The current geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, specifically Iran's threat to block oil passage through the Strait of Hormuz, echo the 1973 oil crisis and present a significant wealth-building opportunity for informed investors, while complacent ones risk substantial losses.
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If you own gold or silver or even just a
41k with stocks, what's happening right
now in the Middle East could be the
single biggest wealth event of your
lifetime. Iran's revolutionary guard
just declared that, and I quote, "Not a
liter of oil will pass through the
straight of Hormus." That is 20% of the
world's oil supply gone. And the last
time something like this happened, 1973,
before I was born, certainly before
Winston was born, the stock market lost
45% of its value. Gold went up over 2,000%
2,000%
and most regular investors got
absolutely destroyed because nobody told
them what was coming. So, by the end of
this video, you'll understand exactly
what happens in 1973, why it's happening
again, and the specific playbook that
Wall Street insiders are using right now
to protect and grow their wealth while
everybody else is panicking. My name is
Felix Preen. I'm an ex-investment
banker. That's Winston back there, the
head of our research division, which is
uh sleepy. And I've seen this play out,
not in 73, but I've seen crisis play out
since. And I always see again and again
how retail investors get just
slaughtered while a lot of people, well
not that many people, but the Wall
Street guys make a heck of a lot of
money. And I'm going to do something
even better for you than this video,
which will get you up to scratch with
what the heck's going on there and how
to protect yourself and everything else.
But if you really want to learn how to
pick stocks in moments like these, and
these are the greatest opportunities in
my humble opinion than ever, remember
last year we had that that tariff crash.
The people who knew how to pick stocks
in that moment, they just carried that
rally back out and they just got
wealthier, right? So Wall Street has got
three really simple rules for that, but
I'm not going to explain them to you in
this video because that will take like
an hour or two. So, I'm going to run a
live session for you guys this weekend
at phoenix.org/training and teach you
Wall Street's secret three rules for
buying stocks. It's free. Just get
yourself a free seat and show up on
time. Fenixpens.org/training and I'll
walk you through all of that because the
guys on the big banks, they've seen this
movie before, 73, 1979,
1990, 2003. And every single time the
investors who understood history, they
made fortunes. The ones who didn't well
they're still trying to recover and
they're still like you know waking up in
the middle of the night going no you
know that kind of thing. So let me
briefly take you back to the early '7s.
America was cruising literally the whole
nation had become in the words of one
historian swift and mobile flowing along
over a great network of highways more
than 3 million miles long. And Americans
felt like there was plenty oil plenty of
coal and people were finding new ways to
use that energy every day. Gas was
really cheap. Cars were enormous,
ginormous cars. I want one of those. And
and nobody really thought twice about
filling up the tank. Actually, if you if
you do you own one of those, do you own
one of those big old enormous 60s US
cars? Put the model in in the in the
chat down below. I'd be interested. And
the American dream literally ran on
petroleum. Supply was endless seemingly.
And by 1969,
American domestic oil production had
peaked. So the US was becoming more and
more reliant on foreign oil, you know,
foreign buggers like me, oil, except I'm
also an Arab. So they were importing
about 35% of their supply from the
loveliest in the Middle East. Nobody
cared because oil was cheap and when
something is cheap, people just assume
it's going to be cheap forever, right?
And here is why I'm telling you this,
because that exact complacency, that's
what we had before February 28th. Oil
was pretty cheap. The straight of
Hammoose was open and most investors
assumed it would stay that way forever.
Then October 73, Israel's attack by
Egypt and Syria, the Yam Kapoor war and
the US backs Israel and Saudi Arabia
along with other Arab OPEC nations
decides to use the one weapon America
never saw coming. They turned off the
tap. The OPEC oil embargo hit the United
States very hard, like a freight train.
Oil prices didn't just go up, they
quadrupled from $3 a barrel. Yeah,
inflation is is is is a real thing, by
the way. $3 a barrel, it went to $12.
Gas stations went out. Fuel signs went
up everywhere, literally saying, "Sorry,
out of gas closed." Right? That kind of
thing. There was a limit. You could only
get 10 gallons when you were buying gas.
