0:01 this betting strategy offers massive
0:04 results from Tiny stakes and stacks the
0:07 odds in your favor imagine securing
0:11 638 in potential profit from 25 piece
0:13 Stakes knowing that mathematically
0:15 you're destined to win sound too good to
0:19 be true it happens every day so in this
0:22 video I'll show you exactly how and why
0:24 is possible by the end we'll have broken
0:26 down the strategy using a real world
0:28 example highlighted where and when is
0:31 best used and looked at some results
0:33 quite literally anyone can do it but
0:35 also what happens if this strategy goes
0:37 wrong hang in there because we'll cover
0:38 it all now I'll walk you through this
0:40 betting strategy and place some bets as
0:43 an example so that everyone understands
0:45 but first I need to give some context
0:47 the lucky 15 is a type of accumulator
0:49 bet that can be used on multiple
0:51 sporting events such as football horse
0:54 racing or Greyhounds it consists of four
0:57 selections divided into several bets
1:00 four singles six doubles four trebles
1:02 and one fourfold accumulator alog
1:05 together this makes 15 individual bets
1:08 giving the BET its name lucky 15 however
1:10 if you're placing a lucky 15 bet on
1:12 horse racing alone there's an extra
1:14 option that you can see here with my
1:16 example bet I placed it this morning
1:18 I'll get to the results in a minute but
1:20 making the bet each way means that it
1:23 makes all bets within the lucky 15 each
1:25 way for those unaware and each way bet
1:28 is a bet on both the horse winning and
1:31 or being placed so instead of 15 bets it
1:33 means there's now 30 different betting
1:36 lines on the slip doubling our stake now
1:38 this is important stuff because this
1:41 strategy focuses on a unique exploit
1:44 within this particular bet type to get
1:46 maximum profit from minimum Stakes we
1:48 must Source the right betting selections
1:50 to put on our bet slip in the past it's
1:53 taken me a lot of time to find them but
1:56 we've in this example I did it in just
1:58 seconds because I took a shortcut with
2:00 the help of today's sponsor value
2:02 betting by odds monkey their lucky
2:04 finder to sourced all of the bets and
2:06 crunched numbers for me in just a single
2:08 click it's not just me though since
2:11 release their users have recorded a
2:14 12.44% return on investment using it
2:16 combined all of these new tools that
2:18 they've just released have bashed The
2:20 Bookies for a 16% return to put that
2:25 into context sing £25 per bet on just 10
2:26 bets per month covers the cost of an
2:29 early bird membership for the entire
2:31 year but it won't be available for long
2:33 they've told me that the 449 price is a
2:36 one-time offer that will never return on
2:37 the 1st of December the annual
2:39 membership doubles to
2:42 £999 per year so if we look at my
2:44 example bet slip four of the horses have
2:47 been selected using decimal odds sisters
2:52 in the sky at 3.75 in a 308 Pho at 5.5
2:57 in 323 Pina Rossa at 7.0 in the 358 and
3:00 star of du buy at 9.0 in the six p.m.
3:04 now the overalls for the lucky 15 are
3:07 2552 to1 with an expected value
3:09 percentage of 11
3:13 15.1% now expected value simply means
3:14 the average amount we would expect to
3:18 win or lose per bet over the long term
3:20 based on probability so this means
3:23 mathematically there's a value margin of
3:27 15.1% in our favor on this bet for
3:29 Clarity on average this bet is expected
3:31 to pay out
3:34 9637 more than it's truly worth however
3:36 if you look at the individual expected
3:39 values via the value betting software we
3:40 can see that the expected values on the
3:43 place portions of this bet are
3:44 significantly higher than the BET's
3:47 total average this happens because the
3:49 software is selecting bets where the
3:51 betting odds and place terms for that
3:53 particular race have created a
3:56 mathematical advantage to the player so
3:59 why is this significant well first of
4:00 all there's a lot more chance of a horse
4:02 placing so there's more chance of a
4:05 winner but secondly there's an increased
4:07 chance of winning a strong value margin
4:10 when the horse does place for those who
4:11 aren't familiar with the concept of
4:14 value betting getting real mathematical
4:16 value from a bet is all that matters it
4:19 means to identify odds where the payout
4:21 exceeds the probability of the event
4:23 happening just like a bookmaker we can't
4:25 predict the future short-term results
4:27 will fluctuate however if we bear at
4:30 Value over an extended period the math
4:33 is proven we are guaranteed to win now
4:35 this strategy works in the same way that
4:37 a bookmaker does when they offer poor
4:39 value ODS except it's flipped the whole
4:42 situation on its head working in our
4:45 favor instead and The Bookies absolutely
4:47 hate it but there's a way to avoid being
