0:15 well good afternoon everyone thank you
0:17 for coming to today's Brown Bag
0:18 presentation we are delighted to have
0:20 you here at
0:23 ncpc um just a few housekeeping matters
0:24 first of all I believe this presentation
0:26 is going to be videotaped so we just
0:29 wanted to let you uh know that but also
0:31 we will post post this presentation on
0:34 ncpc's website uh within the next few
0:35 weeks if you have other folks that would
0:38 like to see this uh I know that many of
0:40 you are planners who deal with the
0:42 public realm uh with the city's Open
0:46 Spaces Parks streets um and I think we
0:48 all have a a tremendous job ahead of us
0:50 in terms of how to design or maintain
0:53 these uh public open spaces which are
0:54 very important to the residents of this
0:57 city uh to our nation as a whole uh
0:59 because they are in fact a lot of them
1:02 are ceremonial spaces um and how do you
1:05 also adapt these spaces for uh 21st
1:07 century needs and I think those are all
1:09 important questions that uh many of us
1:12 deal with on our day-to-day lives U
1:14 through our work and through our
1:17 interest uh in cities and uh in this in
1:20 this case the city of Washington DC so
1:22 today we have a uh incredible guest uh
1:25 who's going to present to us today on um
1:26 what his work has been in terms of
1:29 public open space and the analysis of
1:32 that space and how we put um these tools
1:34 to use in terms of uh planning public
1:37 spaces and uh in our public streets we
1:39 have with us Tim Stoner who's the
1:41 managing director of the London based
1:44 company called space syntax limited it's
1:46 a strategic uh consulting company
1:48 specializing in evidence-based planning
1:50 and design so it's kind of like CSI the
1:54 TV show uh for planning um he's an
1:56 architect and town planner uh Tim
2:00 established space syntax Limited in 1996
2:01 with the aim of uh Building Bridges
2:03 between professional practice and
2:05 academic research at University College
2:08 London Tim is the director and founding
2:10 member of the Academy of urbanism and
2:12 for the last 5 years has served on the
2:14 national design review panel of the UK
2:16 Commission of architecture and the built
2:20 environment between 1996 and 2001 Tim
2:22 led the team that advised architect
2:24 Norman Foster on the redesign of a
2:26 troger square in London transforming the
2:28 Square from a card dominated uh
2:31 environment to a public Focus Place uh
2:33 this project set a new standard for
2:35 public space design in the UK that space
2:38 inex had helped maintain in projects
2:40 including the Regeneration of ninghan
2:42 Old Market Square in newcastle's Hay
2:44 Market uh in recent years he's also
2:45 participated in a number of other
2:47 projects including work for the city of
2:50 jedah and Saudi Arabia and also in
2:54 Beijing CBD over the past year uh Tim
2:56 was awarded a l fellowship at Harvard's
2:58 Graduate School of Design and he also
3:00 was appointed a fellow at at the Lincoln
3:03 Institute of land policy in Cambridge so
3:05 we are very pleased today uh to have Tim
3:07 join us and uh I'd like you to join me
3:11 and welcome him to [Applause]
3:17 ncpc well thank you Marcel and good
3:20 afternoon everyone uh it's a pleasure to
3:23 be here and uh an honor uh this is only
3:26 my second visit to the capital I was
3:28 here with my family a couple of months
3:31 ago and did didn't make it much out of
3:33 the uh Air and Space Museum so it's nice
3:36 to see a few streets and public spaces
3:39 uh on this opportunity um if we could
3:44 have the first slide up please uh the
3:48 uh the aim of my talk today is to share
3:53 with you um some experience that Marcel
3:54 described in his
3:57 introduction uh which comes from its
4:00 origins in London uh but
4:02 uh is
4:05 increasingly uh a worldwide application
4:08 and this is uh an approach to the
4:09 planning and design of places known as space
4:11 space
4:13 syntax and space
4:15 syntax um measures the efficiency of
4:18 spatial layouts which gives me the title
4:21 for my talk today
4:25 um when it does that it's addressing
4:28 some of the key outcome factors that we
4:34 are aiming to achieve uh in in our
4:36 actions which are social and economic and
4:37 and
4:40 environmental um and although much of
4:43 our work may be about discussions of of
4:47 design and materials and historical
4:49 Evolution um for me ultimately the
4:53 practice of planning and and design uh
4:58 is about its impacts its outcomes uh and
5:00 how the social and the economic
5:01 and the
5:05 environmental um are created now I was
5:07 trained as an architect I'll I'll admit
5:10 that and you can judge me for it uh but
5:12 I have also qualified as a town planner
5:14 and when I do we have any Architects
5:17 here today okay I will I will be
5:20 appropriately respectful um because I'm
5:24 sure you're not like the rest of them um
5:26 when when I when I did my training I'm
5:28 joking of course um when I did my
5:31 training uh very little of it was about
5:33 people very little of it was about the
5:37 outcome it was mostly um architecture to
5:41 get things built and then look lovingly
5:44 at them and ideally take photographs and
5:45 have them published so that others can
5:48 love look lovingly at them um and that's
5:50 something which which disappointed me
5:51 and led me in the direction of space
5:54 syntax because when I came across Bill
5:56 hiler the professor at University
5:59 College London who had uh create ated
6:01 this new approach this scientific
6:05 approach to architecture um he he was
6:07 speaking about its social and economic
6:08 impacts and more recently its
6:11 environmental impacts and that really
6:13 excited me so let's see if I can excite
6:22 lunchtime and there we go so um what I
6:25 want to do is take you through a
6:27 discussion of
6:30 space and address this question
6:36 Urban space so what and uh from
6:41 there argue that Urban space is more
6:43 than just invisible fluffy stuff that
6:46 Urban designers like to color in Black
6:49 uh by way of highlighting it and saying
6:51 it uh it's more important than the
6:53 buildings I want to talk about Urban
6:57 space as being a hard noosed currency uh
7:00 something which is an asset to the city
7:03 that deserves to be invested in and
7:07 managed because it is a generator of
7:12 wealth and to do that I will show you a
7:13 little bit of
7:17 science um a few case studies and I want
