0:02 this is probably the best tennis betting
0:05 strategy if not the best betting
0:08 strategy ever and this guy made over 1
0:10 million pounds using it this strategy is
0:12 relatively low risk and yields very good
0:14 returns and the best part about it is
0:17 you don't need to be a tennis expert and
0:19 analyze the games of hundreds of players
0:21 this strategy is known as Court sighting
0:24 and involves betting at the game live at
0:26 the location where it is being played
0:28 and getting on the bets before bookies
0:31 or Sports books have updated their odds
0:33 appropriately based on the events that
0:35 have just happened this means they get
0:37 their bets on at odds well above the
0:39 fair rides which therefore makes it
0:42 positive EV or expected value and after
0:44 that they can either choose to let the
0:46 bet just ride and hope for the best at
0:48 positive expected value or they can cash
0:51 out with the Sportsbook or bookie with a
0:53 small profit the most popular sport for
0:55 court sighting is tennis and this is for
0:58 two main reasons firstly because there
1:00 are Dynamic events meaning to have
1:02 significant effects on odds and betting
1:05 outcomes when they do occur an example
1:06 of this is when a player breaks their
1:08 opponent's serve meaning they're much
1:10 more likely to win the game or the set
1:12 or alternatively to a lesser extent when
1:14 they win a point to gain a couple of
1:16 break points against their opponent
1:19 secondly the frequency of these events
1:21 is quite High these significant events
1:22 such as players breaking serve or
1:25 gaining breakpoints happens many times
1:27 throughout each match and therefore
1:29 presents many frequent opportunities per
1:31 game this is separate from something
1:33 like a soccer game where even though
1:35 there are significant events that can
1:38 affect the outcome of a game such as if
1:39 a player gets a red card or there's a
1:42 penalty kick awarded to a team these
1:44 don't really happen too often and
1:45 sometimes they don't even happen at all
1:47 in soccer games so how can Court
1:50 sighting be possible how can you be able
1:53 to get odds that aren't updated by the
1:55 bookie but bet on events that kind of
1:57 happen in the future well the reason for
1:59 this is that the scores aren't updated
2:02 automatically at the moment the point is
2:05 one so when a player serves an ace at
2:06 that moment the player doesn't receive
2:08 it it's not automatically updated there
2:10 has to be an Umpire who updates the
2:13 score electronically into a system and
2:14 that system gets passed onto Sports
2:16 books and they can therefore reflect
2:18 their odds so how you take advantage of
2:21 this is by exploiting slow umpires they
2:23 might take a couple seconds before they
2:26 can update the numbers into their pad
2:27 correctly so chord sighting doesn't
2:29 always work you do need to find slow
2:31 umpires which gives you a little bit of
2:33 time like even a few seconds to bet on
2:35 the events before sportsbooks can update
2:37 their odds the easiest and simplest case
2:39 of Court sighting is betting on
2:41 something entirely risk-free as you are
2:43 basically betting on something that has
2:45 already won for example if you are
2:47 betting on the next Point winner or the
2:49 next game winner if it's already at game
2:52 point and you see a player win that
2:53 point or win the game then you can bet
2:56 on that and it's entirely risk-free and
2:57 we can see this is what this guy from
2:59 BBC was doing he was basically betting
3:01 on game point and we can see the odds
3:03 are very very low and that's because
3:05 here's just one point away from winning
3:07 so if you watch this clip carefully we
3:09 can see there's two parties involved one
3:11 is the court cider because nowadays
3:13 sporting events don't really like
3:15 courtsiders and you're technically not
3:17 allowed to do it so what he does is he
3:19 communicates to someone remotely using a
3:22 Bluetooth connection or like a phone and
3:24 that person places the bets for him we
3:26 can see he was purely focusing on the
3:28 entirely risk-free bets so just betting
3:31 on the next game point winner and we can
3:34 see he's only showing wins and no losses
3:36 which implies that he was only betting
3:37 on guaranteed things that had already
3:39 occurred and the fact that the odds were
3:41 quite low kind of reaffirms this idea
3:43 unfortunately though this was back in
3:46 2017 and because of that video or
3:47 through just losing a lot of money to
3:49 these courtsiders The Bookies definitely
3:51 caught on and the next game winner is
3:54 suspended during the final points of the
3:56 game when it is at a game point scenario
3:58 meaning it is no longer possible to
4:00 guarantee a profit by betting on
4:01 something you know has already
4:04 definitely won so it is quite exciting
4:07 no longer possible well actually no just
4:10 because the purest risk-free and
4:12 simplest form of Court sighting is no
4:13 longer available doesn't mean
4:16 opportunities no longer exist but it
4:19 does take a bit more skill a basic
4:21 understanding of the game of tennis and
4:23 some mathematical intuition to figure it
4:25 all out to try and explain let's use an
4:28 example let's say its final set of a
4:30 tennis match between Medvedev and Nadal
4:32 both players have won two sets and two
4:35 games each the score is 30 40 on
4:37 medvedev's serve which is breakpoint the
4:39 next game we're not Market will be
4:41 suspended as it is game point and
4:43 bookies are trying to avoid losing to
4:45 court circles however what about winning
4:48 the match if the mighty Rafa Nadal wins
4:50 the next point he will have a huge
