going to talk about some
23:37 intraday setups on day one, but to have
23:39 success with a gapper setup, you don't
23:40 need to trade day one. You know, often,
23:43 you know, you can kind of see the cards
23:45 uh at the poker table uh before you
23:47 decide to enter by waiting for day one,
23:49 screening for day one, and then looking
23:51 for an entry tactic that we talk about
23:52 right here after the fact. Um huge gaps
23:55 on big volume are often the start of
23:58 longerterm trends. So, don't feel like
24:00 you need to rush and and get into day
24:01 one if you know that's scary for you or
24:04 you don't feel like you can manage risk.
24:05 you can always use these other entry
24:06 tactics that we'll focus on uh to enter
24:09 after that day one um move. So this is
24:12 kind of kind of just setting the overall
24:14 context and we'll start with talking
24:16 about these right here. So before we get
24:18 into that um just on the very short term
24:21 we're going to be talking about ranges
24:22 which can be 3 to 4 days or as short as
24:24 2 days. These are just some priming
24:26 short-term patterns that we talked about
24:27 in the technical analys foundations um
24:30 that you know are useful to know because
24:32 they clear say set clear pivots that
24:34 we'll discuss later on. So we've got the
24:35 inside bar where all the price action is
24:38 contained within the previous bar. This
24:40 high is a breakout of this consolidation
24:42 on a very short-term basis. Then we've
24:44 got the upside reversal and this could
24:46 be where it opens here, pushes under the
24:48 low the previous day and and closes
24:49 strong or like here which is actually an
24:51 oops reversal. we open below the low and
24:55 uh you know close strongly and then
24:56 follow through through the high is
24:58 another potential pivot point. And then
24:59 here the last short-term pattern that
25:01 kind of primes a mature setup is this
25:03 positive expectation breaker where we
25:05 have a very negative close and we gap up
25:07 and close strongly and these highs can
25:10 be that pivot point. So these just kind
25:11 of set pivots within the context of the
25:14 entry tactics we'll talk about today.
25:16 And you'll see these all over the charts
25:18 right before a stock makes a strong
25:20 momentum move. So that's why we want to
25:22 uh you know present these and keep these
25:23 in mind as we go through the examples
25:25 today. All right, but let's get into the
25:28 first entry tactic that we'll be
25:29 discussing and that is a key level
25:31 reclaim. And a key level could be a
25:33 prior base pivot. It could be, you know,
25:36 a key low like with this example or it
25:39 could be a moving average. There's some
25:40 uh dynamic at work here where there's
25:43 basically a key level that a lot of
25:45 market participants are watching.
25:47 Whether that's the 50 SMA, whether
25:48 that's the 200 SMA where, like we said,
25:51 there's a prior swing low, that's very
25:52 obvious. We're looking for a clear
25:54 potential support level that gets
25:56 undercut and then gets reclaimed. That's
25:59 what we're looking for here. And you've
26:00 got an entry as it reclaims the key
26:02 level and your stop would be under the
26:04 higher low um right before that reclaim.
26:07 And here's the basically the same
26:09 example with a moving average where we
26:11 reclaim it. This is the entry point and
26:12 then your stop would right be right
26:15 under the higher low right there. So
26:17 here's an example with Uber back last
26:19 year. We have a prior base low where
26:22 everybody thinks this is the key level.
26:24 Uh and the stock is bottom. It starts to
26:26 move up, gets rejected down, moves down
26:28 again. It's respected once. So you're
26:30 seeing prior respect for this level
26:32 here, here, and here. And then what
26:35 happens? We lose it. Everybody who used
26:37 this low as a stop got shaken out. And
26:41 you know, we push lower and it looks
26:42 like we're going to test the 200 day
26:43 moving average. What happens though? We
26:45 get a positive expectation breaker where
26:47 instead of following through from this
26:48 bar, we gap up and hold and then we
26:51 start rallying back through that level.
26:52 And that is the entry point and your
26:54 stop would be right under this low or
26:56 even the low as it pushes through. We
26:58 get a gap up and a strong trend and
27:00 finally a breakout here. So this often
27:02 happens actually right before the stock
27:04 is ready to move up the right hand side
27:06 of the overall base. This is a really
27:08 good example of a base pivot or actually
27:10 a base low uh that gets reclaimed and
27:13 then we're off to the races and enter.
27:15 So, this is kind of a key level reclaim
27:17 and we've got an example here with a
27:19 moving average. This is Reddit where
27:21 we're in a consolidation in a base. The
27:23 50 SMA is above the stock. We see it be
27:27 rejected once and we actually pop
27:30 through it, retest it, and then close
27:32 strong. This is the 50 SMA reclaim right
27:34 here. And we're off to the races. And we
27:36 know that Reddit did tremendously well
27:38 uh from this buy point. We also get a
27:41 reclaim of the 21 EMA here, but that's a
27:43 little bit more advanced. Uh and in
27:45 general for bases, a 50
27:47 SMA 50 SMA reclaim is a little bit more
27:50 significant. Uh so that's an example
27:52 with a moving average. And this allows
27:54 you to manage risk right at this low or
27:56 at this higher low as well after it pops
27:59 through. I like this one here because I
28:01 like my stocks a little bit tighter. And
28:02 to me, if we pop through the 50 SMA,
28:04 retest it, and then close strong, it
28:07 should not violate this low and close
28:09 below the moving average again, and it
28:11 should just be off to the races as it
28:13 did. The best stocks just go after a
28:15 successful entry tactic. And that's
28:16 something that you really want to look
28:18 for. Um, let's see. Ry, anything you
28:21 want to add about a key level reclaim,
28:23 both with a a level or a moving average?
28:28 I think uh the the key moving average
28:31 the the 50-day is one that's used by a
28:34 lot of traders and there's a lot of eyes
28:36 on that moving average. So it's a key
28:38 level just like the 200 day when we go
28:40 into a deeper correction. A lot of the
28:43 eyes from an index perspective go to the
28:46 200. These are important levels in the
28:48 market. There are a lot of traders and a
28:50 lot of folks watching these. So when
28:52 they are reclaimed, it creates instant
28:54 momentum to the upside or at least a a
28:59 level for you to consistently watch. Uh
29:02 the example, you know, that I see on
29:05 with the Reddit uh if you go back uh to
29:09 that is if I draw on here, they're going
29:13 to see it, right? Yep. Yeah, I was going
29:15 to point that out. This is kind of your
29:17 horizontal resistance area, right? If we
29:20 were to there's confluence look at yeah
29:23 so stands you know always looking for
29:26 that you know the stock is in a
29:27 downtrend now it's going sideways and
29:30 now it's built this horizontal
29:32 resistance area and then that's a
29:34 confluence of the 50-day as well. Now
29:36 you have two factors going at once. One
29:39 is the stock is having a tough time to
29:41 go through this particular level on the
29:43 chart. Second is that the 50-day has now
29:46 flattened which means for the last 50
29:48 days the stock has now consolidated and
29:50 built out a sideways base. Right? Uh
29:54 those two things and what happens
29:56 essentially is when we pop through that
29:58 50 is that multiple styles or multiple
30:02 folks that are looking at technical
30:04 analysis in a different way. Plus just
30:06 the 50-day being a key level in the
30:08 market for a stock that is super liquid,
30:11 right? and a younger company. It's also
30:14 again showing relative strength, right?
30:16 It's outperforming the markets within
30:18 this consolidation. All these factors
30:20 when they come into play and it breaks
30:22 that the the really key part to that is
30:25 what Richard said. There's no reason for
30:27 this stock to come back and violate this
30:29 low. That that is what an entry tactic
30:33 is. It gives you an entry, but you know
30:36 your stop loss. If this stock were to
30:38 come the next day, let's just say
30:39 hypothetically none of this happened,
30:41 right? Uh up here and next day just came
30:44 in and broke that at least you know
30:47 exactly where you're going to get
30:48 stopped out, right? And if that
30:51 happened, you take that loss and you
30:53 move on to the next uh setup and look
30:56 for that formation to form again. Over a
30:58 span of trades, regardless of what the
31:00 name is on the stock, Reddit, Meta,
31:03 Uber, doesn't matter. this type of
31:06 formation will play out and not every
31:08 formation let's say if that one out of
31:10 you know three out of 10 fail like that
31:12 if the rest of them work you you're just
31:14 going to have asymmetry in terms of your
31:16 performance in the markets. The key here
31:19 is a lot of traders struggle with the
31:22 fact that what makes this, you know,
31:25 entry point really, really good right
31:28 here is the fact that you know your stop
31:30 loss and you know that the stock should
31:32 not if it's a leader and it's about to
31:34 run, it should not violate this area.
31:37 That's the most important. And one thing
31:39 I want to add because I saw a question,
31:40 you know, why are why this reclaim
31:43 versus this reclaim? And that's a really
31:45 good question. The reason being is going
31:48 into this level, we've already expended
31:50 some energy moving up off the base low.
31:53 Not too much, but you know, you've
31:55 already run quite a bit as you're
31:57 approaching this horizontal line of
31:59 confluence as well as the declining and
32:01 pretty sharply declining 50 SMA here or
32:03 relatively sharply declining here. And
32:05 you know, you could try this and your
32:07 stop would be at the low and the next
32:08 day you get taken out and that's just a
32:10 stop stop hit. So this this entry is a
32:13 little bit better. This entry isn't
32:15 terrible, but you get out with a small
32:17 loss. And that's trading sometimes. And
32:19 I really like how after it failed, what
32:21 did we do? We pulled in on lower volume
32:24 into the 21 21 EMA were supported, had
32:27 an upside reversal. Remember the the
32:28 priming patterns that I talked about,
32:30 and then the next day, we get the the
32:32 better entry tactic. So even this one,
32:35 even if you tried it and failed, you
32:36 don't want to be discouraged and you
32:38 want to keep an eye on the stock because
32:39 it actually set up even better right
32:41 here as we're talking about with the 50
32:43 SMA reclaim. So I think this is a really
32:45 good example where again the entry
32:47 tactic in the stop would be the low of
32:49 the day because if it violates that, it
32:51 looks like another failed breakout right
32:52 here. So this this is a great example
32:54 with Reddit and definitely one to to
32:56 study. Uh Ryan, any any last bits you
32:58 want to add on a key level reclaim?
33:02 No. All right, cool. The next one is
33:05 going to be a buy on strength. Uh, and
33:08 it's a consolidation pivot/ range
33:10 breakout. And consolidation pivots are
33:12 basically key pivots and ranges that
33:14 form up the right hand side of a mature
33:17 base. You've got the traditional base
33:19 pivot up here. These pivots are smaller
33:22 in nature. These ranges are going to be
33:24 smaller than the overall base, but
33:26 they're clear lines of resistance up the
33:28 right hand side. And your stop loss is
33:30 either going to be set at the low of the
33:31 day as we break through or at the
33:33 previous higher low. So that's how you
33:35 can think about it. And you can see how
33:36 we get a range breakout pull back into
33:38 the range and then rebre out. This
33:40 happens quite a bit as well as sometimes
33:43 this next one is a pull into a moving
33:45 average. Um and again moving average
33:47 reclaims might be confluence with this
33:49 first uh consolidation pivot breakout.
33:51 So let's get into some examples. Uh this
33:53 is shop way back uh when it was a recent
33:55 IPO. Uh it's in an overall basing
33:58 pattern. It's a recent IPO. That's
33:59 that's one edge to look for. It's been
34:01 showing relative strength. So again,
34:03 that's how we get the stock on our
34:04 radar. We're not just looking at this
34:06 entry tactic in isolation. We're looking
34:07 for edges, and then we're looking for an
34:09 overall setup, and then we're looking
34:11 for a tight area. And this is the
34:13 consolidation pivot right here. You can
34:14 see we moved off the base low, went
34:16 tight for about four bars, five bars.
34:19 This high becomes the clear line of
34:21 resistance. And we get a clear breakout
34:23 pickup in volume as we push higher. This
34:25 is before the base pivot. So that's why
34:27 this is called a consolidation pivot
34:29 breakout and we actually consolidate
34:32 right on the base pivot and then keep
34:34 going and this one I think doubled or
34:36 tripled from this point over the next
34:38 year and then and then I think even more
34:40 so um you know over the next 5 years or
34:42 so of course as we know and one thing I
34:44 want to be clear here is in addition to
34:46 the relative strength you've got
34:48 tightness at the bottom of the space
34:50 you've got this positive expectation
34:52 breaker there's signs of accumulation
34:54 within the space and that's what I'm
34:55 always looking for before I'm looking
34:57 for an entry before I'm looking to use
34:59 an entry tactic. I'm looking for signs
35:01 of accumulation, tightness at the bottom
35:03 of bases, strong moves. You've got this
35:06 subtle gap here, which Stan Weinstein
35:08 always looks for up the right hand side
35:10 of the base. And then we go quiet and
35:11 tight on a decline in volume. Again, a
35:13 winning characteristic that we talked
35:15 about in the previous webinar as the one
35:16 one before that. And this this range is
35:19 only about 3 4% and we get a clear
35:22 breakout on a pickup in volume. And this
35:23 is the entry point right here. Um, this
35:26 is Ross Ross Haber's breadandbut setup.
35:28 Um, and this is one I use quite a bit as
35:30 well. This is kind of my preferred uh
35:32 entry point for a promising leader. U
35:35 and it's really really effective and
35:36 shows up again and again if you study
35:38 winners. There's always a consolidation
35:39 pivot breakout up the right hand side of
35:41 a base. Here's an another example with
35:45 RKLB from the previous year. So again,
35:47 we're showing stuff from like 2017.
35:50 We're showing stuff from last year. This
35:51 appears over and over again if you go
35:53 back and study previous winners. Uh
35:55 these are a little bit more subtle and
35:57 this is why we're doing this webinar to
35:58 help you spot them. And here we've got a
36:01 larger basing pattern. I don't show the
36:02 horizontal line uh the the pivot right
36:05 here. This but this is resistance and
36:07 this is overall a base. And you've got
36:09 many consolidations within this base.
36:11 And then the consolidation pivots
36:13 actually are very subtle here where
36:14 you've got just two days of tightness,
36:16 three days of tightness, three days of
36:18 tightness right here. And the pivot is
36:21 this key resistance level where you've
36:23 got the high of the range. And this is
36:25 RMV down below. This is just
36:26 highlighting that tightness for you. And
36:28 whenever RMV goes to zero, I look for a
36:31 tight area right here, right near the
36:34 highs. That's my consolidation pivot buy
36:35 point. And you can buy here. Expansion,
36:38 contraction, expansion, contraction,
36:40 expansion. Uh so these range breakouts
36:42 are allowing you to buy when a stock is
36:45 coiled within an overall setup and
36:47 participate on the momentum moves
36:49 higher. That gives us immediate profits,
36:51 allows us to jump on a trend. If you're
36:52 a swing trader, you're selling into
36:54 strength. And if you're a position
36:56 trader, you know, you're riding along
36:58 for the ride and and trying to hold uh
37:00 as a stock uh keeps trending above the
37:02 moving averages. But consolidation piv
37:03 pivots whether they're um you know 5
37:06 days, 4 days here or I wanted to show
37:08 this example because you've got just two
37:10 days, 3 days, 3 days here, they can be
37:13 pretty pretty tight. Um and you know the
37:16 tighter the better. You've got inside
37:17 days, upside reversals, tight closes
37:19 within them. That's what makes the best
37:21 consolidation pivot breakouts. We've got
37:23 another example. This is Nvidia back in
37:25 2021. I believe you've got two bases
37:27 here. One here, one here basically
37:29 stacked on top of it. And let me
37:31 actually zoom in here so you can show
37:33 show it a little bit clearly. Let's
37:34 focus on this base for the time being.