And Americans were waiting in line for
hours just to fill up the car. The cost
of living shot up 8%. Food prices went
up 19%. fured 56,000
workers and cities started turning off
their street lights to save energy.
That's how serious it was. And the
government's response, President El
Nixon, who was also dealing with a
little thing called Watergate at the
time, well, he lit the Christmas tree at
the White House with only 20% of its
normal lights because nothing says we've
got things under control than a dimly
lit Christmas tree. But what people
don't really talk about is what happened
to investors. And that's the real lesson
that you can apply to today. The 1973
stock market crash was one of the worst
since the Great Depression. He rubs his
hands. Yay, opportunity. You know the
buying rules. You know what I'm talking
about. Come and join me on uh on
Saturday. Felix Renselog/training.
The Dow went down 45%. 45% right? That's
like half of people's retirements gone.
And it wasn't just America. London lost
73% of its value. Hong Kong dropped like
crazy. Global wealth was being
incinerated, literally. But here's the
part that should terrify every 401k and
IRA holder watching this. The US stock
market didn't recover to its real value
until 1993.
That's 20 years. Now, those of you who
are looking at charts going, "No, no,
it's not 20 years." Yeah, if you
adjusted for inflation because the
market just goes up and with inflation,
but if you actually take care of that,
that was 20 years. So, you were 45 when
the crash hit. You're planning to retire
at 65 and congratulations, you're back
to where you were and you were 45,
right? And those 20 years were a
economic wasteland. Now, does any of
that sound familiar? This is not a doom
and gloom video, right? We're we're
looking at opportunities here. We have a
Middle East conflict. We have an oil
supply disruption that is actually very
hard to control because as long as Iran
has like a couple of drones lying around
and they can strap, you know, a hand
grenade to it, they can seriously
disrupt oil flow. So, we've got
inflation going up. We've got the stock
market going down. You're getting that
dja vu right now. And if you're getting
that déja vu right now, put 1973 in the
comments and I'll see that this is
landing for you. Now while the
stockholders were getting slaughtered in
the 70s, gold did something
extraordinary. Just during the OPEC
embargo in 73, gold rose 65% but that
was just the amuse bush as they say in
fancy restaurants. In 71 you see Nixon
had taken the US off the gold standard.
Gold was never no longer pegged at a
fixed price of $35 an ounce. It was free
to find its real price while they were
printing money like it was, you know,
fun. And gold went from $35 to $120 by mid73
mid73
and then kept climbing. By 1980, it had
hit $850 an ounce. That's a $2,300%
increase from its 71 price. So, say you
put 10K into that, you would have ended
up with $243,000.
Silver, well, it went way way way
up to 50 bucks in 1980s. So what's the
key insight here? Well, what I learned
from my Wall Street mentors, guys who
worked in banking for decades, the 70s
proved something that most financial
advisor still might tell you might be
they don't know about it. When
governments print a lot of money, when
inflation runs hot, when you get wars,
chaos that disrupts our energy supply,
paper assets get destroyed. Hard assets
like gold and silver become the safe
haven. At least that's my interpretation
of it. Now, lots of people will tell
you, "Oh, 1973, it's ancient history.
Forget about it." No, it's actually a
user manual for right now. Because think
of it like this. Gold and silver are
financial fire extinguishers. You don't
need them and everything is fine. But
when the building's on fire, and right
now the building is very much on fire,
at least in the Middle East, they're the
only thing standing between you and
potential room. Now, if you're still
thinking, well, what do I buy? How do I
protect myself? How do I benefit from
this this dip? And at the moment it's a
dip. It could get a lot worse. Then join
me on Saturday. It will be a free live
trading where I teach you Wall Street's
very own rules for picking stocks. The
same rules my mentors taught me. The
same rules that helped investors
navigate the 70s, the 2008, and every
crisis in between. And if you want to
learn how to protect your portfolio and
actually potentially profit when markets
go haywire, join me live. The link is in
the description. Felix runs.org/training
/training or might see it on the screen
as well that you can just click on it
down there. And if you're planning to
show a show up for that, write write
learn in the in the comments because
that's really what it's all about. It's
about learning skills for situations
just like this. Now, we need to talk
about the elephant in the room, the
straight of humus. Most of us will
remember that last June, US and Israel
contracted strikes on Iran's nuclear
facilities and they said, well, the
Department of Defense estimated they set
back Iran's nuclear program by 2 years.