4:52 Advantage as he would have broken
4:54 medibadev's sir and therefore in the
4:56 final set of the game with a break of
4:59 serve is very very likely now that Nadal
5:01 will win the game okay this means if you
5:03 see either Nadal already win the break
5:06 point or even earlier maybe see Nadal is
5:07 very likely to win that point for
5:09 example if you just saw Medvedev lobb
5:12 the ball high into the air land short in
5:13 Rafa's side of the court and Rafael
5:15 Nadal has a very easy smash then
5:17 therefore betting on the dial to win the
5:20 game is now a value bet at that time
5:22 before the bookmakers could update their
5:25 odds the fair rods for Nadal to win the
5:27 game might be 1.6 and the bookie is
5:30 offering you 1.5 however after the point
5:32 an endowed breaks served the fair odds
5:35 will likely drop to perhaps 1.2 meaning
5:37 the 1.5 odds for Nadal to win the game
5:40 is a great value bet we can work out the
5:42 expected value mathematically for a one
5:45 thousand dollar bet dividing one by the
5:47 fair rods gives the fair probability of
5:49 83 percent of Nadal winning then we plug
5:52 the numbers into the EV formula which is
5:54 the sum of the probabilities multiplied
5:56 by the respective payout which is an 83
5:59 chance of winning multiplied by 500
6:02 profit effort and a 17 chance multiplied
6:04 by a negative one thousand dollar loss
6:06 which is two hundred and fifty dollars
6:08 or twenty five percent in expected value
6:11 the reason this bet is profitable even
6:12 though we aren't guaranteed to win is
6:15 because this particular bet has a high
6:17 Delta a term I borrowed from stock
6:19 options theory that represents the
6:21 change in value of an option given in
6:23 one dollar change in the underlying
6:25 stock for tennis betting DOTA we can
6:27 think of it as a change in the audits
6:29 for a player to win given a one point
6:32 change in the scoreline depending on the
6:34 score at that time each Court signing
6:36 opportunity might have a high Delta or a
6:39 low Delta in the example above the
6:41 opportunity has a high Delta with the
6:44 odds moving from 1.6 to 1.2 given a
6:46 dollar's break-off serve in the decisive
6:49 set however if instead the score was two
6:51 sets to nil in favor of Nadal and four
6:54 nil in the third set in favor of Nadal
6:55 even if Nadal broke men would have
6:57 served to make it five nil it wouldn't
7:00 affect the odds as much as if it were
7:02 still four nil as at that point there's
7:03 already pretty much no chance of
7:06 Medvedev winning in this case the fair
7:09 rides for Nadal might be 1.01 at 4 nil
7:11 in the final set with the bookmaker
7:15 offering 1.01 after it becomes five nil
7:18 the fair odds might become 1.05 but it's
7:20 a small change and a low Delta
7:22 opportunity since the booking odds are
7:24 still lower than this it is still a
7:27 negative EV bet figuring out the Delta
7:28 for points throughout the game will take
7:30 some mathematical modeling and knowledge
7:32 of tennis and the player's strengths
7:34 relative to each other but it can be
7:37 done this will help you determine if the
7:39 change or shortening of the odds as a
7:41 result of the Court signing information
7:43 and Advantage is enough to offset the
7:45 difference between the fair rods and the
7:48 current outdated bookies worst odds and
7:50 therefore create positive EV bet
7:52 opportunities nowadays this strategy is
7:54 made even harder as in some places like
7:56 Australia it's no longer possible to bet
7:59 live just by pressing a button instead
8:01 with most Sportsbook seem to call up the
8:03 company and they'll have to place the
8:05 bets for you after reading through the
8:06 terms and conditions and whatnot which
8:09 takes time and by that point the
8:10 opportunity as a result of that Court
8:12 signing Advantage for a few split
8:15 seconds no longer exists however even if
8:17 you timed everything very well bookies
8:19 like Bet365 which is the main bookie
8:21 offering these live bets on tennis games
8:24 are catching up to what is happening
8:27 here looking at Bet365 priority Problem
8:29 customer we can see that they've
8:30 identified problem customers or
8:33 customers to ban and restrict as those
8:36 who are stalling going through silence
8:39 checking prices or selections refusing
8:41 bats during read back or hanging up
8:43 which means courtsiders might also time
8:45 waste or store as a result of having to
8:47 place these bets over the phone and wait
8:49 for the right opportunity between sports
8:51 books don't like these customers and as
8:53 a result they're more likely to be
8:55 labeled as a priority Problem customer
8:57 and get account restrictions stuck on
8:59 them and of course they can just pick
9:01 anyone who is suspected of having your
9:04 system or visual Advantage which is just
9:06 Court citing Advantage now even though
9:08 code setting is a great strategy it does
9:10 take a lot of costs like having to go to
9:12 the tennis match and actually watch the
9:13 game live and it does take a lot of
9:15 skill to do it right as well however if
9:17 you guys want some simpler strategies
9:19 you can check out my other videos that
9:21 are free on my channel the strategies I
9:23 offer will work very well for Australia
9:24 and New Zealand bookies and are
9:26 specifically targeted for them and I've
9:28 also just launched the USA and Canada
9:31 course for taking advantage of sports
9:33 books in North America and making a
9:35 profit using strategies that work well
9:37 over there if you enjoyed this video
9:38 then make sure to give it a big like
9:40 down below and subscribe to this channel
9:42 to not miss out on future sports betting
9:44 tips and tricks take care and I'll see