37:37 We've got a pullback below the moving
37:39 averages. We've got a very negative day.
37:41 The expectation after this bar is fall
37:44 through to the downside. What do we get?
37:45 We get a positive expectation breaker. I
37:47 I'm telling you, if you study bases,
37:49 these positive expectation breakers
37:50 happen all the time at the bottom of
37:52 bases as well as up the right hand side.
37:54 We get a move up into the moving
37:55 averages. We get rejected. This is
37:57 classic. we form an overall uh mini base
38:00 within this overall base and then we get
38:02 two days around three days of tightness
38:04 where these highs line up and this is
38:06 your consolidation pivot again a pretty
38:07 subtle one uh but this is your
38:09 consolidation pivot it lines up with a
38:10 reclaim of the 21 EMA you're buying
38:13 through this high saying your stop at
38:14 the low of the day very tight or even
38:16 the low of this prior day which lines up
38:18 with the 200 day moving average uh still
38:20 within a few percent and then we move up
38:22 expansion contraction again you're
38:24 buying this outside day through these
38:25 highs adding to your position or
38:27 building it up, expand a little bit, go
38:30 tight again for two days on a decline in
38:32 volume, very low volume during these
38:34 tight areas, and then we expand again on
38:36 big volume. And you could buy again
38:38 through here, fill out your position
38:40 even before the base breakout. Going
38:42 into this next base, we get another
38:44 pullback below the 21 EMA, another
38:46 pullback below the 50 SMA. Again, we
38:48 respect the 200 SMA. We get a nice big
38:51 reversal up off lows and these highs
38:54 line up to form the next consolidation
38:56 pivot off these lows. We get a break
38:57 through that expansion higher, another
39:00 consolidation right here. This is the
39:02 pivot through these highs. So again,
39:03 that's how I'm sping these. I'm looking
39:04 for ranges. I'm looking for where highs
39:06 line up and that's where I'm drawing
39:08 these lines. And you're buying the
39:10 breakouts through that um before the
39:12 overall base pivot and then you're off
39:13 to the races. And Nvidia had a nice I
39:15 think 50% 40% move uh from this base
39:18 breakout. Um, so that's a little bit
39:20 about the range breakout. Ry, uh, I know
39:23 you don't you might you kind of add to
39:24 your position on these, but anything you
39:26 want to add? Um, maybe maybe talk about
39:28 looking for relative strength phase and
39:29 then the the first contraction. That
39:30 might be a useful uh, bit of advice for
39:33 everybody. Yeah, so like we spoke about
39:36 in in previous webinars, for for me
39:39 it's, you know, as the pattern builds
39:42 out, I want to be I want to have it on
39:45 my radar. the more I learn how a stock
39:48 trades uh the more I can focus in on it
39:52 and essentially for me like some
39:54 somewhere around here would be you know
39:56 the stock is outperforming the markets
39:58 clearly so the relative strength line is
40:00 above its 21-day average uh and it's
40:03 outperforming the markets over a span of
40:05 21 days right uh we've built out a base
40:08 and a consolidation uh one of the things
40:10 I'm looking for right around this area
40:12 is tightness and price action which you
40:15 know now with RM MV it makes it a lot
40:17 easier to spot on the charts uh on a
40:20 relative basis right so we have relative
40:22 tightness we have a stock outperforming
40:25 the next thing is the theme you know the
40:28 semi-theme uh in the markets has always
40:30 you know over the past couple years been
40:32 the primary leader uh so and nothing
40:35 really gets better than this the stock
40:38 is super liquid right it trades really
40:40 well I can buy a lot of this stock and
40:43 you know not influence price or worry
40:45 about if this doesn't work out what
40:48 happens and then the most important part
40:50 is when I am getting involved my stop
40:53 loss should be known and I try to
40:55 operate within the 3 4% range uh cuz I
40:58 am a momentum trader primarily a swing
41:01 trader I want a stock to move up after I
41:04 buy it and I don't feel the need to you
41:06 know sit here and start to be an
41:08 investor all of a sudden because that's
41:10 not my objective or my goal when I'm
41:13 trading the markets. So you know uh the
41:17 RMV the relative strength phase uh where
41:20 it's outperforming the theme in the
41:21 markets when you put those things
41:23 together and then you start tracking
41:25 that hey let's say the market here was
41:27 in a correction right and I expected
41:30 Nvidia to have a deeper base it doesn't
41:32 that right off the bat you start
41:34 tracking you know base depth uh why is
41:37 it not moving much lower uh you know
41:39 compared to the markets why is it
41:41 starting to outperform it's you know the
41:43 primary leader in the market as well.
41:45 And I know that I can have a definitive
41:48 stop-loss right here and have very
41:50 minimal risk with very large position
41:52 sizing to hopefully, you know, not all
41:54 of them work out this way where they all
41:56 just, you know, place a trade and then
41:58 they never look back. They frustrate you
41:59 a little bit more. You know, often times
42:02 you're you're likely getting stopped out
42:03 more. Uh you're, you know, in terms of
42:06 number of trades that are winning or
42:07 losing, you'll likely have more losing
42:09 trades in the market than winning, but
42:11 your winners will do this instead. So
42:14 that's, you know, the the elements that
42:16 I'm looking at when I'm looking at, you
42:18 know, tight consolidation areas. RMV is
42:20 something I think, you know, everybody
42:21 should look at. If you're trading tight
42:24 price action, tight formations, it
42:26 allows you to define risk really, really
42:29 well. It's telling you that the stock is
42:31 now tightened up. The best thing is when
42:33 it tightens up and it has, you know, uh,
42:36 dry up in volume where Nvidia didn't
42:38 have, you know, that big of a dry up. It
42:40 was just that one day where it moved
42:42 down and the volume was low. But if it
42:44 had this was a shallower dry up, you I
42:47 would have even more conviction. Um,
42:50 couple of more examples like this come
42:51 to mind. You know, Tesla has done this
42:54 many many times where it goes sideways,
42:55 sideways, sideways. Roku uh, you know,
42:59 before couple years uh, earlier right
43:02 around that 100 level. it just
43:04 consolidated with tightness and then it
43:06 just blew that level and never looked
43:08 back uh for a couple of months as well.
43:10 So a lot of this happens um in the
43:13 markets again and again but you want to
43:15 look at different confluences
43:18 uh of you know is it outperforming is it
43:20 uh part of a leadership group is the RMV
43:23 near that zero confirming you know
43:26 databased tightness that you take all
43:29 those and then you make a trade uh on
43:32 the stock. Perfect. Yeah. And even
43:35 though volume wasn't super below the
43:37 average, it was declining considerably
43:39 since this move up. And this is just
43:41 super tight price action, you know,
43:43 within 2 3%. And RMV, again, we've done
43:46 we've done webinars completely on this
43:48 indicator. You can search that um if
43:50 you'd like, but when this goes to zero,
43:52 it's showing that price is tight just
43:54 like this. What what do we see at the
43:56 right hand side here? Again, tight price
43:58 action when we've got this really tight
44:00 range here. Tight price action when
44:02 we've got this tight range here. So,
44:03 it's showing that subtle tight areas
44:05 that market wizards look for, but newer
44:07 traders still haven't quite trained
44:08 their eye for. So, it's just a helpful
44:10 indicator to identify objective relative
44:13 tightness. All right, so we've talked a
44:16 lot about consolidation pivots and
44:18 ranges and and and buying them, but how
44:21 do we actually trade ranges? And I
44:23 wanted to go through kind of four
44:24 different frameworks that you can use to
44:27 trade those ranges/tight areas. So
44:30 something like this, something like
44:32 here, something like here where you've
44:34 got a clear range for at least two,
44:37 three, ideally four or five days, just
44:40 like this. So think about when I show
44:43 this, think about placing that range up
44:47 the right hand side of a base. So this
44:49 is what we're talking about when we're
44:50 talking about trading a range. So let's
44:52 get into it. first and and we'll go
44:54 through in detail each of these. You can
44:55 accumulate versus lows where you're kind
44:57 of buying versus the low of that range.
44:59 And again, this could be like a daily
45:01 chart uh where it shows this this
45:03 happens over the course of many days
45:04 where each time it's pulling into the
45:06 same overall level, gets supported, it's
45:08 being accumulated. You can buy versus
45:10 that low, set your stop loss right under
45:13 those lows. Uh so, you know, if it
45:15 violates that um you know, over time on
45:17 a closing basis, you're out with a small
45:19 loss. uh but you've got a great cost
45:21 basis. If it does break out of that
45:23 range, next we've got buying tightness,
45:25 anticipation as it looks to be breaking
45:27 out of that range and sets up a higher
45:29 low, then you could enter saying your
45:31 stop right under that higher low or even
45:32 the low of that range. That would be a
45:34 great way to again get a really good
45:36 cost basis with a very tight stop. The
45:38 third way is kind of my favorite, an
45:40 undercut rally where there's a mature
45:41 range of a few days. Then we get maybe a
45:44 gap down in the market or just a big
45:46 shakeout below below that range and we
45:48 rally back through that level. It's kind
45:50 of like that key level reclaim but on a
45:52 much smaller time frame and you can
45:54 enter versus as we reclaim that level
45:56 and even add on as we actually break out
45:59 through that range. Then lastly, we've
46:01 got the standard range breakout. This is
46:02 probably what you guys are most familiar
46:04 with uh where just we break out through
46:06 key highs and we enter here saying our
46:08 stop at the higher low or the low of the
46:09 range. And you can even add at the next
46:12 you know slight higher low and re-break
46:15 out confirming the breakout of the
46:16 range. So those are at very high level
46:18 are uh the the four ways to u trade a
46:21 range. So again this is um this is how
46:24 you accumulate versus lows where the
46:26 stock has pushed up off the low of a
46:27 base. It's formed one 2 3 four or five
46:30 days of tightness and it keeps
46:32 respecting a key level. And this could
46:34 be you know a whole number. Ry I know
46:36 you want to talk about that a little
46:37 bit. Um, this could be right above a
46:39 moving average as well. There's often
46:41 confluence there. But the key thing is
46:43 that this range keeps respecting a key
46:45 level in the market and that is the
46:47 bottom of the the range and you can
46:49 enter as it keeps confirming up off that
46:52 level off that level setting your stop
46:54 and buying as close to that level as
46:56 possible. So, if you're right, no harm
46:58 done. You're you're down very very
47:00 minimal amount. And if you're if you're
47:02 right and we break out from that range,
47:04 you've got a really good cost basis uh
47:06 managing risk versus that that level
47:07 right here and you're off to the races
47:09 if we keep moving higher. Uh Rod, do you
47:11 want to talk about kind of how you buy
47:13 because I know you like to buy this way
47:15 versus level quite a bit?
47:17 Yeah, I I pick a level. I mean I the way
47:20 I look at the markets is I if I if I'm
47:23 looking at Reddit for example which was
47:25 a trade last year or ALAB I pick you
47:29 know if if it's a clear level on the
47:31 charts let's say 60 on Reddit right or
47:34 when it's coming in it's respecting you
47:37 know the 55 area quite a bit so that
47:40 makes it easy for me to track if we say
47:42 this is you know 55 and this is 60 um
47:46 and the stock on the down days in the
47:48 market is continuously, you know,
47:51 holding this 55 level, it allows me to
47:54 accumulate that stock, you know, within
47:56 that 1 to 3% range. If it's away from
47:58 that 55, I can continue to, you know,
48:01 buy it here, rallies, comes back in, buy
48:03 it again, right? But if it violates that
48:06 level in, you know, that 55 level, then
48:08 I'll be out while keeping my risk in
48:11 that 1 to 3% range. Now, why would I buy
48:14 a stock that is pulling back and not
48:16 breaking out? That's a common question.
48:18 So as a base builds out, what happens is
48:21 if a let's say the market itself is
48:24 pulling in quite a bit, but the stock
48:26 continues to respect the level, which
48:28 let's say is 55 in this case, that's
48:31 relative strength versus a particular
48:34 level that I'm interested in. And as
48:36 long as I can operate within that 1 to
48:38 3% or 3 to 4% uh stop-loss range or
48:42 risk, then I can, you know, continue to
48:44 accumulate the stock. uh and what what I
48:47 call that is relative strength versus a
48:50 level. What happens is the relative
48:52 strength line will continue to rise to
48:55 the upside while the stock continues to
48:57 respect that 55 hypothetical level that
49:00 we're speaking of and the market's
49:02 pulling back in. So the RS line is
49:04 rising. The stock wants to outperform
49:07 the markets. there is market pressure
49:09 that continues to you know uh push it
49:12 back right into that level and it
49:14 continues to respect and hold that level
49:16 and not break it. When all those
49:18 elements combined, you know, uh take
49:21 take place, uh what happens is, you
49:23 know, you could define your risk really,
49:25 really well. Eventually, what happens is
49:27 that topside pivot, which is let's say
49:30 at 60 becomes your secondary or your
49:33 third or your final buy point, right?
49:36 And when the market pressure lifts uh
49:38 and the market's fine, the relative
49:40 strength line will also go up. And what
49:42 you would ideally want the stock to do
49:44 is also rip to the upside while breaking
49:47 your secondary or your tertiary uh entry
49:50 area on the top side. So I hope that
49:52 makes sense. You know, I I love doing
49:55 this. When you track bases and your
49:57 bigger bases on the daily charts or the
49:59 weekly charts, it's the same thing.
50:01 You'll see the structure, you know,
50:04 structure of a base will always tend to
50:06 respect some sort of whole number in the
50:08 markets be a 30, 40, 50. And that could
50:11 be a really easy way for, you know,
50:13 Nvidia is holding 100 or uh Google is
50:16 holding that or uh CH, you know, when it
50:20 was in that uptrend held that 30 area
50:22 for about uh you know, $18. It held
50:26 $17.50 throughout its whole base. that
50:29 allowed you to, you know, track the
50:30 stock really easily. But most
50:32 importantly define your risk and also
50:35 your stop loss. That's I think the the
50:37 bigger, you know, objective here is if I
50:40 can get away with a risk of 1 to 3% or 3
50:42 to 4% in on any setup, I'm in the
50:45 driver's seat and I can dictate the
50:49 action because I can dictate I know how
50:51 how much I'm going to lose if this were
50:52 to come back in and fail on me. Yep.
50:55 Perfect. The next way is kind of a step
50:58 up. So here you've you've been maybe
51:00 accumulating versus lows and like Ry
51:01 said, you can combine different ways to
51:04 trade a range to build out your
51:06 position. This might be you you've
51:08 recognized that the range is pretty
51:09 mature. It looks ready to break out. It
51:12 it does one last pullback, then pushes
51:14 higher towards that base. You can
51:16 anticipate that breakout and enter
51:18 setting your stop at the higher low. So
51:20 here you would set your stop uh with
51:22 this one, you'd set your stop at the low
51:24 of the range as you accumulate here.
51:25 here. You're setting your stop pretty
51:27 tightly at that higher low, anticipating
51:29 the breakout. And this could be kind of
51:31 your second buy after maybe you've been
51:33 accumulating your lows. Um, then the
51:36 third one is a little bit different.
