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How to Trade Breakouts - Simple and Effective Entry Tactics for Performance
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We have a slight gap down here. So you
can manage risk really tightly actually
and we immediately rally through and
really penetrate the prior days bar.
This is the best possible situation
where we have immediate strength off the
open. Rally strongly through that low
and managing risk at the stop you're
automatically up a bunch of risk
multiples if you manage risk at this low
of the day. So again thinking about the
negative if you you buy this as it
breaks through this and we reverse down
and break this low. That's where you
would exit with your stop loss. but
instead here you have an early entry
point up the right hand side of a base
and you have immediate profit here to
weather any of the pullbacks up the
right hand side. So that is a really
good example of an oops reversal. This
is how you accumulate versus lows where
the stock has pushed up off the low of a
base. It's formed 1 2 3 four or five
days of tightness and it keeps
respecting a key level. This could be
right above a moving average as well.
There's often confluence there. But the
key thing is that this range keeps
respecting a key level in the market.
And that is the bottom of the the range
and you can enter as it keeps confirming
up off that level. Basically, and I'll
define what tight and logical means.
We're looking to enter at a spot where
we can manage risk tightly as well as
logically. Meaning that the percentage
stop is pretty small. And we're managing
risk and placing our stop loss at a
logical place based on market structure,
based on a moving average. Basically, if
the stock hits our stop, it's a logical
spot that defines that the entry tactic
that we're using or the setup we're
using has failed. Entry tactics can't be
used in isolation. They have to be in a
strong stock. They have to be in an
overall mature setup like a base, like a
gapper, whatever it is. That's really
when they work best. You want to stack
the odds in your favor. And a big part
of that is looking for confluences.
Consolidation pivots are basically key
pivots and ranges that form up the right
hand side of a mature base. You've got
traditional base pivot up here. These
pivots are smaller in nature. These
ranges are going to be smaller than the
overall base, but they're clear lines of
resistance up the right hand side. And
your stop loss is either going to be set
at the low of the day as we break
through or at the previous higher low.
So that's how you can think about
[Music]
it. So let's go ahead and get started.
Welcome to the next Trader Handbook
webinar. Super excited to have you guys
here. This is going to be an excellent
one. uh we've already done three that
kind of lay that foundation. We've tal
talked about key principles, common
trading problems, really kind of our
philosophy that everything is built
upon. Uh then we provided kind of a
foundation with regards to technical
analysis, how we interpret charts and
the last two webinars or the last
webinar we dove deep into setups and
edges, gave the specifics ones we use as
well as just kind of provided a
framework to think about how you look at
setups and edges so you can apply it to
your own personal style of trading.
Because again, we're using our style as
an example, but uh the frameworks that
we're presenting can apply to mean
reversion trading. They can apply to day
trading. Whatever your style is, um
you'll be able to apply the concepts
that we're talking about uh to the to
yours specifically. Uh today, we're
going to dive deeper into the entry side
of trading, uh focusing on entry tactics
and trade execution. This is going to be
excellent one. It's the most slides
we've had, so make sure you stick around
till the end. We've also got some
giveaways and surprises in there for
you. And we're going to cover a lot
today. So, make sure you stick around.
And if you do enjoy this, please go
ahead and leave a like on the video.
Really helps us out. And if you're not
already subscribed, uh definitely go
ahead and do that. And before we get
into it, um if you're not already a part
of the Trader Handbook weight list, uh
please go ahead and register. We'll be
giving away a lot of additional
exclusive bonuses such as educational
articles. I'll be sending one later
today on a specific entry tactic that
we'll be talking about in today's
webinar. Uh so if you're not already a
part of that, definitely join right
here. Uh here's a quick preview of what
you get. We've already sent model book
chapter preview, a bunch of other
educational articles that dive a little
bit deeper into what we talk about in
the webinars. Um and if you sign up,
don't don't uh don't feel like you're
missing out because you'll be sent these
ones that we've already sent out um
after you sign up. So uh definitely go
ahead and register here. Again, this is
completely free. uh you can just scan
this QR code right here and uh join this
list. And you know, I'm really looking
forward to uh continuing to send out
educational articles. Again, I'll be
sending out one later today to everybody
who registers and joins this list. Uh
we'll also be giving away a lot of
stuff, including a trade analytics log
later on. Uh so you don't want to miss
that. So go ahead and join uh this
weight list, especially if you're
watching uh this
recording. All right, let's dive deep
into chapter 5. Uh the the subject of
today's webinar covers uh what we cover
in the Trader Handbook, chapter 5, entry
tactics and trade execution. Getting
really into the nitty-gritty about how
we actually enter orders after we've
identified a promising stock based on
edges and setups. This is kind of the
last layer to actually entering a
position. And I wanted to start out with
this quote that I think puts everything
in perspective, right? because we're
going to be focusing on a zoomed in view
today about how you actually enter and
manage orders and all that. Uh but
without the larger context, the setup,
the edges, the market context, which
we'll get into into a dedicated webinar,
the entry tactic is just the last piece
that in isolation is not effective. So
everything has to come together. And
we'll talk about context uh quite a bit
in today's uh webinar, but the quote is
from Sunzu. Strategy without tactics is
the slowest route to victory. tactics
without strategy is the noise before
defeat. So, a lot about what we're
talking today uh about is, you know,
specific patterns, short-term patterns,
but you can always find those patterns.
And the reason that they're effective
when they are is because they're used in
conjunction with a promising stock, you
know, a strong showing a lot of edges in
a overall larger context that's
constructive, showing accumulation, and
has a strong setup. So, we always want
to think about edges, setup, and then
entry tactics is kind of the last piece
to the puzzle. So, here's the agenda for
today. You can see we've got a lot to
cover, and this is going to be a really,
really good one, guys. Uh, first getting
getting into king components of entry
tactic. Uh, then talking a little bit
about risk management, although we'll
expand on that quite a bit in the next
webinar, which is completely dedicated
to stop losses, setting them, all that.
So, stay tuned for that. Um, but we
talked a little bit about tight and
logical stops here. Uh then pairing
entry tactics with setups, which ones we
use with which setup that we talked
about in the previous webinar. Uh we'll
talk about the key level reclaim entry
tactic, the consolidation pivot/range
breakout entry tactic, the four ways to
trade ranges. Uh then we'll talk about
key level pullbacks, oops reversals,
opening range breakouts, intraday base
breakouts, high volume close pivots, uh
volume support, and then overall the
trade execution process, how we think
about, you know, getting ready to
actually enter an order. So this is
going to be really, really good.
Hopefully you guys are uh are really
interested in this. So, let's go ahead
and dive right in. All right, so what is
an entry tactic? Uh like I said before,
entry tactics are the final layer.
They're the last piece of the puzzle
after identifying a strong stock with
edges and setups. Uh they basically
allow us to control risk tightly and
position size adequately by helping
traders enter positions with precise
stop levels and risk control. Uh like I
said, they enable proper position
sizing, allow us to actually, you know,
turn the needle when a trade moves in
our favor and well-timed entries allow
us to put on enough size uh while
managing risk to actually make a
difference in our accounts and that's
what leads to performance at the end of
the day. Uh then entry tactics are
execution focused. There's a clear buy
point called the pivot point. Uh there's
a clear level to manage risk. I know a
lot of you guys, you know, have have a
question where do you place stop-
losses? um you know this today will
answer that question with every entry
tactic. We'll talk about exactly where
we place a stop-loss and different
variations as well depending on the
situation. So like I said the entry
tactic is the last piece of the puzzle.
First comes the edges. How we get a
stock on our radar, how we identify high
potential. Next comes the overall setup.
This could be a base. This could be a
gapper. Whatever the larger pattern that
you like to trade and you've studied
historically and is effective overall
and shows up again and again in the
biggest winners, that is the larger
setup. Then the entry tactic is the
specific buy point. This the smaller
pattern. And in this case, we've got an
example of a consolidation pivot. The
smaller pattern that completes the setup
and allows us to manage risk tightly at
a higher low at the low of the day uh at
a moving average. Uh this is the last
piece of the puzzle after we've
identified a strong stock with edges and
it is basically exhibiting a larger
pattern called the setup. This is the
last piece of the puzzle that allows us
to actually enter and jump on a trend
and you know participate in a strong
move. So let's get into the key
components of entry tactic. Like I said
um basically there's two different
parts. There's the pivot point, the
actual entry area and then there's where
where you place a stop. And both of
these um work together to define the
risk we take on a particular uh trade.
So if you think about this, this is your
buy point. This is your cost. And then
the the difference, the distance between
your cost basis and your stop defines
the potential risk that you have. And
then this dollar risk multiplied by your
position size is your overall risk on
that position. So this amount, this
distance is something that we can set.
We can choose where we enter. We can
choose where we place our stop and we
can also choose our position sizing. And
that is what allows us to specifically
define our risk. And we'll get into this
like I said quite a bit in uh in the
next webinar and really get into the
math behind it as
well. But one thing I want to emphasize
uh just in this webinar before before we
before we continue um just turn up your
volume a little bit. It's been a
consistent comment. There we go. That
should be a little bit bigger. Um, all
right, cool. So, before we get into it,
uh, I just want to emphasize this
concept of tight and logical stop-
losses. And this is something I learned
from Ross Haber. Uh, he preaches this
over and over. It's it's a fantastic way
to think about it. Um, basically, and
I'll define what tight and logical
means, we're looking to enter at a spot
where we can manage risk tightly as well
as logically, meaning that the
percentage stop is pretty small. And
we're managing risk and placing our
stop-loss at a logical place based on
market structure, market structure,
based on a moving average. U basically,
if the stock hit hits our stop, uh, it's
a logical spot that defines that the
entry tactic that we're using or the
setup we're using has failed. And I
think this is a great quote from William
O'Neal just stressing the importance of
uh placing stop losses. Uh buying a
stock without knowing when or why you
should sell it is like buying a car with
no breaks or being in a boat with no
life life preservers or taking flying
lessons that teach you how to take off
but not how to land. And every single
market wizard, William O'Neal included,
just stresses the importance over and
over of managing risk, managing risk.
and the entry tactics buying right what
we're presenting in this webinar is
really how we are able to manage risk in
real time set our risk all of that so
this is a really really important quote
all right so getting a little bit deeper
into tight and logical stop-loss just to
put it into perspective before we dive
into the entry tactics um tight and
logical basically means that entry
tactics must allow for a tight and
logical stop logical means a violation
would signal the setup/entry tactic has
failed so if we enter here and we break
below the stop that means that this
higher low has been violated. This pivot
breakout has failed. Um and you know
we've seen a reversal down. However it
breaks uh that would basically signal um
that it has failed. Uh logical basically
means that uh a violation would oh yeah
sorry I already I reported that part. Uh
tight the stop tight basically means
that the stop will limit losses to just
a few percent. And if you can't set such
a stop I think this is really important.
There isn't a setup. Wait and be
patient. You want your decision- making
process to have the least amount of
layers. So, if a stock and you know
that, you know, you're interested in
the$150 buy point or something like
that. Um, and that stock gets above 50
and after that you're starting to look
into where do I place my stock? Where do
I place my how much is my risk? How much
should I be buying? What is my position
size? You're already detect you've
detached yourself from the process,
right? like you you've added five layers
of decision- making for you to press
that buy button. So all of that, you
know, the sequence of making, you know,
whatever leads to pressing that buy
button, position sizing, entry tactic,
where your stop loss should be, is it a
good stock or a bad stock, that should
all be moved offline. That should not be
real time, right? Uh that should be done
when the market is mostly closed. That's
that's how that's how I found a lot of
success is to not, you know, put myself
in a position to make those decisions
while the ticks are moving up and down.
It creates a lot of chaos and it creates
a lot of uh bad decisions basically. So
we'll speak to that in terms of how you
position size in future webinars, but I
think you know the your preparation has
to be offline not real time essentially.
Richard uh we can continue. Sorry about
that, guys. Uh I don't know why Zoom
failed us, but uh we're back. All right,
I'll restart the slide. So, what does
tight and logical stop-loss mean? Uh
again, entry tactics must be must be
tight and logical for it to be a valid
entry tactic. Logical means that a
violation would signal that the setup/
entry tactic has failed. Again, if we
enter through this pivot point and we
start to move up, then reverse down. I'm
sure all of you guys watching this have
experienced that at some point. And we
violate the stop. That basically tells
us that this entry has been invalidated.
We've undercut the higher low where we
place our stop and we have to wait for
the next setup, the next entry tactic uh
to potentially revisit the stock. Uh
tight means that this distance is just a
few percent. And this is important
because it allows us to um you know not
lose too much when we do experience a
stop, which we experience stops all the
time. You know about 50% or even more.
Um, you know, many of the market wizards
have about 40% win rates. So, six out of
10 times they're they're experiencing
losses just like this. And keeping those
six out of 10 times small is the key to
performance over the over the long over
the long term. So, that's what's so so
important. So, that's what technological
stop- losses. And again, we'll dive
deeper into that uh in the next webinar.
All right. And I think this is a really
good metaphor that the last time we did
this with the ultimate trading guide, a
lot of people really this it seemed like
this resonated with a lot of people. Um,
stop-losses are simply the cost of doing
business in the market. They're
essential for longevity to be able to do
this for decades. They help, you know,
get you out of bad markets and
corrections like the one we're
experiencing currently. And again,
they're simply the cost of doing
business. And what I want you to think
about is every trade you take is like a
ferry ride. I'm in Seattle. We we take
fairies all the time to different
islands and and all that. It's awesome.
Um and your stop loss is basically your
ticket fair to ride that trade to jump
on that chip. And sometimes you even get
to keep it. You you get this the trade
works for you and and you get your money
back. Um and you actually get to decide
how much your stop is. You get to decide
how much you're willing to pay to try
that trade. And we define that amount by
our entry tactic, by the distance
between our cost basis and our
stop-loss. So all in all, don't fear
stops. Thank them. They protect you.
Allow they allow you to keep trading for
decades and experience that compounding
over time. And any experienced trader
will tell you that the number one rule
is to cut losses short and have, you
know, let your winners run, cut your
losses short. You've that heard that a
million times, but there's a reason
that's repeated over and over again.
