0:02 In 2021, I watched over a million
0:04 dollars vanish because I didn't have a
0:08 proper plan to exit the market. In 2024,
0:10 I also roundt a significant amount
0:12 again. Although I did better that year
0:16 than 2021, I still didn't maximize my
0:18 gains. So today, I'm going to show you
0:20 the exact framework that I'm using this
0:22 time around to actually lock in my gains
0:24 this cycle. Because everyone talks about
0:26 when you should buy, but for some reason
0:28 there's this stigma about when you
0:29 should sell. Even though that's such an
0:32 important concept to master in crypto,
0:34 in markets in general, it's not about
0:36 what you make, it's about what you
0:37 actually keep. At the end of the day,
0:39 that's the only number that ends up
0:42 mattering. So, I did an exit plan video
0:45 a few months ago, but I wanted to do an
0:47 updated version today because a lot has
0:49 changed. We've had a significant runup
0:52 on Ethereum, Bitcoin, altcoins, and also
0:55 my thinking around my exit strategy has
0:57 also slightly changed. In fact, I'm
0:59 already starting to implement some of
1:01 the stuff that I spoke about in last
1:04 video. So, I thought I'd do an updated
1:07 full strategy for you today to help you
1:09 make sure that you lock in your profits
1:10 this cycle. So before I give you the
1:12 exact exit plan, let's firstly talk
1:14 about some of my mistakes in the past.
1:17 The first mistake was last cycle I got
1:19 attached to arbitrary numbers. So I was
1:21 obsessed with the thought of Bitcoin
1:23 going to $80,000. Now of course it went
1:26 to $69,000 and because I had this price
1:28 target in my head, I didn't actually
1:30 sell even though some of the top signals
1:32 were starting to emerge in the market.
1:34 But ultimately the market didn't care
1:35 about my number. It didn't care that I
1:38 was 10k off my price target. So
1:39 naturally, I fell short and ended up
1:42 roundtpping a lot of my gains. And it's
1:44 the same for your portfolio amounts as
1:47 well. If you're targeting a $50,000
1:50 portfolio, but you get to 47K, well, the
1:52 market could easily roundtrip before you
1:54 have the possibility of actually hitting
1:56 your price target, which makes price
1:58 targets in crypto not a very effective
2:01 strategy in my opinion. This time
2:02 around, I'm taking my learnings from
2:05 2021 where I became a millionaire and
2:07 then ended up roundtpping back down to a
2:10 couple hundredk and my lessons from 2024
2:11 where I've had multiple big losses which
2:13 are publicly documented. One was 1.7
2:15 million, another one was a few million.
2:17 And I'm combining all of these lessons
2:19 with the current meta in the cycle and
2:21 I've used this to put together today's
2:22 strategy. Now, before we get into the
2:24 strategy, I want to let you know that I
2:27 have a free Telegram in the description
2:28 below that I'll be using to update you
2:30 dayto-day because I understand some
2:32 people could be watching this framework
2:34 in weeks or months from now. And the
2:36 market changes every day. So, when there
2:38 are times where I decide to derisk a
2:39 portion of my portfolio, I'll be letting
2:41 you know there in a time-sensitive
2:43 manner. For example, yesterday I took
2:45 some profits on my portfolio. I went
2:46 into the Telegram and updated you guys
2:48 on that kind of stuff. So, when some of
2:50 my exit triggers from today's video
2:52 actually hit, this video is a great
2:54 overall framework. But for the actual
2:56 signal, you want to be in my Telegram
2:58 and it's free. So, you can join in the
2:59 description below and come be a part of
3:01 that community. I do daily market
3:03 updates every single day with just the
3:04 most important stuff because there's so
3:06 much noise in the market, so many
3:07 YouTube channels, so many X accounts. I
3:09 wanted to distill down the information
3:11 to make sure that you have a very clean
3:13 signal in the market. Now, let's get
3:15 into my plan. The first part of my plan
3:18 uh isn't really an exit clause, but it's
3:20 the foundation for how I'm laying out my
3:22 portfolio. And because I've laid it out
3:24 this way, it makes it a lot easier to
3:26 manage risk. And this is the two
3:29 portfolio system. So, I don't treat my
3:30 portfolio as one. I know a lot of people
3:32 just have this big portfolio that they
3:34 buy and hold and they chop in and out of
3:36 positions within a portfolio. But I
3:37 don't believe this is the correct mental
3:39 framework because it leads to
3:41 overtrading and it can also conversely
3:43 lead to overholding. What I do is I
3:45 split my portfolio up. 50% of my
3:48 portfolio is in long-term positions.