7:19 to end with some speculations which I've
7:21 not made either in public or private
7:24 before but they were just something that
7:26 that came to me as I was putting this
7:36 um space syntax is all about modeling
7:39 cities and uh showing how the spatial
7:42 layout exerts powerful influences on
7:45 human behavior how the connectivity of
7:49 places in itself influences human
7:54 behavior and that means uh behavior in
7:56 terms of movement how we flow through
7:58 the city but it's more than movement
8:01 it's how we come across other people and
8:02 interact with
8:05 them uh how we're aware of them in space
8:08 and ultimately how we
8:09 transact how we
8:12 transact and do the essential thing that
8:15 cities are here to do which is to create
8:17 social and economic relations that's why
8:21 we are in cities I would argue it's to
8:24 transact and and cities are transaction
8:26 engines some do it better than
8:31 others and uh if they don't do it well
8:33 then they're missing out on a huge
8:35 amount of value if the connection is
8:38 poor the value is being
8:42 lost um so what can space do well as
8:46 well as organizing movement um I want to
8:51 show you how space distributes land use
8:54 naturally and I know planners distribute
8:58 land use but space is our guide to doing so
9:00 so
9:03 um space influences crime and safety uh
9:05 some of the people who understand space
9:06 best are the
9:09 criminals uh they make it their business
9:11 to exploit the
9:15 mistakes that are made when we design
9:20 space and leave it available to uh to
9:23 Crime uh space affects the urban carbon
9:26 footprint and um ultimately it space
9:28 determines land value and land value is
9:30 what property Developers and home buyers
9:33 are concerned about when they make their
9:35 their decisions it's the bottom
9:38 line um but it's not just me standing at
9:41 a Podium saying this um where what the
9:44 reason that I can I can say this so so
9:48 strongly um is as a result of a program
9:50 of research which as I said earlier
9:52 began at University College London about
9:57 40 years ago and uh has investigated
10:00 methodically scientifically
10:02 uh the sorts of relationships I've just
10:05 described and the way we organize
10:08 ourselves um is between the space intax
10:10 laboratory at University College London
10:12 at the top there and a company called
10:15 space intax limited uh which is at the
10:18 bottom there and space syntax limited
10:20 provides consultancy using the
10:21 technology that comes out of the
10:25 research team in return space syntax
10:30 limited identifies problems questions
10:31 that are then taken back to the
10:33 researchers for
10:35 investigation and the company in the
10:38 laboratory uh exists about four blocks
10:40 apart in London and there's a continuous
10:43 flow of people and technology and that
10:46 creates Innovation between the two uh
10:48 this diagram has
10:51 been uh replicated throughout the world
10:55 there's um there's over 200 universities
10:57 globally using space intax in their
10:59 research uh several thousands of
11:01 researchers and and we we're organized
11:08 well now here's here's the here's the
11:10 only challenging bit of mathematics of
11:13 the presentation so sit up straight and concentrate
11:16 concentrate
11:19 um to understand space scientifically
11:22 we've learned that um it's best to keep
11:24 things simple so actually it's not going
11:27 to be that that challenging um take a
11:31 very simple pair of rooms in a building
11:35 room A and B and create two versions of
11:39 a layout in which on the left uh A and B
11:42 each have a doorway to the outside let's
11:43 call the outside
11:45 C and you can see there's a ring of
11:48 circulation that you could walk if those
11:50 doorways were open there's the Ring of
11:52 circulation drawn in a slightly
11:54 different way it's a mathematical graph
11:56 any graph mathematicians in the
11:59 room few because I I know really really
12:01 basic graph mathematics and that means
12:03 there I hope not going to be very
12:04 difficult graph mathematics questions
12:08 please ask other questions but um by
12:10 contrast on the right B doesn't have the
12:12 door and has to go through a to get to
12:15 the outside which we called C so look at
12:19 the graph B goes through a to get to
12:21 C what do the numbers mean well the
12:23 numbers represent a really important
12:26 property called depth graph depth what
12:29 they say is if you take B on the right
12:32 it has a value of three against it and
12:33 what that means is the world is three
12:35 steps away from
12:40 B uh space a is one step away space c is
12:43 two steps away so space from there from
12:49 B A is one away C is 2 away 1 + 2 = 3
12:53 whereas from space a b is 1 away C is
12:55 one step away so the world from a is at
12:57 a depth of
13:01 two and like wise for C the world is
13:03 three steps away from
13:07 C in the layout on the left which is has
13:09 this equivalence the world is two steps
13:11 away from all of those spaces because
13:14 each space is one step away from each of the
13:15 the
13:18 others um is everybody with me here
13:20 here
13:23 um I won't ask if anybody isn't because
13:27 if you aren't you'd have told me
13:29 um let's just go a little a little bit
13:31 more complicated and perhaps a little
13:34 bit more realistic uh in this case we've
13:35 got the same spatial
13:39 layout uh on the left and on the right
13:41 is the spatial layout as seen from two
13:44 different spaces so on the left we're
13:46 we're looking at the world from this
13:49 room here where it has four rooms which
13:51 are one step away because they've got
13:53 doorways that connect directly to it
13:54 there's a couple of three spaces that
13:56 are two steps away you have to go
13:58 through rooms to get to them from the
14:00 gray space and there's a couple of rooms
14:02 that are three steps
14:05 away whereas on the right um You have to
14:07 go through that room to get to any other
14:10 rooms from this
14:12 space and at the bottom are the graphs
14:14 the mathematical graphs that say all of
14:17 that in graph mathematics terms and the
14:20 reason I I want to suggest this is
14:21 useful is that when you measure the
14:24 total depth from the space on the left
14:26 it's 16 and the total depth from the
14:29 space on the right is 30 in other words
14:31 the world is different from different