It's because it's one of the core truths
of trading is unless you cut your losers
loser short uh you're going to
experience bad losses that set you back
weeks, months, even years sometimes. So
this is really really important and you
know we can't predict the outcome of
trade but we can decide how much to pay
to try it again. We can decide how much
our ticket is going to cost, how much
our stop loss is. We can define that
risk very concretely and entry tactics
allow us to define our stop clearly at
the low of the day, the higher low, the
key level, whatever it is. But I think
what's really important is that your
stop loss, just think of it as a ticket
and you can set how much that ticket
costs to actually try that trade. Uh
Ryan, anything you want to add on kind
of this way of thinking about things or
just how you think about stop- losses
and their importance in in general? I
think they should be respected as a
trader. um you we we let our ego egos um
get get in the way and we when we plan
out a stop and it hits you just have to
take that uh learn from it and move to
the next trade. What's bad or what you
know a lot of new traders and phase one
and phase two traders put themselves in
is they don't respect you know they
don't respect the plan that they put
forth and that's really what hurts them
in the long run right when you're taking
a swing trade and a position trade with
a uh 4 to 8% stop-loss and or in that
range depending on your style when that
hits you have to take the loss and you
have to move on. And that's just the
reality of trading. There's no absolutes
uh and there's no I would say guarantees
that any particular setup, any
particular edge will work, you know,
more uh 100% of the time. So recent
example of a trader that I spoke to uh
is they they purchased Tesla right
around the $400, you know, level and
that was a major support in in their
opinion. They planned that trade out and
it broke their stop loss and now it's
down, you know, 40% from $400. And that
trader is still holding on to it because
he he he took a swing trade or a
position trade at a level of support or
a key level that he determined on the
charts, but then he failed to respect
his stop-loss. That results in huge draw
downs in your your account. And that's
really the difference between a
consistent trader takes losses
consistently when a stock comes in and
hits their stock or takes you know
profits consistently. That's what that's
what we spoke about in the first two
webinars in the consistency phase. So
that's really what se separates the two
type of traders that we always speak
about the boom and bust and the
consistency
uh consistent trader right. So yes,
you're going to have losses. You have
to, you know, you're you're going to
lose you're going to have more losing
trades than winning trades in your
trading uh journey. But what will happen
is your winners will be far greater in
terms of percentages. So taking those
small losses along the way will be very
very easy. Uh it should be very very
easy to do, right? If you look at the
long um the the the long term, and I
really like another analogy that that
Yen in the chat said, uh if you get on
the wrong train, get off at the next
station, the longer you stay, the more
expensive the return trip will be.
Exactly. And and losses work
geometrically against you. Um you know,
you've all seen those charts where if
you lose 10%, it's about 11% to get back
to break even, but getting losing much
more than that, you know, losing 50%
requires a double to get back to break
even. So, we want to keep it as tight as
possible. Um, you know, I like to keep
it, you know, around three 3 to 4%. Um,
Ry, I know you keep it even tighter than
that with with your entries. And again,
we'll we'll get into stop losses and
really specifics uh in the next webinar.
Uh, but yeah, and also one thing I say
is, you know, corrections in the market
are built to turn a swing trader into an
investor and an investor into a
long-term investor, right? So, that's a
mechanism of not respecting your stop
losses. you have to respect them. If you
if you planned uh and you and you follow
your plan consistently, you'll be a
better trader because of it. And if you
continue to ignore them, then you just
become a bag holder in stocks and now
you're part of companies that are down
80 90 uh% from their highs and you you
know they will come back. Maybe they
will come back in three to four years,
but you're now detached from your
objective of being a swinger position
trader. Let's keep going. Yeah. So
diving into the meat of today's webinar,
let let's talk about entry tactics
finally. So I think the big highle thing
that we want to talk about here is
context and confluence. We've talked
about how context is so important. Entry
tactics can't be used in isolation. They
have to be in a strong stock. They have
to be in an overall mature setup like a
base, like a gapper, whatever it is. Um
that's that's really when they work
best. You want to stack the odds in your
favor. And a big part of that is looking
for confluences. Here in the diagram
here, we've got example of a base after
a strong uptrend. We've got a moving
average here, a representation of moving
average. And this entry right here
coincides with a reclaim of the moving
average as well as this pivot here. And
this is the type of thing we want to be
looking for or on a pullback by, you
know, pulling into the moving average as
well as this prior pivot. Whenever
there's stuff like that in the market,
more participants are going to support
the stock and buy the stock at that
level. And that's what allows us to
increase our probabilities and gain
confidence in the setup. Uh and one
thing that I do want to emphasize here
is today, especially as we get into um
some of the gapper setups and entry
tactics, um we will be talking a little
bit about some intraday setups. But I
think I and I want to be really clear
here. Unless a stock is set up on a
daily and weekly chart, there's no point
in looking for an entry tactic or entry
on an intraday time frame. You can
always find entries on an entry time
frame, but the ones that actually work
are because the stock is set up and
under accumulation uh and set up on the
daily and weekly charts. So, don't lose,
you know, don't don't look at the trees
and and not see the forest uh whatever
that saying is, you know, focus on the
overall the context and make sure that
the stock is set up on all time frames
if you're going to be looking at
intraday. I think too many beginning
traders, you know, say, "Oh, I I can
manage risk tightly on the five minute,
but the stock has to be set up on a
daily. It has to be set up on a weekly
chart for a stock to actually make a
meaningful move. So, that's really,
really important. Um, all right. So,
let's get into it. So, we talked about
three main setups in the previous
webinar. If you haven't yet, uh, check
the link in the description. Uh, we'll
we'll be posting the playlist uh, to the
previous webinars. U,, but, you know,
there's three main setups we talked
about. The gapper, base breakout, and
launchpad. Each has their own associated
entry tactics. There's some crossover
because you can use a range breakout
after a base breakout. You can use a
range breakout after a gap. Uh but you
know, in general, these are kind of the
entry tactics we'll be talking about
related to a gapper and these are the
ones related to the launchpad. So this
is kind of how how everything's
interchange. So for base breakouts and
launch pads, they're both kind of
overall base patterns that are forming
up. We look for key level reclaims,
consolidation pivots/range breakouts,
key level pullbacks, as well as oops
reversals. Then for gappers, we're
looking for on day one opening range
breakouts and intraday basis. We've got
a bonus tactic there that you'll have to
stick around uh to see what it is. And
then, you know, after day one, and day
one is the day of the gap for everybody.
Um after day one, there's other entry
tactics that we can use like volume
support, high volume close uh pivot, as
well as a range breakout after uh day
one of of of the gap. Um and I want to
be clear, we're going to talk about some
intraday setups on day one, but to have
success with a gapper setup, you don't
need to trade day one. You know, often,
you know, you can kind of see the cards
uh at the poker table uh before you
decide to enter by waiting for day one,
screening for day one, and then looking
for an entry tactic that we talk about
right here after the fact. Um huge gaps
on big volume are often the start of
longerterm trends. So, don't feel like
you need to rush and and get into day
one if you know that's scary for you or
you don't feel like you can manage risk.
you can always use these other entry
tactics that we'll focus on uh to enter
after that day one um move. So this is
kind of kind of just setting the overall
context and we'll start with talking
about these right here. So before we get
into that um just on the very short term
we're going to be talking about ranges
which can be 3 to 4 days or as short as
2 days. These are just some priming
short-term patterns that we talked about
in the technical analys foundations um
that you know are useful to know because
they clear say set clear pivots that
we'll discuss later on. So we've got the
inside bar where all the price action is
contained within the previous bar. This
high is a breakout of this consolidation
on a very short-term basis. Then we've
got the upside reversal and this could
be where it opens here, pushes under the
low the previous day and and closes
strong or like here which is actually an
oops reversal. we open below the low and
uh you know close strongly and then
follow through through the high is
another potential pivot point. And then
here the last short-term pattern that
kind of primes a mature setup is this
positive expectation breaker where we
have a very negative close and we gap up
and close strongly and these highs can
be that pivot point. So these just kind
of set pivots within the context of the
entry tactics we'll talk about today.
And you'll see these all over the charts
right before a stock makes a strong
momentum move. So that's why we want to
uh you know present these and keep these
in mind as we go through the examples
today. All right, but let's get into the
first entry tactic that we'll be
discussing and that is a key level
reclaim. And a key level could be a
prior base pivot. It could be, you know,
a key low like with this example or it
could be a moving average. There's some
uh dynamic at work here where there's
basically a key level that a lot of
market participants are watching.
Whether that's the 50 SMA, whether
that's the 200 SMA where, like we said,
there's a prior swing low, that's very
obvious. We're looking for a clear
potential support level that gets
undercut and then gets reclaimed. That's
what we're looking for here. And you've
got an entry as it reclaims the key
level and your stop would be under the
higher low um right before that reclaim.
And here's the basically the same
example with a moving average where we
reclaim it. This is the entry point and
then your stop would right be right
under the higher low right there. So
here's an example with Uber back last
year. We have a prior base low where
everybody thinks this is the key level.
Uh and the stock is bottom. It starts to
move up, gets rejected down, moves down
again. It's respected once. So you're
seeing prior respect for this level
here, here, and here. And then what
happens? We lose it. Everybody who used
this low as a stop got shaken out. And
you know, we push lower and it looks
like we're going to test the 200 day
moving average. What happens though? We
get a positive expectation breaker where
instead of following through from this
bar, we gap up and hold and then we
start rallying back through that level.
And that is the entry point and your
stop would be right under this low or
even the low as it pushes through. We
get a gap up and a strong trend and
finally a breakout here. So this often
happens actually right before the stock
is ready to move up the right hand side
of the overall base. This is a really
good example of a base pivot or actually
a base low uh that gets reclaimed and
then we're off to the races and enter.
So, this is kind of a key level reclaim
and we've got an example here with a
moving average. This is Reddit where
we're in a consolidation in a base. The
50 SMA is above the stock. We see it be
rejected once and we actually pop
through it, retest it, and then close
strong. This is the 50 SMA reclaim right
here. And we're off to the races. And we
know that Reddit did tremendously well
uh from this buy point. We also get a
reclaim of the 21 EMA here, but that's a
little bit more advanced. Uh and in
general for bases, a 50
SMA 50 SMA reclaim is a little bit more
significant. Uh so that's an example
with a moving average. And this allows
you to manage risk right at this low or
at this higher low as well after it pops
through. I like this one here because I
like my stocks a little bit tighter. And
to me, if we pop through the 50 SMA,
retest it, and then close strong, it
should not violate this low and close
below the moving average again, and it
should just be off to the races as it
did. The best stocks just go after a
successful entry tactic. And that's
something that you really want to look
for. Um, let's see. Ry, anything you
want to add about a key level reclaim,
both with a a level or a moving average?
I think uh the the key moving average
the the 50-day is one that's used by a
lot of traders and there's a lot of eyes
on that moving average. So it's a key
level just like the 200 day when we go
into a deeper correction. A lot of the
eyes from an index perspective go to the
200. These are important levels in the
market. There are a lot of traders and a
lot of folks watching these. So when
they are reclaimed, it creates instant
momentum to the upside or at least a a
level for you to consistently watch. Uh
the example, you know, that I see on
with the Reddit uh if you go back uh to
that is if I draw on here, they're going
to see it, right? Yep. Yeah, I was going
to point that out. This is kind of your
horizontal resistance area, right? If we
were to there's confluence look at yeah
so stands you know always looking for
that you know the stock is in a
downtrend now it's going sideways and
now it's built this horizontal
resistance area and then that's a
confluence of the 50-day as well. Now
you have two factors going at once. One
is the stock is having a tough time to
go through this particular level on the
chart. Second is that the 50-day has now
flattened which means for the last 50
days the stock has now consolidated and
built out a sideways base. Right? Uh
those two things and what happens
essentially is when we pop through that
50 is that multiple styles or multiple
folks that are looking at technical
analysis in a different way. Plus just
the 50-day being a key level in the
market for a stock that is super liquid,
right? and a younger company. It's also
again showing relative strength, right?
It's outperforming the markets within
this consolidation. All these factors
when they come into play and it breaks
that the the really key part to that is
what Richard said. There's no reason for
this stock to come back and violate this
low. That that is what an entry tactic
is. It gives you an entry, but you know
your stop loss. If this stock were to
come the next day, let's just say
hypothetically none of this happened,
right? Uh up here and next day just came
in and broke that at least you know
exactly where you're going to get
stopped out, right? And if that
happened, you take that loss and you
move on to the next uh setup and look
for that formation to form again. Over a
span of trades, regardless of what the
name is on the stock, Reddit, Meta,
Uber, doesn't matter. this type of
formation will play out and not every
formation let's say if that one out of
you know three out of 10 fail like that
if the rest of them work you you're just
going to have asymmetry in terms of your
performance in the markets. The key here
is a lot of traders struggle with the
fact that what makes this, you know,
entry point really, really good right
here is the fact that you know your stop
loss and you know that the stock should
not if it's a leader and it's about to
run, it should not violate this area.
That's the most important. And one thing
I want to add because I saw a question,
you know, why are why this reclaim
versus this reclaim? And that's a really
good question. The reason being is going
into this level, we've already expended
some energy moving up off the base low.
Not too much, but you know, you've
already run quite a bit as you're
approaching this horizontal line of
confluence as well as the declining and
pretty sharply declining 50 SMA here or
relatively sharply declining here. And
you know, you could try this and your
stop would be at the low and the next
day you get taken out and that's just a
stop stop hit. So this this entry is a
little bit better. This entry isn't
terrible, but you get out with a small
loss. And that's trading sometimes. And
I really like how after it failed, what
did we do? We pulled in on lower volume
into the 21 21 EMA were supported, had
an upside reversal. Remember the the
priming patterns that I talked about,
and then the next day, we get the the
better entry tactic. So even this one,
even if you tried it and failed, you
don't want to be discouraged and you
want to keep an eye on the stock because
it actually set up even better right
here as we're talking about with the 50
SMA reclaim. So I think this is a really
good example where again the entry
tactic in the stop would be the low of
the day because if it violates that, it
looks like another failed breakout right
here. So this this is a great example
with Reddit and definitely one to to
study. Uh Ryan, any any last bits you
want to add on a key level reclaim?
