This content provides a detailed breakdown and prediction for an upcoming UFC Fight Night card, focusing on individual fight analysis and betting picks.
Mind Map
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I talked to my friend ill today. Yes,
his name is Ill, by the way. The dude's
fat. He loves to talk crap and he loves
to just scrap. He was telling me the
story today. It was straight yap. He was
lying the whole time. Man, ill cap.
Yeah, baby. Yeah, man. Ill cap. His name
is So Cap. Yo, guys, you know. Well,
I'll be real guys. I looked at this
fight night. Um, it is it's it's all
right. Fight night. It's the last card
of the year, you know. So, like I feel
like I have to do really good on this
card of predictions like but the card
just like itself is not that intriguing
to me outside of like the main card as I
scroll. You could look with their eyes
and maybe acknowledge, you know, I like
the main event. That's a fun fight.
There's some notable names I feel like
for like 90% of these fights. Like look
at King Green. You know, there's notable
names. All right. But um yeah, they're
actually pretty notable. Actually, not
as bad as I thought it was. You know,
the first two fights, holy crap, I could
do without. You know, Jamie Lyn Horth.
Oh, she's so attractive, man. Like,
[ __ ] man. They're so ass, bro. Look
this this my this bald-headed Barbie on
the right. [ __ ] Jam. And then we got
Jamie Lyn Horth. Um, listen, low-level
MMA fight. That's how I see this fight.
Um, competitive fight in the aspect of
they both kind of suck to me. Um, you
know, but to be fair to Blenda, I
believe she only lost to Natalyia Silva,
who's actually really good. So, like
when I think of it like that, like she's
been losing a good comp. Same with Jamie
Horth like Miranda Maverick I believe
and some other good people. That being
said, I do give the slight advantage to
Bla. I just feel like her striking is
going to be a little bit better on the
feet and if there is grappling
exchanges, I feel like he's actually
going to be initiated by Lynn Horth. Um,
but I feel like uh Blenda would have
good enough defensive wrestling to keep
it standing. And if Blender can Blender
could wrestle too, she's shown that in
her fights. So I just feel like Blender
is a little bit better everywhere. Jam
Lyn Hort is just going to be a Canadian
and keep fighting and keep walking her
down and try to marauder Max. I just
don't think that's going to be enough.
So, give me blood that brother and move
on from this fight because I don't care
about it now. Like, this is one of those
fights where you just get two no-name
heavyweights, put them against each
other, and like, okay, whoever wins
wins. Both guys have like crazy
finishing power uh finishing ability.
You know, we got Allan Fry Jr. and
Joherami Pats, who I believe is
Brazilian, despite that name sounding a
little bit, well, the last name at least
sound a little bit American. Um, they're
both huge, too. Like, they're massive,
guys. I This one's like a It's like a
coin toss. Like, who's going to get the
knockout first? Do I go the Brazilian or
do they go the United States fighter?
Um, both guys do have crazy power from
what I s saw on their highlights, bro.
They have like no things to go off of
like from actual fights cuz they're both
making their UFC debut. Um, you know,
that being said, um, this is kind of
vibes maxing.
Yo, should I say what I think? Cuz I
feel like in my heart I feel like this
Pat guy's going to get it done. He's
just a big Brazilian who hits like a
truck, you know? But this als he's going
against a big American who hits like a
truck, you know. But I'mma trust my gut
and I'm going to go the Brazilian. I
think the Brazilian Pat gets it done. I
just feel like he's he's a little bit
more imposing and bigger. He's more
massive than Allen Fry Jr. So I feel
like when he lands going to have a
little bit more significance. I'm
literally size maxing here. I don't
care. Um this is what happens when you
have two undefeated. Well, they're
undefeated. Someone's going to lose, but
they're undefeated against low comp.
They both kind of suck to me. So it's
going to just be who lands first. And I
think the Brazilian's going to get it
done. So I'm just going to go the
Brazilian. I that's a 50-50 pick that
pisses me off cuz that could just ruin
everything. And then a [ __ ] woman's
fight. I I feel like the last card we
didn't have a lot of the woman like the
last card was so amazing and then we get
in this one. Nothing wrong with WMA. I'm
not I I
um This one's actually interesting guys.