14:32 rooms in the same
14:35 building uh imagine having a party in
14:37 this building
14:40 um that is the kind of space that people
14:41 might keep coming back into as they
14:43 circulate around the house party uh
14:45 perhaps that's where they all end up
14:46 sitting by the end of the evening
14:49 because uh that's the natural Gathering
14:52 Point um this is the most cutof space
14:54 who knows what might happen there in a
14:57 party um but it's the place where just
14:59 least likely to have um circulation in
15:02 it if all the beer is there then maybe
15:03 that's where they end up at the end of
15:05 the party you can start to pull through
15:07 land use attraction the effect of
15:08 configuration but I'll come on to that
15:12 in a bit um a really uh helpful way
15:14 we've found of representing this graph
15:17 of math mathematics is to use color and
15:19 to represent those numbers by colors
15:22 where using a heat scale uh where the
15:25 red rooms are the ones that are closest
15:28 to the rest of the system and the blue
15:30 rooms are the ones where the system is
15:32 furthest away red orange yellow green
15:36 blue a rainbow scale we can represent
15:38 spacial depth through a
15:41 color and what we have here is a pattern
15:43 of spatial accessibility for this particular
15:45 particular
15:49 layout now so what well I've indicated
15:51 with my party analogy that perhaps
15:54 there's something in this um well let me
15:57 show you a real instance
15:59 of um a real building
16:03 which is the Tate Gallery of Art in uh
16:08 London it's our uh uh it houses many
16:10 important works of art on the right
16:13 sorry on the left let's go left first on
16:14 the left is an interesting analysis that
16:16 we did where the main entrance to this
16:21 Gallery is here and we followed a 100
16:24 people walking into the gallery for 10
16:27 minutes and their traces are in yellow
16:28 and we followed them by doing probably
16:29 what what you would imagine we just
16:32 walked slowly behind them at a discrete
16:35 distance um and tracked where they were
16:37 going and converted that into a composite
16:38 composite
16:40 image on the
16:43 right is a computer
16:46 analysis that has none of that
16:48 information fed into it no information
16:49 about where people are flowing instead
16:51 it's doing graph mathematics on the
16:54 layout it's taking each room breaking it
16:57 into little tiles of space if you can
16:59 see it's pixelated each of those bits of
17:03 spaces about 2 or 3T by 2 or 3 ft and
17:05 the computer is analyzing each tile in
17:07 the same way it analyzed the rooms in
17:09 the previous analysis and it's saying
17:11 how many tiles do I connect to how many
17:15 can I see at step one and then how many
17:17 do they connect to and how many do they
17:19 connect to and measuring the graph depth
17:21 and representing it as a color and
17:24 what's remarkable I hope you can now see
17:27 by comparing one with the other is that
17:30 the computer analysis on the right almost
17:31 almost
17:36 exactly uh mirrors predicts the passage
17:38 of people on the left now we have found
17:41 this to be an absolutely consistent
17:45 result in buildings and cities
17:47 worldwide that when people are flowing
17:49 freely it's different it's not the same
17:52 as going down to a train through a
17:53 railway station where your movement is
17:56 directed by signage um but where you're
17:59 freely flowing as you are generally in a
18:01 City or in a building like a gallery or
18:03 a shopping
18:06 center then space
18:11 will guide govern influence about 70 to
18:15 80% of the movement that occurs in there
18:17 it's not the paintings it's the space in
18:19 fact some of the most famous paintings
18:20 in this building are not being seen
18:23 because they're spatially relatively
18:25 segregated over in this Wing
18:28 architectural mistake uh to have put
18:30 them there there because people simply
18:32 aren't seeing the nation's
18:35 Treasures so okay let's get outside and
18:36 do the same thing to that nice figure
18:38 ground image that we had of it's Munich
18:41 actually Munich in Germany in case you
18:43 wondered let's break the pattern of
18:47 Munich into a set of spaces long linear
18:49 spaces in fact these are the lines of
18:51 sight that pass through all the public
18:53 space of central
18:57 Munich so we've we've done this by uh
18:59 putting a ruler on a map or
19:01 computer screen and drawing the longest
19:04 and fewest spaces that pass through all
19:06 the public space of the city and some of
19:08 them are more connected some are less
19:11 connected when you analyze their graph
19:12 some are more accessible and some are
19:14 less accessible so this is again the
19:16 same analysis graph mathematics
19:18 measuring the depth of each space
19:20 relative to all the
19:23 others and what we can pick out is the
19:26 natural spatial hierarchy of the city so
19:29 what well when you observe pedestrian
19:31 movement and when you observe vehicle
19:34 movement and then when you correlate
19:36 pedestrian and vehicle movement
19:38 pedestrian at the top vehicle at the
19:41 bottom with the spatial accessibility
19:45 pattern there's a remarkable
19:47 correlation it's not perfect if it were
19:49 perfect all those red dots which are
19:51 streets where we've been able to observe
19:53 flow and measure spatial accessibility
19:55 they would all line up on in a straight
19:58 line but there's a there's a general I'm
20:01 sorry there's a general
20:04 Trend and this magic number here says
20:08 60% of The Pedestrian movement pattern
20:10 is explained by differences in the
20:12 spatial accessibility pattern for
20:15 pedestrians for vehicles 70% of the
20:17 vehicle flow in this city is explained
20:19 by spatial accessibility this city here
20:22 is London um despite all of London's
20:24 traffic engineering people are reading
20:27 the grid spatially uh this is a very
20:31 simple very quick traffic model with one
20:33 variable and if there are any traffic
20:37 modelers in here that can get a 70%
20:38 correlation with a one variable traffic
20:42 model you'll know just how uh valuable
20:44 that is so movement is the life blood of
20:46 the city and if you can explain it you
20:49 can start to plan and design it um
20:51 because all of the value that's being
20:55 generated in cities um much of it is
20:58 coming from the passage of people pass C
