0:06 So I'm going to go through something
0:08 very interesting right now which is a
0:11 new strategy but not totally new but
0:13 it's just a blend of what we've looked
0:16 at before and is options. Color is a
0:20 form of options but a combination of
0:23 options. So I call it option combo that
0:26 is just from me to for you to remember.
0:29 is a combo of options and I'm going to
0:30 show you how this works. Remember a
0:33 typical option in IRF. So we're looking
0:37 at color for interest rate futures.
0:39 Remember we've looked at options. In
0:40 fact, we've looked at interest rate
0:43 futures. We've looked at options on
0:45 interest rate futures. Now this is a
0:49 caller on interest rate futures.
0:53 And I'll explain but please follow me
0:56 slowly. Let me quickly take your mind
0:59 back to the last video where we spoke
1:02 about options on IRF. When we said for a borrower,
1:04 borrower,
1:08 this borrower is worried about something
1:18 interest rate.
1:21 That's his problem.
1:25 That is worried. So which means this guy
1:28 is saying that I don't want to pay more
1:31 than a certain amount of interest rate.
1:35 So because of that he put a cap. And how
1:37 will he put that cap? Usually he will
1:40 put a cap by
1:42 buying an option. And what type of
1:43 option do we agree? Because it's a
1:45 borrowing which means he wants to sell a
1:48 bond. So he will buy an option that is
1:51 called put. So he's going to buy put on
1:53 interest rate future.
1:56 So with this he has put a limit to
1:59 interest rate. So if interest rate goes
2:01 beyond this level
2:05 he's not worried. He's fine. And as it
2:07 is by the time interest rates start
2:12 coming down this guy has access to
2:14 to
2:18 this unlimited benefit.
2:21 So take for instance if he has fixed his
2:26 rate as say maybe the strike price is
2:32 10% here. If this goes to 7 8 5 3 2 can
2:34 throw away the option and just go to the
2:36 market and enjoy the full benefit
2:39 benefit of what the market is doing. He
2:42 has access to this and please take note.
2:44 Yes, access to unlimited benefit and you
2:47 can discard the option. But if the op if
2:50 the interest rate decides to go upward
2:54 as well, he can just limit his exposure
2:57 to that strike price and exercise. So
2:59 you know that here this guy will exercise.
3:02 exercise.
3:04 Yeah. To take care to use this particular
3:06 particular
3:08 rate. However,
3:13 at this place, you will not exercise.
3:14 And why will you not exercise? Because
3:17 you want to take the full benefit of the
3:19 spot rate, which is the market. Because
3:22 the market is favorable.
3:25 The same thing for deposit that is
3:27 worried about decreasing rate. What the
3:29 guy would do? So, let me just quickly do
3:32 that. For a deposit,
3:34 the guy is worried about decreasing
3:36 rate. So if he's worried about
3:39 decreasing rate, usually what he does is
3:41 he's going to buy an option as well. But
3:46 this time he's going to buy a floor
3:48 which is a call option and options to
3:52 sell because an investor to buy rather
3:54 is an option to buy because an investor
3:57 want to buy a bond. Yeah. So and what
3:59 does that mean? If he buys a bond, he
4:02 wants as much interest as possible. So
4:04 his fear is that he doesn't want
4:07 interest rate that is low. So because of
4:10 that he will buy a flaw. So this is a flaw
4:11 flaw
4:15 which means his own protection is
4:18 interest rate not coming down. So if
4:20 interest rate decides to come down he
4:22 will exercise because he has already
4:31 Yeah. Which means anything that goes up
4:35 here, the guy will be excited because if
4:38 the market is here more than his strike
4:42 price, it will exercise
4:45 cuz no it will not excine. So this will
4:47 not exercise because it will just take
4:48 care of the market. It will just go for
4:50 the market straight away. This is where
4:52 it will exercise. Yeah, it will not
4:55 exercise because this is the worst case.
4:58 Anything higher is good for him. So here
5:06 to that unlimited benefit
5:12 while also
5:15 fixing his loss.
5:17 That's his maximum loss that he has
5:19 fixed there.