3:51 These are positions like Bitcoin,
3:53 Ethereum, Chain Link, Salana,
3:56 Hyperlquid, TAL that I'm pretty sure are
3:58 going to be here for many years or many
4:00 cycles. They've proven product market
4:02 fit. They've proven attention and mind
4:04 share and they have a big enough
4:06 solidified community that they can be
4:08 here for many years time. Now, that
4:10 doesn't mean that I won't take profits
4:12 on these assets. If Bitcoin goes crazy,
4:13 and we'll talk about some of the
4:15 triggers later in this video, then
4:16 obviously I'll want to take some profits
4:18 on my Bitcoin. If ETH goes crazy, I want
4:19 to take profits. If Chain Link goes
4:21 crazy, I want to take some profits. So,
4:23 just cuz it's a long-term portfolio
4:25 doesn't mean I'm completely absolving
4:27 myself for profit taking. I'm still
4:29 going to take profits, but it is a
4:31 long-term portfolio. So, my goal is to
4:33 continue to grow this over time. So,
4:35 there'll be periods where I cycle out,
4:37 but I won't be ever fully cycled out of
4:38 those positions cuz you also don't know
4:40 how high they can go. Bitcoin can give
4:42 you a fake out. One of your exit
4:44 triggers could hit, but you never know.
4:45 The market could have another catalyst
4:47 to keep going up. Some new legislation
4:49 or money printing or some risk on
4:51 catalyst could hit the market and then
4:53 you can instantly, you know, be priced
4:54 out of your position. So, I think it's
4:56 important to keep some exposure longterm
4:58 no matter what happens, especially in
5:00 assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The
5:02 other 50% of my portfolio is short-term.
5:05 So, my short-term portfolio is where the
5:08 majority of my DGEN stuff is housed. So
5:10 any altcoin trades, short to midterm,
5:12 even any altcoins period that I'm
5:14 holding, I probably have in my
5:16 short-term portfolio unless they're the
5:18 big cap ones because the majority of
5:20 these, they're great to make money while
5:22 the cycle's hot. But even if the asset
5:23 has product market fit, you probably
5:25 still want to exit. I'll use ENA and
5:27 Pangu as examples. Like these assets,
5:29 which I've recently added and are doing
5:31 quite well for me, but I still don't
5:33 think I want to hold Athena or Pangu for
5:35 multi multi years. Maybe there's a
5:37 chance I would hold on to a little bit
5:39 of my penu if it really exhibits product
5:41 market fit and I start to see the brand
5:42 growing bigger and bigger and bigger.