No. All right, cool. The next one is
going to be a buy on strength. Uh, and
it's a consolidation pivot/ range
breakout. And consolidation pivots are
basically key pivots and ranges that
form up the right hand side of a mature
base. You've got the traditional base
pivot up here. These pivots are smaller
in nature. These ranges are going to be
smaller than the overall base, but
they're clear lines of resistance up the
right hand side. And your stop loss is
either going to be set at the low of the
day as we break through or at the
previous higher low. So that's how you
can think about it. And you can see how
we get a range breakout pull back into
the range and then rebre out. This
happens quite a bit as well as sometimes
this next one is a pull into a moving
average. Um and again moving average
reclaims might be confluence with this
first uh consolidation pivot breakout.
So let's get into some examples. Uh this
is shop way back uh when it was a recent
IPO. Uh it's in an overall basing
pattern. It's a recent IPO. That's
that's one edge to look for. It's been
showing relative strength. So again,
that's how we get the stock on our
radar. We're not just looking at this
entry tactic in isolation. We're looking
for edges, and then we're looking for an
overall setup, and then we're looking
for a tight area. And this is the
consolidation pivot right here. You can
see we moved off the base low, went
tight for about four bars, five bars.
This high becomes the clear line of
resistance. And we get a clear breakout
pickup in volume as we push higher. This
is before the base pivot. So that's why
this is called a consolidation pivot
breakout and we actually consolidate
right on the base pivot and then keep
going and this one I think doubled or
tripled from this point over the next
year and then and then I think even more
so um you know over the next 5 years or
so of course as we know and one thing I
want to be clear here is in addition to
the relative strength you've got
tightness at the bottom of the space
you've got this positive expectation
breaker there's signs of accumulation
within the space and that's what I'm
always looking for before I'm looking
for an entry before I'm looking to use
an entry tactic. I'm looking for signs
of accumulation, tightness at the bottom
of bases, strong moves. You've got this
subtle gap here, which Stan Weinstein
always looks for up the right hand side
of the base. And then we go quiet and
tight on a decline in volume. Again, a
winning characteristic that we talked
about in the previous webinar as the one
one before that. And this this range is
only about 3 4% and we get a clear
breakout on a pickup in volume. And this
is the entry point right here. Um, this
is Ross Ross Haber's breadandbut setup.
Um, and this is one I use quite a bit as
well. This is kind of my preferred uh
entry point for a promising leader. U
and it's really really effective and
shows up again and again if you study
winners. There's always a consolidation
pivot breakout up the right hand side of
a base. Here's an another example with
RKLB from the previous year. So again,
we're showing stuff from like 2017.
We're showing stuff from last year. This
appears over and over again if you go
back and study previous winners. Uh
these are a little bit more subtle and
this is why we're doing this webinar to
help you spot them. And here we've got a
larger basing pattern. I don't show the
horizontal line uh the the pivot right
here. This but this is resistance and
this is overall a base. And you've got
many consolidations within this base.
And then the consolidation pivots
actually are very subtle here where
you've got just two days of tightness,
three days of tightness, three days of
tightness right here. And the pivot is
this key resistance level where you've
got the high of the range. And this is
RMV down below. This is just
highlighting that tightness for you. And
whenever RMV goes to zero, I look for a
tight area right here, right near the
highs. That's my consolidation pivot buy
point. And you can buy here. Expansion,
contraction, expansion, contraction,
expansion. Uh so these range breakouts
are allowing you to buy when a stock is
coiled within an overall setup and
participate on the momentum moves
higher. That gives us immediate profits,
allows us to jump on a trend. If you're
a swing trader, you're selling into
strength. And if you're a position
trader, you know, you're riding along
for the ride and and trying to hold uh
as a stock uh keeps trending above the
moving averages. But consolidation piv
pivots whether they're um you know 5
days, 4 days here or I wanted to show
this example because you've got just two
days, 3 days, 3 days here, they can be
pretty pretty tight. Um and you know the
tighter the better. You've got inside
days, upside reversals, tight closes
within them. That's what makes the best
consolidation pivot breakouts. We've got
another example. This is Nvidia back in
2021. I believe you've got two bases
here. One here, one here basically
stacked on top of it. And let me
actually zoom in here so you can show
show it a little bit clearly. Let's
focus on this base for the time being.
We've got a pullback below the moving
averages. We've got a very negative day.
The expectation after this bar is fall
through to the downside. What do we get?
We get a positive expectation breaker. I
I'm telling you, if you study bases,
these positive expectation breakers
happen all the time at the bottom of
bases as well as up the right hand side.
We get a move up into the moving
averages. We get rejected. This is
classic. we form an overall uh mini base
within this overall base and then we get
two days around three days of tightness
where these highs line up and this is
your consolidation pivot again a pretty
subtle one uh but this is your
consolidation pivot it lines up with a
reclaim of the 21 EMA you're buying
through this high saying your stop at
the low of the day very tight or even
the low of this prior day which lines up
with the 200 day moving average uh still
within a few percent and then we move up
expansion contraction again you're
buying this outside day through these
highs adding to your position or
building it up, expand a little bit, go
tight again for two days on a decline in
volume, very low volume during these
tight areas, and then we expand again on
big volume. And you could buy again
through here, fill out your position
even before the base breakout. Going
into this next base, we get another
pullback below the 21 EMA, another
pullback below the 50 SMA. Again, we
respect the 200 SMA. We get a nice big
reversal up off lows and these highs
line up to form the next consolidation
pivot off these lows. We get a break
through that expansion higher, another
consolidation right here. This is the
pivot through these highs. So again,
that's how I'm sping these. I'm looking
for ranges. I'm looking for where highs
line up and that's where I'm drawing
these lines. And you're buying the
breakouts through that um before the
overall base pivot and then you're off
to the races. And Nvidia had a nice I
think 50% 40% move uh from this base
breakout. Um, so that's a little bit
about the range breakout. Ry, uh, I know
you don't you might you kind of add to
your position on these, but anything you
want to add? Um, maybe maybe talk about
looking for relative strength phase and
then the the first contraction. That
might be a useful uh, bit of advice for
everybody. Yeah, so like we spoke about
in in previous webinars, for for me
it's, you know, as the pattern builds
out, I want to be I want to have it on
my radar. the more I learn how a stock
trades uh the more I can focus in on it
and essentially for me like some
somewhere around here would be you know
the stock is outperforming the markets
clearly so the relative strength line is
above its 21-day average uh and it's
outperforming the markets over a span of
21 days right uh we've built out a base
and a consolidation uh one of the things
I'm looking for right around this area
is tightness and price action which you
know now with RM MV it makes it a lot
easier to spot on the charts uh on a
relative basis right so we have relative
tightness we have a stock outperforming
the next thing is the theme you know the
semi-theme uh in the markets has always
you know over the past couple years been
the primary leader uh so and nothing
really gets better than this the stock
is super liquid right it trades really
well I can buy a lot of this stock and
you know not influence price or worry
about if this doesn't work out what
happens and then the most important part
is when I am getting involved my stop
loss should be known and I try to
operate within the 3 4% range uh cuz I
am a momentum trader primarily a swing
trader I want a stock to move up after I
buy it and I don't feel the need to you
know sit here and start to be an
investor all of a sudden because that's
not my objective or my goal when I'm
trading the markets. So you know uh the
RMV the relative strength phase uh where
it's outperforming the theme in the
markets when you put those things
together and then you start tracking
that hey let's say the market here was
in a correction right and I expected
Nvidia to have a deeper base it doesn't
that right off the bat you start
tracking you know base depth uh why is
it not moving much lower uh you know
compared to the markets why is it
starting to outperform it's you know the
primary leader in the market as well.
And I know that I can have a definitive
stop-loss right here and have very
minimal risk with very large position
sizing to hopefully, you know, not all
of them work out this way where they all
just, you know, place a trade and then
they never look back. They frustrate you
a little bit more. You know, often times
you're you're likely getting stopped out
more. Uh you're, you know, in terms of
number of trades that are winning or
losing, you'll likely have more losing
trades in the market than winning, but
your winners will do this instead. So
that's, you know, the the elements that
I'm looking at when I'm looking at, you
know, tight consolidation areas. RMV is
something I think, you know, everybody
should look at. If you're trading tight
price action, tight formations, it
allows you to define risk really, really
well. It's telling you that the stock is
now tightened up. The best thing is when
it tightens up and it has, you know, uh,
dry up in volume where Nvidia didn't
have, you know, that big of a dry up. It
was just that one day where it moved
down and the volume was low. But if it
had this was a shallower dry up, you I
would have even more conviction. Um,
couple of more examples like this come
to mind. You know, Tesla has done this
many many times where it goes sideways,
sideways, sideways. Roku uh, you know,
before couple years uh, earlier right
around that 100 level. it just
consolidated with tightness and then it
just blew that level and never looked
back uh for a couple of months as well.
So a lot of this happens um in the
markets again and again but you want to
look at different confluences
uh of you know is it outperforming is it
uh part of a leadership group is the RMV
near that zero confirming you know
databased tightness that you take all
those and then you make a trade uh on
the stock. Perfect. Yeah. And even
though volume wasn't super below the
average, it was declining considerably
since this move up. And this is just
super tight price action, you know,
within 2 3%. And RMV, again, we've done
we've done webinars completely on this
indicator. You can search that um if
you'd like, but when this goes to zero,
it's showing that price is tight just
like this. What what do we see at the
right hand side here? Again, tight price
action when we've got this really tight
range here. Tight price action when
we've got this tight range here. So,
it's showing that subtle tight areas
that market wizards look for, but newer
traders still haven't quite trained
their eye for. So, it's just a helpful
indicator to identify objective relative
tightness. All right, so we've talked a
lot about consolidation pivots and
ranges and and and buying them, but how
do we actually trade ranges? And I
wanted to go through kind of four
different frameworks that you can use to
trade those ranges/tight areas. So
something like this, something like
here, something like here where you've
got a clear range for at least two,
three, ideally four or five days, just
like this. So think about when I show
this, think about placing that range up
the right hand side of a base. So this
is what we're talking about when we're
talking about trading a range. So let's
get into it. first and and we'll go
through in detail each of these. You can
accumulate versus lows where you're kind
of buying versus the low of that range.
And again, this could be like a daily
chart uh where it shows this this
happens over the course of many days
where each time it's pulling into the
same overall level, gets supported, it's
being accumulated. You can buy versus
that low, set your stop loss right under
those lows. Uh so, you know, if it
violates that um you know, over time on
a closing basis, you're out with a small
loss. uh but you've got a great cost
basis. If it does break out of that
range, next we've got buying tightness,
anticipation as it looks to be breaking
out of that range and sets up a higher
low, then you could enter saying your
stop right under that higher low or even
the low of that range. That would be a
great way to again get a really good
cost basis with a very tight stop. The
third way is kind of my favorite, an
undercut rally where there's a mature
range of a few days. Then we get maybe a
gap down in the market or just a big
shakeout below below that range and we
rally back through that level. It's kind
of like that key level reclaim but on a
much smaller time frame and you can
enter versus as we reclaim that level
and even add on as we actually break out
through that range. Then lastly, we've
got the standard range breakout. This is
probably what you guys are most familiar
with uh where just we break out through
key highs and we enter here saying our
stop at the higher low or the low of the
range. And you can even add at the next
you know slight higher low and re-break
out confirming the breakout of the
range. So those are at very high level
are uh the the four ways to u trade a
range. So again this is um this is how
you accumulate versus lows where the
stock has pushed up off the low of a
base. It's formed one 2 3 four or five
days of tightness and it keeps
respecting a key level. And this could
be you know a whole number. Ry I know
you want to talk about that a little
bit. Um, this could be right above a
moving average as well. There's often
confluence there. But the key thing is
that this range keeps respecting a key
level in the market and that is the
bottom of the the range and you can
enter as it keeps confirming up off that
level off that level setting your stop
and buying as close to that level as
possible. So, if you're right, no harm
done. You're you're down very very
minimal amount. And if you're if you're
right and we break out from that range,
you've got a really good cost basis uh
managing risk versus that that level
right here and you're off to the races
if we keep moving higher. Uh Rod, do you
want to talk about kind of how you buy
because I know you like to buy this way
versus level quite a bit?
Yeah, I I pick a level. I mean I the way
I look at the markets is I if I if I'm
looking at Reddit for example which was
a trade last year or ALAB I pick you
know if if it's a clear level on the
charts let's say 60 on Reddit right or
when it's coming in it's respecting you
know the 55 area quite a bit so that
makes it easy for me to track if we say
this is you know 55 and this is 60 um
and the stock on the down days in the
market is continuously, you know,
holding this 55 level, it allows me to
accumulate that stock, you know, within
that 1 to 3% range. If it's away from
that 55, I can continue to, you know,
buy it here, rallies, comes back in, buy
it again, right? But if it violates that
level in, you know, that 55 level, then
I'll be out while keeping my risk in
that 1 to 3% range. Now, why would I buy
a stock that is pulling back and not
breaking out? That's a common question.
So as a base builds out, what happens is
if a let's say the market itself is
pulling in quite a bit, but the stock
continues to respect the level, which
let's say is 55 in this case, that's
relative strength versus a particular
level that I'm interested in. And as
long as I can operate within that 1 to
3% or 3 to 4% uh stop-loss range or
risk, then I can, you know, continue to
accumulate the stock. uh and what what I
call that is relative strength versus a
level. What happens is the relative
strength line will continue to rise to
the upside while the stock continues to
respect that 55 hypothetical level that
we're speaking of and the market's
pulling back in. So the RS line is
rising. The stock wants to outperform
the markets. there is market pressure
that continues to you know uh push it
back right into that level and it
continues to respect and hold that level
and not break it. When all those
elements combined, you know, uh take
take place, uh what happens is, you
know, you could define your risk really,
really well. Eventually, what happens is
that topside pivot, which is let's say
at 60 becomes your secondary or your
third or your final buy point, right?
And when the market pressure lifts uh
and the market's fine, the relative
strength line will also go up. And what
you would ideally want the stock to do
is also rip to the upside while breaking
your secondary or your tertiary uh entry
area on the top side. So I hope that
makes sense. You know, I I love doing
this. When you track bases and your
bigger bases on the daily charts or the
weekly charts, it's the same thing.