5:22 Now this looks fantastic but there's a
5:25 disadvantage and that's why caller came
5:27 and the disadvantage is the fact that
5:31 you are always buying whether a call or
5:34 a put you are always buying and when you
5:44 So the disadvantage is that this might
5:53 and that's what gave rise to that
5:57 strategy to reduce premium. So to reduce
5:59 that premium
6:02 the color came up.
6:04 Want to reduce your premium then you
6:06 have to use a color strategy.
6:13 for color strategy. What this is saying
6:16 is that instead of you to always buy,
6:19 why don't you do two things? Yeah. Which
6:23 means yes, you buy your normal option
6:27 which means for borrowing buy your put
6:30 for deposit buy your car.
6:33 Yeah. So buy your normal option. Yeah.
6:36 And you buy your normal option. Yes. You
6:39 will pay your premium as normal.
6:42 But in addition, why don't you establish
6:44 a side contract on the opposite that you
6:47 are selling? So sell the opposite.
6:50 So you sell opposite
6:54 option. So which means for a borrower
6:58 that has sold I mean that has bought a
7:02 put as a normal option. Yeah, borrower
7:05 you have bought a put.
7:07 You come here on the opposite and do
7:10 what? sell a call at a different strike
7:14 price, definitely lower strike price.
7:15 You will see. I'm going to work an
7:18 example to show you in practical sense
7:20 how it works. Yeah. But remember, once
7:23 you sell an option, what do you get? You
7:32 Receive a premium. So which means if you
7:35 pay a premium and you receive a premium
7:38 then definitely you have reduced net premium
7:44 and that is color strategy. It has it
7:48 own disadvantage and as you will see in
7:51 the example I'm going to show you now
7:53 the problem is that when you use a
7:56 collar you will lose this maximum
7:58 access. You going to have a limited
8:00 access. You can have unlimited benefits
8:03 on the upside and that is disadvantage.
8:06 You are restricted.
8:11 You see how restricted to certain upside
8:25 and what what do I mean by that? Let's
8:28 let's use borrower for an example which
8:31 is a popular one even in question they
8:33 tend to ask for borrower more than
8:34 deposit but they can ask for deposit as
8:36 well. So normally what are we going to
8:38 do if you have a borrower? Borrower is
8:39 someone that want to borrow money
8:40 someone that wants to borrow money is
8:42 someone that wants to sell a bond. So if
8:46 you want to get interest rate futures it
8:48 will be interest rate futures to sell a
8:50 bond. So if you want option on that
8:53 that's an option to sell IRF and what is
9:05 So let's say for instance that is at uh
9:10 let's say at 7%.
9:13 So which means that is the cap for the
9:17 guy 7%. So this is the maximum interest
9:20 he will pay. the maximum interest expense
9:21 expense
9:23 will be because anything above that you
9:25 will exercise this option and it will
9:28 pay 7%. Right?
9:30 So with this one [clears throat]
9:34 this is a this is a put option that you
9:41 So you are long
9:43 on put option. What that means is that
9:46 uh you've bought remember terminologies.
9:50 So it means by you bought a put option
9:58 So you must have paid premium.
10:04 But at the same time to reduce this
10:08 premium then you need to come down
10:11 and set another level and say okay this
10:18 such that you're doing such that the
10:20 likelihood of the person exercising is
10:25 very slim because you know that
10:30 your upside normally without this 5%.
10:34 If you don't have this 5%
10:37 it means that the whole of this place
10:40 once the rate keeps coming down is just
10:41 for your benefit because you will just
10:45 ignore this 7%. And go with the market
10:47 by the time you decide to draw this line
10:49 and say you want to sell an option at
10:52 5%. Remember you have to sell an
10:54 opposite option which means you're going
10:58 to sell a call.
11:00 And I'm sure you know what that means.
11:04 Once you sell a call, yeah, say to party
11:07 B, you know what that means? It means that
11:09 that
11:13 you gave So if this is A, let's say this
11:16 is party A. Yeah. It means that A has
11:20 given a right to B, right?
11:21 right?