We got Melissa Croin versus Luana
Santos. Lana Santos is actually pretty
solid. Um so what Melissa's last fight
actually impressed me. Her striking
specifically. I feel like she looked
really dynamic on the feet from what I
remember. I know I'm not tripping. Um
but Luana Santos knows how to win.
That's the thing about Luana Santos.
Like she's going to win and try to hit
Tik Tok dance. Um but some of the close
fights Lana Santos had, I don't even
think she won when she gets like split
decision wins. Um I I've like Melissa
Croin really impressed me her last
fight, which is why I think she's going
to beat Lana Santos. She actually might
be the underdog in this one as well. I'm
not fully sure. I think Melissa might be
the underdog, but I think I'm going to
rock the underdog here and I go Melissa
Croin. WMA odds don't even matter
anyways. It's just like via eye test
from what I've been seeing. And I think
Melissa Croin in her last fight looked
very impressive to me. So, I'm going to
go the blonde hair, blue eyes. Uh, she
doesn't have blue eyes. The blonde hair,
brown nice girl, Melissa Croin for the
win over Lana Santos. Now, this fight is
interesting. We got Shawn Sharaf. I was
about to say Sharief. Shawn Shariff
versus Steven as Blond. I remember
Stephen because I remember his Dwight
Contender Series fight. He was the one
huge heavyweight with mad excess skin.
But he's a dog, man. He went in there
and got the first round knockout when he
was like a huge underdog. Knocked the
dude out. Sean Sharif, I swear he lost
to one of the Taffa brothers. Like you,
bro. Well, I don't know if you guys like
to brothers in my head are like the the
bottom of the barrel. Bottom of the
barrel. If you're a tougher brother to
me, I just think you're horrible. So,
the fact that Sharief lost or Shariff
lost, give me Steve Osblund all the way.
He's 6'5. He's He hits like a truck.
He's not afraid of the He's not afraid
of the combat, man. So, why is it saying
this guy lands 401.25
significant strikes per minute? Holy
[ __ ] Look at that. He has a blue line
going behind Sheriff, bro. Shar's gun
for him, brother. We're going to land 40
strikes on him in one minute and we're
going to beat him, bro. Um, nah, but
give me uh Aslund to win. Um, I think
Sheroff's going to go in there and try
to wrestle because he's not going to go
in there and try to strike with my boy
Aslund because he gets chinned brutally.
So, give me Asvon for the win. Should be
easy if unless he's just a fraud. All
right, next up we got Kenny Aoy versus
Yaros Slav almost who only lost to Jiren
Jackson I believe. I that that who's
actually really good. That's a good comp
to lose to for a championship fight in a
different promotion. The thing about me
though, I send people away. You Why do
you guys think I look like you're like,
"Look at him. Look at me." I think I'm a
little bit more handsome. Maybe people
would want to play with me more, but
Okay, that was a little weird. But um
like what? Um yeah, Yarso's going uh I
said his name so wrong. Yars Lav is
going to be a problem for us guys. I
think we're going to need to just vet
Max. We're going to need to lose the
first two rounds and come off strong and
finish him in the third. Um but I just
don't see that happening. I don't think
we're quite Jiren Jackson. The grappling
and some of the striking. So, I think
we're gonna get smoked by Almazov. I'm
going to go in there to fight though.