You'll see the structure, you know,
structure of a base will always tend to
respect some sort of whole number in the
markets be a 30, 40, 50. And that could
be a really easy way for, you know,
Nvidia is holding 100 or uh Google is
holding that or uh CH, you know, when it
was in that uptrend held that 30 area
for about uh you know, $18. It held
$17.50 throughout its whole base. that
allowed you to, you know, track the
stock really easily. But most
importantly define your risk and also
your stop loss. That's I think the the
bigger, you know, objective here is if I
can get away with a risk of 1 to 3% or 3
to 4% in on any setup, I'm in the
driver's seat and I can dictate the
action because I can dictate I know how
how much I'm going to lose if this were
to come back in and fail on me. Yep.
Perfect. The next way is kind of a step
up. So here you've you've been maybe
accumulating versus lows and like Ry
said, you can combine different ways to
trade a range to build out your
position. This might be you you've
recognized that the range is pretty
mature. It looks ready to break out. It
it does one last pullback, then pushes
higher towards that base. You can
anticipate that breakout and enter
setting your stop at the higher low. So
here you would set your stop uh with
this one, you'd set your stop at the low
of the range as you accumulate here.
here. You're setting your stop pretty
tightly at that higher low, anticipating
the breakout. And this could be kind of
your second buy after maybe you've been
accumulating your lows. Um, then the
third one is a little bit different.
We've been forming a range here and then
we get a shakeout below the clear low
that we've we've been accumulating
against maybe your stopped out. But this
shakeout provides an opportunity if we
quickly reclaim this range low to enter
while managing your stop at this key low
here as we reclaim. And this might
happen at an oops reversal which is
something we'll talk about later. Uh but
basically you've got a clearly defined
range right here. We get a shakeout
lower and then a reclaim of that range
low. You enter there and then you can
even enter again at the true range
breakout um you know as we rebreak out
and reconfirm. But this is kind of my
favorite personally where we've got a
range and it stops everybody out and
then that often leads to rapid movement
to the upside if we rec reclaim that
range low and you can set your stop
really uh tightly at that key low where
it reversed up from as it reclaimed that
level. Lastly, uh this one of the one of
the hardest things if you just go back
to to do is let's say you know you're
you're trading versus this level and you
accumulate, you accumulate, you get
stopped out right here, right? That's
what we spoke about in in the previous
slide. And the fact that you get stopped
out, it becomes infinitely hard to buy
it back right here. It's the most
uncomfortable thing that you could
possibly do because the stock that you
were watching, voided your thesis and
said that, you know, now wasn't the
right time. And it's, you know, buying
it back right here is one of the hardest
things. And it mostly comes with
experience, a lot of experience and a
lot of seeing this situation, right?
Something made the stock really, really
special in this range right here, right?
and the fact that it undercut and took
out a bunch of stops but then reclaimed
it uh you know whatever that was special
about it uh is is likely still special
if it reclaims that area once again.
It's one of the hardest things to get
you know uh around it. It's it's tough,
but watch for these situations, right?
When you get stopped out of a trade,
continue to track it. And if it starts
working thereafter, it may just be that
you were a little early to whatever, you
know, thought whatever you thought that
made that name super special. It's still
special when it reclaims that level,
right? It's just that it took you out
and it you you get a little bit sour or
you you start to, you know, move on to
the next stock or you stop paying
attention. And many times, you know, me
personally as well, I miss a lot of
really good-looking stocks where I had
the right idea, I had the right, you
know, uh I was looking at the right
stock, but what happened was I got
stopped out of it and now I don't want
to buy it back, right? Um, so that's
something you have to keep in mind is,
you know, whatever made it special over
here and when you were tracking it,
there's nothing that's changed other
than that, you know, it stopped you out
and now you have to, you know, figure
out a way to buy it back. So, yep. And
then the last way is just the standard
range breakout, which is kind of more
what we've been talking about where
we've been forming a range for a few
days. You've got a clear buy point.
Maybe this is the high of a day, high of
the previous day. Maybe this is an
inside day right here. We break out
through that high, enter right there.
Manage risk at the low of the day or the
low of the prior day, the low of the
range. And then you can even add if it
does another higher low. This is kind of
the more standard way. And I think this
one and then this one are my favorite is
the undercut by here. And then you can
even add as it breaks out through the
true breakout. But this is just kind of
conceptually what we're talking about
when we're talking about consolidation
pivots and range breakouts. Um, also
just just to kind of lay it out there,
this is where these range breakouts can
happen. You can do up the right hand
side of the base, you can have a range
after the breakout, and you can also do
it as a pulls back into a base. So, this
is there's many different places ranges
can form. Uh, but they're constructive
as they do. And these concepts right
here allow you to trade them while
managing risk at clear levels that we
talked about. the low the range the low
the higher low the the low as it breaks
lower as it reconfirms up and at the
higher low of the day before. So that's
kind of what I want to talk about here
with the range breakout. All right,
getting into the next entry tactic.
We've got a key pullback. And just like
the key reclaim, this can be either a
moving average um you know, it could be
an anchored VWAP um off the base high as
well or it could be, you know, a prior
consolidation pivot like like in this
example where we've got a consolidation
pivot right here and we pull back into
that area. So, there's kind of a few
different ways to trade versus a level.
And right, you kind of talked about this
um as you talked about trading the
range, but you know, as a stock pulls
in, this is just a a graphic
representing that a stock's pulling into
a key level that the market is aware of.
Maybe that's the 50 SMA, maybe that's an
anchored VWAP, maybe that's the 55 area.
You know, you could start accumulating
as we get close to that level. You're
expecting it to respect it. You're
managing risk right at these lows right
here or just below that key level. Maybe
undercuts it a little bit, but then
reclaims it and starts showing respect.
This is where you can start entering
versus that level. So, uh, think of this
as the 50 SMA here. We pull into the 50
SMA. We bounce off it once. We undercut
it. People think it's going to break
through, but then the psychology flips
as we reclaim that level. This would be
the first potential entry. Managing risk
at this low right here. We reclaim it,
pull back into the 50 SMA, show respect
for it again, reclaim higher, form a
higher low. You could enter right here
and add to your position and then
re-enter as it breaks through the range
off that level. So you'll see this quite
a bit against the 50 SMA, against the 21
EMA, against another key level against a
base pivot. You'll see this pattern
quite a bit where we respect it once,
undercut it, reclaim it, pull back into
it, and then rally from it. So this is
something that you can expect going
forward against a key level and a good
framework to think about buying versus
that level. We're not buying blindly as
a stock is pulling in and we want to
this to be a drift lower versus a sharp
drop. We're buying as it shows respect
for that level and rallies off of it.
That's what's really key here. And we
want to manage risk against these higher
lows and the key low that we bought
from. Uh Ry, anything you want to add
about uh trading versus a key level? Um
and kind of the framework that you use.
No, I see a lot of questions in the chat
on how many do days do I wait? Two,
three, one week, how, you know, what
time frame are we talking about here? I
think the the primary focus uh should be
to think of what makes this a good entry
and where you can place your stop loss.
Is it one day? Is it 3day? Is it do you
know when it's going to break out? How
do you know when it's going to break
out? All of those are unknowns and they
depend on the pattern that you're
tracking and what you're looking at. I
would just focus more with the the
visuals that we have more on the
framework of how things are happening
and how they eventually lead to a
breakout. Uh this is not about you know
you I track something it undercuts a
level I wait uh 45 seconds and 2 minutes
later I got to buy it back. There's that
that's not what we're trying to achieve
uh here. So think of you know if a stock
has undercut a level and you're watching
it then it reclaims it and then it forms
a tight formation how do I buy it back?
So more from a framework analytic
perspective and not do I wait you know 2
hours 3 hours 10 days 5 days or 1 week.
Um I think that what we're trying to you
know we can't give absolutes because
every stock is really different in how
it trades and the volatility of every
stock is different. It's more the
framework that we're after. Exactly. All
right. So, here's uh again that graphic
of it being a moving average. So, you
can think again this being the moving
average. As it pulls in, that's where
you're starting to
accumulate. And then here, this is the
pull in. You're trying to accumulate
here as the stock respects it, starts
moving off of that moving average. Your
stop loss is right below that key low or
just below the moving average. And this
is again up the right hand side of a
base. Here are some examples. This is
Nvidia from last year. This really good
textbook base. What I love about this is
it shows a characteristic that I've
really picked on recently studying
different winners. Is when a stock is in
a larger base, often it doesn't show any
respect for the moving averages, the 50
SMA, 21 EMA, but as it's getting ready
to break out and tightening from left to
right, it starts respecting those moving
averages. The 50 SMA here, the 50 SMA
again here, reclaims the 21 EMA here.
So, when you start to see a stock
respect the 50 SMA up the right hand
side of a base as it's forming a higher
low versus the base low, that's when you
really want to start paying attention
and look to accumulate the stock. And
here again, you could buy versus the 50
SMA again pulling back in. You could buy
it doesn't even pull in because it's so
it's it's showing strength here and
naturally the market was pulling in and
it was showing RS very subtle RS during
this period. Reconfirms off of that
level. That's how you kind of uh want to
do this. do this over time or as the
stock shows respect and continues
pulling in and respecting that level.
Another example here is we've got Apple
loven again forms the base low here
tries to break out pulls back into the
50 SMA. This is kind of an example of a
one-day pull back to the 50 SMA where it
respects it have your stop at that low.
If it's violated it's going to break
below the 50 SMA. It forms a tight range
and then re-breaks out. Uh, and that's
kind of uh the ideal situation where you
buy a little bit early versus a level
and then you're able to participate in
the breakout uh after it reconfirms off
of that level. One more example here is
we've got AMD. This is off the lows of a
base where we formed this kind of
gradual bottoming process. We push off
the lows, pull back in on a low volume
here against the 21 EMA. be buying
versus that level and maybe add as it
reconfirms off of that level here
through this this high right here and
then you participate in the trend way
before the base pivot. If you're waiting
for this base pivot, you're asking to be
shaken out because if you think about it
and this goes back to a tight tight and
logical stop. If you're buying on this
day right here, where are you putting
your risk? You're above you're way above
all the moving averages. There hasn't
really been much of a pause up the right
hand side. there's no real logical
technical spot to clearly say the base
breakout failed. Uh so, you know, it's
much better buying versus support here
where if it breaks this key moving
average, you know, quickly that your
entry tactic has failed versus buying up
here when a natural pullback is, you
know, expected almost and we actually
get that back into the 10 EMA. And this
would be another moving average
pullback. But this buy is much better
than buying this base pivot because
there's a tight and logical spot to
manage risk versus the moving average
versus this low of the day. And here
again, this key level would be where
you're putting your stop loss as it
pulls back into the 21 EMA. And then as
we break above that level, you can move
your stop up and and kind of stagger it
versus the 10 EMA. And we'll talk about
stop-loss management in the next
webinar. Um, so that's kind of the
moving average versus uh the pullback to
the moving average, right? anything you
want to add about buying versus a moving
average?
No, I think this is a a really good
pattern.
Um, this is AMD, right? Yeah, it's AMD.
So, this area right here that formed,
you know, if if anything, a good
exercise would be where can I define my
risk tightly, right? and have a really
logical stop-loss where the pattern or
the setup that I'm tracking is
completely violated. Um, it could be,
you know, this area right here. Um, you
know, as a formed if it takes that
upside, which it didn't, right, and it
came down, it could be this area. But if
you're tracking, you're tracking that
below the moving averages. So, likely
not the best way. uh it's starting to
form one of the the setups that we sp uh
spoke about right here on the right side
which is the launchpad. the moving
averages are converging which means that
the stock has now been sideways for 50
days or more and has built out a really
nice base. It's a 1021 and the 50 coming
together, right?
Um and over here your stop loss is
really really clear that if this
violates that pattern and if you get
involved right here, you're still in
quite early and you're anticipating an
eventual base breakout, right? And if it
fails, it fails, you likely lose 2 to
3%. Whereas if you buy right here,
you're, you know, everybody in the
market these days with uh, you know, is
watching that base breakout. It's
almost, you know, a textbook thing to be
doing to fail that initial day to try
again and fail again cuz it's shaking
out those folks or or people that are
primarily buying here, but you're also
putting yourself in a really tough spot
like Richard said because this is a
normal pullback into a moving average
and then get support right away to
continue even higher. Right? So, you
want to figure out those spots where you
can minimize your risk, those tight
areas. I'm assuming RMV Richard right
here would have been you know closer to
zero. Um so you know that from a data
perspective this really tight. And then
the second piece of information here is
AMD is still outperforming the markets
as it consolidates sideways. So we're in
a relative strength phase. And so you
have those elements, you know, combining
with the fact that when it moves above
that level, you know, it should not come
back, you know, after this particular
day, it should not come back and violate
this level right here. And it didn't do
that. It rallied to the upside as well.
So, yep. Excellent. All right. The next
concept is the same, but versus a key
level versus uh a moving average. So
this is example with MSTR from uh pretty
recent days during its nice move. Uh
during this period obviously it's in a
strong relative strength phase and it
love to form these mini bases where it
would form a consolidation pivot, pull
back to it, reclaim off of it, pull back
to it, move up, form another tight
consolidation, pull back into it. So
these pullbacks are opportunities if you
miss the breakout and almost they're
better buy points because again you can
manage risk tighter versus that level as
it reconfirms up. And this one is really
good. You've got confluence at the 21
EMA as well as this key uh consolidation
pivot. It reconfirms up and is off to
the races. And you don't need uh too
much of a a move in this one to to make
quite a bit and perform well. So, this
is a great example of a key level
pullback uh to a consolidation pivot and
a nice confluence with the 21 EMA here
as well. This is Coinbase. So, we've got
a larger base here. We've got the launch
pad set up here. We push off the launch
pad, form this tight area. This forms
the key resistance level. We have a gap
up. And this is a little bit difficult.
Uh it's it's tougher to buy gap ups from
consolidation pivots. I like straight
breakthroughs uh through them quite a
bit. But even if you miss this gap up
and don't participate, it pulls back
nicely on a decline in volume right to
that prior level. You've got an upside
reversal. This would be the entry day
managing risk at that low of the day.