Iran's response, well, they claim they
rebuild everything. Their foreign
minister says they're prepared for
defense. Iran's revolutionary guard has
shut down the straight of Hermus where
one in five barrels of oil that the
world digs up u passes every single day.
Now, we actually keep track of this. We
have a tool that I built. You can get
access to that. It's like six bucks a
week. Uh you can cancel at any time and
we do that because we want you guys to
be um really really well informed. And
it tells you literally what's going on,
where it's happening. It shows also the
oil infrastructure. So, if you want to
see where the pipelines are, for
example, um not just that one, but all
the all the major pipelines around the
world, it tells you all of that and it
tells you, you know, which one's
important or which one isn't. Um, it
gives you important military flights.
You can see those. Um, if you're into
oil, gold and silver, seismic activity
as an earthquakes is actually pretty
important. For example, as we go come
into hurricane season, hurricanes and
everything else, shipping lanes, all
that good stuff is there. Um, and the
news will feed into this minuteby
minute. You can also see life the actual
not just the straight of Hmus because
that's important right now but say you
want to see the Red Sea and if that's
going all right or the sewers canal or
the Panama Canal or any of them uh Black
Sea and so on you can see exactly what's
going on there uh together with our
trackers for gold and silver and and
everything else that's really really
important intelligent digest and so on.
That's all available for you guys if you
want to check that out. There's a part
of our community. It's, as I say, six
packs a week, $623, I think, and you can
just cancel it if you don't like it. So,
check it out down below. Now, oil prices
have gone pretty haywire. Uh, they went
to like $120. At the moment, they're a
little bit lower, but still increased
2%. Yes. Yeah. Brent crude oil prices at
over $100, which is pretty bonkers. Um,
and is definitely therefore feeding
significantly into inflation, right? Uh
there are about a thousand ships
stranded in the Persian Gulf, Iran is
warning of $200
oil. And literally, if you look at if
you look up the straight of Hmus here
and you see this massive pile up here of
tankers. Look how busy that is. These
are all tankers who don't know what the
heck to do because they want to go in,
they want to pick up oil and gas and
fertilizer and everything else and they
can't. So this is like one of the most
crowded places in the world for oil
tankers because everyone's terrified to
cross this. See how see how empty that
is? See, I empty that list. That is not
normal. That is not what this normally
looks like. Now, the International
Energy Agency has responded by proposing
the largest release of emergency oil
reserves in history. 400 million
barrels. The US is tapping its own
strategic petroleum reserve or what's
left of it, 172 million barrels. So,
officially um everything is under
control, right? the the the strategic
petroleum reserve will stabilize market
which basically means we're dumping our
emergency savings account into the
market and we're praying it works and
this will be over soon. Now Iranian
economy is obviously in freef fall
inflation is up and everything else. Um
nuclear negotiations well they're
completely failed and over that'll never
happen again and
both sides are basically dug in. Now let
me show you why this matters for your
money. Now let's put 73 1973 and right
now side by side. The first parallel is
the trigger. Uh in 1973 there was an
OPEC embargo by Arab nations for
punishing the US for supporting Israel.
Now Iran is blocking the straight of
Hormuz in response to the USIsraeli
strikes. Both times a Middle East
conflict directly targeting oil supply
as a weapon against the West. The second
parallel is that oil went from $3 to $12
4x in in 73 uh is surged past you know
100 bucks with warnings of $200. So the
percentage movements are different and
that's because the US is a much larger
oil producer now than it was but the
price shock is still there. And then the
inflation it went to 8 to 14% in the
70s. Food went up 19% for example. Why?
because fertilizer is an oil derived
product. And right now where we're
looking at 2.4% inflation, right? We're
looking forward to a year of interest
rate cuts. Well, now economists are
projecting it could hit 3 and a half% or
higher. And that means interest rates
will not go down and that will impact
your tech stocks, your fintech stocks,
your biotech stocks, your AI stocks. And
most people are still unaware. So, if
you see the parallels between 73 and
right now, maybe write rhymes in the
comments because I think history always
does. It's a Mark Twain quote, isn't it?