51:38 We've been forming a range here and then
51:41 we get a shakeout below the clear low
51:44 that we've we've been accumulating
51:46 against maybe your stopped out. But this
51:49 shakeout provides an opportunity if we
51:51 quickly reclaim this range low to enter
51:54 while managing your stop at this key low
51:56 here as we reclaim. And this might
51:58 happen at an oops reversal which is
52:00 something we'll talk about later. Uh but
52:02 basically you've got a clearly defined
52:04 range right here. We get a shakeout
52:07 lower and then a reclaim of that range
52:10 low. You enter there and then you can
52:11 even enter again at the true range
52:13 breakout um you know as we rebreak out
52:16 and reconfirm. But this is kind of my
52:18 favorite personally where we've got a
52:20 range and it stops everybody out and
52:22 then that often leads to rapid movement
52:23 to the upside if we rec reclaim that
52:26 range low and you can set your stop
52:27 really uh tightly at that key low where
52:31 it reversed up from as it reclaimed that
52:34 level. Lastly, uh this one of the one of
52:37 the hardest things if you just go back
52:40 to to do is let's say you know you're
52:42 you're trading versus this level and you
52:44 accumulate, you accumulate, you get
52:46 stopped out right here, right? That's
52:47 what we spoke about in in the previous
52:49 slide. And the fact that you get stopped
52:51 out, it becomes infinitely hard to buy
52:54 it back right here. It's the most
52:57 uncomfortable thing that you could
52:58 possibly do because the stock that you
53:00 were watching, voided your thesis and
53:03 said that, you know, now wasn't the
53:05 right time. And it's, you know, buying
53:08 it back right here is one of the hardest
53:09 things. And it mostly comes with
53:11 experience, a lot of experience and a
53:14 lot of seeing this situation, right?
53:16 Something made the stock really, really
53:19 special in this range right here, right?
53:22 and the fact that it undercut and took
53:24 out a bunch of stops but then reclaimed
53:26 it uh you know whatever that was special
53:29 about it uh is is likely still special
53:32 if it reclaims that area once again.
53:34 It's one of the hardest things to get
53:36 you know uh around it. It's it's tough,
53:40 but watch for these situations, right?
53:43 When you get stopped out of a trade,
53:45 continue to track it. And if it starts
53:47 working thereafter, it may just be that
53:49 you were a little early to whatever, you
53:52 know, thought whatever you thought that
53:54 made that name super special. It's still
53:57 special when it reclaims that level,
53:59 right? It's just that it took you out
54:01 and it you you get a little bit sour or
54:03 you you start to, you know, move on to
54:06 the next stock or you stop paying
54:07 attention. And many times, you know, me
54:10 personally as well, I miss a lot of
54:13 really good-looking stocks where I had
54:15 the right idea, I had the right, you
54:17 know, uh I was looking at the right
54:20 stock, but what happened was I got
54:22 stopped out of it and now I don't want
54:23 to buy it back, right? Um, so that's
54:26 something you have to keep in mind is,
54:28 you know, whatever made it special over
54:30 here and when you were tracking it,
54:32 there's nothing that's changed other
54:33 than that, you know, it stopped you out
54:35 and now you have to, you know, figure
54:37 out a way to buy it back. So, yep. And
54:40 then the last way is just the standard
54:42 range breakout, which is kind of more
54:43 what we've been talking about where
54:44 we've been forming a range for a few
54:46 days. You've got a clear buy point.
54:49 Maybe this is the high of a day, high of
54:50 the previous day. Maybe this is an
54:52 inside day right here. We break out
54:54 through that high, enter right there.
54:55 Manage risk at the low of the day or the
54:57 low of the prior day, the low of the
54:59 range. And then you can even add if it
55:01 does another higher low. This is kind of
55:02 the more standard way. And I think this
55:04 one and then this one are my favorite is
55:07 the undercut by here. And then you can
55:10 even add as it breaks out through the
55:11 true breakout. But this is just kind of
55:13 conceptually what we're talking about
55:14 when we're talking about consolidation
55:16 pivots and range breakouts. Um, also
55:19 just just to kind of lay it out there,
55:21 this is where these range breakouts can
55:23 happen. You can do up the right hand
55:25 side of the base, you can have a range
55:26 after the breakout, and you can also do
55:28 it as a pulls back into a base. So, this
55:30 is there's many different places ranges
55:32 can form. Uh, but they're constructive
55:34 as they do. And these concepts right
55:36 here allow you to trade them while
55:39 managing risk at clear levels that we
55:41 talked about. the low the range the low
55:42 the higher low the the low as it breaks
55:45 lower as it reconfirms up and at the
55:47 higher low of the day before. So that's
55:49 kind of what I want to talk about here
55:50 with the range breakout. All right,
55:53 getting into the next entry tactic.
55:54 We've got a key pullback. And just like
55:56 the key reclaim, this can be either a
55:59 moving average um you know, it could be
56:01 an anchored VWAP um off the base high as
56:03 well or it could be, you know, a prior
56:05 consolidation pivot like like in this
56:07 example where we've got a consolidation
56:09 pivot right here and we pull back into
56:11 that area. So, there's kind of a few
56:14 different ways to trade versus a level.
56:16 And right, you kind of talked about this
56:18 um as you talked about trading the
56:20 range, but you know, as a stock pulls
56:22 in, this is just a a graphic
56:24 representing that a stock's pulling into
56:26 a key level that the market is aware of.
56:28 Maybe that's the 50 SMA, maybe that's an
56:30 anchored VWAP, maybe that's the 55 area.
56:32 You know, you could start accumulating
56:34 as we get close to that level. You're
56:36 expecting it to respect it. You're
56:37 managing risk right at these lows right
56:39 here or just below that key level. Maybe
56:42 undercuts it a little bit, but then
56:43 reclaims it and starts showing respect.
56:45 This is where you can start entering
56:47 versus that level. So, uh, think of this
56:49 as the 50 SMA here. We pull into the 50
56:51 SMA. We bounce off it once. We undercut
56:54 it. People think it's going to break
56:55 through, but then the psychology flips
56:57 as we reclaim that level. This would be
56:59 the first potential entry. Managing risk
57:01 at this low right here. We reclaim it,
57:03 pull back into the 50 SMA, show respect
57:05 for it again, reclaim higher, form a
57:07 higher low. You could enter right here
57:10 and add to your position and then
57:12 re-enter as it breaks through the range
57:13 off that level. So you'll see this quite
57:15 a bit against the 50 SMA, against the 21
57:17 EMA, against another key level against a
57:19 base pivot. You'll see this pattern
57:21 quite a bit where we respect it once,
57:23 undercut it, reclaim it, pull back into
57:25 it, and then rally from it. So this is
57:28 something that you can expect going
57:30 forward against a key level and a good
57:32 framework to think about buying versus
57:34 that level. We're not buying blindly as
57:36 a stock is pulling in and we want to
57:37 this to be a drift lower versus a sharp
57:39 drop. We're buying as it shows respect
57:42 for that level and rallies off of it.
57:45 That's what's really key here. And we
57:46 want to manage risk against these higher
57:48 lows and the key low that we bought
57:50 from. Uh Ry, anything you want to add
57:52 about uh trading versus a key level? Um
57:55 and kind of the framework that you use.
57:58 No, I see a lot of questions in the chat
58:01 on how many do days do I wait? Two,
58:03 three, one week, how, you know, what
58:06 time frame are we talking about here? I
58:08 think the the primary focus uh should be
58:12 to think of what makes this a good entry
58:15 and where you can place your stop loss.
58:17 Is it one day? Is it 3day? Is it do you
58:20 know when it's going to break out? How
58:22 do you know when it's going to break
58:23 out? All of those are unknowns and they
58:26 depend on the pattern that you're
58:28 tracking and what you're looking at. I
58:30 would just focus more with the the
58:33 visuals that we have more on the
58:34 framework of how things are happening
58:37 and how they eventually lead to a
58:40 breakout. Uh this is not about you know
58:44 you I track something it undercuts a
58:46 level I wait uh 45 seconds and 2 minutes
58:51 later I got to buy it back. There's that
58:53 that's not what we're trying to achieve
58:55 uh here. So think of you know if a stock
58:58 has undercut a level and you're watching
59:00 it then it reclaims it and then it forms
59:03 a tight formation how do I buy it back?
59:05 So more from a framework analytic
59:08 perspective and not do I wait you know 2
59:12 hours 3 hours 10 days 5 days or 1 week.
59:15 Um I think that what we're trying to you
59:18 know we can't give absolutes because
59:19 every stock is really different in how
59:21 it trades and the volatility of every
59:23 stock is different. It's more the
59:24 framework that we're after. Exactly. All
59:27 right. So, here's uh again that graphic
59:29 of it being a moving average. So, you
59:31 can think again this being the moving
59:32 average. As it pulls in, that's where
59:34 you're starting to
59:35 accumulate. And then here, this is the
59:37 pull in. You're trying to accumulate
59:39 here as the stock respects it, starts
59:41 moving off of that moving average. Your
59:43 stop loss is right below that key low or
59:45 just below the moving average. And this
59:47 is again up the right hand side of a
59:49 base. Here are some examples. This is
59:51 Nvidia from last year. This really good
59:54 textbook base. What I love about this is
59:56 it shows a characteristic that I've
59:57 really picked on recently studying
59:59 different winners. Is when a stock is in
60:02 a larger base, often it doesn't show any
60:04 respect for the moving averages, the 50
60:06 SMA, 21 EMA, but as it's getting ready
60:09 to break out and tightening from left to
60:11 right, it starts respecting those moving
60:13 averages. The 50 SMA here, the 50 SMA
60:16 again here, reclaims the 21 EMA here.
60:18 So, when you start to see a stock
60:19 respect the 50 SMA up the right hand
60:22 side of a base as it's forming a higher
60:24 low versus the base low, that's when you
60:27 really want to start paying attention
60:28 and look to accumulate the stock. And
60:30 here again, you could buy versus the 50
60:31 SMA again pulling back in. You could buy
60:34 it doesn't even pull in because it's so
60:36 it's it's showing strength here and
60:37 naturally the market was pulling in and
60:38 it was showing RS very subtle RS during
60:40 this period. Reconfirms off of that
60:43 level. That's how you kind of uh want to
60:45 do this. do this over time or as the
60:47 stock shows respect and continues
60:49 pulling in and respecting that level.
60:51 Another example here is we've got Apple
60:54 loven again forms the base low here
60:56 tries to break out pulls back into the
60:57 50 SMA. This is kind of an example of a
60:59 one-day pull back to the 50 SMA where it
61:02 respects it have your stop at that low.
61:04 If it's violated it's going to break
61:05 below the 50 SMA. It forms a tight range
61:08 and then re-breaks out. Uh, and that's
61:10 kind of uh the ideal situation where you
61:12 buy a little bit early versus a level
61:14 and then you're able to participate in
61:16 the breakout uh after it reconfirms off
61:20 of that level. One more example here is
61:22 we've got AMD. This is off the lows of a
61:25 base where we formed this kind of
61:26 gradual bottoming process. We push off
61:29 the lows, pull back in on a low volume
61:31 here against the 21 EMA. be buying
61:34 versus that level and maybe add as it
61:36 reconfirms off of that level here
61:38 through this this high right here and
61:40 then you participate in the trend way
61:42 before the base pivot. If you're waiting
61:43 for this base pivot, you're asking to be
61:45 shaken out because if you think about it
61:47 and this goes back to a tight tight and
61:48 logical stop. If you're buying on this
61:51 day right here, where are you putting
61:53 your risk? You're above you're way above
61:55 all the moving averages. There hasn't
61:56 really been much of a pause up the right
61:58 hand side. there's no real logical
62:00 technical spot to clearly say the base
62:03 breakout failed. Uh so, you know, it's
62:06 much better buying versus support here
62:08 where if it breaks this key moving
62:10 average, you know, quickly that your
62:11 entry tactic has failed versus buying up
62:14 here when a natural pullback is, you
62:16 know, expected almost and we actually
62:18 get that back into the 10 EMA. And this
62:20 would be another moving average
62:21 pullback. But this buy is much better
62:23 than buying this base pivot because
62:25 there's a tight and logical spot to
62:26 manage risk versus the moving average
62:28 versus this low of the day. And here
62:31 again, this key level would be where
62:32 you're putting your stop loss as it
62:34 pulls back into the 21 EMA. And then as
62:37 we break above that level, you can move
62:39 your stop up and and kind of stagger it
62:40 versus the 10 EMA. And we'll talk about
62:43 stop-loss management in the next
62:44 webinar. Um, so that's kind of the
62:46 moving average versus uh the pullback to
62:48 the moving average, right? anything you
62:49 want to add about buying versus a moving
62:51 average?
62:53 No, I think this is a a really good
62:55 pattern.
62:56 Um, this is AMD, right? Yeah, it's AMD.
63:00 So, this area right here that formed,
63:05 you know, if if anything, a good
63:07 exercise would be where can I define my
63:09 risk tightly, right? and have a really
63:12 logical stop-loss where the pattern or
63:15 the setup that I'm tracking is
63:17 completely violated. Um, it could be,
63:20 you know, this area right here. Um, you
63:23 know, as a formed if it takes that
63:25 upside, which it didn't, right, and it
63:27 came down, it could be this area. But if
63:29 you're tracking, you're tracking that
63:31 below the moving averages. So, likely
63:32 not the best way. uh it's starting to
63:35 form one of the the setups that we sp uh
63:38 spoke about right here on the right side
63:40 which is the launchpad. the moving
63:42 averages are converging which means that
63:44 the stock has now been sideways for 50
63:46 days or more and has built out a really
63:48 nice base. It's a 1021 and the 50 coming
63:51 together, right?
63:53 Um and over here your stop loss is
63:56 really really clear that if this
63:57 violates that pattern and if you get
63:59 involved right here, you're still in
64:01 quite early and you're anticipating an
64:03 eventual base breakout, right? And if it
64:06 fails, it fails, you likely lose 2 to
64:08 3%. Whereas if you buy right here,
64:11 you're, you know, everybody in the
64:13 market these days with uh, you know, is
64:16 watching that base breakout. It's
64:18 almost, you know, a textbook thing to be
64:20 doing to fail that initial day to try
64:23 again and fail again cuz it's shaking
64:25 out those folks or or people that are
64:28 primarily buying here, but you're also
64:30 putting yourself in a really tough spot
64:32 like Richard said because this is a
64:34 normal pullback into a moving average
64:36 and then get support right away to
64:38 continue even higher. Right? So, you
64:41 want to figure out those spots where you
64:43 can minimize your risk, those tight
64:44 areas. I'm assuming RMV Richard right
64:47 here would have been you know closer to
64:48 zero. Um so you know that from a data
64:51 perspective this really tight. And then
64:53 the second piece of information here is
64:56 AMD is still outperforming the markets
64:58 as it consolidates sideways. So we're in
65:01 a relative strength phase. And so you
65:04 have those elements, you know, combining
65:06 with the fact that when it moves above
65:08 that level, you know, it should not come
65:10 back, you know, after this particular
65:13 day, it should not come back and violate
65:15 this level right here. And it didn't do
65:18 that. It rallied to the upside as well.