11:26 A has given a right to B, a right to
11:29 party B
11:32 to buy.
11:34 Remember is a call. So part B now has a
11:39 right to buy IRF.
11:44 Yeah. At what rate?
11:48 At 5%. So which means part B will
11:52 receive interest income inflow
11:54 at 5%.
11:58 So part party B is using this 5%
12:03 as its own worst case scenario. So which
12:07 means once the interest rate is above 5%
12:09 party B will not worry you and that is
12:12 why this portion
12:15 is your own limited
12:18 upside that you can have. So your upside
12:21 is limited to this spot as party A. So
12:25 this limited upside for party A.
12:27 Normally it would have been the whole of
12:31 this downward trend but because of this
12:33 transaction that's not the case because
12:39 anytime the interest rate is around here
12:41 but B will exercise
12:44 anytime so take for inance if interest
12:47 rate is 3%.
12:49 A cannot say he wants to do market at 3%.
12:51 3%.
12:52 He can't dict that benefit. Even if he
12:54 does it, let's even say he does it, you
12:56 will see how he's going to nail out. So
12:58 if you say he want to exercise which at
13:01 3%, so if a exercise at 3%, then he has
13:04 a benefit of 4%. That's 7 - 3, right?
13:06 But remember
13:09 what happens to party B. Party B has
13:11 already said my worst case scenario for
13:14 my income is 5%. So if Marcus is doing
13:16 3% then he's going to exercise and he's
13:19 going to come for party A to pay him the
13:21 net loss because he's going to be
13:24 getting 3% then party A will have to
13:26 make it up for him at 2%. So which means
13:28 party A will lose 2%. To be and what is
13:31 the net for party A 2%. Which still goes
13:36 back to 7% less 5%. So your upside as a
13:39 caller seller
13:43 once you do the strategy caller just
13:48 know that your upside is limited.
13:52 I think the same thing opposite for
13:55 deposit. If you look at deposit is the
13:57 same thing similar.
13:59 Can try and do it yourself before you
14:00 look at the way I'm going to do it.
14:02 Yeah, it's just opposite because
14:04 normally what is the problem with the
14:07 deposit guy? Deposit guy wants his
14:09 interest to go up. So he's afraid of
14:11 coming down which means what he's going
14:13 to do is that this guy will want to fix
14:15 his flaw.
14:17 Yeah. So let's call it X not. So which
14:27 because
14:30 if rate goes below that
14:37 and you collect his X not. However,
14:40 However,
14:44 he's supposed to enjoy unlimited upside,
14:46 but because he wants to reduce his
14:50 premium, he will decide to sell
14:53 something there.
14:55 And what he's going to sell, remember
14:58 for a deposit, what you are buying normal,
14:59 normal,
15:03 yeah, this your normal
15:12 Yeah. So which means this time around
15:14 for a caller to complete going to sell a
15:17 put. And what is selling a put means?
15:19 Selling a put to party B means that you
15:22 have actually given
15:25 a right to party B
15:28 to sell a bond which means you will pay
15:30 interest. Part B will pay interest at a
15:33 fixed rate. So which means part A will
15:35 not pay interest more than this level.
15:38 So when interest goes beyond this point,
15:41 party A will have to compensate party B
15:44 for that. And that is why party A will
15:48 be limited to this upside.
15:52 And that is why color
15:54 can be
15:57 annoying in as much as it's trying to
15:59 minimize your premium because of the
16:00 inflow of premium you get by selling
16:04 those options. Likewise, if the market
16:06 turns to be very good, your flexibility
16:10 is not as flexible. That is the summary.
16:11 I'm going to quickly just do this
16:15 question to drive it even further home.
16:20 Good question here. Take one second,
16:23 look at it, and see where I'm going to
16:26 deal with it quickly. Yeah, here we have
16:29 two scenarios. If the base rate rises to
16:33 9.5% and future prices move to 90.2% uh 90.2
16:34 90.2
16:36 we should calculate the effective
16:38 interest rate for the company using
16:40 color. Remember they want to use color.