We're gatekeep maxing. You guys know
like when it comes to throwing hands,
we're never going to lack. So, we're
going to go in there mentally ready. I
just don't know how mentally ready we're
going to be to get a win over a
championship caliber fighter in a
different promotion. Of course, we know
championship caliber in a different
promotion. Doesn't matter if it's PFL,
Bellator, it doesn't equate to UFC
level. But that being said, we're we're
a little bit old. Like we send back
newcomers who ask, "Brother, this guy
28th and one. He's just as experienced
as us, guys." So, I think he gets it
done over us. So, I'm going
for the win. Next up, Joannis Breto
versus Isaac Thompson. Isaac Thompson's
making his debut. Um, the thing about
Breto, he's been losing his last couple
fights because his defensive grappling,
like sometimes he just get tooken down
and held there, which kind of pisses me
off. Um, from what I seen with this
Isaac Thomas guy, he's not like one of
those crazy grapplers that I got to
worry about. So, I feel like if it's a
primary striking fight, Brittle can just
marauder max him and keep walking him
down to kind of make him work. The guy's
Aussie, so I'm assuming he's going to be
ready for that if she hits the fan. But
for my scene from me, he just doesn't
look that impressive to me. It looks
kind of mediocre. So, I think Brittle
gets it done against Isaac Thompson. It
should. I don't know, though. This is
making his debut. Maybe the odds he
could surprise me. But, I think Brittle
should beat him. So, I'm going to just
lean Bridto off of just being strong,
scary Brazilian who sucks if he gets
taken down and can't get off his back.
He needs to fix that issue like like
tomorrow like but I think it gets it
done against Isaac who's probably going
to go in there try to strike with him
and get Marauder Max when for his
welcome to UFC fight. So give me Brut
for the win. You know this one's we're
just getting they love WMA in this card.
I think they wanted to get WMA but no
joke I like Jillian Robertson. I like
her fight style. She's like one of those
fighters who when they get you down
she's going to actively try to open up
your face. I swear I've seen this fight
before. Like I swear I felt they already
fight before. I don't think they have
though apparently. I think Jillian
Robertson by however she wants. She's
like going to take her down, play with
her. She's the female redheaded Habib. I
hate to do comparisons like that. Hate
to do,
but I think Robertson's going to smoke
her. Like, what the hell? She should
smoke her. Amanda Limo is so mid to me.
Like, she and she she trusts her BJ too
much. So, she's going to be on her back
trying to throw [ __ ] up while getting
her face punched into a pope. Give me
Jillian Robertson by uh kind of having
that badass I'm a smoker, but I'm a
little bit like a hear me out situation.
Give me her by just looking like that.
Um cuz you know maybe two shots in
brother I go I go I go for that. So give
me Robinson over Lemmos. Brother Lemos
gets Pete to a pope. Lemos is number
five makes no sense. So I guess
Robinson's going to float up to the top
three after that win. Okay we got King
Green versus Lance Gibson Jr. I'll be
real guys. King Green is not even I
think he's worse than Gatekeeper. He's
just not good anymore. Especially the
way he's getting done. Um Lance Gibson
Jr. is going to go and they're trying to
make him his debut a win over like a
King Green so he could get skyrocketed
up. Um I can't wait to see Lance Gibson
make uh Patty Pimlet's best win look a
little bit insignificant. So I'm going
Lance Gibson off of just King Green
being 40 years old and he's going to
lose to a debut in so it's going to be
tough for him. A tough pill to swallow.
Maybe he retires after this. I don't
know but like you're 40 brother and
you're you're just taking brain damage I
feel like every fight Gibson's probably
going to try to go in there and get him
out early and I think he'll succeed.
King Green's like even like right now
he's a good striker but even his best
weapons you start to see him start to
fall behind in his best weapons now. So
I feel like he just has punches chance
that's about it. He's still
quick-handed. He's still quick-handed
but like his low hands and stuff it's
all like gimmicky and it doesn't work
anymore. That shit's so 2000 [ __ ] 12,
dude. Like stop putting your hands down
trying to or farm. That shit's not cool,
man. It's not cool. So I think Glenn
Gibson gets it done over King Green,
brother. All right, Nezuku. Kennedy
Nzuku, my ebo brother. Not just Niger
brother, ebo brother, you know, versus
Marcus Bettcha, uh, who just lost, I
think, Martin Bouet or something. I
swear he did. I'm not tripping. Um,
yeah, we're coming off a loss as well.