21:01 shops into shops doing deals I mean I
21:02 love this Photograph because there's so
21:06 much going on there that's about
21:08 trade and uh okay second key Discovery
21:10 land use that pattern of spatial
21:14 accessibility if I flick London's land
21:17 use pattern uh retail in red against
21:20 spatial accessibility in red then what
21:23 this slide is saying is 80% of London's
21:25 retail is located on the 20% most accessible
21:26 accessible
21:29 streets how has that happened well the
21:31 retailers haven't done a space syntax
21:33 analysis um I wish they all would but
21:36 they haven't uh historically the grid of
21:38 the city has organized the flow of
21:42 people the retailers have identified the
21:45 hotspots and gone to them uh some of
21:48 them have speculated like Selfridge on
21:50 Oxford Street who was the first major
21:53 developer of selfes uh department store
21:55 on Oxford Street but he was picking up
21:57 on the fact that Oxford Street was becoming
21:59 becoming
22:01 as London evolved the single most
22:03 important spatial Connection in the city
22:06 it didn't used to be but the space of
22:07 the city was being transformed
22:11 historically and the retail went with
22:14 it um we find exactly the same
22:19 relationship between land use and space
22:23 in recent cities that have grown up
22:25 without the intervention of planners um
22:28 I realize I'm sort of in the Lion's Den
22:30 here um we find it much less in planned
22:32 cities that haven't had time to
22:34 historically evolve I'm not thinking of
22:37 this one by the way before anybody goes
22:39 there this is a slum this is a slum in
22:41 jeda Saudi Arabia there's a almost
22:44 direct correspondence between the retail
22:45 in red on the left and the spatial
22:47 access pattern on the right the Traders
22:51 know how to read space to locate their
22:53 shops and in cities that have been
22:55 planned but had time to evolve
22:57 historically like Brazilia is a great
23:00 example uh shopkeepers in Brazilia
23:03 knocked out the back of their shops to
23:05 trade from when they realized that's
23:07 where the pedestrians were they weren't
23:09 on the streets in front of the shops
23:12 where the plan had put them had put the
23:16 shop fronts um because the planning had
23:19 got The Pedestrian movement pattern
23:22 wrong people speak with their feet and
23:24 the shopkeepers knocked out as I
23:25 mentioned earlier criminals exploit
23:27 space uh this is an analysis of house
23:31 break-ins in Australia and um it's a
23:33 it's a long and involved and actually
23:36 very complicated aspect of of our work
23:38 but there are very direct correlations
23:40 between spatial
23:42 accessibility uh the orientation of
23:44 buildings the degree to which houses can
23:46 see other houses from their front doors
23:49 and the pattern of crime consistently
23:50 not just in Australia not just in the UK
23:52 but in the other places where we've
23:56 looked at this and so we um work with
23:59 authorities to try and prevent that
24:02 um and my penultimate key Discovery uh
24:04 space organizes the carbon footprint of
24:06 the city I mean take this kind of very typical
24:08 typical
24:10 Suburban uh layout it's not just
24:13 American it's all over the world uh uh
24:16 makes it incredibly inefficient in terms
24:19 of movement you have to drive everywhere
24:21 or you have to walk very long distances
24:24 uh chances are you drive so um we're
24:26 trying to prevent this in in our work
24:28 and retrofit it where it happens but
24:30 finally the really really important one
24:33 is to connect all of this to money uh
24:35 which is what this slide's saying and
24:38 again times against us but um over the
24:39 last few years in London we've been
24:41 participating in a study working with
24:44 Property Consultants local authorities
24:48 to look at house value uh the quality of
24:51 Street the the total income of town
24:53 centers in London total retail income
24:55 and finding and crime patterns and
24:58 finding consistent correlations between
24:59 where people are spending the money how
25:02 much they're spending how much houses
25:04 are being bought and sold for where the
25:06 crimes occurring and this layout of
25:10 space uh space is is this fundamental
25:12 piece of infrastructure in the city it
25:14 costs a lot of money to provide a new
25:16 spatial connection and it will have a
25:18 functional impact the key thing for
25:20 planners is to make sure that when we
25:22 provide this new infrastructure we get
25:23 the right
25:26 impact um unfortunately we've got too
25:28 much of the wrong impact on the right
25:30 this form of Highway fast Street on the
25:32 right this is again jeda Saudi Arabia
25:35 pervades the urban record globally it's
25:38 one of the most unfortunate exports of
25:40 the uh
25:44 UK um and US transport planning
25:46 professions uh it's divided our cities
25:49 it's severed communities and it's
25:51 diminished Real Estate Value so however
25:53 you want to look at it it's bad news for
25:56 cities um I've been pretty shocked in my
25:58 time here in the state seeing degree to
26:02 which cities have been SE severed by
26:05 highways um I hadn't quite realized that
26:07 it's been very sobering um but I've seen
26:09 it in other places and it's still
26:11 happening it's still the default of um
26:13 of the professional
26:17 um uh Global Consulting companies it's a
26:19 world away from the shaniz on the left
26:22 where you have high traffic flow High
26:24 pedestrian flow uh pretty decent
26:26 landscape value uh great real estate
26:29 value and great cultural value and those
26:30 are the sorts of streets that I think
26:32 are are more in the future of cities
26:34 than the ones on the right which are
26:37 really about uh the the death of the
26:39 city um let me turn to some projects and
26:43 show you how we take these principles
26:45 this learning This research the science
26:47 and act in practice at a whole series of
26:49 different scales to intervene with the
26:52 city because um about the only thing I
26:54 think that you can guarantee in cities
26:56 is that they change cities are
26:58 continuously changing they're never
27:02 sealed um however historic however and
27:04 I'll show you travala square first off
27:06 the The most significant historic space
27:08 in the United Kingdom and I want to go
27:10 through the scale from public spaces
27:13 through Bridges uh to look at Urban grid