The next day it holds that level once
again. Another opportunity to enter
versus that level. And then we reconfirm
up, go tight, and then start trending
really nicely. So this pullback to the
consolidation pivot allows you to get in
often with tighter risk if you missed
the breakout from the consolidation
pivot. So, even if you miss this day and
you feel like it's going to take off
without you, keep watching the stock and
watch for that pullback into the key
level where you can manage risk right at
these lows and clearly define your risk
in in a pretty volatile name that has a
lot of potential very tightly versus
this level. Uh, Ry, anything you want to
add on on these two examples, either MSR
or or coin?
No, I I think you know each of these it
it's the same concept where you know if
uh a lot of uh traders when they you
know the stock is breaking out uh they
will enter on this particular day. But
the question that you have to repeatedly
ask yourself is can I define my risk
effectively? If you can define your risk
it's worth to you know it's worth
missing this particular stock even if it
does this after the fact. You know
that's fine. you're going to have, you
know, hundreds of trades that you
eventually miss in the markets where you
have the right idea and you haven't, you
know, participated in those. But what
you know, what hurts the most is when
you buy on this particular day, it has a
normal pullback. Whereas, if you were
patient enough for it to come back to
the pivot now, you could at least define
your risk, right? You could define your
risk within 1 to 3% of this that, hey,
this should not pull back, you know,
more. I'm gonna buy it versus this
consolidation pivot level. And if it
works out, it should turn and when it
turns, I can maybe add right across
here, which is another consolidation
pivot on this particular stock. Uh and
then it can continue higher. What
happens is traders do the opposite. They
will
um miss the fact you know they will buy
on this day. they will sell right here
and then when they see it you know go up
now they don't want to participate right
about here because you know it's all
psychology based right so you're buying
in the wrong place you can't define your
risk you get stopped out now it's hard
to buy back that cycle repeats itself
again again and again mostly because
your your your primary like your first
move is the wrong one because you can't
define risk effectively right and you
can't justify you buy, you know, right
near the high of the day here and you
sell right here, you're already putting
yourself in a really bad situation. And
when you do that, it the rest of it then
you feel like, oh uh uh you know, this
market participant is against me and
they are flushing me out and they are
doing this and that. I don't know who
they are, but nobody cares about um you
know, they're not looking at your
account, by the way. So uh it all it's
all you know becomes a psychological
thing where you think everything's you
know built to be against you because
your first step is not correct. Always
ask yourself if I can't define my risk.
I don't care how good the company is. It
could be the best company in the world.
I I you know as a swing momentum trader
risk is everything. If you define that,
you scale your position size to a matter
where you know if you miss four of the
10 leaders in the next run and you catch
one properly, you will outperform and do
really really well in the market. So
always ask yourself, can I define my
risk? If I can, I'm going to
participate. If I can't, then I'm not
going to uh and I'll wait for that next
train or ticket or bus or whichever
analogy that we spoke about earlier in
the webinar. Perfect. And then here's
the example with Tesla. I think you
talked about this uh prior. This had so
many good examples of pulls back to
ranges, tightening, re-breakout,
tightening, re-breakout. And the high
the example I just want to highlight is
this key level here, this swing high is
then respected and forms a low of this
range. And what I love here is this is a
tight range. This is about four 4% here.
And it not only respects this high here,
but it also is pulling into the 21 EMA.
So again, there's confluence. That's
something we want to really focus on
here. Confluence. And what happens right
before it breaks out from this range?
Let's zoom in here. Tight inside day. So
within this tight range, it gets even
tighter after an upside reversal off
that consolidation pivot. And you could
either buy this pullback to the moving
average and as well as the confluence of
the pivot or buy through the high of
this inside day. That's kind of more how
I would purchase this is I would see
this upside reversal showing respect for
where it should show respect to tight
inside day and then buy here expecting
it to break out of the range. It does
and it's off to the races. And it formed
a similar uh range right above here and
again uh shook out and then broke out.
And we we might even see that later on.
I think I have a chart there. But that's
kind of the key here is look for a
pullback to prior support and ideally
confluence between a key level as well
as a key moving average like the 21 EMA
or 50 SMA. Oh, sorry. Here we
go. There we go. All right. Next up,
we've got the oops reversal. This is
something you really want to focus on
here. This is something I learned from
JT at Ticker Monkey. Larry Williams
developed it uh for I think the futures
market. Um, and you know, it's really,
really useful to help you define your
risk very cleanly. And the oops reversal
focus here, right here, is when we have
a gap down below the prior days low and
we rally back through that low and that
low becomes the oops reversal pivot. So,
I just want to repeat that again. We
have a gap down below the prior days low
and then this is on a daily chart. we
rally back through that low and this is
the oops reversal pivot where is is
basically the buy point for this entry
tactic and when this happens um up the
right hand side of the base. So this is
a base think of this as about four to
five weeks here. Uh this is a daily
chart and then we have a gap down
ideally to a moving average where the
low is near a moving average or a
consolidation pivot. I'm showing that
confluence in this graphic here. we
rally up back through the low and then
we're off to the races and approach that
base pivot and breakout. This is a
really useful entry tactic up the right
hand side of a base or even after a base
breakout to position in a leader while
managing risk within, you know, 2 3% uh
versus the low of the day. Um I
basically 99% of the time place my stop
at the low of the day when I'm buying
oops reversals because if we reverse
back down and break that low, I know
that the oops reversal has failed. Uh so
this is a really good entry tactic and
we'll show a bunch of examples here uh
in in just a second. So here's Nvidia in
last year. We've got an overall base
pattern. It gets choppy. It breaks below
the 21 EMA. Breaks below the 50 SMA.
Here we've got a positive expectation
breaker after this very negative bar. It
holds. This looks to be the base low.
Then we rally up, pull back again. Uh a
very negative day. We expect a gap down.
We get it. But instead of really
breaking down, Nvidia changes course and
rallies through this low. So we get a
gap down versus the prior day's low and
rally back through it. That is the buy
point right here. And let me actually
even zoom in here just to show it really
clearly. We have a slight gap down here.
So you can manage risk really tightly
actually. And we immediately rally
through and really penetrate the prior
days bar. This is the best possible
situation where we have immediate
strength off the open, rally strongly
through that low and managing risk at
the stop, you're automatically up a
bunch of risk multiples if you manage
risk at this low of the day. So again,
thinking about the negative, if you you
buy this as it breaks through this and
we reverse down and break this low,
that's where you would exit with your
stop loss. but instead here you have an
early entry point up the right hand side
of a base and you have a immediate
profit here to weather any of the
pullbacks up the righthand side. So that
is a really good example of an oops
reversal. Uh here we've got TEM. This is
a recent leader as well. This got on our
radar because of the strong gap up on
large volume. We're up the right hand
side of the base, but there's not really
a clear entry point up here. There's
this little range, this inside day where
maybe you could have entered, but there
wasn't much of a tight pivot that
formed. But we get an opportunity on
this day where we're in a relative
strength phase. It's been on our radar
because of a strong gap on on volume.
And what do we get right here? Let's
zoom
in. And let's zoom in even a little bit
more. We get a gap down and strong rally
back through that low. And this is the
pivot. This is the buy point. Managing
risk at this low the day. And
immediately you're at a profit and it
closes right near highs. And then we
continue that strong trend we've been
in. So this is a way to enter a strong
trend when there's often overall market
weakness. Maybe we get a gap down in the
general market based on a jobs number or
whatever macro uh thing is in in vogue
during that time. And the strongest
stocks will be will show will will rally
immediately because the institutions are
still looking to accumulate stock and we
rally back through that low and
immediately you're at a profit and uh
join that trend. So this is a really
powerful setup and uh definitely
something to add to your arsenal to work
your way into the strongest stocks.
Here's an example. I saw somebody
wanting a recent example. This is SQQQ
back when the market was rallying into
the 200 SMA. So SQQ is of course the
triple inverse of the QQQ. And what do
we have when the market failed right at
the 200 SMA? So it's failing at a key
level. We get an oops reversal right at
that point as QQQ approached the 200 SMA
and failed right at that level. We get
an oops reversal enter through the prior
day's low after the gap down. Manage
risk at the low of the day. we get the
best case scenario where we actually
take out the prior days high as well and
immediately you're at multiple risk
multiples and can profit either that day
or on a quick swing during a volatile
market to profit from market weakness
after the market failed at the 200 SMA.
So, there's a way to kind of use it to
short or or go uh go against the market
as well. But a really easy way to manage
risk versus this low right here. This is
again would be where your stop is if you
enter at the low of the day. Uh this is
actually an intraday chart showing that
rally off the open. And I just want to
show kind of what that looks like. We
have the gap down. We have an opening
range breakout we'll talk about a little
bit earlier. This is the prior day's
low. This orange line here. So this is
the oop reversal pivot and stop to the
low of the day would have been 1.2%. So
you're managing risk very very tightly
entering here stop right here and it
just is off to the races and again
multiple um risk multiples right away
immediately takes off and you can even
move up your stop to break even very
quickly to manage your risk even
tighter. Uh so this is um a good example
of the oops reversal and what it looks
like on an intraday intraday time frame.
Here's an example of a downside oops
reversal. So, just to get uh advanced
for you guys, we've got the key level
being this gap up low. We have a break
down and start of a down cycle here. We
respect the the 21 EMA, bounce higher,
but then the overall market continues
and and rallies down. And what do we
have here? We get a downside oops
reversal. So, instead of gapping down
and rallying higher, we have a slight
gap up above the prior day's high and
reversal back down. So this would be a
way this would be a short setup short
entry tactic where we gap up managing
risk at the high of the day short the
stock here and participate to the
decline. And there's a lot of good
examples recently of uh this entry
tactic on this day as the as the KQ and
the market failed at the 200 SMA. This
one had a gap up breakdown faltered to
the downside and continue to uh move
down and and form base lows. So, this
would be a good way to manage your risk
very tightly versus the high of the day
versus if you're doing it to the upside
versus the low of the day. So, really
interesting entry tactic definitely
worth studying and you'll start seeing
these all over. Here's another oops
reversal here. Here's an oops reversal
before the gap up. You'll start to see
these all over as you uh kind of uh you
know look look more for these oops
reversals. Uh Ry, anything you want to
add on the oops reversal uh setup
personally based on you know stuff that
you've seen? Yeah. So the reversal setup
is essentially um a failed move in the
direction right and uh one of the things
is you know from failed moves it just
momentum goes uh twofold in the opposite
direction essentially. So learn to spot,
you know, especially when a oops
reversal is in correlation with a very
key area which could be prior
resistance, prior support or recent
consolidation with the undercut and then
you get expectation you know breakers
off of that. Um it becomes a really
powerful way for you know daily or less
to execute on that time frame. So a lot
of you you know when the market opens a
lot of traders look at prior days low as
that key area for for it to be reclaimed
and then you know a lot of market forces
join and you know create that momentum
to the upside so that the market can
rally um as well. So that QQQ example
was really a really nice example of that
where momentum was created to the upside
as soon as we undercut the prior you
know we reclaim the prior days
um uh level. So yeah not much else to to
add there. This is again within the
context you have to take everything
within the context of the trend uh the
theme um the setup and the edge that you
have on the charts. So what we're
speaking about today and I see some
confusion in the chat as well is like
this is not about day trading here. This
is about you know the first three
webinars that we did taking all of that
knowledge and we're now speaking about
how do you enter those particular names
or those setups using these entry
tactics. So you can't just pull up you
know a penny stock and just say this is
the best comp you know it has a oops
reversal and it's now the best setup
that I see. But you have to take all the
knowledge that we spoke about in the
first three webinars as well. Yeah. And
the key with this particular situation
is the QQQ was approaching a key level
that it was rejected from. And then this
is a a leverage way to go short at that
at that time is trading an oops reversal
on the SQQ as the QQQ is reversing back
down from its 200 SMA. So that's that's
why we'd even be focusing on this.
Again, like R said, we want to really
emphasize this. The tactics we're
talking about today are
always with within the context of a
larger setup and edges in the market.
This is just the last layer about how
you actually enter, place your stop,
manage risk, all of that. The entry
tactic is the last piece, the last step
after you've identified a pro promising
opportunity that allows you to actually
place your order with a clear pivot
point, sell stop, all of that. All
right, so let's go ahead and pause for a
few questions. So, drop any questions
right now in the chat that you have so
far. And we've got a special uh giveaway
here. You can earn uh win a signed copy
of the Trader Handbook once it's out.
And uh basically, in order to enter this
giveaway, I'm going to ask a question
right now. So, everybody be
ready. Let's see
what's uh you'll post the question. No,
I'm gonna ask it. I'm gonna ask him just
I'm just I'm setting it up, Ry. All
right. Are you guys ready?
All right. The question
is,
what is most important about setting a
stop-loss? What are the two things that
I said were most
important with regards to a stop-loss? I
said two things at the beginning and we
covered on multiple SL
slides. What defines a good
stop-loss? There we go, John. John won
it. There you go. Tight and logical. It
must be tight and logical. Exactly. So
tight remember means it's within a few
percent. Logical means a clear failure
of that level. Uh triggers basically a
failure of the entry tactic and setup.
Perfect. And I see a lot of other people
got it as well. Uh but John shoot me a
DM on Twitter and uh we'll we'll get you
hooked up with a Freton copy. And
everybody else, you can order yours
right here. Uh let me know in the chat.
Have you ordered your Traers handbook
just yet? I want to see if there's
anybody in here just yet. I see a lot of
people answering. So awesome. Ethan got
it. Nice, Braxton. Got it. Perfect. All
right. Thank you so much. Uh, all right.
Drop any questions you have so far based
on what we've covered in the chat here.
Uh, let's see if we can answer a few.
Let me get a sip of water
here. All
right. Let me see if you any see any
questions.
Right. Should the volume ex should the
volume exceed the average volume when uh
when you see a oops reversal? I think
it's not critical. Ideally, it does. Uh
but really, it's about the price
movement. It's going to happen pretty
fast in the morning. So, it doesn't
matter too much. Uh also, because it's a
early entry, we really want to see big
big volume on the breakout. uh earlier
than that it doesn't matter too much,
but you'll see a pretty the the fastest
oops reversals are the strongest, the
ones that just penetrate that prior
day's low versus the ones that kind of
hit it, stagnate, you know, there's not
much emphasis. We want to see immediate
demand and that's with a strong price
move. Yeah. Anything that's not a base
pivot in the markets, there's no volume
requirement for consolidation pivots.