4:49 noticed by them I'll explain how in a
4:51 moment historically bookies love
4:53 accumulator style bets because each bad
4:55 value selection is Multiplied against
4:58 each other to create a really bad value
5:00 accumulator which of course course means
5:02 more profit for them as a clear example
5:04 if we were to take a four-fold betar
5:07 where the bookmaker odds offer a 96%
5:10 payout with a 4% margin in their favor
5:12 the total payout percentage for the
5:14 fourfold becomes just
5:18 84.9% drastically less than the 100%
5:20 it's truly worth but as you can see with
5:23 my bets in this example the good value
5:25 that has been identified is Multiplied
5:27 against each other creating even more
5:29 value for our bet whilst creating a
5:32 potential for a big payout now before I
5:34 dive into the results I want to address
5:36 the biggest obstacles with this strategy
5:39 first when is the best time to use this
5:41 betting strategy now I place my example
5:44 bet around 10:00 a.m. because typically
5:46 between 10:00 a.m. and 12:00 noon is the
5:49 best time to place these bets why
5:50 because this is when there's the most
5:53 value left on the table of The Bookies
5:55 it's that sweet spot where the bookies
5:57 are actively adjusting odds to balance
5:59 their books overnight bets and early
6:01 morning activity leave gaps in liquidity
6:03 where a lot of the odds don't reflect
6:05 the true probabilities by midm morning
6:07 though there's enough money coming into
6:09 the marketplace for bet and prices to
6:12 start correcting and provide quality
6:14 data but not so much that all the value
6:17 is gone for these reasons it's really
6:19 the easiest time to find Value now we
6:21 could try and find these value bets
6:23 without any software but in order to do
6:25 it we' need to understand all of the
6:27 variables that contribute to a value
6:29 each way selection pick four good ones
6:31 ahead of time and then do the relevant
6:33 maths really quickly in the past I've
6:35 done it without value betting tools like
6:37 this and the process becomes a
6:39 logistical nightmare because you'd need
6:41 to compare the ODS across multiple book
6:43 makers analyze each horse's win
6:46 probability and factor in the play terms
6:47 for that particular race for each
6:50 selection and then cross check all four
6:52 market prices and get the bet on without
6:54 the odds changing I won't dive into how
6:56 the process is done now because it
6:58 becomes confusing really quite quickly
7:00 even the most experienced better find it
7:02 difficult and that's why these tools are
7:04 invaluable they save time reduce human
7:06 error ensure that the slip is optimized
7:09 for value and allow anyone to do it just
7:11 look at some of the early bird results
7:13 from other users the second big problem
7:15 is State restrictions and getting
7:18 bookies to take bets that they initially
7:20 advertise already I know there will be
7:22 comments about this down below so let's
7:24 tackle this one head on bookmakers
7:26 monitor accounts closely for consistent
7:29 winners however placing smaller bets and
7:30 spreading them across multiple book
7:33 makers to minimize the risk of detection
7:35 is a good idea focus on consistency
7:37 because short-term fluctuations are
7:39 normal the long-term Edge is where this
7:41 strategy shines one tip for placing
7:44 value lucky 15s is to do it in shop the
7:46 till star are clueless they wouldn't
7:49 know a value bet on a lucky 15 if hit
7:50 them Square in the face with the
7:52 software in a browser on your phone is
7:54 simple now if you're betting online as
7:56 with any other value betting there's a
7:58 chance that the account may get
8:00 restricted but honestly what's the point
8:02 in wasting time to preserve an account
8:04 where you're only allowed to lose my
8:07 advice would be to lock in the value and
8:09 move on so finally let's look at the
8:12 final results for my lucky 15 example
8:16 with an eway lucky 15 staking 25 P per
8:18 line my total stake was
8:21 £750 the potential payout if all four of
8:24 the selections won was £ 63817
8:27 63817
8:29 9637 more than the BET was true really
8:32 worth however I had no such luck on this
8:35 occasion sisters in the sky came fourth
8:38 and Pina Rossa came second so the win
8:40 portion of their bets lost although the
8:43 place part won now fso came first
8:45 meaning that both the win and place won
8:48 and star of du buy was a flop coming in
8:50 forth so on this occasion we made a
8:52 minor profit of £740 although
8:55 realistically it doesn't matter we still
8:57 had a great value bet that beat the
8:59 market by 15.1%
9:02 and the maths don't lie this strategy
9:04 really works over the long term if the
9:06 simulation was rerun we would win far
9:09 more than we lose just like the three
9:11 other tools that are available with
9:12 value beted membership you can check