History doesn't repeat itself, but it
sure does rhyme. Is that a Mark Twain
quote? Also, if you let know that, put a
put a Twain in the comments right there.
Now, gold. Gold surged past 5,300
straight after the strikes. One of the
most dramatic safe haven rallies we've
seen. Central banks have been buying
gold like their lives depend on it. And
silver, well, it broke $100 for the
first time ever. Comx silver inventories
are are draining hard. Uh that's also
something we track. By the way, in the
same same community that you can get
access to by the link down below, you
can track in here how much silver
there's left in Comx, for example, how
much gold there's left in Comx. And the
the trend is pretty pretty punishing,
right? Pretty punishing stuff. So
central banks are holding silver. China
is restricting silver exports. Comx
vaults are draining and the official
advice is uh stay in 6040 portfolios,
stocks and bonds. Woohoo. Keep doing
what you've always done, right? Yeah.
The world's changed a little bit. JP
Morgan says gold could hit 6,000 this
year. It could hit a lot more than that
this year if this continues. Silver
forecasts are up to $150 an ounce by
sort of more the respectable people. I'm
not talking about, you know, the
lunatics who say it's going to be $500.
So, we've established the parallels,
right? Now, let's get to the actual
part. There are five investor lessons
from 73 that could save or maybe even
make you a fortune. I'm promising that.
Not a financial adviser. I'm not
registered for anything that I'm aware
of. Now, the first lesson is energy
disruptions create inflation. Inflation
destroys paper wealth. It's not just
your gas that gets more expensive.
Everything gets expensive.
transportation goes go up, food prices
go up, manufacturing costs go up. So the
cost of living in the 70s rose 8% almost
immediately and then it peaked at like
14% by 1980. Crazy period of inflation.
So what does it mean? Well, it means if
you have $100,000 in your savings
account in 73 and by 1980 only 50k is
left in its terms of its ability to
actually buy stuff. So you lose half
your money. Now US inflation is already
running at 2%. Now we're looking at
three and a half% or more if oil is at
$100, which is where it is as I'm
recording this. So cash is definitely
not king. The people sitting on the
sidelines going, "I'm going to wait this
thing out." Yeah, they're taking the
most risk. But the investors who held a
hard assets, that's the lesson from the
70s, gold, silver, commodities, they
preserved and they grew their wealth.
The ones in cash and bonds got
destroyed, salaries got destroyed. Now
lesson number two is governments are
always late. Always. In 1973, the US had
no strategic petroleum reserve. There
was no energy department. There was no
contingency plan. So, the most powerful
nation on Earth was called flatfooted by
an oil embargo. Uh, what did Nixon do?
Didn't the Christmas lights and and and
and Ford literally created a bumper
sticker. I'm not making this up. That
said, don't be foolish. F U L I S H. Um,
so Carter then actually tried to do
something structural. He created
Department of Energy, invested in solar.
You can put solar panels on the White
House. Reagan ripped them back off and
went back to drill baby drill. But
actually the Carter investments led to
fracking which eventually made the US an
oil exporter. So the guy who wanted to
save the planet actually the opposite
which is which is ironic. Uh the world
is full of irony. So my lesson here is
don't wait for the government to protect
your portfolio. This dumping of oil from
emergency reserves it doesn't do much.
Why? Because the market knows emergency
reserves are a band-aid. They're not a
solution. Doesn't fix anything. So by
the time politicians react, the damage
is done. The smart money moved months
ago and the government shows up with a
mop, you know, after the flood. But
institutional investors, and this is
what I learned from my Wall Street
mentors, they don't wait for government
policy. They position themselves ahead
of that and follow Wall Street's rules.
Again, same rules I'm going to teach you
if you join me live on Saturday. And
then lesson number three is there is an
oil gold relationship. And most of you
have never heard of this. It's one of
the most powerful early warning systems
in finance and it's called the go it's
called the gold oil ratio. It measures
just how many barrels of oil one ounce
of gold can buy and it tells you
something crucial about where the money
is flowing. Now in 73 before the embargo
the ratio back spiked to 34. Gold was
surging while oil was cheap. The market
was screaming that something was wrong.