65:21 So, yep. Excellent. All right. The next
65:24 concept is the same, but versus a key
65:26 level versus uh a moving average. So
65:30 this is example with MSTR from uh pretty
65:32 recent days during its nice move. Uh
65:35 during this period obviously it's in a
65:36 strong relative strength phase and it
65:39 love to form these mini bases where it
65:41 would form a consolidation pivot, pull
65:43 back to it, reclaim off of it, pull back
65:45 to it, move up, form another tight
65:48 consolidation, pull back into it. So
65:50 these pullbacks are opportunities if you
65:52 miss the breakout and almost they're
65:54 better buy points because again you can
65:55 manage risk tighter versus that level as
65:58 it reconfirms up. And this one is really
66:01 good. You've got confluence at the 21
66:02 EMA as well as this key uh consolidation
66:05 pivot. It reconfirms up and is off to
66:07 the races. And you don't need uh too
66:09 much of a a move in this one to to make
66:11 quite a bit and perform well. So, this
66:13 is a great example of a key level
66:14 pullback uh to a consolidation pivot and
66:17 a nice confluence with the 21 EMA here
66:19 as well. This is Coinbase. So, we've got
66:22 a larger base here. We've got the launch
66:24 pad set up here. We push off the launch
66:26 pad, form this tight area. This forms
66:29 the key resistance level. We have a gap
66:31 up. And this is a little bit difficult.
66:33 Uh it's it's tougher to buy gap ups from
66:35 consolidation pivots. I like straight
66:37 breakthroughs uh through them quite a
66:39 bit. But even if you miss this gap up
66:41 and don't participate, it pulls back
66:43 nicely on a decline in volume right to
66:46 that prior level. You've got an upside
66:47 reversal. This would be the entry day
66:49 managing risk at that low of the day.
66:50 The next day it holds that level once
66:52 again. Another opportunity to enter
66:54 versus that level. And then we reconfirm
66:56 up, go tight, and then start trending
66:58 really nicely. So this pullback to the
67:00 consolidation pivot allows you to get in
67:03 often with tighter risk if you missed
67:06 the breakout from the consolidation
67:08 pivot. So, even if you miss this day and
67:10 you feel like it's going to take off
67:11 without you, keep watching the stock and
67:13 watch for that pullback into the key
67:14 level where you can manage risk right at
67:17 these lows and clearly define your risk
67:19 in in a pretty volatile name that has a
67:21 lot of potential very tightly versus
67:23 this level. Uh, Ry, anything you want to
67:25 add on on these two examples, either MSR
67:27 or or coin?
67:30 No, I I think you know each of these it
67:33 it's the same concept where you know if
67:36 uh a lot of uh traders when they you
67:40 know the stock is breaking out uh they
67:42 will enter on this particular day. But
67:45 the question that you have to repeatedly
67:47 ask yourself is can I define my risk
67:49 effectively? If you can define your risk
67:51 it's worth to you know it's worth
67:54 missing this particular stock even if it
67:56 does this after the fact. You know
67:58 that's fine. you're going to have, you
68:00 know, hundreds of trades that you
68:03 eventually miss in the markets where you
68:05 have the right idea and you haven't, you
68:07 know, participated in those. But what
68:10 you know, what hurts the most is when
68:12 you buy on this particular day, it has a
68:15 normal pullback. Whereas, if you were
68:17 patient enough for it to come back to
68:18 the pivot now, you could at least define
68:21 your risk, right? You could define your
68:22 risk within 1 to 3% of this that, hey,
68:25 this should not pull back, you know,
68:28 more. I'm gonna buy it versus this
68:30 consolidation pivot level. And if it
68:32 works out, it should turn and when it
68:34 turns, I can maybe add right across
68:36 here, which is another consolidation
68:39 pivot on this particular stock. Uh and
68:41 then it can continue higher. What
68:43 happens is traders do the opposite. They
68:46 will
68:47 um miss the fact you know they will buy
68:50 on this day. they will sell right here
68:53 and then when they see it you know go up
68:56 now they don't want to participate right
68:58 about here because you know it's all
69:00 psychology based right so you're buying
69:03 in the wrong place you can't define your
69:05 risk you get stopped out now it's hard
69:06 to buy back that cycle repeats itself
69:09 again again and again mostly because
69:11 your your your primary like your first
69:14 move is the wrong one because you can't
69:17 define risk effectively right and you
69:20 can't justify you buy, you know, right
69:22 near the high of the day here and you
69:23 sell right here, you're already putting
69:25 yourself in a really bad situation. And
69:28 when you do that, it the rest of it then
69:31 you feel like, oh uh uh you know, this
69:34 market participant is against me and
69:37 they are flushing me out and they are
69:39 doing this and that. I don't know who
69:40 they are, but nobody cares about um you
69:43 know, they're not looking at your
69:44 account, by the way. So uh it all it's
69:47 all you know becomes a psychological
69:49 thing where you think everything's you
69:50 know built to be against you because
69:52 your first step is not correct. Always
69:54 ask yourself if I can't define my risk.
69:56 I don't care how good the company is. It
69:58 could be the best company in the world.
70:00 I I you know as a swing momentum trader
70:03 risk is everything. If you define that,
70:04 you scale your position size to a matter
70:06 where you know if you miss four of the
70:09 10 leaders in the next run and you catch
70:11 one properly, you will outperform and do
70:14 really really well in the market. So
70:16 always ask yourself, can I define my
70:18 risk? If I can, I'm going to
70:20 participate. If I can't, then I'm not
70:22 going to uh and I'll wait for that next
70:24 train or ticket or bus or whichever
70:27 analogy that we spoke about earlier in
70:28 the webinar. Perfect. And then here's
70:31 the example with Tesla. I think you
70:32 talked about this uh prior. This had so
70:34 many good examples of pulls back to
70:36 ranges, tightening, re-breakout,
70:38 tightening, re-breakout. And the high
70:40 the example I just want to highlight is
70:42 this key level here, this swing high is
70:44 then respected and forms a low of this
70:47 range. And what I love here is this is a
70:49 tight range. This is about four 4% here.
70:52 And it not only respects this high here,
70:55 but it also is pulling into the 21 EMA.
70:58 So again, there's confluence. That's
70:59 something we want to really focus on
71:01 here. Confluence. And what happens right
71:04 before it breaks out from this range?
71:06 Let's zoom in here. Tight inside day. So
71:10 within this tight range, it gets even
71:12 tighter after an upside reversal off
71:15 that consolidation pivot. And you could
71:17 either buy this pullback to the moving
71:18 average and as well as the confluence of
71:20 the pivot or buy through the high of
71:23 this inside day. That's kind of more how
71:25 I would purchase this is I would see
71:26 this upside reversal showing respect for
71:28 where it should show respect to tight
71:31 inside day and then buy here expecting
71:33 it to break out of the range. It does
71:35 and it's off to the races. And it formed
71:37 a similar uh range right above here and
71:40 again uh shook out and then broke out.
71:42 And we we might even see that later on.
71:44 I think I have a chart there. But that's
71:45 kind of the key here is look for a
71:48 pullback to prior support and ideally
71:50 confluence between a key level as well
71:53 as a key moving average like the 21 EMA
71:55 or 50 SMA. Oh, sorry. Here we
72:01 go. There we go. All right. Next up,
72:05 we've got the oops reversal. This is
72:06 something you really want to focus on
72:08 here. This is something I learned from
72:09 JT at Ticker Monkey. Larry Williams
72:11 developed it uh for I think the futures
72:13 market. Um, and you know, it's really,
72:15 really useful to help you define your
72:17 risk very cleanly. And the oops reversal
72:20 focus here, right here, is when we have
72:23 a gap down below the prior days low and
72:27 we rally back through that low and that
72:30 low becomes the oops reversal pivot. So,
72:33 I just want to repeat that again. We
72:35 have a gap down below the prior days low
72:38 and then this is on a daily chart. we
72:40 rally back through that low and this is
72:42 the oops reversal pivot where is is
72:44 basically the buy point for this entry
72:46 tactic and when this happens um up the
72:49 right hand side of the base. So this is
72:51 a base think of this as about four to
72:53 five weeks here. Uh this is a daily
72:55 chart and then we have a gap down
72:57 ideally to a moving average where the
72:59 low is near a moving average or a
73:01 consolidation pivot. I'm showing that
73:02 confluence in this graphic here. we
73:04 rally up back through the low and then
73:06 we're off to the races and approach that
73:08 base pivot and breakout. This is a
73:10 really useful entry tactic up the right
73:12 hand side of a base or even after a base
73:14 breakout to position in a leader while
73:16 managing risk within, you know, 2 3% uh
73:19 versus the low of the day. Um I
73:22 basically 99% of the time place my stop
73:24 at the low of the day when I'm buying
73:26 oops reversals because if we reverse
73:27 back down and break that low, I know
73:29 that the oops reversal has failed. Uh so
73:31 this is a really good entry tactic and
73:33 we'll show a bunch of examples here uh
73:35 in in just a second. So here's Nvidia in
73:38 last year. We've got an overall base
73:40 pattern. It gets choppy. It breaks below
73:42 the 21 EMA. Breaks below the 50 SMA.
73:44 Here we've got a positive expectation
73:46 breaker after this very negative bar. It
73:48 holds. This looks to be the base low.
73:50 Then we rally up, pull back again. Uh a
73:54 very negative day. We expect a gap down.
73:56 We get it. But instead of really
73:58 breaking down, Nvidia changes course and
74:01 rallies through this low. So we get a
74:03 gap down versus the prior day's low and
74:05 rally back through it. That is the buy
74:07 point right here. And let me actually
74:09 even zoom in here just to show it really
74:12 clearly. We have a slight gap down here.
74:16 So you can manage risk really tightly
74:17 actually. And we immediately rally
74:19 through and really penetrate the prior
74:21 days bar. This is the best possible
74:23 situation where we have immediate
74:25 strength off the open, rally strongly
74:27 through that low and managing risk at
74:29 the stop, you're automatically up a
74:32 bunch of risk multiples if you manage
74:34 risk at this low of the day. So again,
74:36 thinking about the negative, if you you
74:37 buy this as it breaks through this and
74:39 we reverse down and break this low,
74:41 that's where you would exit with your
74:42 stop loss. but instead here you have an
74:45 early entry point up the right hand side
74:46 of a base and you have a immediate
74:49 profit here to weather any of the
74:51 pullbacks up the righthand side. So that
74:53 is a really good example of an oops
74:55 reversal. Uh here we've got TEM. This is
74:58 a recent leader as well. This got on our
75:01 radar because of the strong gap up on
75:03 large volume. We're up the right hand
75:05 side of the base, but there's not really
75:06 a clear entry point up here. There's
75:08 this little range, this inside day where
75:10 maybe you could have entered, but there
75:12 wasn't much of a tight pivot that
75:14 formed. But we get an opportunity on
75:17 this day where we're in a relative
75:18 strength phase. It's been on our radar
75:20 because of a strong gap on on volume.
75:22 And what do we get right here? Let's
75:23 zoom
75:26 in. And let's zoom in even a little bit
75:30 more. We get a gap down and strong rally
75:35 back through that low. And this is the
75:37 pivot. This is the buy point. Managing
75:39 risk at this low the day. And
75:42 immediately you're at a profit and it
75:44 closes right near highs. And then we
75:46 continue that strong trend we've been
75:47 in. So this is a way to enter a strong
75:49 trend when there's often overall market
75:52 weakness. Maybe we get a gap down in the
75:54 general market based on a jobs number or
75:56 whatever macro uh thing is in in vogue
75:59 during that time. And the strongest
76:01 stocks will be will show will will rally
76:03 immediately because the institutions are
76:05 still looking to accumulate stock and we
76:07 rally back through that low and
76:09 immediately you're at a profit and uh
76:11 join that trend. So this is a really
76:13 powerful setup and uh definitely
76:15 something to add to your arsenal to work
76:16 your way into the strongest stocks.
76:19 Here's an example. I saw somebody
76:21 wanting a recent example. This is SQQQ
76:24 back when the market was rallying into
76:27 the 200 SMA. So SQQ is of course the
76:29 triple inverse of the QQQ. And what do
76:32 we have when the market failed right at
76:34 the 200 SMA? So it's failing at a key
76:36 level. We get an oops reversal right at
76:40 that point as QQQ approached the 200 SMA
76:43 and failed right at that level. We get
76:45 an oops reversal enter through the prior
76:48 day's low after the gap down. Manage
76:50 risk at the low of the day. we get the
76:52 best case scenario where we actually
76:54 take out the prior days high as well and
76:56 immediately you're at multiple risk
76:58 multiples and can profit either that day
77:01 or on a quick swing during a volatile
77:04 market to profit from market weakness
77:06 after the market failed at the 200 SMA.
77:08 So, there's a way to kind of use it to
77:10 short or or go uh go against the market
77:13 as well. But a really easy way to manage
77:15 risk versus this low right here. This is
77:18 again would be where your stop is if you
77:20 enter at the low of the day. Uh this is
77:23 actually an intraday chart showing that
77:25 rally off the open. And I just want to
77:27 show kind of what that looks like. We
77:29 have the gap down. We have an opening
77:32 range breakout we'll talk about a little
77:33 bit earlier. This is the prior day's
77:35 low. This orange line here. So this is
77:37 the oop reversal pivot and stop to the
77:39 low of the day would have been 1.2%. So
77:42 you're managing risk very very tightly
77:44 entering here stop right here and it
77:47 just is off to the races and again
77:49 multiple um risk multiples right away
77:52 immediately takes off and you can even
77:54 move up your stop to break even very
77:55 quickly to manage your risk even
77:57 tighter. Uh so this is um a good example
77:59 of the oops reversal and what it looks
78:01 like on an intraday intraday time frame.
