0:01 hello guys team Ducks here welcome to
0:03 this video So today we're going to talk
0:05 about how to really trade the first
0:06 Green Day especially on the recent runners
0:12 [Music]
0:15 I'm gonna cover the first Green Day on
0:18 biotech lkyl and hpx and some of the
0:19 patterns has performed exactly the same
0:22 especially for non-crowded Traders on
0:24 intraday on their first day on the round
0:26 other than that pretty much majority of
0:28 the first screen they are not tradable
0:29 so in this video I'm going to show you
0:31 some of the patterns that can be
0:32 recognized we also have a new course
0:35 that just came out I will link in the
0:37 bio and let's get into the video alright
0:39 so first one let's go over the most
0:43 recent one we had hpx this is an IPO
0:45 play we haven't had one of those tickers
0:47 for a very long time my first green day
0:50 typically what we're dealing with in the
0:51 last two months was pretty much all
0:53 biotechs right now we do have something
0:57 that's not biotechs and stock went from
1:00 9 to 15 on really thin volume so I was
1:01 tracking a couple levels on the stickers
1:03 there's one level starting from the
1:05 bottom around 9 to 50 this is
1:08 first thing I want to track is how much
1:10 did it pull from the first parabolic
1:12 typically if you pulled way too much
1:14 there's a high chance that the bat
1:16 holder wants to get out into the second
1:19 bounce this sticker looks very similar
1:21 to the ticker that happened recently
1:25 which is okyo another one but this is a
1:27 biotech sector one thing I want to
1:30 emphasize is biotech sector has
1:33 completely different I would say fading
1:34 percentages the data is completely
1:36 different only bound Shore can work on
1:38 biotech sectors sometimes even though
1:39 I'm sure don't even work that well
1:41 because of the weird statistics typical
1:43 fading percentage for balancer is 50
1:48 typical 13 percentage for uh for biotech
1:51 sometimes can be as low as 30 percent so
1:55 let's go to February 17th over here we
1:57 had another one of the parabolic spike
2:00 very similar as hpx trading much more
2:03 volume so I did up to more than 50 from
2:06 the top on the entire game range is
2:09 around 2.47 so in the middle this is the
2:13 50 mark I hear it's almost a 70 Mark and
2:15 once they faded that much typically the
2:18 chart can trap enough people who bought
2:22 around seven and under desperate to get
2:24 out into your bounce if you think about
2:26 the psychology of first green day
2:27 typically you don't really have any
2:30 resistance that's number one number two
2:31 you're pretty much traded based on chart
2:34 reactions and also on the level two and
2:36 based on different flow and market caps
2:38 the spiking percentage on the first
2:40 parabolic typically has all kinds of
2:42 variations for a billion dollar cap it
2:45 can only spec up to 30 for lower cap can
2:47 spec up to hundreds of percent and also
2:49 depends on the flow so typically for
2:51 beginners I do not recommend trying to
2:53 top tick on the first parabolic wait
2:56 until the stock pulls back and depends
2:58 on how far it pulls back you can kind of
3:00 make your plan while the stock is
3:03 spiking and calculate the pullback
3:06 percentages to make sure that your
3:08 shorting strategy have a good running
3:10 percentage this one came all the way
3:13 back testing the 6.1 so which is 15 of
3:15 the high when you're sizing around 15
3:18 you're taking I'll say a decent risk so
3:20 typically when you are shorting around
3:22 first during day your risk reward will
3:24 not be that great your risky War most of
3:27 the time is around one to one so in this
3:29 thing okay well typically first Green
3:31 Day do not fade all the way back down to
3:34 the neutralized area where it spiked so
3:38 90 of the time you earn 75 25 sorry
3:40 above the neutralized area so if you
3:43 look at the neutralized area which you
3:44 are starting to count in where the
3:49 bottom came in so three times 25 so
3:52 that's around four dollar area so the
3:54 stock should end around four by Port all
3:56 the way back to 3.2 the failing
3:58 percentage cannot be tracked into the
3:59 average 50 percentage for the first
4:02 Green Day same thing goes to hpx let's
4:05 do some math around here we had a star
4:07 expecting prices around nine into all
4:09 the way to 50. the first parabolic Spike
4:13 pulled back to 22 so the median range around
4:14 around
4:17 9.94 to 36 so I'm using 36 minus 9
4:20 divided by two that's the 50 Mark you
4:24 landed right around 50 Mark respect the
4:25 game whenever you are looking at first
4:27 Green Day and the stock didn't hold only
4:29 post fifty percent so the bad holders
4:31 still have hope that the stock will
4:34 Spike and they're not likely to sell but
4:37 if if it pulls more and then 50 the
4:39 stock on the stock is likely to fail on
4:41 the bounce so this is one of the small
4:43 details uh on the statistics you should
4:47 track stock rebricks again to the 36 and
4:48 when you did it once you tell a fake
4:52 calories found there but hpx is a
4:54 different I would say it's considered to
4:57 be an IPO main name is because the
4:58 volume is way too low it only trade
5:00 around the 1.4 million shares throughout
5:03 the day so it's not a great as examples
5:05 to show
5:07 14 percentages will affect into the
5:10 second bounce but if you want to compare
5:13 okay well to rtda rkda into pretty much
5:16 the same thing very similar chart is to
5:19 impose more than 50 at the 65 percent
5:21 and this one failure all the way back
5:23 compared to pretty much the same as okay
5:25 like I'll fit it to the neutralized area
5:27 maximum fading point should be around
5:30 12. 20 to 25 above the neutralized area
5:34 so for okay by o should be 3.6 25 should
5:35 be four
5:39 rkda should be between 11 to 12 dollar
5:41 area especially on the selling pressure
5:42 on the first Green Day if it tends to
5:45 lose its momentum the stock is likely to
5:47 fade all the way back down uh I've been
5:49 changing the statistics about with that
5:51 one as I mentioned on the first screen
5:54 the shooting strategies your risk award
5:57 typically is not number eight risk
5:59 reward ratio is around one to one but if
6:00 you look around into the second green
6:05 second red day this one winter 34. do
6:07 already hit hit the bottom of the
6:10 consolidations hpx going all the way
6:12 back down to 14 and this if you look at
6:15 the uh the overall picture over a
6:16 picture for how much stock has scanned
6:19 and where is the 75 Mark for multi-tier
6:22 runners and this one faded you know only
6:26 about 75 markets around here around 22
6:29 went all the way down to 17 now the list
6:33 is 14 so it's you only landed about five
6:35 percent compared to the entire range
6:37 that was gained yesterday surely into
6:40 the following day on the red day it does
6:42 have much better reward compared to the
6:45 shorting to the first Green Day so those
6:47 are the main statistics that you want to
6:49 track for her screen day I do think is
6:52 really helpful try not to participate in
6:53 the first parabolic Spike always wait
6:56 onto the second pull to see how much you
6:57 actually pulled if it produces a bounce
6:59 after it pulled more than 50 percent
7:02 it's worth a try and a balance if it was
7:04 less than 50 don't even worry about it
7:07 so for politics specifically you have to
7:10 be more careful other than that that'll
7:12 be a first recap alright guys at the end
7:14 of this video thank you very much for
7:15 watching uh make sure to check the
7:17 course linking below I will see you guys
7:18 in the next time foreign