5:44 But I still think even still in a bare
5:46 market would probably get hit by 80 or
5:48 90%. So I think a good framework to have
5:50 is operate on the base case that every
5:52 altcoin is going to go to zero. Anything
5:55 better than that is a bonus. operating
5:57 on the base case that altcoins are going
5:59 to go to zero means that you are
6:01 hardwired to actually look at taking
6:03 profits or selling those positions as
6:05 opposed to bag holding them. So in the
6:07 shortterm portion of my portfolio, my
6:09 plan is to exit as much as possible. Now
6:11 I'm never going to time the exact top
6:13 and just like you'll never time the
6:15 exact bottom in the market either, but
6:17 my plan is to be a lot more aggressive
6:19 with my profit taking in that 50%. And
6:21 out of that 50%, usually I'll keep
6:23 roughly half in stables at times a
6:25 little bit more and then I'll cycle into
6:26 high conviction trades when I see an
6:28 opportunity in the market and then I'll
6:29 aggressively take profits back into
6:31 stables and I'll kind of play around
6:33 with that portfolio a little bit more. I
6:34 think the problem with most retail
6:36 investors is that they treat their
6:38 entire portfolio as like my swing
6:40 trading portfolio. So they'll chop in
6:41 and out of their Bitcoin, in and out of
6:43 their ETH, in and out of their soul. I
6:44 think you should be able to do that if
6:46 you have an edge in the market. But just
6:48 by splitting them up and running a dual
6:50 two portfolio system, I at least have
6:52 some sort of mental and visual
6:54 separation over my portfolio so I don't
6:55 get confused. Pro tip, you can also
6:58 break down some positions into each
6:59 portfolio. For example, you can have
7:01 some Bitcoin exposure in your short-term
7:03 portfolio and then you can have some
7:05 Bitcoin exposure in your long-term
7:06 portfolio. Like there are some ads
7:08 recently that have publicly made like
7:11 Bitcoin at around $111 to $112,000. that
7:13 position is more of a swing trading
7:15 position. So, I'm holding that to the
7:17 new break and the eventual all-time
7:18 high. I'm not holding that forever.
7:20 Whereas, I have another Bitcoin position
7:23 which I bought for, I think, 52,000 and
7:25 then again at 78,000. And my plan is to
7:27 hold that pretty much forever. So, I
7:29 also differentiate even between one
7:30 asset. And you could do the same for
7:32 Salana. You could have a little bit of
7:34 soul that you keep forever or, you know,
7:36 intend to keep for longer and then have
7:37 a little bit of soul that you're willing
7:39 to trade in and out of based purely on
7:41 the charts. So, how do we actually take
7:42 profit? Now, we've discussed how I'm
7:44 setting up my portfolio. How do you
7:45 actually sell? So, the first point I
7:47 want to make is in the short-term
7:49 portion of my portfolio, I'm selling all
7:51 the time. You know, every time there's a
7:52 bit of strength or, you know, a crazy
7:54 pump, I'm looking to cycle profits back
7:56 into stable coins because there's always
7:58 another opportunity around the corner. I
7:59 don't really have FOMO in the crypto
8:02 market anymore because I know on a daily
8:04 basis, on a weekly basis, because I'm so
8:05 plugged into the market, that there's
8:07 always going to be a new opportunity.
8:09 So, I'm often happy to actually sit
8:10 heavier in stable coins and just wait
8:12 for an opportunity because that
8:14 liquidity is extremely valuable when an
8:15 opportunity comes. Now, you might make
8:17 the argument, oh, what if the market
8:19 just rips to the upside and your side
8:20 line heavier in stable coins? Of course,
8:22 that is a risk you take if you play that
8:24 game. However, if the market does pump
8:26 and if the market does break out, that
8:27 means conditions are bullish. That means
8:28 there are even more opportunities to
8:30 profit. So if you're missing a lot of
8:32 opportunities, that means that there are
8:34 a lot of opportunities flowing around
8:35 you, which means there are more
8:37 opportunities that you can catch. So
8:39 having that mindset allows me to be a
8:40 little bit more comfortable when maybe