78:04 Here's an example of a downside oops
78:06 reversal. So, just to get uh advanced
78:08 for you guys, we've got the key level
78:11 being this gap up low. We have a break
78:15 down and start of a down cycle here. We
78:17 respect the the 21 EMA, bounce higher,
78:20 but then the overall market continues
78:21 and and rallies down. And what do we
78:23 have here? We get a downside oops
78:25 reversal. So, instead of gapping down
78:27 and rallying higher, we have a slight
78:30 gap up above the prior day's high and
78:32 reversal back down. So this would be a
78:34 way this would be a short setup short
78:36 entry tactic where we gap up managing
78:38 risk at the high of the day short the
78:40 stock here and participate to the
78:42 decline. And there's a lot of good
78:43 examples recently of uh this entry
78:45 tactic on this day as the as the KQ and
78:48 the market failed at the 200 SMA. This
78:50 one had a gap up breakdown faltered to
78:53 the downside and continue to uh move
78:57 down and and form base lows. So, this
78:59 would be a good way to manage your risk
79:00 very tightly versus the high of the day
79:02 versus if you're doing it to the upside
79:04 versus the low of the day. So, really
79:06 interesting entry tactic definitely
79:07 worth studying and you'll start seeing
79:09 these all over. Here's another oops
79:10 reversal here. Here's an oops reversal
79:12 before the gap up. You'll start to see
79:14 these all over as you uh kind of uh you
79:16 know look look more for these oops
79:18 reversals. Uh Ry, anything you want to
79:20 add on the oops reversal uh setup
79:22 personally based on you know stuff that
79:23 you've seen? Yeah. So the reversal setup
79:27 is essentially um a failed move in the
79:31 direction right and uh one of the things
79:33 is you know from failed moves it just
79:36 momentum goes uh twofold in the opposite
79:41 direction essentially. So learn to spot,
79:45 you know, especially when a oops
79:47 reversal is in correlation with a very
79:49 key area which could be prior
79:51 resistance, prior support or recent
79:55 consolidation with the undercut and then
79:57 you get expectation you know breakers
79:59 off of that. Um it becomes a really
80:01 powerful way for you know daily or less
80:05 to execute on that time frame. So a lot
80:08 of you you know when the market opens a
80:11 lot of traders look at prior days low as
80:14 that key area for for it to be reclaimed
80:17 and then you know a lot of market forces
80:20 join and you know create that momentum
80:23 to the upside so that the market can
80:25 rally um as well. So that QQQ example
80:28 was really a really nice example of that
80:30 where momentum was created to the upside
80:33 as soon as we undercut the prior you
80:35 know we reclaim the prior days
80:38 um uh level. So yeah not much else to to
80:42 add there. This is again within the
80:44 context you have to take everything
80:46 within the context of the trend uh the
80:49 theme um the setup and the edge that you
80:52 have on the charts. So what we're
80:54 speaking about today and I see some
80:56 confusion in the chat as well is like
80:59 this is not about day trading here. This
81:01 is about you know the first three
81:03 webinars that we did taking all of that
81:05 knowledge and we're now speaking about
81:07 how do you enter those particular names
81:09 or those setups using these entry
81:12 tactics. So you can't just pull up you
81:14 know a penny stock and just say this is
81:16 the best comp you know it has a oops
81:18 reversal and it's now the best setup
81:19 that I see. But you have to take all the
81:22 knowledge that we spoke about in the
81:23 first three webinars as well. Yeah. And
81:24 the key with this particular situation
81:26 is the QQQ was approaching a key level
81:30 that it was rejected from. And then this
81:32 is a a leverage way to go short at that
81:34 at that time is trading an oops reversal
81:36 on the SQQ as the QQQ is reversing back
81:41 down from its 200 SMA. So that's that's
81:44 why we'd even be focusing on this.
81:46 Again, like R said, we want to really
81:47 emphasize this. The tactics we're
81:49 talking about today are
81:52 always with within the context of a
81:55 larger setup and edges in the market.
81:57 This is just the last layer about how
81:59 you actually enter, place your stop,
82:01 manage risk, all of that. The entry
82:03 tactic is the last piece, the last step
82:06 after you've identified a pro promising
82:08 opportunity that allows you to actually
82:10 place your order with a clear pivot
82:12 point, sell stop, all of that. All
82:14 right, so let's go ahead and pause for a
82:17 few questions. So, drop any questions
82:19 right now in the chat that you have so
82:20 far. And we've got a special uh giveaway
82:24 here. You can earn uh win a signed copy
82:27 of the Trader Handbook once it's out.
82:29 And uh basically, in order to enter this
82:32 giveaway, I'm going to ask a question
82:34 right now. So, everybody be
82:35 ready. Let's see
82:39 what's uh you'll post the question. No,
82:42 I'm gonna ask it. I'm gonna ask him just
82:43 I'm just I'm setting it up, Ry. All
82:45 right. Are you guys ready?
82:48 All right. The question
82:51 is,
82:53 what is most important about setting a
82:56 stop-loss? What are the two things that
82:58 I said were most
82:59 important with regards to a stop-loss? I
83:02 said two things at the beginning and we
83:04 covered on multiple SL
83:06 slides. What defines a good
83:09 stop-loss? There we go, John. John won
83:11 it. There you go. Tight and logical. It
83:13 must be tight and logical. Exactly. So
83:16 tight remember means it's within a few
83:18 percent. Logical means a clear failure
83:20 of that level. Uh triggers basically a
83:23 failure of the entry tactic and setup.
83:25 Perfect. And I see a lot of other people
83:27 got it as well. Uh but John shoot me a
83:29 DM on Twitter and uh we'll we'll get you
83:31 hooked up with a Freton copy. And
83:34 everybody else, you can order yours
83:35 right here. Uh let me know in the chat.
83:37 Have you ordered your Traers handbook
83:38 just yet? I want to see if there's
83:40 anybody in here just yet. I see a lot of
83:42 people answering. So awesome. Ethan got
83:44 it. Nice, Braxton. Got it. Perfect. All
83:48 right. Thank you so much. Uh, all right.
83:50 Drop any questions you have so far based
83:52 on what we've covered in the chat here.
83:54 Uh, let's see if we can answer a few.
83:56 Let me get a sip of water
84:04 here. All
84:08 right. Let me see if you any see any
84:10 questions.
84:12 Right. Should the volume ex should the
84:15 volume exceed the average volume when uh
84:17 when you see a oops reversal? I think
84:19 it's not critical. Ideally, it does. Uh
84:21 but really, it's about the price
84:22 movement. It's going to happen pretty
84:23 fast in the morning. So, it doesn't
84:25 matter too much. Uh also, because it's a
84:28 early entry, we really want to see big
84:30 big volume on the breakout. uh earlier
84:32 than that it doesn't matter too much,
84:34 but you'll see a pretty the the fastest
84:36 oops reversals are the strongest, the
84:38 ones that just penetrate that prior
84:39 day's low versus the ones that kind of
84:41 hit it, stagnate, you know, there's not
84:43 much emphasis. We want to see immediate
84:45 demand and that's with a strong price
84:47 move. Yeah. Anything that's not a base
84:50 pivot in the markets, there's no volume
84:53 requirement for consolidation pivots.
84:55 You want the volume to be higher than
84:58 previous day. The time frame I'm
85:00 speaking to right now is daily. On the
85:02 weekly, when you see a base breakout,
85:04 you know, naturally the volume will be
85:06 higher on the weekly charts or for that
85:09 week because it's a significant level in
85:10 the markets. But folks that you know I
85:14 used to wait for volume to show up and
85:17 you know over the years it's been become
85:19 quite clear based on you know just
85:21 studying what I missed trades that I
85:23 took t trades that I didn't take um that
85:27 volume if price is confirming and is way
85:30 before the base pivot you can enter that
85:33 stock as long as you can define your
85:34 risk right and then volume becomes
85:36 important you want to see big volume at
85:38 base pivots you want to see big volume
85:40 you know it's If if you're taking a
85:42 consolidation pivot and the volume's
85:44 huge, that's a huge bonus. Basically,
85:46 it's a huge plus, but it's not, you
85:48 know, a requirement for you to enter.
85:49 Yep. I see a question from Gav. Um, how
85:52 do we read high volumes during tight
85:54 areas? Is that considered a negative? If
85:57 it's very tight, I would consider it a
85:58 negative, but it's not a positive. Uh,
86:00 so I guess that is a negative. Um, but
86:02 yeah, basically, you know, we're looking
86:04 for a dry up in price volatility as well
86:07 as volume during those tight areas.
86:09 That's what the best ones look like.
86:11 It's fine if there's one day of
86:12 increased volume, especially often if
86:14 there's an upside reversal within that
86:16 tight area that will have a little bit
86:17 higher volume as it stops out people and
86:19 then reclaims that range. But in
86:21 general, we're looking for a lower
86:22 volume than average or a decline in
86:24 volume versus prior sessions. That's
86:26 that's the most ideal
86:28 situation. Um, let's see here. Uh, you
86:31 can find the three previous webinar
86:32 recordings in the playlist that we
86:33 posted earlier or if you go on the
86:35 Trader Line channel, you can find that
86:37 playlist for yourself. But we'll we'll
86:39 post that uh later on Twitter as well.
86:45 Um let's
86:48 see. How much space do you get below
86:51 stop point? I do it pretty tight. You
86:53 know.1% below the stop, maybe even
86:55 tighter than that. Um if it if it takes
86:57 out my stop, you know, say levy. That's
86:59 just part of trading. Uh Ry, how much do
87:01 you usually give uh below, you know, the
87:03 technical level to place a stop?
87:06 for me. Three, three to
87:11 four%. Oh, I think I lost your audio.
87:14 Can you hear me now? Yeah, I can hear
87:16 you now. Cool.
87:19 All right, let's see
87:22 here. What MAS work for support
87:25 confirmation? Look in the past on the
87:27 stock and see what it respected prior.
87:28 Um, a lot of the growth stocks I trade
87:30 respect the 20 21 EMA during trends. So,
87:34 that's kind of what I like to use
87:35 primarily. And then the 50 SMA also
87:39 uh what's the indicator we talked about?
87:40 Um RMV, relative measured volatility. Uh
87:43 it's a deep view proprietary indicator.
87:44 We've got a webinar completely on that
87:46 on the DV channel. Um so you can check
87:48 that out if you like to learn more.
87:50 Definitely very useful and you can
87:51 screen by it as well which is
87:53 huge. All right, I think we can keep
87:56 moving here. We'll answer a few more
87:58 questions at the end.
88:00 So here I just want to mention that you
88:02 know prior to this point we've talked
88:04 about kind of entries before the base
88:06 breakout but you can use a lot of the
88:08 same tactics that we talked about
88:10 shortly after the base breakout and we
88:12 want to be entering as close to the base
88:13 breakout as possible because that's when
88:15 you know the the potential reward is
88:18 greatest. Uh but you could trade a
88:20 consolidation pivot breakout right right
88:22 after it breaks out from the base. We
88:23 saw this with Tesla. Then it moves up
88:25 higher, pulls back to 21 EMA or moving
88:27 average for the first time. That would
88:29 be another spot to to add to your
88:30 shares. If you'd like to trade around a
88:32 core position, you could sell a little
88:33 bit into strength here, buy it back
88:35 versus the moving average, add it on the
88:37 next kind of mini base breakout. So, a
88:39 lot of the tactics we're talking about,
88:40 we're using in this area right here, but
88:43 you can 100% use them later on the base.
88:46 But we want to emphasize the reward, the
88:49 potential reward is is more worth the
88:51 risk as close to the base pivot as
88:53 possible. And ideally, you're entering
88:55 up the right hand side of the base so
88:56 you can participate in the trend from
88:58 base to base. That's kind of how I like
89:00 to operate personally. Uh but yeah, here
89:01 here's Tesla. So here are the entries up
89:03 the right hand side of the larger base.
89:06 Then we get a consolidation pivot
89:08 breakout right above that base. We get a
89:10 nice breakout and then we have another
89:12 uh mini base right here against the 21
89:13 EMA and you know that leads to another
89:15 trend. So the best stocks will have
89:17 multiple add-on points where maybe you
89:19 enter, you know, on this breakout, sell
89:21 into strength of this key reversal day,
89:23 add those shares back on, you know, this
89:25 gap and go off the 21 EMA, EMA reclaim.
89:28 Uh so this is kind of how you can think
89:30 about trading around a core position and
89:32 add on entries after the true breakout.
89:35 Uh Ry, anything you want to add on on
89:36 this before we get into the gapper
89:38 gapper entries?
89:41 No, I I think that area of um you know
89:45 this one I I traded right here. Uh it
89:49 was again a really nice spot. Uh very
89:52 tight risk, right? The stock had clear,
89:54 you know, clear upside level. Uh and the
89:57 best part of this was that the volume
90:00 died down quite a bit and we were really
90:02 focused on this. Uh one other thing I
90:05 think if you zoom in a little bit was
90:08 the fact that it had one of the you know
90:12 things that we spoke about today was the
90:15 fact that this level this level right
90:18 there was cleared out completely right
90:21 flushed then reclaimed y and then it did
90:25 the consolidation or the pivot area
90:28 eventually so let's say I was
90:30 accumulating versus a level it did that
90:33 you the V formation underneath the level
90:35 reclaim that and once it reclaimed that
90:38 you got to buy it back and then add to
90:40 that position. So whatever made this
90:42 stock special right in this area right
90:45 this is a practical application of what
90:47 I said theoretically before you have to
90:51 you know get get back into it uh because
90:54 that led to this particular run uh again
90:58 uh this area is obviously better right
91:00 uh if you chased on this day uh up here
91:04 and then you got stopped out here now
91:06 you're really you know sour on this name
91:08 and you don't want to look at it when it
91:09 does another tight consolidation But
91:11 again, it's a really tight pivot, a
91:14 really clear entry area, and I'm I'm
91:17 sure the volume would have um died down
91:20 as well. And then this could have been
91:21 your secondary, not your primary um
91:24 entry area as well. So, the frameworks
91:27 that we spoke about, these are real life
91:29 applications of the arrows that we drew
91:31 that Richard went over, but these are
91:33 playing out as we speak. uh regardless
91:36 of what the name on the top left of the
91:38 chart is, the price and the volume will
91:40 play out according to the frameworks
91:43 that were presented. Perfect. Yeah. And
91:45 I I play I played it on the base pivot
91:47 reclaim right here. I entered uh and had
91:50 a nice move here. Um yeah, perfect.
91:53 Yeah, this is such a great stock to
91:54 study. And I saw somebody say, you know,
91:56 it went from really tight here to then
91:59 breaking down to the 21 EMA. This
92:01 overall is still within a few percent.
92:03 So even though this is ridiculously
92:05 tight, this overall is still a tight
92:08 range here. So that that's why it's
92:11 still playable on the breakout here. All
92:13 right. So next up, we're going to get
92:16 more into the setups for gappers. So
92:18 these are earnings gappers, catalyst
92:20 gappers, however you want to whatever
92:22 you want to call it. And the first the
92:24 first few we're going to talk about are
92:26 more to do with trading the day of the
92:28 gap up. And we talked in the previous
92:30 session about scans and screens um to
92:33 get gappers on your radar so you'd be
92:34 able to trade day one. We'll also talk a
92:36 lot about more of that uh in the routine
92:39 section. But this is the first entry
92:41 tactic to trade a gap up. This is pretty
92:43 classic. I'm sure many of you guys
92:44 already know this. The opening range
92:46 breakout. Basically, we've got an
92:47 initial move up or even down and then we
92:50 set a mini base. This is on maybe a
92:52 fivem minute time frame, a 15-inut time
92:54 frame or even a one three minute time
92:55 frame. This can happen pretty quick. We
92:57 set a mini base and then the buy point
92:59 is through the opening range high here
93:02 setting your stop either at the higher
93:03 low or at the low of the range depending
93:05 on how much risk this is and you know
93:08 the quality of the gap and the catalyst.
93:10 But this would be the entry point or
93:12 maybe even early at the rightand side.
93:13 And we'll show some real examples. This
93:15 is just kind of the framework to think
93:16 about. But basically what you want to
93:18 remember is we've got a big gap up on
93:19 earnings, a very strong catalyst that
93:21 looks promising. Um, and then we set an
93:24 opening range and then we break through
93:25 that range and begin trending up on that
93:28 day. So, here's an example with uh a
93:31 recent example with Octa. Uh, this is
93:33 one where uh we're here. We're on a
93:36 3minut time frame. So, each of these
93:37 bars is a three-minut time frame. We
93:39 have an initial bar that moves up. We
93:41 have and let me actually zoom in
93:43 here. We have an initial bar that moves
93:45 up. We have an inside bar. So, this is
93:47 setting the opening range. This high is
93:49 the opening range uh breakout. and buy
93:52 point was right through here. And notice
93:53 how after that it respects the anchored
93:56 VWAP pretty much the rest of the day.
93:57 This is a clear thing that you want to
93:59 look for on an earnings gapper that's
94:01 going to, you know, perform and and end
94:04 uh, you know, close close really nicely
94:06 is respect for the anchored VWAP
94:07 throughout the day. We close well off of
94:09 that and after an intraday base here, we
94:12 rally into the close and this opening
94:14 range breakout. Uh, you were never
94:15 tested. This cost was never tested
94:17 again. And that's what the best ones do.