16:43 So and what is happen is they are trying
16:46 to borrow to borrow. So which means we
16:49 have normal
16:52 is going to be the normal
16:53 expectation. And what's the normal
16:55 expectation? So we're trying to set up
16:58 the color now. Yeah right. So to set up
17:00 the color, let me say this is color.
17:04 Yeah, the normal is to buy put.
17:06 Yeah, if you're setting up a color,
17:09 don't look for cheapest strike price
17:11 because your
17:14 strike price
17:17 in a collar for the put has to be higher
17:20 interest rate. Don't go for the don't go
17:22 for a lower one because that will make your
17:24 your
17:27 color to be defective. So you buy put
17:30 you have 92 and 93 there. So the
17:33 interest rate here is 92 which is 8%. So
17:36 buy put 92
17:41 and um that is 8% to make it clear and
17:46 you do the opposite and sell call at 93.
17:49 Yeah. And that is 7%. Yeah. But are we
17:51 using March or June? If you look at the
17:53 question the transaction will happen 1st
17:56 of January. So we need to use March. We
17:58 don't need to use June because March
18:00 option will expire end of March. So
18:04 we're good. We don't need to
18:07 think about June in that sense. So which
18:11 means in terms of our premium for this
18:15 color, our premium will be
18:23 we're paying 93 as uh 92 for for putm.
18:25 So pay 0.2%
18:28 0.2%
18:31 and we'll receive
18:41 So which means
18:44 in terms of net premium this is going
18:48 out and this is coming in. So our net
18:51 premium in that sense will be let me put
18:55 on calculator that's 2 minus.15
19:04 That's the premium situation.
19:06 Yeah. But are we going to exercise now
19:10 that we have this option there? Let's
19:11 look at it. What is the outcome of the
19:16 collar? If interest rate goes to 9.5%.
19:18 That is already higher than our strike
19:22 price of 8%. Yeah, remember what we have
19:26 is it this is our cap 8% and we did
19:29 color at 7%. So now interest rate has
19:33 gone to 9.5%.
19:36 So which means at this point we will exercise.
19:39 exercise.
19:41 Will this guy exercise? No, he will not
19:44 exercise because this is the worst case
19:46 scenario. If market has gone to 9.5, we
19:50 rather stick to a market and ignore. So
19:52 which means is a money for us but it's
19:55 out of money for the guy for his own
19:59 other side. So which means premium is
20:03 sealed. We have that we exercise at 9.5
20:06 market. So definitely we're going to do
20:09 our normal buying and selling of
20:12 features. And that means
20:18 92 was our future. So we initiated at 92
20:21 and we close at 90.2.
20:24 So which means we're borrowing at 8%,
20:27 we're paying at 8%.
20:31 Yeah. And we are actually receiving at
20:34 uh 9.8%.
20:36 And that will give you
20:40 profit of 1.8% 8% is same as 1.8 that
20:42 you have here. Yeah, this is one way of
20:44 doing this another way of doing it.
20:46 Yeah, but for interpretation I prefer to
20:47 do the second way so that you can be
20:49 clear to you. Remember this is boring.
20:53 Yeah, boring at 92 when you start when
20:55 you buy the future initially. Now this
20:58 is when you uh this is when you sell the
21:01 future. Sorry, you sell the interest
21:03 rate feature here and you buy back here
21:05 because the option you remember the
21:07 option is a put option option to sell
21:09 the bond. When you sell bond you pay
21:11 interest on it because you are raising
21:15 fund right so now we have net 1.8% 8%
21:18 there we have to keep it. So let's put
21:19 everything together. Base rate. So the
21:22 rate transaction is the third leg.
21:26 The rate transaction is 9.5 base. So
21:28 which means to get the total interest
21:30 rate for a question A. So we have the
21:34 rate transaction at base 9.5%.
21:35 The question told us that there's a
21:39 margin of plus 2%. Which is fixed.
21:42 That's the margin. Then from um
21:45 feature closing we made 1.8. So that
21:47 will help us is a gain. So that will
21:51 reduce our cost. Uh on premium
21:54 unfortunately is a
21:56 liability for us net liability. So we
22:00 need to pay 0.05%.