8:42 I'm not fully exposed, but the market's
8:43 ripping. I have more liquidity to take
8:45 advantage. And then you'll see, you
8:46 know, a big leverage flush. Now that I
8:48 actually have money during the dip,
8:49 everyone else is panicking. I can go in
8:52 and I can bid on that flush and get a
8:54 pretty quick reversal trade, which is a
8:55 very profitable strategy in a bull
8:57 market. But if you're fully invested,
8:58 you can't take advantage of those
8:59 opportunities cuz you, you know, if you
9:01 don't have any liquidity, how can you
9:02 have limit orders set? So, honestly, at
9:04 this stage in the cycle, I'm sitting
9:06 around 50% stable coins. I'm going to
9:08 explain later in the video exactly why
9:10 I'm doing that because I think people
9:12 that are too overexposed right now, like
9:14 above 80% in terms of their crypto
9:16 holdings versus stables, I think you're
9:18 missing a very key factor about the
9:19 cycle, which I'm going to get into. So,
9:21 in terms of taking profit, I'm always
9:23 looking to incrementally lad out as an
9:25 asset goes up. Now, what you can do is
9:28 for a specific altcoin, actually have a
9:29 lading system. And this often happens
9:30 when you buy the asset. If you haven't
9:32 done it, that's fine. You can do it
9:34 retroactively now, but it's best to do
9:35 when you buy an asset. So, let's say you
9:37 buy an asset at a dollar, you would have
9:38 predetermined levels where you take
9:40 percentage profits out. So, if that
9:43 altcoin hits 120, I take 20%. If it hits
9:45 150, I take another 20%. If it hits $2,
9:47 I take another 20%. And this can be
9:49 based on resistance on the chart or it
9:51 can simply be based on a predetermined
9:53 percentage level based on the riskiness
9:55 of the altcoin. Obviously, a risky low
9:56 cap meme coin, you're not going to be
10:00 taking money out every 10 or 20%. You
10:01 might take your initials out at a 2x and
10:03 then at another 2x cuz it's low market
10:05 cap, it should go up more. You can be
10:06 more aggressive with your profit taking.
10:08 Take 50% of your position every time it
10:10 doubles. Whereas an asset like Salana,
10:12 clearly it's not going to double as
10:13 readily. It might double once for the
10:15 cycle, but it probably won't double
10:16 beyond that. If it does, it means we're
10:18 in a crazy old teaser. It means we're
10:19 making a lot of money, but it probably
10:21 won't double. That's the first thing.
10:23 So, as an asset goes up, ladder out. The
10:24 second thing you want to do is you want
10:26 to have an invalidation clause to the
10:28 downside. And this is very powerful
10:29 because this is essentially how you're
10:31 going to protect yourself against bag
10:33 holding throughout a bare market. So,
10:35 just as you have a ladder out planned to
10:36 the upside, you should also have one to
10:39 the downside. What I do is I have a
10:40 predetermined high time frame level
10:42 that's significant on the chart combined
10:44 with a momentum indicator. So, it could
10:46 be the 200 day moving average, which is
10:48 a great one, or as a higher time frame
10:50 confirmation, a weekly moving average,
10:52 and I will have a clause where I sell a
10:54 percentage, so let's say 50% of my
10:56 Salana if it drops below the 200 day
10:58 moving average for 3 days in a row,
10:59 something like that. That's protection
11:02 against the momentum of an asset souring
11:04 cuz I don't want to be on the wrong side
11:07 of an asset when it starts to downturn.
11:09 So, I think the proper exit strategy in
11:10 the market for altcoins isn't a blanket
11:12 approach like when it hits this amount,
11:13 sell everything. It's a combined
11:15 approach. It's okay. As it's going up,
11:17 you lad out slowly. You go into stables.
11:18 Pro tip, actually go into fiat because
11:20 it's harder to on ramp than off ramp.
11:21 Again, if you keep your stables in a
11:22 brokerage, you're going to end up
11:24 gambling it again. Keep a little bit for
11:26 limit orders and stink bits, but don't
11:27 gamble it again. And then the second
11:29 thing you want to do is have the
11:31 invalidation clauses to the downside.