94:18 We want the stock to just go from the
94:20 opening range breakout. Uh so that is an
94:23 example there. Let me go to the next
94:25 one. Here is Tesla back in um I believe
94:30 this was on the election gap here. So
94:33 here we have an aggressive opening range
94:34 breakout through uh the 5m minute high
94:36 here. So this would be an entry. You do
94:38 get tested a little bit here but it
94:39 respects that area and often you'll see
94:41 this be respected later. But we set up
94:43 and form a bigger opening range here in
94:46 this area. It's almost a mini base here.
94:48 And this would be a breakout buy point
94:50 uh where you could manage risk versus
94:52 this higher low less than 1%. And note
94:55 how we respect the anchor VWAP and just
94:57 trend above it the rest of the day and
94:59 just you know steady accumulation.
95:01 That's what we're looking for on these
95:02 gap ups. Uh and the most successful ones
95:04 respect the anchored VWAP as well as
95:06 just trend higher uh and grind higher
95:09 the entire day after the opening range
95:11 breakout. Here if we go next we've got
95:14 uh Coinbase. This was based on the
95:17 catalyst of uh the election. Uh this is
95:19 an initial move up sets the opening
95:21 range. This would be the opening range
95:23 breakout right here uh to the low uh to
95:26 the higher low here would be about 3 and
95:28 a half%. You also line that also lines
95:30 up with the anchored VWAP. But you've
95:32 got a more of an aggressive entry here
95:34 uh at the low of the day. Manage your
95:35 risk at 2 and a half%. So again, these
95:37 are very aggressive entries for day one.
95:39 I really want to stress that you do not
95:41 need to participate on day one to profit
95:43 from trends. This is more for aggressive
95:45 traders, advanced traders who want to
95:47 get the best cost bases possible and
95:49 really focus on performance. This is
95:51 more for stage three plus traders, stage
95:54 one and two um you know can focus on
95:56 entry points after the true breakout
95:58 based on daily patterns. This is for
96:00 aggressive entries on day one. Here is
96:04 SMCI uh when they pre-announce uh their
96:06 their earnings. We've got a one minute
96:08 opening range breakout, an early entry
96:10 on the anchored VWAP reclaim, and then
96:12 also through this high would be the
96:14 opening range breakout. It trends the
96:16 rest of the day beautifully and just
96:17 took off here, trended above the moving
96:18 averages as well as the anchor VWAP the
96:20 rest of the day. Uh then here we've gots
96:23 from last year. We had the catalyst
96:25 being a new announcement. We've got
96:27 initial move up forms this mini base,
96:29 this opening range. This is the opening
96:31 range high. This would be the breakout
96:33 here, managing risk at the anchor VWAP
96:34 as well as these swing lows. And you've
96:36 got an early entry from this tight area
96:38 here. This would basically be an
96:39 undercut and rally range breakout that
96:41 we talked about here on this five-minute
96:44 time frame. This would be the early
96:45 entry and this would be the opening
96:47 range entry and it just took off here. I
96:48 think gained 20% throughout the day.
96:50 You've got an intraday base here which
96:52 also be playable. But again, these are
96:53 for much more experienced traders to
96:55 play these intraday type setups. And
96:57 we're only looking at intraday time
96:59 frames because there's something
97:01 significant happen on the daily, the big
97:03 gap up with the catalyst. We're not just
97:05 looking at this on any old day. We're
97:07 looking on the specific days where
97:08 there's a lot of potential for a big
97:10 momentum
97:11 move. Uh here is the next day one type
97:14 entry or Ry, do you want to add anything
97:15 on opening range before we gone? Yeah.
97:18 No, no, I I think you covered it well.
97:20 Uh this is the next possible intraday
97:22 base. Maybe we've had an opening range
97:23 breakout back here, but basically we're
97:25 looking for a substantial basing pattern
97:27 during the day. Uh still close to the
97:29 open because we still want the stock to
97:30 have a lot of potential. Uh but we're
97:32 basically looking for intraday base to
97:34 trade uh with a breakout. You'd set your
97:36 stop at the higher low. Um after it
97:38 breaks through that base pivot or an
97:40 early entry of the right hand side. Uh
97:42 this is uh TEM on the day of the
97:44 catalyst. I think um I don't know. I I
97:46 think it was just Nancy Pelosi buying
97:48 it, but you know that was a catalyst
97:49 that was working. Um and this is TEM. It
97:51 moves higher. Doesn't really set an
97:53 opening range early, but it sends this
97:54 nice intraday base and this clear tight
97:57 area. Again, this happens on all time
97:59 frames. these tight areas on low volume
98:01 and this would be the ideal buy point
98:03 range breakout risk to this higher low
98:05 is less than 1% and you rallied multiple
98:08 multiple risk multiples uh into the
98:11 close and also this base breakout would
98:13 also be viable managing risk versus this
98:15 higher low. So wherever we're buying
98:17 we're looking at the higher low and
98:19 ideally the low of the day to manage
98:21 risk against but we always want to keep
98:22 our risk relatively tight here.
98:25 All right, here's another example with
98:26 ELF. Uh, this during its really nice
98:29 move um in uh 2022 through through 2023
98:33 had multiple gap ups and and great
98:35 examples and great great examples to
98:36 study. Uh this is one during I think
98:38 it's May gap up where we had a really
98:40 strong move off the open and then it
98:42 just went really quiet and tight until
98:44 this range breakout here. It breaks out
98:46 uh stops to the higher low right here
98:48 would have been less than 1% risk. It
98:50 does retest it a few times, but never
98:52 really you don't really experience any
98:54 heat and really draw down at all. And
98:56 into the close, you're up about three R
98:58 uh into the close. So, this is a great
99:00 way to jump on a gapper and uh
99:02 participate in a strong trend after it's
99:05 shown really nice demand uh throughout
99:07 the day. Uh here's another example,
99:09 Bloom, where we had a decline off the
99:12 open. So, this happens sometimes
99:14 depending on the situation. And you can
99:16 see a pullback and then we tighten
99:18 overall. We basically form an intraday
99:19 base and you could enter from this tight
99:21 area. Again, we've got a tight area on
99:23 low volume. This happens on all time
99:26 frames as I mentioned and buying through
99:28 this pivot which is also an anchored
99:29 VWAP reclaim. Uh so the confluence
99:31 there, you could risk to the higher low
99:33 about
99:34 2.75%. So very low risk uh to enter a
99:36 name that went up multiple risk
99:38 multiples from that point on day one. Um
99:41 bonus, we've got the anchored VWAP
99:43 reclaim. This is another way to trade a
99:46 day one setup. Um, now I I mentioned it
99:48 a few times in here. Anchored VWAP
99:50 reclaim. So what actually is that?
99:51 Anchored VWAP is basically the anchored
99:53 volume weighted average price. A lot of
99:55 institutions use it for execution,
99:57 especially in a stock that they want to
99:59 build a position in. So when a
100:01 game-changing catalyst happens, like an
100:03 earning surprise, revenue surprise,
100:05 guidance increase. Basically,
100:06 institutions go out and say to their
100:09 traders, hey, buy me more shares. And
100:11 often execution is based on the volume
100:14 weighted average price for that day. and
100:16 they're judged how good their execution
100:18 is based on how close they buy versus
100:20 this volume weighted average price. So,
100:22 this level is a key level of
100:24 significance throughout the day. And
100:26 when we first form uh a range here and
100:29 reclaim that VWOP, that's often a really
100:31 good entry point a little bit earlier
100:32 than the opening range high here. And
100:35 throughout the day, you might have
100:36 retests of the anchored VWAP where it
100:38 gets respected, undercuts, and reclaims
100:40 at that level. But this is an example of
100:41 kind of the uh opening range base here.
100:44 The ankerv web reclaim giving you a
100:45 really nice entry in unity software uh
100:48 which is a recent example from this
100:50 year. Uh then next we've got uh QBTS uh
100:54 another recent one. You had multiple
100:56 anchor VWOP uh tests here uh undercuts
100:58 and rallies. But the one I want to focus
101:00 on here is we have an initial move
101:01 higher a pullback an undercut of the
101:04 anchor VWAP. anybody using that as their
101:06 stop was shaken out. But then it pulled
101:08 back to this level here and also
101:11 reclaimed the anchor VWAP and risk to
101:13 this higher low here was only about
101:14 2.2%. And it rallied nicely from that
101:17 point throughout the rest of the day. So
101:18 often undercuts and rallies of anchored
101:20 VWAP, the first one or the second one is
101:23 often a spot where you can manage risk
101:24 pretty tightly if you're looking to
101:26 enter on day one of a move. Uh here's
101:29 another example of uh I forget what
101:31 stock this is. This might be this might
101:33 be octa, I believe. But regardless,
101:35 you've got a breakout here. Nice move.
101:38 And then look how it respects the anchor
101:40 VWAP as it builds this base out. You get
101:42 multiple undercuts and rallies. And I
101:44 also highlight an intraday base breakout
101:46 here. This is from um a breakdown I did
101:48 for the trade lab. Um and basically
101:50 highlighting different entries that you
101:51 could use on day one. And all these
101:53 undercuts and rallies of anchor views
101:55 allow you to manage risk versus the
101:57 recent higher low right here. Uh, so
101:59 you'd enter here, set your stop right at
102:01 this point right
102:03 here. All right, so that went a little
102:05 little fast. Um, any questions
102:07 specifically about anchor VWAP? Let's
102:09 see. What's the time frame for anchor
102:10 VWAP? You basically watch it on any time
102:12 frame, but anchor it to the gap up day
102:15 candle. Uh, let's see here. Uh, are you
102:18 moving from a 1 minute to a three
102:20 minute? So, when a stock first opens,
102:22 um, I I I want to enter on a fivem
102:24 minute. That's kind of the time frame I
102:25 want to enter. But when it first opens,
102:27 I'll watch it on a one minute and then
102:29 once once we get enough time frame, I'll
102:30 watch on a fivem minute
102:32 chart. All
102:35 right. All right.
102:37 Cool. Where do you put the second VW
102:40 anchor view? I only put uh the VWAP on
102:42 the opening day here, the opening bar
102:45 here. And yeah, I prefer five minute,
102:48 but I'm only watching intraday time
102:49 frames because this is a key day to
102:52 watch it. I want to be really clear.
102:53 I've said this before, but I really want
102:55 to be clear. We're only watching this
102:56 for a potential day one entry because
102:58 there's a huge catalyst that's changing
103:00 how the stock is completely is changing
103:02 the character of the stock. And these
103:04 day one entries are different than the
103:06 ones we'll talk about later, volume,
103:07 support, range breakouts, because this
103:09 is only if you want to get involved on
103:11 day one, which is not necessary if you
103:13 want to uh you participate in a trend
103:15 after the day one entry. But this is for
103:18 aggressive advanced traders. So most
103:20 stage two traders should not be looking
103:22 at this. you should be sticking to daily
103:23 charts and looking for uh entries like
103:26 we'll talk about uh with Ry in just a
103:28 second. Volume support range breakouts
103:30 on a daily chart after the gap up. Uh so
103:33 with that, Ry, I'll hand it over to you
103:34 to cover volume
103:37 support. Yeah, volume support is one of
103:39 the entry tactics after a stock shows
103:42 the highest volume edge that we spoke
103:44 about. So essentially let's say you know
103:46 the first day the you know the stock is
103:48 now shown the highest volume ever or the
103:51 highest volume since IPO uh and we have
103:55 you know this particular day being the
103:58 day that there's a catalyst earnings
104:00 news something of an event um in the
104:03 markets. Essentially what happens is on
104:06 day two and after uh you can form a
104:09 really good expectation of where the
104:11 stock will be supported based on the
104:14 volume distribution of the day that the
104:16 stock gapped up on. It's a very basic
104:21 principle that's often overlooked. It's
104:23 just pure price and volume, supply and
104:28 demand, and how they balance each other
104:30 out and how they how it creates a really
104:33 nice zone for you to operate in with
104:36 very again minimal risk. Right? So if we
104:40 go to the next slide, I I think getting
104:43 into an example will uh make this a lot
104:46 clearer. So charts, let's say, you know,
104:48 Yeah, you can zoom in on the first one,
104:50 please. Yeah, these are daily charts.
104:54 Yeah. So, let's say, you know, we're
104:56 looking at a chart. Regardless of of uh
104:58 what company or what it is, I I I kind
105:01 of cropped that out on purpose. What I
105:04 want to look at is what happens and what
105:06 what I'm trying to describe as volume
105:08 support. So, this company gapped up on
105:11 this particular day. It saw massive
105:13 volume on that particular day. And now,
105:15 when I zoomed in, let's say on the
105:17 15-minute chart, uh or the 10-minute,
105:20 you know, whatever allows you to see
105:22 volume. support or where the stock is
105:24 being supported as it comes in or where
105:27 the volume distribution was on that day.
105:30 Um that becomes an area of interest on
105:33 the daily frame or even higher. So in
105:36 this case the stock had the highest
105:38 volume in a year. It tried to rally,
105:40 didn't work, came back in and then it
105:42 was supported when you know at this zone
105:45 that I defined was on a 10 and 15 minute
105:48 chart that if it were to get to this
105:49 level there the the supply and demand
105:52 characteristics which is price and
105:54 volume and what makes sense you know it
105:57 it should be supported here if it's a
106:00 good stock from a technical uh you know
106:02 analysis perspective. So that you know
106:05 the stock does get supported but most
106:08 importantly if I'm operating in this
106:10 zone and I want to accumulate it I know
106:12 exactly where the you know where I
106:15 should get out. I see this as an
106:17 inflection point where the stock you
106:19 know secondary buyers or buyers that
106:21 were waiting or folks that purchased
106:24 this and institutions that supported the
106:26 stock to rally on that particular day.
106:28 will come back and buy more of that
106:30 stock cuz that seems to be a level that
106:33 they were interested in on the day the
106:35 catalyst took place. Right? So the stock
106:38 then you know this rallies and and works
106:40 out quite well. But what's important
106:42 here is to understand how we can come up
106:45 with this you know uh support level
106:48 based on the day that the catalyst uh
106:51 happened. Um so if we go to the second
106:54 one Richard uh I'll cover that. So this
106:57 is another example the same, you know,
106:59 and it's another company that gapped up,
107:02 had an earnings catalyst, had the
107:04 highest volume in a year. Um, if you
107:06 guess it, that would be amazing.
107:09 But yeah, so it it came in and if you
107:13 looked at, you know, the distribution of
107:15 where it was supported intraday on that
107:17 day and where the volume support came in
107:19 or where secondary buyers came into that
107:22 area on the day the catalyst took place
107:24 on a 10 or 15 minute chart, you would
107:26 draw this particular zone out. And this
107:29 stock was constantly supported as it
107:31 came back into these areas uh and it
107:34 would bounce off of it, right? Uh, and
107:38 the the the reason I like looking at
107:40 this, it's it's the purest form of
107:42 technical analysis. It's one of the
107:43 first things that I learned. If
107:45 something is moving up on volume and
107:47 comes back in and is supported again,
107:50 right where the volume showed up, that's
107:52 secondary confirmation that whoever
107:54 bought it on this particular day is
107:57 interested in coming back and buying
107:59 even more as it comes back into that
108:01 area. Right? And that's essentially what
108:04 volume support is.
