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How To Make Money Sports Betting on Basketball | NBA Betting Tips! | Shane Huang | YouTubeToText
YouTube Transcript: How To Make Money Sports Betting on Basketball | NBA Betting Tips!
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Summary
Core Theme
The NBA offers significant profit potential for bettors through arbitrage and positive Expected Value (EV) strategies, primarily due to the high impact of individual player performance on game outcomes and the sheer volume of games played.
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in today's video I'll be talking about
how to make money betting on basketball
and predominantly the NBA the NBA is one
of the most profitable Sports when it
comes to positive EV and Arbitrage
betting for Sharp bets primarily because
of two reasons number one is the number
of games in a season and number two is
the effect of one particular player on
the outcome of the entire game
fundamentally Arbitrage and positive EV
bets exist because of Market
inefficiencies AKA Sportsbook mistakes
and I've explained how you can make
money off these in my other videos
bookmakers will generally offer markets
on nearly everything which team is going
to win the game how many total points
will there be but they also offer
markets on more obscure things such as
how many points a particular player will
score or things such as how many points
rebounds and assists a player will get
in basketball one of the biggest reasons
for a sports book or DFS platform to
make a mistake is because of a lineup
change basketball is the most
interconnected Sport and this means a
single player has a much greater impact
on every betting line offered for the
game compared to for example a sport
like baseball let's take a look at a
baseball example but you can think of
other sports as well in baseball let's
use Aaron judge who is a baseball star
but whether he is in the lineup or not
doesn't really impact other players hits
or RBI LS yes there will be an impact on
the money line which is which team will
win as it means it's more likely that
Aaron judge's team will win the game if
he's playing the lineup and there'll
also be some act in the spread and
totals markets but the difference in the
expected outcome if Aaron judge was in
the lineup compared to if there was his
replacement is significantly less than
if in basketball whether LeBron James
was in the lineup or whether it was his
replacement LeBron James affects every
facet of the game in basketball him
being injured or sitting out for load
management purposes moves a fair price
for every single line offered by Sports
books what this means is if LeBron James
is not in the lineup then that means
there are more shots for other players
on his team to take which naturally
leads to more points more assists and
more rebounds for other players to get
the style of play for their team in the
game changes dramatically frankly
everything changes for us as profitable
betters this is great news because it
means that the fair lines not just for
the money line in which team will win
will change but also for the different
markets such as other Player points and
assists some books will update their
lines faster than others once this
injury or load management situation is
announced and if you can act upon this
information fast enough there is
positive EV or Arbitrage opportunities
that come up because some sports books
will be too slow to update their fair
prices because of that injury or some
sports books could have just
overcorrected or undercorrected for that
change and therefore their prices are
completely off this would therefore lead
to Arbitrage and positive Eevee
opportunities as the markets move around
and prices change in response to this
news in the LeBron James example let's
say one sports book such as drkings is
slower than others to update their
prices for other players markets such as
another player on Lebron james' team
Anthony Davis to score over or under X
number of points in this case you would
be able to get in a positive EV bet by
betting on Anthony Davis over the number
of points because that price didn't
factor in that LeBron James is no longer
playing and therefore Anthony Davis is
actually more likely to get those number
of points
and you can turn this into an Arbitrage
bet by hedging on a Sportsbook that was
fast enough to update their odds and
therefore lock in a guaranteed profit
sometimes you can also do middle bets
which is a very lowrisk betting system
where you bet over on one side and under
on another side and for small loss or no
loss at all you make a lot of money if
it lands exactly in the middle of your
two numbers for example for close to
even odds you can get an NBA player over
14.5 points on one one sports book and
the other side of the bet is under 15.5
points on another sports book and this
means you'll win both bets if it lands
on exactly 15 and you make a lot of
money and if it doesn't land on 15 well
you win one bet and lose the other bet
and you lose a small amount of money or
sometimes no money at all so in this
case you win both bets if it lands on
exactly 15 points for that player and if
it lands on anything else say 16 or like
14 then you win exactly one bet and lose
the other bet and in that case you don't
make or lose any money at all so it's
basically a free roll now it's very
difficult to find these Arbitrage and
positive opportunities yourselves
because these lineup situations happen
fast and sports books are slow but they
aren't that slow in updating their odds
so if you are manually doing it it would
be pretty difficult and also there's so
many games to look out for that makes it
really impossible but one tool that lets
you find these bets relatively easily is
today's sponsor odds Jam which has
realtime odds scraping software that
scrapes the odds across hundred hundreds
of different markets across multiple
Sports books and therefore can easily
identify these sports book mistakes very
quickly as a result of these changes in
lineups and player injuries this saves
you time from having to look for
everything yourself which is very timec
consuming and realistically pretty
impossible and it also has the option to
give you instant email updates when bets
that you are filtering for do exist this
lets you get ahead of others who are
also looking for the same opportunities
and being first to place these bets is a
big Advantage as these Arbitrage bets
and positive e bets disappear very
quickly once bookies or Sports books get
a lot of volume being placed on them and
therefore they will shift their prices
back in line and as an added bonus you
can get 25% off your first month of odds
Jam if you want to check them out by
using the link in the description below
and using the code Shane at checkout in
basketball injuries and especially the
concept of load management which is a
systematic and often last minute
decision to bench star players to help
reduce their workload over the course of
a long and grueling season are very
common and therefore this creates very
drastic lineup and betting line changes
than practically any other sport out
there and the second reason that the NBA
is so profitable is there's 82 games
across a single season multipli that by
30 different teams comparing that with
something like the NFL which only has 17
games with 32 teams or the Premier
League which has 38 games in season with
only 20 teams we can clearly see that
there's a lot more games that exist in
the NBA this naturally means there's
more lines more markets and therefore
more Sportsbook mistakes for you to take
advantage of and make money in addition
to the regular season there's also the
playoffs which can go up to seven games
in the series versus the NFL for example
which are just single elimination games
this means there's just so much more
opportunity probably multiple games
across every day of the week and that
means there's more opportunity for daily
compounding of your bankroll and growing
your profits exponentially on each
Arbitrage or positive e bet you might
only make 1 to 4% 1 to 4% per day
doesn't sound like a lot but compared to
like the stock market which only gets 8%
per year on average this is now
significant this is a level of return
that is very very difficult to get
anywhere else other than from sports
betting as there's no real other
Financial mechanism that allows you to
have these compounding returns so easily
even let's say you make $5 a Time by
doing Arbitrage bedding that doesn't
sound like a lot but given that each
beted only takes a minute or two as
you're just bang bang pressing a couple
of buttons If you place 10 of these bets
a day that's $50 a day or over $18,000
per year which is really pretty good for
probably less than hours of work each
day making it an excellent side hustle
so there you have it that's the reason
why betting on the NBA and basketball in
general is just so profitable and as you
can see here pretty much all the
opportunities you will find are from the
NBA when it comes to Arbitrage and
positive EV betting as always hope you
guys enjoyed this video and learned
something useful take care and I'll see
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