11:33 It's even better if you've predetermined
11:34 these when you enter the trade, but even
11:36 if you haven't, you can retroactively
11:37 define key levels, high time frame
11:40 horizontals as well as momentum
11:41 indicators. And you can have a trigger
11:43 with both, by the way. Pick the one that
11:44 you like as long as you have something
11:46 in place. Something's better than
11:47 nothing, by the way, because most
11:48 retail, they don't even have any
11:50 awareness of this, right? They're buying
11:51 assets on their buy bit. They don't have
11:53 any sort of invalidation. They don't
11:54 have any sort of TP plan. So, they're
11:56 just going in blind. The very fact
11:57 you're watching this video, and even
11:58 better, if you actually act on this
12:00 video, you're already ahead of 99% of
12:02 people because 99% of people don't
12:04 manage risk absolutely at all. So, the
12:05 fact you're doing that is, I think, a
12:06 huge credit to you and you're going to
12:09 go a lot further than most people. Now,
12:11 final section, very important section,
12:13 how to approach the market right now.
12:15 So, I do believe we're mid to late stage
12:18 in the cycle. And that's purely based on
12:19 the fact that we've been running since
12:21 November 2022. We've pretty much been up
12:23 only. We've had dips, but we've been
12:24 going up for a long time on Bitcoin and
12:25 ETH. And, you know, doesn't matter what
12:27 you say, Bitcoin and ETH lead the
12:28 market, right? It's not the altcoins.
12:30 So, once they hit their cycle peak, once
12:32 they cool off, altcoins are obviously
12:33 going to get hit because they're more
12:35 reflexive. Good news is I still think
12:37 that there's more upside on Bitcoin and
12:39 Ethereum, but I do think it's late stage
12:41 in the sense that on Bitcoin you're
12:43 probably looking for that move from 120
12:46 to 140 150. And on Ethereum you might be
12:48 looking at 6 to 7K, but percentage- wise
12:50 that's much smaller than the run that's
12:52 already happened. Bitcoin from 15 to 120
12:54 and then Ethereum from $1,000 to local
12:57 peak 4700 4,800 almost. So they've
12:58 already done the majority of their
13:00 multiples by the way. So that's why
13:02 objectively we're mid to late stage
13:03 unless there was some sort of crazy
13:05 super cycle. Look, I'm all for it if
13:06 that happens. We make a lot more money
13:08 if that happens because we'll have
13:10 liquidity to trade it. But and you know
13:11 take advantage of opportunities that
13:13 arise because of it. But that's not my
13:14 base case. So my base case is that we're
13:17 mid to late stage vering on late stage.
13:19 And because of that I think it's very
13:21 important to reframe how you think about
13:23 risk. Now most people have it completely
13:25 wrong because the majority of gains are
13:27 made in the last stage of the cycle.
13:29 They take that as an excuse to risk more
13:31 of their capital. But what you have to
13:33 understand is that at the end of a
13:34 cycle, that's also the riskiest time to
13:36 trade and invest because volatility is
13:37 at its highest. And unless you're really
13:39 able to cope with that volatility and
13:41 you're a really seasoned trader, that's
13:43 the easiest time to get completely blown
13:44 out of the market because it's the
13:46 easiest time to get bad entries and it's
13:47 the easiest time, especially on
13:49 leverage, to get wrecked and wiped out
13:50 of the market. So, what you actually
13:52 should be doing is the opposite of what
13:54 your intuition says. If you think we're
13:56 late stage in the cycle and we're
13:57 heading to that blowoff stage, you
13:59 shouldn't have more capital risk. You
14:02 should actually risk less capital. But
14:04 to capitalize on the late stage of the
14:06 market, you should move up the risk
14:08 curve and get into riskier assets. So in
14:09 the beginning of a bull market, just
14:11 coming out of a bare market, you want to
14:14 be allocating more capital to safer
14:16 assets. For example, more of your
14:19 portfolio to Bitcoin or Ethereum. As you
14:21 move later in the cycle, you should be
14:23 allocating less of your capital
14:26 percentage-wise to riskier assets in the
14:27 market. So, you'll probably see me, if
14:29 you're following me on the channel, over
14:31 these next few months, degening a lot
14:32 more, getting into a lot more rubbish
14:35 trades, making a lot more risky moves.