We got our ankle took by Valter Walker,
but that's cuz it's Walter Walker, you
know. We're going to school Betta. We're
going to probably beat him by decision
cuz I feel like we're going to have time
to put him away, but we don't jump on it
quick enough. We're going to use our
oblique kicks. We're going to use our
deep kicks to the stomach. We're going
to use our length. We're just going to
outpace him. We're going to show him
what Nigeria is all about, brother. Ebo,
brother. You know we like this. You know
Aaboom Kenny Aoya handsome. You know
this is what I am. So we go in there and
we school. Betcha bros losing the
decisions by bud bro. She buy brother
get out of here bro. Kenny sugar by the
easy win. This is actually a good fight
that I'm pretty sure on the odds are
like picking mods but I don't think it
should be a pick and fight because I
think Melqua Malquzaca beats the hell
out of him. Um I think he beats up
Morgan Sherriier. Sheriier. One thing
about him he's a little bit too low
output for like Aosta. You can't beat
Costa being that low output. Costa is
going to go in there. He's going to
swing wild. He's going to trade and I
feel like Morgan Sher is going to kind
of be in front of him waiting for like
the best opportunity to throw a shot and
just like playing the waiting game
against Costa is just not this ideal
thing to do in my opinion. I think it's
going to result in him slowing down and
just looking like a goofball. So,
brother, give me Melza Costa via just
comfortable decision. I think Sher's a
little bit too tough to get out of
there. So, I think Costa gets him by
decision, but I think Costa is just
going to be a step ahead of him the
entirety of the fight. Guys, I I don't
think Morgan Sher is all that great. I
remember when he had a lot of hype
surrounding him, you know, but the more
I see him do, the more I realize he's
like he's just too low output to go
against some of these Marauder matchers.
I just don't think he beats Costa. Um,
should be interesting though. We'll see
if he grows in confidence. Maybe Morg
Sher tries to wrestle, but he's not
going to be able to take down Costa and
hold him there. So, I'm going K Costa
pretty confidently. This is probably one
of my most confident, if not my most
confident pick on the card. I think
Costa Sherry, and it's a close fight.
Um, this one, uh, Caesar Almida is
actually the underdog, believe it or not.
not.
going against Mike Oleek's brother,
Cesari Oleek. Um, who's a primary
kickboxer from what I've seen. I swear
I'm not tripping. He gets a lot. He gets
good knockout finishes. But, um,
brother, you're not beating us. We beat
Alex Pere in his heyday, chat. You're
not beating Caesar Alter, bro. We're the
best kickboxer ever. So, if you're going
to come in here and just try to kickbox
with us, be my guest. Uh, I bet Ole J's
going to like grapple a little bit more,
maybe like his brother. Um, but Ole JJ,
he tall guy. He's strong. He has good
striking, good length, but I don't
think, look at it. 28 strikes per
minute. Get a load of this guy. Hey, she
might. But I don't think it's going to
be enough, brother. I think Caesar
Almeida is just a better kickboxer. So,
if they're going to go kickboxing for
kickboxing, let's stall it then. Let's
kickbox. So, I think Caesar should
comfortably beat him despite him being
an underdog. People underestimating like
the actual kickboxing skill of Caesar
Amida, brother. He's going to get it
done comfortably and he's going to
school check. Alter might be game for
the first couple rounds, but I think he
might slow down and get veteran maxed by
Caesar Almeida, who's been kickboxing
his whole life, even though his UFC
record or MMA record is only 7-1. I
think Caesar Ma gets it done, so I'm
going Cesar for the underdog pick of the
card. Gigar Chicaz versus Kevin Vallejo.
Valos is a dog, man. I will say one
thing about Vallejo, he's going to sit
there, he's going to swing. Giga is
going to have a good first round. I feel
like he's going to he going to use his
kicking game really well. Um, but
eventually Giga is going to slow because
with the age he I've noticed he slows
after the first round a lot more
considerably. And I think that's when
Kevin Vales is gonna uh pick up the
pace, keep the cons uh consistent
pressure with the high guard, use his
boxing, use his kicking, use a lot. I
don't know. He might even grapple, you
know. We'll see. We'll see. It depends
how comfortable Giga gets. But I do
think uh Kevin might fall short a little
bit in the first round, but after that
he's going to end up getting to Giga.