27:16 blocks and areas up to the scale of the
27:18 entire city and treat each one as a as a
27:24 intervention um before you do that it's worth
27:26 worth
27:29 recognizing uh that every city has its
27:30 own unique spatial
27:34 signature uh its own unique spatial DNA
27:36 this is the look before you leap moment
27:38 that all of those principles I've laid
27:43 out have to be taken um according to the
27:45 flavor of each City you've got to you
27:47 got to take the Pulse of each City
27:50 analytically before you before you act
27:51 uh right at the end I'm going to show an
27:54 image of of Washington DC highly
27:56 speculative but um just so you know it's
27:59 coming I'll just mention that now
28:02 um here's London uh uh quick definition
28:04 of London uh great
28:07 radials um I'll say no more but London
28:10 you've got great great radials uh Legacy
28:13 of the Roman uh uh engineering program
28:16 connecting the capital to uh the empire
28:19 in each Direction Roman
28:21 Empire and pervading London's becoming
28:23 London's High streets
28:26 today uh Beijing you've got great
28:28 orbitals great
28:31 ring circulation uh weak radials strong
28:34 orbitals London strong radials weak
28:38 orbitals Tokyo strong radials strong
28:42 orbitals um so what well London is
28:44 really concentrated in its economic
28:46 activity on the center the West End and
28:48 the city of London that's where all the
28:51 principal productive economic energy of
28:55 the city is um Tokyo and and those
28:57 radials really make it hard for anywhere
29:00 but the center to be important
29:03 relatively Tokyo has strong radials but
29:04 it keeps looping the radials together
29:06 with orbitals and that distributes the
29:08 heat of the city in a completely
29:09 different way and if anybody here knows
29:12 Tokyo Tokyo is a poly focal City it has
29:16 many important centers not just one and
29:19 a different sort of social economic
29:23 uh uh profile as a
29:26 result and somewhere like s Paulo well I
29:28 I don't have a a glib def for it in
29:32 terms of um radials and orbitals not
29:34 least because it's growing so quickly
29:38 and what's what the center one decade
29:40 may not be the big Center the next
29:41 decade because the city has moved and
29:44 this is a real challenge in developing
29:47 cities uh worldwide for the real estate
29:49 Community to anticipate where's going to
29:51 be the next hotspot and these sorts of
29:53 models are being used as I'll show you
29:56 in jeda in a moment to do exactly that
29:59 um we can have fun with space um we can
30:02 we can speculate before we commit we can
30:04 sketch in space and say well let's just
30:08 take this former Railway yard site in
30:13 central London uh which is now uh mostly
30:16 redundant and leaving a big empty hole
30:18 in the fabric of the city and say well
30:22 what if what if we added a grid in
30:24 where's the heat of the city going to be
30:25 or where's the heat of that development
30:26 going to be where should we put the
30:28 shops are they going be some quiet
30:29 streets because we want somewhere the
30:32 kids can play um is there going to be
30:34 enough heat that we can put all the land
30:35 use in that's going to create the
30:36 development value that we need to get
30:38 the return on our
30:42 investment well let's test it um oh no
30:45 uh actually uh this development has no
30:48 heat why because although it's an
30:51 efficient grid locally it's not creating
30:53 connectivity globally it doesn't have
30:55 Edge to Center connections that will
30:58 bring people to and through it it won't
30:59 bring the essential passing trade that
31:01 makes centers work in
31:03 cities so let's go back to the drawing
31:05 board before we build it and try another
31:09 one and grow a design by teasing
31:12 together the lines of movement that go
31:14 towards the site and I'm thinking
31:16 pedestrian cycling vehicle movement I'm
31:19 thinking all modes when I say this um
31:22 let's try it wow that's different that's
31:24 a lot of heat that's maybe too much heat
31:26 um that's competing with other
31:28 established Centers do we want that
31:29 maybe we do maybe we don't but let's
31:31 have a planning discussion according to
31:33 the nature of the brief that we've set
31:35 for ourselves and if this is too much
31:37 let's go back a little bit let's break
31:39 up those connections let's dislocate the
31:41 grid a little bit lose one or two of
31:44 them or move them around that's design
31:47 that's Urban Design that's the point
31:49 where you can have a intelligent
31:51 conversation with the design team and
31:53 say we want you to move this a little
31:56 bit because of x y and Zed functional
31:59 outcomes and this is what we did at
32:01 travala Square in London um as Marcel
32:03 mentioned this was a competition that um
32:06 Was Won by Norman Foster and we assisted
32:08 and trala square um is is the principal
32:11 public space in London and therefore in
32:14 the United Kingdom or let's let's leave
32:18 it at England and um uh before it was
32:21 redesigned it looked like this um
32:23 although you and me originally as
32:25 tourists may have wandered around draaga
32:28 Square the reality was in 1996
32:30 most of that square was empty most of
32:33 the time um the National Gallery of Art
32:35 is in the background the square is in
32:37 the foreground there's a three there's
32:40 probably about a four uh
32:44 12T grade separation between uh the
32:45 upper and lower parts that's really
32:47 important because if you know trafala
32:49 Square now there's a huge staircase here
32:52 which is the punch line of this
32:54 presentation I want to show you why that
32:56 staircase was put there um at the
32:59 competition stage this was the really
33:02 key trigger to the design it was the
33:03 main piece of our
33:05 presentation uh it was an analysis of
33:09 how people were using the square before
33:11 and we were the only team to have done
33:13 this to have taken the care to study how
33:16 the place was working before we leapt in
33:18 and proposed changing it and we followed
33:21 300 people wearing business suits
33:23 because there were no suits in traga
33:26 square there were no londoners and there
33:27 was a perception among the client that
33:29 this was was wrong really good
33:31 perception the client was the national
33:36 and the uh local governance as well as
33:38 lots of key stakeholders this a really