14:37 But the huge caveat to that is I'm doing
14:39 it with less of my portfolio. As I
14:41 mentioned earlier, I have 50% of my
14:43 portfolio in stables. I I was publicly
14:46 at 20 to 30% 1 to 1 and a half years
14:48 ago. So that's been already a big shift
14:50 for me and I'll probably go even further
14:53 to 60 70 80% as we continue to progress
14:54 here and as Bitcoin and Ethereum goes
14:56 up. But what I'm doing with the
14:57 remainder of my portfolio is a lot
14:59 riskier. Implementing tactics on lower
15:02 cap altcoins, beta plays, etc. that I
15:04 simply didn't have to do earlier in the
15:06 cycle and probably wasn't optimal
15:08 earlier in the cycle from an allocation
15:09 perspective. So understanding that you
15:10 should be dialing down the risk at the
15:12 end of the cycle but upping the risk in
15:14 terms of assets you're allocating to I
15:15 think is the real key to succeeding in
15:17 the late stage of the cycle and this is
15:19 something that all the in all the best
15:21 investors do in the market and that
15:22 naturally as a byproduct of that
15:24 strategy forces you to hold more stables
15:27 which as I said exposes you to more
15:28 opportunity in the market when
15:30 opportunities do arise because you know
15:31 it's funny people think you don't need
15:33 liquidity in a bullish market but
15:34 bullish markets are actually when you
15:36 need the most liquidity because that's
15:38 where there's the most opportunity like
15:40 chain link last week a bit more than
15:41 last week actually almost two weeks ago
15:43 I took a big position on the breakout of
15:45 $19 right that was a key weekly level
15:47 which had finally reclaimed took a
15:49 position at $19 I didn't know that that
15:52 was going to break out one week earlier
15:54 I didn't factor that into my equations
15:56 at all I obviously had stable coins so I
15:58 knew when an opportunity did come up I
16:00 would use that to deploy but I didn't
16:02 know what that was one week later the
16:03 chain link trade got validated and I put
16:05 a significant amount of capital into it
16:07 and then it ran to I think it at its
16:10 local peak $26 which you know was a
16:11 great swing trade on a big spot
16:12 position. I also took a leverage
16:14 position as as well in tandem with it
16:16 under different variables. So that was
16:17 an amazing trade I didn't even know I
16:19 was going to hit that trade and next
16:20 week there could be another amazing
16:21 trade that I don't even know it's going
16:23 to come around. I don't know tomorrow
16:25 someone could text me an amazing low cap
16:26 that I didn't even know I was going to
16:27 do today. So I guess the thing with
16:29 crypto is that there's always another
16:30 opportunity and if you don't have
16:33 liquidity and a big amazing trade setup
16:34 aligns, how are you supposed to take
16:35 advantage of it? Well, the only way
16:37 would be to sell other coins potentially
16:39 at a suboptimal time to fund your new
16:41 trade. So, I'm not afraid at all to hold
16:43 more stables, and that's where this
16:45 whole dialing down the amount you're
16:48 deploying, but dialing up um the risk
16:50 curve uh strategy actually comes into
16:52 play. Remember, if you do want live
16:54 updates, so every single day with what
16:56 I'm doing and a basic overview of the
16:58 market to help you cut through the
16:59 noise, I'll leave a link in the
17:01 description below to my free Telegram.
17:02 Especially if you're watching this video
17:04 later or whenever you're watching it
17:05 really, that's going to be extremely
17:07 relevant because things may have changed
17:08 from recording this video. And I may
17:11 very well be implementing the plan and
17:12 the points that I've discussed today in
17:14 real time, whether it be deploying more
17:16 capital or whether it be actually
17:18 continuing to shift more into stables
17:19 progressively throughout the cycle. So,
17:21 if you want live updates on what I'm
17:22 doing, when I'm doing it, link in the
17:24 description below. Join the vault, which
17:26 is my private Telegram. It's free. And
17:27 I'll see you in the next one. Make sure
17:29 to subscribe for more content like this
17:32 if you do enjoy these style of videos.
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