108:06 Um, someone said BB AI, but that's the
108:09 the next slide. I will be using that.
108:11 This one is CH. This was around the 30
108:14 spot on CH. Um, Richard, let's go to the
108:18 next slide where we get into a real
108:20 example of a uh a 15minute chart and how
108:24 to draw volume support. I think uh I
108:25 bought this day through the high. Uh you
108:29 you beat me. You got better costs than I
108:30 did because you accumulated versus
108:32 versus that spot right there. A level.
108:34 Yeah. Perfect.
108:35 All right, here we go. So this this is
108:37 uh how you look. So this is zoomed in on
108:39 an intraday chart. So this stock again,
108:43 it doesn't matter what company it is.
108:45 Focus on the concept. So you could you
108:47 can apply it to any company. Uh and you
108:49 don't have to ask me ever again, right?
108:51 Uh so this stock rallied up and you know
108:55 it came back in but secondary volume
108:58 came in and it was supported here and
109:00 rallied you know after hours. It tried
109:02 to gap up in the morning. This is
109:03 pre-market. hit the yellow uh comes back
109:05 in the stock is then again supported
109:08 right here in pre-market you know holds
109:10 this level it's the same level where
109:13 when it came in it could have gone even
109:15 lower right from a price perspective but
109:18 secondary volume came in to support it
109:20 to the upside right so what I did was I
109:23 simply you know I think this is a level
109:25 of interest this is where I can define
109:27 my risk really really tightly and I can
109:30 know that if a stock were to break this
109:32 particular area or zone phone, I should
109:34 be out of it because that negates, you
109:37 know, the price support that I defined
109:39 over here. The why did I why why am I
109:42 looking at you know support here and
109:44 here? The first step to all of this is
109:47 this was the highest volume in over a
109:49 year on this particular name on the
109:51 daily chart. So that's your edge. That's
109:53 the visual the visual edge that I saw
109:57 and what makes this a gapper setup. What
110:00 we're speaking of right now is the
110:02 volume support. It's an entry tactic. If
110:05 you don't have an edge to begin with and
110:08 you just go around looking for oops
110:10 reversals, you're going to lose yourself
110:11 and drive yourself nuts because oops
110:14 reversals and volume supports will be on
110:16 every single chart that you can possibly
110:18 pull up in the markets. And there's
110:19 about 12,000 tickers in the United
110:21 States. So the first step is you you
110:25 know this volume was significant on the
110:27 daily time frame. This was the highest
110:30 volume and it showed the HV edge. Once I
110:32 had the edge, you know, I can now I'm on
110:35 day two and on day two of this
110:38 particular, you know, it didn't really
110:39 do anything. It consolidated sideways. A
110:41 setup started to form, right? Day two or
110:44 later on on a gapper. And then third is
110:47 how do I enter this name so that I can
110:49 define my risk really, really well. How
110:52 quickly can I know that what I'm doing
110:54 it, you know, is going to result in a
110:56 losing trade. And how can I define my
110:58 stop loss really clearly so that I have
111:01 a thesis to either enter this name with
111:03 tight stop-loss or have a good upside
111:07 for this. So I enter this name pre you
111:09 know right around the pre-market area
111:12 accumulating on the open accumulated
111:14 more the stock then reacted to this
111:16 level and moved up. Now is every single
111:18 one going to do this right away? No. CH
111:22 took about a week and a half to two
111:24 weeks to play out versus volume support.
111:28 This particular stock did took two days
111:31 to play out. So there a lot of questions
111:33 that I get and many questions that I saw
111:35 in the chat throughout is, you know, how
111:37 long do I have to wait? That's never a
111:40 known when it comes to entry tactics.
111:43 What you're trying to do is dictate
111:44 where can I manage my risk the best so
111:47 that when I am wrong, I lose very
111:49 little. But when I am right, you know,
111:52 this stock ripped up 43% same day and I
111:54 sold it right into you know it was too
111:56 good to be true. So you just sell it and
111:59 move on. Uh but you know
112:02 edge then and you know uh a setup forms
112:05 where you know you're below the prior
112:08 day's high. You're now consolidating and
112:11 then you have an entry tactic where you
112:12 can define your risk really really well.
112:14 You enter that name. But if you don't
112:17 have the first step, a lot of traders
112:19 forget if you don't have this volume
112:21 being significant enough, none of the
112:24 rest of it matters and it would have
112:25 never been on my radar to begin with. So
112:28 that was the example that I had.
112:30 Richard, I don't know if any questions.
112:37 There's a question if you use there's
112:39 the indicator fixed range volume to help
112:41 identify this, but you're more just
112:43 looking at where the big volume comes
112:44 in. So maybe maybe talk about that. So
112:46 So yeah, there there's a scientific uh I
112:49 would say way to do it where you place
112:51 like a volume profile and it will give
112:53 you, you know, this bar is big, this bar
112:55 is small and that way to do it. I I
112:59 don't do that. I just look I like to
113:01 look at a chart and dictate, you know,
113:02 this is where price was supported.
113:04 Volume was good. You know, there's big
113:06 bars still coming in. There's a reason
113:09 that price was supported here. There's a
113:11 reason when it came in here, it was
113:12 still supported. There's a reason you
113:14 know, uh, post market when it came in,
113:16 it was still supported. There's a reason
113:18 pre-market there came in, it was still
113:20 supported. Well, if it supported this
113:22 many times, there's someone sitting
113:23 there and saying, "Give me more. Give me
113:25 more. Give me more." Especially on this
113:27 bar, there's no reason for it to stop
113:29 here. But, it did and it was supported
113:31 into the close, right? So, that's why it
113:34 makes it a significant level for me.
113:36 Yes. Can I be more scientific and say
113:38 that, oh, the highest bar was here on
113:40 that profile thing? I just haven't found
113:43 that to be a better tool than my eyes.
113:45 Uh when it comes to a 10 or 15 minute
113:47 chart, that's why I use uh I don't use
113:50 it.
113:51 Uh from Mojo says, "Our stops expect to
113:53 be hit below this level? Level seems
113:55 obvious, but with tight stops attempt is
113:58 reasonable." I think uh that's almost
114:00 the point. The level is obvious and we
114:02 actually get an undercut and rally of
114:03 that level on that day that you bought
114:06 uh you know into that level and
114:08 rebounding up from it. Um so Ry, I don't
114:10 know if you want to answer that. Uh,
114:12 additionally, yeah. So, so what I'm
114:14 trying to say is, you know, we're not
114:16 trying to nail the absolute low here.
114:18 What's what what I'm trying to say is I
114:20 can define my risk really, really well,
114:23 and I have a zone I can operate in. And
114:25 if I can operate in this zone, and if it
114:27 breaks this lower, you know, level and
114:31 goes to the downside, I know where I'm
114:32 getting out at. So, could have, it could
114:35 have done this, you know, the lower wick
114:37 could have been that low. Uh, you know,
114:39 that it would have been that low. maybe
114:41 I would have would have not been in the
114:43 trade or got stopped out. But more often
114:46 than not, again, there's no absolutes.
114:47 There's not there's not a lottery. It's
114:49 it's it's not a definitive, you know,
114:52 1,000% of the time this is going to
114:54 happen. But with, you know, this is what
114:57 I've observed with when you have the
114:59 highest volume ever IPO in a year, more
115:03 often than not, it will define a clear
115:05 level of support and which is what we
115:07 call volume support on that name.
115:09 Perfect.
115:12 All right. So, next up we've got the
115:14 high volume close. Ryder, you want to
115:15 start this one?
115:17 Yeah. So, the high volume close is a,
115:20 you know, it it's it's now quite popular
115:22 in terms of entry tactics. So,
115:24 essentially, you know, we're looking for
115:27 the high volume edge. That's the first
115:30 step. So, that's this first bar. And
115:33 that close becomes of significance
115:36 uh as an entry tactic. I don't like it
115:40 to be my primary, you know, my first way
115:42 to to enter a stock that's, you know,
115:45 shown the highest volume edge. Uh it's
115:48 one of the second or third ways I like
115:50 to enter a name so that I can, you know,
115:53 still define my risk quite well. So the
115:56 entry is essentially at the close of the
115:59 the high volume day or the highest
116:01 volume, you know, where the catalyst
116:03 happened. the day that it moves above
116:06 it, you could place your stop uh you
116:08 know, right under underneath the the low
116:11 of that prior day. And that's what
116:12 people call HVC. Uh again, I for me,
116:17 it's not one of my primary entry tactics
116:20 when it comes to gappers. It's one of
116:22 the ones that I will use if there's
116:24 nothing else the stock is giving me. So,
116:28 uh I like the whole number support. I
116:30 like the volume support uh to play out
116:33 and those entries I found to be much
116:35 better than the HBC. But if all else
116:38 fails and I still you know can't find an
116:40 entry and I see momentum in that name
116:42 and the market cycle you know still
116:44 quite young uh the group is good
116:47 everything else is checking out then yes
116:49 I will take an entry at the uh the high
116:52 volume close which is the close of this
116:54 particular day and it becomes a key
116:56 area. This is a daily chart by for
116:58 everybody. Yeah. Yeah, this is again on
117:00 the on the daily chart uh when it comes
117:02 to this. So these are these are setups
117:04 what we're talking about now are setups
117:06 that happen after the high volume gap up
117:09 day. So after you identify this, you can
117:12 scan for this really easily. We've got
117:14 scans in DPU to find these days. These
117:16 are all setups that you can use after
117:19 the fact to participate in the trend and
117:21 momentum moves that these gappers often
117:23 are the start of. Um, and then here
117:25 we've got an example where we actually
117:28 fail the HVC, which can happen.
117:29 Obviously, want to manage your risk
117:31 tightly and it forms more of a a range
117:34 here under HVC and we've got kind of a
117:36 delayed HVC uh rally here, breakout
117:39 through uh and then this time it works.
117:41 So, that's another way that you can do
117:42 it. Managing your risk right at the low
117:44 of the day here within a few percent.
117:46 Um, Ryan, anything you want to add uh
117:49 before we move on from from this slide?
117:53 No, I think it's good. So, this is an
117:56 example. This is a Tesla uh back in
117:59 2019. This is a classic one. We had the
118:01 HV1 and then the next day we went
118:04 through that close. This is the HVC
118:07 entry right here and actually had
118:09 another HV1. So, extremely powerful.
118:12 Tells you that that setup is likely
118:13 going to work. And from that point on,
118:15 we participated in a trend. This
118:16 actually went parabolic into the 2020
118:19 correction. So this is a great example
118:21 of HVC here and uh really big volume on
118:25 HV1 the first day and then even bigger
118:27 volume the next day. Uh this is an
118:30 example with Docuine. It actually gave
118:31 you two two days to uh to try the the
118:34 HVC here uh through these pivots and
118:36 this led to a nice move into the end of
118:38 2019 and then obviously this was a big
118:41 winner in 2020 as well and this kind of
118:43 started from a nice I think 40% move
118:46 from the HVC entry. Next up, we've got
118:49 ELF. And I wanted to put this chart on
118:51 just to show the power of the HVC. And
118:54 uh you know, there's so many
118:56 coincidences where a stock will will put
118:58 in a huge volume move, gap up on
119:00 earnings, uh trend a while, and then
119:02 pull back right to the HVC. And if you
119:04 you mark up every HVC on the ELF chart,
119:07 uh every single time almost it retested,
119:09 it bounced there and kept on moving. So,
119:12 um, definitely a really good example to
119:14 study here, uh, with ELF during its
119:16 trend in 2022 through 2023. Uh, here
119:19 we've got ASU um, and Ry, I want to hear
119:21 your thoughts on this chart, but here
119:23 we've got, uh, the HVE on the
119:25 partnership announcement as well as
119:26 earnings. And the next day, it doesn't
119:28 quite give an entry. I think it pulls
119:29 back into the HVC and moves higher. But
119:32 after that, it forms a range right
119:34 against there and finds support right at
119:36 that area and sets up a nice range and
119:38 then rallies. And then later on we get a
119:40 continuation another HVE on another
119:42 partnership announcement forms a tight
119:44 range and then this breakout from this
119:47 HVC led to a nice move and this
119:49 obviously formed high tight flags and
119:50 and went crazy last year as well. But
119:52 Ryan, anything you want to add on on
119:54 this example or any of the prior
119:56 ones? Yeah. So the biggest thing here is
119:59 like you identify that the stock has now
120:01 had a significant move u on volume which
120:05 makes it special. Uh you'll notice as
120:08 you track a lot of these HVs that when
120:10 they happen around that, you know, $5
120:12 mark and the seven and a half, those are
120:14 the most powerful ones and in terms of
120:16 how they act and some of them, you know,
120:19 you'll be very early to pick them up cuz
120:21 people start talking about them in the
120:23 teens, but they're, you know, something
120:25 has drastically happened uh at the lower
120:28 price range, especially the 7.5 and the
120:30 five. Um I think you know with the with
120:34 respect to
120:35 as higher position sizing here was you
120:38 know easier to do than it was over here
120:41 if you missed that initial day right
120:43 it's tough to get this particular entry
120:45 spot where it comes back in and then
120:47 does an expectation breaker cuz you're
120:49 expecting it to undercut uh the HVC or
120:52 go sideways or lower but then it you
120:55 know rallies up above the prior days
120:57 high unless you caught this type of type
121:00 of move or you were antic anticipating a
121:02 pullback. I think this, you know, was an
121:04 easier entry area when it came to uh
121:06 this particular stock. Again, um making
121:10 progress in the market is all about
121:12 defining risk. If you missed it here,
121:14 it's fine. If I position size higher uh
121:17 and better over here, I could still
121:19 capture the move uh on this particular
121:21 name. And if I miss this one, I'm still
121:23 tracking it to see if this can give me
121:25 another move or a really uh nice risk uh
121:29 reward area for me to enter that name.
121:31 So, uh the key the key here is, you
121:34 know, when these things happen, you
121:37 focus in on them because there's a
121:39 reason, you know, volume is showing up,
121:42 people are participating, and there's
121:44 an, you know, the catalyst that Richard
121:45 highlighted is significant enough for
121:47 this one. It went crazy like even after
121:50 this particular gap it kept going. So,
121:52 yep. Perfect. We've got one more
121:54 example. This is uh root and this
121:57 actually uses the high as the pivot
121:58 because this is kind of a variation that
122:00 might be worth mentioning. Ry, if you
122:01 want to discuss that.
122:04 Yeah, this one's the same thing again.
122:05 Yeah, you got to know the catalyst that
122:08 that is happening here. This one will
122:10 force you like these this particular
122:12 momentum name forces you to use the HVC.