You want the volume to be higher than
previous day. The time frame I'm
speaking to right now is daily. On the
weekly, when you see a base breakout,
you know, naturally the volume will be
higher on the weekly charts or for that
week because it's a significant level in
the markets. But folks that you know I
used to wait for volume to show up and
you know over the years it's been become
quite clear based on you know just
studying what I missed trades that I
took t trades that I didn't take um that
volume if price is confirming and is way
before the base pivot you can enter that
stock as long as you can define your
risk right and then volume becomes
important you want to see big volume at
base pivots you want to see big volume
you know it's If if you're taking a
consolidation pivot and the volume's
huge, that's a huge bonus. Basically,
it's a huge plus, but it's not, you
know, a requirement for you to enter.
Yep. I see a question from Gav. Um, how
do we read high volumes during tight
areas? Is that considered a negative? If
it's very tight, I would consider it a
negative, but it's not a positive. Uh,
so I guess that is a negative. Um, but
yeah, basically, you know, we're looking
for a dry up in price volatility as well
as volume during those tight areas.
That's what the best ones look like.
It's fine if there's one day of
increased volume, especially often if
there's an upside reversal within that
tight area that will have a little bit
higher volume as it stops out people and
then reclaims that range. But in
general, we're looking for a lower
volume than average or a decline in
volume versus prior sessions. That's
that's the most ideal
situation. Um, let's see here. Uh, you
can find the three previous webinar
recordings in the playlist that we
posted earlier or if you go on the
Trader Line channel, you can find that
playlist for yourself. But we'll we'll
post that uh later on Twitter as well.
Um let's
see. How much space do you get below
stop point? I do it pretty tight. You
know.1% below the stop, maybe even
tighter than that. Um if it if it takes
out my stop, you know, say levy. That's
just part of trading. Uh Ry, how much do
you usually give uh below, you know, the
technical level to place a stop?
for me. Three, three to
four%. Oh, I think I lost your audio.
Can you hear me now? Yeah, I can hear
you now. Cool.
All right, let's see
here. What MAS work for support
confirmation? Look in the past on the
stock and see what it respected prior.
Um, a lot of the growth stocks I trade
respect the 20 21 EMA during trends. So,
that's kind of what I like to use
primarily. And then the 50 SMA also
uh what's the indicator we talked about?
Um RMV, relative measured volatility. Uh
it's a deep view proprietary indicator.
We've got a webinar completely on that
on the DV channel. Um so you can check
that out if you like to learn more.
Definitely very useful and you can
screen by it as well which is
huge. All right, I think we can keep
moving here. We'll answer a few more
questions at the end.
So here I just want to mention that you
know prior to this point we've talked
about kind of entries before the base
breakout but you can use a lot of the
same tactics that we talked about
shortly after the base breakout and we
want to be entering as close to the base
breakout as possible because that's when
you know the the potential reward is
greatest. Uh but you could trade a
consolidation pivot breakout right right
after it breaks out from the base. We
saw this with Tesla. Then it moves up
higher, pulls back to 21 EMA or moving
average for the first time. That would
be another spot to to add to your
shares. If you'd like to trade around a
core position, you could sell a little
bit into strength here, buy it back
versus the moving average, add it on the
next kind of mini base breakout. So, a
lot of the tactics we're talking about,
we're using in this area right here, but
you can 100% use them later on the base.
But we want to emphasize the reward, the
potential reward is is more worth the
risk as close to the base pivot as
possible. And ideally, you're entering
up the right hand side of the base so
you can participate in the trend from
base to base. That's kind of how I like
to operate personally. Uh but yeah, here
here's Tesla. So here are the entries up
the right hand side of the larger base.
Then we get a consolidation pivot
breakout right above that base. We get a
nice breakout and then we have another
uh mini base right here against the 21
EMA and you know that leads to another
trend. So the best stocks will have
multiple add-on points where maybe you
enter, you know, on this breakout, sell
into strength of this key reversal day,
add those shares back on, you know, this
gap and go off the 21 EMA, EMA reclaim.
Uh so this is kind of how you can think
about trading around a core position and
add on entries after the true breakout.
Uh Ry, anything you want to add on on
this before we get into the gapper
gapper entries?
No, I I think that area of um you know
this one I I traded right here. Uh it
was again a really nice spot. Uh very
tight risk, right? The stock had clear,
you know, clear upside level. Uh and the
best part of this was that the volume
died down quite a bit and we were really
focused on this. Uh one other thing I
think if you zoom in a little bit was
the fact that it had one of the you know
things that we spoke about today was the
fact that this level this level right
there was cleared out completely right
flushed then reclaimed y and then it did
the consolidation or the pivot area
eventually so let's say I was
accumulating versus a level it did that
you the V formation underneath the level
reclaim that and once it reclaimed that
you got to buy it back and then add to
that position. So whatever made this
stock special right in this area right
this is a practical application of what
I said theoretically before you have to
you know get get back into it uh because
that led to this particular run uh again
uh this area is obviously better right
uh if you chased on this day uh up here
and then you got stopped out here now
you're really you know sour on this name
and you don't want to look at it when it
does another tight consolidation But
again, it's a really tight pivot, a
really clear entry area, and I'm I'm
sure the volume would have um died down
as well. And then this could have been
your secondary, not your primary um
entry area as well. So, the frameworks
that we spoke about, these are real life
applications of the arrows that we drew
that Richard went over, but these are
playing out as we speak. uh regardless
of what the name on the top left of the
chart is, the price and the volume will
play out according to the frameworks
that were presented. Perfect. Yeah. And
I I play I played it on the base pivot
reclaim right here. I entered uh and had
a nice move here. Um yeah, perfect.
Yeah, this is such a great stock to
study. And I saw somebody say, you know,
it went from really tight here to then
breaking down to the 21 EMA. This
overall is still within a few percent.
So even though this is ridiculously
tight, this overall is still a tight
range here. So that that's why it's
still playable on the breakout here. All
right. So next up, we're going to get
more into the setups for gappers. So
these are earnings gappers, catalyst
gappers, however you want to whatever
you want to call it. And the first the
first few we're going to talk about are
more to do with trading the day of the
gap up. And we talked in the previous
session about scans and screens um to
get gappers on your radar so you'd be
able to trade day one. We'll also talk a
lot about more of that uh in the routine
section. But this is the first entry
tactic to trade a gap up. This is pretty
classic. I'm sure many of you guys
already know this. The opening range
breakout. Basically, we've got an
initial move up or even down and then we
set a mini base. This is on maybe a
fivem minute time frame, a 15-inut time
frame or even a one three minute time
frame. This can happen pretty quick. We
set a mini base and then the buy point
is through the opening range high here
setting your stop either at the higher
low or at the low of the range depending
on how much risk this is and you know
the quality of the gap and the catalyst.
But this would be the entry point or
maybe even early at the rightand side.
And we'll show some real examples. This
is just kind of the framework to think
about. But basically what you want to
remember is we've got a big gap up on
earnings, a very strong catalyst that
looks promising. Um, and then we set an
opening range and then we break through
that range and begin trending up on that
day. So, here's an example with uh a
recent example with Octa. Uh, this is
one where uh we're here. We're on a
3minut time frame. So, each of these
bars is a three-minut time frame. We
have an initial bar that moves up. We
have and let me actually zoom in
here. We have an initial bar that moves
up. We have an inside bar. So, this is
setting the opening range. This high is
the opening range uh breakout. and buy
point was right through here. And notice
how after that it respects the anchored
VWAP pretty much the rest of the day.
This is a clear thing that you want to
look for on an earnings gapper that's
going to, you know, perform and and end
uh, you know, close close really nicely
is respect for the anchored VWAP
throughout the day. We close well off of
that and after an intraday base here, we
rally into the close and this opening
range breakout. Uh, you were never
tested. This cost was never tested
again. And that's what the best ones do.
We want the stock to just go from the
opening range breakout. Uh so that is an
example there. Let me go to the next
one. Here is Tesla back in um I believe
this was on the election gap here. So
here we have an aggressive opening range
breakout through uh the 5m minute high
here. So this would be an entry. You do
get tested a little bit here but it
respects that area and often you'll see
this be respected later. But we set up
and form a bigger opening range here in
this area. It's almost a mini base here.
And this would be a breakout buy point
uh where you could manage risk versus
this higher low less than 1%. And note
how we respect the anchor VWAP and just
trend above it the rest of the day and
just you know steady accumulation.
That's what we're looking for on these
gap ups. Uh and the most successful ones
respect the anchored VWAP as well as
just trend higher uh and grind higher
the entire day after the opening range
breakout. Here if we go next we've got
uh Coinbase. This was based on the
catalyst of uh the election. Uh this is
an initial move up sets the opening
range. This would be the opening range
breakout right here uh to the low uh to
the higher low here would be about 3 and
a half%. You also line that also lines
up with the anchored VWAP. But you've
got a more of an aggressive entry here
uh at the low of the day. Manage your
risk at 2 and a half%. So again, these
are very aggressive entries for day one.
I really want to stress that you do not
need to participate on day one to profit
from trends. This is more for aggressive
traders, advanced traders who want to
get the best cost bases possible and
really focus on performance. This is
more for stage three plus traders, stage
one and two um you know can focus on
entry points after the true breakout
based on daily patterns. This is for
aggressive entries on day one. Here is
SMCI uh when they pre-announce uh their
their earnings. We've got a one minute
opening range breakout, an early entry
on the anchored VWAP reclaim, and then
also through this high would be the
opening range breakout. It trends the
rest of the day beautifully and just
took off here, trended above the moving
averages as well as the anchor VWAP the
rest of the day. Uh then here we've gots
from last year. We had the catalyst
being a new announcement. We've got
initial move up forms this mini base,
this opening range. This is the opening
range high. This would be the breakout
here, managing risk at the anchor VWAP
as well as these swing lows. And you've
got an early entry from this tight area
here. This would basically be an
undercut and rally range breakout that
we talked about here on this five-minute
time frame. This would be the early
entry and this would be the opening
range entry and it just took off here. I
think gained 20% throughout the day.
You've got an intraday base here which
also be playable. But again, these are
for much more experienced traders to
play these intraday type setups. And
we're only looking at intraday time
frames because there's something
significant happen on the daily, the big
gap up with the catalyst. We're not just
looking at this on any old day. We're
looking on the specific days where
there's a lot of potential for a big
momentum
move. Uh here is the next day one type
entry or Ry, do you want to add anything
on opening range before we gone? Yeah.
No, no, I I think you covered it well.
Uh this is the next possible intraday
base. Maybe we've had an opening range
breakout back here, but basically we're
looking for a substantial basing pattern
during the day. Uh still close to the
open because we still want the stock to
have a lot of potential. Uh but we're
basically looking for intraday base to
trade uh with a breakout. You'd set your
stop at the higher low. Um after it
breaks through that base pivot or an
early entry of the right hand side. Uh
this is uh TEM on the day of the
catalyst. I think um I don't know. I I
think it was just Nancy Pelosi buying
it, but you know that was a catalyst
that was working. Um and this is TEM. It
moves higher. Doesn't really set an
opening range early, but it sends this
nice intraday base and this clear tight
area. Again, this happens on all time
frames. these tight areas on low volume
and this would be the ideal buy point
range breakout risk to this higher low
is less than 1% and you rallied multiple
multiple risk multiples uh into the
close and also this base breakout would
also be viable managing risk versus this
higher low. So wherever we're buying
we're looking at the higher low and
ideally the low of the day to manage
risk against but we always want to keep
our risk relatively tight here.
All right, here's another example with
ELF. Uh, this during its really nice
move um in uh 2022 through through 2023
had multiple gap ups and and great
examples and great great examples to
study. Uh this is one during I think
it's May gap up where we had a really
strong move off the open and then it
just went really quiet and tight until
this range breakout here. It breaks out
uh stops to the higher low right here
would have been less than 1% risk. It
does retest it a few times, but never
really you don't really experience any
heat and really draw down at all. And
into the close, you're up about three R
uh into the close. So, this is a great
way to jump on a gapper and uh
participate in a strong trend after it's
shown really nice demand uh throughout
the day. Uh here's another example,
Bloom, where we had a decline off the
open. So, this happens sometimes
depending on the situation. And you can
see a pullback and then we tighten
overall. We basically form an intraday
base and you could enter from this tight
area. Again, we've got a tight area on
low volume. This happens on all time
frames as I mentioned and buying through
this pivot which is also an anchored
VWAP reclaim. Uh so the confluence
there, you could risk to the higher low
about
2.75%. So very low risk uh to enter a
name that went up multiple risk
multiples from that point on day one. Um
bonus, we've got the anchored VWAP
reclaim. This is another way to trade a
day one setup. Um, now I I mentioned it
a few times in here. Anchored VWAP
reclaim. So what actually is that?
Anchored VWAP is basically the anchored
volume weighted average price. A lot of
institutions use it for execution,
especially in a stock that they want to
build a position in. So when a
game-changing catalyst happens, like an
earning surprise, revenue surprise,
guidance increase. Basically,
institutions go out and say to their
traders, hey, buy me more shares. And
often execution is based on the volume
weighted average price for that day. and
they're judged how good their execution
is based on how close they buy versus
this volume weighted average price. So,
this level is a key level of
significance throughout the day. And
when we first form uh a range here and
reclaim that VWOP, that's often a really
good entry point a little bit earlier
than the opening range high here. And
throughout the day, you might have
retests of the anchored VWAP where it
gets respected, undercuts, and reclaims
at that level. But this is an example of
kind of the uh opening range base here.
The ankerv web reclaim giving you a
really nice entry in unity software uh
which is a recent example from this
year. Uh then next we've got uh QBTS uh
another recent one. You had multiple
anchor VWOP uh tests here uh undercuts
and rallies. But the one I want to focus
on here is we have an initial move
higher a pullback an undercut of the
anchor VWAP. anybody using that as their
stop was shaken out. But then it pulled
back to this level here and also
reclaimed the anchor VWAP and risk to
this higher low here was only about
2.2%. And it rallied nicely from that
point throughout the rest of the day. So
often undercuts and rallies of anchored
VWAP, the first one or the second one is
often a spot where you can manage risk
pretty tightly if you're looking to
enter on day one of a move. Uh here's
another example of uh I forget what
stock this is. This might be this might
be octa, I believe. But regardless,
you've got a breakout here. Nice move.