33:41 tough place to you know move anything an
33:45 inch uh everybody's looking at it and we
33:46 also looked at pedestrians crossing the
33:48 road not using The Pedestrian Crossings
33:50 those are the green lines uh we looked
33:52 at them all getting onto this traffic
33:55 Island and not all getting off
33:58 and and speculated where did they end up
34:01 well many of them turn around um and
34:02 what we found was they were doing that
34:05 as tourists to get their MacBooks out
34:06 and their cameras out and photographed
34:08 down the radial connections that
34:09 uniquely intersect at that part of the
34:12 square wow we hadn't noticed that that
34:13 was something new that the brief hadn't
34:17 set out and so we proposed that we we
34:18 might do something with that perhaps we
34:20 should pedestrianized this bit as well
34:22 as the brief had set out pedestrianized
34:24 that part take the traffic out of the
34:26 gyratory that was one way in the Square
34:29 at the time we said well maybe but we
34:30 definitely think we should do something
34:31 about that and that was a provocation
34:33 back to the client that I think got the
34:36 client interested in us as a team and we
34:38 found two of those suits walk the square
34:40 and that really helped to define the
34:42 problem um when we built a computer
34:44 model of the
34:47 square uh spatial graph computer model
34:49 no input of The Pedestrian movement but
34:52 a really close proxy to those observed
34:55 patterns we were able to diagnose that
34:57 what the London suits are doing is find
34:59 the simplest the path of least
35:01 resistance around the edge of the square
35:04 the spatial track of least of least
35:07 depth uh around the square by contrast
35:10 these the the staircases that were there
35:12 in the corner of the square were
35:14 convoluted you had to dog leg your way
35:16 to go down them and that gave us a
35:19 design uh provocation it said let's
35:21 change those staircases and we we
35:24 proposed making diagonal staircases here
35:26 and the historic preservation people
35:29 said absolutely no way said okay um well
35:32 what about a new staircase and That Was
35:35 Then the the proposal to say well let's
35:37 go away from the situation on the left
35:38 let's create the situation on the right
35:42 draw people down a new staircase through
35:44 the middle of the square and create this
35:45 crisscross through the heart of the
35:48 square that would bring people in we
35:50 modeled that and demonstrated all that
35:53 the early design pre-planning stage uh
35:56 the benefits of doing so we worked with
35:58 the computer graphics people to put the
36:00 right number of kids with balloons into
36:02 the image based on The Pedestrian
36:05 forecasts that we that we' done and uh
36:06 and the other thing that you could just
36:08 maybe pick out there is we said we think
36:10 people are going to sit on these steps
36:12 because they'll be a natural Gathering
36:15 Place and then planning took an awful
36:17 long time this is grade one listed
36:19 highest level of historic preservation
36:23 of um of any site um so should take a
36:25 long time get it right and then we
36:28 opened on day one it looked like this
36:30 and thank goodness it was working people
36:33 were coming down the stairs uh no kids
36:36 with balloons sorry um but people
36:38 sitting people flowing on day one week
36:40 one month one and ever since and this
36:43 has been a great result in terms of
36:45 making a very significant multi-million
36:48 pound uh change to public space and and
36:51 actually it working which is not always
36:53 what happens and those spaces have
36:55 become those stairs have become a
36:59 natural Gathering point uh four people
37:01 and there are 13 times the number of
37:03 londoners using Trafalga Square as there
37:05 were before because we did the metrics
37:08 we counted before and we counted after
37:10 and that that was a the authorities that
37:12 commissioned this were then able to
37:14 justify their Investments and their
37:15 investment planning decisions against
37:18 that which then gave them leverage for
37:21 future decisions so this process is one
37:23 of observing explaining forecasting and
37:25 delivering um I'll make this
37:26 presentation available I'm conscious of
37:28 time so I'm going to keep cycling
37:30 through um and you can go back to it at
37:32 your at your leisure that's the mayor of
37:34 London this is a different project um he
37:36 was smiling because the local community
37:39 had voted 80% in favor of a fairly
37:45 radical um change to its local area um
37:47 and that change had come about through
37:49 the same sort of process of observing
37:50 and explaining I think I've got some
37:52 slides of it in a moment and building a
37:56 design on the basis of of of science um
37:58 this is the bridge that W if you if
37:59 anybody knows the Millennium bridge in
38:02 London famously wobbled um I'm very
38:03 pleased to say we put the wobble in the
38:06 bridge uh This was um only going to
38:08 happen if it was used by pedestrians it
38:10 was the volume of use which created the
38:13 oscillations um and we were able to
38:15 identify this location as being optimal
38:17 for a bridge before Norman Foster won
38:20 the competition uh to build it we we
38:21 were not working with Foster we were
38:23 working with the new take gallery that
38:24 was really concerned that this new
38:26 bridge would not work and um they
38:29 commissioned us and we found actually
38:30 yes it's a superb location it was
38:33 glowing orange on the map and we were
38:35 able by looking at other Bridges uh in
38:39 this process to to take to do
38:40 observations at all of the London
38:43 bridges in the Central Area found this
38:45 embarrassingly good correlation between
38:47 their spatial accessibility and their
38:49 levels of pedestrian use when the
38:51 numbers are that high it's a bit
38:52 embarrassing because you want them to be
38:54 slightly lower otherwise it looks like a
38:56 fix it wasn't people are reading space
38:59 as they cross Bridges in London and then
39:02 we said well let's measure the new
39:05 location uh came out with a level of 5.5
39:06 let's put it onto the regression line
39:09 and project its pedestrian movement flow
39:11 and if you go from 1,400 people per hour
39:13 at lunchtime up to annual you get
39:16 something like 4.4 million people so we