122:15 uh maybe the volume support has u may
122:18 have been closer to you know a little
122:19 bit lower. It doesn't give you that. So
122:21 what I tend to do is when you know when
122:23 these happen and I know that volume
122:25 significant enough and something's
122:26 happened in that name for me to track. I
122:30 boxed it in. You know I look at the
122:32 closest whole number as a potential
122:33 entry area. I look at the volume support
122:36 zone. I'll draw those out on that
122:37 particular day and I'll draw the HBC and
122:40 the high of the day. And then depending
122:41 on that next day and the action that we
122:43 are where we are in the market cycle uh
122:46 is momentum just starting to pick up and
122:49 is risk appetite for you know for these
122:52 type of names high in the markets then
122:54 according to the situation and where we
122:56 are in the market cycle that also
122:59 dictates which entry tactic you're
123:01 picking right in a market where
123:03 breakouts are failing and strength is
123:05 being faded it's hard to go and buy HVC
123:09 because you know that you're going to
123:10 get burned on that. In a in a market
123:13 where pullbacks are working, volume
123:16 support and whole number entry areas
123:18 work a lot better than uh than trying to
123:22 you know get into things that are uh
123:24 moving above prior days highs. Uh but
123:27 this one in this case like you know
123:28 exactly what Richard said this is a
123:30 prior significant area. There's a you
123:33 can call this a base but I think you
123:35 know whatever happened here this is not
123:36 a base. this is just a company that was
123:38 rotten uh and something happened here
123:40 where it came out of the woods and now
123:43 you know something's completely reset
123:45 this chart right so that makes it you
123:47 know a lot of folks that were maybe you
123:49 know shorts that were caught or whatever
123:51 the case might be caused this momentum
123:54 uh to the upside but what I want to
123:56 emphasize is a lot of traders say hey
123:57 these gap ups don't work uh and that's
124:00 usually a mechanism of we're late in the
124:03 market cycle we we'll have a whole
124:05 webinar on market cycle in this series,
124:07 everything and you know, every entry
124:10 tactic that you're taking will somehow
124:12 or some way tie into where we are in the
124:16 market cycle, right? If if we're late in
124:19 the market cycle and we're seeing gap
124:20 ups in a in an earnings season, those
124:24 gap ups usually fade because risk
124:26 appetite's already, you know, the last
124:27 30 days we were in an upcycle. there's
124:30 no more risk appetite that you know
124:32 there's no more uh exposure that you
124:36 know big firms want to take on at these
124:38 multiples when we've been trending for
124:40 the past 30 days whereas when we hit a
124:43 earnings cycle and the the market cycle
124:46 is just starting to pick up you'll see a
124:48 lot of gappers go up you know gap up and
124:51 go 30%. So, we'll get into the depths of
124:53 it, but what what I'm trying to get at
124:56 is the entry tactic that you pick h will
124:59 always work best when you correlate it
125:01 with the market cycle as well. So, that
125:04 will be a topic of discussion in future
125:05 webinars. Perfect.
125:08 All right. The next entry tactic we're
125:10 going to talk about um is basically the
125:13 consolidation pivot entry tactic, the
125:15 range breakout that we talked about up
125:16 the right hand side of a base, but after
125:19 a big gap. So often a stock might pause
125:22 for a little bit and set up a nice
125:24 range. And that's kind of my ideal way
125:25 actually to trade these gappers is we
125:28 have a nice move up, it consolidates
125:29 tightly, shows support, tightens, forms
125:32 a clear pivot, and then entering as it
125:34 breaks through that pivot, managing risk
125:36 right at that low of the day is kind of
125:37 my ideal way to trade um the these
125:40 gappers. Uh here's an example with ALAB.
125:43 We had a nice gapper here. It pulled
125:46 back pretty hard. I set a pivot right
125:48 here. I added on this. They already had
125:49 a position uh but you know I added on
125:51 this day pushed higher and then even
125:53 after it moved higher after this range
125:55 it set up another range breakout right
125:57 in this area. Two tight days R&V going
125:59 to zero right before this really nice
126:01 reconfirmation. So it can be subtle but
126:03 often after a gap up here there'll be a
126:06 pause a range that forms a pullback and
126:09 then it rallies and reconfirms higher
126:11 and really starts that trend after that
126:14 gap uh gap move. Uh here's Reddit. I
126:16 added on this one as well. or had a
126:18 position before this gap gap up showing
126:20 a lot of strength here. Pull back,
126:22 gradual pullback. This is the clear
126:24 pivot added on this day and then even
126:26 after it pushed up, it tightened up
126:28 again against the 10 EMA and reconfirmed
126:30 higher. Um, and you know, you'll see
126:32 constructive gaps do this is move up,
126:34 tighten, move up, tighten uh as they
126:37 continue to trend above all the moving
126:38 averages. Here's an example with Tesla
126:41 back in 2013. Actually, this was uh a
126:44 catalyst based on their first ever
126:45 reported quarterly profit. And this was
126:48 gapping out of a I think 2-year base.
126:50 So, a massive consolidation,
126:52 game-changing catalyst, big gap up, and
126:54 you might expect it to go immediately.
126:56 But instead, it pulls back hard. Uh
126:58 breaks all the hearts of people who
126:59 bought on this day. And then what does
127:01 it do? It sets up a nice tight range
127:02 against the 10 EMA. Clear line of
127:05 resistance here. This is the post gap up
127:06 range breakout by here. And then I think
127:09 this went up 200 250% in a matter of a
127:12 few months. So a really nice historical
127:14 example here and a good example of a
127:16 gamechanging catalyst as well, which is
127:17 always what we look for with uh the
127:19 gapper setup. Again, we're not look
127:21 trading any old gap. We're trying to
127:23 trade a gap that changes the way
127:25 institutions are valuing a company or
127:28 see future earnings growth or revenue
127:29 growth. and uh you know proving to the
127:32 market that it can be profitable is that
127:34 type of gamechanging catalyst that we're
127:36 trying to focus in on. Um this example
127:39 of Tesla uh later we already talked
127:41 about this actually but this is a
127:42 example from the trader handbook the
127:44 model book chapter. So, if you want a
127:46 sneak preview of the chapter 12 of the
127:48 model book uh of of the handbook, this
127:51 is one and this kind of breaks down um
127:54 this HV1 which I already talked about
127:55 the HVC right here, but also several
127:58 range breakout opportunities after that
128:00 gap up. Uh so, that's a good example
128:02 there. Um Ry, anything you want to add
128:04 on post gap up ranges um or any of these
128:07 examples? I can I can go back and cycle
128:09 through any of them.
128:11 No, I think uh that was good. All right.
128:15 So, getting a little bit into trade
128:16 execution, you know, we've talked a lot
128:17 about entry tactics. We've, you know,
128:19 identified a bunch of pivots, um,
128:21 different ways to enter a stock, but how
128:23 do we actually get ready to execute a
128:25 trade? Uh, this is kind of my personal
128:28 process here that I lay out. Uh, first,
128:30 of course, we're focusing on promising
128:31 setups and leading themes, showing many
128:33 edges. Again, we want to be really
128:35 clear. We're only looking for entry
128:36 tactics in a promising stock in an
128:39 overall strong setup. Uh then I like to
128:41 narrow down my focus list to one to four
128:43 stocks based on the readiness and
128:45 quality. So how tight are they? Are they
128:48 part of a leading theme? Is the market
128:49 cycle right? Um you know are they
128:51 showing uh are they primed with an
128:53 inside day or upside reversal? Uh all
128:56 those different qualities are something
128:57 I take into account. Uh and these are
128:58 some other things. Theme, relative
129:00 strength, tightness of the setup, uh
129:02 number of edges. And then what I like to
129:04 do if this is kind of pre-market um and
129:07 you don't see this bar, this is kind of
129:08 the the current bar. If this is
129:11 pre-market, I like to set an alert in
129:13 DFW below the pivot about 0.5% below the
129:16 pivot. So as the stock approaches that
129:18 pivot, I'm basically notified and I have
129:22 time to analyze the setup a little bit
129:23 more and you know do last final checks
129:26 to see if I want to take the trade or
129:28 not. So setting that early alert I think
129:30 is really critical. Um, then I always
129:32 check um, you know, do I have the
129:34 capability to add a position, check my
129:36 risk management. Um, can I set a tight
129:38 and logical stop-loss? Uh, then I prep
129:41 my order as it's approaching the pivot
129:42 after I'm notified by uh, this early
129:45 alert and then I enter if everything
129:47 looks good and it breaks through that
129:48 pivot. So, that's kind of my standard
129:50 process for trade execution. Um, setting
129:52 my stop right after I place my order or
129:55 often, you know, in IBR, I can actually
129:56 place my stop right with my buy order.
129:58 So, I do that right away. And usually my
130:00 stop 90 97.5% of the time is at the low
130:04 of the day right here. Uh is kind of how
130:06 I like to trade these these range
130:07 breakouts. Uh Ry, anything you want to
130:09 add on trade execution or kind of your
130:10 process for uh for for thinking about
130:13 actually entering a trade?
130:17 No, I I think um you know you have to
130:19 take everything in context. Um there's a
130:24 time frame and you know a situation
130:27 where these will work uh and you know
130:32 the the the risk appetite of the market
130:35 will dictate much of uh what happens
130:38 when you place a trade right so we'll
130:41 get into the depths of how do we um what
130:44 we covered today is the framework side
130:47 of things and how to think of a pattern
130:49 that forms after you see an edge a setup
130:52 form which which is a base or
130:53 consolidation and then how do you enter
130:55 that name and where do you place your
130:57 stop-loss uh within that entry tactic?
131:00 So I I know a lot of folks in the
131:03 comments are very eager to get to the
131:05 next topics that we will cover in future
131:07 webinars, but look at these as building
131:09 blocks towards that. And then we'll get
131:11 into, you know, when is the best time to
131:14 get into the markets? When is the best
131:16 time to step out? How do we build a
131:18 framework around, you know, when are
131:20 when is our exposure supposed to be 80%
131:23 or higher or when it's supposed to be
131:25 10% or lower, right? So we we'll get
131:27 into many many many of these things that
131:30 will all you know over the next 10 uh
131:33 webinars everything will tie together
131:34 but look at this as a building block
131:37 towards that and by the end of the 10 I
131:39 think you'll have a full system uh which
131:42 is why you know we're saying at the you
131:44 know these 10 webinars and the book will
131:47 allow you to build a full trading
131:49 system. Yep. And we've got a surprise
131:51 giveaway for everybody watching. If you
131:53 scan and tweet out a message, which is
131:55 basically you're you're attending these
131:56 webinars and recommend it to others. So,
131:58 if you found this helpful, go ahead and
132:00 do this. Uh I'll be DMing everybody who
132:02 does that today uh with a $50 gift card
132:05 to Trader Lion as you'll be able to use
132:07 that on any master class. And I'll be
132:09 choosing one person who does that today.
132:11 Uh they'll they'll be selected to win a
132:13 Trader Line master class of their
132:14 choice, whether that's with Oliver Kell,
132:16 Stan Weinstein, uh whatever master class
132:18 you'd like. You can go ahead and enter
132:20 to win by scanning this. And I just want
132:22 to emphasize what Ry said. Um each of
132:25 the webinars, the purpose of these
132:26 webinars is to go along and uh
132:30 complement the book because each chapter
132:31 of the book is designed to cover one
132:35 aspect of building a trading system.
132:37 We've talked about laying the foundation
132:39 uh analyzing price and volume. We've
132:40 talked about uh mindset psychology,
132:43 identifying your stage. We've talked
132:44 about edges and setups in the previous
132:46 webinar. This one the focus is on entry
132:48 tactics which builds up on the edges
132:51 incentives webinar and in the future
132:52 we're going to cover risk management
132:54 sell rules post trade analysis writing
132:57 trading rules um you know building a
133:00 model book finding new edges the the
133:02 book and also these webinars are
133:04 designed to help you build a full
133:06 trading system and hopefully it's been
133:08 very valuable to to you guys and
133:10 hopefully you guys show up to each
133:11 webinar and and find a lot of value in
133:13 it uh so we can speed up your learning
133:14 curves. Um, so that is uh the QR code.
133:17 Definitely scan that and uh you know
133:19 help support this resource that we're
133:21 building and we we'd be incredibly
133:23 appreciative and I'll be DMing you guys,
133:24 everybody who participates a $50 gift
133:27 card. Um, so this is the end. We'll
133:29 pause for a little bit of questions. Uh,
133:31 but first I want to say, you know, if
133:32 you found this video helpful, this
133:34 webinar helpful, uh, and are enjoying
133:35 this overall series, definitely go ahead
133:37 and order your copy of the traders
133:39 handbook. We had a few people who
133:40 ordered two, so that's awesome. That's
133:42 even better. Uh but basically everything
133:44 we talk about in these webinars is
133:45 expanded upon and gives more examples in
133:48 the book itself. And chapter 12 of this
133:50 handbook is a full 200 plus page
133:53 annotated model book of the biggest
133:55 winners. So all the concepts that we're
133:57 talking about edges, setups, entry
133:59 tactics, you can you know look and
134:01 analyze examples for yourself by
134:03 studying the greatest winners of all
134:04 time. And we've made that really easy by
134:06 including it in the book in chapter 12.
134:09 So, if you enjoy this webinar,
134:10 definitely go ahead and order your copy.
134:13 Um, and uh, with that, let's see if
134:15 there's any key questions. Uh, Ry,
134:16 anything else you want to mention about
134:18 the book or or this these webinar
134:20 series? Who is going to be voicing the
134:22 audio book was one of the questions?
134:23 Yeah, we're still deciding. We're still
134:25 deciding. Yeah.
134:27 Um, no, I don't see any questions. Um, I
134:30 think, you know, the most important is
134:32 make sure you join the next one. It's a
134:34 series. If you haven't watched the
134:35 previous ones, we'll link them in the
134:36 chat and also the description of this
134:39 video. Uh if you guys have questions
134:41 after the fact and you're watching this,
134:43 you know, after we finished, we're more
134:45 than happy to answer those. Uh do share
134:47 this with anyone that you think uh can
134:49 benefit from it. I think, you know, now
134:51 is the best time to learn with the
134:53 current market conditions. We're
134:54 officially in that bare market from a
134:57 technical definition perspective, which
134:59 is, you know, gives you ample time to
135:01 build a full system. Look at your
135:03 previous runs. what you've done in terms
135:04 of trading uh post trade analysis. Look
135:07 at your edges, entry tactics, setups, um
135:10 and all of that it you know the while
135:12 the market figures it out. So this kind
135:15 of environment doesn't uh really benefit
135:17 or you know provide an edge to longs or
135:20 shorts cuz the volatility is going to be
135:22 insane. So that's even more of a reason
135:24 to double down on just studying what
135:26 you've done uh you know in the past and
135:28 also adding more to your game so that
135:31 you can get infinitely better. Yeah.
135:32 Perfect. And there will be a digital
135:34 copy. I think you can order the Kindle
135:35 copy right now. Uh so if you go ahead
135:37 and scan this QR code, you can order the
135:39 the hard copy as well as Kindle and also
135:42 the audiobook as well. Um I actually
135:44 like to buy the audiobook version and a
135:47 hard copy. And I like to read it while I
135:49 I know this is crazy. I like to read it
135:50 while listening to audiobook, but that's
135:52 just me. Uh it helps me uh you know,
135:54 learn faster. So definitely go ahead and
135:56 order that if you haven't already. And
135:58 uh with that, I think we can end today.
136:00 So thank you guys all for tuning in.
136:02 really appreciate you guys spending some
136:03 of your Saturday here with us. Hopefully
136:05 it's been helpful to you guys. Um I I
136:08 have a ton of fun doing these and it's
136:10 great to to see all your guys great
136:11 questions and thoughts and feedback. Uh
136:13 so definitely appreciate it. If you're
136:14 watching this um in the future the
136:16 recording um if you have any questions,
136:18 leave it in the comment section. Um and
136:20 with that, I think we can pretty much
136:22 end it. So thank you guys all for for
136:24 your time and and your attention.
136:25 Definitely appreciate it.
136:31 [Music]