And then look how it respects the anchor
VWAP as it builds this base out. You get
multiple undercuts and rallies. And I
also highlight an intraday base breakout
here. This is from um a breakdown I did
for the trade lab. Um and basically
highlighting different entries that you
could use on day one. And all these
undercuts and rallies of anchor views
allow you to manage risk versus the
recent higher low right here. Uh, so
you'd enter here, set your stop right at
this point right
here. All right, so that went a little
little fast. Um, any questions
specifically about anchor VWAP? Let's
see. What's the time frame for anchor
VWAP? You basically watch it on any time
frame, but anchor it to the gap up day
candle. Uh, let's see here. Uh, are you
moving from a 1 minute to a three
minute? So, when a stock first opens,
um, I I I want to enter on a fivem
minute. That's kind of the time frame I
want to enter. But when it first opens,
I'll watch it on a one minute and then
once once we get enough time frame, I'll
watch on a fivem minute
chart. All
right. All right.
Cool. Where do you put the second VW
anchor view? I only put uh the VWAP on
the opening day here, the opening bar
here. And yeah, I prefer five minute,
but I'm only watching intraday time
frames because this is a key day to
watch it. I want to be really clear.
I've said this before, but I really want
to be clear. We're only watching this
for a potential day one entry because
there's a huge catalyst that's changing
how the stock is completely is changing
the character of the stock. And these
day one entries are different than the
ones we'll talk about later, volume,
support, range breakouts, because this
is only if you want to get involved on
day one, which is not necessary if you
want to uh you participate in a trend
after the day one entry. But this is for
aggressive advanced traders. So most
stage two traders should not be looking
at this. you should be sticking to daily
charts and looking for uh entries like
we'll talk about uh with Ry in just a
second. Volume support range breakouts
on a daily chart after the gap up. Uh so
with that, Ry, I'll hand it over to you
to cover volume
support. Yeah, volume support is one of
the entry tactics after a stock shows
the highest volume edge that we spoke
about. So essentially let's say you know
the first day the you know the stock is
now shown the highest volume ever or the
highest volume since IPO uh and we have
you know this particular day being the
day that there's a catalyst earnings
news something of an event um in the
markets. Essentially what happens is on
day two and after uh you can form a
really good expectation of where the
stock will be supported based on the
volume distribution of the day that the
stock gapped up on. It's a very basic
principle that's often overlooked. It's
just pure price and volume, supply and
demand, and how they balance each other
out and how they how it creates a really
nice zone for you to operate in with
very again minimal risk. Right? So if we
go to the next slide, I I think getting
into an example will uh make this a lot
clearer. So charts, let's say, you know,
Yeah, you can zoom in on the first one,
please. Yeah, these are daily charts.
Yeah. So, let's say, you know, we're
looking at a chart. Regardless of of uh
what company or what it is, I I I kind
of cropped that out on purpose. What I
want to look at is what happens and what
what I'm trying to describe as volume
support. So, this company gapped up on
this particular day. It saw massive
volume on that particular day. And now,
when I zoomed in, let's say on the
15-minute chart, uh or the 10-minute,
you know, whatever allows you to see
volume. support or where the stock is
being supported as it comes in or where
the volume distribution was on that day.
Um that becomes an area of interest on
the daily frame or even higher. So in
this case the stock had the highest
volume in a year. It tried to rally,
didn't work, came back in and then it
was supported when you know at this zone
that I defined was on a 10 and 15 minute
chart that if it were to get to this
level there the the supply and demand
characteristics which is price and
volume and what makes sense you know it
it should be supported here if it's a
good stock from a technical uh you know
analysis perspective. So that you know
the stock does get supported but most
importantly if I'm operating in this
zone and I want to accumulate it I know
exactly where the you know where I
should get out. I see this as an
inflection point where the stock you
know secondary buyers or buyers that
were waiting or folks that purchased
this and institutions that supported the
stock to rally on that particular day.
will come back and buy more of that
stock cuz that seems to be a level that
they were interested in on the day the
catalyst took place. Right? So the stock
then you know this rallies and and works
out quite well. But what's important
here is to understand how we can come up
with this you know uh support level
based on the day that the catalyst uh
happened. Um so if we go to the second
one Richard uh I'll cover that. So this
is another example the same, you know,
and it's another company that gapped up,
had an earnings catalyst, had the
highest volume in a year. Um, if you
guess it, that would be amazing.
But yeah, so it it came in and if you
looked at, you know, the distribution of
where it was supported intraday on that
day and where the volume support came in
or where secondary buyers came into that
area on the day the catalyst took place
on a 10 or 15 minute chart, you would
draw this particular zone out. And this
stock was constantly supported as it
came back into these areas uh and it
would bounce off of it, right? Uh, and
the the the reason I like looking at
this, it's it's the purest form of
technical analysis. It's one of the
first things that I learned. If
something is moving up on volume and
comes back in and is supported again,
right where the volume showed up, that's
secondary confirmation that whoever
bought it on this particular day is
interested in coming back and buying
even more as it comes back into that
area. Right? And that's essentially what
volume support is.
Um, someone said BB AI, but that's the
the next slide. I will be using that.
This one is CH. This was around the 30
spot on CH. Um, Richard, let's go to the
next slide where we get into a real
example of a uh a 15minute chart and how
to draw volume support. I think uh I
bought this day through the high. Uh you
you beat me. You got better costs than I
did because you accumulated versus
versus that spot right there. A level.
Yeah. Perfect.
All right, here we go. So this this is
uh how you look. So this is zoomed in on
an intraday chart. So this stock again,
it doesn't matter what company it is.
Focus on the concept. So you could you
can apply it to any company. Uh and you
don't have to ask me ever again, right?
Uh so this stock rallied up and you know
it came back in but secondary volume
came in and it was supported here and
rallied you know after hours. It tried
to gap up in the morning. This is
pre-market. hit the yellow uh comes back
in the stock is then again supported
right here in pre-market you know holds
this level it's the same level where
when it came in it could have gone even
lower right from a price perspective but
secondary volume came in to support it
to the upside right so what I did was I
simply you know I think this is a level
of interest this is where I can define
my risk really really tightly and I can
know that if a stock were to break this
particular area or zone phone, I should
be out of it because that negates, you
know, the price support that I defined
over here. The why did I why why am I
looking at you know support here and
here? The first step to all of this is
this was the highest volume in over a
year on this particular name on the
daily chart. So that's your edge. That's
the visual the visual edge that I saw
and what makes this a gapper setup. What
we're speaking of right now is the
volume support. It's an entry tactic. If
you don't have an edge to begin with and
you just go around looking for oops
reversals, you're going to lose yourself
and drive yourself nuts because oops
reversals and volume supports will be on
every single chart that you can possibly
pull up in the markets. And there's
about 12,000 tickers in the United
States. So the first step is you you
know this volume was significant on the
daily time frame. This was the highest
volume and it showed the HV edge. Once I
had the edge, you know, I can now I'm on
day two and on day two of this
particular, you know, it didn't really
do anything. It consolidated sideways. A
setup started to form, right? Day two or
later on on a gapper. And then third is
how do I enter this name so that I can
define my risk really, really well. How
quickly can I know that what I'm doing
it, you know, is going to result in a
losing trade. And how can I define my
stop loss really clearly so that I have
a thesis to either enter this name with
tight stop-loss or have a good upside
for this. So I enter this name pre you
know right around the pre-market area
accumulating on the open accumulated
more the stock then reacted to this
level and moved up. Now is every single
one going to do this right away? No. CH
took about a week and a half to two
weeks to play out versus volume support.
This particular stock did took two days
to play out. So there a lot of questions
that I get and many questions that I saw
in the chat throughout is, you know, how
long do I have to wait? That's never a
known when it comes to entry tactics.
What you're trying to do is dictate
where can I manage my risk the best so
that when I am wrong, I lose very
little. But when I am right, you know,
this stock ripped up 43% same day and I
sold it right into you know it was too
good to be true. So you just sell it and
move on. Uh but you know
edge then and you know uh a setup forms
where you know you're below the prior
day's high. You're now consolidating and
then you have an entry tactic where you
can define your risk really really well.
You enter that name. But if you don't
have the first step, a lot of traders
forget if you don't have this volume
being significant enough, none of the
rest of it matters and it would have
never been on my radar to begin with. So
that was the example that I had.
Richard, I don't know if any questions.
There's a question if you use there's
the indicator fixed range volume to help
identify this, but you're more just
looking at where the big volume comes
in. So maybe maybe talk about that. So
So yeah, there there's a scientific uh I
would say way to do it where you place
like a volume profile and it will give
you, you know, this bar is big, this bar
is small and that way to do it. I I
don't do that. I just look I like to
look at a chart and dictate, you know,
this is where price was supported.
Volume was good. You know, there's big
bars still coming in. There's a reason
that price was supported here. There's a
reason when it came in here, it was
still supported. There's a reason you
know, uh, post market when it came in,
it was still supported. There's a reason
pre-market there came in, it was still
supported. Well, if it supported this
many times, there's someone sitting
there and saying, "Give me more. Give me
more. Give me more." Especially on this
bar, there's no reason for it to stop
here. But, it did and it was supported
into the close, right? So, that's why it
makes it a significant level for me.
Yes. Can I be more scientific and say
that, oh, the highest bar was here on
that profile thing? I just haven't found
that to be a better tool than my eyes.
Uh when it comes to a 10 or 15 minute
chart, that's why I use uh I don't use
it.
Uh from Mojo says, "Our stops expect to
be hit below this level? Level seems
obvious, but with tight stops attempt is
reasonable." I think uh that's almost
the point. The level is obvious and we
actually get an undercut and rally of
that level on that day that you bought
uh you know into that level and
rebounding up from it. Um so Ry, I don't
know if you want to answer that. Uh,
additionally, yeah. So, so what I'm
trying to say is, you know, we're not
trying to nail the absolute low here.
What's what what I'm trying to say is I
can define my risk really, really well,
and I have a zone I can operate in. And
if I can operate in this zone, and if it
breaks this lower, you know, level and
goes to the downside, I know where I'm
getting out at. So, could have, it could
have done this, you know, the lower wick
could have been that low. Uh, you know,
that it would have been that low. maybe
I would have would have not been in the
trade or got stopped out. But more often
than not, again, there's no absolutes.
There's not there's not a lottery. It's
it's it's not a definitive, you know,
1,000% of the time this is going to
happen. But with, you know, this is what
I've observed with when you have the
highest volume ever IPO in a year, more
often than not, it will define a clear
level of support and which is what we
call volume support on that name.
Perfect.
All right. So, next up we've got the
high volume close. Ryder, you want to
start this one?
Yeah. So, the high volume close is a,
you know, it it's it's now quite popular
in terms of entry tactics. So,
essentially, you know, we're looking for
the high volume edge. That's the first
step. So, that's this first bar. And
that close becomes of significance
uh as an entry tactic. I don't like it
to be my primary, you know, my first way
to to enter a stock that's, you know,
shown the highest volume edge. Uh it's
one of the second or third ways I like
to enter a name so that I can, you know,
still define my risk quite well. So the
entry is essentially at the close of the
the high volume day or the highest
volume, you know, where the catalyst
happened. the day that it moves above
it, you could place your stop uh you
know, right under underneath the the low
of that prior day. And that's what
people call HVC. Uh again, I for me,
it's not one of my primary entry tactics
when it comes to gappers. It's one of
the ones that I will use if there's
nothing else the stock is giving me. So,
uh I like the whole number support. I
like the volume support uh to play out
and those entries I found to be much
better than the HBC. But if all else
fails and I still you know can't find an
entry and I see momentum in that name
and the market cycle you know still
quite young uh the group is good
everything else is checking out then yes
I will take an entry at the uh the high
volume close which is the close of this
particular day and it becomes a key
area. This is a daily chart by for
everybody. Yeah. Yeah, this is again on
the on the daily chart uh when it comes
to this. So these are these are setups
what we're talking about now are setups
that happen after the high volume gap up
day. So after you identify this, you can
scan for this really easily. We've got
scans in DPU to find these days. These
are all setups that you can use after
the fact to participate in the trend and
momentum moves that these gappers often
are the start of. Um, and then here
we've got an example where we actually
fail the HVC, which can happen.
Obviously, want to manage your risk
tightly and it forms more of a a range
here under HVC and we've got kind of a
delayed HVC uh rally here, breakout
through uh and then this time it works.
So, that's another way that you can do
it. Managing your risk right at the low
of the day here within a few percent.
Um, Ryan, anything you want to add uh
before we move on from from this slide?
No, I think it's good. So, this is an
example. This is a Tesla uh back in
2019. This is a classic one. We had the
HV1 and then the next day we went
through that close. This is the HVC
entry right here and actually had
another HV1. So, extremely powerful.