39:18 were able to say we think this bridge is
39:21 going to deliver at least 4.4 million
39:25 people um that was surprising people
39:27 thought 1 million people would use the
39:28 Bridge a year I don't know where they
39:30 got that number from but they said a
39:33 million in fact uh between 7 and 8
39:34 million people a year are now using that
39:37 bridge um at least 4.4 was our advice
39:39 building a great Art Gallery at one end
39:43 creates addition additional movement but
39:47 any development 4.4 million would be uh
39:49 the figure and um again a great result
39:51 different kind of bridge which I've put
39:53 in um just at the last minute because
39:55 I've been looking for pedestrian
39:56 Crossings in this city and not always
39:58 finding them where I wanted them to be
40:00 so I've done a lot of jaywalking and I
40:03 have I been illegal in DC is it illegal to
40:04 to
40:06 jwalk technically okay well I was with
40:08 lots of other people I was with lots of other
40:09 other
40:12 jaywalkers um and
40:15 um pedestrian Bridges at surface level
40:17 across roads is a big part of the the
40:19 work that we're doing and trying to find
40:22 beauty in the humble pedestrian Crossing
40:24 trying to make them object of landscape
40:26 design this is a perfect equilateral
40:28 triangle but that just happen to come
40:31 out as being the ideal um pedestrian
40:34 Crossings for this particular location
40:36 and trying to give them as much love as
40:38 um other bits of landscape design that
40:40 are often given more this actually sits
40:42 within this larger master plan as I go
40:45 up a scale um a a new system of streets
40:47 and spaces that the mayor was smiling
40:49 about earlier uh which had been built on
40:52 the basis of our analysis but also I
40:54 want to make sure everybody
40:58 appreciates speculative sketching uh the
41:01 intuition the emotion The Poetry the
41:03 subjective all of the other bits of the
41:04 design and planning process which are
41:07 non-scientific there's room for both uh
41:09 you work between a Sketchbook and a
41:11 laptop in my experience um for what it's
41:14 worth this is my sketch so I like to
41:16 work like this and I like to work with
41:19 all the colored lines as well and craft
41:22 the solution uh between the two check
41:23 out the sketch you begin to Intuit it
41:26 when you've done it for as long as I
41:29 have and then commissioned the the fancy
41:31 graphics on the basis of um what is
41:35 coming out of the initial con uh spatial
41:36 analysis ending up with some really
41:38 hard-nosed pedestrian flow forecasts
41:39 that we then sat down with the
41:41 commercial operators the retail
41:42 operators and said are these are the
41:44 sorts of pedestrian flows that you need
41:46 to let a shop in this location so that
41:49 we had both a uh an environmental as
41:51 well as a commercial strategy for the
41:53 development um I think this is my last
41:57 project before I I get to DC which is um
41:59 jeda looking at the whole of a city this
42:00 is a commission from the mayor of the
42:03 city uh to fix the sprawl the Decay and
42:06 the pollution of the city of jeda the
42:09 Gateway City to the two holy cities of
42:11 Mecca in the East and Medina in the
42:15 north jeda incredibly important Gateway
42:18 City uh for trade and and for
42:22 pilgrimage and um very long story short
42:25 um the plan is based on slowing down
42:26 those Urban motorways I showed at the
42:29 beginning to create boulevards uh we
42:31 were concerned about Pro proposing a
42:34 western idiom uh but it was welcomed uh
42:37 as being uh in keeping with the historic
42:40 character of the city uh we found by
42:42 working with the historic analysis that
42:44 the sus of the city were linear like
42:46 high streets and that the growth of the
42:48 Suk into the High Street Boulevard was
42:51 it was a natural thing to be proposing
42:55 that was working with uh um local
42:57 experts as well um this is a piece of
42:59 landscape urbanism if you want to call
43:00 it that which I normally wouldn't
43:02 because there's a great Green Park
43:04 through the middle of this and um it's
43:06 all based on reconnecting and slowing
43:09 down a city that had become severed and
43:10 underneath all of these connections is
43:12 the hard infrastructure of sewage and
43:14 freshwater uh delivery which is going in
43:17 at the same time as the greenery above
43:19 um taking the city from where it is on
43:21 the left not taking the city in the
43:23 direction that the former local plan
43:24 would have taken it which is great
43:27 tracts of blue segregated development to
43:29 the North and South you may be aware
43:31 it's still uncommon for women to drive
43:35 in jeda um it's um it's generally not
43:38 tolerated apparently it's legal but not
43:41 tolerated for women to drive so imagine
43:45 living in a specially segregated piece
43:47 of the city fragmented from the rest of
43:52 your Society community and economy um
43:53 we're trying to avoid that by creating
43:55 conditions where first of all the city
43:58 connects globally but it also as it is
44:00 on the right that heat is if you like
44:02 the healthy movement the slow speed
44:04 movement um but it also connected The
44:08 Pedestrian scale and absolutely critical
44:09 to everything I've been talking about in
44:11 terms of spatial and water
44:12 infrastructure is the green
44:14 infrastructure to create the canopy of
44:16 trees to create the shade to lower the
44:18 street temperature to create a lar
44:21 larger walking opportunity during the
44:24 year and um although we hadn't expected
44:26 it this image here was very provocative
44:29 um because a lot of the uh people that
44:30 we showed it
44:35 to um wondered if it was a historic
44:38 image um or or we recreated it from a
44:41 historic image and uh we said No it's
44:43 it's a Google Google SketchUp based on
44:45 the master plan and we just blurred it a
44:48 bit to give it a bit of character um
44:50 that's interesting they said because um
44:52 I remember when Jedi used to look like
44:54 this my grandfather we had so many
44:56 stories of my grandfather took me around
44:59 the m market and I held his hand and we
45:02 and it was a generational thing that um
45:04 probably in 10 or 20 years time people
45:07 would not be able to remember so um I
45:09 think the time frame for many of these
45:11 interventions is very short in very in
45:14 many historic cities that have been