But Giga just got to keep his distance.
Giga might even get knocked out, man. So
I got Valos by KO points, guys. I think
Giga has the chin to get knocked out by
him. And I think Valos just has the
right intensity, right pressure enough
to overwhelm someone like Giga and get a
win over him. So, brother, give me give
me Kevin and forget. I think Gig is
still game. I think he's still good,
guys. I just don't think he's good
enough to beat Kevin Valos. So, I'm I'm
riding Kevin on the Giga fight. All
right, which brings us to the main event
of the evening. I feel like we just saw
Roy Valin Van, which in my opinion,
fight of the year, hands down. And we
just see Manil Cap. Manil Cap been
beating a lot of people's ass, man.
Poking them in the eyes, beating them
up. Um, I think Mino Cap might be
one of the best, if not the best active
flyweight on the planet. I've said that
before. You know, he's just he's just
really good. Like when he gets into flow
state, he's very problematic. The thing
about Bro, uh, Brandon Royal is that
he's not Bruno Silva. He's not Azu
Amaba. You're not going to just get that
comfort with him. He's always going to
be throwing. Um, you know, and what what
Royal does well is like he keeps you out
of a rhythm. But like what Manil Cap
does well is like when he gets into a
rhythm he's he's so hard to deal with
you know but I feel like the volume of
Roy Val kind of slows down people's
rhythmic fighting which I help which
helps Roy Val against Van he couldn't
quite slow the rhythm of Van like he was
slowing him a little bit with the jabs
and and and but the Van's just so good
at slipping and ripping man and finding
the better shot you know I feel like
Manil Cap's very awkward in his like
striking he's very very misdirectional
um so that could be problematic for Roy
Val but it's a five round fight the five
rounds do favor Royal out. You know, I
don't think Manil has like a Joshua Van
type endurance, dude. So, I think Manil
Kappo went early on, but I think later
in the fight, you can start to see Roy
Val come alive. I just don't know if Roy
Val is going to do enough to steal
important rounds because Roy Val kind of
stems to doing something that I realized
he's throwing a lot of volume, but not a
lot of power punches behind it. So like
he would throw a lot of volume, he'd be
outv volume, but then he's going to get
hit clean and then it's going to be a
significant power difference, which
makes the judges favor the guy who's
landing the more significant strikes,
which in this case, I do think it's
going to be Mino Cap. I think Mino Cap's
going to get it done. I know my boy Ill
at the start of the video, that ill guy
I was talking about, like he he caps a
lot, you know, that was a bar, man. Just
want you guys to think back at that. But
no, Manil Cap's just hard to get going
against. And I feel like
I feel like he beats Real I really like
Reval, but I think Manil Cap's like a
special. He's actually really good. So,
he's actually a huge favorite going
against this, which makes no sense. It's
kind of a disservice to Royal Val. Maybe
it's because the Joshua Van fight, he
took damage and they don't think he's
going to come in ready um since that
fight, but I think Royal is going to
make it competitive, but I just think
Minn Cap sneaks out the rounds due off
of his power and his he has some good
output as well, not just Roy Val.
They're both pretty high output
fighters. Um I don't I don't expect to
see much wrestling, but I do think
wrestling will be initiated for Manil
Cap just to show Ray Val I could also do
this if I have the chance to. He's not
really going to shoot the score most of
the time just to give uh keep thinking.
So I think that's going to be enough for
men cap. So I got minocap. If I could
say a guaranteed parlay, I'll go Manil Cap
Cap
uh and Costa. I think I just do a twole.
No, manilcap costa and Gileia Robertson.
Boom. Yeah, I told you guys never put
woman, but ignore me for this one. Go go
go go Gileian Robinson Manil Cap and
Costa or just Manil Cap and Costa and
just hammer like $700 on that double
leger. But that's it for me guys. Let me
know what you guys think about this card
and my peaks. Gold bless. Two, three, four.
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