Gold was pricing in the crisis before it
even happened because somebody always
knows. Then oil quadrupled and the ratio
dropped back into the mid- teens. But so
think of it this way. Gold is the
thermometer. Oil is the patient. When
gold starts running a fever, rising fast
while everything else stays fluff, it's
telling you the patient is about to get
very, very sick. And that's why I've
been watching this gold and silver rally
last year with uh well I enjoy it
because it makes me money but I also
think well it does mean there is
something seriously wrong here and it's
going to hit a lot of people flatfooted
which is why we've been covering this.
So listen when gold is running a fever
watch that ratio. Now lesson four is that
that
gold is if gold is a safe haven say
silver is the safe haven but it's taking
steroids. So in the 70s, silver didn't
just follow gold. It outperformed
massively. Silver rose, say in 2008 to
2011, silver rose 10fold. Gold tripled.
Silver's always been more volatile, but
that volatility does cut both ways. So
in bull markets, it cuts in your favor,
but when it ends, it also goes no other
way. So risk management is really,
really key here. Why? Because it's a
monetary metal like gold, safe haven,
and it's an industrial metal. It's used
in solar panels, electric vehicles, AI
infrastructure, electronic medical
devices, about all of that. So 60% of
all the silver demand comes from
industrial applications, not from
stackers. Now, silver's been in a supply
deficit for six years running. And the
gold to silver ratio, which we track
again here in our little community, at
the moment, it's at 60, which isn't
actually that unusual. When it goes
extreme, silver tends to massively
outperform. So silver gives you
essentially more bang for your buck in a
in a in a bull market, but it's also a
heck of a lot more more volatile. So
gold stability, silver for potential
upside as long as you know what you're
doing with the downside protection.
Lesson number five, and that's probably
the most important one. Complacency
kills portfolios. After the 70s oil
crisis, the US eventually developed
fracking. Oil became abundant again. And
what happened in the wake of energy
experts? fracking simply was a pressure
relief valve. People were no longer
worrying about it. And there's a guy who
served in the Carter administration
and he said, "The problem is as we got
further away from the oil embaros, we
got complacent." And that complacency is
exactly what we had before February
28th, cheap oil, open shipping lanes,
the general assumption of the Middle
East was fine and someone else's
problem. So the biggest risk in your
portfolio isn't a market crash. It's the
assumption that a crash can't happen.
The investors who got destroyed in the
70s, they were not stupid. They were
complacent. So, don't be those. And if
this video has made you rethink what
you're doing, even just a little bit,
then come and join me on Saturday at fenix.org/training
fenix.org/training
and I will teach you how Wall Street
picks stocks in this scenario and in any
scenario. And if I can summarize what we
covered today, yes, understand the
macro. Don't watch CNBC and news
endlessly. It doesn't really help you.
Uh, but do understand the macro, which
is also why we've built our our tool
here because it tells you what the
heck's going on there. Um, having some
hard assets is a good idea in my humble
opinion. Not everything, but some. And
then watch the signals, watch the
ratios, watch the COMX inventory levels,
watch what's the the bankers are doing.
And definitely don't panic, right?
Definitely don't panic. There's an
opportunity in this. But the 70s changed
the world overnight. Those who
understood it made a fortune. Those who
didn't probably still trying to recover
from it. So don't be the person who
says, "Oh, I wish I would have paid
attention, but the video was a bit too
long. I couldn't be asked." Be the one
who said, "I could see it coming. I was
prepared. I learned the rules. It was
the thing that jolted me to become a
better investor." And that's really our
ambition and mission here. So
come and show up for yourself on
Saturday. Felix ransenograining Winston
and I will be there. He might even be
awake. Winston. Winston. Hey.
So little Winston. He's pretty sleepy
today. I thank you for watching. If you
got some value out of this, share the
video with somebody so other people are
also better informed. All the best.
Right now, there is a crisis brewing in
one of the world's most important
markets, and almost no one's talking
about it. And I wasn't going to make
this video because I'm on holiday. I was working.
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