45:17 ruined by Transportation insensitive
45:19 Transportation because uh often what's
45:21 needed as a trigger a memory of
45:24 familiarity of an alternative and and
45:26 when kids have been growing their whole
45:28 lives living in cars without the
45:30 alternative it's very hard for them then
45:32 to make decisions for the alternative
45:34 it's a huge
45:38 risk um okay to finish I I I put this
45:41 together and make of it what you will um
45:44 uh it's an idea which is
45:49 that uh on reflection most of the briefs
45:52 that I'm given by my clients are about
45:53 increasing the spatial layout efficiency
45:56 of their of their domains whether it's a
45:59 public space or the whole of a city and
46:00 um so I've put a graph together where
46:02 spatial layout efficiency is on the
46:04 horizontal axis low medium
46:07 high and the age of the settlement in
46:11 years is on a probably an exponential
46:14 scale one year 100 years or a thousand
46:17 years um which city is only a year old
46:19 well actually there's lots of slums that
46:21 are just over a couple of years old
46:23 there's lots of refugee camps which are
46:24 less than a year old so there's room
46:26 down there which I'll try and fill later on
46:27 on
46:29 uh and just a thought that if you take a
46:30 city like
46:32 London um and perhaps we can think about
46:35 Washington as well in a moment um I
46:38 think cities move oscillate in terms of
46:40 their spatial efficiency according to
46:43 their growth their history and it's
46:46 always this dilemma between the city
46:48 growing industrially as London did so
46:52 take London in the 16th century um it
46:55 had a very tight compact grid I've given
46:56 it high spatial efficiency this isn't
46:59 BAS B on any rigorous research it's
47:01 based on me sitting down for a couple of
47:03 hours last night okay so everything I
47:05 said earlier about rigorous academic
47:07 forget for this bit pardon and forgive
47:10 me um the industrial overcrowding um as
47:12 London became industrial industrialized
47:14 created great social and economic
47:18 problems the Jos the slums of London
47:21 that were then cleared out and replaced
47:23 by development especially public
47:25 transportation to improve the spatial
47:27 efficiency by adding public transport
47:29 that made the glob added a global
47:32 connectivity to the local then after the
47:34 second world war London spatial
47:36 efficiency was reduced by the massive
47:38 growth and massive failure of its public
47:41 housing program most public housing
47:43 built in London after the second world
47:47 war failed um it's a story which is not
47:50 particularly Well published but the fact
47:53 that those housing Estates have been
47:55 systematically demolished and replaced
47:57 and continue to do so and sometimes more
47:59 than once uh it shows just what a
48:02 problem we we have had in the past
48:04 creating public housing and in recent
48:07 years as as London's got older uh the
48:09 growth of public space projects like
48:11 trala square and the cycling uh system
48:14 which I'm sure you're familiar with uh
48:16 London's cycle uh Boris bikes I think
48:17 they're called I've been away in the
48:19 last year since it's really opened but
48:21 when I have gone back it's phenomenal
48:22 how many people are now cycling in
48:24 London that they already were in large
48:27 numbers but they're now in much larger
48:30 numbers um so cities are always trying
48:31 to get over to the right as they go up
48:33 to the top as they get
48:36 older um where would we place the world
48:39 cities right now um let me start with
48:42 slums I I I know there are different
48:43 kinds of slums some have very high
48:45 spatial efficiency and should not be
48:47 demolished because they're just
48:50 wonderful they just need to be improved
48:52 in terms of their built Fabric and
48:55 sometimes connected to the outside in
48:57 slum condition too some of them are
49:00 worthy of Demolition and replacement but
49:03 to categorize a slum as um uh should
49:05 only be demolished is is wrong and a lot
49:08 of our work is about getting our clients
49:09 to recognize that the United Kingdom
49:12 built a lot of new towns between one and
49:16 100 years ago um all almost all but one
49:20 uh operate below the national average of
49:23 economic performance massive failure of
49:26 town planning post second world war
49:28 again not popularly discussed uh where
49:32 would you put Detroit Sydney Washington
49:34 on this scale I'm not just trying to be
49:37 nice to you I genuinely believe this
49:40 this city on a global scale is acting at
49:43 the top end of the game and although you
49:46 were all trying to push it further um
49:48 this is a hugely impressive City I'm
49:51 very pleased to say um tell me I'm wrong
49:53 because I don't know all the details you
49:56 do but my impression is pretty good uh
49:58 there's geda that's it's a city that's
50:03 um well over a thousand years old um but
50:05 it's really been pushed back and its
50:07 graph would have shown it going like
50:09 that rather than London sort of
50:12 oscillating around because early mid
50:14 20th century traffic engineering kicked
50:16 in and it just went straight down the
50:20 scale um that's Bucharest the influence
50:22 of communist planning uh severing the
50:25 city Bucharest is moving probably uh in
50:26 this direction as it's reorganizing it's
50:28 public transport and pedestrian movement
50:31 Beijing Paris London I'm speculating
50:33 again um I think that's it I'd love to
50:35 take some questions and hopefully I've
50:38 provoked some thoughts on on your behalf
50:40 um oh yes uh where's The Pedestrian
50:43 Crossing um because there's obviously a
50:45 demand for it um I I'm really sorry I'm
50:47 just getting to the to the punch lines
50:51 here um here's this wonderful City and
50:52 um this is a friend of mine who wrote
50:55 his PhD thesis about 15 years ago and I
50:57 found this in the archive it's a spatial
51:01 analysis of of the capital and um I know
51:03 from all the work of all the students
51:04 I've ever taught that it's full of
51:07 mistakes um and Mark would admit that
51:09 himself but um I'll leave it up there
51:11 perhaps during the discussion because
51:14 I'm very open to uh any thoughts you
51:16 have as to whether this is telling any
51:18 kind of story about the city but um
51:20 please let's let's have some general