Tells you that that setup is likely
going to work. And from that point on,
we participated in a trend. This
actually went parabolic into the 2020
correction. So this is a great example
of HVC here and uh really big volume on
HV1 the first day and then even bigger
volume the next day. Uh this is an
example with Docuine. It actually gave
you two two days to uh to try the the
HVC here uh through these pivots and
this led to a nice move into the end of
2019 and then obviously this was a big
winner in 2020 as well and this kind of
started from a nice I think 40% move
from the HVC entry. Next up, we've got
ELF. And I wanted to put this chart on
just to show the power of the HVC. And
uh you know, there's so many
coincidences where a stock will will put
in a huge volume move, gap up on
earnings, uh trend a while, and then
pull back right to the HVC. And if you
you mark up every HVC on the ELF chart,
uh every single time almost it retested,
it bounced there and kept on moving. So,
um, definitely a really good example to
study here, uh, with ELF during its
trend in 2022 through 2023. Uh, here
we've got ASU um, and Ry, I want to hear
your thoughts on this chart, but here
we've got, uh, the HVE on the
partnership announcement as well as
earnings. And the next day, it doesn't
quite give an entry. I think it pulls
back into the HVC and moves higher. But
after that, it forms a range right
against there and finds support right at
that area and sets up a nice range and
then rallies. And then later on we get a
continuation another HVE on another
partnership announcement forms a tight
range and then this breakout from this
HVC led to a nice move and this
obviously formed high tight flags and
and went crazy last year as well. But
Ryan, anything you want to add on on
this example or any of the prior
ones? Yeah. So the biggest thing here is
like you identify that the stock has now
had a significant move u on volume which
makes it special. Uh you'll notice as
you track a lot of these HVs that when
they happen around that, you know, $5
mark and the seven and a half, those are
the most powerful ones and in terms of
how they act and some of them, you know,
you'll be very early to pick them up cuz
people start talking about them in the
teens, but they're, you know, something
has drastically happened uh at the lower
price range, especially the 7.5 and the
five. Um I think you know with the with
respect to
as higher position sizing here was you
know easier to do than it was over here
if you missed that initial day right
it's tough to get this particular entry
spot where it comes back in and then
does an expectation breaker cuz you're
expecting it to undercut uh the HVC or
go sideways or lower but then it you
know rallies up above the prior days
high unless you caught this type of type
of move or you were antic anticipating a
pullback. I think this, you know, was an
easier entry area when it came to uh
this particular stock. Again, um making
progress in the market is all about
defining risk. If you missed it here,
it's fine. If I position size higher uh
and better over here, I could still
capture the move uh on this particular
name. And if I miss this one, I'm still
tracking it to see if this can give me
another move or a really uh nice risk uh
reward area for me to enter that name.
So, uh the key the key here is, you
know, when these things happen, you
focus in on them because there's a
reason, you know, volume is showing up,
people are participating, and there's
an, you know, the catalyst that Richard
highlighted is significant enough for
this one. It went crazy like even after
this particular gap it kept going. So,
yep. Perfect. We've got one more
example. This is uh root and this
actually uses the high as the pivot
because this is kind of a variation that
might be worth mentioning. Ry, if you
want to discuss that.
Yeah, this one's the same thing again.
Yeah, you got to know the catalyst that
that is happening here. This one will
force you like these this particular
momentum name forces you to use the HVC.
uh maybe the volume support has u may
have been closer to you know a little
bit lower. It doesn't give you that. So
what I tend to do is when you know when
these happen and I know that volume
significant enough and something's
happened in that name for me to track. I
boxed it in. You know I look at the
closest whole number as a potential
entry area. I look at the volume support
zone. I'll draw those out on that
particular day and I'll draw the HBC and
the high of the day. And then depending
on that next day and the action that we
are where we are in the market cycle uh
is momentum just starting to pick up and
is risk appetite for you know for these
type of names high in the markets then
according to the situation and where we
are in the market cycle that also
dictates which entry tactic you're
picking right in a market where
breakouts are failing and strength is
being faded it's hard to go and buy HVC
because you know that you're going to
get burned on that. In a in a market
where pullbacks are working, volume
support and whole number entry areas
work a lot better than uh than trying to
you know get into things that are uh
moving above prior days highs. Uh but
this one in this case like you know
exactly what Richard said this is a
prior significant area. There's a you
can call this a base but I think you
know whatever happened here this is not
a base. this is just a company that was
rotten uh and something happened here
where it came out of the woods and now
you know something's completely reset
this chart right so that makes it you
know a lot of folks that were maybe you
know shorts that were caught or whatever
the case might be caused this momentum
uh to the upside but what I want to
emphasize is a lot of traders say hey
these gap ups don't work uh and that's
usually a mechanism of we're late in the
market cycle we we'll have a whole
webinar on market cycle in this series,
everything and you know, every entry
tactic that you're taking will somehow
or some way tie into where we are in the
market cycle, right? If if we're late in
the market cycle and we're seeing gap
ups in a in an earnings season, those
gap ups usually fade because risk
appetite's already, you know, the last
30 days we were in an upcycle. there's
no more risk appetite that you know
there's no more uh exposure that you
know big firms want to take on at these
multiples when we've been trending for
the past 30 days whereas when we hit a
earnings cycle and the the market cycle
is just starting to pick up you'll see a
lot of gappers go up you know gap up and
go 30%. So, we'll get into the depths of
it, but what what I'm trying to get at
is the entry tactic that you pick h will
always work best when you correlate it
with the market cycle as well. So, that
will be a topic of discussion in future
webinars. Perfect.
All right. The next entry tactic we're
going to talk about um is basically the
consolidation pivot entry tactic, the
range breakout that we talked about up
the right hand side of a base, but after
a big gap. So often a stock might pause
for a little bit and set up a nice
range. And that's kind of my ideal way
actually to trade these gappers is we
have a nice move up, it consolidates
tightly, shows support, tightens, forms
a clear pivot, and then entering as it
breaks through that pivot, managing risk
right at that low of the day is kind of
my ideal way to trade um the these
gappers. Uh here's an example with ALAB.
We had a nice gapper here. It pulled
back pretty hard. I set a pivot right
here. I added on this. They already had
a position uh but you know I added on
this day pushed higher and then even
after it moved higher after this range
it set up another range breakout right
in this area. Two tight days R&V going
to zero right before this really nice
reconfirmation. So it can be subtle but
often after a gap up here there'll be a
pause a range that forms a pullback and
then it rallies and reconfirms higher
and really starts that trend after that
gap uh gap move. Uh here's Reddit. I
added on this one as well. or had a
position before this gap gap up showing
a lot of strength here. Pull back,
gradual pullback. This is the clear
pivot added on this day and then even
after it pushed up, it tightened up
again against the 10 EMA and reconfirmed
higher. Um, and you know, you'll see
constructive gaps do this is move up,
tighten, move up, tighten uh as they
continue to trend above all the moving
averages. Here's an example with Tesla
back in 2013. Actually, this was uh a
catalyst based on their first ever
reported quarterly profit. And this was
gapping out of a I think 2-year base.
So, a massive consolidation,
game-changing catalyst, big gap up, and
you might expect it to go immediately.
But instead, it pulls back hard. Uh
breaks all the hearts of people who
bought on this day. And then what does
it do? It sets up a nice tight range
against the 10 EMA. Clear line of
resistance here. This is the post gap up
range breakout by here. And then I think
this went up 200 250% in a matter of a
few months. So a really nice historical
example here and a good example of a
gamechanging catalyst as well, which is
always what we look for with uh the
gapper setup. Again, we're not look
trading any old gap. We're trying to
trade a gap that changes the way
institutions are valuing a company or
see future earnings growth or revenue
growth. and uh you know proving to the
market that it can be profitable is that
type of gamechanging catalyst that we're
trying to focus in on. Um this example
of Tesla uh later we already talked
about this actually but this is a
example from the trader handbook the
model book chapter. So, if you want a
sneak preview of the chapter 12 of the
model book uh of of the handbook, this
is one and this kind of breaks down um
this HV1 which I already talked about
the HVC right here, but also several
range breakout opportunities after that
gap up. Uh so, that's a good example
there. Um Ry, anything you want to add
on post gap up ranges um or any of these
examples? I can I can go back and cycle
through any of them.
No, I think uh that was good. All right.
So, getting a little bit into trade
execution, you know, we've talked a lot
about entry tactics. We've, you know,
identified a bunch of pivots, um,
different ways to enter a stock, but how
do we actually get ready to execute a
trade? Uh, this is kind of my personal
process here that I lay out. Uh, first,
of course, we're focusing on promising
setups and leading themes, showing many
edges. Again, we want to be really
clear. We're only looking for entry
tactics in a promising stock in an
overall strong setup. Uh then I like to
narrow down my focus list to one to four
stocks based on the readiness and
quality. So how tight are they? Are they
part of a leading theme? Is the market
cycle right? Um you know are they
showing uh are they primed with an
inside day or upside reversal? Uh all
those different qualities are something
I take into account. Uh and these are
some other things. Theme, relative
strength, tightness of the setup, uh
number of edges. And then what I like to
do if this is kind of pre-market um and
you don't see this bar, this is kind of
the the current bar. If this is
pre-market, I like to set an alert in
DFW below the pivot about 0.5% below the
pivot. So as the stock approaches that
pivot, I'm basically notified and I have
time to analyze the setup a little bit
more and you know do last final checks
to see if I want to take the trade or
not. So setting that early alert I think
is really critical. Um, then I always
check um, you know, do I have the
capability to add a position, check my
risk management. Um, can I set a tight
and logical stop-loss? Uh, then I prep
my order as it's approaching the pivot
after I'm notified by uh, this early
alert and then I enter if everything
looks good and it breaks through that
pivot. So, that's kind of my standard
process for trade execution. Um, setting
my stop right after I place my order or
often, you know, in IBR, I can actually
place my stop right with my buy order.
So, I do that right away. And usually my
stop 90 97.5% of the time is at the low
of the day right here. Uh is kind of how
I like to trade these these range
breakouts. Uh Ry, anything you want to
add on trade execution or kind of your
process for uh for for thinking about
actually entering a trade?
No, I I think um you know you have to
take everything in context. Um there's a
time frame and you know a situation
where these will work uh and you know
the the the risk appetite of the market
will dictate much of uh what happens
when you place a trade right so we'll
get into the depths of how do we um what
we covered today is the framework side
of things and how to think of a pattern
that forms after you see an edge a setup
form which which is a base or
consolidation and then how do you enter
that name and where do you place your
stop-loss uh within that entry tactic?
So I I know a lot of folks in the
comments are very eager to get to the
next topics that we will cover in future
webinars, but look at these as building
blocks towards that. And then we'll get
into, you know, when is the best time to
get into the markets? When is the best
time to step out? How do we build a
framework around, you know, when are
when is our exposure supposed to be 80%
or higher or when it's supposed to be
10% or lower, right? So we we'll get
into many many many of these things that
will all you know over the next 10 uh
webinars everything will tie together
but look at this as a building block
towards that and by the end of the 10 I
think you'll have a full system uh which
is why you know we're saying at the you
know these 10 webinars and the book will
allow you to build a full trading
system. Yep. And we've got a surprise
giveaway for everybody watching. If you
scan and tweet out a message, which is
basically you're you're attending these
webinars and recommend it to others. So,
if you found this helpful, go ahead and
do this. Uh I'll be DMing everybody who
does that today uh with a $50 gift card
to Trader Lion as you'll be able to use
that on any master class. And I'll be
choosing one person who does that today.
Uh they'll they'll be selected to win a
Trader Line master class of their
choice, whether that's with Oliver Kell,
Stan Weinstein, uh whatever master class
you'd like. You can go ahead and enter
to win by scanning this. And I just want
to emphasize what Ry said. Um each of
the webinars, the purpose of these
webinars is to go along and uh
complement the book because each chapter
of the book is designed to cover one
aspect of building a trading system.
We've talked about laying the foundation
uh analyzing price and volume. We've
talked about uh mindset psychology,
identifying your stage. We've talked
about edges and setups in the previous
webinar. This one the focus is on entry
tactics which builds up on the edges
incentives webinar and in the future
we're going to cover risk management
sell rules post trade analysis writing
trading rules um you know building a
model book finding new edges the the
book and also these webinars are
designed to help you build a full
trading system and hopefully it's been
very valuable to to you guys and
hopefully you guys show up to each
webinar and and find a lot of value in
it uh so we can speed up your learning
curves. Um, so that is uh the QR code.
Definitely scan that and uh you know
help support this resource that we're
building and we we'd be incredibly
appreciative and I'll be DMing you guys,
everybody who participates a $50 gift
card. Um, so this is the end. We'll
pause for a little bit of questions. Uh,
but first I want to say, you know, if
you found this video helpful, this
webinar helpful, uh, and are enjoying
this overall series, definitely go ahead
and order your copy of the traders
handbook. We had a few people who
ordered two, so that's awesome. That's
even better. Uh but basically everything
we talk about in these webinars is
expanded upon and gives more examples in
the book itself. And chapter 12 of this
handbook is a full 200 plus page
annotated model book of the biggest
winners. So all the concepts that we're
talking about edges, setups, entry
tactics, you can you know look and
analyze examples for yourself by
studying the greatest winners of all
time. And we've made that really easy by
including it in the book in chapter 12.
So, if you enjoy this webinar,
definitely go ahead and order your copy.
Um, and uh, with that, let's see if
there's any key questions. Uh, Ry,
anything else you want to mention about
the book or or this these webinar
series? Who is going to be voicing the
audio book was one of the questions?
Yeah, we're still deciding. We're still
deciding. Yeah.
Um, no, I don't see any questions. Um, I
think, you know, the most important is
make sure you join the next one. It's a
series. If you haven't watched the
previous ones, we'll link them in the
chat and also the description of this
video. Uh if you guys have questions
after the fact and you're watching this,
you know, after we finished, we're more
than happy to answer those. Uh do share
this with anyone that you think uh can
benefit from it. I think, you know, now
is the best time to learn with the
current market conditions. We're
officially in that bare market from a
technical definition perspective, which
is, you know, gives you ample time to
build a full system. Look at your
previous runs. what you've done in terms
of trading uh post trade analysis. Look
at your edges, entry tactics, setups, um
and all of that it you know the while
the market figures it out. So this kind
of environment doesn't uh really benefit
or you know provide an edge to longs or
shorts cuz the volatility is going to be
insane. So that's even more of a reason
to double down on just studying what
you've done uh you know in the past and
also adding more to your game so that
you can get infinitely better. Yeah.
Perfect. And there will be a digital
copy. I think you can order the Kindle
copy right now. Uh so if you go ahead
and scan this QR code, you can order the
the hard copy as well as Kindle and also
the audiobook as well. Um I actually
like to buy the audiobook version and a
hard copy. And I like to read it while I
I know this is crazy. I like to read it
while listening to audiobook, but that's
just me. Uh it helps me uh you know,
learn faster. So definitely go ahead and
order that if you haven't already. And
uh with that, I think we can end today.
So thank you guys all for tuning in.
really appreciate you guys spending some
of your Saturday here with us. Hopefully
it's been helpful to you guys. Um I I
have a ton of fun doing these and it's
great to to see all your guys great
questions and thoughts and feedback. Uh
so definitely appreciate it. If you're
watching this um in the future the
recording um if you have any questions,
leave it in the comment section. Um and
with that, I think we can pretty much
end it. So thank you guys all for for
your time and and your attention.
Definitely appreciate it.
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