22:02 And when we put all of this together
22:04 let's see what it gives us. So we have
22:10 9.5 + 9.5 here + 2
22:15 + 005 11.55 - 1.8
22:18 and that gives us 9.75%.
22:25 Easy. That's the effective interest
22:28 rate. Yeah. And this is what we apply to
22:30 the principal to get the net position.
22:33 That is A. Similar
22:35 process we're going to use for B. And
22:39 for B what is going to happen? Remember
22:44 what happened? This same diagram 8% 7%.
22:49 That is our own cap and we sold call at
22:53 7%. Unfortunately, market came and life
22:55 happened. And what happened? The
22:59 interest rate in reality decided to go
23:03 to something much lower, 4.5%.
23:12 At 4.5%
23:14 we will definitely forget about our own
23:16 option because we already said the
23:18 maximum we want to pay at 8%. We will
23:22 not exercise that kind of option and
23:24 start paying at 8% when market is doing
23:27 4.5%. So that is gone. We're not going
23:30 to our option is useless.
23:32 But our premium we paid it is a some
23:34 cost is still there. So which means
23:37 remember this net will still be
23:38 relevant. So we're still going to bring
23:41 it down. So premium
23:43 let me call it net premium is still
23:46 available at 0.05%
23:49 cost. Yeah.
23:52 And real reality of markets will also
23:57 happen. Reality is uh 4.5%
24:00 plus margin of 2% that is always fixed
24:09 So we know the net premium, we know the
24:12 reality. Now we need to know what is
24:15 happening to the RF interest rate
24:17 features. What is the next situation? So
24:20 in this case we already said for us our
24:24 IRF will expire but the IRF for this guy
24:27 will be exercised because the market is
24:30 doing below his strike price and because
24:32 of that he will take advantage of IRF
24:34 and for him to take advantage of the
24:38 IRF. Remember what happened was the fact
24:44 that he bought IRF at strike price of um 93.
24:45 93.
24:48 I think we sold at 93. Yes. So we did
24:52 call at 90. That's why it's 7%. Yeah. So 93
24:53 93 was
24:55 was
24:58 when he actually bought that call which is
25:00 is
25:04 decide to exercise. Then he bought at 93
25:07 and you would need to sold you need to
25:11 sell rather at what the market is doing
25:15 on the future which is now 96.1.
25:19 So you need to close that feature. 96.1.
25:20 Yeah, if you look at it this way, that
25:24 will give you a difference of 93 minus 96.1.
25:25 96.1.
25:28 That's 3.1%.
25:32 But the reason why I don't like explain
25:34 like this with these numbers is you
25:35 might be stuck to know whether it's a
25:37 gain or
25:40 or loss. But the way to know is the fact
25:42 that if he's exercising is a gain,
25:43 right? And if it's a gain for him, it's
25:45 a loss for us. That's one way to look at
25:47 it. One way to look at it is that when
25:51 he bought, he bought means that he's
25:54 going to receive interest inflow at 7%.
25:57 So that's you get inflow at 7%. And when
25:59 he's selling, he's going to be paying at 3.9%.
26:02 3.9%.
26:05 So he's left with positive 3.1%. That's
26:07 another way to look at it. Okay. So if
26:10 the guy is making positive, definitely
26:12 we are making negative. And that is why
26:17 for us it would be a negative 3.1. So
26:21 that is a I'm call plus to avoid
26:22 confusion but I'll just call it 3.1
26:25 because I've measured all the other cost
26:28 at positives. So if you add all the cost
26:31 together we have 05% which is our net
26:36 premium plus the market doing 4.5% base
26:39 then that will be a 2% margin for the
26:42 company risk and the IRF will close at
26:45 additional loss for us 3.1%.
26:47 So when we add all of these together
26:51 quickly, 005 + 4.5
26:55 + 2 + 3.1
26:57 that gives us 9.65%.
27:00 So if market decides to go that route,
27:02 then our effective interest rate is 9.65%.
27:04 9.65%.
27:08 despite the use of our collar. So you
27:10 see that not too far away but it can
27:12 give a different result depending on our